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Outback Air Race 2012 James Lannan Bureau of Meteorology Perth to Darwin…via the rest of Australia… Perth to Ceduna: – Mid latitude weather. Ceduna Charleville Darwin – Mid latitude weather initially – Tropical weather (~ North of Longreach, QLD; ~23.5ºS) Darwin Perth – Tropical weather initially. – Mid latitude weather to finish (~South of Newman; ~23.5 ºS. This boundary will be discussed later). Mid Latitude Weather: Covered mostly in the “Flying the Southwest” Tropical Weather: Covered by the “Flying the Tropics” What should you expect? Mid Latitude Weather: Southern Australia (~South of 23.5ºS; ~ South of Alice Springs) – Cold fronts/Low pressure systems. – Turbulence. – Fogs. – Thunderstorms. – Fires (mostly controlled burns) The Tropics: Northern Australia (~ North of Alice Springs) – Will still be dry season. Well timed! – Bushfires/Burning off programs. – Dust. – Possible turbulence. – Fogs and Thunderstorms possible but unlikely. Winds: August Mean – 300ft Winds: August Mean – A050 Winds: August Mean – FL100 Satellite Observations Satellites provide 24 hour information on development and movement of weather systems Infra-Red Images – detect temperatures Excellent for viewing broadscale weather patterns in motion 8 Weather Radar Observations Images provide warnings of major weather events such as thunderstorms, tropical cyclones and areas of heavy rainfall 9 Radar Locations Combined Satellite and Radar 11 Cold Fronts – Southern Aus Mainly affect southern half of Australia, however can trigger weather further north. Hazards: – Thunderstorms and showers, hail possible – Low cloud and low visibility in rain. – Strong winds – Fog the night or two after a frontal passage. Northwest cloud bands: - Entire route. Warm moist tropical air moving southeast over continent. Large systems, often associated with a cold front. Large vertical and horizontal extent of cloud. Hazards: – Low cloud. – Embedded thunderstorms – Fogs. – Rain Turbulence/Nocturnal low level jets. Low-level jets – Wind shear – Inland tropical areas during winter. Eg: Mount Isa, Tennant Creek, Halls Creek. – Occur mainly below 3000ft above ground level. – Wind speeds typically ~25 knots, 50kt possible. Turbulence – Thermals – Rough guide: if surface temperatures >30º – Any hilly/mountainous areas can contain turbulence, ie: Perth escarpment, McDonnell Ranges. – Cold Fronts can contain strong wind shear/turbulence. Fogs/low cloud Mainly form in coastal areas, however if a northwest cloudband or cold front has passed through, central areas susceptible as well. Sea fogs common around Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Clear by mid-morning. Dust Storms Usually observed in inland areas during the dry season. Generally in the order of 6-8km width. Visibility may be <300m. Often linked to a cold front passing over southern Australia. Dust devils also possible, visible vortices with small diameter (<100m). May extend up a few thousand feet. Take-offf/Landing hazard. Smoke Dry season = Burning off season. Controlled burns. Low visibility in thick smoke. Sentinel – Geoscience Australia. Morning Glory cloud Quite rare, but would be incredible to see! Often form in the late dry, commonly near Burketown. Prevailing SE’ly wind mixes with sea breeze off Gulf of Carpentaria. Wind squall/wind shear often present. Aviation Forecasts & Warnings: Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) Forecast weather is expressed using the following abbreviations: Weather Descriptor MI shallow DR drifting FZ freezing BC patches BL blowing TS thunderstorm PR partial Weather Phenomena DZ drizzle SS sandstorm PO dust devil RA rain DS duststorm SQ squall GR hail GS small hail/snow pellets FC funnel cloud SN snow FG fog VA volcanic ash SG snow grains BR mist IC ice crystals DU dust FU smoke PL ice pellets SA sand HZ haze 19 Aviation Forecasts & Warnings: SIGMET SIGMETs are issued to advise of the occurrence or expected occurrence of the following phenomena: Code Description Code Description OBSC TS Obscured thunderstorms OBSC TS Obscured thunderstorms EMBD TS Embedded thunderstorms SEV TURB Severe turbulence FRQ TS Frequent thunderstorms SEV ICE Severe icing SQL TS Squall line thunderstorms SEV ICE FZRA Severe icing due to freezing rain OBSC TSGR Obscured thunderstorms with hail SEV MTW Severe mountain wave EMBD TSGR Embedded thunderstorms with hail HVY DS Heavy duststorm FRQ TSGR Frequent thunderstorms with hail HVY SS Heavy sandstorm SQL TSGR Squall line thunderstorms with hail VA Volcanic ash TC Tropical cyclone 20 Please ensure you… Obtain the latest aviation observations, forecasts, warnings and charts from the briefing system Telephone the Bureau for a more elaborative briefing, when appropriate Pay attention to media weather presentations and reports. A useful site for looking up ongoing fires burning around the country: http://sentinel.ga.gov.au/acres/sentinel/ For More Information … www.bom.gov.au 1. Weather & Climate information 3. Images & Charts 2. Capital City Forecasts 4. Aviation Weather Services 22