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Political responses to climate change © Nuffield Foundation 2009 The Kyoto Protocol An international agreement, initially adopted in 1997, setting targets for industrialised countries to cut greenhouse gas emissions. These countries have committed to cut their combined emissions to 5% below 1990 levels by 2008 - 2012. EU countries are expected to cut their present emissions by 8% and Japan by 5%. Some countries with low emissions are permitted to increase them. The Kyoto Protocol became a legally binding treaty on 16 February 2005 on ratification by 55 countries covering 55% of all emissions from industrialised countries © Nuffield Foundation 2009 Stern Review The Review has assessed a wide range of evidence on the impacts of climate change and on the economic costs. It concludes that the evidence shows that the benefits of strong and early action far outweigh the economic costs of not acting. Climate change will affect the basic elements of life for millions of people around the world who could suffer hunger, water shortages and coastal flooding as the world warms. If we don’t act, the overall costs and risks of climate change will be equivalent to losing at least 5% of global GDP each year, now and forever. If a wider range of risks and impacts is taken into account, the estimates of damage could rise to 20% of GDP or more. In contrast, the costs of action – reducing greenhouse gas emissions to avoid the worst impacts of climate change – can be limited to around 1% of global GDP each year. © Nuffield Foundation 2009 Cost-benefit analysis Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) estimates and totals up the equivalent money value of the benefits and costs of projects to determine whether they are worthwhile. Future benefits and costs are ‘discounted’ to estimate their value now – partly to allow for inflation but also for the value that could be gained by investing the money in other ways The most challenging part of CBA is to put a money value on such things as clean air, diverse environments and human lives. © Nuffield Foundation 2009 EU policy The EU has an ambitious 20-20-20 package: a 20% cut in greenhouse gas emissions, a 20% improvement in energy efficiency and 20% of energy to come from renewable sources, all by 2020. In January 2005 the European Union Greenhouse Gas Emission Trading System (EU ETS) commenced operation as the largest multi-country, multisector Greenhouse Gas Emission Trading System world-wide. © Nuffield Foundation 2009 Emissions trading Emissions trading works by allowing countries to buy and sell their agreed allowances of greenhouse gas emissions. Highly polluting countries can buy unused ‘credits’ from those which are allowed to emit more than they actually do. Countries are also able to gain credits for activities which boost the environment's capacity to absorb carbon. © Nuffield Foundation 2009 UK government policies The UK Government is taking action on five fronts: Protecting the public from risks – such as floods, water shortages, extremes of heat Preparing for the future – by taking climate change into account in decision, for example, changing house building policies, managing water better and adjusting farming practices. Limiting the severity of future climate change through a new international climate agreement (Copenhagen 2009) Building a low-carbon UK – the 2008 Climate Change Act made Britain the first country in the world to set legally binding “carbon budgets” through investment in energy efficiency and clean energy technologies such as renewables, nuclear and carbon capture and storage Supporting individuals, communities and businesses to play their part © Nuffield Foundation 2009 The 2009 Copenhagen conference A conference in December 2009 at which representatives of nearly 200 countries are to meet to thrash out a successor to the Kyoto protocol. There are 4 key issues: How much are industrialised countries willing to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases? How much are major developing countries such as China and India willing to do to limit the growth of their emissions? How is the help needed by developing countries to engage in reducing their emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change going to be financed? How is that money going to be managed? © Nuffield Foundation 2009