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Towards Linking the Development and Delivery of Care for Cardiovascular Diseases: Designing Medical Device Supply Chain for the Unserved & Underserved Global Economies Kingshuk K. Sinha University of Minnesota Joint work with Emily McIlvaine, Ph.D. Student Cincinnati Innovations in Healthcare Delivery 2006 September 22, 2006 5/24/2017 “What We Did Not See First, our call for papers did not elicit any studies focused on the biotech, pharmaceutical, or medical industry sectors. While research in these sectors has been published in related journals ….. we found no publications in recent issues of Production and Operations Management and very few overall directly related to production and operations management. Given the growth and significance of the biotech, pharmaceutical, and medical industry sectors around the globe, it is imperative we begin to identify and address the unique production and operations management challenges faced by these industry sectors.” (p. 121) 5/24/2017 Reflections on Industry Studies (Source: “Industry Studies: An Observational Science,” Speech by Dr. Ralph Gomory at the Annual Sloan Industry Center Meeting, Boston December 5, 2005.) “Industry studies is an observational science…..the systems we study involve companies and markets and institutions and their interactions ….. we must observe if we are to accurately understand and describe the remarkable complexity of it all.” “We know that we need a microscope to see very small things …… Seeing large things, like industries, would be much simpler if we had a macroscope… Unfortunately we don't have a real macroscope.” “Statistics is in fact our attempt at a macroscope but it is one that only functions erratically. It functions erratically because if we have the right overall picture, then the statistics can size it right for us, and tell us more about it, but if we don't have it right, the statistics won't tell us that we don't have it right and we can be very wrong.” 5/24/2017 An Introduction to the Research Program: The Central Question How can the development of care be linked with the delivery of care, globally and effectively? “Effectively” = Right care at the right place at the right time at the right price 5/24/2017 Outline Health Care Supply Chain Medical Device Supply Chain Cardiovascular Disease-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain Some Considerations 5/24/2017 Health Care Supply Chain 5/24/2017 Health Care Supply Chain from End-to-End: Linking the Development of Care to the Delivery of Care 5/24/2017 Medical Device Pharma Biotech Health Insurance Healthcare Delivery Delivery of care Development of care Healthcare Supply Chain Health Care Supply Chain: A Value Based Perspective “Health sector supply chain refers to the information, supplies, and finances involved with the acquisition and movement of goods and services from the supplier to the end user in order to enhance clinical outcomes while controlling costs.” (Burns 2006) Developer Producer Purchaser Payer Provider 5/24/2017 Health Care Supply Chain: Regulation and Reimbursement Perspectives FDA (Food & Drug Administration) Supplier 5/24/2017 Manufacturer (Pharmaceutical, Medical Devices) Insurer Physician/Clinic/ Hospital (Care Provider) Patient (Consumer) Health Care Supply Chain: Care as a Product Bundle of … 5/24/2017 Travel--Tourism Payment/ Reimbursement New Biologics Invasive Procedures Devices Drugs Diet & Exercise “Combine high-tech devices with low-tech care giving, while targeting the mind, body and spirit.” “Most hospitals are warehouses for sick bodies…Hospitals should be healing environments built for patients.” Earl Bakken, Inventor of cardiac pacemaker and co-founder of Medtronic Inc. Source: Pioneer Press, Sept 2, 2006 5/24/2017 Medical Device Supply Chain 5/24/2017 Medical Device Supply Chain: As Part of the Information-Based Medicine Ecosystem 5/24/2017 Medical Device Supply Chain: Key Drivers of Competition Product innovation Improve clinical outcomes Reduce procedure time and operating costs Enable less invasive procedures Allow patients to reduce or avoid inpatient hospitalizations Shorten recovery time Facilitate patient care in less expensive settings Extend life expectancy Product performance – product reliability and physician’s perception Pricing and contracting Total cost of delivered products (i.e., production efficiencies and supply chain management) Customer support 5/24/2017 (Kruger 2005) Medical Device Supply Chain: Who is the Customer? Patient (the end customer) Physician (the care giver) Health care provider [(hospital system and integrated delivery networks (IDN)] Purchaser [Group purchasing organization (GPO), wholesaler and distributor] Sales representative and independent distributor (Burns and DeGraff 2002) 5/24/2017 Medical Device Supply Chain: (Counterintuitive) Principles of Economics (Kruger 2005) It is assumed implicitly that consumers of goods and services pay for the goods and services – as the price of a good rises, the demand falls. Medical devices are largely free of this economic law – the demand for medical devices can be exceedingly inelastic (i.e., not depend on price). Above-average profits are not sustainable, competition from new entrants drive down prices, narrowing margins and reducing profits. Medical Devices do not appear to be subject to this general rule. Companies (e.g., Johnson & Johnson and Medtronic) have enjoyed sustained above average profits. Growth in nearly every other industry sector slows as markets become mature and saturated. In medical devices, growth is sustainable because it is driven by general demographic trends, the continued prevalence of diseases, and the near infinite capacity for absorbing medical technology within the practice of medicine. 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain The Focus on Medical Condition (Porter & Olmstead-Teisberg 2006) Modes of business definition in healthcare are doctor centric, procedure centric, or institution centric, not patient centric. Patient value in health care delivery….. can only be understood at the level of medical conditions…. Value is determined by how well a provider delivers care in each medical condition, not its overall breadth of services The relevant business in health care delivery is medical condition seen over full cycle of care. For example, the business is congestive heart failure, not heart surgery, cardiology, angiography, or anesthesiology. Business definition always involves a geographic component. 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Profile in Men DALY: Disability adjusted lost year 5/24/2017 (Source: World Health Organization) Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Profile in Women DALY: Disability adjusted lost year 5/24/2017 (Source: World Health Organization) Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Treatment Trends in the U.S. 5/24/2017 (Source: World Health Organization) Cardiovascular Disease (CVD): Perceptions vs. Facts Common perceptions about CVD are: It is a disease of the elderly, a disease of affluence, and even a pleasant way to die. World Health Organization (WHO) Statistics CVD is the commonest chronic illness in both developed and developing countries, causing the most deaths and the greatest impact on morbidity. Approximately one-third of the total deaths worldwide are cardiovascular in origin. The CVD deaths amounted to numbers greater than those compared to the major infectious diseases (AIDS, TB and malaria). 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD): Perceptions vs. Facts Major Causes of Death In Persons of All Ages In Low and Middle-Income Regions 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD): Perceptions vs. Facts World Health Organization (WHO) Statistics (contd.) Contrary to the conventional wisdom, 78% of the CVD deaths occurred not in the high income countries of the world but in the lower and middle income countries. In sub-Saharan Africa, CVD is a major cause of death in the age range 1560 years, killing more persons than infectious diseases, and the probability of death from a non-communicable disease is higher that in established market economies. In India and China, socio-economic changes with individuals moving from a rural community into the cities have resulted in greater prosperity but at the cost of an increase in CVD related disabilities and deaths. 5/24/2017 Perspectives on Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Treatment WHO (2003, p. 70) reports “marked disparities in the quality of treatment can be seen in groups of different race, ethnicity, sex, and socioeconomic status. In essence, many patients who could benefit from treatment remain untreated, or inadequately treated,” highlighting the unserved and underserved global demand for CVD care. WHO’s call for action: “In future, increased emphasis needs to be placed on the appropriate use of proven treatments for everyone with coronary heart disease or stroke.” 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Care As a Product Bundle of …. New Biologics Travel--Tourism Payment/ Reimbursement Cellular Therapy Invasive Procedures Devices Drugs Coronary artery bypass Balloon Angioplasty Valve Repair & Replacement Heart Transplant Diet & Exercise Pacemakers Implantable Defibrillators Coronary Stents Prosthetic Valves 5/24/2017 Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Care As a Product Bundle of …. Physician Rankings of the Top 10 Most Beneficial “Medical” Innovations 1. 2. 3. 4. MRI and CT ACE Inhibitors to treat high blood pressure Balloon angioplasty to open blocked blood vessels of the heart Statins to improve lipid metabolism and reduce risk for coronary heart disease and other vascular diseases 5. Mammography 6. Coronary artery bypass graft 7. Proton pump inhibitors and H2 blockers to treat gastro-esophageal reflux disease 8. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and new non-SSRI anti-depressants 9. Cataract extraction and lens implant 10. Hip and knee replacement (Fuchs and Sox 2001) 5/24/2017 CVD Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain: Some Considerations 5/24/2017 CVD Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain: Some Considerations Linking the development and delivery of care for cardiovascular (CVD) diseases: Designing medical device supply chains for the unserved and underserved global economies Estimating the demand for CVD care emerging from the unserved/undeserved global economies for which medical devices can be an appropriate and effective part of the treatment – assessing the true market potential. Examining strategies for product design and supply chain design (delivery infrastructure – diagnostic and treatment capability, physical infrastructure) to meet the demands of unserved/underserved global economies 5/24/2017 CVD Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain: Some Considerations Patient-Centric Design & Delivery of Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Care High E.g., Oil Rich Middle-East E.g., Urban U.S. Affordability E.g., Sub-Sahara E.g., Major Metro Cities in India Low Low Access/ Awareness High Policy Contingencies: Regulation – Reimbursement – Recall 5/24/2017 CVD Care-Centric Medical Device Supply Chain: Some Considerations Demandt = f (Affordabilityt, Accesst, Awarenesst) Drivers Typical Types Future Considerations Affordability • Out of pocket • Insurance • Reimbursement • • • • Access1 • Diagnostic • Treatment • Follow-up • Physician & allied health professional capability • Logistical infrastructure • Physical infrastructure: Quality and capacity Awareness • Patient • Physician • Patient: Cultural and educational • Physician: Education and training 1“Given Financing and leasing Micro-lending Remanufactured devices Low cost product design/re-design either a lack of facilities and operators for percutaneous interventions or long distances to such facilities in many developing countries, we did not evaluate this procedure.” (Gaziano et al. 2005, p. 651) 5/24/2017 In closing …. “Healthcare is a peculiar beast where in spite of all the new technology, costs keep going up all the time. That is a strange paradox. We are out to buck that trend. We cannot afford to let the masses be deprived of top class tertiary care.” (Dr. Devi Prasad Shetty in “Narayan Hrudayalaya Heart Hospital: Cardiac Care for the Poor,” HBS Case April 2006) Thank you! 5/24/2017