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Pesticide Model – Full Details Top Pesticides Runs for Surface Water Catchments and for Ground Water boreholes: Data export option to Excel: SWAT Model - Top Pesticides Catchment based threshold exceedence Uses either Seasonal exposure or Pesticide specific loadings : SWATCATCH Model Catchment based threshold exceedence Groundwater assessment for all boreholes Groundwater assessment for a single borehole Identify Catchment Hot-Spots: Ground Water: GWAT Model Soil, pesticide, climate data g/w resources identified from EA g/w vulnerability mapping and SPZs Soil leaching model (MACRO) Attenuation factor model (unsat zone) ‘local’ g/w Using id for likely g/w resources aquifers Using id EA major/minor aquifers boreholes Grids in SPZ Identify Catchment Hot-Spots Surface Water: SWAT Model - Catchment Hot-spots Bespoke Reporting Output Current Developments Nitrates, Climate Change, Leakage and AMP Current Developments - Nitrates Surface water Nitrate model Calculates the agriculturallyderived nitrate concentrations at the surface water abstraction point based on the amount of leachable N available for transport over the whole sub catchment area that feeds the surface water source Integrates land use, soil and climate zone data over the sub catchment Current Developments - Nitrates Surface water Nitrate model - Output Yearly Spread - Nitrate for Upper Severn Mean flows (ml/day) Base flows (ml/day) Nitrate NO3 conc (mg/l) 30000 35 25 Flow (ml/day) 20000 20 15000 15 10000 10 5000 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year Nitrate NO3 Concentration (mg/l) 30 25000 Current Developments - Nitrates Groundwater Nitrate model V = volume N = Nitrate Store starts with no nitrate or volume Instant input from model N1V1 STEP 1 GW Store N1V1 in store at step end Becomes Step 2 start V and N N0V0 Output to baseflow Instant input from model N2V2 STEP 2 GW Store N2V2 in store N1V1 Output to baseflow at step end Becomes Step 3 start V and N Instant input from model N3V3 STEP 3 GW Store N3V3 in store at step end N2V2 Output to baseflow Current Developments - Nitrates Groundwater Nitrate model - Output Yearly Spread - Nitrate for 1km around AMEN CORNER Weather Data = Current storage (m³/week) vol to gwater store (m³/week) Nitrate N conc in recharge(mg/l) Nitrate N conc in gwater store (mg/l) 500000 25 450000 400000 20 300000 15 250000 200000 10 150000 100000 5 50000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year Concentration (mg/l) Flow (m³/week) 350000 Current Developments – Climate Change Current Data Derivation of Scenario Weather Data UKCIP02 climate change scenario data Monthly precipitation and temperature for 30 year timeslice (e.g. 2020’s =2011-2030) Calculation of simple water balance model Precipitation – potential evapotranspiration balance to derive monthly HER. Problems with PET calculation from temperature Derivation of weekly HER Distributed corresponding to current patterns within each month Scenario HER Weather time-series for each10 weather stations snapped into CatchIS module Impact on Pesticide Risk Maun to Alders sub-catchment Isoproturon on wheat Yearly Spread - Isoproturon on Wheat for Maun to Conjure Alders Weather Data = Current Mean flows (m³/S) Base flows (m³/S) Mean Pesticide conc (ng/l) Yearly Spread - Isoproturon on Wheat for Maun to Conjure Alders Weather Data = 2020 - Low Distributed Peak Pesticide conc (ng/l) 6 Mean flows (m³/S) 160 Base flows (m³/S) Mean Pesticide conc (ng/l) Peak Pesticide conc (ng/l) 6 160 140 140 5 5 60 2 100 3 80 60 2 40 1 40 1 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year CURRENT 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year 2020 LO • Lower mean flows • Smoothing extreme events • Likelihood of threshold exceedence slightly increased Concentration (ng/l) 80 4 Flow (m³/S) Flow (m³/S) 100 3 120 Concentration (ng/l) 120 4 Current Developments – Leakage and Asset Management Pipe failure (Corrosivity, Sharps, Sand and Heave) Leakage and Asset Management Leakage management is an important element in the supplydemand balance and AMP for water supply companies. Progressively leakage has become a political issue and OFWAT has imposed annual mandatory targets for all water companies. Leakage reduction is important in the management of water supplies and its contribution to the sustainable management of water resources. CIWEM’s position CIWEM recognises the considerable reductions in leakage made by water companies in recent years. CIWEM recommends that a Best Available Technique not Entailing Excessive Cost (BATNEEC) type approach be considered for leakage target setting within an economic framework. CIWEM recommends that the ownership of supply pipes be transferred to the water companies. CIWEM recommends that in the long term, all water use should be metered for the purposes of water conservation and more accurate leakage measurement. CIWEM supports an holistic approach to leakage control, by considering the components of leakage and selection of appropriate policies. Causes of leakage Failure in the water mains network How? Age of pipe Diameter of pipe Source of feed ‘Bus’ loading Soil Heave potential Soil Corrosivity potential How soils affect leakage Lower corrosivity Less heave Higher corrosivity More heave How soils affect leakage Potential areas of development Erosion risk Cryptosporidia risk