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ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) © Pilot Publishing Company Ltd. 2001 All rights reserved. This publication is copyright but permission is given to teachers of schools which have adopted Elementary Economics for Hong Kong (4th Edition) as the course book to make limited copies as instructional material within their schools. Except for the case specified above, no other copies or duplication processes of this publication can be made without the written permission of the publisher, including copying in large quantities, using the publication outside the classroom, passing or selling the publication to third parties, storing it in a retrieval system, or teachers of schools which have not adopted the book using it. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Contents 1. Introduction 1 2. National Income 2 3. Money 4 4. The Banking and Financial System of Hong Kong 7 5. Banking: the Process of Deposit Creation 10 6. Unemployment, Inflation and Business Cycle 12 7. Public Finance 15 8. International trade: Theoretical Principles 18 9. Free Trade and Trade Restrictions 21 10. Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments 25 11. Hong Kong's International Trade 28 Websites for Reference 29 © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 2 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.1 Introduction Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. Students find it difficult to distinguish between microeconomics and macroeconomics. It is not so urgent to let them know the differences. They will learn the differences in the course of time. The most important thing teachers should do before starting a formal lesson or opening the textbook, is to hold a discussion with students. The themes of the discussion can be as follows: • What are the biggest economic problems that Hong Kong economy is facing now? • If I were the government, what should I do to safeguard people’s standard of living? Students might suggest different economic problems. The job of teachers is to help students analyse them and if possible, make a clear classification of them according to the macroeconomics topics. For instance, students may point out the fact that prices are going up. Teachers should then ask the students why rising prices create economic problems and help them understand the importance of stable prices. Teachers can follow on and introduce the terms ‘inflation’ and ‘general price level’, telling students that these key concepts in macroeconomics will be dealt with in Chapter 6. Right after the discussion, teachers may ask students to take a close look at the table of contents on the first few pages of the textbook. Teachers should tell students what they will learn from the various chapters in general. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 1 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.2 National Income Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. The circular flow of national income In a simple relationship among output, expenditure and income, explain why these three variables are all equal in monetary terms. The three different approaches of measuring national income: • The meaning of ‘final goods’ and how to avoid double counting • Why transfer payments should be deducted from GNP calculations • The interrelationship among GNP, GDP, NNI, NNP and NDP — simple blackboard calculations would help • The meaning of ‘value added’ • The meaning of ‘GDP at factor cost’: to get the value of national income at factor cost, we have to deduct indirect business taxes less subsidies from the corresponding national income. GDP at Factor Cost = GDP – (Indirect Business Taxes – Subsidies) GDP = GNP – (Factor Income from Abroad – Factor Income Paid Abroad) Production side – Since GDP is concerned only with goods and services produced by resident producing units within the country or territory, in the calculation of GDP, we do not care who generates the income, we only care whether the products are produced by resident producing units or not. Income side – GNP focuses on the income earned by the residents of a country or territory by engaging in various economic activities irrespective of whether the activities are carried out within or outside the territory. For more detailed study about GDP and GNP, please refer to “Understanding the concepts of GDP and GNP” by Census and Statistics Department, HKSAR. According to ‘System of National Accounts’ published in 1993 by IMF, UN and OECD, etc., several concepts should be clarified as below: (a) Illegal tradings, unreported transactions are supposed to be estimated and included in the calculation of GDP. (b) Not all non-marketed goods are excluded from GDP calculation, only those mentioned on p.11 are excluded. (c) The implicit GNP deflator is computed by the method described on p.32. GDP at market price (d) Real GDP is not obtained by , detailed method please refer GDP deflator to documents issued by the Census and Statistics Department. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 2 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 2 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. D 2. D 3. C 4. D 5. B Short Questions 1. (a) (b) 2. (i) (ii) GDP emphasizes on the total market value of goods and services produced by resident producing units of an economy; (2 marks) while GNP emphasizes on the total income of the residents of an economy. (2 marks) (i) $5000 x 6 = $30 000 (2 marks) (ii) $30 000 + $10 000 x 3 = $60 000 (2 marks) By expenditure approach, the GNP is $12 000 (which is expenditure on final goods). (2 marks) By output approach, the GNP is $12 000, i.e., {($2 000 – 0) + ($6 000 – $2 000) + ($12 000 – $6 000)}. (2 marks) 3. Peter is correct. (1 mark) The new house was built in 1994, the contribution to GDP is the total expenditure on the construction at that year. (2 marks) 4. Since non-marketed goods and services are not counted in GNP statistics, GNP figures will underestimate the living standard of a country if a significant level of non-marketed goods and services are consumed by consumers. (4 marks) 5. • • Contribution to GDP refers to the value added of the production process. Therefore, cost of material should be excluded from this $228 800. (3 marks) Some of the flowers were produced in 1996 and sold in 1997. They were not included in GDP of 1997. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 3 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch. 3 Money Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. The barter economy Teachers should explain clearly the limitations of the barter economy, e.g., lack of double coincidence of wants. How does money solve the problems of a barter economy? • With the use of money, all goods are priced in terms of money. People can use money to exchange for what they want, there is no need to have double coincidence of wants. • In a barter economy, there is a lack of a common measure of value. Goods are swapped for one another. The exchange ratios between goods may be different with different individuals. Even if the exchange ratio is fixed for each pair of goods, the multiplication of goods, as the economy grows, will lead to a multiplication of exchange ratios. Consequently, people are confused with the exchange ratios and it is very difficult to determine how much money is needed to exchange for another good. With the use of money, the values of goods are clearly shown by the prices. There is no more confusion. • In a barter economy, indivisibility of goods may hinder transactions. However, all transactions of various volumes can be entertained in a monetary economy, because money is divisible. Functions of money The most important function of money is a medium of exchange. Another important function is a store of value. M1, M2 and M3 are classified according to these two important functions of money. Qualities of money Students may have no difficulties in understanding the qualities of money, but some may regard scarcity as the most important quality of money. In fact, the most important quality of money is its acceptability. Without its acceptability, money will be nothing more than a piece of paper or metal. The issuing of notes in Hong Kong Explain the different roles performed by the note-issuing banks, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Exchange Fund. Money supply Give clear definitions of money supply — M1, M2 and M3 — by explaining the different components of M1, M2 and M3, so that students will be able to point out their differences. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 4 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 3 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. 5. C C 2. 6. D B 3. 7. B C 4. 8. D B Structured Questions 1 (a) (b) 2. (a) (b) (c) No. Cattle were not a good form of money because of the following reasons: • Cattle are not portable. It is troublesome to carry them about from place to place. (2 marks) • Cattle are not divisible. No one wants a dead cow divided into pieces. It is impossible to engage in transactions worth less than one cow. (2 marks) • Cattle are not homogeneous. Some are fatter, older or bigger in size. (2 marks) • Cattle are not durable. Diseases may kill them. (2 marks) • MONDEX cards serve as a medium of exchange as they are accepted for payments. However, there is a limit to the payment it can support. (2 marks) • MONDEX cards do not have intrinsic value like gold. Its value is based on the stored value of the card, which is limited. These cards are thus not a good store of value. (2 marks) • MONDEX cards cannot serve as units of accounts. No one is going to use these cards to measure values. (2 marks) • MONDEX crads are not means of deferred payments as the money is debited right away upon completion of the transaction. (2 marks) Demand deposits serve as a better medium of exchange (1 mark) because payment can be made anytime by cheques. (1 mark) Time deposits have a maturity period and are not readily available for use. (1 mark) Time deposits serve as the best store of value (1 mark) because it gives depositors the highest interest earnings. (2 marks) M1 places more emphasis on the 'medium of exchange' function of money. (2 marks) Time deposits do not perform well as a medium of exchange. 3. (a) (1 mark) M1 decreases by $100 000 because demand deposits decrease by $100 000. (3 marks) Although demand deposits decrease by $100 000, deposits in the form of certificates of deposit increase by $100 000. M2 is thus not affected. (3 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 5 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) (b) M3 remains unchanged as M2 has not been affected. (3 marks) There is no law in Hong Kong to make US dollars a medium of exchange generally acceptable in Hong Kong. (2 marks) Thus, the US$ 100 note is not a legal tender in Hong Kong. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 6 (2 marks) ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.4 The Banking and Financial System of Hong Kong Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. Functions of a central bank • How are central bank functions carried out in Hong Kong? Note that although the Hong Kong Monetary Authority performs some of the functions of a central bank, it is by no means the central bank in Hong Kong. • A central bank is generally a government bank which manages the government’s financial assets and serves as the government’s banker and adviser in the matter of money and banking. – The Hong Kong Monetary Authority helps manage the government’s foreign exchange assets. It therefore performs some of the functions of a government bank. – The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation and the Standard Chartered Bank operate banking accounts on behalf of the government. Thus, they are bankers to the government. – The Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the note-issuing banks all serve as the government’s advisers in the matter of money and banking. Thus, they jointly perform another important function of a government bank. Distinguish licensed banks, restricted licence banks and deposit-taking companies. Hong Kong as a financial centre • Explain briefly the three important financial markets: the capital market, the money market and the foreign exchange market. • Detailed analysis of these markets is not required. Teachers should explain to students that cosmopolitanism and well-developed financial institutions and services are major features of a financial centre. • In recent years, financial markets in Hong Kong experienced rapid growth and development, especially the capital market, which is an important source of finance for corporate borrowers. The two main types of negotiable debt instruments traded are certificates of deposit issued by authorized institutions and commercial papers by other private sector companies. Foreign institutions are actively involved in the tapping of funds from the capital market. In 1989 and 90, the World Bank launched three issues of Hong Kong dollar bonds. • The Exchange Fund Bills launched in 1990 signalled the government’s active effort in the capital market. The bills are available in minimum denominations of HK$500 000 and are issued on a discount basis by tender. All 91-day bills are issued weekly and 182-day bills are issued fortnightly. Regulation of the financial sector • The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is responsible for the supervision of licensed banks, restricted licence banks and deposit-taking companies. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 7 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) • 5. The Securities and Futures Commission, established in 1989, supervises the securities, financial investment and commodities futures industry in Hong Kong. It administers the Securities and Futures Commission Ordinance, the Securities Ordinance, the Protection of Investors Ordinance and the Commodities Trading Ordinance. • The office of the Commissioner of Insurance supervises the insurance industry in Hong Kong. It administers the Insurance Companies Ordinance. Monetary policies • The study of monetary policies is outside the syllabus. A general and brief description of monetary policies is recommended to satisfy inquisitive minds. Teachers should warn students against sweeping statements that suggest causal relationships between monetary policies and inflation/recession. Monetary policies in theory have limitations. Time lag is one of the most important limitations of monetary policies. In practice, they may not be very effective in tackling economic problems. • How the economy performs is determined by many factors. There is no simple solution, such as lowering or increasing interest rates, to an economic problem. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 4 of Textbook Multiple Choice Questions 1. B 2. A 3. D 4. B 5. B 6. B Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) (c) 2. (a) Licensed banks accept all types of deposits. (1 mark) However, restricted licence banks accept only time deposits and negotiable certificates of deposits. They cannot accept demand deposits and savings deposits. (1 mark) Both accept deposits of any maturity. (2 marks) The minimum paid-up capital of licensed banks is $150 million, (1 mark) but that of restricted licence banks is $100 million. (1 mark) • • • • • It issues banknotes. It is the lender of last resort. It has the duty to help banks in difficulties and solve bank crisis. It is a government bank. It serves as a government banker, agent and advisor in the matter of money, banking and finance. It is a bank of central clearance, where cheques are cleared and mutual debts among banks are settled. It carries out monetary policies. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 8 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) (b) • • • • • • It supervises banking activities. (2 marks each, total: 12 marks) It is the lender of last resort. It carries out monetary policies. It supervises banking activities in Hong Kong. It manages the Exchange Fund and stabilizes the exchange value of the Hong Kong dollar. It advises the government on financial and monetary affairs. (Any 4 points, 3 marks each, maximum: 12 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 9 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.5 Banking: the Process of Deposit Creation Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. Deposit creation • The basic assumptions underlying deposit creation should be stated clearly. • The limitations of deposit creation: total deposits created are in practice less than the theoretical maximum because of different limitations. • Remind students that total deposits created usually include the initial deposit. Some students have confusion in the understanding of minimum reserve ratio, cash reserve ratio and liquidity ratio. Banking multiplier Simple calculations can help students grasp the concept of banking multiplier. Note that in reality because of cash leakage or under-utilization of excess reserves, the actual amount of deposits created and the value of banking multiplier are all less than what are theoretically possible. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 5 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. D 2. B 3. C 4. B Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) 2. (a) (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) $1 000 (2 marks) $2 000 (2 marks) 60% (2 marks) An additional $2 000 can be used as loans and this will create a maximum 1 $10 000 . total deposits of $2 000 (4 marks) 20% From June to July, demand deposits increase from $10 to $30. Other things being constant, this means that M1 increases by $20. (2 marks) M1 includes only currency in circulation and demand deposits. (1 mark) In July, the increase in demand deposits is balanced exactly by a decrease in the total sum of savings deposits and time deposits. (2 marks) Thus, M2 remains the same. (1 mark) 20% © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 (2 marks) 10 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) (b) The balance sheet will change as follows: Assets ($) Reserves $ 500 Loans $4 000 Total $4 500 (c) (d) (e) 3. (a) (b) (c) 4. (a) (b) Liabilities ($) Demand Deposits $4 500 Total $4 500 (3 marks) Given a minimum reserve ratio of 20%, the bank should keep $900 as reserves. (1 mark) The reserves fall short of the legal requirement by $900 $500 = $400. (1 mark) Cash can be borrowed from other banks, i.e., inter-bank money, to make up for the shortage (2 marks) or loans can be called back to get the necessary cash. (2 marks) 1 $500 $2 500 (2 marks) 20% Total deposits decrease by $2 500 (1 mark) M1 (before the withdrawal) = $100 + $5 000 = $5 100 (1 mark) M1(after the withdrawal) = $100 + $500 + $2 500 = $3 100 (1 mark) M1 decreases by $2 000 (2 marks) Liabilities because they are money borrowed from depositors. (2 marks) The maximum amount of deposit created would decrease (1 mark) because the maximum banking multiplier is smaller. (1 mark) The actual reserve ratio may be bigger than the required reserve ratio (1 mark) for the following reasons : • banks may be conservative and they keep more reserves than what is required. (1 mark) • excess reserves are not fully utilized as the economy is not good enough and the demand for loans is small. (1 mark) • excess reserves are not fully utilized as the number of qualified borrowers decreases. (1 mark) In this case, there will be no change in total deposits. (1 mark) Deposits of the developer will offset the initial withdrawal by the local buyers later. This is only a switch from one’s deposits to another’s. (3 marks) The overseas remittance gives extra reserves to the banking system. (1 mark) The maximum increase in total deposits 1 $1 million 20% (3 marks) $5 million © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 11 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.6 Unemployment, Inflation and Business Cycle Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Simple calculations on unemployment rate and labour participation rate would be helpful. Distinguish between social costs of unemployment and economic costs of unemployment. Types and causes of unemployment are not required in the public examination because the understanding of these concepts requires theories too advanced for F.4 and F.5 students. Teachers can simply explain that when the economy is not doing well, unemployment will increase and more shops will close down. Inflation • A rise in the general price level reflects the presence of inflation. • How to use GDP/GNP deflator to get GDP/GNP at constant dollars and the inflation rate. • Simple calculations on inflation rate using the price indices would be useful. Note that the causes of inflation are too advanced for F.4 and F.5 students. The spirit of the new syllabus is to provide students with vigorous training in basic concepts. Avoiding complicated theories is important because incomplete or poor learning will give rise to wrong concepts. Thus, the types of inflation, such as cost-push, demand-pull and imported inflation are out of the syllabus. When students ask why inflation occurs, teachers may briefly mention the effects of rising costs of production, rising wages or increasing demand for goods and services, without going into the theoretical models. Distinguish between recession and depression. ‘Business cycle’ is a new addition to the syllabus starting from 1994. It is only meant to give students a general picture of what will happen when the economy goes from one phase to another phase of the cycle. All theories regarding the concept, like those that explain the economic forces that drive the economy from one phase to another, are not required in the public examination. They are too advanced for F.4 and F.5 students. Students may ask whether there is a daily-life example of business cycle. This is again not required in the examination, teachers may give a brief description of the Hong Kong economy in the years 1973–92. • 1973–75 (Recession) The world energy crisis caused a drastic rise in oil prices which did a lot of harm on the Hong Kong economy and the rest of the world. In 1973, the stock market collapsed. The Hong Kong economy experienced a period of recession. Depression came in 1975. • 1975–76 (Recovery) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 12 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) • • • • • Exports expanded rapidly because of enormous overseas demand, resulting in great industrial growth. 1977–82 (Prosperity) During these years, the economy enjoyed high employment and real economic growth at high rates. Prices were going up. 1983–85 (Recession) The property market declined drastically in the years 1982–83 partly because of political uncertainties after 1997. The Chinese government and the British government negotiated and made a Joint Declaration on the political future of Hong Kong after 1997. This confidence crisis retarded the economic growth of Hong Kong. 1985–86 (Recovery) China’s modernization led to the rapid development of Hong Kong’s exporting industries and the growth of re-exports. 1986–88 (Prosperity) The prosperity reached its peak in 1987. In 1988, the economy went downhill. 1989–92 (Recession) The world economy slowed down and so did the US economy and the Hong Kong economy. Unemployment increased. The June-Four Incident caused a collapse in the stock market and a decline in investment because of political uncertainties. In early 1992, the world economy still had no signs of recovery. It was generally believed that the US economy could pick up in the latter half of 1992. The above description is meant to be a general picture of the ups and downs of the Hong Kong economy in the period 1973–92. It is not supported by vigorous theoretical treatment. The division into the four phases of a business cycle is somewhat arbitrary. Nevertheless, the description is helpful in leading students to get the general picture. Teachers must be aware of two facts. First, the Hong Kong economy is strongly supported by the Chinese economy. Second, very often, it is difficult to trace the four phases of a business cycle because the ups and downs are not clearly identifiable. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 6 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. B 2. D 3. C Short Questions 1. When inflation is unexpected, the money returned from debtors to creditors will be lower in real values, i.e., lower purchasing power. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 13 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) It is a redistribution of income from creditors to debtors. (1 mark) 2. It depends on whether he is willing to work or not. If he is willing to find a job and cannot find one, then he is classified as ‘unemployed’. (1 mark) If he is not willing to work, he is not in the labour force, so he should not be classified as ‘unemployed’. (1 mark) If he is working for a payment or profit, he is classified as ‘employed’. (1 mark) 3. The four phases are: prosperity, recession, depression and recovery. (4 marks) Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) 2. (a) (b) 3. (a) (b) (125 110) 100% 110 (1 mark) 13.6% $(300 200) million 100% Real GNP growth rate 200 million (1 mark) 50% Since both the real GNP and deflator increased, money GNP must increase. (2 marks) 125 Money GNP in 2000 $300 100 (1 mark) $375 The GNP deflator has a wider coverage of goods and services, (1 mark) while the CPI only covers those consumer goods. (1 mark) The inflation rate in 2000 He will gain. The real value of the amount of repayment and interest decreased. He will loss. The real value of his income decreased. (1 mark) (2 marks) (1 mark) (2 marks) He will gain. The real value of the repayment and interest will fall. He will loss. The real value of the repayment and interest will rise. (1 mark) (2 marks) (1 mark) (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 14 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.7 Public Finance Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. What is the public sector? Name some institutions, e.g., Trade Development Council, and explain whether they are included in the public sector. Classification of taxes Teachers should remind students of the criteria for tax classification: • Classification according to the incidence of taxation — direct or indirect taxes. Some students fail to distinguish between direct taxes and indirect taxes because they overlook the incidence of taxation. • Classification according to the proportion of income taken as tax when income changes — proportional, progressive or regressive taxes. It is the proportion of income taken as tax that determines the types of taxes. Many students fail to identify this criterion for classification. The classification adopted in the text focuses on the relative effects of the tax on different income groups. A more specific classification is as follows: – Proportional taxes are those taxes for which the proportion of income taken as tax stays the same as income increases. – Progressive taxes are those taxes for which the proportion of income taken as tax rises when income increases. – Regressive taxes are those taxes for which the proportion of income taken as tax decreases when income increases. For example, rates in Hong Kong are regressive. A given sum of rates takes up a decreasing proportion of income as income increases. For the same reason, sales taxes are also regressive. • Graphical analysis of these taxes should be emphasized. Memorizing the definitions of taxes in Hong Kong is not necessary. However, students should be able to give examples of both direct and indirect taxes in Hong Kong. Distinguish between tax revenue and non-tax revenue. It is important to understand the economic effects of taxation and government expenditure. Such an understanding may help students comprehend how the government improves the economy by implementing fiscal policies. Fiscal policies • Like monetary policies, the study of fiscal policies is not required in the public examination. • Fiscal policies can be broadly divided into: – expansionary fiscal policies which consist of a cut in taxes and/or an increase in government expenditures. © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 15 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) – 7. contractionary fiscal policies which consist of an increase in taxes and/or a cut in government spending. • The government may make use of the government budget in implementing expansionary or contractionary fiscal policies. Surplus budgeting is contractionary because government revenue exceeds government expenditure. Deficit budgeting is expansionary because government expenditure exceeds revenue. • Students may ask how the govenment can do something to fight inflation or recession. Teachers may ignore the term fiscal policies, while drawing students’ attention to the economic effects of taxation and government spending. For instance, at times of inflation, increasing taxes may reduce disposable income and dampen investment incentives. Consequently, consumption and investment may decline, and this would curb inflationary movement. • Teachers, however, have to note the limitations of fiscal policies. Lags often exist and fiscal policies may not seem effective. Major proposals in the government budget Teachers may use the latest newspaper cuttings on the HKSAR government budget to help students understand some of the basic concepts involved in this topic. Example: Estimated revenue and expenditure • Proposed tax cuts • Tax allowances • Proposed tax increases • Proposed expenditures in major areas Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 7 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. D 2. D 3. D 4. C 5. D 6. A Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) (c) Direct tax is a tax in which the tax burden cannot be shifted to another person or party. (2 marks) Indirect tax is a tax in which the tax burden can be shifted to another party. (2 marks) Rate is an indirect tax. (1 mark) Property tax is a direct tax. (1 mark) Salaries tax: With a certain range of taxable income, marginal tax rate increases with income, so it is progressive. (2 marks) Beyond a limit of income, overall effective rate of 15% taxes is restricted, so it is proportional. (1 mark) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 16 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Profits tax: The same percentage is taxed to all income earners. Therefore, it is a proportional tax. (1 mark) 2. (a) (b) 3. (a) (b) A sales tax is a tax on goods and services. (1 mark) Sellers will shift the sales tax burden to consumers through raising prices, (1 mark) so the price level will increase. (1 mark) When government increases the profits tax rate, investment will be discouraged. (1 mark) Thus, investment will fall and so as GDP. (2 marks) Direct tax: salaries tax; profits tax (2 marks) Indirect tax: sales tax (1 mark) (i) Policy B: An increase in profits tax will lead to a fall in net profit. (1 mark) It will discourage investment. (1 mark) With less investment, fewer goods and services will be produced. Thus, GDP will fall. (1 mark) (ii) Policy C: The introduction of a sales tax will widen the wealth gap (1 mark) as people in the lower income groups will pay a larger proportion of their income as tax than those in the higher income groups. (2 marks) (iii) Policy A: An increase in tax allowances will reduce the tax on the lower income groups. (1 mark) An increase in standard tax rate will reduce the income of the higher income groups. (1 mark) This will result in a more even distribution of income. (1 mark) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 17 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.8 International Trade: Theoretical Principles Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. Distinguish between absolute advantage and comparative advantage. Note that it is comparative advantage, not absolute advantage, that determines whether trade is desirable or not. Teachers can use hypothetical data to illustrate that trade is not desirable between two countries when their opportunity costs are the same. Study the following table. Unit of Output per Man-hour Country Food A B 2. Clothing 1 2 2 4 Since both countries have the same opportunity cost in producing food and clothing, trade between them is not desirable as there will be no gain from trade. Simple calculations on opportunity costs, terms of trade and gains from trade would be helpful. As students in general are quite weak in opportunity cost calculations, class explanation to some of the related questions from the practice book would be fruitful in consolidating students’ knowledge. Some students ignore units in calculating opportunity costs and produce meaningless ratios, e.g., 1 : 2, they have not shown the understanding that the opportunity cost of producing 1 unit of food is 2 units of clothing forgone. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 8 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. C 2. C 3. C 4. B Structured Questions 1. (a) The table can be re-arranged as follows: Country X Y © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 Production per Man-hour 1 B 1A or 3 1 1 A B or 2 4 18 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Country X should specialize in and export Good A, because it has lower opportunity cost in its production. For each unit of Good A produced, it gives up 1 1 unit of Good B, but Country Y is B. (3 marks) 2 3 (b) Country X has an absolute advantage in the production of Good A (1 mark) because it can produce more of it with given amount of resources than Country Y. (2 marks) (c) Yes. The following terms of trade is mutually acceptable: 1 1 B 1A B (3 marks) 2 3 1 The given terms of trade 1A: B is within the above limits. Thus, trade is 3 mutually beneficial and it will occur. (3 marks) Alternative answer : 1 Locally in Country X: 1A = B 3 1 With trade: 1A = B 3 Gain from trade per unit of good A exported = 0 B (2 marks) Locally in Country Y: 1B = 2A With trade:1B = 3A Gain from trade per unit of good B exported =1A (2 marks) Given that Country X has no gain form trade, but country Y has gains, according to trade theories, trade is still mutually beneficial. (2 marks) (d) (i) Country X specializes in Good A. If 300 units of Good A are exported, 1 according to the terms of trade (1A: B), it will get 100 units of Good B. 3 (1 mark) Locally, it can also get 100 units of Good B, if it gives up producing 300 units of Good A with the same resources. (1 mark) Thus, there are no gains from trade. (1 mark) 1 (ii) Locally in Country X, 1A B 3 With trade, 1A = 0.5B Therefore, after adding in the transportation cost, Country X’s gains from trade per unit of good A exported 1 = 0.5B B 0.1B (0.1B = transportation cost) 3 = 0.5B 0.33B 0.1B = 0.07B (3 marks) Locally in Country Y, 1B = 2A © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 19 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Terms of trade (with transportation cost ) 1.1B = 2A 1B = 1.82 A Country Y loses 0.18 unit of A per unit of good B exported. Since trade is not mutually beneficial, there will be no trade. 2. (a) (b) (c) 3. (a) (b) (3 marks) (1 mark) A country is said to have an absolute advantage over others if it is able to produce more of a good with the same amount of resources. (2 marks) A country is said to have a comparative advantage over others if it is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than other countries. (2 marks) The law of comparative advantage states that the total output will increase as long as countries specialize in producing goods in which they have a comparative advantage. (2 marks) • Wars or political unrest in the trading areas. • The terms of trade is not mutually beneficial. • Transportation cost may be too high. (2 marks each, total: 6 marks, elaboration is needed) The statement argues that specialization is based on absolute advantage. Countrie should specialize in productions with comparative advantage, not absolute advantage. (2 marks) The Law has been wrongly stated. The law of comparative advantage states that the total output will increase as long as countries specialize in producing goods in which they have a comparative advantage. (2 marks) Differences in opportunity costs imply that comparative advantage exists and there are potential gains from trade. (2 marks) Whether trade will actually take place or not depends on the terms of trade , and the costs of conducting trade, e.g., transportation, which jointly determine the actual gains from trade. (2 marks) Trade will not occur when actual gains from trade are negative for any trading partner. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 20 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.9 Free Trade and Trade Restrictions Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. Explain, with the aid of diagrams, how different forms of trade restrictions help reduce imports. Note that quotas are more effective than tariffs in restricting imports because: • The effect of a tariff is dampened if the demand for imports is inelastic. • A quota specifies the upper limit of imports and thus its effect is guaranteed. There are too many arguments for and against trade restrictions. The teacher can arrange a debate on this. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 9 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. B 2. D 3. B Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) (c) Free trade refers to the unrestricted exchange of goods and services among nations. (2 marks) (i) Free trade improves the standard of living because a bigger variety of goods can be consumed by people in trading nations at lower prices. (2 marks) (ii) Free trade provides more employment because trade activities increase and there are more investments and expansion in the trading sector. (2 marks) (iii) Free trade increases price stability because the shortage of goods or resources can be overcome by the importation of foreign goods or resources. (2 marks) Trade restrictions may help protect local industries and employment because imports are reduced. (1 mark) However, it slows down the improvement of local industries. (1 mark) It also reduces the amount of goods available to local residents. People have to pay more for imports. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 21 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) 2. (a) Shoes from Country X Price ($) S2 S1 P2 P1 D S1 0 (b) (c) Q2 Quantity/period Q1 (2 marks) The quota will raise the equilibrium price of the shoes from Country X but decrease its equilibrium quantity. (2 marks) Product diversification: devloping new industries and products. (2 marks) Developing new markets other than Country Y. (2 marks) Raising the quality of the shoes exported to increase sales revenue even though the maximum quantity of exports is fixed by the quota. (2 marks) (i) Shoes made in Country Y Price ($) S P2 P1 D2 D1 0 Quantity/period Q1 Q2 Shoes from Country X and local shoes made in Country Y are substitutes. (1 mark) Since the shoes from Country X become more expensive after the imposition of the quota, people will increase the demand for local shoes. (2 marks) Both the equilibrium price and quantity of local shoes will rise. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 22 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) (ii) 3. (a) Total revenue of shoes manufacturers will increase. (2 marks) As local shoes industry increases output, there will be greater employment in Country Y. (2 marks) (b) Toys consumers in Country B suffer from higher prices of imported toys. (2 marks) Since the quantity imported also decreases, they have a smaller quantity of imported toys to choose from. (2 marks) The quota sets a maximum quantity of imported toys.Thus, the effect of quota on the quantity of imported toys is certain. (2 marks) The effect of the tariff on the quantity of imported toys depends on the price elasticity of demand for the imported toys. In case demand is inelastic, the decrease in the quantity of imported toys is limited. (2 marks) (c) • The local toys industry may rely too much on the subsidies and such reliance will restrict its growth in efficiency. • The money alloted for the subsidies has alternative uses. Subsidizing the local toys industry may not be the best use. • Other industries may also apply for subsidies and it is financially impossible for the government to entertain all requests. • (d) 4. (a) (b) Subsidizing a local industry is against the principle of a free economy. (Any 2 points, 2 marks each, maximum: 4 marks ) Since the per-unit tariff is $10, which is very high, the percentage increase in the equilibrium price of cheaper imported toys will be very great too. (1 mark) People in Country B may demand less of the imported toys, but more of the toys produced locally. (1 mark) Expensive toys with better quality may have a smaller percentage increase in the prices because of the tariff. Thus, the expensive toys may suffer from a smaller decline in demand or sales. (1 mark) In conclusion, the quality of toys exported from Country A will improve. (1 mark) Mainland China will engage in more direct trade with other trading nations. (1 mark) China and other countries will make less use of Hong Kong as an entrepot . (1 mark) The volume of Hong Kong entrepot trade will decline. (2 marks) Local motor vehicles industry in Mainland China are not well developed as their counterparts in U.S.A, Europe and Japan. (1 mark) The demand for locally produced vehicles will fall as consumers increase their demand for imported cars. (2 marks) The sales revenue of the local motor vehicle industry will fall. (1 mark) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 23 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) (c) Since China is open to the world, China will have more imports and exports. (2 marks) The volume of China trade increases. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 24 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.10 Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines • • • Distinguish between balance of trade and balance of payments. Distinguish between visible and invisible items of the current account. Classify payments and receipts correctly so that they appear in the right accounts. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 10 of Textbook Multiple-choice Questions 1. B 2. A 3. B 4. D 5. C Structured Questions 1. (a) (b) The balance of trade is the difference between the values of visible exports and imports of a country. (2 marks) (i) Hong Kong may increase textile exports to the U.S.A. Thus, there is a favourable effect on the balance of trade. (2 marks) An increase in textile exports also has a favourable effect on the balance of payments. (2 marks) (ii) The devaluation of Hong Kong dollar reduces the prices of Hong Kong exports in terms of foreign currencies. Therefore, more Hong Kong exports will be exported overseas. Imports, on the other hand, will decrease because imports become more expensive in terms of local currency. (2 marks) Thus, there is a favourable effect on both the balance of trade and balance of payments. (2 marks) (iii) This increases Hong Kong’s invisible earnings. Since invisible earnings are not included in the balance of trade, this has no effect on the balance of trade. (3 marks) However, the invisible earnings will have a favourable effect on the balance of payments. (1 mark) (iv) This is an outflow from the capital account of Hong Kong. It does not affect Hong Kong’s balance of trade. (3 marks) However, this has an unfavourable effect on Hong Kong’s balance of payments. (1 mark) (v) This increases Hong Kong’s imports from Japan. (2 marks) Thus, both the balance of trade and balance of payments of Hong Kong will be adversely affected. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 25 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) 2. (a) (b) 3. (a) The Hong Kong dollar will appreciate against other foreign currencies. (1 mark) Hong Kong exports will become more expensive, in terms of foreign currencies. People in other countries will demand less of Hong Kong exports. (2 marks) The decline in the export sector will lower employment in Hong Kong.(2 marks) (i) Current account, debit (ii) Current account, debit (iii) Capital and Financial account, credit (iv) Current account, debit (v) Capital and Financial account, credit (2 marks each, total: 10 marks) (i) After the appreciation of the Japanese Yen, the Japanese fashions will be more expensive in terms of Hong Kong dollars, even though their prices in Japanese Yen remain the same.Thus, the owner of the boutique has to raise the prices of Japanese fashions. (5 marks) (ii) The demand for Japanese fashions may be inelastic. (1 mark) The percentage increase in price is greater than the percentage decrease in quantity transacted. (1 mark) Gain in revenue is greater than the loss in revenue (2 marks) Price ($) (2 marks) P2 Gain P1 0 (b) D Loss Q2 Q1 Quantity/period European fashions and Japanese fashions are substitutes. (1 mark) Since European fashions become relatively cheaper, demand increases. (2 marks) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 26 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Price ($) S P2 (2 marks) P1 D2 D1 0 © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 Quantity/period Q1 Q2 27 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Ch.11 Hong Kong’s International Trade Students’ Difficulties and Teaching Guidelines 1. 2. The principle of comparative advantage and the Hong Kong economy According to the principle of comparative advantage, explain why Hong Kong specializes in manufacturing industries. Distinguish between product sophistication and industrial diversification. Suggested Answers to Revision Exercises 11 of Textbook Multiple Choice Questions 1. D 2. B 3. B 4. A 5. C Structured Questions 1. (a) • • • 2. Through trade, Hong Kong industries import the necessary raw materials, capital goods and fuel. (2 marks) Trade also enables Hong Kong manufacturers to learn from foreign technology. (2 marks) Trade provides a big world market for Hong Kong manufacturers, so that mass production can be practised to reap the benefits of economies of scale. (2 marks) Keen competition Worldwide protectionism Over-reliance on a few markets and products (2 marks each, elaboration is needed, total: 6 marks) (b) • • • (a) A country is said to have a comparative advantage over others if it is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than other countries. (2 marks) Hong Kong should not specialize in the production of motor cars because it had a high opportunity cost. (2 marks) Hong Kong’s opportunity cost of specializing in motor car production is the forgone income from tertiary production. (2 marks) At present, tertiary production contributes most to Hong Kong’s GDP and employment. It would be a great loss if we give up tertiary production. (1 mark) (b) © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 28 ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) Websites for Reference Chapter 2 National Income Website Related concept UNSD-System of national account National income accounting 1993(updated version): method issued by UN http://esa.un.org/unsd/sna1993/toctop. asp Technical notes on OECD National Account: http://esa.un.org/unsd/sna1993/toctop. asp 3 Money Barter: http://www.bargainnbarter.com Barter economy EURO: http://europa.eu.int/euro/ 4 The Banking and Fiancial System of Hong Kong American Express card: http://www.americanexpress. com/cards/ Credit card Goldman Sachs (Asia): http://www.goldmansachs.com/ Restricted licence bank JCG Finance Limited: http://www.jcg.com.hk/ Deposit-taking company E-banking: http://www.hangseng.com.hk/ 5 Taipei Times Online: Liquidity ratio Banking: the Process http://www.taipeitimes.com/chnews/20 of Deposit creation 00/06/13/brief/0000007508 9 European Union: Free Trade and Trade http://www.hkbu.edu.hk/~europe/ Restrictions euro3130/euro3130.htm Board of Foreign Trade: http://www.trade.gov.tw/ © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 29 Free trade ELEMENTARY ECONOMICS FOR HONG KONG (4th Edition) 11 Hong Kong’s International Trade Commerce & Industry Bureau: http://www.info.gov.hk/cib Government assistance Innovation and Technology: Commission http://www.info.gov.hk/itc Intellectual Property Department: http://www.info.gov.hk/ipd Investment Support Services in Hong Kong: http://www.investhk.gov.hk/ Business & Services Promotion Unit, Commerce and Industry Bureau: http://www.info.gov.hk/bspu Hong Kong Productivity Council: http://www.hkpc.org/ Census and Statistics Department: http://www.info.gov.hk/censtatd/ Trade Statistics Asia Goods: Daily New Product Catalog: http://www.asiagoods.com/ E-commerce © PILOT PUBLISHING COMPANY LTD. 2001 30