Download Unshackling the NIXI Legacy: Imperatives for Future Growth

ICT and Economic Growth
Prof Rekha Jain
Executive Chair
IIMA IDEA Telecom Centre of Excellence,
IIM Ahmedabad, India
[email protected]
Introduction
 ICT  Growth
 It is obvious… so why talk about it? And
what should one talk about?
 Are we doing the right things?
 Are we doing things right?
 What are the right things?
Current Status
20.0
0.0
60.0
44.0
80.0
75.2
147.0
145.8
105.9
101.82
120.0
73.3
130.3
160.0
M'14
41.0
40.0
M'13
78.7
140.0
39.2
169.6
180.0
M'12
M'11
M'10
M'09
M'08
M'07
M'06
M'05
M'04
M'03
M'02
M'01
M'00
M'99
M'98
M'97
M'96
(%)
Rural-Urban Tele-density-widening Gap
100.0
Urban
Rural
Gap
Total
Wireless Teledensity Vs. GDP per capita, PPP
20,000
160
18,000
140
16,000
120
100
12,000
10,000
80
8,000
60
6,000
40
4,000
20
2,000
0
0
Brazil
India Pakistan
Sri Thailand Turkey
Lanka
Viet
Nam
(in %)
(in US$)
14,000
GDP per capita,
PPP
Wireless
Teledensity
Wireless Data Subscribers in India (mostly urban)
500
450
449
400
Subscribers in Million
381
350
300
250
233
200
178
150
143
118
100
50
66
0
Mar'08
Mar'09
Mar'10
Mar'11
Mar'12
Mar'13
Mar'14
What can be done
 Drive mobile growth
 Urban: Make more spectrum
available in 900, 800, and 700
MHz band
 Remove constraints - sharing
 Backhaul costs
 Costs to mobile operators
 EMF and other regulatory
compliance (MNP)
 Road accidents
 Rural: Look at innovative
applications –unlicensed bands
Source: https://www.deloitte.com/assets/DcomIndia/Local%20Assets/Documents/TMT%20predictions%
202013/TMT_India_Predictions_2013_Telecommunicatio
ns.pdf
Internet
 Content?
 How many government sites are mobile
enabled?
 How many wikipedia pages are in regional
languages
What is the quality of these pages?
 Cost of domestic leased lines
 Strengthening NIXI
Broadband
 Broadband: National Optical Fibre Network
(NOFN): Rs 20,000 crores, 2, 50,000 gram
panchayat
 Have we done things right?
 Delays
 Marketing
 Rates of BBNL bandwidth?
 Wireless connectivity in the last mile as a part
of the plan?
 Primacy to Demand Generation
 National Knowledge Network
 5000 crores
 Links 1500 education and research
institutes
 What is the uptake?
Manufacturing
 ??
 Job creator
 Experience with Nokia
Fabrication: 2 companies
Yet to take off
Adoption
 Content: language, quality, government as
driver? Private sector
 Seamless experience across sites
 Government’s initiative could be a driver of
growth, employment and skill upgradation
 Work with TSSC/IT Sector Skill Council
 Leverage youth aspirations
 Demand will drive supply
Thank You