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E ○ MOZART: A Seismological Investigation of the East African Rift in Central Mozambique by J. F. B. D. Fonseca, J. Chamussa, A. Domingues, G. Helffrich, E. Antunes, G. van Aswegen, L. V. Pinto, S. Custódio, and V. J. Manhiça Online Material: Table of station coordinates; preliminary seismicity catalog. INTRODUCTION From Afar to the Malawi–Mozambique border, the East African Rift System (EARS; Fig. 1) is well described on the basis of geological and geophysical evidence (Ebinger et al., 1987; Ring et al., 1992; Simiyu and Keller, 1997; Chorowicz, 2005; Roberts et al., 2012), seismicity (Nyblade and Langston, 1995; Yang and Chen, 2008, 2010; Kim et al., 2009; Delvaux and Barth, 2010), and Global Positioning System (GPS) data (Fernandes et al., 2004, 2013; Calais et al., 2006; Stamps et al., 2008; Saria et al., 2013). However, its extent south of the Malawi rift is unclear. Various trajectories have been proposed: a split near Lake Tanganyika continuing southwest through the Okavango delta in Botswana (Scholz et al., 1975); offshore through the Mozambique Channel (Mougenot et al., 1986); through the Urema Rift in Central Mozambique (Ebinger et al., 1987; Hartnady, 1990; Steinbruch, 2010); distributed between the Okavango rift and the offshore Davie Ridge (Grimison and Chen, 1988). The M w 7 Machaze earthquake (Fenton and Bommer, 2006; Yang and Chen, 2008; Raucoules et al., 2010; Copley et al., 2012) highlighted the importance of the Central Mozambique sector of the EARS. Project MOZAmbique Rift Tomography (MOZART) set out to investigate the seismicity and the crustal structure of central Mozambique with four main goals: 1. to delineate the active structures of the EARS in this region; 2. to characterize the imprint left in the crust and upper mantle by the tectonic history of the study area; 3. to identify any crustal and upper mantle signature of continental rifting at an incipient stage, thus shedding light on the still obscure processes of rift initiation; 4. to understand the role of inherited structures in the development of continental rifting. This report describes the MOZART seismic network operated in the study area, characterizes the quality of the data through power spectral analysis of the ambient noise, and presents seismicity results derived from a preliminary analysis 108 Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 of the dataset. We focus the discussion on the delineation of the active structures and the factors controlling their location, and discuss also the implications of the new data for seismichazard assessment. TECTONIC SETTING Proterozoic Inheritance The study area has a complex tectonic inheritance (Fig. 2). It is flanked on the west by two blocks of early Archaean crust (i.e., the Kaapvaal craton to the southwest and the Zimbabwe craton to the northwest) which were brought together ∼2:6 Ga ago along the Limpopo collision belt (Mason, 1973). In the northeast, the structures of the Lurio belt belong to the Mesoproterozoic Kibaran Orogeny (∼1:4 Ga), with a strong imprint of the Pan-African Orogeny, 800–500 Ma ago (Grantham et al., 2003). The Zimbabwe craton is bounded in the north by the east–west Zambezi belt and in the east by the north–south Mozambique belt, parts of the Pan-African Orogen (Grantham et al., 2003). These two belts, formed during the assembly of Gondwana, join in the northernmost sector of our study area. Mesozoic Rifting Karoo basalts, erupted at the early stages of Mesozoic rifting, were drilled at depths of 3100–3300 m (Flores, 1973) at different sites on the Mozambique coastal plains (MCP, see Fig. 2 for locations). According to Frankel (1972), these basalts were probably extruded through parallel sets of faults east of the Lebombo monocline. Thick Upper Cretaceous and Tertiary sediment layers overlie this basaltic basement (Fig. 2 shows the extent of the sediment cover). The nature of the crust in the MCP is debated, hinging on the location of the ocean-continent boundary. Cox (1970) thought the western limit of the MCP, the Lebombo monocline, to be “a line of complete crustal disruption,” and Watts (2001) expected the MCP to be underlain by thinned continental, oceanic, or mixed-type crust. Watkeys (2002) considered the MCP a pull-apart basin floored by continental crust, formed during the stage of dextral strike slip between east and west Gondwana. Figure 3 shows the freeair gravity anomaly of the region (Sandwell and Smith, 2009; Pavlis et al., 2012). The strong positive anomaly associated January/February 2014 doi: 10.1785/0220130082 ▴ Figure 1. Project MOZAmbique Rift Tomography (MOZART) study area (white rectangle) in relation to the main surface features of the East African Rift System (EARS; dark gray; after Chorowicz, 2005 and Kinabo et al., 2007). with the Lebombo and Nuanetsi–Sabi monoclines was interpreted by Leinweber and Jokat (2011) as a possible indicator of the transition between continental and oceanic crust. Tertiary Deformation According to Flores (1973), Central Mozambique deformed along two fault systems since the Cretaceous: the Zambezi Tectonic System (ZTS) and the Inhaminga Tectonic System (ITS). The former consists mainly of the northwest–southeast border faults of the Lower Zambezi graben (Fig. 4), well exposed in the northeast of the study area; the latter comprises, from north to south, the north–south Shire graben and the north-northeast– south-southwest Urema graben (Fig. 4). Hartnady (2006) proposed an additional seismically active structure further south, the Mazenga graben. In the north, the structures of the Shire graben connect with the Malawi rift (Ebinger et al., 1987). The crosscutting relationships divide the Tertiary deformation into two epochs, the ZTS being older than the ITS. The M w 7 Machaze 2006 earthquake appears to be associated with the southern sector of the younger set. In the field, the clearest expression of these tectonic systems is the Inhaminga fault (Fig. 4), striking at ∼30° and bordering the Urema rift on the southeast, with an estimated throw of 700 m (Flores, 1973). ▴ Figure 2. Tectonic provinces of the study area. The dotted line is the limit of the sediment cover. See text for details. Regional Seismicity and Microplate Tectonics Figure 5 shows the seismicity and published focal mechanisms in the study area and its vicinity. The seismicity traces a northnortheast–south-southwest trend across central Mozambique between latitudes 18° S and 21° S. There is a cluster of activity at the epicentral area of the 2006 earthquake (black star in Fig. 5; no aftershocks were included for clarity). In view of the regional scarcity of permanent seismographic stations (Fig. 6), large location errors can be expected in general, impeding clear association of the seismicity with active structures. In particular, the M s 6.2 earthquake of southwest Mozambique in 1940, included in the compilation of Gutenberg and Richter (1949), should be regarded with caution because Trepa (1970b) reported that the Mozambican press did not contain any echo of such event. Stamps et al. (2008) used sparse Global Positioning System (GPS) and earthquake slip data to model the relative motion between the Nubia and Somalia plates, and proposed the clockwise rotation of the Rovuma microplate, christened by Hartnady (2002). According to this model, rifting in central Mozambique between the diverging Nubia plate and Rovuma Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 January/February 2014 109 ▴ Figure 4. Tertiary tectonic structures of central Mozambique, after Flores (1973) and Hartnady (2006). ▴ Figure 3. Free-air gravity anomaly of the study area (Sandwell and Smith, 2009; Pavlis et al., 2012). The map shows the strong signature of the transition from the Kaapvaal (southwest) and Zimbabwe cratons (northwest) to the Mozambique coastal plains (southeast). microplate progresses at rates between 3.8 in the north and 1:5 mm=year in the south. More recently, Saria et al.’s (2013) new model revised the position of the pole of rotation, predicting spreading rates of ∼4 mm=year in south Tanzania and, possibly, convergence in south Mozambique. The focal mechanism of the M w 7 Machaze earthquake of 2006 (Yang and Chen, 2008) is a strong indication that crustal extension is underway in that region (Delvaux and Barth, 2010). THE MOZART PROJECT Political instability in Mozambique prevented adequate seismic monitoring until recently. In 2011, project MOZART deployed 30 temporary broadband seismographic stations in central and southern Mozambique and across the South African border 110 Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 (Fig. 6). Typical interstation distances are ∼100 km. The equipment was provided by the SEIS-UK Equipment Pool, and consists of CMG-3T (120s) seismometers and Nanometrics Taurus or Güralp CMG-DCM dataloggers. The deployment started in March 2011 and ended in August 2013. Figure 7 depicts the probabilistic power spectral density of the ambient noise (McNamara and Buland, 2004) recorded at MOZART stations. Noise levels are low, well below the highnoise model of Peterson (1993). Sites showing lower noise levels in the northwest (squares) and in the southwest (triangles) are on the Zimbabwe and Kaapvaal cratons, respectively. The highest noise sites (circles) are on the sedimentary cover of the MCP (Fig. 2). ANALYSIS OF THE LOCAL SEISMICITY Seismicity detected by the network averages one or two small earthquakes daily. We estimated preliminary locations with a velocity model derived from James et al. (2003), using the program HYPOCENTER (Lienert and Havskov, 1995) as distributed in the software package SEISAN 9.1 (Ottemoller et al., 2011). Once the full dataset is recovered, we anticipate better locations with an improved local velocity model. Figure 8a shows the epicenters of 307 earthquakes with M L magnitudes ranging from 0.9 to 3.9, recorded between April 2011 and July 2012. We adopted the South African M L magnitude calibration of Saunders et al. (2013), adjusting the coefficients to minimize the residuals in order to account for attenuation differences. We retained all the events with January/February 2014 ▴ Figure 5. (a) Seismicity of Mozambique and surrounding regions, 1912–2006. Machaze 2006 earthquake (star) included; aftershocks excluded for clarity. Source: International Seismological Centre. (b) Zoom in of the study region highlighting the higher-magnitude historical earthquakes and available focal mechanisms (Global CMT catalog; Ekström et al., 2012). horizontal errors below 10 km. This large allowance reflects the unsuitability of a single uniform preliminary velocity model, clearly inadequate for this tectonic setting. Figure 8b and c shows a map view of a subset of events with depth uncertainty lower than 5 km, and the projection of the hypocenters on a vertical section along the strike of the Inhaminga fault, respectively. A selection of four earthquakes with M L > 2:4 in the Urema graben yields a joint focal mechanism solution that indicates pure normal faulting on a plane striking N31°E (Fig. 8a), in good agreement with the location and orientation of the Inhaminga fault. DISCUSSION The northeast sector of the observed seismicity pattern correlates well with the topography, tracing the Urema rift valley (Fig. 8a). The linearity of the seismicity distribution supports its association with the Inhaminga fault. The linear northnortheast–south-southwest seismicity pattern extends ∼300 km, reaching the epicentral area of the Machaze earthquake, and sug- gests that the Inhaminga fault continues to the southwest across the Lower Zambezi graben. Focal depths range from the surface to 30 km (Fig. 8c) indicating a brittle lower crust, possibly due to Karroo mafic intrusions (Manninen et al., 2008). Yang and Chen (2010) located a Machaze earthquake aftershock at 27 4 km depth and reported that similar lower crustal depths are common for earthquakes in amagmatic sectors of the EARS. The concentration of shallow seismicity near the center of the section may result from the intersection of the Inhaminga and Zambezi tectonic systems, leading to a locally weaker upper crust. A cluster of seismicity in the northeastern end, ranging in depth from 10 to 30 km, corresponds to the location where the Inhaminga fault connects with the northwest–southeast Zambezi fault (Chorowicz, 2005). The joint focal mechanism obtained in the Urema graben (Fig. 8a) is consistent with west-northwest–east-southeast extension, at right angles to the strike of the Inhaminga fault. This deviates significantly from the east-northeast–westsouthwest extension revealed by the focal mechanism of the Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 January/February 2014 111 ▴ Figure 6. Location of the MOZART stations (white triangles), and other deployments in the region. Crossed circles are permanent broadband stations, open circles are Africa Array stations (Nyblade et al., 2011), and black dots show previous temporary networks. The white squares show the ongoing SAFARI temporary deployment (Gao et al., 2013). M w 7 Machaze earthquake and its aftershocks (Yang and Chen, 2008, 2010; Delvaux and Barth, 2010), 300 km further south. The latter strike is in better agreement with the orientation of the Mazenga graben (Fig. 4), proposed as an active structure by Hartnady (2006). Such change in orientation of the active structures is also noticeable in the seismotectonic map of Trepa (1970a) that was based on the seismicity for the period 1905–1967. By changing from the trend of the Urema graben (subparallel to the Nuanetsi–Sabi monocline) to the trend of the Mazenga graben (subparallel to the Lebombo monocline) the southward-propagating rift could avoid the stronger crust of the Kaapvaal craton. In the north of the study area, the eastward shift from the Malawi rift to the Shire and Urema grabens through the Zambezi fault may also reflect the avoidance of the protrusion of the Zimbabwe craton into Mozambique (Fig. 2). Gwavava et al. (1996) from gravity data estimated an effective elastic thickness of 56 km for the Kaapvaal craton, and from 21 to 39 km for the Mesozoic basin east of the Lebombo monocline. Petit and Ebinger (2000) pointed out that rifting tends to follow cratonic margins, where strong rheological contrasts concentrate stress. The 300 km long north-northeast– south-southwest active segment presented in this paper runs 112 Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 along the border of the Zimbabwe craton, in agreement with that observation. Why it should be truncated near the Machaze epicentral area is not clear, because the transition to the Kaapvaal craton is still 250 km away. The 1940 M s 6.2 earthquake, with epicenter ∼200 km south-southwest of the Machaze epicentral area (Fig. 3), may indicate that incipient rifting continues with the same strike until it reaches the Lebombo monocline, with only a lateral offset in the Machaze epicentral area (however, as mentioned above, we prefer to take this epicenter with caution). If a change in extension direction is confirmed, it may indicate that a complex second-order stress pattern exists in this region resulting from the juxtaposition of cratonic and extended crust at the Lebombo and Nuanetsi– Sabi monoclines and the sharp difference in the orientation of the latter structures. A satisfactory seismotectonic framework for the Machaze earthquake should also explain its dip of 76° 4°, very unusual for normal faulting (Yang and Chen, 2008). The scale of the ∼300 km long active fault segment now proposed, to be confirmed once the complete MOZART dataset is gathered, compares well with the seismotectonic map of Mozambique proposed by Hartnady (2006), and exceeds the dominant lengths of the tectonic map of Flores (1973), in which the structures of the ITS are truncated by those of the ZTS. This observation is relevant for hazard assessment, because a straight active fault segment of ∼300 km indicates that magnitudes higher than 7 (currently the historical maximum) may occur in the region, albeit with long return periods in view of the low-strain rates predicted by plate tectonic models. Hartnady (2006) compared seismic moment release with the predicted strain rate, and concluded that M w 8 earthquakes should be expected with a return period of ∼2300 years. However, the predicted strain rates are strongly dependent on the uncertain location of the Rovuma–Nubia pole of rotation and on the assumed breadth of the deforming zones. Paleoseismological investigations are therefore required to assess maximum magnitudes and return periods before significant advances can be made regarding seismic-hazard assessment. Near the north-northeast end of the seismicity trend, at which the Inhaminga and the Zambezi faults connect, a swarm was recorded in July 2011 (25 earthquakes with 0:9 < M L < 3:8 in 12 days). Trepa (1970b) reported also a concentration of seismicity at the same location. Like the Machaze epicentral area, this is another point of inflection of the orientation of the active structures, which can also be regarded as a candidate for stress accumulation and possibly higher seismic hazard. All the hypocentral locations presented in this preliminary report are conditional on the crustal velocity model. It presently pertains to the Kaapvaal craton (James et al., 2003) and is inappropriate to the MCP. However, the key observation of a linear trend of seismicity connecting the Zambezi fault in the north to the Machaze epicentral area in the south is unlikely to be affected in a significant way. Maximum earthquake depths may change with incorporation of the likely lower MCP velocities into the model. January/February 2014 ▴ Figure 7. (a) Nearest-neighbor plot of probabilistic power spectral density (PPSD) of the background noise recorded at the MOZART stations (vertical component) averaged over the period range 4–6 s (double-frequency microseisms). (b) Median PPSD (vertical component). Squares, stations located on the Zimbabwe craton; triangles, stations located on the Kaapvaal craton; circles, stations located on the MCP. The gray lines are the new high-noise model (NHNM) and the new low noise model (NLNM) of Peterson (1993). CONCLUSIONS Preliminary epicentral locations of microearthquakes in Central Mozambique delineate a straight north-northeast–southsouthwest linear pattern extending ∼300 km, to connect the Zambezi fault in the north to the epicentral region of the M w 7 Machaze earthquake of February 2006. Preliminary earthquake depths extend to ∼30 km, revealing the presence of an active fault potentially of crustal scale. The fault probably corresponds to the Inhaminga fault of Flores (1973), which appears to continue toward the south-southeast after the Urema graben cuts the older Lower Zambezi graben. A joint first-motion focal mechanism for four earthquakes in the Urema rift shows normal faulting with strike N31°E, in good agreement with the Inhaminga fault’s orientation. These new results clarify the southward continuation of the EARS, and contribute to a preliminary fault source model for seismic-hazard assessment in Central Mozambique. It is expected that the full MOZART dataset will allow a better identification of the factors controlling the southward propagation of the rift, the delineation of the second-order stress field in Central Mozambique, and the test of alternative models to explain those results. DATA AND RESOURCES Under the loan conditions for the equipment (Brisbourne, 2012), the full MOZART dataset will be freely available through the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center (IRIS-DMC) and the Observatories and Research Facilities for European Seismology (ORFEUS) Data Centre after an embargo period. Ⓔ Station coordinates and preliminary hypocentral locations are available as an electronic supplement to this paper. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Project MOZAmbique Rift Tomography (MOZART) was funded by the Portuguese research foundation FCT, Lisbon, under contract PTDC/CTE-GIX/103249/2008. The equipment was loaned from Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)’s SEIS-UK Equipment Pool, United Kingdom (UK). The authors acknowledge great logistic support from Alex Brisbourne, Victoria Lane, and David Hawthorn (SEIS-UK). Logistic support from the Council of Geosciences (Michelle Grobbelaar) for the South African sites is also appreciated. The following staff of the Provincial Geology Directorates were key to the success of the deployment: Ussene Elias (Sofala), António Riama and Célio Anil (Manica), Carlos Cumbane and Ângelo Mutolo (Inhambane), and Bernardo Cossa and Francisco Palalane (Gaza). Thanks to Hélder Ferreira, João Narciso, and Patrícia Pinheiro, from Instituto Superior Tecnico (IST), for their contributions to the MOZART project. Cynthia Ebinger and an anonymous reviewer helped us to improve the manuscript. The following software were used to produce this report: SEISAN (Ottemoller et al., 2011), ObsPy Seismological Research Letters Volume 85, Number 1 January/February 2014 113 ▴ Figure 8. Preliminary locations of the earthquakes recorded during the first half of the MOZART deployment (April 2011 to July 2012). (a) The map view of all the epicenters with horizontal uncertainty below 10 km (307 events). 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