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J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 DOI 10.1007/s10840-012-9687-0 Should rhythm control be preferred in younger atrial fibrillation patients? Shaojie Chen & Yuehui Yin & Mitchell W. Krucoff Received: 20 February 2012 / Accepted: 10 April 2012 / Published online: 22 May 2012 # Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2012 Abstract Purpose Rate- and rhythm control are two fundamental strategies to treat atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there are inconsistent results between clinical trials about which treatment should be preferred. The aims of this study were to systematically summarize the clinical trials and compare rate- and rhythm control strategies regarding composite outcome of all cause mortality, worsening heart failure, and thromboembolic and bleeding events. Methods English and non-English studies that were published from 1966 onwards were included in this metaanalysis if they were prospective randomized controlled trials which compared rate- and rhythm control strategies in patients with AF. The individual and combined outcomes were analyzed quantitatively with odds ratio and 95 % confidence interval. Results Ten prospective randomized controlled trials with 7,876 patients were identified. There was no significant difference regarding primary composite outcome (11.47 vs. 11.03 % per year; odds ratio (OR), 1.03; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 0.90–1.20; P00.64) between rate- and rhythm S. Chen (*) : Y. Yin (*) Department of Cardiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, 76# Linjiang Road, Yuzhong District, Chongqing 400010, China e-mail: [email protected] e-mail: [email protected] M. W. Krucoff Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27705, USA e-mail: [email protected] M. W. Krucoff Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC 27705, USA control groups in overall age group. Meta-analysis for studies with mean age <65 years showed that rate control had significantly higher risk in primary composite outcome compared with rhythm control (8.74 vs. 4.80 % per year; OR, 1.89; 95 %CI, 1.26–2.86; P00.002). Conclusions A significant trend towards that rhythm control may be a preferable strategy for younger AF patients was observed in this study. Keywords Atrial fibrillation . Treatment strategy Abbreviations ACC American College of Cardiology AF Atrial fibrillation AHA American Heart Association CAD Coronary artery disease CI Confidence interval ESC European Society of Cardiology EH Essential hypertension NA Not available OR Odds ratio RCTs Randomized controlled trials 1 Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, affecting about six million individuals in the developed countries [1, 2]. The prevalence of AF in age older than 40 years is approximately 2.3 %, after 65 years, it increases up to almost 6 % [1–3]. AF has been recognized, with increasing concern, as a potentially disabling illness, which is closely associated with hospital admission, heart failure, stroke, and death, bringing heavy economic burden to the society [4, 5]. 72 However, treatment of AF remains one of the most difficult tasks of cardiology. For a decade, several studies have compared the strategy of maintenance of sinus rhythm, called rhythm control, with the strategy of heart rate control during AF and found that the rhythm control strategy was not superior to rate control in terms of mortality [6–15], although some subsequent analysis identified the presence of sinus rhythm as a factor of improved survival [16]. One of the reasons explaining the non-superiority of the rhythm control strategy was that the benefit of sinus rhythm was offset by the side effects of antiarrhythmic agents. Consequently, attention was directed to non-pharmacological therapies, particularly to catheter ablation strategy. However, despite the reported good results of various types of interventions in the hands of highly qualified teams, catheter ablation cannot be applied to all patients with AF or to all types of AF. Therefore, with the new generation of antiarrhythmic agents emerging, there is still a demand for pharmacological therapy aimed at the prevention of AF recurrences for the AF patients. Previous systematic reviews were reported in 2005 including clinical studies published before the year 2004; in the study, the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) study [6], with the mean age of 69.7 years was predominantly included, suggested strong but not significant trend in favor of rate control strategy regarding all cause mortality and stroke [17, 18]. Recently, a large-scale clinical trial, AF-CHF study [13], also including relatively older patients, suggested that rhythm control was not superior to rate control strategy. In recent years, several new RCTs comparing the two strategies have been reported [11–15]. With enlarged sample size, we perform an updated systematic review and metaanalysis to further compare rate- and rhythm control strategies in composite outcome of major AF endpoints, all cause mortality, worsening heart failure, and thromboembolic and bleeding events. 2 Methods To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of open clinical trials is still challenging because of different study designs and intrinsic biases. We conducted this study according to the guideline of PRISMA Statement “The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analysis of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration” [19]. 2.1 Eligibility criteria Studies were included if they met: (1) study population with non-rheumatic AF; (2) comparison of rate control and rhythm J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 control strategies; (3) prospective randomized trial; (4) intention-to-treat principle; (5) clear interpretation of results; and (6) follow-up period >1 year. 2.2 Exclusion criteria The exclusion criteria included: (1) equivocal treatment allocation process; (2) severe imbalances at baseline characteristics between two groups; and (3) loss of follow-up more than 20 %. 2.3 Information sources and study selection Electronic and literature search were performed in Medline, The Cochrane Library, The Clinical Trials, and Embase Database up to December 31, 2011 using the search theme “atrial fibrillation, rate control, and rhythm control” without language restriction. The abstract from the ACC, AHA, and ESC were also searched for the past 5 years. 2.4 Quality assessment and data extraction Two blinded investigators independently reassessed each study included in our analysis according to the guideline of PRISMA statement [19]; the key points of quality assessment criteria were summarized as follows: (1) clear research objective; (2) clear definition of study population; (3) overall cohesiveness and strictness of trial design; (4) appropriate statistical method; (5) clear definition of outcome variables; (6) independent assessment of outcome variables; (7) sufficient follow-up duration; and (8) no selective loss of follow-up. We also used Jadad Score Questionnaire System to assess methodological quality of included studies; the questions were: (1) Was the study described as randomized?; (2) Was the study described as double blind?; (3) Was there a description of withdrawals and dropouts? Each “yes” scored a single point, whereas each “no” scored zero point. The final score of one, two, and three points represented low, medium, and high methodological quality. Divergence was resolved by consensus if necessary. Detailed characteristics of included studies were recorded on our original information table. Primary outcome for this study was a composite outcome of all cause mortality, worsening heart failure, thromboembolic events, and bleeding events. 2.5 Statistical analysis First of all, incidence per year of each individual outcome variable was calculated as statistical unit to accommodate the different follow-up periods of each study. The significance between two groups of this meta-analysis was estimated by odds ratio (OR) with a two-tailed 95 % confidence intervals (CI) in a fixed-effects model for consistent outcome variables and a random-effects model for inconsistent J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 73 1367 citations related to search theme 1351 excluded based on titles and abstracts because apparently not relevant to our analysis 16 relevant clinical trials for further evaluation 6 studies excluded Three articles were postoperative trials [20-22]. Two articles enrolled patients with rheumatic atrial fibrillation [23, 24]. One study s withdrawal 20% [25]. 10 studies finally identified Fig.1 Flow diagram of studies selection assessment. Six studies were excluded because three trials were postoperative studies [20–22], two studies enrolled rheumatic atrial fibrillation [23, 24], and one study had incomplete follow-up [25]. Consequently, ten prospective randomized trials [6–15] were finally enrolled in this metaanalysis. Table 1 showed the methodological quality assessment of included studies according to the PRISMA statement [19]. And based on the Jadad Questionnaire Score System, nine included studies [6–14] scored 3 points and one included studies [15] scored 2 points. 3.2 Baseline characteristics of included study outcome variables. Heterogeneity was assessed by means of Cochran Q test. Statistic value I2 represents the degree of inconsistency with a score of 25, 50, and 75 % representing low, moderate, and high level of inconsistency, respectively. I2 value more than 75 % or P value for the test of heterogeneity less than 0.01 was considered significantly heterogeneous between studies. All statistical analyses procedures were performed by Revman 5.0 software package (Review Manager, Version5.0, The Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK). 3 Results 3.1 Study selection The study selection process was illustrated in Fig. 1. A total of 1,367 citations were retrieved in our primary search. After screening titles and abstracts, 1,351 were filtrated because they were retrospective observational studies, commentaries, and reviews or apparently not relevant to our subject. The remaining 16 studies were selected for further The basic characteristics of included studies were presented in Table 2. The overall study population included in this study was 7,876 with 34 % female, 3,932 allocated in rate control group and 3,944 in rhythm control group. The mean AF duration differed from 110 days to 14.5 months. The AFFIRM study [6] and AF-CHF study [13] enrolled both paroxysmal and persistent AF patient, while J-RHYTHM study included only paroxysmal AF patient [14]. The remaining seven studies enrolled persistent AF patient. There were four studies that specifically enrolled patients with heart failure history [11–13, 15]. Five studies had mean age less than 65 years [7, 10, 11, 14, 15], while the remaining five studies had mean age more than 65 years [6, 8, 9, 12, 13]. The therapeutic approaches included beta-blockers, digitalis, and calcium blockers in the rate control group and antiarrhythmic agents and electrical cardioversion in the rhythm control group, plus anticoagulants according to the guideline. Amiodarone combined electrical cardioversion was the most frequently used regimen to reestablish sinus rhythm, whereas the selection of atrioventricular node blocking agents (β-blockers, digitalis, and diltiazem) was dependent on the original study design. The mean age, follow-up period, and sinus rhythm restoration and maintenance rate of each study ranged from 55 Table 1 Assessment of the methodological quality of ten randomized controlled trials Wyse Hohnloser Carlsson Van Gelder Opolski Okçün Shelton Roy Ogawa Kanorskiĭ et al. [6] et al. [7] et al. [8] et al. [9] et al. [10] et al. [11] et al. [12] et al. [13] et al. [14] et al. [15] Clear definition of study population? Clear definition of outcomes and outcome assessment? Independent assessment of outcomes? Sufficient duration of follow-up? No selective of loss during follow-up? Prognostic factors and confounders identified? NA not available Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes NA Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes NA 74 J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Table 2 Baseline characteristics of ten included randomized controlled trials studies Study Sample size Study population Mean follow-up duration Loss of follow-up (no.) Mean age (year) Female (%) CAD (%) EH (%) Wyse et al. [6] Rate, 2,027 Rhythm, 2,033 Paroxysmal or persistent AF 3.5 years 71 69.7 39.3 26.1 50.8 Hohnloser et al. [7] Rate, 125 Rhythm, 127 Persistent, symptomatic AF 1 year 6 60.5 27 23.4 48.8 Carlsson et al. [8] Rate, 100 Rhythm, 100 Persistent AF 1.6 years 0 65.8 36.5 43.5 62.5 Van Gelder et al. [9] Rate, 256 Rhythm, 266 Persistent AF or atrial flutter 2.3 years 9 68 36.6 27.4 49.0 Opolski et al. [10] Rate, 101 Rhythm, 104 Persistent AF 1.7 years 0 60.8 34.6 43.9 64.3 Okçün et al. [11] Rate, 84 Rhythm, 70 36 months 37 59.4 33.1 0 50.6 Shelton et al. [12] Rate, 31 Rhythm, 30 Persistent AF and nonischemic heart failure Persistent AF and heart failure 14 months 0 72.4 16 49.1 68.9 Roy et al. [13] Rate, 694 Rhythm, 682 37 months 79 67 18 48.0 47.5 Ogawa et al. [14] Rate, 404 Rhythm, 419 Paroxysmal or persistent AF and heart failure Paroxysmal AF 578 days 62 64.7 30.7 7.1 42.8 Kanorskiĭ et al. [15] Rate, 110 Rhythm, 113 Persistent AF and heart failure 2 years 0 55.8 41.7 NA NA AF atrial fibrillation, CAD coronary artery disease, EH essential hypertension, NA not available Table 3 Individual and combined outcome events of ten randomized controlled trials (rate control/rhythm control) Study Overall death (no./no.) Worsening heart failure events (no./no.) Bleeding events (no./no.) Thromboembolic events (no./no.) Wyse et al. [6] 89/102 11/12 39/36 25/27 Combined outcome events (no./no.) 164/177 Study population (no.) Rate control, 2,027 Rhythm control, 2,033 Hohnloser et al. [7] 2/2 1/0 0/1 1/0 4/3 Rate control, 125 Carlsson et al. [8] 5/3 18/24 5/7 1/3 29/37 Rate control, 100 Van Gelder et al. [9] 8/8 NR 5/4 6/9 19/21 Opolski et al. [10] 1/2 NR 3/5 1/2 5/9 Rhythm control, 127 Rhythm control, 100 Rate control, 256 Rhythm control, 266 Rate control, 101 Rhythm control, 104 Okçün et al. [11] 12/2 9/1 2/0 3/2 26/5 Rate control, 84 Shelton et al. [12] 1/1 NR NR NR 1/1 Rate control, 31 88/86 NR 4/3 166/159 Rate control, 694 2/3 4/1 1/1 3/3 10/8 Rate control, 404 Kanorskiĭ et al. [15] 13/7 NR NR 14/8 27/15 Rate control, 110 ORs for individual and combined outcome 5.3/5.0 %; OR, 1.03; P00.78 3.81/3.61 %; OR, 1.04; P00.75 1.78/1.73 %; OR, 1.02; P00.91 1.49/1.46 %; OR, 1.02; P00.9 Rhythm control, 70 Rhythm control, 30 Roy et al. [13] 74/70 Rhythm control, 682 Ogawa et al. [14] Rhythm control, 419 Rhythm control, 113 NR not reported, OR odds ratio, 95 % CI 95 % confidence interval 11.47/11.03 %; OR, 1.03; P00.64 J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Fig. 2 The meta-analysis of each single outcome for overall patients 75 76 J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Table 4 Individual and composite outcome events of five randomized controlled trials with mean age <65 years (rate control/rhythm control) Study Overall death (no./no.) Worsening heart failure events (no./no.) Bleeding events (no./no.) Thromboembolic Composite outcome Study population (no.) events (no./no.) events (no./no.) 1/0 0/1 1/0 4/3 3/5 1/2 5/9 Hohnloser et al. [7] 2/2 Opolski et al. [10] 1/2 Okçün et al. [11] 12/2 9/1 2/0 3/2 26/5 Ogawa et al. [14] 2/3 4/1 1/1 3/3 10/8 13/7 NR NR 14/8 27/15 Kanorskiĭ et al. [15] ORs for individual and composite outcome NR 3.64/1.92 %; OR, 2.28/0.32 %; OR, 0.84/0.97 %; OR, 2.67/1.8 %; OR, 1.89; P00.05 5.6; P00.01 0.86; P00.77 1.49; P00.24 Rate control, 125 Rhythm control, 127 Rate control, 101 Rhythm control, 104 Rate control, 84 Rhythm control, 70 Rate control, 404 Rhythm control, 419 Rate control, 110 Rhythm control, 113 8.74/4.8 %; OR, 1.89; P00.002 NR not reported, OR odds ratio, 95 % CI 95 % confidence interval to 72 years, 1 to 3.5 years, and 38 to 72.7 %. The proportion of patient with coronary artery disease at baseline ranged from 7.1 to 49.1 %. Approximately 50 % of the participants had essential hypertension history at enrollment. 3.3 Primary outcome The individual and composite outcome events of all included studies were listed in Table 3. All included studies reported the data of all cause mortality, whereas four studies did not report the data of worsening heart failure [9, 10, 12, 15], three studies did not report the data of bleeding events [12, 13, 15], and one study did not report the data of thromboembolic events [12]. The odds ratio and 95 % confidence interval for all cause mortality, worsening heart failure, bleeding event, and thromboembolic event in all included studies were (5.3 vs. 5.0 %; OR, 1.03; 95 % CI, 0.84–1.26; P00.78), (3.81 vs. 3.61 %; OR, 1.04; 95 % CI, 0.80–1.36; P00.75), (1.78 vs. 1.73 %; OR, 1.02; 95 % CI, 0.70–1.49; P00.91), and (1.49 vs. 1.46 %; OR, 1.02; 95 % CI, 0.71–1.48; P00.9), with no statistical significance, respectively (Fig. 2). There was no significant heterogeneity between all included studies. The individual and composite outcome events of included studies with mean age less than 65 years were listed in Table 4. The odds ratio and 95 % confidence interval for all cause mortality, worsening heart failure, bleeding event and thromboembolic event were (3.64 vs. 1.92 %; OR, 1.89; 95 % CI, 1.01–3.35; P00.05), (2.28 vs. 0.32 %; OR, 5.6; 95 % CI, 1.44–21.69; P00.01), (0.84 vs. 0.97 %; OR, 0.86; 95 % CI, 0.31–2.41; P00.77), and (2.67 vs. 1.8 %; OR, 1.49; 95 % CI, 0.76–2.90; P 00.24), respectively. The patients in the rate control group experienced significantly higher risks of overall mortality and worsening heart failure compared that in the rhythm control group, but patients in both groups experienced similar risks of bleeding events and thromboembolic events (Fig. 3). For overall patients, no significant difference regarding composite outcome between rate- and rhythm control groups was observed (11.47 vs. 11.03 %; OR, 1.03, 95 % CI, 0.90–1.20; P00.64) (Fig. 4(a)). When we excluded five studies [6, 8, 9, 12, 13] with mean age of more than 65 years, the rate control group was associated with a significant higher risk of composite outcome compared with the rhythm control group (8.74 vs. 4.80 %; OR, 1.89, 95 % CI, 1.26– 2.86; P00.002) (Fig. 4(b)). 4 Discussion Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia that increases in prevalence with age. As the general population grows older, clinicians will more frequently see this disease in their clinic population. In order to most effectively treat this disorder, physicians need to understand the key issues, including the use of rhythm control versus ventricular rate control and how to reduce the risk of ischemic stroke, bleedings, heart failure events, and treatment for the basic disease. In addition, AF management is particularly challenged by comorbidities including hypertension, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, and cardiac hypertrophy especially frequently presenting in the relatively old age group, which confer poor cardioversion rate, increased risks for AF complications, and drug-related side effects. The major studies on rhythm versus rate control were the AFFIRM study [6], the RACE study [9], and the AF-CHF J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Fig. 3 The meta-analysis of each single outcome for studies with mean age <65 years 77 78 J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Fig. 4 The meta-analysis of composite outcome for overall and mean age <65 years subset studies study [13]. These studies have shown that primary rate control is not inferior to rhythm control and rhythm control by pharmacological interventions is associated with higher mortality in the relatively older AF patients. Therefore, firstline therapy in the elderly patient with symptomatic AF is usually a primary rate control strategy. However, a post hoc survival analysis for AFFIRM study [6] showed that the maintenance of sinus was associated with a 47 % reduction of all cause mortality, while the use of antiarrhythmic drugs resulted in a 49 % increased risk of death. The survival benefit of rhythm control was greatly offset by the adverse effect of antiarrhythmic drugs but not rate control strategy, especially the aforementioned studies predominantly enrolled patients in relatively older age group who had poor tolerance of antiarrhythmic drugs and tend to the occurrence of proarrhythmia [16]. Moreover, the recent ATHENA study signalized that safely maintained sinus rhythm by novel antiarrhythmic drugs may prevent cardiovascular hospitalization or overall death in patients with AF [26]. On the other hand, the recent RACEII study showed no clinical benefit of a strict rate control versus a lenient rate control with target resting heart rates of about 115 beats per minute in terms of clinical cardiovascular events [27]. Therefore, antiarrhythmic drugs with the aim to maintain sinus rhythm seems needed if patient remains symptomatic despite optimal rate control, but the increased risk for proarrhythmia, drug interactions, and age-related comorbidities in the elderly population should be carefully considered. Heart failure and AF share common risk factors and often coexist, and they both increase the cardiovascular mortality. Deleterious hemodynamic effects of AF result in further decrease in left ventricular function and progress of heart failure. Incidence of worsening heart failure was 3.7 % per year in this study, with the highest rate (12.7 %) occurred in the AF-CHF study [13], where death from heart failure occupied 30 % of the total mortality. The present study showed that rate control strategy in younger AF patients was associated with a strikingly higher risk of worsening heart failure compared with rhythm control strategy (2.28 vs. 0.32 %, OR, 5.60, 95 % CI, 1.44–21.69), and this result mainly contributed to our composite outcome, suggesting that the rhythm control strategy conducted in relatively younger AF patients may prevent the progress of heart failure. Strokes and bleeds often result in higher mortality rates. The use of oral anticoagulants plus routine coagulation function monitoring is an important intervention in preventing AFrelated ischemic and bleeding events. But older patients have higher risk of stroke if not taking oral anticoagulants and higher risk of bleeding with the use of oral anticoagulants. J Interv Card Electrophysiol (2012) 35:71–80 Therefore, the recommendation for anticoagulation is still a challenging task for the clinician treating AF patients in the old age, although several new anticoagulation agents are emerging. This study showed that there was no significant difference in reducing the risks of thromboembolic and bleeding events in the overall age group or subgroup under age 65 years, suggesting that the thromboembolic and bleeding risks might be primarily affected by the patients’ own situation and administration of anticoagulation therapy but not rate or rhythm control strategy. 79 4. 5 Limitations 5. This systematic review and meta-analysis combines data across randomized controlled studies in order to estimate different treatment strategy effects with relatively more precision. Different follow-up periods, baseline characteristic, and different patterns of clinical practice in different countries may contribute to heterogeneity among trials. Also, the results for studies with mean age of less than 65 years was based on some small–moderate sample size studies, and the overlap of age ranges among these included studies is unavoidable. Some larger scale and better designed clinical trials for the relatively younger AF patients may be needed. 6. 7. 8. 9. 6 Conclusion Although up to date there is no statistical difference between rate- and rhythm control strategies for AF patients in the overall age group, a strong and significant trend towards preference of rhythm control strategy for relatively younger AF patients is observed in this meta-analysis, and the rate control strategy may be an acceptable option for the AF patients in older age. 10. 11. Acknowledgments We would like to acknowledge all the investigators in those clinical trials that we included in this study. 12. Conflict and interest None. References 1. Feinberg, W. M., Blackshear, J. L., Laupacis, A., Kronmal, R., & Hart, R. G. (1995). 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