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John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum Historical Precedents for the Rise of Political Islam The purpose of this work is to provide a brief background to key events surrounding the rise of political Islam as a phenomenon. The first section deals with the Tanzimat Period which occurred during the decline and fall of the Ottoman Empire , followed by the colonial period up until the Second World War, culminating with the establishment of the state of Israel and its impact on the Muslim world. The final segment of this section looks at the Islamic Revolution in Iran, and how it developed from a French or Russian style revolution into something fundamentally religious in nature. I. The Ottoman Empire era and the Tanzimat period (1800-1920) The Muslim world was a reasonably unified whole during the lifetime of the prophet Mohammed, and for some time thereafter. However, under pressure of the crusades from the west (primarily successful in Spain), and Mongol attacks from the east, fragmentation was inevitable. The rise of the Ottoman Turks arrested this general decay for over two centuries. The Empire served as the secular expression of Islam as a nation state for nearly five hundred years, from the overthrow of the Roman/Byzantine Empire in 1452 to its own fall in 1920. During that time, the Ottoman Sultan served as the guardian of the Holy Places at Medina and Mecca, as well as the Caliph and temporal leader of Muslims, although in real terms this extended only to the Muslims under his direct military control. Thus, the non-Arab Ottomans stepped into a Muslim leadership role which had been held exclusively by Arabs until the Mongol sack of Baghdad in 1258. For a time, in the 15th century, the Ottoman Empire was simultaneously the military and intellectual center of the world.1 However, even as the Turks expanded into the Balkans and to the north and east, the Muslim world was in decline elsewhere, particularly in Spain and India. More 1 Caroline Finkel’s Osman’s Dream: The History of the Ottoman Empire, provides an excellent, if not exactly brief, background on the Empire, both in its rise and in its decay and collapse. 1 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum importantly, the fall of Constantinople set in motion a series of events which would paradoxically lead to the fall of the Ottoman state. It is the fall of Byzantium that triggered the Italian Renaissance, which eventually spread to northern Europe, provided Christendom with the intellectual and technical means to expand beyond its continental borders and to successfully confront the Islamic presence to the south and east. The two most significant Turkish invasions of Europe, in 1529 and 1683, were turned back at the very gates of Vienna (as well as at Malta and through the naval victory at Lepanto), and following the second defeat, Europe went on the counteroffensive. The Renaissance and the Enlightenment released political, military, and economic forces which the aging Ottoman feudal system was ill equipped to resist. In addition to external pressure, the Empire was also fragmented internally, with the various regions under the command of leaders who were primarily interested in the accumulation of more power to themselves. By the 19th Century, Ottoman leaders were prepared to try Western methods in an attempt to modernize their system. The first efforts, the Nizam e Jedid (New Model Army) brought in western experts to train the Ottoman Army in contemporary methods of warfare. While helpful, the Nizam was heavily resisted by reactionary forces, including the famous Janissaries2, and was imperfectly implemented. This resulted in political some progress in reform. Overall, however, the Ottoman Army never regained superiority, or even parity, with its European competitors. The 1820’s saw the Nizam e Jedid augmented by an attempt at political reform. A series of reforms known collectively as the Tanzimat, or “re-ordering” proceeded on various fronts. Efforts were made to expand the tax base, which was heretofore based on contributions from non-Muslims in accordance with Muslim law.3 In the reverse direction, efforts were made to integrate Christians into 2 Jannisaries were elite soldiers of the early Ottoman Sultans. The Janissary Corps survived many attempts at reform and were known for their reactionary response to said efforts. 3 Caroline Finkel, Osman's Dream: The History of the Ottoman Empire 1300-1923 (New York: Perseus Group, 2005). 447. 2 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum the armed forces, which had, other than irregular forces, been dominated by Muslims or Christian converts. All of this was part of an effort to centralize control of the empire, which still ostensibly stretched from the Atlantic to the Indian Ocean. Fractious leaders such as Egypt’s Mehmet Ali and ethnic/tribal groups such as the Mamelukes and the Druze were gradually brought back into line with Istanbul by the efforts of Sultan Mahmud with significant clerical support. The Tanzimat reforms were brought about with the assistance of the western powers. This reflected the Ottoman Empire’s “Sick Man” status, and heavily impacted Turkish and Muslim cultural identities. Internal problems of governance became international problems as the great powers viewed these as opportunities to interfere. The Gulhane edict of 1839 attempted to rationalize reform in terms of an Islamic state. This meant a formal governing process from the Sultan downwards, as well as a promise of equity before the law for all citizens regardless of faith, and an appeal to an Ottoman identity.4 Paper money was introduced as an attempt to end the practice of debasing metal currency in order to fight inflation. Conflict over the Holy Places of Jerusalem, primarily between France and Russia, dragged the Ottoman state into the Crimean War in 1854. The Treaty of Paris, which ended the war in 1856, brought the Empire recognition as a European great power, but clearly a second tier one, since the rights of the Russians, French, British, and others to interfere internally (especially where Christians were involved) grew as a result. The 1856 edict of freedom of religion was used as a stick with which to beat the Ottoman state whenever it was felt that the Islamic state was in non-compliance. These efforts at reform, however unevenly applied, began to meet significant resistance from disparate quarters. Clerics, who had over the previous centuries been severely reduced in influence, gathered enough power to successfully demand the ousting of Resid Pasha, on the grounds that his 4 Finkel, 450. 3 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum French inspired reforms on the banking system flew in the face of Islamic Law. In 1849, the leading cleric in Mecca declared the Ottomans to be “polytheists” and the Tanzimat to be counter to Islam. Tanzimat efforts to limit slavery and promote a form of religious equality were also excoriated. A growing political movement, the Young Ottomans, kept up the pressure (event after their suppression in 1867) to place Islam as the centerpiece of Ottoman culture and reform5. In the end, economic crises combined with the social dislocation of Muslims caused by the Tanzimat reforms to cause the overthrow of the Sultan Abdulaziz in 1863. His successor, Abdulhamid “the damned” followed a more conservative, and violent path.6 Restlessness among the subject peoples of the Empire led to atrocities against Bulgarians in the 1870s. This led to significant friction with the Russians, and the eventual loss of Bulgaria, and Empire’s other Balkan provinces by the second decade of the 20th century. With the gradual loss of outlying territories, however, the Empire became more Turkish and less Christian. Succeeding Sultans attempted to capitalize on this to make Islam a source of group pride equal to the nationalisms of Europe. Simultaneous efforts to assume a leadership role over all Muslims, particularly through control of the Holy Places (in this case, Jerusalem, Mecca, and Medina) took place. The repressive nature of Sultanic rule led to renewed resistance, this time in the shape of the secular “Young Turks”, who eventually gained power and ended the Sultanate after the failures of the First World War. At the same time, efforts to appeal as Muslim leaders failed both in Africa (which was outside the Empire in any case) and with other subject peoples, such as the Arabs, who had been uniformly shut out of leadership roles in the Empire. In spite of this perennial rejection, it took an outside force to shake down the traditional Arab allegiance to the Ottoman Sultan as Muslim Caliph. 5 Finkel, 489. M. Sukru Hanioglu, A Brief History of the Late Ottoman Empire (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2008). 109111. 6 4 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum That force was provided by the British, who became heavily involved in Arab society and political life as a result of the Ottoman loss of the First World War. The Sultan’s attempted to harness the power of Islam to shore up their rule at home and press their claims to lead the Muslim world. The dichotomy of this was that they simultaneously sought equality for all citizens, for the same purpose. These two principles could not coexist indefinetly. With the rise of the secular nationalist Kemalists, political Islam moved southwards. In retrospect, it would appear that the Secular/Turkish nationalist of the Young Turks (led eventually by Mustapha Kemal Ataturk) crushed political Islam as a force. However, the Tanzimat period (particularly its ending) showed the power of the clerics in politics, when allowed to flourish, and when combined with a desire to return to Islamic roots on the part of political leaders. These ideas would find their outlet, not in the remnant Ottoman state, but in its former components, particularly to the south, in Saudi Arabia, and to the east, in Iran. II. The First World War, the breakup of the Empire, the rise of the Arabs, and the role of the Colonizers Following the arrival of the German battle cruiser Goeben and the cruiser Breslau in fall, 1914, the Ottoman Empire sealed its own fate by joining the Central Powers. Notable successes such as the repulse of the Gallipoli invasion in 1915-16 could not hide the fact that the army of the divine Porte would not survive an extended conflict with the west. As British forces pushed the Ottomans ever northward, the challenge became how to use local Arab forces to support allied efforts without inflaming a region wide Jihad which would engulf all parties.7 This was done by using the Hashemite Sheiks of Mecca as allies, with the promise that they would take a leading role in the post Ottoman Arab 7 Although there are a variety of excellent sources on the period, including the work of Lawrence himself, the author recommends a recent work, A Line In the Sand, by James Barr as an outstanding supplement. 5 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum world.8 In spite of the efforts of T.E. Lawrence and others, this was an alliance and a promise that the allies had no intention of fully honoring.9 Lawrence’s efforts there, in Palestine, and in stirring uprisings among the Druze tribes of what is now Syria/Lebanon , though somewhat useful militarily, were not to be rewarded. In 1916, France and the UK agreed to a post war division of the Middle East into two spheres. This was done by the Sykes-Picot treaty, which became notorious for the nonchalance with which borders were drawn. A line was to be drawn from the “e” in Acre to the “k” in Kirkuk, with areas to the north going to France, and those to the south going to the UK. Having set these standards (ignoring the third player, the Hashemite Sheiks of Mecca), both parties proceeded to do their best to secure more than had been agreed to. T.E. Lawrence and his Arab Forces pressed on toward Damascus, while General Allenby’s forces took Jerusalem and quickly quelled French claims to co-rule the area. The identification of oil reserves in Northern pushed the British claim westwards, (the British claim was not resolved between the UK, France, and the U.S. until 1931.) At the same time French fought, unsuccessfully, to push their influence south, into Palestine. These acts were validated by the Paris Peace Conference (1919), the Sevres agreement (1920), the treaty of San Remo (1922), and the Lausanne Treaty (1923), which, between the four, ended the Ottoman Empire, established the Turkish State in lieu of the Sultanate, and assigned mandate status to the former Ottoman Arab states, with responsibility for said mandates resting with the UK and France. Those factors which are known as the damaging hallmarks of empire were in full bloom with this act of exploitation. Pre-existing trade patterns and infrastructure were abandoned in favor of whatever would benefit the metropole in question.10 The Middle East, which had never been divided up ethnically, now had false national identities such as “Syrian,” “Iraqi”, and “Palestinian” imposed upon 8 Faisal and Abdullah, of this tribe, became Kings of Iraq and Jordan, respectively. The Hejaz area was lost to the Saud family in the 1920s. 9 Barr describes this in chapter 9 of A Line in the Sand. 10 D.K. Fieldhouse describes this process in detail in Western Imperialism in the Middle East, 1914-1958. 6 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum them from on high, with far reaching consequences. Minorities were supported by the colonial powers in order to cement their local rule. In typical fashion, the French made some effort to Frankify their new Arab colonies, while the British preferred to rule through a combination of career bureaucrats and local chieftains. Moreover, both powers delayed the promotion of Arab statehood as long as they could. In spite of the provisions of the treaty of San Remo, which compelled the mandate holders to do so as soon as possible, their slow pace in implementation caused a challenge. This came in the form of the Iraqi rebellion, which was finally quelled with the placing of Faisal on a new, Baghdad based throne in 1921. A near simultaneous revolt by the Druze in the French held areas, very likely with British support, continued until 1927. In fact, Syria and Lebanon did not gain independence until after the Second World War, after the British (under a Free French Flag) seized the area (with significant Jewish assistance) from Vichy control in 1941-1942. The seeds of the future were planted as a part of this complete upheaval of Middle Eastern life. The Zionist movement, in search of a new Jewish homeland, became a political pawn of the two sides. After initial reluctance, Britain’s initial support of the Zionists was done with the recognition that they might provide more to the war effort long terms than the Arabs, and so that the French and Americans would not steal a march on them by making their own promises to the Jewish movement. The much heralded Balfour Declaration of 1917 was undertaken in this light, and formed a basis for the later foundation of the state of Israel. 11 Britain continued to oscillate from support of the Arabs to that of the Jews, to the point that, by the late 1930’s, support of the growing Zionist movement in Palestine was increasingly French backed. The French did this largely to destabilize Palestine and further their push to the south. In the two major UK mandates, Iraq and Transjordan, the results of British influence on Sheikh Hussein’s two sons were radically different. While Faisal was never fully accepted by Iraqis, his 11 The text, along with those of the other treaties mentioned in this study, can be found in The Israel-Arab Reader, edited by Walter Lacquer and Barry Rubin. 7 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum placement on the throne required a British withdrawal from the area (notwithstanding a chain of military bases which ensured British control over the vital infrastructure of the oil industry) earlier than in most colonies, leaving a western style bureaucracy, but no protections for minorities and the strength of the tribes unbroken.12 The same cannot be said for his Faisal’s brother, King Abdullah, in Transjordan. After appealing to British protection against the encroachments of the Saudi’s from the south, he set up an effective government. Indeed, British protection allowed Abdullah the time he needed to shape the polyglot peoples of his Kingdom into the only mandate state to remain territorially and politically (read here dynastically) intact to the present. III. Creation of the State of Israel and the rise of radicals Although the state of Israel has its political roots in the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and the struggle for colonial supremacy between France and the UK, it was the second world war and the holocaust which provided the crucial catalyst, as large numbers of holocaust survivors provided Zionist leaders with a psychologically motivated manpower pool and a certain amount of international sympathy for the Jewish cause. It must be remembered that the Arab world’s core issues with post-colonialism and industrialization are shared by other peoples around the world. What makes the Middle East different is that the peoples there are part of a common faith system, and were all once part of a single, allencompassing state in a way quite unlike the peoples of Africa, Asia, or Latin America. 13 In addition, unlike most other areas of the world, actual settlement of Arab lands took place in the form of the rise of the state of Israel. This gave Arab and Political Islamic passions a focus and an outlet which persist to this day. 12 13 Barr, Chapter 9. Bernard Lewis “What Went Wrong” is an excellent source for discussion on Muslim perceptions of the world. 8 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum Prior to the Paris peace conference which ended the War and helped divide up the Arabian spoils of war, Sheik Hussein’s British supported heir, Faisal, was subsidized by the UK for up to 150,000 pounds per month. It is little surprise then that he agreed to meet with Zionist leader Chaim Weissman to delineate a border between Palestine and the Hejaz, which was then defined as the rest of Arabia. This dovetailed with the establishment of a Jewish Mandate in Palestine under the terms of the 1920 treaty of San Remo. France, which, it has been demonstrated, provided significant support to Israel, was constrained initially in its recognition of the Jewish state by the feared impact that such recognition would have among its North African colonies. Israel’s resounding victory in the 1947-1949 war sent massive reverberations throughout the Arab and Muslim world. Palestinian’s still refer to that time as “al-naqba” or the disaster, and with good reason, since, in the end, well over a million Palestinians left their homes during this time, the vast majority never to return. For Arabs of the region, it was a body blow to their own ambition to establish an Arab Palestinian state under the mandate system. Indeed, western support of Israel was perceived across the region as a snub to the principle of self-determination which had been promised by the victors of the First World War. Nevertheless, there is political fault to go around. Although a nascent Palestinian state was set up by Egypt in the Gaza strip, the West Bank territories were occupied by the Jordanians and annexed to greater Jordan. Neo colonial meddling continued after the foundation of Israel. Although such interference found its ultimate backlash in the Islamic Revolution in Iran, other short sighted acts of interference continue to affect us today. The Muslim Brotherhood, for example, founded in 1928 (interestingly, as a fascist leaning political party), received significant funding from the U.S. in the 1950s with the purpose of counterbalancing Nasserism. Washington worked openly to overthrow Mossadegh in Iran and to topple the pro Nasser Quwatli regime in Yemen in 1962. 9 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum Meanwhile, the Arab world refused (and largely continues to refuse) to accept its repeated defeats at the hands of the Israelis. In the years after 1949, an exodus of Jews left the Arab world for Israel, although this exodus was not, as sometimes claimed, under similar conditions to those under which the Jews left Europe. As Israel strengthened itself through the 1950s, Arab and Islamic response continued to take shape. For Political Islamists and Arab nationalists alike, the loss of the territory of Palestine, and particularly the control over Jerusalem, represented the latest in a series of western kicks against an Islamic world which was reeling from the effects of the long collapse of Muslim fortunes which dated back to Mongol destruction of the Caliphate in 1258. This wave of defeat continued to the destruction of the Ottoman Empire and the refusal of the great powers to allow the Arabs to rule themselves after its fall. Jerusalem is the third holiest city of Islam (or, as Muslims call it, Al-Quds, or Sanctuary), and its gradual loss between 1949 and 1967 came to represent a failure of religious devotion on the part of Muslims, and gave fuel to Arab leaders such as Nasser, who were more than willing to whip up religious fervor in service of their own nationalism. To a point, they found a nationalized Islam to be useful to their own agendas. This capitalized on age old Muslim suspicions of Zionism and Judaism in general. Jewish refusal to recognize the importance of Mohammed lay with their seizure of Jerusalem at the center of the conflict. Racist texts such as the long refuted Protocols of the Elders of Zion are still frequently used by Arab leaders from the Shah to Yasser Arafat in their efforts to make a fundamentally political issue into a religious one. This has gone so far as Arafat’s 2000 claim that the Jewish temple was located in Nablus, not Jerusalem, which, if true, would invalidate any Israeli claim to the city or the Temple Mount.14 For radical Muslims (and even some not so radical, as the faculty of the influential al Aqsa Mosque/University demonstrated in their ongoing discourse on the subject) elimination of Israel is the 14 David Hazony, "Temple Denial in the Holy City", The New York Sun, 7 March 2007. 10 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum first step toward a reckoning with the Jews which will immediately precede the end of the world. In a more immediate sense, they deem the existence of the Israeli state to be illegal under Islamic law, and regional acquiescence can only be seen as a temporary expedient, something that is contemplated by Sharia law. IV. Islamic revolution in Iran The Islamic Revolution in Iran has deep roots in Persian, Iranian, and Shi’a Islamic history. Beginning, appropriately, at the beginning, it is important to note that Persian history and culture have deep roots, indeed, among the deepest in the world.15 The Persians trace their political history to Cyrus, Darius, Xerxes, and other leaders who are vilified in the west, with its fascination with Greek history. It is Persia (or, rather, as the Romans called it) Parthia which was Imperial Rome’s most consistent enemy. Mongols notwithstanding (as if anyone could withstand them) Persia has remained unique and largely independent throughout. This is a key facet to understanding the Iranian Revolution as well as why that Revolution has, by and large, NOT spread throughout the region.16 Modern Iran: It is inappropriate to term the Iranian revolution as a religious uprising, as has often been done. The Revolution took place in response to several factors. One was the highly repressive nature of the Shah’s government. Another was the modernization of the country and the subsequent dislocation of many rural citizens, who became urban poor. Yet another was massive population growth, which could not be sustained by job growth. 15 Social Origins of the Iranian Revolution, by Misagh Parsa, and The Last Great Revolution, by Robin Wright, both provide further reading and served as sources for this section. 16 For purposes of this paper, the Iranian Revolution refers only to the overthrow of the Shah by conservative religious forces from 1978-1979. 11 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum The Shah’s government was known to have been put into power by the acts of the UK and the U.S17., and came to represent westernism and unwanted change. A constitution, created in 1908, which divided authority between the middle class, inteligencia, was invalidated by the Shahs, particularly after the overthrow of the socialist Mossadegh regime in 1953. Interestingly, that same coalition would lead the way in the 1970s.18 Mossadegh chose to repudiate UK and U.S. demands for greater physical presence and control over key resources, namely, oil. In the end, the UK welcomed efforts, led by the CIA, but including a cross section of Iranian society, (including clerics) to oust Mossadegh in a coup which brought the Shahs back into power, this time more repressive than ever before. This was followed by a massive economic downturn in the 1950s, followed by a building series of improvements, the combined impact of which was to dispossess large sections of Iranian society. With the withdrawal of UK forces from the region by 1970, the U.S. became more interested in both Iran’s central position and its oil reserves. Massive U.S. investment followed patterns similar to those across the Middle East, and served to give the 1978 revolutionaries a new slogan, calling those who called for close ties with the west followers of “American Islam.” How did Islam enter the picture? To understand Islam’s role in the Iranian revolution, one must come to grips with a fundamental fact. For Mohammed, there was no distinction between “God” and “Caesar” as there was for Christians. No implicit division between church and state exists, and there has always been interchange between the two, particularly in the Shi’a minority in Islam (which, it must be noted, form the majority both in Iran, but also in Iraq and Bahrain.) A key tenet of Shi’i Islam throughout its history has been the search 17 The overthrow of the Mossadegh regime, largely done with clandestine help from western intelligence agencies, cast a long shadow over revolutionary ideology. 18 Mohammed Ayoob, The Many Faces of Political Islam: Religion and Politics in the Muslim World (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2011). 51. 12 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum for a “Just Social Order.” Clearly, the secret police and the Shah led dictatorship flew in the face of Shia justice, and gave pretense to the revolution.19 In the 1960’s, the Ayatollah Khomeini broke with then common religious practice by becoming an outspoken regime opponent. Thus he was forced to flee and to operate from outside the country, first, from Iraq, then from France. At that time, Iran was known as one of the “Least observant and most tolerant” cultures in the Islamic world.20 On the other hand, clerical leaders had extremely close ties to the people, particularly the Bazaari (middle) class. Unlike Sunni Islam (in which clerics are backed in a fashion more familiar to Christians), Shi’a clerics are funded by the communities in which they live, making the local mullahs both more in-tune with local feeling and more beholden to pressure from their local benefactors.21 Indeed, it is this fusion of what passed for a middle eastern middle class with fundamentalist clerical groups which, to quote Fouad Ajami, which made the revolution a specifically Iranian event.22 Meanwhile, because of the aforementioned melding of church and state, mosques became hotbeds of revolutionary ideology. Friday services became a protected opportunity for anti-Shah forces to spread their messages, as well as those of the exiled Khomeini; Cassette tapes and mimeographed prayers and political diatribes were made available, and the masses were reached in a way that would have been impossible to achieve by political demonstration alone. Indeed, the Shah’s government was intimidated enough by this by 1978 to lighten their security clampdown, which gave the revolutionaries the opportunity they needed to strike definitively and overthrow the regime. So what changed? 19 John Esposito, The Future of Islam (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010). 32. Rouleau, Eric. "Khomeini's Iran." ForeignAffairs.com. Fall 1980. http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/34265/eric-rouleau/khomeinis-iran (accessed January 26, 2012). 1. 21 Rouleau, 2. 22 Fouad Ajami, "Iran: The Impossible Revolution", Foreign Affairs, Winter 1988. 2. 20 13 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum Islam is not monolithic. Shi’i culture, awaiting the return of the twelfth Imam (So called “Twelver Shi’ites) has been served as a check against grand expressions of temporal power and imperial authority. However, until the 1960s, the Islamic clerical section of society (the ulama) preferred to recluse themselves from society in protest against authority rather than to challenge it.23 Khomeini was able to tap this feeling extremely effectively, and drew direct lines between the Shah, secularism, westernism, and the takeover of Iranian resources, particularly oil revenues, by the UK and the U.S. Twelver Shi’i, who await the return of their so called “Hidden” Imam, turn to men of profound faith and knowledge for temporal leadership in times of injustice and crisis. So it was with Khomeini, whose title of Ayatollah reflects this uniquely Shia’ belief, and stands in for the Muslim manifestation of a savior, the Mahdi.24 Perversely, Khomeini undid Shia tradition when he established in himself the state of Supreme Law “Vilayat-e Faquih”25 or supreme leader. The result is a form of government (which we see today in “Presidents” elected and guided by Supreme leaders), is unlike any in prior history, although time will tell, particularly if the New “Brotherhood” Regimes in Egypt and Libya may prove to follow this model. A grim view of this is that idea of the return of the Hidden Imam, combined with radical beliefs in a final showdown with Israel as a prelude to the end of the world, may drive Iranian leaders as they enter what can only be a dangerous spring in 2013. Bibliography Ajami, Fouad. "Iran: The Impossible Revolution." Foreign Affairs, Winter 1988. Ayoob, Mohammed. The Many Faces of Political Islam: Religion and Politics in the Muslim World. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2011. 23 Ayoob, 47. Esposito, 53. 25 Ajami, 4. Specifically, Ajami is referring to the suspicion of power and imperialism noted earlier in the paper. 24 14 John Callahan, March 28, 2012, UK Defense Forum Barr, James. A Line in the Sand: The Anglo French Struggle for the Middle East, 1914-1948. New York: Norton, 2012. Esposito, John. The Future of Islam. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010. Fieldhouse, D.K. Western Imperialism in the Middle East, 1914-1958. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006. Finkel, Caroline. Osman's Dream: The History of the Ottoman Empire 1300-1923. New York: Perseus Group, 2005. Hanioglu, M. Sukru. A Brief History of the Late Ottoman Empire. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2008. Hazony, David. "Temple Denial in the Holy City." The New York Sun, March 7, 2007. Lacqueur, Walter. The Israel-Arab Reader. New York: Penguin Books, 2008. Lewis, Bernard. What Went Wrong? The Clash Between Islam and Modernity in the Middle East. New York: Harper Collins, 2002. Rouleau, Eric. "Khomeini's Iran." ForeignAffairs.com. Fall 1980. http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/34265/eric-rouleau/khomeinis-iran (accessed January 26, 2012). John Callahan is a PhD candidate in International Relations at Old Dominion University. He lives and works in Tidewater, VA, as a Public Affairs Trainer for the Department of Defense. In the past, he has worked as a Public Affairs Officer at the American Embassy in Baghdad and at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. 15