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Galaxy Formation, Theory and Modelling Shaun Cole (ICC, Durham) Collaborators: Geraint Harker John Helly Adrian Jenkins Hannah Parkinson 25th October 2007 ICC Photo: Malcolm Crowthers Outline An Introduction to the Ingredients of Galaxy Formation Models Recent improvements/developments (Parkinson, Cole & Helly 2007) Modelling Galaxy Clustering Dark matter merger trees Constraints on s8 Conclude (Harker, Cole & Jenkins 2007) Galaxy Formation Physics The hierarchical evolution of the dark matter distribution The structure of dark matter halos Gas heating and cooling processes within dark matter halos Galaxy mergers Star formation and feedback processes AGN formation and feedback processes Stellar population synthesis and dust modelling Dark Matter Gas The hierarchical evolution of the dark matter distribution • Lacey & Cole trees (extended PressSchechter) • Simulation from the Virgo Aquarius project • Parkinson, Cole and Helly trees Lacey & Cole (1993) The hierarchical evolution of the dark matter distribution • Millennium Simulation (movie and merger trees) • Lacey & Cole trees • Parkinson, Cole and Helly trees Lacey & Cole (1993) The hierarchical evolution of the dark matter distribution • Lacey & Cole trees (extended PressSchechter) • Simulation from the Virgo Aquarius project • Parkinson, Cole and Helly trees Lacey & Cole (1993) EPS Merger Trees (Lacey & Cole 1993, Cole et al 2000) Parkinson, Cole and Helly 2007 Parkinson, Cole and Helly 2007 Insert an empirically motivated factor into this merger rate equation G0 0.61, 1 0.27, 2 0.0 Sheth-Tormen or Jenkins universal mass function is a good fit to N-body results at all redshifts. Thus we require: f ST ( M ) f ST (m) FPCH (m | M )dm f ST (m) f ST ( M ) f PCH (m | M )dM Very nearly consistent with the universal ShethTormen/Jenkins Mass Function ( z ) / s ( m) The structure of dark matter halos NFW profiles, but with what concentration Neto et al 2007 Gas heating and cooling processes within dark matter halos Standard Assumptions: Gas initially at virial temperature with NFW or bmodel profile All gas within cooling radius cools Improved models being developed (McCarthy et al): Initial power law entropy distribution Cooling modifies entropy and hydrostatic equillibrium determines modified profile. Explicit recipe for shock heating Helly et al. (2002) Galaxy mergers Galaxy orbits decay due to dynamical friction • Lacey & Cole (1993) – Analytic – Point mass galaxies – Orbit averaged quantities t DF 0.5 f ( )VC rc2 / CGm ln( ) • Jiang et al 2007 (see also Boylan-Kolchin et al 2007) Star formation and feedback processes Rees-Ostriker/ Binney cooling argument cannot produce M* break Cole et al 2000 Feedback needed at faint end Benson & Bower 2003 AGN formation and feedback processes SN feedback not enough as we must affect the bright end AGN always a sufficient energy source but how is the energy coupled Demise of cooling flows Benefits LF modelling as heats without producing stars Bower et al 2006 Stellar population synthesis and dust modelling Library of Stellar Spectra ✶ ✶ ✶ ✶ Rate ✶ Star Formation Stars ✶ ✶ and ✶ Metallicity as a Function ✶ of✶Time + IMF assumption Convolution Machine Dust Modelling Galaxy SED Stellar population synthesis and dust modelling Many Stellar Population Synthesis codes (eg Bruzual & Charlot, Pegase, Starburst99) are quite mature. But they aren’t necessarily complete. Maraston (2005) showed that TPAGB stars can make a dominant contribution in the NIR. Maraston 2005 Semi-analytic Modelling DM and Gas density profile Dark Matter Merger Trees Gas cooling rates Galaxy merger rates Semi-Analytic Model Luminosities, colours Morphology Star formation, feedback, SPS Positions and velocities Structure & Dynamics Star formation rate, ages, metallicities Semi-analytic + N-body Techniques Harker, Cole & Jenkins 2007 • Use a set of N-body simulations with varying cosmoligical parameters. • Populate each with galaxies using Monte-Carlo DM trees and the GALFORM code. • Compare the resulting clustering with SDSS observations and constrain cosmological parameters. 5123 Particles in 300 Mpc/h box Benson Harker, Cole & Jenkins 2007 Two grids of models with s 8 0.8(0.3) 0.5 s 8 0.9(0.3) 0.5 0.5 0.5 -- Grid 1 -- Grid 2 and varying Achieved by rescaling particle masses and velocities (Zheng et al 2002) Harker, Cole & Jenkins 2007 For each (scaled) N-body output we have two variants of each of three distinct GALFORM models. 1. Low baryon fraction (Cole et al 2000) 2. Superwinds (Baugh et al 2005 aka M) 3. AGN-like feedback (C2000hib) Each model is adjusted to match the observed r-band LF. Select a magnitude limited sample with the same space density as the best measured SDSS sample. Compare clustering and determine best fit. Zehavi et al 2005 Comparison of models all having the same s 8. Clustering strength primarily dependent on s 8 I.E. Galaxy bias predicted by the GALFORM model is largely independent of model details. s8 s8 The constraint on s 8 s8 s 8 0.97 0.06 s8 s 8 0.97 0.06 How Robust is this constraint? • For this dataset the error on s 8 (including statistical and estimated systematic contributions) is small and comparable to that from WMAP+ estimates. • The values do not agree, with WMAP3+ preferring (Spergel et al 2007) s 8 0.75 0.05 • If the method is robust we should get consistent results for datasets with different luminosity and colour selections. The constraint on s8 from b-band 2dFGRS data High values still Generally preferred. Norberg 2002+ None of the models produce observed dependence of clustering strength on luminosity over the full range of the data. More modelling work required. Conclusions Significant improvements in our understanding and ability to model many of the physical processes involved in galaxy formation have been made in recent years. They are not yet all incorporated in Semi-Analytic models Big challenges remain in modelling stellar and AGN feedback Clustering predictions from galaxy formation models can be more predictive and provide more information than purely statistical HOD/CLF descriptions. Comparisons with extensive survey data can place interesting constraints on galaxy formation models and/or cosmological parameters