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World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM Mobile Weather Alert Community weather information via mobile technology Uganda Pilot Tom Butcher and Mary Power Working Group on Nowcasting Research Wednseday 09 February 2011 WMO; RMO DRA www.wmo.int Outline 1. Project overview 2. Project Structure: (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) 3. 4. 5. 6. Integrated observations Severe weather forecasting Communicating weather info Stakeholder engagement Socio-economic benefits Key Outcomes Benefits Next steps Summary and Questions 2 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology 2 Project Overview Objective: Utilise mobile phone technology to develop a sustainable warning service that reduces the vulnerability of communities in the Lake Victoria Region to weather hazards. 3 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Project Overview Project Partners: MINISTRY OF WATER, LANDS AND ENVIRONMENT, DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY, P.O. BOX 7025, KAMPALA UGANDA 4 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Project Structure (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis 5 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Key Outcomes (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis • All operational Automatic Weather Stations (AWSs) in Uganda integrated into Observation Data Management Systems located at National Forecast Centre in Entebbe. • Quality of data collected by AWSs located at mobile phone mast sites is evaluated through a systematic and scientific (peer reviewed) data trial. • Observations of Lake Victoria surface temperature integrated onto WMO GTS and data available for weather forecast models. • Possibility of further AWSs installed at suitable locations selected and managed by NMHS. Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology 6 Key Outcomes (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis • Drawing upon Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project and other initiatives, clearly defined processes for the delivery of pilot warnings and forecasts established and implemented. 7 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Key Outcomes (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis • Accurate, timely and reliable weather forecasts and warnings are routinely disseminated to pilot communities of fishermen, in Uganda, for the duration of the trial. • Seasonal and other weather information provided via Uganda Department of Meteorology website and disseminated via mobile WEB, or WAP, for the duration of the pilot for the chosen agricultural communities. 8 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Key Outcomes (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis • Active and relevant community relationships established with the pilot communities of: • Fishermen on Lake Victoria • Farmers in Lake Victoria region • Project management process established to enable successful project implementation and evaluation. 9 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Key Outcomes (1) Integrated Observations (2) Severe Weather Forecasting (3) Communication via mobile phone (4) Stakeholder Engagement (5) Socio-economic benefits analysis • Verification study completed on the accuracy of available forecast products and the impact of the warnings. (This will be conducted in synergy with SWFDP for East Africa). • Benefits analysis completed and case studies published. • Business model developed for the wider roll-out of programme across SubSaharan Africa (and beyond) is agreed and communicated 10 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Benefits The benefits of the proposed project over the next 6-12 months are as follows: – Reduction in the frequency of deaths on Lake Victoria. – Improved capacity amongst pilot communities to respond to warnings of severe weather. – Increased capacity to deliver effective warnings. – Business model for wide-scale rollout. – Sustainable increase in observations. Through realisation of the benefits above, the project will contribute towards poverty reduction and achievement of the Millennium Development Goals. 11 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Next Steps • Funding approval for pilot – imminent (some aspects also covered through World Bank Project). • Technical development will be completed by Feb 2011. • UK Met Office procured 2-AWSs through UK VCP to support trial. • Currently working on stakeholder engagement • Pilot to fishermen will run from Feb-Apr 2011. 12 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology Summary • • • • Focus on disseminating forecasts and warnings via mobile technology. AWSs installed under WIFA will be integrated into UDoM operations. Any new observations installed to strategically improve NMHS operations. Benefits evaluation and development of “Business Model” for wider rollout is a key outcome of the pilot. 2 Mobile Weather Alert: Community weather information via mobile technology 13 WMO Donor Projects in Lake Victoria Region Preparedness to Climate Variability and Change, Natural Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, and Enhanced Food Security Improving the technical and scientific capabilities of the NMHSs of the respective countries to provide weather/climate information, products and services in support of key economic sectors Ethiopia, Kenya, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Tanzania, Zambia Finland Severe weather forecasting demonstration project (Eastern Africa) Enhanced use of outputs of Numerical Weather Prediction Systems for improved forecasts and warnings of hazardous weather conditions Burundi, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda World Bank, WMO 14 WMO Donor Projects in Lake Victoria Region Climate Observations and Regional Modelling Support of Climate Risk Management and Sustainable Development The proposed programme is intended to help the NMHS in GHA countries assemble the necessary climate observations and to understand and use regional climate modelling--that can help GHA countries design adaptation policies and reduce climate-associated risks. Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania World Bank Regional Climate Framework in Eastern Africa to support adaptation to climate change Establishment of a Regional Climate Information Framework in Eastern Africa to support adaptation to climate change with the IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Centre (ICPAC, Nairobi, Kenya) is a key element. Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania KOICA Phase I completed Phase II under developm ent 15 WMO Donor Projects in Lake Victoria Region PILOT - To utilise mobile phone technology, including infrastructure, services and applications, to develop and demonstrate a sustainable warning service that reduces the vulnerability to weather hazards of communities in the Lake Victoria Region. Uganda, Tanzania Ericsson WB Norway? Lake Victoria Proposes to scale up Uganda Environmental Mobile Weather Alert Pilot Management including investment in Lake Project (LVEMP II) Obs Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania Rwanda, Burundi World Bank Mobile Weather Alert Weather forecasts and warnings via mobile communications Proposes investment in NMHS development in Rwanda and Burundi 16