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Lab 2 You are asked to report the molar concentration of the unknown acid, Cu, the standard deviation, su, and the 95% confidence interval. Assuming no uncertainty associated with CNaOH and Vu, the overall precision is determined by the precision associated with the VNaOH measurement. Example: CNaOH = 0.1114 M; Vu = 25.00 mL V NaOH C NaOH Cu = Vu Unknown V(NaOH, mL) 18.36 18.29 18.41 V NaOH 18.35 s Cu 0.00027 sCu 0.00016 (0.0002) sC u = ∑ (C i − C )2 N −1 Cu(M) 0.08181 0.08150 0.08203 0.08178 (0.0818) sCu = sCu N For lab write-up, assume no error in Vu, CNaOH in determining Cu. Cu = 0.0818 ± 0.0002 M %relative standard deviation, %RSD, or coefficient of variation, CV: RSD (%) = (0.0002 ) (100) = 0.24% s (100) = 0.0818 C Confidence interval: Ctrue = C ± t × sC t2,95 = 4.3 Ctrue = 0.0818M ± ( 4.3)(0.00016) Ctrue = 0.0818M ± 0.0007 Random or indeterminant error (cont.): Coin flipping is analogous to the example we discussed about measurements with sources of uncertainty with equally probably values of +U and – U. That is, each “heads” is analogous to + or –U and each “tails” is analogous to – or + U. The equation for a Gaussian curve: − ( x − μ )2 y= e 2σ 2 σ 2π Since we know the mathematical form in which random errors are manifest, we can develop a statistical treatment of random error. Terminology: Population: the collection of all measurements of interest (often a set that is too large to actually make all the measurements) Sample: the subset of measurements selected from a population (note the difference between a statistical “sample” and a chemical “sample”. n chemical samples typically make up a statistical sample of the population of interest) μ: the average or mean of the population ⎛ N ⎞ ⎜ ∑ xi ⎟ μ = ⎝ i =1 ⎠ where N is the number of measurements N for the entire population x : the sample mean (arithmetic average of limited set of data) ⎛ N ⎞ ⎜ ∑ xi ⎟ x = ⎝ i=1 ⎠ N where N is the number of measurements for N replicates x is an estimate of μ. The accuracy of the estimate improves as the number of measurements approaches the population N. (i.e. as Nsample → Npopulation) The precision of a population of data is reflected by the population standard deviation, σ, given as: N σ= 2 ( ) x − μ ∑ i i =1 N The precision of a subset of data is reflected by the sample standard deviation, s, given as: ∑ (x − x ) N s= i =1 2 i N −1 s approximates σ, just as x approximates μ, as Nsample → Npopulation, i.e., when (N-1) →N The population standard deviation: N σ= 2 ( ) x − μ ∑ i i =1 N The sample standard deviation: ∑ (x − x ) N s= i =1 2 i N −1 Differences: μ vs. x ; N vs. (N-1) N, N-1 are the respective number of degrees of freedom for determination of σ, s respectively # degrees of freedom is the number of independent data that goes into the computation of st. dev. e.g. Assume we have determined three values of a quantity, x; N=3 We compute an average, x x1 + x2 + x3 x= = 3.31 3 If x1 = 3.17 and x2 = 3.33, can we assign and independent value to x3? x3 = 3(3.31)-(3.17+3.33) = 3.43 Hence, we lose one degree of freedom when we calculate the x in the equation for the sample standard deviation. Degrees of freedom = 3-1 = 2 Overall, one degree of freedom lost for every parameter determined from a data set: x y = mx + b y = a + bx + cx2 average linear equation quadratic equation N-1 N-2 N-3 Two reasons for taking the average of multiple measurements: 1. The average of several measurements is more likely to give a better estimate of the true mean than any single measurement. i.e., x is a better estimate of μ than any xi 2. There is a smaller standard deviation associated with the mean of i measurements than for any individual measurement, xi. Standard error of the mean, sm: The standard deviation, s, indicates the precision associated with a single measurement. The precision associated with the average of N measurements is better by 1 N , that is, sm = s N This is why we like to make replicate measurements and use the average. The average is more precise than any individual measurement. Simulated Data for Lactose in Milk Symbol conc. (mg/250 mL) xi- x (xi- x )2 x1 11.21 +0.02 0.0004 x2 11.45 +0.26 0.0676 x3 10.91 -0.28 0.0784 __________________________________________ N ∑ 33.57 0.56* 0.1464 x 11.19 0.187 sx=0.27 i =1 *sum of unsigned values ∑ (x N sx = sm = i =1 i −x N −1 sx N = ) 2 = 0.27 3 0.1464 = 0.27 3 −1 = 0.16