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Title Observations from Nonlinear, Effective-Stress Ground Motion Response Analyses following the AASHTO Guide Specifications for LRFD Seismic Bridge Design Authors Donald G. Anderson, PE, PhD – Corresponding Author CH2M HILL 1100 112th Avenue NE Bellevue, WA 98004 Phone: 425-233-3418 Fax: 425-468-3100 [email protected] Seungcheol Shin, PE, PhD CH2M HILL 1100 112th Avenue NE Bellevue, WA 98004 Phone: 425-233-3189 Fax: 425-468-3100 [email protected] Steven L. Kramer, PhD University of Washington Department of Civil Engineering More Hall Rm 201 Seattle, WA 98195 Phone: 206-836-5252 [email protected] Submission Date: November 15, 2010 Word Count: 5,337 words in text (including captions) plus 10 figures = 7,837 TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. ABSTRACT Nonlinear, effective-stress ground motion response analyses were conducted for a bridge site located north of Seattle, Washington. This site was characterized by silt and sand layers in the upper 90 feet (27.4 meters) of the soil profile that were expected to liquefy during a 975-year seismic event. Procedures described in the 2009 AASHTO Guide Specifications for LRFD Seismic Bridge Design were followed when conducting site-specific, ground motion response analyses. Two one-dimensional, nonlinear effective-stress computer programs, D-MOD2000 and PSNL, were used to perform the analyses. Field and laboratory tests were conducted to define soil parameters for the nonlinear soil models. Results of the analyses were used to identify soil layers that were likely to liquefy, as well as changes in design response spectra that could result from liquefaction. These results demonstrated important differences in site-response prediction from subtle changes in soil modeling, including the potential for shielding of upper liquefiable soil layers and the importance of soil dilation when lower layers liquefy. This paper provides a summary of the analyses and discusses observations made from comparison of the two sets of analyses. The paper also highlights uncertainties that can occur when conducting nonlinear, effective-stress ground motion response analyses. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. INTRODUCTION The 2009 AASHTO Guide Specifications for LRFD Seismic Bridge Design (1) describes methods for conducting site-specific ground motion response studies. These methods, described in Section 3.4 of the Guide Specifications, are required for Site Class F soils and are allowed for other soil conditions, including sites where liquefaction could occur. The Guide Specifications provide commentary on developing the model for the soil profile, selecting input earthquake motions, and interpreting results of the analyses. Included in the Guide Specifications are restrictions on the maximum reduction in the spectral accelerations relative to the response spectrum determined by the general procedure in the Guide Specifications. Procedures for conducting site-specific ground response studies were developed for the Guide Specifications in recognition that the general procedure for developing site soil factors to correct firmground spectral values given in the AASHTO seismic hazard maps are not suitable for some site conditions, such as Site Class F, and that site-specific ground response analyses can be conducted with limited effort using commercially available software. Though the software makes the determination of site effects fairly easy, results of the site response studies can be sensitive to development of the soil model, selection of earthquake records, and interpretation of results. The Guide Specifications are intended to provide more consistency in the methodology used to perform these analyses, and include a one-third maximum reduction in the spectrum obtained by the general procedure to avoid excessive reductions in design ground motions. The methodology described in the Guide Specifications provides direction and warnings regarding use of site-specific ground response analyses. The importance of these warnings became apparent in the work described in this paper. In this work site-specific ground motion studies were conducted for a project site north of Seattle, Washington. The site is characterized by deposits of potentially liquefiable soils. In view of the site conditions, nonlinear, effective-stress ground response studies were conducted to develop a design spectrum. Procedures described in the Guide Specifications were followed during the analyses. Also, as required by the Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) and advised within the Guide Specifications, an independent reviewer was used. As part of this review, the independent reviewer conducted a set of independent analyses using a separate software package. The supplemental analyses were also performed with a nonlinear, effectivestress-based computer model, but it had subtle differences in the soil model used to estimate porewater pressure. The results of these independent analyses showed important differences in the ground motions at the site. These differences led to considerable concern on the part of the design team on the “correct” ground motion to use in design and, perhaps as important, it pointed out the epistemic uncertainty that comes from different results provided by different models. This paper describes the results of these site response analyses. Procedures that were used to characterize the site are summarized, and the differences between the two sets of analyses are discussed. The paper concludes with observations on the need for further study of the procedures used to conduct nonlinear, effective-stress ground response analyses. PROJECT SITE CHARACTERIZATION The project site is located approximately 40 miles (67 kilometers) north of Seattle at the SR 532 General Mark W. Clark Memorial Bridge (Figure 1). This bridge crosses the Stillaguamish River between TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. a) Location of SR 532 General Mark W. Clark Memorial Bridge b) Locations of Supplemental Field Investigations FIGURE 1 Project location and location of supplemental explorations. the city of Stanwood and Camano Island. WSDOT is upgrading the bridge to increase traffic capacity and to provide greater life safety during seismic loading. The 975-year earthquake, as required by the then current 2009 Interim of the AASHTO LRFD Bridge Design Specifications (2) was used as a basis of design. Field Investigations A number of field investigations had been carried out by WSDOT in the vicinity of the bridge. These explorations involved drilling and sampling to depths in excess of 140 feet (42.7 meters). Standard TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. penetration test (SPT) blowcounts were available at 5- to 10-foot (1.5- to 3-meter) intervals. Results of these explorations revealed that the soil profile consisted of very soft or loose alluvial and estuarine deposits to depths of 80 feet (24.4 meters) or more, underlain by medium dense to dense alluvial deposits. Uncorrected SPT blowcounts ranged from 1 to 20 blows per foot (bpf) in the upper soft soil unit to 30 bpf or higher in the deeper soil unit. Groundwater was generally located within 10 feet (3.3 meters) of the ground surface, and was affected somewhat by tidal action within the Stillaguamish River. As part of the site-specific ground response analyses, supplemental field investigations comprised of a cone penetrometer test (CPT) sounding, soil drilling and sampling, and a downhole geophysical test were conducted. The locations of the supplemental explorations are shown in Figure 1. The purpose of the CPT sounding was to identify locations for high-quality soil sampling. A seismic downhole test was also conducted as part of the CPT sounding. Drilling and sampling were performed to obtain samples for laboratory testing and to install a casing for the downhole geophysical test. Additional SPT blowcounts were also obtained during the drilling and sampling program using an auto-hammer system. Drilling, sampling, and the CPT sounding were conducted by WSDOT. The CPT sounding met refusal at the top of the dense alluvium deposit at approximately 90 feet (27.4 meters) below the ground surface (bgs). The sounding confirmed the presence of loose silts and sands throughout the soil profile, and particularly between 55 and 80 feet (16.7 and 24.4 meters) bgs. Figure 2 shows a soil profile developed from the soil sample descriptions, CPT sounding, and blowcount information. The downhole geophysical test was conducted to obtain compression- and shear-wave velocities to depths of 140 feet (42.7 meters). The velocity information was required for the site-specific ground response analyses. Northwest Geophysical Inc. of Corvallis, Oregon conducted this test. An observation from the downhole survey was that the compression-wave velocity did not reach 4,800 feet per second (fps) [1,463 meters per second (mps)] until about 18 feet (5.5 meters) bgs, whereas piezometer measurements identified groundwater at 10 feet (3.3 meters) bgs. This difference could have indicated a slightly lower degree of soil saturation between 10 and 18 feet (3.3 and 5.5 meters). For design purposes the higher elevation was assumed. Laboratory Investigation A series of classification tests had been performed during previous exploration programs. These tests provided moisture content, organic content, specific gravity, fines content, grain-size distribution, and Atterberg limit information. This existing information was augmented with additional classification testing during the supplemental testing program. Generally the results of the different test programs showed that soils are primarily sands and low plasticity or non-plastic silts. The focus of the supplemental testing program was on the cyclic behavior of potentially liquefiable soils. Both field SPT and CPT methods were used to estimate the liquefaction potential in the sands. This approach was taken because of inherent difficulties in obtaining high quality, intact samples of sands using conventional sampling methods. However experience has been that high quality samples of low plasticity and non-plastic silts can be obtained by Shelby tube sampling methods, and therefore the field program was focused on obtaining samples of silt that would be suitable for laboratory testing. Six full-length Shelby tube samples of silt and silty sand were obtained from the field program. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. Vs (ft/sec) 0 500 0 1000 CPT Tip Resistance (TSF) 1500 0 0 100 200 SPT N (field) Pore Water Pressure (psi) 300 0 50 100 0 150 0 10 20 30 40 0 SM 20 20 40 20 20 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 80 80 80 80 SP-SM / SP Depth (ft) ML SP-SM / SM ML SP-SM / SP ML SP-SM / SM ML 100 100 100 100 SP / SP-SM 120 140 120 120 120 140 140 140 160 160 160 Dow nHole Test Seismic CPT Best Estiamte Vs 160 FIGURE 2 Results of supplemental field explorations. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. Cyclic direct simple shear (CyDSS) tests were conducted on four intact samples of silt and silty sand. Gamma ray photographs of the tubes were obtained to identify the most suitable sample increments for testing. The intact silt samples had from 60 to 90% passing the No. 200 sieve, liquid limits from 31 to 32, plastic indices from 8 to 10, and were essentially normally consolidated. Cyclic tests were conducted by MEG Technical Services of Richmond, British Columbia using a constant volume CyDSS testing apparatus. Wire-reinforced membranes were used to constrain the samples; normal stresses were applied to replicate overburden stress conditions. Cyclic loads were imposed under both strain- and stresscontrolled conditions. Following cyclic loading, either residual strength or volumetric strain tests were conducted. These tests were accomplished by either shearing the sample at constant volume after cyclic loading or monitoring sample consolidation when volume change was allowed. Static simple shear tests were also conducted on two specimens to define the static undrained strength. Bender element tests were conducted on all cyclic test specimens to evaluate the shear wave velocity of test specimens at various stages of confinement and cyclic loading. Results of the CyDSS tests were used to define porewater pressure buildup, post-cyclic residual strength, and post-cyclic volumetric strain for the test specimens. The porewater pressure information was used to calibrate the porewater pressure models for the nonlinear, effective-stress analyses. Results of the CyDSS showed that the silt samples were dilative at strains exceeding approximately 1.5%. SITE RESPONSE MODELING Significant advances in nonlinear site response modeling have occurred in recent years, and userfriendly computer programs are now readily available. These programs are seeing increasingly widespread use for total stress analyses, and are beginning to be applied to the more complex problem of effective-stress analysis. Two general approaches to effective-stress modeling have developed – one in which porewater pressures increase monotonically with increasing numbers of loading cycles, and another based on constitutive models capable of representing the contraction/dilation behavior seen in laboratory tests and field records. Two codes representative of the two approaches to porewater pressure modeling were used in this project. A soil profile model was developed using the previously described field and laboratory results, and used as the basis for a series of nonlinear, effective-stress analyses. Most of the analyses were conducted using the commercially available computer software, D-MOD2000 Version 1.03 (3) and referred to as D-MOD in this paper. D-MOD accounts for the strain-dependent modulus and material damping of the soil, as well as the porewater pressure buildup that can occur in cyclic loading. D-MOD models the monotonic buildup of porewater pressure and reduces the soil stiffness accordingly. Independent nonlinear, effective-stress analyses using a research code, PSNL (S.L. Kramer, unpublished data), that accounts for contraction/dilation behavior were conducted as part of the independent review process. Earthquake Records Earthquake records were determined following the methodology in the Guide Specifications. Firm-ground response spectra were obtained from the AASHTO seismic hazard map CD for the bridge location based on latitude and longitude. Deaggregation of the response spectra (based on the USGS website for a 5% hazard in 50 years) showed that three sources of motion contributed to the uniform hazard: shallow crustal sources (55% contribution), intraplate subduction zone sources (30%), and interplate subduction zone sources (15%). These earthquakes all have the potential of causing a design TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. basis earthquake at the site, though their likelihood of occurrence differs. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) for firm-ground motions was estimated from the AASHTO CD to be 0.37g. A suite of seven earthquake records was selected to model ground motions. These records included four crustal events (1978 Tabas, 1984 Morgan Hill, 1984 Northridge, and 1989 Loma Prieta), two records from a local intraplate event (orthogonal components from 1949 Olympia), and one interface event (1985 Valparaiso). These records were scaled so that the average of the seven records generally matched the firm-ground response spectrum over the period range of 0.2 to 2 seconds, as shown in Figure 3, following recommendations in the 2009 AASHTO LRFD Bridge Design Specifications. This approach to scaling – rather than spectral matching – was done to preserve the features of actual earthquake records. Site Response Modeling with D-MOD D-MOD represents the soil profile as a single column comprised of layers that are characterized by a nonlinear, inelastic soil model. The low-strain shear moduli used in the soil model were computed from the shear wave velocities measured at the site. A visco-elastic halfspace with a shear wave velocity of 2,500 fps (762 mps) was used to characterize the soil below the base of the model. Geologic reports for the area suggest that bedrock is located at least 500 feet (152 meters) bgs; the depth to the 2,500 fps (762 1.60 1.40 Spectral Acceleration (g) 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 0.01 0.10 Period (seconds) 1.00 10.00 84 Morgan Hill, Anderson Dam, DS, 250 89 Loma Prieta, Anderson Dam, DS, 270 94 Northridge, Pacoima Dam, DS, 265 49 Olympia, HMTL, 086 49 Olympia, HMTL, 356 85 Valparaiso, Chile, UFSM, 070 78 Tabas, Iran, Dayhook, 190 Average of 7 Scaled Input Ground Motions Site Class B Design Response Spectrum (AASHTO 3.10.4.1 2008) FIGURE 3 Firm-ground response spectrum and scaled motions for site response analyses. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. mps) velocity was estimated to be from 600 feet (183 meters) to 800 feet (244 meters) bgs based on an extrapolation of measured velocities for the site. D-MOD uses a modified Kondner and Zelasko hyperbolic (MKZ) model (4) to characterize the nonlinear, inelastic stress-strain behavior of the soil. Backbone curve parameters were selected to produce behavior consistent with published modulus reduction and damping curves for sands and silts. Model parameters for the silty soils were determined using published relationships by Vucetic and Dobry (5); the EPRI sand model (6) was used to characterize the behavior of the sand layers. Porewater pressure generation in D-MOD is computed using the Dobry et al. (7) model, as modified by Vucetic and Dobry (8) and Matsovic (9) and referred herein as the modified Dobry model. The modified Dobry model estimates incremental porewater pressure generation at the end of each “cycle” of loading in an earthquake motion. The total porewater pressure at a particular time, taken as the sum of all of the porewater pressure increments up to that time, increases monotonically over the duration of motion. The strength and stiffness of the sand are reduced in proportion to generated excess porewater pressures based on two functions: G = (1-u*)0.5 and = 1 - (u*), where G and are degradation index functions for modulus and strength, respectively, u* is the porewater pressure ratio, and is a material parameter. Note that different degradation index functions are used for soft clays versus cohesionless soils. With this model the shear strength and stiffness both decrease monotonically and, under strong shaking, can become very low. Parameters for the modified Dobry model in silts were developed by fitting porewater pressures produced by D-MOD to the porewater pressures recorded in the CyDSS tests, as shown in Figure 4. For sandy soils, the porewater generation model parameters were developed by calibrating the model parameters to give liquefaction curves consistent with those developed by Idriss and Boulanger (10) and Youd et al. (11). The calibration approach for sands involved defining a two-layer model in D-MOD. The dry upper layer was assigned a unit weight that would produce the desired initial effective stress at the center of the saturated lower layer. Sinusoidal loading (at a frequency of 1 Hz) was applied to the base of the model. The porewater pressure parameters were then modified until the lower layer in the model liquefied at 15 cycles of loading with the cyclic stress ratio (CSR) corresponding to the measured SPT blowcounts, similar to the cyclic resistance ratio (CRR) curve shown by Idriss and Boulanger (10). For layers below 50 feet (15.2 meters) the CRR curve was modified by a depth adjustment factor (Kσ). A threshold strain of 0.02% was used in the model. Other modeling considerations during the D-MOD analyses included specification of Rayleigh damping parameters required by D-MOD for numerical stability considerations and representation of lowstrain damping which is not accounted for in the MKZ model. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to define a minimum damping ratio that would provide stable results. A full Rayleigh damping scheme with two target frequencies (fsite and 5fsite, where fsite is the site natural frequency) was applied as suggested by Kwok et al. (12). The porewater pressure dissipation model within D-MOD was not activated for most analyses because porewater pressure dissipation in the silty soils during shaking was anticipated to be minimal. Alternate Modeling Using PSNL Independent evaluations using the computer program PSNL were performed with the same soil profile and earthquake records as described above. PSNL uses a one-dimensional, constitutive model to describe nonlinear, inelastic soil behavior. The PSNL soil model has a hardening law that explicitly matches a selected modulus reduction curve, as well as unloading-reloading rules that allow simultaneous TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 V&D PWP Parameters P = 1.05 f=2 F = 0.3 s = 1.5 th = 0.02% 20 10 5 2 Ncyc=1 30 Ru (--) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 Shear Strain (%) GMWC-1A-08 ST-5 (Sample Depth = 87 ft) GMWC-1C-08 ST-2 (Sample Depth = 34 ft) Modified Dobry model FIGURE 4 Calibrated porewater pressure generation model for silt. matching of a corresponding damping curve. Because PSNL models the soil profile as a continuum (rather than a lumped-mass model as used in D-MOD), Rayleigh damping is not required. The PSNL model accounts for non-zero, low-strain damping by hysteretic means. The PSNL soil model accounts for porewater pressure generation and contractive/dilative phase transformation behavior using a nonassociative flow rule. For saturated granular soils, zero-volume change (i.e., undrained) conditions are ensured by matching volumetric strain of the soil skeleton to volumetric strain of the porewater (using the bulk modulus of water). This procedure allows the tendencies for volumetric strain under drained conditions to produce excess porewater pressures under undrained conditions. The explicit modeling of phase transformation behavior allows the effective-stress level (and, hence, stiffness) in the soil to decrease and increase during individual loading cycles as the soil exhibits contractive and dilative behavior. For cyclic loading beyond the occurrence of initial liquefaction (i.e., 100% excess porewater pressure ratio [Ru]), the PSNL soil model further softens the soil using a function of dissipated energy to simulate soil fabric degradation. The PSNL soil model has also been calibrated to published field liquefaction data using (N1)60 blowcount values. PSNL and D-MOD have been found to agree closely for total stress analyses and effective stress analyses when porewater pressure ratios are less than about 0.5. A key difference between D-MOD and PSNL is that the soil model in PSNL can account for soil dilation associated with phase transformation TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. behavior of liquefied soil. This feature was found to produce some significant differences in the computed soil response. PREDICTED GROUND RESPONSE FROM SITE RESPONSE ANALYSES The initial phase of the site response analyses focused on evaluation of results from D-MOD. These evaluations included comparisons to results of total stress analyses using the computer program SHAKE2000 and assessments of the sensitivity to assumptions made on the depth below the ground surface of the input motions. Once the D-MOD results for total stress analyses were consistent with the SHAKE results, effective-stress analyses were performed to evaluate the porewater pressure buildup and the effect of this buildup on predicted ground surface motions. Finally, the independent comparison was made between the D-MOD and PSNL results. Preliminary Studies The first set of analyses compared results of D-MOD and SHAKE2000 analyses for total stress conditions. In these analyses the porewater pressure model within D-MOD was deactivated. Comparison of peak horizontal accelerations and maximum shear strains were relatively similar, giving confidence in the D-MOD model. The sensitivity of the analysis to different depths of earthquake input (i.e., halfspace location) was performed for depths of 300, 600, and 800 feet (91.4, 182.9, and 243.9 meters). This comparison was conducted in the effective-stress mode (i.e., porewater pressure model activated) within D-MOD. Results of the comparisons are shown in Figure 5 in terms of spectral amplification ratios (SARs), where the SAR is the ratio between the ground surface spectral acceleration and the input spectral acceleration at each frequency. The conclusion from this evaluation was that an input depth of 600 feet (182.9 meters) provided reasonable ground surface motions. D-MOD Effective-Stress Results Nonlinear effective-stress analyses were conducted with D-MOD to evaluate the effects of porewater pressure buildup on ground response. For these analyses porewater pressure dissipation features within D-MOD were deactivated in the first two analyses (Runs 1 and 2) and activated in the last run (Run 3) to consider the effect of porewater pressure dissipation. For Run 3 hydraulic conductivity values of 10-3 cm/sec and 10-5 cm/sec were assigned for sand and silt, respectively. As shown in the Figure 6, the overall responses with the dissipation are slightly higher than those without the dissipation. Results of nonlinear, effective-stress analyses using D-MOD confirmed expectations that liquefaction would develop in sand and silt layers that had low SPT blowcounts. The two cases in Figure 6 illustrate the effects of changing the silt model to a sand model between 30 to 50 feet (9.1 to 15.2 meters). This alternative was evaluated to determine whether the silty sand layer within this depth interval would be dominated by silt- or sand-like behavior. Results clearly show a significant difference in the porewater pressure response, depending on the model that is used. This illustrates one of the key observations from these analyses and emphasizes the importance of accurate modeling of the soil profile. The SARs for the case noted above are plotted in Figure 7. These results show that ground motions with periods less than approximately 0.5 to 0.7 seconds were de-amplified, while longer period motions were amplified. These observations are consistent with comments made within the commentary of the Guide Specifications, and are similar to observations made by Youd and Carter (13). Relative to the total stress results, the effective-stress analyses gave lower SAR values to periods of 2.5 seconds. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. Spectral Amplification Ratio (SAR) 2.5 2 1.5 1 SAR (Effective Stress Analysis, Vs=2500 fps @ 600 ft deep) SAR (Effective Stress Analysis, Vs=2500 fps @ 800 ft deep) SAR (Effective Stress Analysis, Vs=2500 fps @ 300 ft deep) 0.5 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Period (s) FIGURE 5 Effects of input motion depth on spectral amplification factors. p p Spectral Amplification Ratio (SAR) 3 2.5 2 1.5 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 1 1 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 2 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 3 DMOD Total Stress Analysis 0.5 PSNL 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Period (s) FIGURE 7 Spectral amplification ratios from D-MOD analyses. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. 1 PHA (g) 0 0.1 0.2 Peak Shear Strain (%) 0.3 0.4 0 1 2 Peak CSR 3 0 0.1 0.2 Ru 0.3 0.4 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 0.5 1 Silt 40 50 50 40 Depth (ft) 50 40 Depth (ft) Depth (ft) Depth (ft) 40 Silt 50 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 Silt 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 100 100 100 DMOD Eff. Stress Analysis Run 1 (average) 90 DMOD Eff. Stress Analysis Run 2 (average) Silt DMOD Eff. Stress Analysis Run 3 (average) 100 FIGURE 6 Results of D-MOD analyses showing porewater pressure development (Run 1 with silt model from 30 to 50 feet and 40 to 50 feet; Run 2 with sand model from 30 to 35 feet and 40 to 50 feet; Run 3 is same as Run 1 except PWP was allowed to dissipate during the analysis; 1 foot = 0.305 meters). TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. Figure 8 illustrates the ground surface spectra obtained by multiplying the SAR and the spectra obtained from the AASHTO seismic hazard map. The resulting spectra are significantly lower than the spectrum defined by the general procedure. These results illustrate the benefits of the site-specific analyses compared to using the site factors in the general procedure. Further, the comparison of the total stress to the effective-stress analyses shows that liquefaction suppressed the level of spectral accelerations at periods less than approximately 2.5 seconds. This difference demonstrates how the generation of porewater pressure, as accounted for in an effective-stress program (e.g., D-MOD and PNSL), compares to a total stress program (e.g., SHAKE). Again, the benefits to the designer are significant with spectral accelerations decreasing by a factor of nearly two within the period range of interest. The reduction in spectral acceleration leads directly to lower design inertial forces and, consequently, reduced construction costs. Results of Independent Peer Review Results from the D-MOD analyses were compared against results obtained from PSNL as part of the independent peer review process. As noted before, the PSNL program has many of the same features as D-MOD. However, the sand model in PSNL is fit to the field liquefaction strength based on the (N1)60 values from the SPT blowcount, and the potential effects of dilation at large strains are considered. Close review of the PSNL results revealed high frequency pulses that propagated upward through the soil profile after the development of high porewater pressures. The colormap plots of porewater pressure ratios in Figure 9 show representative results. The vertical “stripes” of yellow color indicate that dilation occurs periodically in the lower layers after liquefaction has occurred. The dilation produces ( y ) 1.2 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 1 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 2 1 DMOD Effective Stress Analysis Run 3 Spectral Acceleration (g) DMOD Total Stress Analysis PSNL 0.8 2008 AASHTO Site Class E General Design Response Spectrum 2/3 x 2008 AASHTO Site Class E General Design Response Spectrum 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Period (s) FIGURE 8 Site-specific ground surface response spectra (5% damped, 975-year return period). TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. FIGURE 9 Colormap plots from PSNL showing dilation effects on porewater pressure for two earthquake records (see Figure 3 for record information. Lower record for each set is input; upper record is response at ground surface). TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. temporary stiffening of the lower layers, which allows higher shear stresses to be transmitted upward to shallower, overlying layers. These higher shear stresses induced very high porewater pressures in loose, saturated sand layers at depths shallower than 50 feet (15.2 meters). They also led to relatively strong acceleration spikes at the ground surface, even after liquefaction has occurred at depth. These high stress pulses have been observed in ground motion recordings (14) and during centrifuge testing (15). The SAR and response spectrum from the PSNL analyses are shown in Figures 7 and 8 relative to results of D-MOD analyses. While overall the comparison between D-MOD and PSNL results appears to be generally similar, there are some subtle but important differences in these results. The PSNL results indicate that liquefaction could occur between 10 and 20 feet (3.3 and 6.1 meters) and between 30 and 35 feet (9.1 and 10.7 meters), whereas the D-MOD results suggest that only the 30- to 35-foot (9.1 to 10.7 meter) layer would liquefy – and then only when the soil was modeled as a sand. This difference is believed to be due in part to the dilation feature within PSNL which allows more energy to propagate through the liquefied soil between 50 to 70 feet (15.2 to 21.3 meters). OBSERVATIONS FROM SITE-SPECIFIC GROUND RESPONSE ANALYSES The difference in results between the two nonlinear, effective-stress models, particularly relatively to the potential for liquefaction in the upper soil layers, led to some important observations: Despite the apparent ease in use of new Window-based software such as D-MOD, liquefaction is an extremely complicated, highly nonlinear process. A number of aspects of its modeling, not all of which are well understood, can lead to significant differences in computed site response. In practice, these can contribute to uncertainty in the profession’s ability to accurately replicate the wave propagation process. As illustrated by the comparison of results from the D-MOD and PSNL analyses, what might appear to be subtle differences in soil models can lead to significantly different site response mechanisms (e.g., differences in the locations of liquefaction) and can result in different response spectra used in design. There is little question for this project that different conclusions would have been reached if the second, independent analysis using a completely separate software package had not been performed. Liquefaction of deeper soil layers can lead to apparent “shielding” of upper loose soil layers during ground shaking, particularly when phase transformation behavior is considered. In this case the extreme and persistent softening of a deeper, liquefied soil layer can allow it to act essentially as a base isolator, suppressing energy transmission through the liquefied layer and into overlying layers. While this mechanism seems plausible, it can suffer from two key limitations. First, soil profiles are rarely uniform and therefore the one-dimensional representation is often an approximation. The layering within a normal soil profile can disrupt vertical propagation of shear waves, resulting in surface waves and non-vertically incident waves reaching shallower soil layers, causing transient loads that no standard one-dimensional model can predict. Second, the dilation within the liquefied soil layer at larger strains can result in pulses of energy passing through the liquefied soil, again resulting in more energy in the overlying layers. These mechanisms can result in inaccurate prediction of ground response. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. For the SR 532 General Mark W. Clark Memorial Bridge Project, these modeling uncertainties were discussed during meetings with WSDOT staff and the independent peer reviewer. In view of the uncertainties in the wave propagation process for this particular site, it was decided to use a combination of results from the total stress and general procedure to define the design spectra, as shown in Figure 10. 1.2 DMOD Total Stress Analysis 2008 AASHTO Site Class E General Design Response Spectrum Spectral Acceleration (g) 1 2/3 x 2008 AASHTO Site Class E General Design Response Spectrum Recommended Site Specific Ground Surface Design Spectrum 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Period (s) FIGURE 10 Site-specific response spectra selected for final design (5% damped, 975-year return period). While this decision was clearly conservative based on results of the effective-stress analyses shown in Figure 8, it provided a margin of additional safety on design that WSDOT felt was important for this project. OBSERVATIONS REGARDING USE OF THE AASHTO GUIDE SPECIFICATIONS Section 3.4 of the Guide Specifications provides useful direction regarding requirements for conducting site-specific, ground response analyses. These requirements identify key considerations in conducting the analyses. However, it was apparent from the analyses described above that a number of other factors – ranging from field and laboratory testing methods to the type of soil model – must be appropriately considered during the site-specific, ground response analyses. Often these requirements are overlooked during the modeling process, or do not become evident until separate analyses are conducted. A significant need exists within the profession to develop further guidance on the factors affecting site-specific nonlinear, effective-stress response analyses. This guidance needs to provide specific direction on the selection and scaling of earthquake records, including near-fault effects; the requirements for field and laboratory testing; and the features of the soil models used in the site modeling. These modeling features include the appropriate depth of the input motions, the robustness of the soil model used to predict porewater pressure buildup, and methods of model calibration. Guidance also needs to be provided on appropriate sensitivity and calibration studies, and the confidence that can be assigned to these analyses. TRB 2011 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors would like to thank WSDOT’s Geotechnical and Regional staff for allowing publications of the information described in this paper and the TRB viewers for their helpful suggestions. The authors also note that the views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of WSDOT. 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