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1 The Effect Human Papilloma Virus 16 has on Oral Cancer Prevalence: A Systematic Review by Rebecca McGruder BS, Marquette University, 2003 Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Master's Degree in Public Health Concordia University May 2016 2 Abstract Oral cancer rates have been shifting in demographics and the Human Papilloma Virus 16 (HPV 16) has been identified as a risk factor for many cancers. If a correlation with oral cancer can be shown; than HPV 16 can be considered a risk factor for oral cancer, this is the purpose of this systematic review. It is important to clearly understand this shift in order to properly prevent an increase in oral cancer rates. The Health Belief Model suggests that behavior change will happen if the benefits outweigh the costs. If a link to oral cancers through HPV 16 can be shown, then it will be an added motivator for HPV prevention initiatives. This systematic review compared studies that investigated the prevalence of HPV 16 in oral carcinogenic tissue, through tissue sampling. These studies showed a correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer. A high rate of HPV 16 in carcinogenic tissue compared to healthy tissue showed that HPV 16 has an effect on increased oral cancer rates. Treatments and prevention efforts can be created utilizing this information. 3 Introduction Oral cancer rates have historically stayed consistent, but recently it has started to appear more frequently in those under the age of 40. This increase in oral cancer rates has been theoretically attributed to HPV 16 (Oral Cancer Foundation (OCF), 2015). It is important to understand this increased cancer rate, in order to help prevent and understand the true effect HPV 16 has on oral cancer incidences. The more information that can be gathered about this issue, the better information public health professionals can supply to patients. A systematic review of the effect HPV 16 has on oral cancer will help to improve education and provide motivation for protection against this virus. Problem Statement Oral cancer is a serious disease. In 2016, approximately 48,250 people will be diagnosed with oral cancer (OCF, 2015). Oral cancer includes mouth, tongue, tonsil, throat, and oropharynx cancers. In the past decade there has been an increase in the rate of oral cancers (OCF, 2015). While it may seem like this cancer is rare, new oral cancer diagnoses happen 132 times a day, and one person dies from oral cancer every hour. If found in late stages the death rate is 50% at five years from diagnosis (OCF, 2016). This shows that oral cancer is a prevalent cancer. Traditionally, tobacco and alcohol use have been considered the main risk factors for oral cancer, but as prevalence of these risk factors decreased, oral cancer rates have been increasing (Elango, Suresh, Erode, Subhadradevi, Ravindran, Iyer, Iyer, and Kuriakose, 2011). Research has suggested that the Human Papilloma Virus (HPV), specifically high risk strains like 16 and 18, can be an independent risk factor for cancers. HPV is the most common sexually transmitted infection in the United States. HPV is so common nearly all sexually active men and women get it at some point in their lives (Centers for Disease Control (CDC), 2015). There are approximately 20 million active cases and 6.2 million new cases each year 4 (Ault, 2006). Approximately 80% of women will have been infected with HPV by the age of 50 (Braaten and Laufer, 2008). HPV is a common infection with serious consequences. This makes understanding its role in oral cancers an important issue. Purpose Statement The purpose of this research proposal is to synthesize the results of various research studies to investigate the casual relationship between HPV 16, a specific strand of the virus, and oral cancer. If the role of HPV 16 can be proven than research and interventions can be developed based on this information. There have been many studies looking for the prevalence of the HPV 16 virus in carcinogenic tissues. A systematic review of the gathered data will establish consensus of different studies and the combined data will help to analyze the results. Research Questions and Associated Hypotheses The research question that relates to this review is: Is there a correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer? The null hypothesis is that if HPV 16 does not have an effect on oral cancer it will not be found at a higher rate in carcinogenic tissue than normal tissue. The alternative hypothesis is that if HPV 16 does have an effect on oral cancer the virus will be found at a higher concentration in carcinogenic tissue than healthy tissue. A systematic review and meta-analysis will contribute to the body of knowledge on this topic. Data will be gathered on HPV 16 and oral cancer in order to understand the true relationship between them. A review of studies and data will show or not show a correlation between disease and this virus. If a correlation is shown, education and programs can be created with this knowledge, as well as contributing to the development of treatments and prevention initiatives. 5 Potential Significance If a correlation can be proven treatments and prevention efforts can be created utilizing this information. The goal of investigating the role the HPV 16 virus has on any cancer is to give credence to the need to prevent infection of this virus. This virus is so common that nearly all sexually active men and women get it at some point in their lives (CDC, 2015). If the casual relationship between oral cancer and the HPV 16 virus can be proven it will not only help to develop treatments designed specifically for this type of cancer, it will help to provide support and motivation for parents to vaccinate their children against this virus. HPV 16 is an independent risk factor for cancers and treatments can be designed with that specific risk factor in mind. Identifying HPV 16 related tumors can be clinically significant, with specific treatments that might improve the patient’s quality of life (Bixofis, Sassi, Patussi, Jung, Ioshii, and Schussel, 2014). HPV cancers have a distinct molecular pattern and an improved response to treatment and prognosis (Gan, Zhang, Gui, and Fan, 2014). This specific pattern shows a better response to chemotherapy and radiation, with increased survival rates (Elango, et al, 2011). HPV 16 related tumors respond more successfully than tumors caused by different risk factors. If a correlation can be shown than it will become more common place to check for the HPV virus and design treatment with the virus in mind. Vaccines have been developed for HPV 16 to prevent infection. Vaccination against this virus is now recommended for young females in order to prevent cervical cancers (Lundberg, Leivo, Saarilahti, Makitie and Mattila, 2011). Two prophylactic vaccines have been created and they have shown to be highly effective in infection prevention and HPV related diseases (Ribeiro, Levi, Pawlita, Koifman, Matos, Eluf-Neto, Wunsch-Filho, Curado, Shangina, Zaridze, Szeszenia-Dabrowska, Lissowska, Daudt, 6 Menezes, Bencko, Mates, Fernandez, Fabianova, Gheit, Tommasino, Boffetta, Brennan, and Waterboer, 2011). If HPV 16 can be associated with oral cancers than this vaccination might be considered to be preventive for oral cancers. If the vaccination is considered preventative for multiple cancers, then there will be more compliance by parents to get their children vaccinated. Background Literature Review Search Strategy The search engines used in the systematic review were Academic Search Premier, CINAHL Plus w/Full Text, and PubMed. Keywords used were HPV 16 OR HPV AND Oral Cancer on articles published between 2000-2016. The selection criteria were research articles on oral cancer that investigated the relationship with HPV 16. Other inclusion criteria were primary research studies and quantitative studies. The exclusion criteria were oral cancer not being the only cancer studied, qualitative research articles, and Non-English articles. Theoretical Foundation The Health Belief Model was initially created 50 years ago to identify determinants of being screened for tuberculosis and has been a part of public health ever since its creation (DiClemente, Salazar, and Crosby, 2013). The Health Belief Model is a value-expectancy model based on the principal that behavior change will only happen if the benefits outweigh the cost of the change. The beliefs of an individual are an important construct. Perceived susceptibility and perceived severity are important elements to motivate an individual to action (Riverside Community Health Foundation, n.d.). An individual has a need to feel like they are susceptible to the condition and that the condition has serious consequences. The benefits also need to outweigh the perceived barriers (DiClemente, Salazar, and Crosby, 2013). A positive expectation will increase the motivation to change behavior. In order to 7 achieve this, it is important to have a defined population at risk, clear consequences of the risk, specific action to take, inclusion of barriers, and guidance to perform the action (Di Clemente, Salazar, and Crosby, 2013). The Health Belief Model is beneficial for preventative health behaviors. The Health Belief Model is helpful when motivating risk behavior like vaccinations. Studies have shown that perceived risk and severity are important to vaccination behavior (Brewer, Chapman, Gibbons, Gerrard, McCaul, and Weinstein, 2007). Meta-analysis shows that risk perceptions are predictors of vaccination behaviors (Brewer et al, 2007). Research has shown that three factors explain behavior in regards to vaccination; (a) perceived barriers to vaccination, (b) perceived benefits, and (c) perceived severity of contracting the disease (DiClemente, Salazar, and Crosby, 2013). These factors all correspond to concepts of the Health Belief Model. The Health Belief Model addresses all the barriers to vaccination, and if the model is followed their can be successful behavior change. This demonstrates a need to create better health promotion with improved information to increase vaccination compliance (Donadiki, Garcia, Barrera, Sourtzi, Garrido, Andres, Trujillo, and Velonakis, 2014). According to the Health Belief Model if perceived susceptibility and perceived severity of HPV infection can be established than there will be an increased acceptance of a HPV vaccination. The systematic review would support the perceived susceptibility and perceived severity, by improving the information used to create health promotion. The research question of how HPV 16 relates to oral cancer will provide information to prove severity of this virus. HPV is so common, it is estimated that the majority of sexually active people will get the virus in their lifetime (CDC, 2015). If a correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer can be shown, that information combined with the susceptibility of getting HPV will motivate increased vaccination, promoting healthy behaviors. 8 Literature Review Oral cancer rates are rising. In 2013 it is estimated that there will be an increase of 36,000 new cases of oral cancer and 6,850 deaths attributed to oral cancer in America alone (Gan et al, 2014). Traditionally, tobacco and alcohol use have been considered the major risk factors for oral cancer (Lundberg et al, 2011). An increasing number of oral cancer patients have none of these traditional risk factors (Elango et al, 2011). In recent years HPV has been identified as an independent risk factor for many cancers, including oral cancer (Gan, et al, 2014). If HPV is considered an independent risk factor for cancer than the relationship between oral cancer and HPV needs to be studied. There is a possibility of a correlation between oral cancer and HPV 16. Over the last three decades there has been an accumulation of data that supports the belief that HPV may be a causative agent in oral cancers, specifically high risk strains like 16 (Elango et al, 2011). HPV has been recognized as an independent risk factor for HPV (Gavid, Pillet, Pozzetto, Oriol, Dumollard, Timoshenko, Martin, and Prades, 2013). HPV 16 has been found in cancerous tissues (Far, Aghakhani, Hamkar, Ramezani, Pishbigar, Mirmomen, Roshan, Vahidi, Shahnazi, and Deljoodokht, 2007). This evidence suggests that HPV 16 may be the cause for increased oral cancer cases. If the role of HPV 16 in oral cancer is proven than research and interventions can be developed based on this information. HPV 16 and its relation to oral cancer has been studied using a variety of methods; case-control, cohort, and biopsy. There have been many case-control studies and in these studies carcinogenic tissues in the oral cavity and control tissues have been collected and tested for the presence of HPV 16 (Bixofis, 2014; D’Souza, 2007, Elango, 2011; Gan, 2014; Hansson, 2005; Ribeiro, 2011). Another method is biopsy of known carcinogenic tissues in the oral cavity to look for HPV 16 virus (Far, 2007, Gavid, 2013; Khanna, 2009; Lundberg, 2011). Figuring out if the virus is in carcinogenic tissue or not is 9 important to establishing if there is a casual relationship between the virus and cancer. A systematic review of the gathered data will establish the consensus of these different research articles. It is important to combine the data in order to synthesize the results. Methodology A systematic review was used to combine the findings of research studies that investigated the relationship between oral cancer and HPV 16. In this review the research question was based on whether there is or is not a correlation between oral cancer rates and HPV 16. A systematic review is the best design to study large amounts of data. It allows for a combining of data from multiple studies and synthesizing of the results. This design was chosen to understand the extent HPV 16 has on oral cancer rates in order to assess the need for prevention and education based on the studied risk. Inclusion and exclusion criteria Computer based searches to locate relevant articles were utilized from Academic Search Premier, CINAHL Plus w/Full Text, and PubMed. The keywords used were HPV 16 OR HPV AND Oral Cancer. Articles were searched and chosen that studied the correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer. Primary research articles and quantitative studies were included, as well as publications from other countries, studies only reported in English, studies conducted from 2000-2016, and studies that used similar measuring tools. After the exclusion of articles that did not fit these criteria, the remaining articles were compiled and a manual search was done. The inclusion and exclusion criteria used to evaluate these articles manually are listed in Table 1. Table 1 Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria Inclusion Criteria Primary Research Article Exclusion Criteria Non Full Text 10 Quantitative Studies Oral cancer is being studied HPV 16 is the virus being studied Correlation of HPV 16 and Oral Cancer Non Scholarly articles Publications not between 2000-2016 Risk Factor is not HPV 16 Oral Cancer is not the only cancer studied Qualitative research articles Data analysis plan Once the inclusion and exclusion criteria were identified, it was determined that 10 articles from peer review journals would be included. The number of findings and rationale were presented in Figure 1. Records identified through database searching (n = 3,248) Additional records identified through other sources (n = 0) Records screened by titles and abstracts (n = 3,248) Records screened (n = 3,248) Studies included in systematic review (n = 10) Figure 1: Results of inclusion and exclusion criteria. Records excluded (n = 3,238) Non full text (n=443) Non English (n=27) Publication not between 2000 and 2016 (n=214) Oral cancer not the only cancer studied (n=2,530) Qualitative studies (n=24) 11 Results Data Collection Word and Excel software was used to analyze the data in this systematic review. The results from the individual studies, the methods, and the prevalence of HPV 16 were compared. The main outcome of interest is the prevalence of HPV 16 in oral carcinogenic tissues. If there is a high prevalence of HPV 16 in carcinogenic tissues versus healthy tissues than a correlation can be shown and the hypothesis is true. The characteristics of the included studies, discussing the setting, design, intervention, and outcomes are included in Table 2. The quality score is also represented, which was created through methodology scoring. Table 2 Characteristics of Included Studies (Quantitative) Study (Authors name) Setting Study Design n Population Intervention Primary Outcomes Quality Score Gan et al 2014 Hospital Case Control 200cases Casesconfirmed diagnosis of OSCC with no other tumors Polymerase chain reaction and DNA direct sequencing were used to identify HPV types in tumors Cases with HPV 16 types 4 Polymerase chain reaction and p16 protein expression by Immunohistochemistry was preformed to determine presence of HPV Cases/Controls 6 with presence of HPV 16 68controls Controlspatients with no history of cancer Elango et al, 2011 Cancer Centre Case Control 60-cases 46controls Cases- tissue samples from diagnosed tongue cancer Controlmatched to cases, but with no cancer 12 Bixofis et al, 2014 Hospital Cohort 78 Patients with SCCO as primary tumor that have not had antineoplastic treatment P16 protein expression by Immunohistochemistry Cases that stained positive for p16 4 Ribeiro et al, 2011 Hospital Case Control 2214cases Cases-Patients with oral cancer Serum samples were taken to test for HPV antibodies Cases and Controls that tested positive for HPV 16 antibodies 5 Serum samples were taken to look for HPV DNA Cases and Controls that tested Seropositive for HPV 16 5 3319controls D’Souza et al, 2007 Hospital Case Control 100cases 200controls ControlsPatients from same area with no cancer CasesPatients with newly diagnosed oropharyngeal cancer Controlspatients without cancer Lundberg et al, 2011 Hospital Cohort 135 Patients treated for HNSCC with adequate paraffinembedded tumor biopsies P16 protein expression by Immunohistochemistry Samples that tested positive for p16 5 Gavid et al, 2013 Hospital Case Study 200 Patients with newly diagnosed HNSCC with no prior history of head DNA detection of HPV and p16 Immunohistochemical staining Samples that tested positive for p16 3 13 and neck cancer Far et al, 2007 Hospital Case Study 140 Patients with dysphagia were tested for squamous cell carcinoma HPV DNA was analyzed through polymerase chain reaction Samples that tested positive for HPV 2 Khanna et al, 2009 Hospital Case Control Study 75- cases Case-Oral cancer and Leukoplakia patients Southern blot hybridization technique was used to detect the presence of HPV 16 Samples that tested positive for HPV 16 4 Polymerase chain reaction and DNA sequencing was used to establish HPV prevalence Cases that tested positive for HPV 5 45controls. Controlnormal oral mucosal Hansson et al, 2005 Hospital Case Control 131cases 320controls Case- Patients with OOSCC and no previous cancer diagnosis ControlPatients with no previous cancer diagnosis, same age, same sex, same region as cases The primary outcomes all determined the existence of HPV 16 in carcinogenic tissues, using various techniques. The main differences were the methods used to determine the prevalence of HPV 16. The main techniques used were Immunohistochemical staining to look for the p16 protein or DNA sequencing to look for HPV 16 specifically. Both prove a prevalence of HPV 16 if found. They are all 14 consistent with each other and share a common primary outcome. This primary outcome fits into the systematic review question of the prevalence of HPV 16 in oral cancer. The quality score was low for the Far et al (2007) study and that was due to low scores in study design and clarity, this eliminated this study from the review. The studies with the highest score; Hansson et al (2005), Lundberg et al (2011), D’Souza et al (2007), and Ribeiro et al (2011) all scored high on clarity and study design which makes them more significant. Only one, Ribeiro et al (2011), did not show consistency with the research by showing no significant correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer. The major differences were the amount of participants in the study. The changes in the included studies due to quality assessment scores is reflected in Figure 2. 15 Records identified through database searching (n = 3,248) Additional records identified through other sources (n = 0) Records screened by titles and abstracts (n = 3,248) Records screened (n = 3,248) Studies included in systematic review (n = 10) Records excluded (n = 3,238) Non full text (n=443) Non English (n=27) Publication not between 2000 and 2016 (n=214) Oral cancer not the only cancer studied (n=2,530) Qualitative studies (n=24) 9 studies with Methodology score of 3 and higherincluded in analysis Figure 2. Flowchart of the design of the systematic review Results The intervention and measures were analyzed to figure the results and find the significance in each study. The significance was measured because it determines whether the alternative hypothesis or the null hypothesis is true. The included studies were evaluated based on the intervention, measures, results, and significance. These criteria showed whether the results were significant. The outcomes of this evaluation is shown in Table 3. 16 Table 3 Results of Included Studies Author Quality Intervention Score Gan et al 2014 4 DNA sampling from tissue Elango et al, 2011 6 Tissue sampling Bixofis et al, 2014 4 Immunohistochemically staining Oral cell sampling Ribeiro et 5 al, 2011 D’Souza et al, 2007 5 Lundberg et al, 2011 Gavid et al, 2013 5 Khanna et al, 2009 4 Hansson et al, 2005 5 3 Measures Results Significance Polymerase chain reaction DNA direct sequencing Polymerase chain reaction P16 protein expression P16 protein expression 39 cases (19.5%) had HPV 16 and 0 controls had HPV 16 Yes, P-values <0.05 HPV was detected in 29 (48%) of cases and 0 of the controls Yes, P-values <0.05 86.3% (67) of cases stained positive for p16 Yes, P-values <0.05 Serum sampling 5.7% of cases tested positive for HPV antibodies and 2.6% of controls tested positive for HPV antibodies 57 (57%) of cases tested Seropositive and 14 (7%) controls tested Seropositive 48 (36%) of biopsies were positive for p16 Not Significant, P-Values >0.05 23 (11%) of biopsies were positive for HPV Not Significant in Oral cavity, PValues >0.05 41 (54.6%) of cases tested positive for HPV 16 and 9 (20%) of controls tested positive for HPV 16 52 (40%) cases were positive for HPV DNA and 3 (0.94%) of controls tested positive Yes, P-values <0.05 Oral-mucosal specimens through cytology brush Immunohistochemistry Serum sampling Biopsy samples and Immunohistochemistry Biopsy samples DNA detection of HPV P16 protein expression Southern blot hybridization Biopsy samples Polymerase chain reaction DNA sequencing P16 protein expression Yes, P-values <0.05 Yes, P-values <0.05 Yes, P-values <0.05 17 These outcomes showed general consistency between studies, with most studies showing significance with p- Values less than 0.05. Ribeiro et al (2011) and Gavid et al (2013) were the only studies with a non-significant p- Value. This is relevant because Ribeiro et al (2011) was the largest case and control population study. Overall the consistency of the results showed that the alternative hypothesis may be accurate and HPV has a relationship with oral cancer. In the majority of the studies the cases had a higher percentage of HPV prevalence than the controls. Figure 3 shows the percentages of positive HPV samples. The cases and the controls are compared and show that the cases have a higher prevalence of HPV virus than the controls. The exception is Ribeiro et al (2011), which had only a small difference between case and control percentages. Figure 3. Prevalence of HPV comparison Figure 4 below shows the difference between the studies that show there is no causal relationship between HPV 16 and oral cancer and those that do show a correlation. On the left side are the studies 18 that proved the null hypothesis and on the right side are the studies that proved the alternative hypothesis. Null Hypothesis Proven Ribeiro et al (2011) Gavid et al, 2013 Alternative Hypothesis Proven Gan et al 2014 Elango et al, 2011 Bixofis et al, 2014 D’Souza et al, 2007 Lundberg et al, 2011 Khanna et al, 2009 Hansson et al, 2005 Figure 4. Results of systematic analysis Figures 3 and 4 show that there are similarities between the data within the studies and a metaanalysis is appropriate. The patients within each study are similar, patients with oral carcinogenic tissue were compared against those with only healthy tissue. The studies all compared similar exposures and reported similar outcomes. In order to check if the results are homogenous and the confidence intervals are relative to each other a forest plot needed to be created. Figure 5 is the created forest plot showing that it is appropriate to perform a meta-analysis. 19 Study Gan et al, 2014 Elango et al, 2011 Ribeiro et al, 2010 D' Souza et al, 2007 Lundberg et al, 2011 Hansson et al, 2005 Grand Total ES -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Risk Ratio Figure 5. Forest Plot Figure 5 shows a forest plot that showcases that the study’s results are similar enough to perform a systematic review. Ribeiro et al (2011) has a long length to its line, which means it has a higher gap between confidence intervals. This shows a less effective treatment result. The forest plot also shows small squares which represent the size of the study. These studies all have smaller size participants. The forest plot shows that the estimates are not varied and the confidence intervals overlap. This means the data can be analyzed together. 20 Discussion Oral cancer rates have been increasing, even though prevalence of the main risk factors, tobacco and alcohol use, have decreased (Elango et al, 2011). This leads to the supposition that other risk factors need to be identified in order to decrease prevalence. Research has suggested that HPV can be an independent risk factor for cancers (OCF, 2015). High risk HPV, like HPV 16, causes cell changes and are considered more likely to grow into cancer (American Cancer Society (ACS), 2015). The more scientific evidence that can be found on the prevalence of HPV in carcinogenic tissue, the more it will help to support HPV as a causative agent for cancer. Analyzing studies that look at the prevalence of HPV 16 in oral cancer will help to support this theory and prevention measures can be implemented around this virus. This systematic review was performed using nine studies that tested for the prevalence of HPV 16 in carcinogenic tissue, and those that compared the amount of virus in cancerous versus noncancerous tissue. All of these studies looked for the prevalence of HPV 16 in tissues. The objective was to combine the data in order to see if there was a causal relationship between oral cancer tissue and HPV 16. The findings of this review suggest that there is a causal relationship between HPV 16 and oral cancer. The results suggest that there is a high rate of HPV 16 in carcinogenic oral tissue, and that when compared to the rate in non-carcinogenic tissue there is a difference in virus counts. This suggests that HPV 16 may have a causal relationship with oral cancer, making it a possible risk factor. It is supposed by many cancer related professional organizations and researchers that HPV 16 can be a cause of oral cancer (ACS, 2015, American Dental Association, 2012, CDC, 2016, and OCF, 2015). Seven of the analyzed studies showed a high prevalence of HPV 16 in oral carcinogenic tissues (Gan et al, 2014, 21 Elango et al, 2011, Bixofis et al, 2014, D’Souza et al, 2007, Lundberg et al, 2011, Khanna et al, 2009, and Hansson et al, 2005). Two of the analyzed studies show no significant prevalence of HPV 16 in tissues (Gavid et al, 2013, and Ribeiro et al, 2011). When the data is analyzed together it shows the possibility of a relationship between HPV 16 and oral cancer. This adds to the body of knowledge of studies showing a correlation between HPV and oral cancer, and helps to support the theory that HPV is a human carcinogen. The similarities between the studies allows for a discussion of the possibility of HPV as a causal agent in oral cancer. The studies all tested for the significance of the virus in oral cancer tissues, the scope of the data was if there were or were not significant levels of virus in tissues. All but two of the studies showed that there were significant levels of virus in oral cancer tissue. The analyzed data shows a correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer, which answers the review question. The Health Belief Model is a value-expectancy model based on the principal that behavior change will only happen if the benefits outweigh the cost of the change. The attitudes and beliefs of the individual are the main motivators for change. An individual has a need to feel like they are susceptible to the condition and that the condition is serious (DiClemente, Salazar, and Crosby, 2013). This study shows a possible correlation between HPV and oral cancer. This information will help to influence attitudes and beliefs of the individual toward vaccination. The results help to show that there is risk, clear consequences of the risks, and a specific action that can be taken to prevent the risk. These results show a connection between the virus and oral cancer, which supports the perceived susceptibility and perceived severity of the virus. This will help change attitudes toward HPV vaccination using the Health Belief Model. 22 Limitation of the Study There are limitations in this review in regards to the inclusion criteria. Non-English articles were excluded due to the author’s inability to translate other languages. There was also no other individual to cross check the studies or the data. Publication bias may also have been introduced because the author did not search all registers for unpublished trials. This was due to lack of time and resources. The author has an educational history with oral health and that may introduce a professional bias by preventing an unbiased assessment of the research. The author addressed this potential bias by evaluating and including every study that researched a relationship between HPV and oral cancer. The included studies had to be testing for viral loads within carcinogenic tissue, and the results were not taken into consideration until data extraction. In the included studies viral loads were assessed in healthy and unhealthy individuals in various demography, race, age, sex, and geography, yet there were still some weaknesses in the studies that effect generalizability. All the primary outcomes were homogenous in the included studies. One study was eliminated due to a low quality score, Far et al (2007), and that was due to bad study design and lack of clarity within the study. Two of the included studies had different results than the others; Ribeiro et al (2011) and Gavid et al (2013). These studies showed no significance in the viral load between samples. Three studies could not be included in the forest plot; Bixofis et al (2014), Gavid et al (2013), and Khanna et al (2009). This was due to lack of data and the authors lack of resources to generate the missing data. Half of the included studies had sample sizes that were less than 100 participants and only one study had over a 1,000 participants. This effects the generalizability of the study. More studies should be done with larger pools of participants for real generalizability. 23 The majority of the included studies showed significance with a p-value of < 0.05, which shows validity within the included studies and in the results of this systematic review. Even with these limitations the results show a connection between HPV and oral cancer. These limitations reflect a need for further research in order to show a strong causal relationship. Recommendations Future research should attempt to address the above mentioned limitations. Even with limitations the research question was answered. All the studies showed a statistical significance when evaluating the level of virus in oral cancer tissues, thus showing a correlation between HPV and carcinogenic oral tissue. There are recommendations that would improve the quality of research and add strength to the scientific argument that there is a casual relationship between this virus and oral cancer. A more thorough analysis of studies in different languages might lead to the inclusion of more studies. The addition of a statistical analysis by a mathematical professional might lead to more data extraction. These recommendations would lead to a systematic review with less limitations. Further research that should be done when conducting studies should include larger data pools. The main limitation to the included studies was the size of participants within the research studies. This systematic review shows a correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer, building on these results shows a need for more research with larger data pools for increased scientific credibility. The results of this review show that larger studies would be valuable and are needed. These large participant based studies would be a good use of resources. Implementation for Social Change This review provides further data showing the potential HPV has a human carcinogenic. This information can be used by physicians and people of trust to further show evidence of the benefit to 24 vaccination against this virus. The correlation between HPV 16 and oral cancer is shown, which means that this vaccine can be considered preventative against this form of cancer. Proving that HPV causes multiple cancers would create a stronger motivation for parents to get their children vaccinated. This information will also help to motivate policy changes supporting the HPV vaccination. The more children vaccinated the better the health of the population as a whole. The more information gathered that shows HPV as a human carcinogenic the more credence will be given to prevent infection of this disease. Preventative initiatives should be created with this data. Public health professionals should use this information to promote prevention of HPV infection. Initiatives should be created endorsing the need for HPV vaccination. This study shows that prevention of this virus may lead to decreased oral cancer rates. The more people vaccinated the less incidence of oral cancer. Treatments should also be developed for oral cancer with this information. When treating oral cancer, the virus should be looked for and a specific treatment plan should be designed with this information. Conclusion Preventing HPV infections will increase the general health of the population. The more known about risk factors for disease the better we are able to prevent disease. Understanding various human carcinogenics will help to combat and prevent cancers, thus improving the health of the community. It is essential to understand all the factors that cause disease within the population in order to increase the education of the population. An educated population will be motivated to make better health decisions. This information will help to change the attitudes and beliefs of parents towards this vaccination. 25 References American Cancer Society. (2015). HPV and cancer. The American Cancer Society. Retrieved from http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancercauses/othercarcinogens/infectiousagents/hp v/hpv-andcancer-info American Dental Association. (2012). Statement on human papilloma virus and squamous cell cancers of the oropharynx. American Dental Association. Retrieved from http://www.ada.org/en/aboutthe-ada/ada-positions-policies-and-statements/statement-on-human-papillomavirus-andsquamous-cel Ault, K. (2006). Epidemiology and natural history of human papillomavirus infections in the female genital tract. Infect Dis Obstet Gynecol. 2006:40470. Doi: 10.1155/IDOG/2006/40470 Bixofis, R., Sassi, L., Patussi, C., Jung, J., Ioshii, S., and Schussel, J. (2014). Significance of p16 positive expression in oropharyngeal cancer. 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