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BA 275 Winter 2007 Quizzes Answer Key Quiz #5 Answer Key Name (please print) 12noon – 1:50pm Section (circle one) 2:00 – 3:50pm 4:00 – 5:50pm Question 1. A sample of 11 minivan electrical warranty repairs for “loose, not attached” wires showed a sample mean repair cost of x $45.66 with a sample standard deviation of s = $27.79. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the true mean repair cost. Give your answer in the following format: ( point estimate ) ± ( margin of error ). ( Answer 45.66 )±( 3.169 27.79 11 ) Question 2. A company that sells educational materials, called “directed reading activities”, wants to convince customers that its materials improve the reading ability of elementary school pupils. A consultant arranges for a third-grade class of 21 students to take part in these activities for an eight-week period. A control classroom of 23 third-graders follows the same curriculum without the activities. At the end of the eighth week, all students are given a Degree of Reading Power (DRP) test, which measures the aspects of reading ability that these activities are designed to improve. The summary statistics are Group Sample size Sample mean Sample standard deviation 1. Class that used the activities 21 51.48 (Treatment group) 2. Class that did not use the activities 23 41.52 (Control group) Note that the population standard deviations are unknown. 11.01 17.15 The company wants to show that its educational materials are effective, that is, the DRP result from the treatment group (Group 1) is better than that from the control group (Group 2). A twosample t-test is conducted. A. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Null hypothesis H0: treatment = control Alternative hypothesis Ha: treatment > control Hsieh, P-H 1 BA 275 Winter 2007 Quizzes Answer Key B. Calculate and report the t statistic (or t score). 51.48 41.52 0 2.311887 t= 11.012 17.15 2 21 23 C. Based on the t statistic calculated above, which of the following statements about the p-value of the test is correct: a. p-value < 0.01 b. 0.02 > p-value > 0.01 c. 0.025 > p-value > 0.02 d. 0.05 > p-value > 0.025 e. p-value > 0.05 B. 0.02 > p-value > 0.01 Answer The degrees of freedom for this test is MIN( 21 – 1, 23 – 1 ) = 20. Given that Ha: treatment > control, this is a right-sided test. If = 1%, then the rejection region is: Reject H0 if t > 2.528. If = 2%, then the rejection region is: Reject H0 if t > 2.197. The calculation in (B) shows that the t statistic is 2.311887, which implies that H0 will be rejected if = 2% but will not be rejected if = 1%. In other words, the corresponding p-value must be between 1% and 2% to obtain such result. D. Given = 5%, what is the conclusion of the test? (circle one) Reject H0 Do not reject H0 Since the p-value is less than 0.02, = 5% is greater than the p-value. E. Based on the statistical conclusion in the previous question, does the company have evidence to support their claim of better educational materials? (circle one) Yes, the claim is supported. No, the claim is not supported. Rejecting H0 means that the mean score of the treatment group is higher than that of the control group. Hence, the claim is supported. F. To estimate with a 90% confidence for the mean improvement in the entire population of third-graders, what would be the multiplier t* used in calculating the margin of error? The multiplier t* = 1.725 Degrees of freedom = MIN( 21 – 1, 23 – 1 ) = 20. Since H0 is rejected (the treatment group has a higher mean), we want to know “by how much”? A 90% confidence interval is: 51.48 41.52 1.725 Hsieh, P-H 11.012 17.15 2 . The multiplier t* used is 1.725. 21 23 2