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REMEMBERING 2O10’S SEVERE WINDSTORMS – PART 1 Xynthia Tropical Storms and Hurricanes: Atlantic Basin Tropical Storms and Hurricanes: Pacific Basin Typhoons Cyclones Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA 2010 THE YEAR OF “RECORD AND NEAR-RECORD” NATURAL DISASTERS HAZARDS OF A SEVERE WINDSTORM (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS) • WIND FIELD (COUNTER CLOCKWISE OR CLOCKWISE DIRECTION; CAT 1 (55 mph) TO CAT 5 (155 mph or greater) • STORM SURGE • HEAVY PRECIPITATION • LANDSLIDES (MUDFLOWS) • COSTAL EROSION • TORNADOES (SOMETIMES) CAUSES OF DAMAGE WIND PENETRATING BUILDING ENVELOPE UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM FLYING DEBRIS SEVERE WINDSTORMS “DISASTER LABORATORIES” STORM SURGE IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN SITING PROBLEMS FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES Rain, floods, landslides, and water-borne diseases are typical after a tropical storm, hurricane, typhoon, or cyclone. RISK ASSESSMENT •HAZARD MAPS •INVENTORY •VULNERABILITY •LOCATION ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK SEVERE WINDSTORM RISK REDUCTION DATA BASES AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY POLICY OPTIONS HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS •PREVENTION/MITIGATION •PREPAREDNESS •EMERGENCY RESPONSE •RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION IMPACTED NATIONS Western Europe (France, Portugal, Spain), Caribbean (Haiti, Dominican Republic, Bermuda, Jamaica, Antigua, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, St. Martin, Saint Lucia, Atlantic Canada, … IMPACTED NATIONS (Continued) St Barthelemy, Saba, and St Eustatius, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands), Central America (Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras), Cuba, … IMPACTED NATIONS (Continued) Mexico, USA (Texas, East Coast), The Philippines, Taiwan, China, … SOCIETAL IMPACTS DURING 2010 • High winds, storm surges, heavy rains, landslides affected millions. • Hundreds of thousands of homes without power, damaged, destroyed, or inundated. • Hundreds of thousands evacuated. • Lives and livelihoods of millions impacted. • Gulf oil leak and Clean up slowed SOCIETAL IMPACTS DURING 2010 (Continued) • Infrastructure damaged and destroyed. • Oil and gas platforms impacted. • $ billions in insured and uninsured economic losses. WINDSTORM XYNTHIA FEBRUARY 26-28, 2010 WHAT WAS XYNTHIA? Xynthia, a violent European windstorm with winds up to 140km/hr, crossed Western Europe on 26–28 February 2010, and was the most violent storm since “Lothar” and “Martin” in December 1999 A powerful storm surge with waves up to 7.5 m (25 ft) high hit at high tide and smashed through a 200year-old sea wall off France’s coastal town of L’Aiquillon-Sur-Mer XYNTHIA: FLOODING IN FRANCE Xynthia: 1) caused flooding, 2) cut power to more than 1 million homes in France and Portugal, respectively, 3) disrupted travel in Spain, 4) tore roofs off houses, 5) downed trees, 6) caused at least 51 deaths, and 7) caused losses estimated at $1.8 B ($1.4 insured). The 2010 season was predicted to be less severe than 2009 in the Pacific Basin and more severe in the Atlantic Basin because of the diminished El Nino conditions The Eastern Pacific is, on average, the second-most active basin in the world with an average of 16 tropical storms annually, with 9 becoming hurricanes, and 4 becoming major hurricanes, frequently impacting mainland Mexico and the Revillagigedo Islands, and infrequently the USA. PACIFIC BASIN TROPICAL STORMS – HURRICANES: 2010 • • • • • • • AGATHA BLAS CELIA (H) DARBY (H) ESTELLE FRANK (H) … AGATHA’S PATH BLAS’ PATH: JUNE 21 • • • • • AGATHA BLAS CELIA DARBY FRANK CELIA’S PATH: JUNE 29 • • • • • AGATHA BLAS CELIA DARBY FRANK DARBY’S PATH:JUNE 29 • • • • • AGATHA BLAS CELIA DARBY FRANK FRANK’S PATH: AUGUST 29 • • • • • AGATHA BLAS CELIA DARBY FRANK TROPICAL STORM AGATHA STRIKES GUATEMALA SHORTLY AFTER PACAVA ERUPTS FIRST STORM OF PACIFIC SEASON FOLLOWS VOLCANIC ERUPTION MAY 27-29, 2010 Tropical Storm Agatha was a weak, but catastrophic storm that made landfall near the Guatemala-Mexico border on the evening of May 29. Before the arrival of Tropical Storm Agatha, the Pacava volcano, located 25 km south of Guatemala City, started spewing lava and ash on Friday, May 28th, forcing the evacuation of hundreds. PACAVA ERUPTS: MAY 28 Agatha produced torrential rain all across Central America, which resulted in the death of one person in Nicaragua. 152 in Guatemala (with another 100 missing because of landslides), and 13 in El Salvador. TORRENTIAL RAINS SINKHOLE: GUATEMALA CITY 66 FT WIDE AND 100 FT DEEP SINKHOLE SINKHOLE SINKHOLE SINKHOLE Sam Bonis, a geologist from Dartmouth, said that Guatemala City is sitting on a bed of old volcanic ash that has not completely lithified (turned into solid rock), and that he believed that the sinkhole was caused by leaking pipes underground. Remnants of the storm were expected to deliver 10 to 20 in (25 to 50 cm) of rain over southeastern Mexico, Guatemala and parts of El Salvador, creating the possibility of "life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.” TYPHOON CHANTHU (Category 1) July 17-23, 2010 TYPHOON CHANTHU: A CAT 1 STORM SUPER TYPHOON MEGI (MEANS “CATFISH” IN KOREAN) STRIKES THE PHILIPPINES THEN TAIWAN AND CHINA OCT 18-25, 2010 Megi, known locally as Juan, was a category 5 super typhoon, the highest rating, with winds of more than 250 kph and a diameter of over 600 km when it made landfall at Sierra Madre’s Estagno Point in Isabela at 11:25 a.m. on Monday. MEGI: 600 KM ACROSS (NASA PHOTO) MEGI’S FINAL PATH (AS OF OCT 24TH) THE PHILIPPINES October 18th Megi tore roofs off houses, destroyed rice crops, toppled trees, ripped down power lines, triggered landslides in the mountains and whipped up huge waves. . MEGI’S WIND FIELD LEFT A PATH OF DESTRUCTION HOUSES OF THE POOREST OF THE POOR DESTROYED MEGI’S WIND TEARING OFF ROOFS OF GOVERNMENT HOUSES HOUSES SUBMERGED MEGI’S WIND KNOCKED OUT POWER Initial estimates indicate that Megi’s damage to infrastructure, agriculture, fisheries and schools in the Philippines reached 1.4 billion Philippine pesos ($32 million). Loss of communications made it impossible at first to estimate casualties, but data later indicated that loss of life was only about twenty-two people. TAIWAN October 21 TAIWAN: WAVES GENERATED BY TYPHOON MEGI TAIWAN: FLOODING GENERATED BY TYPHOON MEGI LANDSLIDE - SUHUA HIGHWAY, TAIWAN: OCT 21 CHINA October 23 While Taiwan was experiencing high winds, severe flooding and landslides on the 21st , China was evacuated 160,000 people and called in fishing boats before the expected onslaught of Megi on Friday (Oct 22nd). 10,000 BOATS RECALLED IN FUJIAN PROVINCE: OCT 21 As a result of preparations in Fujian, Guangdong and Zhejiang provinces, no major casualties were reported after landfall. Nevertheless, more than 647,900 people and 26,190 hectares of crops were affected by the typhoon, which flattened 500 houses, forced 313,200 people to evacuate their homes, and caused losses estimated at $238 million.