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Chapter 6: “The Economic Way of Thinking 11th Edition Supply and Demand: Issues and Applications © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko Chapter 6 Outline • Introduction • The Urge to Fix Prices • Competition When Prices Are Fixed • Appropriate and Inappropriate Signals • Looking for an Apartment in the City? Read the Obituary • Strong Booze, Stronger Drugs: Criminal Incentives © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 2 of 46 Chapter 6 Outline • Skim Milk, Whole Milk, and Gangster Milkmen • Supports and Surpluses • Supply, Demand and the Minimum Wage • Who Pays the Tax? • High-Priced Sports, Low-Priced Poetry: Who’s to Blame? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 3 of 46 Chapter 6 Outline • Do Costs Determine Prices? • The Dropouts Release Their First CD • “There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills!” So What? • Even Butchers Don’t Have the Guts • Why Does it Cost so Much to Change Bedpans? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 4 of 46 Chapter 6 Outline • More Please, Since It’s Free • Costs and Ownership • Appendix: Framing Economic Questions Correctly – Beware of Wrong Questions or Misleading Specifications of the Problem © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 5 of 46 Chapter 6 Outline • Appendix: Framing Economic Questions Correctly (continued) – Beware of Data that Appear to Speak for Themselves – Beware of Academic Scribblers and Would-Be Economists – The Graphic Case of Growing and Permanent Shortages © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 6 of 46 Introduction • The economic way of thinking is at work regardless of economists’ actions. – Economists have simply uncovered the principles with respect to people’s choices, and the consequences of their choices. – Economists help us understand how individuals are able to coordinate their production, consumption, and exchange decisions through cooperative and competitive activities in the marketplace. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 7 of 46 Introduction The forces of Supply and Demand clarify markets, not economists. Economists debunk popular myths, and misconceptions, about market processes. In this chapter we consider other examples of misconceptions about the market system. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 8 of 46 The Urge to Fix Prices! • In 2004 the price of gasoline in the USA was, at certain times, $2.00 per gallon. • What if a price control had been legislated at $1.00 per gallon? • Quantity demanded would have risen; and inventories would have been depleted. • Also, suppliers would have decreased output. • A shortage (quantity demanded minus quantity supplied) would have occurred. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 9 of 46 Competition When Prices Are Fixed • In a free market, price would tend to rise during a shortage. • When there is a ceiling price (fixed price) and a persistent shortage, the non-monetary costs of purchasing will increase. • In the example of gasoline, these costs might include: longer lines; waiting times; special fees; special arrangements; bribes; etc. • Competition among buyers would bid up the cost of purchasing. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 10 of 46 Appropriate and Inappropriate Signals • If the law prevents suppliers from raising prices, they will try to identify alternatives to create an advantage or remedy. • Gasoline outlets would reduce costs by reducing hours of operation. • Shorter hours would increase the non-monetary costs to buyers. • Changing money prices are signals and will help secure cooperation in the economy. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 11 of 46 Appropriate and Inappropriate Signals • If the price cannot change… inappropriate signals occur. • Thus, suppliers and demanders have no incentives to attempt to identify ways to accommodate. • Changing money prices do provide such incentives. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 12 of 46 Looking for an Apartment in the City? Read the Obituary • There has been a persistent shortage of apartments in NYC for decades due to rent controls. • Results include: – Tenants will want to keep their units – Landlords will not wish to make repairs – Property owners will want to convert buildings to parking or condos – Costly NYC administration © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 13 of 46 Looking for an Apartment in the City? Read the Obituary Monthly Rent Supply $600 De $500 D Rent Controls $400 $300 Shortage D $200 $100 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 Quantity of Apartment Units © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 14 of 46 Looking for an Apartment in the City? Read the Obituary Monthly Rent Supply $600 De $500 D Rent Controls $400 $300 The Below Equilibrium price causes the shortage ! $200 $100 100 200 Shortage D 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 Quantity of Apartment Units © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 15 of 46 Strong Booze, Stronger Drugs: Criminal Incentives • Question – Why didn’t the prohibition of the 1920’s abolish the supply and demand process for alcohol? • Answer – People coordinated their activities through underground market processes. – Prohibition affected the elasticity of supply for alcoholic drinks. – Supply became much more inelastic while demand remained stable, causing prices to surge. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 16 of 46 Strong Booze, Stronger Drugs: Criminal Incentives • People pursue comparative advantage. • Underground production and distribution provides criminals with a comparative advantage. • The prohibition can be compared to the war on drugs. • Current laws do not demolish the demand and supply of illicit drugs. • Like other forms of prohibition these laws have an unintended consequence. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 17 of 46 Skim Milk, Whole Milk and Gangster Milkmen • Question – What if the production, distribution and consumption of milk were prohibited? • Answer – – – – These activities would be driven underground. Supply would become inelastic. Prices would rise. Criminals would become milkmen. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 18 of 46 Supports and Surpluses • We now know that an effective price ceiling tends to generate an unintended shortage. • A legally mandated minimum price – or a price floor – is established to improve prospects for suppliers. • Will a price floor generate a surplus? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 19 of 46 Supply, Demand and the Minimum Wage • Minimum Wage is another example of a price floor. • To be effective, it must be set above the market clearing wage rate. • A surplus of labor will occur: – Quantity demanded will decrease – Quantity supplied would increase – Unemployment will increase for unskilled workers © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 20 of 46 Supply, Demand and the Minimum Wage • Consider the following: – The effect of a 25% increase in the minimum wage on fast food operators – The argument that minimum wage will not adequately support a family – The effect of a large increase in the minimum wage on skilled and unskilled workers – Political debates over minimum wage © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 21 of 46 Who Pays the Tax? • Question – What effect would a larger tax have on cigarettes? • Cigarettes – Currently demand is inelastic. – Higher prices bring about greater responses. – Further tax increases may reduce tax revenue. • Goals of deterring smoking and raising tax revenue are not completely compatible © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 22 of 46 Who Pays the Tax? Sposttax .32 Price per Pound .28 Spretax .24 The imposition of a nickel tax raises the price from 20 to 24 cents-buyer pays 4 cents/seller pays 1 cent. .20 .16 .12 .08 D .04 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Quantity of Soybean Oil per Time Period (billions of pounds) © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 23 of 46 Who Pays the Tax? • Any tax reduces buyers’ and sellers’ ability to engage in that activity, and to enjoy the mutual benefits of further opportunities for exchange. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 24 of 46 Higher Priced Sports, Low Prices Poetry: Who’s to Blame? Because the fans are willing to pay to see us ! © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Why are our salaries so high? The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 25 of 46 Higher Priced Sports, Low Prices Poetry: Who’s to Blame? Unfortunatel y the demand for poetry reading is low. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Why aren’t poets paid as much as professional athletes? The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 26 of 46 Do Costs Determine Prices? • Sellers like for the public to believe that price increases arise from rising costs. • No sellers in history have announced that increases in demand caused the price hike. • Costs depend not only on supply, but on demand, too. • The price of a commodity depends on its supply and demand curves. • The position of the supply curve depends on its cost of production. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 27 of 46 The Dropouts Release Their First CD • The Band tried to sell the CD at $22 each in a market of $15 CD’s. • $22 came from recording and packaging costs for the 1,000 CD’s first produced. • One musician wanted to include the costs of instruments (sunk costs). © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 28 of 46 The Dropouts Release Their First CD Remember! Sunk costs are history. They are irrelevant to current economic decisions. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 29 of 46 The Dropouts Release Their First CD • 12 CD’s were sold. • The Band tried to use production cost to determine price. • They ignored demand and the fact that demanders were part of a CD market with a clearing price of $15. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 30 of 46 There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills: So What? Current market price makes it too costly to open the mine. Let’s wait for demand to increase. Go for the Gold!!!! © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 31 of 46 Even Butchers Don’t Have The Guts • When the demand for beef increases the butcher’s sales increase. • The demand for final beef products is elastic. • The supply of new cattle, however, is inelastic. • Customer’s increased demand for the final product causes the price to increase. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 32 of 46 Why Does it Cost so Much to Change Bedpans? • Question – Why are hospital costs forever on the increase? • Insurance – Lowers cost of physicians’ services – Increases amount purchased – Increases the cost of medical services © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 33 of 46 Why Does it Cost so Much to Change Bedpans? • Question – What will patients do if their payments are the same regardless of whether they receive in- or outpatient care? • Care is usually better inside the hospital than outside it. • Physicians can more easily monitor a patient’s progress inside the hospital than outside. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 34 of 46 Why Does it Cost so Much to Change Bedpans? • Employers – Have been pressuring insurers to control costs • Insurers – Have been pressuring doctors – Pay hospitals fixed amounts • Hospitals economize • Demand affects costs. Rationing medical care services is unavoidable since at a zero out of pocket cost, quantity demanded will far exceed quantity supplied. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 35 of 46 Why Does it Cost so Much to Change Bedpans? P D w/out insurance S D with insurance Q © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 36 of 46 More Please, Since It’s Free • Congested highways are another kind of shortage. • Shortages occur when prices are low. • Public transit systems do not seem to be effective at reducing congestion. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 37 of 46 More Please Since It’s Free • Private auto drivers don’t pay the full cost of driving. – Motorists generate a lot of spillover cost by driving. • As long as we give away scarce urban street space for nothing we will have congested highways. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 38 of 46 More Please Since It’s Free • Solution to traffic congestion – Charge users of public transit a price high enough to pay for improvements. • Question – What would happen? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 39 of 46 Costs and Ownership • Property Rights matter. • Question – Why will personnel tend to be used in wasteful ways in the military more than in civilian life? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 40 of 46 Costs and Ownership • Answer – Civilians are paid their opportunity cost. – Efficient use occurs more often when resources (both human and inhuman) are owned by someone. – Resources tend to be employed less efficiently when the users do not themselves have to pay the full opportunity cost. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 41 of 46 Costs and Ownership • How does the allocation of resources occur when they are owned by the government? – With public resource ownership, planners impose their own evaluations on the alternatives. • With private resource ownership, competing bids and offers generate prices that approximate opportunity costs. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 42 of 46 Appendix: Framing Economic Questions Correctly • Beware of Wrong Questions or Misleading Specifications of the Problem • Beware of Data that Appear to Speak for Themselves • Beware of Academic Scribblers and Would-Be Economists • The Graphic Case of Growing and Permanent Shortages © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 43 of 46 Once Over Lightly • Price controls create unintended consequences. • Prohibition on alcohol and drugs drives the market process underground, and provides criminals with comparative advantage. • A taxed activity tends to reduce further opportunities for people to participate in that activity. • Price is determined both by supply and demand, not cost. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 44 of 46 Once Over Lightly • Supply, demand and the market process sets prices that reflect the relative scarcities of goods, and indicate how they can be used most economically. • When resources are not privately owned the rules of the game governing their use are unclear. • Economic terms and concepts are often used in misleading ways. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 45 of 46 End of Chapter 6 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 46 of 46