Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
1 COURSE SYLLABUS 1. STAT 260:002 – Basic Statistics Course Number 3470:260:008 2. Time 12:15PM-1:30PM BLDG/ROOM KO 51 Office Hours and Phone Numbers of Instructor: Instructor Dr. Desale Habtzghi 3. Days TTH Spring 2013 Office Location CAS 118 Office Phone Email Address (330) 972-8436 [email protected] Office Hrs TWTH 10:00-11:00 or by appointment Required Supplies: Textbook and Materials: Text: Intro Stats, De Veaux, Velleman, Bock, Pearson/Addison Wesley Calculator: The TI-83 Plus or the TI-84 is recommended if the student intends to purchase a calculator 4. Course Description: A Conceptual approach to the basic ideas of statistics and statistical thinking. Topics include: descriptive statistics, probability and uncertainty, statistical inference and prediction, computer application of all of the forgoing. 5. Course Objectives: In this course, students will develop the ability to : Calculate and interpret basic descriptive statistics. Expose the students to the ideas and concepts of statistics, probability and statistical models used for decision support in different areas of their life. Describe and use properties of basic probability distributions. Perform statistical inference in the form of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests. Evaluate statistical information in the world around them. Analyze data using basic statistical methods. Provide a sound basis in statistics for the student’s future academic and professional careers. 6. 7. Attendance: Attendance will be taken on some random days in the semester. Students are responsible for all material covered in class. If you are absent make arrangements with a classmate to borrow the notes and any handouts from them. Homework and quizzes: Homework will be assigned on Tuesday and will be collected the following Tuesday. Homework will be used for class discussion, quizzes and on tests. Any homework turned in late has no guarantee of being graded. There will be approximately 10 homework assignments, 8-10 activities/ group work assignments during the semester. Activities/group work will be given in class. The homework assignments, activities/group work and lab are important components of this course. Homework, activities/group work and lab 2 together count for 200 points of the course grade. Absolutely no make-ups are given for in-class activities or group work assignments collected. However, at the end of the semester, one activity/group work grade will be dropped to compute the activity/group work average. Note: Group work assignments, quizzes may be announced or unannounced 8. Computer Lab: You are required to attend lab at your assigned computer lab time each week. Lab is held in CAS 108/109. The purpose of the computer lab is to give students hands on experience in using and analyzing statistics with real data. You will be working with a statistical package called Minitab. No experience is needed. 9. Seeking help: If you need additional help, please use my office hours or make an appointment with me. In addition, the Department of Statistics provides graduate student tutors in room CAS 125. (Check the posted schedule for availability). This is a wonderful resource and I recommend that you schedule your time so that you can get help from the graduate assistants. Forming small study groups to work outside of class has been found to be an effective way of learning Statistics. Make sure that when working in groups you work toward understanding the concepts which the problem is dealing with, Not just getting the answer. Exams: There will be 4 exams including the final in this course 10. Tentative exam dates: Test Dates : Test 1 Feb 7 Test 2 March 7 Test 3 April 11 Final ; May 6, 8:00am to 9:55 am in SHS 145 Exam make-up policy: Students will be permitted to make up exams provided they have a University excuse (e.g., medical) or other legitimate excuse that the instructor has OK'd prior to the missed exam. 11. Grading : Course work Exam 1-3 ( Midterm exam) Final exam Homework, activities/group work Weight 300 points 120 points 100 points Lab work 100 points A total of 620 points is possible in the class. The following grading scale will be used: Grade Scale : 90% - 100% A, 80% - 89% B, 65% - 79% C, 55% - 64% D, 0% - 54% F A plus or minus grade may be given if your course total falls just below one of the cutoffs. 3 12. Add/Drop/Withdraw policy: No signatures needed Add Instructor, Advisor Dean sign.. needed Last day to add January 14-January 20 Last day to drop without “WD” January 21-28 Drop/withdraw Last day to withdraw from class January 28 January 28 March 3 Important days Spring break March 25-31 Final Instructional day May 5 13. Cell Phones: Cell phones are not permitted to be used in the classroom -- that includes texting. Topic Outline by Week – Suggested Problems in (…) Week 1 : Ch1, Ch2 Population, Sample, Categorical Quantitative (1, 3, 13, 15, 21, 23) Ch3 Freq Table, Bar Charts, Pie Charts, Conditional (6, 7, 15, 29, 33, 34) Week 2 : Ch4 Histogram, Stem and Leaf, Dot Plots, Shape (symmetric skewed left right) Center (median, mean- parameter and Statistic), Spread (range, quartiles (odd-median in both halves), define percentiles – find quartiles,IQR, Variance, Standard Deviation- parameter and Statistic) (9, 11, 10,13, 14, 18, 23, 24, 29, 34, 37, 41) Week 3 : Ch 5 Box Plots, Fence Outliers (5, 6, 8,22, 34, 44) Box plots, 52 Box Plots Outliers) Ch7 Scatterplot (positive, negative and no association) (6,11,12), Ch 12 Parameter Statistics, Sampling Frame, Simple Random Sample, Stratified Sample, Systematic Sample, Cluster Samples (1, 3, 4), Ch 6: Z scores-number of sd above or below the mean (7,10). 4 Week 4 : Review Test 1 Week 5: Ch14 Sample Space Event, LLN, Relative Frequency Approach, Properties (1, 2, 11, 25, 26, 32) Ch15 Event Operations and Probability (or, and), use contingency Tables, Marginal and Cond. Prob , Independence P(A|B) = P(A) (5, 6, 27, 31) Week 6 : Ch 16 Random Variables, Discrete, Probability Model (Prob table), Continuous, Expectation, Variance and Standard Deviation (no Computation) (1, 2, 4, 6), Ch 17 Binomial Model (setting, parameters, mean) (Binomial yes or no 1, 2), Ch 6 Z Scores, Normal, Standard Normal , N(,), Percentiles (39, 40, 43, 44, 47) Week 7: Ch 18 Sampling Distribution, Sample mean example, Central Limit Theorem (proportions and means) , SD(.) (3ab, 4ab, 31ab) Week 8 Review , Test 2 Week 9: Ch 19 Confidence Interval for Proportions, Margin of Error, Sample Size (4, 7, 11, 13, 33, 35), Ch 20 and 21 Hypothesis Testing For Proportions, Hypotheses (Null and Alternative), Test Statistic, P – Value, Conclusion, Type I Error, Type II Error , Significance (Ch 20 :1, 2, 13, 14, 15 Ch 21 : 1, 2 17, 25, 26) Week 10 : Ch 23 t – tables, t –Mean Confidence Interval, t – Test one Mean, Range for P – Value (1, 14bce, 17ac, Run t test = .05 for 31, 32, 37) Week 11 : Ch 25 Paired Data, t – test, Confidence Interval (5b run test = .05, 24 sd = 7.44 a) 95% CI b) test for improvement = .05, 25, 26n = 10 sd = 1.41, 29, 31) Week 12 : Review Test 3 Week 13 : Ch 24 Inference Difference of Two Means, Confidence intervals and Hypothesis Tests, Modified df = smaller of n1 – 1 and n2 -1. (4, 7, 12, 13, 31 = .05, 35ab, 42, 43). Week 14 : Ch 26 Goodness of Fit Chi Square Distribution, Test of Independence (2, 3, 4, 29, 30) Ch 8 Regression (Notations, scatterplots, Point Estimators, Prediction, Test of Slope, Correlation – All From Print outs Week 15 : Regression, General Review 5