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2015 Dietary Guidelines: Pass the bacon, but hold the added sugar Joanne Slavin Professor Department of Food Science and Nutrition April 29, 2016 From the Science to Me The Science Policy Me There is no perfect diet! • Humans are omnivores and are adaptable to a wide range of foods • Humans have survived and prospered on all kinds of diets, mostly reflecting access to food supply – Traditional Arctic diet: 80% of kcals from fat – Traditional African diet: 80% of kcals from carbohydrate • Because of concerns with fat and cardiovascular disease, U.S. diet moved from higher fat (42% of kcal in 1972) to lower fat (32% of kcal in 2000) –current movement toward lower carbohydrate 1 Nutrient Adequacy - Meet nutrient needs without exceeding calorie needs - Dietary Reference Intakes (DRIs) - Acceptable Macronutrient Distribution Ranges (AMDR) - Protein: 10 - 35% of kcal - Carbohydrates: 45 - 65% of kcal - Fat: 20 - 35% of kcal - Recommended Dietary Allowance (RDA) - Adequate Intake (AI) - Tolerable Upper Level Intake (UL) Senate Select Committee on Nutrition and Human Needs – Dietary Goals the United States (1977) • • • • • • Increase carbohydrates to 55%–60% of energy Reduce fat to 30% of energy SF, MF, PUFAs – 10%/10%/10% Reduce cholesterol to 300 mg/day Reduce sugar consumption by 40% Reduce salt consumption to 3 g/day – 1200 mg sodium What are the Dietary Guidelines? • • • • 1st published in 1980 Federal nutrition policy established jointly by USDA & HHS Updated every 5 years Provide science-based advice for ages 2 and over to help prevent chronic disease & promote health • Foundation for Federal nutrition programs, nutrition education programs, and a basis for research gaps and priorities • Ensure that messages and materials are consistent through-out the Federal government and that government speaks with “one nutrition voice” • Policy used by educators, health professionals, policy makers – for consumers 2 Dietary Guidelines for Americans 1980 - 2010 2000 2010 1990 1980 1995 1985 2005 Development of Dietary Guidelines Policy Dietary Guidelines for Americans, 2010 DGAC Charter (TBD) U.S. Department of Agriculture U.S. Department of Health and Human Services www.dietaryguidelines.gov DGAC is chartered DGAC Public Meetings: Review of the Science The New “Pyramid” DGAC USDA & HHS Advisory Report write the DG’s submitted to the Policy implemented Secretaries of Document through Federal USDA & HHS programs Public comments encouraged/collected Evidence-based Methodology Used to Review the Science Indexing/Search Topics Available at: www.NutritionEvidenceLibrary.gov 3 NEL Process Formulate Systematic Review Questions •Exploratory searches •Public comment •Dialogue with experts •Analytical Framework •PICO Literature Search and Sort •Identify study eligibility criteria •Determine search strategy •Search for relevant studies •List included studies •List excluded studies and rationale Extract Evidence From Studies Create evidence worksheets Summarize and Synthesize the Evidence •Assess quality of individual studies •Assess applicability •Summarize and synthesize evidence Develop and Grade Conclusion Statements Define Research Recommendations General Study Eligibility Criteria • • • • • Human studies Developed countries English language Peer reviewed journals Search and sort plans specified: – Age of subjects, study setting, number of subjects per study arm, attrition rate, characteristics of intervention, outcome measures and study design Hierarchy of Evidence Stronger Evidence RCT Weaker Evidence Double Blinded Intervention study Prospective, cohort study Clinical trial Cross-sectional study Case Report Expert Opinion 4 Grade Strength of Evidence • Quality – Scientific rigor and validity – Consider study design and execution • Quantity – Number of studies – Number of subjects in studies • Consistency of findings across studies • Impact – Importance of studied outcomes – Magnitude of effect • Generalizability Evidence Analysis Methodology Rigorous Minimizes bias Transparent Accessible to stakeholders and consumers Defines state of the science Foundation for updates Answers precise questions • Illuminates research gaps Food Pattern Modeling - Important for “filling the gaps” in evidence - Used intake data (NHANES) and nutrient composition databases - Identifies impact on nutrient adequacy of making specific changes in food or dietary pattern (e.g., vegetarian patterns) - Essential in demonstrating what is “doable” for the American public (e.g., alternatives to milk) - Takes added sugar and solid fat from foods – to reduce calories (Appendix E-3 in 2010 DGAC report) 5 Calcium intake in children 4-8 Y as a function of added sugar intake Calcium, mg/day 1050 1000 950 900 850 * 800 * 750 700 650 600 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 % added sugars 2010 DG and dairy • Dairy products are an important source of shortfall nutrients: calcium, vitamin D, potassium • Important nutrient source for children” “it is especially important to establish the habit of drinking milk in young children, as those who consume milk at an early age are more likely to do so as adults.” • Similar to 2005 DG – 3 dairy servings/day recommended – children 4 – 8 yrs, increased from 2 – 2.5 dairy servings/d • If you are lactose intolerant, the 2010 DG recognize dairy as an important source of nutrients and recommend lactose-free milk or smaller amounts of milk Three daily servings of reduced-fat milk – an evidencebased recommendation? • Growing acceptance that full fat dairy, including cheese, linked to less disease risk, not more than low fat dairy • This recommendation for low fat dairy is based on modeling – when you remove fat you remove calories • Recommendations in the DGAs for lower solid fat and added sugar based on nutrient density, not link to negative health outcome 6 Diet modeling with dairy consumption • Modeled recommended intakes of dairy from the 2010 DGAs • Most children and adults fall short on dairy • Calcium, magnesium, and vitamin A intakes improved when dairy intake was modeled • Smaller, but significant increases in Vitamin D and little change in potassium • Quann EE et al. Nutr J. 2015;14:90 DGAC 2015 • “Settled science” – did not update all the questions from 2010 DGAC • Movement to whole foods and away from nutrients • Topics such as sustainability, sugar taxes, vegan diets, and food processing were discussed and increased interest and public comments 2015 DGAC – Dietary patterns, foods and nutrition, and health outcomes • The US population should consume dietary patterns that are: – Rich in vegetables, fruits, whole grains, fish/seafood, legumes, and nuts – Moderate in dairy products (e.g. low and non-fat dairy) and alcohol and – Lower in red and processed meat and – Low in sugar-sweetened foods and beverages and refined grains 7 2015 DGAC – Chapter 6, Question 6: What is the relationship between the intake of added sugars (AS) and cardiovascular disease, body weight/obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and dental caries? • • • • Strong and consistent evidence shows that intake of AS from food and/or SSBs are associated with excess body weight in children and adults. The reduction of AS and SSBs in the diet reduces BMI in both children and adults. Comparison groups with the highest vs. the lowest intakes of AS in cohort studies were compatible with a recommendation to keep added sugars intake below 10 percent of total energy intake. DGAC Grade: Strong Strong evidence shows that higher consumption of AS, especially SSBs increases risk of T2D among adults and this relationship is not full explained by body weight. DGAC Grade: Strong Moderate evidence from prospective cohort studies indicates that higher intake of AS, especially in the form of SSBs, is consistently associated with increased risk of hypertension, stroke and CHD in adults. Observational and intervention studies indicate a consistent relationship between higher AS intake and higher BP and serum TG. DGAC Grade: Moderate The DGAC concurs with the WHOs commissioned systematic review that moderate consistent evidence supports a relationship between the amount of free sugars intake and the development of dental caries among children and adults. Moderate evidence also indicates that caries are lower when free sugars intake is less than 10 percent of energy intake. DGAC Grade: Moderate Nutrition Facts: 10% - DV for added sugars 23 Chocolate milk wars • Flavored low fat milks are chosen by 70% of school lunch participants • Nutrition is particularly prone to “white hat bias”, that is strongly held positions staked on moral certainty and proof not needed • Campaigns against cholesterol, fat, and high-fructose corn syrup all shared the same righteous surety as that against added sugar. • But we were wrong and did more harm than good” • Murray R. et al. Pediatrics doi:10.1542/peds.2015-3202A 8 Differences in nutrient content of milks – USDA Nutrient Database Type Whole 1% white FF white 1% choc FF choc Calories 146 102 91 158 130 Total fat - g 7.9 2.0 0.6 2.5 0.0 Protein - g 7.7 8.7 8.7 7.9 7.5 Sugar - g 11.0 11.0 12.3 26.0 22.0 Ca - mg 276 299 316 400 300 Flavored milk and nutrients • Review of 53 studies • Children drink more flavored milk than plain milk • When flavored milk is not available, children drink less plain milk • There is no association between flavored milk intake and weight status among normal weight children, and some contradictory effects of flavored milk intake have been observed in subgroups of overweight children. • Flavored milk is a palatable beverage choice that helps children to meet calcium targets. • Fayet-Moore. Nutr Rev 2015;74:1-17 2015 Dietary Guidelines for Americans 9 2015-2020 DGAs • edition of DGAs released on 1-7-16 • Urge consumers to adopt healthy overall eating patterns that include a variety of vegetables, fruits, whole grains, low-fat dairy or soy products, and low fat protein sources, such as fish, lean meats, legumes, and soy products 8th 2015-2020 DGAs • Americans should limit consumption of – added sugars to less than 10% of daily energy intake – Saturated fats to less than 10% of daily energy intake – And sodium to less than 2300 mg/day – If they drink alcohol, women should limit their consumption to one drink a day and men to two a day 2015-2020 DGAs • Other changes – No limit on dietary cholesterol – Solid fat is now called saturated fat – Refined grains and fiber not addressed; no change from 2010 – “a healthy eating pattern includes grains, at least half of which are whole grains” – Moderate coffee consumption (up to 400 mg/day caffeine) can be incorporated into healthy eating patterns 10 2015 Healthy Eating Patterns • US-Style • Vegetarian • Mediterranean 2015 Dietary Patterns Why all the excitement • The 2015 DGAC suggested that taxes be used to discourage consumption of sugary drinks and that the effects of diet on the environment be considered when making dietary decisions • Critics argued these ideas were outside the scope of the DGAC and charged that politics, not science, were driving the panels’ recommendations 11 Next steps • Congressional hearing on the advisory panels’ methods and passage of legislation that threatened to deny funding for the next edition of the guidelines unless the secretaries of agriculture and health and human services ensured that any revisions were “based on significant scientific agreement” and were “limited in scope to nutritional and dietary information” Next steps • Secretary of Agriculture must engage the National Academy of Medicine to conduct a “comprehensive study of the entire process” used to establish the advisory panel, the Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee • USDA is conducting listening session currently to engage the broad nutrition community in this effort 1943: Basic Seven Margaret Mead: “People don’t eat nutrition – they eat food” Basic 7 did not specify the number of servings of each food group needed daily 12 Food advice: Evolution of USDA’s Food Guidance – Moderation and Variety 1950s-1960s 1940s Food for Young Children 1970s 1992 1916 2005 MyPlate.gov (6/2/11) Conclusions • Evidence-based reviews are limited in ability to define “healthy foods” • Other tools, such as modeling, are also used to set dietary guidelines • Recommendations for less added sugar and saturated fats are based on empty calories, not health outcomes – USDA modeling • Strict rules on added sugars, saturated fats, or sodium make it difficult for nutrient dense foods, including flavored milks, yogurts, protein snacks, fruit snacks, cheese, to be recommended • Expect greater scrutiny on the process to select the 2020 DGAC • Since the 2020 DGAs will include recommendations for birth to 24 months, stakes are higher – stay tuned 13