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Crusader Resources Ltd Price: $0.14 14 June 2016 Developing High Grade Gold in Brazil Overview: Crusader Resources Ltd (“Crusader”, “the Company”) is an Australian mining company focused on Brazil. It operates the Posse Iron Ore Mine (100%) in Minas Gerais state, cash flow from which is used to advance a portfolio of exploration to development stage gold and lithium assets. Crusader’s gold assets include the Borborema Project (100%), located in Rio Grande do Norte state, and the Juruena Project (100%), located in Mato Grosso state. The Company’s lithium asset is a Joint Venture (50%) incorporating the Manga Project, located in Goias state. RESOURCE RESERVE Catalysts: After securing a US$2million processing solution for Juruena, Crusader is rapidly advancing toward a decision to mine. Targeting a high grade, open pit / underground development, drilling is underway to convert existing resources to ‘indicated’ classification. Pending delivery of an Optimised Development Study at Borborema could reinforce this ‘sleeping’ asset’s long life ‘turn-key’ potential, whilst the planned ‘spin off’ of Crusader’s lithium JV is another driver in current market conditions. Hurdles: Whilst Posse mitigates Crusader’s capital demands, the Company remains reliant on external capital and there is no guarantee it can procure the additional funding required to develop its gold assets. With existing resources at Juruena classified as ‘inferred’ and independent feasibility studies yet to be concluded, there remains considerable uncertainty as to whether an economic mining operation can be established. Investment View: Crusader offers speculative exposure to gold and iron ore markets through a diversified portfolio of operating and development assets in Brazil. Its track record of mine development, scale of gold resources at Borborema, and near term cash flow opportunity at Juruena are attractive qualities. Conversion of existing ‘inferred’ resources at Juruena into higher confidence categories, and capital demands associated with Borborema are principal risks. With our valuation of $0.20/share representing a premium to recent trade, we are initiating coverage for Crusader’s ability to unlock value within its portfolio. Asset Method Valuation Per Share Juruena DCF $39.1m $0.12 Borborema Comparables $25.5m $0.08 $64.6m $0.20 WWW.WISE-OWL.COM CORPORATE SUMMARY CAS.ASX Metals and Mining 230.4m TICKER INDUSTRY SHARES ON ISSUE OTHER SECURITIES Options 5.2m 15c, Dec ’17 Options 11.85m 29c, Dec ’17 Options 11.23m 34c-43c, May-Aug ’17 Options 10.22m 41c-52c, Jun-Aug ’18 Options 2.5m 50c-80c, Aug ’16 MARKET CAP $29m $5m $5m $68m CASH DEBT ISSUED CAPITAL ASSET OVERVIEW Gold Projects TITLE Brazil LOCATION Feasibility STATUS 0.18Moz @ 12g/t (Juruena) RESOURCE RESERVE* 1.6Moz @1.2g/t (Borborema) *not compliant to current JORC (2012) standard BOARD OF DIRECTORS CHAIRMAN Stephen Copulos MANAGING DIRECTOR Robert Smakman Paul Stephen EXEC DIRECTOR NON EXEC DIRECTOR Jim Rogers NON EXEC DIRECTOR John Evans NON EXEC DIRECTOR Mauricio Ferreira SHAREHOLDERS 25% MANAGEMENT 8% IFC 7% FARJOY PTY LTD 64% TOP 20 SHARE PRICE 0.5 Crusader Resources Valuation Summary Sum of The Parts Valuation: $0.20 0.4 0.3 $ EXPLORATION Initiating Coverage 0.2 0.1 0 2014 2015 2016 1 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES COMPANY BACKGROUND Crusader Resources Ltd (“Crusader”, “the Company”) is an Australian mining company focused on Brazil. It operates the Posse Iron Ore Mine (100%) in Minas Gerais state, cash flow from which is used to advance a portfolio of exploration to development stage gold and lithium assets Crusader’s gold assets include the Borborema Project (100%), located in Rio Grande do Norte state, and the Juruena Project (100%), located in Mato Grosso state. The Company’s lithium asset is a Joint Venture (50%) incorporating the Manga Project, located in Goias state. Crusader was incorporated in October 2003, and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (“ASX”) in February 2004. Prior to June 2008, the Company’s name was Crusader Holdings NL. We estimate issued capital is currently $68million, or $0.29/share. Project Sites Head Office Figure 1: Location of Crusader’s operations. Source: wise-owl ASSET OVERVIEW – POSSE IRON ORE MINE (100%) The Posse Iron Ore Mine (“Posse”, “the mine”) consists of one granted mining license, an open pit mining operation and beneficiation plant in Minas Gerais state, approximately 30km from the capital, Belo Horizonte. The granted license (834.705/1993) covers an area of 1.09km2. Crusader acquired Posse in September 2007 and advanced it from the exploration stage into an operating mine at a total purchase and development cost of $5.4million. Posse Mining Licenses Permit Area Interest Status 834.705/1993 1.09km2 100% Granted Table 1: Posse Mining Tenement Schedule Source: Company filings Posse has been in commercial production since March 2013. Reserves have not been certified. A Resource estimate was prepared in January 2009, however the estimate is not certified to current JORC (2012) reporting standards. Output from the mine is marketed to a network of surrounding pig iron smelters, which make up Brazil’s “iron quadrangle”. A sealed highway network runs adjacent to the mine gate. Since commissioning, we estimate the mine has generated free cash flow exceeding $10million and an internal rate of return exceeding 170 per cent. Crusader has utilised earnings generated by Posse to acquire and advance less developed assets within its portfolio. Figure 2: Geographical setting of the Posse Mine. Source: Company filings Posse Iron Mine Resource Estimate, Jan 2009 Class Tonnes Fe SiO2 Al2O3 Mn P LOI Indicated 4.8Mt 47.3% 27.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.02% 1.4 Inferred 31.2Mt 42.9% 36.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.02% 0.7 Total 36.0Mt 43.5% 35.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.02% 0.8 Table 2: JORC (2004) resource estimate for Posse mine as of Jan 2009. Note that this Resource estimate is not compliant with current JORC (2012) reporting standards. No allowance has been given for mine depletion. Source: Company filings WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 2 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES ASSET OVERVIEW – JURUENA GOLD PROJECT (100%) The Juruena Gold Project (“Juruena”) consists of 21 exploration licenses and applications located in the northwestern part of Mato Grosso state, near its boundaries with Pará and Amazonas states. The project covers 447km2 in a sparsely populated area. The small city of Alta Floresta is located some 250 km east-southeast of the property. Access is via dirt roads or light plane, with the site hosting a gravel airstrip. Juruena Gold Project Permit Multiple Area 447km2 Interest Status 100% Granted & Pending Table 3: Juruena tenement summary. Source: Company filings Juruena was acquired in May 2014 from Lago Dourado Inc. (TSX: LDN) for $C650,000 plus 2million Crusader shares. All shares issued as part of the acquisition are subject to 12 months escrow, and 1.5million remain to be issued, contingent on development milestones. Artisanal miners have been active at Juruena since the 1970’s, and it is estimated they have collectively extracted 0.5million oz gold. Prior to Crusader, two systematic exploration initiatives had taken place at Juruena since the 1990’s, delivering ~44,000metres of drilling. Collectively these campaigns represented investment exceeding US$25million. Subsequently, Crusader has delineated Juruena’s first certified resource estimate. Across three prospects Crusader has defined a JORC compliant resource of 0.23million ounces at an average grade of 5.6g/t, classified as inferred. The high grade Juruena Project is a near term cash flow opportunity Juruena Resource Estimate Summary, Sep 2015 Class Tonnes Au (g/t) Ounces Inferred 1.3Mt 5.6 0.23million Table 4: September 2015 Resource estimate for Juruena. Source: Company filings Figure 3: Geological setting of the Juruena Project within the Juruena‐Alta Floresta Gold Belt. Source: Company filings WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 3 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY Juruena is situated on the western end of the prospective Juruena‐Alta Floresta Gold Belt, which is estimated to have produced ~7Moz from 40 documented discoveries since 1979. The main project area is centred around a gold in soil anomaly spanning 8km by 4km, the style and scale of which has been compared to Boddington (11Moz, Western Australia) and Las Cristinas (16Moz, Venezuela). Whilst the scale of Crusader’s landholding and mineralised encounters to date may warrant investigation of Juruena’s potential to host large scale gold project, Crusader is presently focused on prospects capable of hosting a near term, high grade mine development. Scoping study investigating a high grade open pit and underground mine development is nearing completion A 10,000metre drilling program targeting close to surface ores formed the basis of a maiden 0.23million oz resource estimation in September 2015. Figure 4: Juruena Gold in soil anomaly. Source: Company filings The resources are defined at three prospects within 1km of one another. A scoping study is currently underway to appraise the technical and economic merit of a mine development, whilst applications for trial mining licenses have been lodged. The scoping study is appraising open pit and underground mining scenarios involving two declines, at Dona Maria and Querosene. Completion, alongside an upgraded resource estimate is scheduled for H1 2016. Juruena Resource Estimate Detailed, Sep 2015 Prospect Tonnes Au (g/t) Ounces Cut Off g/t Dona Maria 0.19Mt 11.8 0.07million 2.5 Querosene 0.26Mt 12.3 0.1million 2.5 Crentes 0.84Mt 2.0 0.05million 1.0 Maiden resource certified September 2015 Table 5: Juruena Resource Estimate, Detailed. Source: Company filings Figure 5: Aerial view of the Juruena Resources WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 4 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES ECONOMICS Juruena Operating Cost Benchmarking Crusader is planning to develop Juruena as a high grade, open pit and underground mining operation. Two declines, at Dona Maria and Querosene, are being considered as part of the current scoping study. To support development, the Company has signed a non‐binding option to purchase and install a refurbished plant from Brazilian equipment supplier GNA (Minerales equipamentos e Acos Especiais Ltda). GNA is an existing supplier of services and products to Crusader’s Posse mine. The plant includes three stage crushing and a single ball mill recently purchased (second hand) by GNA. The option is for the supply and installation on site at Juruena (turn‐key) and comes at a cost of ~US$2million. Asset AISC $US/oz Grade g/t Location Way Linngo 1,076 9.8 Indonesia Palito & Sao Chico 892 9.8 Brazil Andy Well 874 9.1 Australia Cerro Negro 769 8.3 Argentina Kundana 533 10.2 Australia Average 829 Table 6: All in Sustaining Costs “AISC” reported in FY15 for operating gold mines with similar grade. Source: wise-owl, Option secured over ‘turn-key’ processing plant for US$2million The plant is capable of processing 0.1Mt pa and could support a production rate exceeding 30,000oz pa based on Juruena’s high grade, albeit ‘inferred’ resource component. Whilst the Juruena Scoping Study remains subject to completion, we have benchmarked operating costs against similarly high grade gold mines in Table 6. Refurbished plant lowers upfront capex Figure 6: Conceptual mine plans for Dona Maria and Querosene underground shafts. Source: Company filings WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 5 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES ASSET OVERVIEW – BORBOREMA GOLD PROJECT (100%) The Borborema Gold Project (“Borborema”) consists of 3 mining leases and one exploration license located in Rio Grande do Norte state. Borborema covers 85km2, approximately 155km from the state capital, Natal. Borborema was acquired in August 2010 for $2.4million from privately held, MGP Ltda. It has excellent infrastructure with grid power, on site water storage, established buildings and bitumen road access. Natal hosts an international airport. Borborema Gold Project Permit Area Interest Status 85Km2 100% Granted 805.049/77 840.149/80 840.152/80 848093/2013 Table 7: Borborema tenement summary. Source: Company filings Artisanal miners had been active at Borborema from 1942. In 1984, the site hosted Brazil’s first ever heap leach mining operation. Historic production is estimated to be 0.3million oz. During 2007, prior to its acquisition by Crusader, Borborema was subject to a 75hole (~10,000metre) diamond drilling campaign which formed the basis of a non JORC compliant resource estimate. Since acquiring Borborema, Crusader has completed a Pre Feasibility Study into a 3Mt, 131,000oz pa mining operation, and delineated a proved and probable Reserve in November 2012 of 43.4Mt grading 1.18g/t for 1.6million oz. Note that the Reserve estimate is not compliant with the current JORC (2012) reporting standards. Borborema represents a long life ‘turn key’ opportunity Borborema Reserve Estimate, Nov 2012 Class Tonnes Au (g/t) Ounces Proved and Probable 42.4Mt 1.18 1.6million Table 8: Reserve Estimate prepared for the Borborema Project, November 2012. Note that the Reserve Estimate is not compliant with current JORC (2012) reporting standards. Source: Company filings Figure 7: Geographical overview and tenement map of the Borborema Project. Source: Company filings WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 6 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY After acquiring Borborema, Crusader investigated its potential to host a large scale open cut mining operation. The Company conducted over 40,000metres of drilling. A Mineral Resource estimate was prepared in December 2011, however this estimate is not compliant with current JORC (2012) reporting standards. The resources were estimated to depths of 350metres over a 3km strike and remained open in all directions. Optimised Development Study, leveraging existing PFS and BFS works, is due for completion in H1 2016 These resource estimates formed the basis of a Pre Feasibility Study (“PFS”), concluded in September 2011, and subsequent Reserve estimate in November 2012, which is not compliant to current JORC (2012) standards. A Bankable Feasibility Study (“BFS”) was initiated, but later paused due to significant declines in the gold price. Subsequently, Crusader has commissioned an Optimisation Study to evaluate Borborema’s development potential under lower gold price scenario’s, leveraging existing PFS and BFS materials. The Optimised Development Study is targeting a shallower Reserve (~0.8moz) than the November 2012 estimate, which is intended to the reduce strip ratio, capital costs, and project footprint. The Optimised Development Study is scheduled for completion in H1 2016. Figure 8: Juruena Gold in soil anomaly. Source: Company filings Optimised Development Study pending Completion Figure 9: Borborema long section showing open pit design from 2011 PFS. Source: Company filings Figure 9: WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 7 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES ECONOMICS The 2011 PFS evaluated the technical and economic merit of a 3Mtpa open cut mining operation, producing 131,000oz pa on average over a nine year mine life. The PFS was based on a Resource estimate which is not compliant with existing JORC (2012) reporting standards. Start up capital costs were estimated to be US$169million, and operating costs to be $US558/oz. At a gold price of $1,300/oz, Crusader considered such an operation at Borborema was economically viable. Borborema - 2011 PFS Parameters Parameter Assumption Comment Throughput 3Mtpa - Gold Production 131koz pa LoM Average Capex US$169m - Opex US$558/oz - Table 9:: Borborema 2011 PFS parameters Source: Company filings Optimised Development Study intends to demonstrate economics at lower gold prices With gold prices trading significantly lower over recent years, Crusader has commissioned an Optimisation Study to ensure development of Borborema is cyclically robust. By focusing the shallowest part of Borborema’s Reserve estimate, the Optimisation Study is expected to lower capital costs and the overall risk profile. In addition, the Optimisation Study can account for recently favourable impacts stemming from a weakening in the Brazilian currency and global energy prices. Optimisation Study is targeting a ~800,000oz Reserve Figure 10:: Borborema 3D geological model showing upper section targeted by Optimised Development Study. Source: Company filings Figure 9: WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 8 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Crusader generates income from the Posse Iron Ore Mine. Since Posse’s commissioning in March 2013, the mine has generated cumulative revenue of exceeding $33million however income has not been sufficient to eliminate Crusaders reliance on external capital. $6.25million placement in March During 2015, Crusader reported revenue of $7.3million, a decline of 53 per cent on the prior year due to weaker iron ore prices. Posse delivered a “break even” result, with the Company reporting a gross profit of $0.05million, down from $6.2million in the prior year. Capital demands associated with other projects saw Crusader report a loss of $10.1million, which widened from a $4.1million loss in the prior year. In addition to cash flow from Posse, Crusader has funded its capital demands via a combination of project debt and equity. As of March 2016, the Company’s borrowings stood at $5million. The debt facility is supplied by Macquarie Bank and is secured over by a general security agreement over the assets of the Group, and a specific security agreement over the shares of the Australian subsidiaries. The facility bears an interest rate margin of 8.5 per cent over the Bank Bill Swap Rate and matures 31st December 2016. Crusader’s most recent equity financing initiative was a $6.25million placement at $0.10/share announced in March 2016. The placement expanded Crusader’s shares outstanding by 28.5 per cent. Following the March placement, we estimate issued capital stands at $68million, or $0.29/share. Financial Summary Revenue CY2015 $7.3m NPAT CY2015 ($10.1m) Cash (post placement) $5m Debt $5m Issued Capital $68m Table 10: Crusader Financial Summary WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 9 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES VALUATION Crusader’s investment appeal rests in the near term development potential of its Juruena Gold Project and “turn key” optionality provided by Borborema We have considered the Company’s potential worth using a Sum of the Parts (“SoTP”) approach, incorporating its Juruena and Borborema Gold Projects. It is assumed that surplus cash flow from Posse will be directed toward capital demands of Crusader’s gold portfolio, hence is implicitly accounted for in our funding forecasts. Crusaders other assets, including its Lithium Joint Venture – Third Element Metals Pty Ltd – are not incorporated into the valuation. Valuation $0.20/share Our appraisal is based on an expanded share count of 321.3million, reflecting an additional equity funding demand of circa $10million. We assume an AUD/USD exchange rate of 0.7 and take into account royalties but not corporate taxes. Our appraisal of Juruena utilises a Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) methodology and arrives at a valuation of $39.1million, or $0.12/share. Our appraisal of Borborema utilises a Comparables methodology and arrives at a valuation of $25.5million, or $0.08/share. Aggregating these estimates delivers a SoTP valuation of $64.6million or $0.20/share. Crusader Resources Valuation Summary Asset Method Valuation Per Share Juruena DCF $39.1m $0.12 Borborema Comparables $25.5m $0.08 $64.6m $0.20 Sum of The Parts Table 11: Crusader Resources Valuation Summary Juruena Gold Project We have modeled a 5-6 year mining operation at Juruena focused on the current high grade resource. It is assumed that 68 per cent of the high grade resource is recoverable. We have modelled a production rate of up to 30,000oz pa using a head grade of 11g/t. Upfront capital demands are projected to be US$8million, with All In Sustaining Costs (“AISC”) averaging US$833/oz. Applying a US$1,250/oz gold price and a 10% discount rate yields a pre tax Net Present Value of US$27.4million (A$39.1million, A$0.12/share). Juruena – Input Summary Item Assumption Comment Start Up Capex US$8million Includes $US2m plant Reserve 121,000oz 68% of high grade resource Throughput 0.09Mt pa Optioned plant capacity AISC US$833/oz Wise-owl estimates Gold Price US$1,250/oz ~ current spot Table 12: Juruena Valuation Inputs. Note that no Reserves are currently certified to JORC (2012) reporting standards. WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 10 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES Juruena – Output Summary Item Amount Comment Revenue US$152m 6 Year operation at $1250/oz Cash Flow US$42.9m Unlevered, Pre Tax IRR 122% Unlevered, Pre Tax Net Present Value US$27.4m 10% discount rate A$39.1m AUD/USD 0.7 A$0.12/share 321.3m shares Valuation Table 13: Juruena Valuation Outputs Summary Borborema Gold Project We have appraised the Borborema Gold Project utilising a Comparables methodology. A universe of comparable companies has been assembled which are principally engaged in the development of gold projects in developing jurisdictions of South America and Africa. There are eleven relevant data points which have been considered based on their Proved and Probable Reserves. Valuations range between $5 and $70 per Reserve ounce. Lithium assets not factored into valuation We have utilised the 0.8million oz Reserve target incorporated into Crusader’s Optimisation Study, and applied the median Comparable multiple of $22.3/oz to arrive a valuation of US$17.8million (A$25.5million; $0.08/share). Comparables Valuation Summary Metric Assumption Comment Reserve Target 0.8million oz 2016 target Multiple US$22.3/oz Comparables Median Valuation US$17.8million AUD$25.5million; $0.08/share EV/Reserve Table 14: Borborema Valuation parameters. Note that no Reserves are currently certified to JORC (2012) reporting standards. 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 - LATAM and Africa Gold Developers Figure 11 : Comparables utilised for Borborema valuation. Source: Bloomberg WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 11 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES INVESTMENT VIEW Crusader offers speculative exposure to gold and iron ore markets through a diversified portfolio of operating and development assets in Brazil. Its track record of mine development in Brazil, scale of gold resources at Borborema, and near term cash flow opportunity at Juruena are attractive qualities. The operating Posse mine mitigates capital demands across Crusader’s portfolio, whilst the Company’s recent $6.25million equity raising should provide sufficient funding to demonstrate the case for a mining development at Juruena. The Company’s ability to convert existing ‘inferred’ resources at Juruena into higher confidence categories, and secure the larger scale capital required to develop Borborema are principal risks. Decision to mine at Juruena is a major driver The planned spin off of its lithium exploration joint venture presents a catalyst given current market sentiment towards these assets. Other drivers include a decision to mine at Juruena and delivery of the Optimised Development Study at Borborema. With our valuation of $0.20/share representing a premium to recent trade, we are initiating coverage for Crusader’s ability to unlock value within its portfolio. WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 12 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES MANAGEMENT STEPHEN COPULOS NON EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Mr. Copulos has over 30 years of experience in a variety of businesses and investments in a wide range of industries, including manufacturing, mining, fast food, property development and hospitality. He has been the Managing Director of the Copulos Group of companies, a private investment group, since 1997. Mr. Copulos is an active global investor who brings significant business acumen and greater diversity to the Board of Crusader. He has been a major shareholder of Crusader for many years, and is aligned to improving shareholder returns. Mr. Copulos has over 14 years’ experience as a company director of both listed and unlisted public companies. He is currently the non-executive Chairman of Black Rock Mining Limited and was a non-executive director of Collins Foods until October 2014. Mr. Copulos is Chairman of the Remuneration Committee and a member of the Audit and Risk Committee ROBERT SMAKMAN MANAGING DIRECTOR Mr. Smakman is an Honours graduate of Monash University and has had a successful international career as a geologist and manager over the past 20 years. He has been associated with a variety of different commodities including gold, iron, uranium, copper, silver and rare earths. He has held management roles in various countries and has served in senior public company management for several years. Mr. Smakman has been a resident of Brazil since 2006, and has negotiated the purchase of all of Crusader’s projects as well as managed their exploration, development and operations. PAUL STEPHEN EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Mr. Stephen holds a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Western Australia. He has more than 20 years of experience in the financial services industry, starting as a portfolio manager at Perpetual Trustees in 1992 and working subsequently as a Private Client Advisor with Porter Western and Macquarie Bank. Mr. Stephen was a significant shareholder and Senior Client Advisor at Montagu Stockbrokers prior to their merger with Patersons Securities Ltd. WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 13 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES MANAGEMENT JIM ROGERS NON EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Mr Rogers was the co‐founder of the highly successful Quantum Fund, which during 1970 ‐ 1980 gained 4200% while the S&P advanced approximately 47%. The Quantum Fund was recognised as one of the first truly international funds. In 1998, Mr Rogers founded the Rogers International Commodity Index. Mr Rogers has a Bachelor degree in History from Yale University and a BA degree in Philosophy, Politics and Economics From Oxford University. Since 1980, he has been an occasional guest Professor of Finance at the Columbia Business School. JOHN EVENS NON EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Mr. Evans holds a Commerce (Hons) degree from the University of Queensland, is a Fellow of Chartered Accountants Australia & New Zealand, and is a member of both CPA Australia and the Australian Institute of Company Directors. Mr. Evans is currently the Principal of a Business Broking and Advisory practice, and advises a broad range of businesses, in both the SME sector and larger corporate clients, on matters such as strategic planning, marketing, governance, and financial analysis. Prior to this, Mr. Evans held a series of executive positions in Finance and General Management in Australian public company groups over a 15 year period, in industries including telecommunications, banking and insurance, superannuation and funds management, media, hospitality and property development. MAURICIO FERREIRA NON EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Mr. Ferreira is a senior executive with more than 35 years of experience in the natural resources and energy sectors. From 1986 to 2012, Mr. Ferreira held several positions within the Vale Group. He has managed distinct functions from exploration to sales and marketing in different businesses including iron ore, gold, fertilizers, kaolin and energy. In the early 1990´s Mr. Ferreira was actively involved in the exploration and development of three gold mines in Brazil. More recently he was Director of Special Projects in Sustainability and Energy, CEO of Vale Energia Limpa (Clean Energy), Director of Business Development at Vale Oil & Gas and Chief Executive Officer of PPSA Kaolim Mine and CADAM S.A. Mr. Ferreira earned a Bachelor of Science in Geology at Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro and attended the Ph.D. program at the University of Western Ontario. He has supplemented his experience with extensive executive education at Ibmec, University of Sao Paulo, Harvard University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, INSEAD and the International Institute for Management Development. Mr. Ferreira is a member of the Audit and Risk Committee. WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 14 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES RISKS Technical Risk Crusader has yet to certify Reserves compliant with current JORC (2012) reporting standards. Hence there is no guarantee existing mining operations at Posse can be sustained, or that the Company’s gold development projects can be economically mined. Resources presently delineated a Juruena are classified as inferred, a category based on limited geological evidence and sampling. Market Risk Gold and iron ore prices have witnessed several years of contraction. Continuation of the trend or failure of these markets to recover could impair the economic value of mining, exploration and feasibility programs being implemented by Crusader. Regulatory Risk The Juruena and Borborema Gold Projects require further permitting and approvals before mining operations can be established. Funding Risk Whilst Crusader generates revenue from Posse, it remains reliant on external capital to advance development of Juruena and Borborema. There is no guarantee the Company will be able to secure access to additional funding or on terms favourable for existing shareholders. Valuation Risk Key inputs driving our appraisal of Juruena are based on estimates which have not been verified via an independent feasibility study, and gold prices above their 52 week average. Whilst our valuation of Borborema is based on a multiple of Proven and Probable Reserves, the asset does not presently host a Reserve estimate certified to current JORC (2012) reporting standards. If Crusader’s Reserve target failed to materialise, our appraisal of Borborema would therefore be significantly impaired. The holding structure of Crusader’s assets within a diversified corporate portfolio may impair their ability to attract fair value. Agency Risk The Posse Mine may require a disproportionate amount of management resources relative to its contribution toward shareholder value. Whilst the operation may mitigate Crusader’s funding demands – there is a risk of diluting capacity for more value accretive initiatives. WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 15 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES THE BULLS AND THE BEARS THE BULLS SAY • Management have a proven track record of developing low cost, high returning mines in Brazil • Income from the operating Posse mine mitigates funding demands associated with Crusader’s development portfolio • Juruena represents a near term cash flow opportunity, with Borborema offering longer term “turn key” leverage to the gold price • After several years of contraction, the present situation in metal markets may represent a cyclical low • Our valuation represents a premium to recent trade and does not incorporate the Company’s planned lithium spin off THE BEARS SAY • Gold mining may incur challenges outside the scope of Crusader’s existing iron ore expertise • Surplus cash flow from the Posse mine has been reinvested into assets which have yet to generate a shareholder return • Economic studies have not been published for Juruena and past Feasibility works on Borborema suggest that development requires higher gold prices than current spot markets • Failure of metal markets to recover from current levels could impair the value of Crusader’s assets • The valuation assumes Crusader’s individual assets attract fair value within a single corporate structure and is based on the mining of resources presently classed as ‘inferred’ WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 16 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES APPENDIX – JURUENA MODEL FY Starting Inventory Mined Material Dilution Ending Inventory Mt Mt % Mt Total Processed Materials Grade Recovery Salable Production Mt g/t % Oz 121,746 Revenue Royalty Opex Capital $m $m $m $m 152.2 -3.0 -90.7 -15.4 Pre Tax Cashflow $m 43.0 Pre Tax NPV Pre Tax IRR 10% 27.4 122% AISC $/oz 0.45 0.29 - 2017 0.45 0.01 15 0.44 2018 0.44 0.06 15 0.38 2019 0.38 0.09 15 0.29 2020 0.29 0.09 15 0.2 2021 0.2 0.09 15 0.11 2022 0.11 0.11 15 0 0.01 11 90 2,705 0.05 11 90 16,233 0.08 11 90 24,349 0.08 11 90 24,349 0.08 11 90 24,349 0.09 11 90 29,760 3.4 -0.1 -2.0 -8.0 20.3 -0.4 -12.1 -1.0 30.4 -0.6 -18.1 -1.5 30.4 -0.6 -18.1 -1.5 6.7 6.8 10.2 10.2 10.2 12.4 832.5 832.5 832.5 832.5 832.5 30.4 -0.6 -18.1 -1.5 - 37.2 0.7 22.2 1.9 Notes: Currency denomination is $US WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 17 wise-owl.com 14 June 2016 ARCHIVES GLOSSARY ARCHIVES Increasing value of established business operations is likely to yield share price appreciation Spec Buy Increasing value of a new or developing business operation is likely to yield share price appreciation. Hold There exists an even balance of risks. Sell There is elevated risk of share price depreciation. Stop Our recommended, pre determined sell price, to be executed if the share price fails to appreciate Exploration Crusader Resources Ltd (CAS.ASX) May-16 Initiating Coverage 0.5 Share Price $ Buy 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 2014 A category of companies that have yet to define resources according to JORC standards 2015 2016 ANALYST Resource A category of companies that have defined resources classified as 'measured' and/or 'indicated' and/or ‘inferred’ according to JORC standards. TIM MORRIS Reserve A category of companies that have defined mineral reserves according to JORC standards. 1300 306 308 [email protected] www.wise-owl.com Click for FREE wise-owl trial ABOUT US Wise owl is a global supplier of intelligence, strategic solutions, and expansion capital for emerging companies and investors. Established in 2001, wise owl drives efficient capital allocation towards developing assets. 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