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Emission trends in the EU: key drivers and policies COP 18 side event Tuesday 27th November 2012 10:30 – 12:30, Room 2 (Lefkosia) Andreas Barkman Head of Group ‘Climate mitigation, energy and air pollution’ European Environment Agency 1 This presentation • Overview of EU GHG trends for key sectors 1990-2008 • Description of emission trends for some sectors using drivers and links to polices • Recent trends: 2008-2010/11 2 Total EU GHG emissions peaked in late 1970s and in 2011 emissions were lowest on record 2 Total EU GHG emissions had decreased by 11% before the economic crisis (1990–2008) 3 Electricity and heat production: structural changes as well as EU policies reduced emissions •Reduction of 9% 1990-2008 •Reductions mainly from Germany, Poland and UK •Structural changes affected drivers in 1990s and then increasingly EU/national policies. •EU policies on affecting drivers of emissions •Large combustion plants (1988+) •Combined heat and power (2004+) •Renewable energy (2001+) •The EU ETS (2003+) 10 Households: Emissions decreased due to fuel shifts and energy efficiency •Reduction of 11% 1990-2008 •Reductions mainly from Germany, Czech Republic and Hungary •Fuel switch, more electricity use, energy efficiency •EU policies affecting drivers of emissions •Boiler efficiency (1992+) •Energy Performance of Buildings (2002+) •Ecodesign (2005+) •Energy services (2006+) 10 Transport: 24% increase of emissions due to demand outpacing fuel efficiency Road passenger transport 5 Very large differences exists between EU Member States regarding transport emissions. Few Member States saw increased emissions 2008-2010 2 EU’s emission trend 2008-2010: Recession, Rebound and Renewables EU emission decreased with 2.5% while GDP increased 1.5% between 2010-2011 •Largest reduction in Non EU ETS sectors (-3%) • Mainly driven by households Take aways… • • • • • EU GHG emissions have decreased relatively continuously since its peak in late 1970s and is now on its lowest level ever. Structural macro-economic drivers were key for EU emission reductions during the 1990s. EU and national polices has targeted and contributed to the observed emission reductions in late 1990s and early 2000s. Recession 2008-2009 was not the only cause for emission reductions: renewables also contributed. EU wide policies for reducing emissions have been systematically expanded and strengthened from early 2000s onwards to anticipate and ensure delivery of mitigation commitments (Kyoto Protocol, 2020). Thank you for your attention eea.europa.eu 14