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A weekly service for a more accurate understanding of the Korean economy Korean Economic Trends January 5, 2002 Volume 6 No. 1 Containing: Focus of The Week: Industrial activities displayed an overall upward trend in November, signalling the economy has bottomed out The profitability of domestic manufacturing companies worsened overall during the first nine months of 2001, compared with 2000 Issue Report: The ten major “hit” products of 2001 in Korea and their implications Statistics Samsung Economic Research Institute (SERI) Seoul, Korea DISCLAIMER: WHILE WE HAVE MADE OUR BEST EFFORTS TO USE SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE AND ACCURATE, NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, IS MADE AS TO THE FAIRNESS, ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS CONTAINED IN THIS BULLETIN. IN ADDITION, ANYOPINIONS ANDPROJECTIONS INTHIS BULLETIN SHOULD BE CONSIDERED ASTHE WRITER’S OWN. NONE OF THE SAMSUNG ECONOMIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE OR ANY OTHER PERSON ACCEPTSANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVER ARISING FROM ANY USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITSCONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISINGIN CONNECTION HEREWITH. THIS BULLETIN HAS BEEN FURNISHED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED IN WHOLE ORIN PART IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY METHOD TO ANY OTHER PERSON WITHOUT THE PERMISSION FROM THE SAMSUNG ECONOMIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE. This page intentionally left blank. Contents 4 .... Focus of the Week 4 .... Industrial activities displayed an overall upward trend in November, signalling the economy has bottomed out 6 .... The profitability of domestic manufacturing companies worsened overall during the first nine months of 2001, compared with 2000 8 .... Financial Market Trends 8 .... Money & Bond Markets 9 .... Stock Market 10 .. Foreign Exchange Market 11 .. Major Events of the Week 13 .. Issue Report 13 .. The ten major “hit” products of 2001 in Korea and their implications Samsung E cono mi c Resea rch Insti tute (SERI) Pu blishe r: Woo -sock Ch oi (CE O) Ed itor -in -Ch ief: Ky eon g-wo n Kim Ma nag ing Editor : Oak Jung Rh ee Co pye ditor: Da nie l L ee Gr aphic Designer : Hee- jung Pa rk Tr anslation : Jung -ok Mo on Ch ang e of na me and /or add ress: Te l: 822 -80 3-2 445 (Jo ng- chu l Cha h) Te l: 822 -3 780 -80 18 Fa x: 822 -3 780 -80 09 Ge ner al inqu iries abo ut SERI an d/o r the Ko rea n e co nom y: Te l: 822 -3 780 -80 00 21 .. Statistics 21 .. Stock Market, Exchange Rates, and Interest Rates 22 .. KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Focus of the Week (Dec. 19 ~ Jan. 1) Industrial activities displayed an overall upward trend in November, signalling the economy has bottomed out Industria l production recorded a positive increase rate of 4.9% yoy in November According to the National Statistical Office (NSO), industrial production recorded a positive increase rate of 4.9% yoy in November, turning from the negative figure of -1.9% yoy in October. On a month-on-month basis, industrial production in November also posted a positive increase rate of 1.9%, turning up from the rate of -1.5% mom in October. The positive figures for November are mainly ascribed to the rise in domestic consumption led by special consumption tax cuts, to an increase in the production of semiconductors (a 6.4% yoy rise), and to robust growth in the domestic construction industry. Consequently, the average capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing industry as a whole rose to 73.6% in November, from 71.5% in October. Recent Trends in Industrial Production yoy increase rate of Industrial Production (% change mom) Average Capacity Utilization Rate May 01 Jun 01 Jul 01 Aug 01 Sep 01 (Unit: %) Oct Nov 01 01 2.3 -2.8 -5.7 -4.4 5.1 -1.3 4.9 (-0.1) (-2.0) (-1.3) (-4.9) (-2.9) (-1.5) (-1.9) 74.8 73.2 75.0 74.1 71.0 71.4 73.6 Source: National Statistical Office Shipment of goods increased by 7.1% yoy in N ovember 4 In the same vein, shipment of goods increased by 7.1% yoy in November, turning from the negative rate of -0.9% yoy in October. Specifically, shipment for export, which had been showing overall weak growth, increased by 8.0% yoy in November helped by gains in the export of semiconductors, telecommu- Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 nications equipment and other transportation equipments. On the other side, shipment for domestic demand exhibited a growth rate of 6.2% yoy, led by an increase in the shipment of office machinery, automobiles, and chemical goods. The solid domestic demand is also eviden ced by consumer-related indices The solid domestic demand is also evidenced by consumer-related indices, which again rose in November. Notably, wholesale/retail sales increased by 6.5% yoy, recording even higher year-on-year growth from the 4.6% yoy of October, mainly owing to strong sales of automobiles, as well as to a jump in department store sales and in the sale of household electronic appliances. Trends in Consumption and Investment (Unit: %) 01-Jul 01-Aug 01-Sep 01-Oct 01-Nov Wholesale / Retail Sales Facilities Investment 2.9 3.6 7.8 4.6 6.5 -10.4 -19.4 -6.4 -4.4 4.4 8.7 23.5 6.3 14.1 Construction Investment -8.3 Note: % change yoy Source: National Statistical Office Investmen t-related indices exhibited overall improvement too Many eco nomists argue t hat the economy has bottomed out SERI For their part, investment-related indices exhibited overall improvement too. For example, facilities investment increased by 4.4% yoy in November, turning from the negative figures of the past thirteen months. Also, although the amount of imported machinery recorded an increase rate of –14.4% yoy, its rate of decline was considerably less than the -34.1% yoy posted in August. Construction investment and new domestic construction orders received rose as well, marking 14.1% yoy and 80.4% yoy, respectively, suggesting the continued boom of the domestic construction industry. Based on these encouraging figures of November, many economists argue that the economy has bottomed out or already passed its trough. But some of them claim that, without a solid revival of export, the current recovery, apparently helped by the government’s pump-priming policy and the central bank’s easy monetary policy, will hardly be sound. 5 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 The profitability of domestic manufacturing companies worsened overall during the first nine months of 2001, compared with 2000 Domestic manufacturing companies’ profitability deteriorated The ratio of ordinary prof it to the sales revenue of domestic manufacturing companies recorded 2.0% Based on its survey of listed domestic manufacturing companies, the Bank of Korea (BOK) revealed that their profitability and growth in sales revenue deteriorated during the first nine months of 2001 from the same period of the previous year. Taking a closer look, the ratio of ordinary profit to the sales revenue of domestic manufacturing companies recorded 2.0% up to the end of September 2001, down 0.9% point from a year ago. The fall is mainly ascribed to the fact that the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue declined to 6.7%, down 2.4% point from September 2000, despite the increase in the ratio of non-operating income to sales revenue to -4.7%, up from the -6.2% at the end of September 2000. Trends in the Ratios of Ordinary Profit and Operating Profit to Sales Revenue (Unit: %) 1997 1998 1999 2000 Operating Profit / Sales 10.0 7.0 7.3 8.2 9.1 6.7 Ordinary Profit / Sales -2.6 1.6 -0.3 2.9 2.0 -0.1 Sep-00 Sep-01 Note: % change yoy Source: Bank of Korea The interest coverage ratio of domestic manufacturers also declined to record 141.6% 6 Meanwhile, the interest coverage ratio (operating profit / interest payments) of domestic manufacturers also declined to record 141.6%, down from the 162.7% of a year ago. More seriously, 36.3% of those companies posted an interest coverage ratio of less than 1, up from the 26.7% of the same period of the previous year. This means that more than one-third of domestic manu- Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 facturing companies failed to pay their interests from their operating profits during the first nine months of 2001. Their failure was due to a steep decline in their operating profits, which more than offset the drop in their interest payments due the decline in interest rates. The increa se rate of the sales revenue of these co mpanies recorded a meager 1.0% yoy The debt-to-equity ratio (debt/equity capital) o f domestic manufacturing companies dropped to record 214.9% Also showing a significant drop was the growth in the revenue of domestic manufacturers. The increase rate of the sales revenue of those companies recorded a meager 1.0% yoy as of the end of September 2001, noticeably down from the 20.2% yoy recorded from the same period of last year. Despite the deterioration in profitability and sales growth, the debt-to-equity ratio (debt/equity capital) of domestic manufacturing companies dropped to record 214.9% as of the end of September 2001, down from the 220.1% of a year ago. The improvement in capital structure is due to an increase in the equity capital of those companies through stock issuance (a -5.6% point contribution), and to a decrease in their non-interest bearing debts (a -4.7 point contribution) such as accounts payable. Trend in the Debt-to-Equity Ratio of Domestic Companies (Unit: %) Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1997 1998 1999 2000 Sep-01 368.6 299.2 199.7 220.1 214.9 Source: Bank of Korea Many eco nomists point o ut that domestic corporate restructuring still has a lon g way to Many economists point out the fact that more than one-third of domestic companies have an interest coverage ratio of less than 1 as a sign that domestic corporate sector restructuring, although claimed as better than in other emerging economies, still has a long way to go. go SERI 7 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Financial Market Trends (Dec. 19 ~ Jan. 1) Money & Bond Markets During the two-week period, interest rates fell initially due to concern over the depreciation of the Japanese yen, but later turned upwards on signs of higher inflation and a jump in stock prices toward the year’s end. Major factors behind the movement: • Fears that the weakened Japanese yen will negatively affect the recovery of the domestic economy. • Concerns that prices will be unstable at the beginning of 2002, due to a rise in international oil prices and a jump in stock prices, which strongly signals the imminent recovery of the domestic economy. Next week, interest rates will likely exhibit an upward trend, caused by anxiety over continued price hikes and widespread investor sentiment that the Japanese yen will not weaken much further. Movements of Market Interest Rates 7 % p.a. % p.a. 6 12 10 5 8 4 6 3 2 4 Nov-17 Nov-24 Dec-01 Dec-08 Dec-15 Dec-22 Dec-31 8 Call (left axis) 3-yr Gov't Bond (left axis) 3-yr Corp. Bond (AA-) 3-yr Corp. Bond (BBB-) Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Stock Market During the last two weeks, both the Korea Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the KOSDAQ Index experienced corrections at first, but later rose briskly toward the last days of the year, closing the year at 693.70 (a 7.8% rise from two weeks ago) and 72. 21 (a 4.1% rise from two weeks ago), respectively. Major factors behind the movement: • Contracted investor sentiment, due to Argentine’s declaration of a moratorium on its foreign debt and the riots within the nation. • Worries that the weakened Japanese yen will negatively affect domestic exports. • Slowdown in foreigners’ net purchasing activities, which totaled 66.0 billion won during the seven trading days of the two weeks, due to holiday vacations. • Heightened expectations for an early recovery of the domestic economy, led by improvements in major real economic indicators. • Strong buying activities by institutional investors, influenced by their high hopes for the coming “January Effect.” Next week, both stock markets are expected to continue their bullish trends, though the anticipated unstable movement of the JPY/USD exchange rate may have countervailing effects. KOSPI & KOSDAQ Index Movements 730 p p 670 75 610 70 550 65 490 Nov-15 Nov-22 Nov-29 Dec-06 Dec-13 KOSPI (left axis) SERI 80 60 Dec-20 Dec-28 KOSDAQ Index (right axis) 9 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Foreign Exchange Market During the two-week period, the KRW/USD exchange rate experienced a strong overall upward trend, recording 1,329.1 won per U.S. dollar on December 27, the highest level in eight months since April 16, 2001. Major factors behind the ascent: • Significant depreciation of the Japanese yen to 131.7 yen per U.S. dollar, owing to rising fears that the bad loan-laden Japanese banking system may collapse. The rate of 131.7 yen per U.S. dollar was the highest in approximately three years and three months since October 1998. • Worsening economic and political situation in Argentine, including its declaration of a moratorium on its foreign debt. Next week, the KRW/USD exchange rate will likely rise, albeit slightly, due to the further small-scale weakening of the Japanese yen, and to the instability in emerging markets. Movements of Foreign Exchange Rates 1,330 won yen 1,320 133 130 1,310 1,300 127 1,290 124 1,280 121 1,270 1,260 118 Nov-19 Nov-26 Dec-03 Dec-10 Dec-17 Dec-24 Dec-31 KRW/USD (left axis) 10 JPY/USD (right axis) Samsung E conomic Research Institute January 5, 2002 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS Major Events of the Week (Dec. 19 ~ Jan. 1) Wednesday, December 19 • According to the Bank of Korea (BOK), the prices of raw materials and intermediate goods, which are leading indicators of inflation, dropped by 2.9% mom in November, falling for the seventh consecutive month. Thursday, December 20 • The Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy (MOCIE) and the Korea Productivity Center (KPC) jointly announced that the labor productivity index (output divided by labor input) of the domestic manufacturing industry posted an increase rate of a mere 1.0% yoy in the third quarter of 2001, the lowest year-on-year increase rate in sixteen years since the 0% of the third quarter of 1985. Friday, December 21 • The National Statistical Office (NSO) said that the size of the domestic e-Commerce market stood at 26.645 trillion won in the second quarter of 2001, up 9.8% from the previous quarter. The most remarkable growth was shown in the B2B market, the size of which recorded 24.242 trillion won, accounting for 91% of the entire domestic e-Commerce market. Saturday, December 22 • The Korea Development Institute (KDI), a state-owned research institute, raised its GDP growth projection for 2002 to 4.1% from its previous forecast of 3.3% in October. It also forecasted that consumer prices would record an increase rate of 2.7% yoy in 2002, and that the nation’s current account surplus would reach USD 4.4 billion. Monday, December 24 • According to a survey conducted by the BOK, the business survey index (BSI) of the domestic manufacturing industry posted 90 for the first quarter of 2002, slightly up from the 89 of the previous quarter, implying that domestic companies expect business conditions to remain essentially unchanged in the first quarter of the new year. SERI 11 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Wednesday, December 26 • The Ministry of Finance and Economy (MOFE) stated that the nation spent 2.3 trillion won on financial sector restructuring in November, tallying up the total amount of public funds injected since the currency crisis to 152.9 trillion won as of the end of November. Thursday, December 27 • According to the NSO, the output of Kyunggi Province (105.85 trillion won), as measured by gross regional product, surpassed that of Seoul (96.47 trillion won) for the first time in history in 2001. In terms of per capita output, Ulsan city recorded the highest, 23.35 million won. In terms of per capita consumption expenditure, Seoul recorded 7.26 million won, still keeping the top spot in the nation. Friday, December 28 • The NSO announced that the consumer price index rose by 0. 2% mom in December. Accordingly, the index recorded an average increase rate of 4.3% yoy for all of 2001, surpassing the inflation target of 4% set by the BOK. Similarly, the increase rate of core inflation (excluding items such as agricultural and oil products) posted 4.2% yoy. Saturday, December 29 • The BOK said the nation’s current account posted a surplus of USD 700 million in November, up USD 250 million from the prior month, while the nation’s capital and financial account posted a surplus of USD 1.22 billion, up USD 1.19 billion from the previous month. Monday, December 31 • According to the BOK, the consumer survey index (CSI) for future living standards recorded 94 in the fourth quarter of 2000, up from the 85 of the third quarter, while the CSI for future business conditions rose to 94 from 71 over the same time. The central bank added that, although the figures were still below the base figure of 100, they are clear signs that consumer sentiment is improving. 12 Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Issue Report The ten major “hit” products of 2001 in Korea and their implications I. Review of the domestic consumer market in 2001 In 2001, domestic In 2001, domestic consumer sentiment became rather chilled due consumer sentiment to the foot-dragging recovery of the domestic economy and the became rather chilled terrorist attacks in the U.S. Final consumption expenditure increased a mere 2% yoy, marking 213 trillion won during the first three quarters of 2001. Furthermore, the GDP growth rate, which recorded 8% yoy in 2000, plunged to a level of less than 3% yoy in 2001. But signs of recov- But signs of recovery in domestic consumer sentiment appeared ery in d omestic toward the end of 2001, as shown by the improvement in the consumer sentiment appeared toward the end of 2001 consumer evaluation index in November, and have continued into the new year. This phenomenon is due to several factors such as the recent rally in domestic stock markets, and heightened hope for economic recovery in 2002 as a result of anticipation of an imminent successful conclusion to the U.S. attack on Afghanistan. Of course, there are still dangers to the economy, such as the sluggish disposal of major ailing companies, weakened political leadership, and resurgent instability in some emerg- SERI 13 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 ing economies, including Argentine that recently declared a moratorium on its foreign debt. Trends in the Consumer Evaluation Index and the Korea Stock Price Index (KOSPI) of 2001 P 120 the U.S. terrorist attack 700 600 100 500 400 80 300 60 200 Jan01 Mar01 May01 Jul01 Consumer Evaluation Index (left axis) Sep01 Nov01 KOSPI (right axis) Samsung Economic In light of these dangers, it seems appropriate to examine recent Research Institute and future trends in consumption patterns, to offer suggestions to (SERI) co nducted a survey to determine domestic companies. For this purpose, the Samsung Economic the ten ma jor “hit” Research Institute (SERI) conducted a survey to determine the products of 2001 ten major “hit” products of 2001. Combining SERI’s information with lists of hit products released by the press and by experts, SERI compiled a list of 41 products for respondents to choose among. II. Major “hit” products of 2001 There was a signifi- 14 According to the survey results, there was a significant differ- Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 cant difference between t he opinions of experts and those of netizens ence between the opinions of experts and those of netizens, although their opinions had been quite similar in previous years. For example, netizens generally gave high marks to Avatars, personalizable graphic characters that can be used in chat rooms or on the web, and to TV home shopping channels. In contrast, experts relatively preferred high technology-based products like the “SM5” (a mid-sized car manufactured by RenaultSamsung) or large-size flat screen TVs. Ten Major “Hit” Products of 2001 Ten Products Experts' Netizens' Total Scores Scores 1. "Friends" (a movie) 100.0 85.9 92.9 2. "OK Cashbag" (sales mileage card, SK) 82.6 81.4 82.0 3. "Xylitol Gum" (tooth protective gum, Lotte) 4. "Combo" (a combined DVD and VCR unit, Samsung Electronics) 60.8 100.0 80.4 77.1 50.6 63.9 5. TV home shopping 39.8 67.2 53.5 6. "SM5" (a mid-size car, Renault-Samsung Motors) 59.9 39.7 49.8 7. Large-size flat screen TV 64.4 29.7 47.0 8. Avatars (personalizable graphic character on the web) 29.8 62.8 46.3 9. Whole life insurance policies 50.3 24.1 37.2 10. Brand-name rices 30.1 16.5 23.3 Note: ( ) lists the type of product and producing company, respectively SERI 15 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 This sugg ests that Although some “hit” products of 2000 like “Dimchae” (a Kimchi the lifespans of refrigerator) and “Starbucks” (a coffeeshop chain brand) re- products a re not at all gua ranteed mained popular among respondents, the best hit product of 2000, “iloveschool.co.kr”, an Internet alumni association site, fell low on the 2001 candidate list. This suggests that the lifespans of products are not at all guaranteed due to the many uncertainty factors of today. But in spite of these differences and changes in opinion, the following trends could be commonly seen among the ten most popular products. III. Characteristics of consumption in 2001 as demonstrated by “hit” products 1. Appeal to the younger generation: “Friends” and Avatars Two cu ltural According to the survey, two cultural products, the domestic film product s, the “Friends” and Avatars, were hit products. (“Friends” is a gang- domestic film “Friend s” and ster movie whose main setting is in the 1970’s.) The movie Avatars, were hit broke the records of “Joint Security Area” and “Swiri” to be- products come the most-watched Korean movie in the industry’s history, with some 8.3 million tickets sold. Riding on its success, many gangster movies like “My Wife is a Gangster” and “Kick the Moon” succeeded at the box office in 2001. “Friends” also negatively influenced Korea’s youth, creating an “organized gangster syndrome” that led many youngsters to imitate the specific accents or gestures of gangsters. But the movie greatly appealed to older generations, too. Part of the reason is attrib- 16 Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 uted to the fact that it reflected people’s longing for the “simpler” days of a bygone era, in the face of the current economic depression. The Avata r concept has emerged as a new online business For their part, the success of Avatars, which are provided by several domestic Internet-related companies including game model an d income software makers and portal providers, is mainly due to current source fo r dot-com trends among Korea’s youth that value the expression of companies that have individuality. As a result, the market size of the Avatar industry suffered from chronic losses has exploded to 20 billion won, with new designs and characters being continuously introduced to meet market demand and provide consumers more choice. The Avatar concept has also emerged as a new online business model and income source for dot-com companies that have suffered from chronic losses. 2. Sensible consumption: “OK Cash bag” and TV Homeshopping Channels Consumers also In addition, consumers also began to exercise greater discretion began to exercise in their purchases in 2001, to save money. They bought products greater discretion in their purchases in 2001, to save money with specific purchase mileage cards for the purpose of accumulating bonus points, or put off their purchases until bargain days. Such an economical consumption pattern can be seen by the fact that hit products for 2001 included a product like “OK Cashbag”, a mileage card that awards credit (that can be used in making other purchases) for certain purchases made through credit card or cash. At the same time, stores and credit card companies SERI 17 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 benefited by attracting more customers and incurring more usage of their cards, respectively. SK Corporation (a giant oil company that originally issued the card to attract more drivers to their gas stations), as well as other affiliates of the SK Group including SK Telecom, also enjoyed the advantage of acquiring good-quality consumer information for their database marketing. The industry of TV The industry of TV home shopping grew rapidly as well in 2001, home sh opping being now comprised of five full-time cable TV shopping chan- grew rapid ly as well in 2001 nels and numerous spot vendors. Particularly conducive to the industry’s growth has been the almost-unbelievably fast rise in the number of subscribers to cable TV and high-speed Internet access services. Different from traditional retail outlets, TV home shopping services concentrate on the products of smalland medium-sized firms, strengthening their price competitiveness with the heightened efficiency of their delivery processes. 3. Preference for high quality and technology-based products, and word-of-mouth marketing: the “Combo”, “Flat screen TVs”, and the “SM5” Leading products based on superior technolo gy have While many products’ fortunes are dependent on the ups and downs of fashion, leading products based on superior technology always gained have always gained strong consumer interest in the domestic strong consumer market. Samsung Electronics’ “Combo”, a combined DVD and interest in the domestic market VCR unit, has received recognition not only domestically, but also abroad, from the press and renowned associations like the 18 Samsung E conomic Research Institute January 5, 2002 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS EISA (the European Imaging and Sound Association). Similar to the “Combo”, large-size flat screen TVs (40 ~ 65 inch TVs) produced by three major domestic makers also fulfilled consumers’ requirements for quality and value for money. Lastly, the “SM5” emerged as a hit product after initially suffering from stagnant market sales. Its later success is ascribed to word-ofmouth marketing among taxi drivers who are very sensitive to a car’s ride comfort and quality, and generously relate their experiences of their own cars to their customers. 4. Growing interest in personal health and safety: “Xylitol Gum”, brand-name rices, and whole life insurance policies Interest i n products related to personal health or safety also Interest in products related to personal health or safety also became a noticeable consumption trend in 2001. For example, became a n oticeable “Xylitol Gum”(a chewing gum which cleans teeth), brand-name consumpti on trend rices, and whole life insurance policies all enjoyed strong in 2001 popularity. In fact, sales per month of the Xylitol Gum of Lotte Confectionery exceeded 10 billion won, a remarkable record. By comparison, even existing successful products like the Choco Pie made by Tong Yang, another major domestic confectionery, marked around 5 billion won per month. Product differentia- Regarding brand-name rices, product differentiation in market- tion in marketing ing has been the key factor for their success. Preparing for the has been the key behind th e success of brand-name rice SERI opening of the Korean rice market, Korean farmers enhanced their quality competitiveness by growing value-added rice 19 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 through organic farming. These days, almost 70% of the Korean rice market is occupied by brand-name rices. And although their prices are substantially higher than that of “generic” rice, demand is sharply increasing. This phenomenon is ascribed to the current widespread awareness of the importance of nutrition and a healthy life. Strong in terest in Finally, strong interest in whole life insurance policies, in which a whole life insurance policy holder typically pays monthly premiums that will be able to policies reflect the public’s growing be redeemed as a lump-sum amount or paid as an annuity, while concern for safety guaranteeing benefits at his or her death to the beneficiaries, reflect the public’s growing concern for safety. Another factor in their popularity has been the need for alternative investment instruments during these times of ultra-low interest rates, since those policies generally provide higher investment returns than bank deposits. Originally written by Kwon, Sung-Yong 20 Samsung E conomic Research Institute KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Statistics Stock Market, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Dec-19 Wednesday Dec-20 Thursday Dec-21 Friday Dec-24 Monday Dec-25 Tuesday KOSPI (closing) 647.05 664.51 644.71 646.49 Holiday Changes + 3.29 + 17.46 - 19.80 + 1.78 Holiday Trading Volume (mil. shs) 619.96 503.98 344.03 390.8 Holiday 2,596.4 2,477.9 2,083.6 1,791.3 Holiday KRW / USD (Closing) 1,292.20 1,300.20 1,308.90 1,308.20 Holiday KRW / JPY 100 (Base rate)* 1,006.95 1,015.63 1,012.06 1,010.03 Holiday 128.04 128.50 129.51 129.81 130.92 3-Yr Gov't Bond 5.83 5.88 5.87 5.87 Holiday 3-Yr Corporate Bond Yield (AA-) 6.96 7.01 7.01 7.01 Holiday 3-Yr Corporate Bond Yield (BBB-) 11.12 11.17 11.17 11.17 Holiday Call Rate (Overnight) 4.00 4.05 4.02 4.03 Holiday Stock Market Trading Value (bil. won) Foreign Exchange Rates JPY / USD (Closing)** Interest Rates * Base rate against 100 Japanese yen ** New York Market SERI 21 KOREAN ECONOMIC TRENDS January 5, 2002 Stock Market, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Dec-26 Wednesday Dec-27 Thursday Dec-28 Friday Dec-31 Monday Jan-01 Tuesday KOSPI (closing) 653.87 668.55 693.7 Closed Closed Changes + 7.38 + 14.68 + 25.15 Closed Closed Trading Volume (mil. shs) 568.37 541.63 514.8 Closed Closed 2,345.8 2,612.4 2,706.1 Closed Closed KRW / USD (Closing) 1,318.00 1,329.10 1,323.00 1,313.50 Closed KRW / JPY 100 (Base rate)* 1,008.11 1,009.10 1,007.24 999.62 Closed 130.82 131.69 131.09 131.71 Closed 3-Yr Gov't Bond 5.81 5.84 5.91 5.91 Closed 3-Yr Corporate Bond Yield (AA-) 6.96 6.99 7.04 7.04 Closed 3-Yr Corporate Bond Yield (BBB-) 11.12 11.15 11.20 11.20 Closed Call Rate (Overnight) 3.99 3.97 3.99 3.98 Closed Stock Market Trading Value (bil. won) Foreign Exchange Rates JPY / USD (Closing)** Interest Rates * Base rate against 100 Japanese yen ** New York Market 22 Samsung E conomic Research Institute