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AP STATISTICS CHAPTER 5: Probability: What are the Chances? Assignment Listing Objectives Students will be able to interpret probability as a long-run relative frequency Topics 5-1 Introduction, The Idea of Probability, Myths about Randomness Law of large numbers, probability Homework Pages 293-294 1, 3, 7, 9 SWBAT use simulation to model chance behavior. 5-1 Introduction, The Idea of Probability, Myths about Randomness Simulation Pages 295-298 15,17,19,23,25,27,29, 31,32, 33-36 SWBAT describe a probability model for a chance process. SWBAT use basic probability rules, including the complement rule and the addition rule for mutually exclusive events. 5-2 Probability Models, Basic Rules of Probability Sample space S, probability model, event, complement, mutually exclusive, disjoint Pages 309-310 43,45,47 SWBAT Use a Venn diagram to model a chance process involving two events. SWBAT use the general addition rule to calculate P(A U B). 5-2 Two-Way Tables and Probability, Venn Diagrams and Probability Two-Way Table, Venn diagram, union, intersection, general addition rule, Pages 310-311 49,51,53,55, 57-60 SWBAT use a tree diagram to describe chance behavior when appropriate. SWBAT use the general multiplication rule to solve probability questions. SWBAT determine whether two events are independent. SWBAT find the probability that an event occurs using a two-way table. SWBAT use the multiplication rule for independent events to compute probabilities when appropriate. SWBAT compute conditional probabilities. 5-3 What is Conditional Probability? Conditional Probability and Independence, Tree Diagrams and the General Multiplication Rule Conditional probability, independent events, general multiplication rule Pages 329-330 63,65,67,69,73,77,79 5-3 Independence: A Special Multiplication Rule, Calculating Conditional Probabilities Multiplication rule for independent events, conditional probability formula Pages 330-332 83,85,87,91,93,95,97,99 Cumulative Review Problems Ch. 1-4 Material Orange & red arrowed problems in each section.