Download Incorporating Extreme Weather Risks in Asset Management Planning

Incorporating Extreme Weather
Risks in Asset Management
Planning
Lynn Clarkowski
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What is a Transportation Asset
Mgmt Plan (TAMP)?
• A tool used to manage an organization's
infrastructure and other assets with the objective of
delivering an agreed upon standard of service
• Establishes a consistent and transparent statewide
approach to planning, programming, and
managing physical assets
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Benefits of a TAMP?
• Lays out the process of how to best manage the highway
pavements, bridges & other physical assets for the long
term
• Resource allocation decisions are based on data and
analysis
– Consideration of engineering, life-cycle cost, and risk analysis
with investment strategies
• Improved coordination between maintenance,
preservations, and capital programs
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Key MAP-21 Components of TAMP
• Asset Inventory/Conditions
• Objectives/Measures
• Performance Gap
Assessment
• Lifecycle Cost
• Risk Analysis
• Financial Plan
• Investment Strategies
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FHWA Asset Management Plan
Pilot Project
• Support three state DOTs
developing their first TAMP
Minnesota
– Develop TAMP Work Plan
• Working with FHWA & MnDOT
consultants
Louisiana
New York
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Asset Management Plan Scope
Highway Assets
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Pavement
Bridge
Drainage Structures
Guardrails
Traffic Signals
Signs
Overhead Sign
Structures
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Pavement Markings
ITS
Pedestrian Ramps
Lighting
Tower Lighting
Land
Rest Areas
Sidewalks
Retaining Walls
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Tunnels
Noise Barrier
Fencing
Weigh Stations
ADA Infrastructure
Modal Infrastructure
Transit Vehicles
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MnDOT’s TAMP Progress
 Asset inventory & condition collected for all four asset
categories
 Life-cycle cost analysis complete
 Risk assessment complete
– Workshop on November 15 to discuss mitigation strategies,
costs, and risk impact
• Financial investment strategies & performance targets
– Workshop on November 15 will also include discussion of
financial plan elements
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Life-Cycle Cost
• Describe lifecycle costs & why they are important
• Illustrate a typical deterioration model
• Describe strategies for managing assets over their whole
life
• Contrast lifecycle costs for different strategies
• Document the lifecycle cost of adding a new lane
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Pavement LCCA Results
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Risk Assessment
• Working Groups Identified Risks
– Impacts to Asset, Users, MnDOT
– Consequence & Likelihood
– Mitigation Strategies & Gaps
• Workshop (9/20) Focus on “Undermanaged”
Risks
• Comparative Prioritization Exercise
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Risk Results
• Few Very High Risk areas
• Top (Prioritized) Undermanaged Risks
– Inability to appropriately manage culverts
– Not meeting public expectations for local/corridor level
pavement quality/condition
– Tunnel and culvert failure or collapse
– Premature deterioration of a bridge
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MnDOT’s Flash Flood Vulnerability
and Adaptation Assessment Pilot
Project in NE & SE Minnesota
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Project Background
• Minnesota GO Vision &
Statewide Multimodal
Transportation Plan identified
the risk of flash flooding as a
result of changing precipitation
patterns due to climate change.
• From 1958 to 2011, the Midwest
has seen 45% increase in very
heavy precipitation (NOAA)
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What happened?
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Trunk Highway 210 East Park Entrance
Jay Cooke
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Hwy 2 and 35 Proctor
(near Duluth)
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Project Objectives
• Better understand the trunk highway network’s risk
from flash flooding
• Identify cost-effect options to improve the network’s
resiliency
• Support the development of Minnesota’s first
Transportation Asset Management Plan (TAMP)
• Provide feedback to FHWA on the Draft Framework
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Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability
Assessment Framework
A guide for transportation agencies to assess
vulnerability to climate change and extreme
weather events
3 key steps:
1. Define study assets and climate
variables
2. Assess vulnerability
3. Incorporate results into decision
making
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Project Overview
• General systems-level vulnerability assessment
of the trunk highway network in each district
• Timeline: September 2013 – February/March 2014
– Inform and supplement TAMP risk assessment
• Focused adaptation assessment for specific highrisk facilities identified in the system-level
assessment
• March 2014 – June/July 2014
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Defining Vulnerability
“Climate change vulnerability in the
transportation context is a function of a
transportation system’s exposure to
climate effects, sensitivity to climate
effects, and adaptive capacity.”
(Vulnerability Framework)
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Linking TAMP Risk Results and
Adaptability to Climate Change
• Culvert Capacity Risk Mitigation Strategies:
– Check culvert capacity during all capital improvement
projects, upsize when needed, and stop practice of
replacing in kind w/o analysis.
– Identify future projects in advance to do hydraulic analysis,
purchase ROW, and obtain permits. Shelf ready means
incorporation of fixes in short timeframe.
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Linking TAMP Risk Results and
Adaptability to Climate Change
• Culvert Failure/Collapse Risk Mitigation
Strategies:
– Develop & implement system condition performance
measure for replacement or repair of poor and very poor
culverts
– Culverts in poor and very poor condition are prioritized and
replaced in construction/maintenance projects
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Key Dates for the TAMP
December 2013 – Expected Federal
Rulemaking for Asset Management
April 2014 - Submittal of Draft TAMP to
FHWA as part of pilot project
October 2015 - MAP 21 Deadline for
Federally Approved TAMP
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