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Behavioral Research and STIs Objectives Discuss how behavior influences the basic reproductive rate of an epidemic Describe some of the behavioral models Discuss the concept of Core Group Discuss Social Network Analysis Behavioral versus Clinical Clinical Bioavailability of medication Resistance Other physiologic factors Timing of treatment Partner treatment Behavioral Characteristics of sexual partners Characteristics of sex Characteristics of health seeking Social influence Basic Reproductive Rate of Infection Ro= D c Ro is the basic reproductive rate of infection is the transmission coefficient D is the infection periods c is the mean rate of sexual partner change The Reproductive Rate Ro > 1 epidemic Ro = 1 equilibrium Ro < 1 prevalence declines Ro basic reproductive rate Defines the average number of secondary infections generated by one primary case in a susceptible population of defined density the host population is divided into compartments: susceptibles, infected (latent), and infectious ()Transmission Probability infected and susceptible number of partners types of partners types of sexual acts frequency of sexual acts virulence of infection duration of infection when infection occurred when infection was treated Sexual Risk Behavior (Aral, 194) Age at sexual debut Number of sex partners Non-discriminating sex partner recruitment Sexual practices Frequency of intercourse Intercourse during menses Condom use Vaginal douching Male circumcision Behavioral Models of Disease Trait Concept Antisocial personality Chronic self-destructiveness Erotophobia-erotophilia Impulsivity Independence-conformity Locus of control Masculinity-femininity Neuroticism-extraversion-psychoticism Trait Concept Risk taking Self-efficacy Self-esteem Self-monitoring Sensation seeking Sex guilt Social desirability is some constant transmission probability per sexual act. Possion process is therefore 1 – exp(- n) Assumption is that this probability is constant, independent and random. However, is is more likely that varies according to sexual act and the distributional properties of and correlation between different types of sexual behavior. Studies of HIV, fail to show a clear relationship between the number of sex acts per unit of time between infected and susceptible persons and the liklihood of transmission D - the Infectious Period infectousness varies in duration and intensity Ro = c D (1 t 1 +2 t 2 + 3 t 3) 1 t 1 determines the initial rate at which the epidemic increases and Ro determines the total size of the epidemic c - mean rate of sexual partner change depends on demographic and social factors magnitudes are correlated with other factors such as number of sex acts, type of sexual contacts and mixing. Does a Core Group exist? Core Group Core Group (Thomas and Tucker, 1996) Defined as: People who infected a large proportion of the time, infect more than one other person, are repeatedly infected, are prostitutes or their clients, geographic areas with large numbers of cases Mathematical Clinical-epidemiologic sociocultural Definitions applied to Core Group (Thomas and Tucker, 1996) Groups whose prevalence of GC is > 20% Prostitutes Persons who have many sexual contacts very sexually active persons who are asymptomatic when infectious people repeated infected with STD people with > 5 sex partners people with clusters of high-risk behavior adolescent males in detention census tracts that are responsible for > 50% of cases Social Network Analysis Linear Concept of transmission of an STD Network informed concept of disease transmission Sexual Behaviors (Aral; 1994) Early age at sexual debut Large number of lifetime sexual partners Large number of current sexual partners Non-discriminating sex partner recruitment patterns High risk characteristics of sexual partners Specific sexual practices frequency and timing of sexual intercourse Sexual abuse during childhood Health Behaviors (Aral; 1994) Condom and Contraceptive use Vaginal douching Male circumcision Health Care seeking Compliance with therapy Compliance with behavioral recommendations Substance Abuse (Aral; 1994) Associated with anonymous sex Associated with exchange for drugs or money Reduces likelihood that safer sex will be practiced Includes injectables, inhalables, and alcohol Transmission Process Shiboski and Padian, JID 1996;174 Partner choice population/ group level factors sexual contact Transmission individual/ Partner level factors