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Q J Med 2006; 99:37–47 doi:10.1093/qjmed/hci155 Lymphopenia at presentation is associated with increased risk of infections in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus W.L. NG1, C.M. CHU1, A.K.L. WU2, V.C.C. CHENG2 and K.Y. YUEN2 From the 1Division of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine & Geriatrics, United Christian Hospital, and 2Center of Infection, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China Received 29 September 2004 and in revised form 31 May 2005 Summary Background: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) frequently suffer from infections, but the predisposing risk factors, as well as the exact frequency and nature of such infections, are not fully understood. Aim: To describe the frequency, types and risk factors for infections in a group of Chinese patients in the early stage of SLE in Hong Kong. Design: Retrospective record study. Methods: We reviewed the case records of 91 Chinese SLE patients, presenting 512 months after SLE diagnosis. Details of major infections (requiring intravenous antimicrobial therapy, or any confirmed mycobacterial infection) and minor infections were reviewed. Clinical and laboratory features, the systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) at presentation and drug treatment were recorded and analysed. Results: There were 48 major infections and 62 minor infections during 260 patient-years of follow-up. A lymphocyte count 41.0 109/l at presentation was independently associated with an increased risk for major infection: hazard ratio 4.7 (95%CI 1.6–13.7), p ¼ 0.005. SLEDAI, use of corticosteroids and immunosuppressive therapy were all not associated with increased risk of infection. Discussion: Lymphopenia was an important risk factor for major infections in this group of Chinese patients in the early stages of SLE. SLE patients with lymphopenia at presentation should be closely monitored for the development of infective complications. Introduction Infection is a major cause of mortality and morbidity in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).1 In most modern series, infection ranks first or second as the commonest cause of death in SLE patients worldwide, including here in Hong Kong.2–4 Infection is also a major reason for hospital admissions in SLE patients.1 There are 5- and 10-fold increases in the rate of infection in SLE patients, compared to similar patients with nephrotic syndrome and rheumatoid arthritis, respectively.5 The increase in infection reflects the multiple immune defects associated with the disease.6 In addition, the use of corticosteroids and immunosuppressive drugs such as azathioprine and cyclophosphamide may lead to further disturbance of the immune system. Several studies have attempted to identify risk factors for infection in SLE, with variable results.7,8 Address correspondence to Professor K.Y. Yuen, Centre of Infection, Queen Mary Hospital, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China. email: [email protected] ! The Author 2006. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Association of Physicians. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 38 W.L. Ng et al. Major clinical predictors identified include active lupus,9–11 renal insufficiency12,13 and proteinuria.14 Use of corticosteroids at doses 420–60 mg/day has been reported to increase the risk of infection,9,10,12,13 as has previous use of steroids.15 However, in other studies, infections were independent of the amount of steroids used.14,16 Other risk factors, such as the use of pulse methylprednisolone11,14 or cyclophosphamide,10,11 have also been implicated. Interestingly, leukopenia has not been shown to be a risk factor for infection,9,10 a finding noted as surprising in a recent review article by Petri.1 However, no study to date has looked specifically into the effect of lymphopenia on the risk of infection in SLE. One of the main drawbacks in the design of many of the aforementioned studies10,16 is that infection has been regarded as a dichotomous variable, and predictive risk factors identified by analysing differences between the groups with and without infections. In other studies,9,11 the incidence rate of infection was compared between groups with differing variables (e.g. steroid dosages or immunosuppressive therapy). However, these approaches do not take into account of the fact that the occurrence of infection is a time-dependent function, and infections may not occur at a uniform rate during the course of SLE. A more meaningful approach would be to analyse the occurrence of infection in the form of a survival study,17 where baseline characteristics are examined for their effects on the subsequent probability of surviving without infection. The current study was conducted to investigate the frequency and nature of infections in a group of Chinese SLE patients in the early stages of the disease who were followed-up in a single rheumatology centre. Clinical and laboratory features at presentation of the disease (particularly lymphopenia) were examined for their effect on the probability of the subsequent occurrence of major infections. Only patients with disease duration 512 months were included, to identify risk factors for infection operating in the early stages of the disease, and to enhance uniformity in the care and follow up of the patients. Methods Patients The Division of Rheumatology in the United Christian Hospital is the only rheumatology referral centre serving a population of approximately 0.7 million in the East Kowloon region of Hong Kong. All patients were followed-up by one of the authors (WLN). Patients were seen at regular intervals of 4–12 weeks, as guided by their clinical conditions. Blood tests were routinely performed for haematological, biochemical and serological profiles. Between July 1994 and June 2000, 149 patients with SLE were seen on at least two occasions in the rheumatology clinic. All patients fulfilled the 1982 revised American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria for SLE.18 Fifty-eight patients were excluded from the study: 54 had had their SLE diagnosis for 41 year before their first presentation to the rheumatology clinic, two were non-Chinese, and two had the majority of their care in other hospitals, with insufficient information for analysis. The final study group thus comprised 91 patients. As we decided to assess the role of lymphocyte count as a predictor for infection, 82 patients with a lymphocyte count available at presentation were selected for risk factor analysis. Data Medical records were available for all the patients. Records were retrospectively reviewed using specifically designed forms. Background information was recorded for sex, age at diagnosis, duration of the disease at first presentation and duration of followup from time of diagnosis to last follow-up visit, death or end of the study period. The date of diagnosis was defined as the time when the patient first satisfied the 1982 revised criteria for the classification of SLE. The clinical features and laboratory results were examined in detail. Features of lupus corresponding to the ACR criteria were recorded. Neurological disorders were defined by the recently published ACR nomenclature and case definitions for neuropsychiatric lupus syndromes.19 Treatment charts were reviewed. The dosage of steroid used was recorded, expressed in milligrams of prednisolone or equivalent. The average dose of steroid used in the month preceding the first major infection was computed. The cumulative steroid dose was summed up to the time of occurrence of the first major infection or to the end of the follow-up, in those with and without major infection, respectively. This represented the period at which a patient was susceptible to the occurrence of the first major infection. The cumulative use of intravenous pulse methylprednisolone, azathioprine and other cytotoxic therapies, including cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and cyclosporin A, were recorded using a similar method. Disease activity of SLE at the time of diagnosis was retrospectively evaluated using the SLE Disease Infections in SLE Activity Index (SLEDAI),20 a reliable and valid instrument for assessing lupus disease activity.21 Retrospective medical record abstraction for SLEDAI is a valid representation of lupus disease activity, with good intra-rater and inter-rater reliability.22 All non-scheduled admissions of SLE patients in the cohort within the 6-year period were recorded. The principal reason for admission was determined retrospectively at the time of the review. There were a small number of episodes in which the patients were admitted to other hospitals in Hong Kong. To ensure maximal capture of relevant information, a territory-wide search was performed via the Clinical Management System (CMS). The CMS is a computerized system that enables the retrieval of clinical and laboratory data in the majority of public hospitals in Hong Kong. To supplement any missing information, all discharge summaries, laboratory results and referral letters from other hospitals were reviewed, with special attention to the occurrence of infections. All episodes of infection from the time of diagnosis of SLE were recorded. Infections were documented by clinical evidence and significant growth of pathogens from normally sterile sites. Alternatively, when no organism was found, the diagnosis was based on compatible clinical, radiological and laboratory features and/or a response to anti-microbial therapy in the absence of an alternative explanation. Major infections were defined as those requiring intravenous antimicrobial therapy. All infections by mycobacteria were regarded as major infections. Minor infections were defined as those that could be managed with oral or topical therapy. All cutaneous herpetic infections were classified as minor unless there was evidence of dissemination. The incidence of infection was expressed as the number of infections per 100 patient years of follow-up, as previously described.9,11 The time interval from diagnosis of SLE to the first major infection was recorded and used for the analysis of infection-free survival. Potential risk factors for infection to be analysed included: (i) baseline demographic data (age, sex, duration of SLE on presentation); (ii) presence of various clinical features at disease presentation as described in the ACR criteria (malar rash, discoid rash, photosensitivity, oral ulcers, arthritis, serositis, renal disorders, neurologic disorders, haematological disorders and immunological disorders); and (iii) SLEDAI at the time of diagnosis of SLE. In particular, the effect of a lymphocyte count 41.0 109/l at presentation of SLE was examined. Both the activity of SLE23 and the lymphocyte count24,25 may vary during the course of illness, 39 so their values at disease presentation may not be extrapolatable to the later part of the disease. To circumvent this problem, infection-free survival was re-analysed using follow-up data censored at 12 months. Furthermore, we re-examined the data by re-classifying major infections as those severe infections in which there was positive identification of micro-organisms. Statistical analysis Data are expressed as means and standard deviations (SD) for normally distributed measurements, and medians for non-parametric data. Continuous data between two groups was compared using the unpaired Student’s t test or Mann-Whitney U test, as appropriate. Categorical data were compared using the 2 test with Yates’ continuity correction, or Fisher’s Exact Test, as appropriate. Analysis of duration of infection-free survival used the KaplanMeier plot. Univariate analysis of infection-free survival with respect to categorical and continuous variables used the log rank test and the Cox proportional hazard model, respectively. Variables with p 5 0.1 were put into multivariate analysis, using the Cox proportional hazard model with stepwise selection. Factors with a two-tailed p value 50.05 in the final model were reported as independent variables for infection-free survival. Results Patient characteristics There were 85 females and six males (F:M 14.2:1). Mean age at diagnosis was 37.2 16.2 years (median 36, range 9–89). Mean duration of follow-up of the patients was 34.3 25.0 months (median 28, range 1–84). Total duration of follow-up for the 91 eligible patients was 260 patient-years. Table 1 summarizes the clinical features of the 91 patients in the cohort. The lymphocyte count at the time of diagnosis was available for 82 patients (90.1%). The mean value was 1.2 0.9 109/l (median 1.1, range 0.2–5.1); 62% had a lymphocyte count 51.5 109/l and 49% a count of 41.0 109/l. Mean SLEDAI at diagnosis was 8.2 5.0 (median 7, range 0–24). Infections and hospital admissions Forty-eight episodes of major infections occurred in 27 patients (29.7%). Seven (25.9%) episodes occurred at disease presentation, and 63% within the first year after diagnosis of SLE. The majority 40 W.L. Ng et al. Table 1 Presenting features and the cumulative occurrence of ACR criteria in the SLE cohort (n ¼ 91) Feature Table 2 Frequencies of major infection (n ¼ 27) No. of major infections Patients 1 2 3 11 18 6 2 1* Presentation Cumulative Clinical Malar rash 38 (42%) 38 (42%) Discoid lesions 3 (3%) 3 (3%) Photosensitivity 23 (25%) 25 (28%) Oral ulcers 8 (9%) 8 (9%) Arthritis 63 (69%) 63 (69%) Serositis 14 (15%) 14 (15%) Renal disordera 25 (27%) 27 (30%) All neuropsychiatricb 5 (6%) 5 (6%) Haematological Haemolytic anaemia 14 (15%) 15 (17%) Leukopenia (54 109/l) 25 (27%) 40 (44%) Lymphopenia (51.5 109/l) 51/82 (62%) 81/90 (90%) Lymphopenia (41.0 109/l) 40/82 (49%) 59/90 (66%) Thrombocytopenia 6 (7%) 11 (12%) (5100 109/l) Serological Anti-nuclear antibody 91 (100) NA Anti-ds DNA or Anti-SM 76 (83.5) NA antibodies a Persistent proteinuria 40.5 g/day or presence of cellular casts. bSeizures (2), transverse myelitis (1), subarachnoid haemorrhage (1) and peripheral neuropathy (1). NA, not applicable. of patients (66.7%) had a single infection (Table 2). Details of the infections were shown in Table 3. Micro-organisms could be identified in 30 episodes (62.5%). The overall incidence was 18.5 infections per 100 patient-years of follow-up. A total of 62 episodes of minor infections occurred in 37 patients (40.7%) (Table 4), representing an incidence of 23.8 infections per 100 patient-years. There were 118 non-scheduled hospital admissions in 51 (56.0%) patients during the study period. Active SLE accounted for 56 (47.5%), infections for 41 (34.7%), and the remaining 15 (12.7%) were due to treatment complications and other causes unrelated to SLE. Risk factors for infection The 82 patients with lymphocyte counts available at the time of presentation were included in the risk factor analysis (Table 5). The first group developed at least one major infection during their clinical course; the second group never developed any major infection. The two groups were similar with regard to age, sex distribution, duration of follow-up, presence of leukopenia, thrombocytopenia, renal and neurological disorders and prevalence of (67%) (22%) (7%) (4%) *A 31-year-old woman who presented with transverse myelitis and status epilepticus requiring admission to intensive care unit. She developed nosocomial pneumonia and recurrent catheter-related urinary tract infection. anti-DNA antibody at presentation. Other ACR clinical features were also similar (not shown). With regard to steroid therapy, the cumulative steroid doses were similar in both groups. Of those with major infections, 9 (33.3%) did not receive any prior steroid therapy, and another 10 (37.0%) received an average dose of 410 mg prednisolone in the month preceding the first major infection. The percentages of patients who had received intravenous pulse methylprednisolone, azathioprine or cytotoxic therapy were similar in the two groups. The time period from SLE diagnosis to the first major infection was analysed. Risk factors for infection-free survival were examined using demographic data such as sex, age, auto-antibodies, SLEDAI and prevalence of various clinical features. On univariate analysis by log-rank test, both the presence of haemolytic anaemia (p 5 0.005) and lymphopenia 41.0 109/l at time of SLE diagnosis (p 5 0.0001) were associated with an increased risk of development of a major infection during follow-up (Table 6). Figure 1 shows the survival curves according to the presence or absence of lymphopenia 41.0 109/l at diagnosis. On multivariate analysis using Cox regression, lymphopenia 41.0 109/l at disease presentation was the only independent predictor for the occurrence of a major infection: hazard ratio (HR) 4.7 (95%CI 1.6–13.7), p ¼ 0.005. To examine further the predictive value of lymphopenia at disease onset, the data were re-analysed, with follow-up censored at 12 months. During the first 12-month period, there were 18 major infections. Sixteen (40%) of the 40 patients with a lymphocyte count 41.0 109/l developed a major infection, compared to only 3 (4.8%) of the other 42 (Figure 2). Lymphopenia 41.0 109/l at presentation of SLE remained the only independent risk factor predicting occurrence of major infection: HR 6.2 (95%CI 1.3–29.3), p ¼ 0.021 by Cox regression. Infections in SLE 41 Table 3 Details of major infections (n ¼ 27) Site (no. of episodes) Organism n (%) Pneumonia (16) Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus Mycobacterium tuberculosis Pseudomonas aeruginosa Stenotrophomonas maltophila Haemophilus influenzae Haemophilus parainfluenzae No organism identified E. coli Pseudomonas aeruginosa Klebsiella spp No organism identified Mycobacterium tuberculosis Listeria monocytogenes No organism identified Staphylococcus aureus Mycobacterium tuberculosis No organism identified Mycobacterium tuberculosis No organism identified No organism identified Staphylococcus aureus No organism identified 3 2 1 1 1 1 7 10 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 48 Urinary tract (13) Septicaemia and disseminated infection (5) Cutaneous (5) Lymphadenitis (4) Upper respiratory tract (3) Septic arthritis (1) Meningitis (1) Total (48) (6.3%) (4.2%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (14.6%) (20.8%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (4.2%) (2.0%) (4.2%) (4.2%) (2.0%) (4.2%) (4.2%) (4.2%) (6.3%) (2.0%) (2.0%) (100%) Table 4 Minor episodes of infections in 37 patients Site (no. of episodes) Organism n (%) Upper respiratory tract (25) Haemophilus influenzae Haemophilus parainfluenzae Influenza A No organism identified Herpes zoster Staphylococcus aureus Mixed growth (Morganella morganii, Klebsiella pneumoniae) No organism identified E. coli Enterococcus faecalis Strepotococcus agalactiae Group D streptococcus Pseudomonas aeruginosa No organism identified Gardnerella vaginalis Streptococcus milleri Herpes simplex 3 2 1 20 11 1 1 5 5 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 1 62 Cutaneous (18) Urinary (9) Lymphadenitis (6) Vaginal (1) Sinusitis (1) Keratitis (1) Total (62) We also analysed the data by re-classifying major infections to include only those in which there was positive identification of the infecting microorganism. Under this new definition, major infection occurred in 12 (30%) of the 40 patients with a (4.8) (3.2) (1.6) (32.2) (17.7) (1.6) (1.6) (8.1) (8.1) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6) (7.3) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6) (100) lymphocyte count 41.0 109/l vs. 3 (7.1%) of the 42 others (Figure 3). Lymphopenia 41.0 109/l at time of diagnosis of SLE was still the only predictor for occurrence of major infection: HR 18.1 (95%CI 6.5–50.2), p 5 0.001 by Cox regression. 42 W.L. Ng et al. Table 5 Demographic and clinical profile of 82 SLE patients (with lymphocyte count available at presentation) with and without major infections Age at diagnosis (years) Total follow-up (months) Female sex (%) Leukopenia 54 109/l (%) Haemolytic anaemia (%) Thrombocytopenia 5100 109/l (%) Renal diseasea (%) Neurological diseaseb (%) Positive anti-dsDNA (%) Cumulative steroid dosec in mg Pulse i.v. methylprednisolone (%) Azathioprine (%) Cytotoxic therapyg (%) SLEDAI at time of diagnosis Lymphocyte count at presentation ( 109/l) (mean SD) Patients with major infection (n ¼ 27) Patients without major infection (n ¼ 55) 32.0 (14–80) 28 (1–76) 25 (92.7) 13 (48.1%) 10 (37.0%) 5 (18.5%) 10 (37.0%) 3 (11.1%) 20 (81.5%) 615d (0–17651) 2 (7.4%) 2 (7.4%)e, 5 (18.5%)f 2 (7.4%)e, 5 (18.5%)f 9 (3–24) 0.92 0.9 37 (9–89) 27 (1–84) 51 (92.7) 27 (49.1%) 5 (9.1%) 4 (7.3%) 14 (25.5%) 20 (3.6%) 45 (81.8%) 1568d (0–30767) 5 (9.1%) 16 (29.1%)f 7 (12.7%) 6 (0–18) 1.36 0.8 Data are medians (range) unless otherwise stated. aDefined as persistent proteinuria 40.5 g/day or presence of cellular casts. b Included the following: seizures (2), transverse myelitis (1), subarachnoid haemorrhage (1) and peripheral neuropathy (1). cDosages expressed as mg of prednisolone or equivalent. dCumulative dose of steroid received was summed up to the time of occurrence of the first major infection and to the end of follow-up, in the groups with and without major infection, respectively. eCumulative use before the occurrence of the first major infection. fCumulative use at the end of follow-up. g Included use of cyclophosphamide, methotrexate or cyclosporin A. Table 6 Analysis of potential risk factors associated with major infections in SLE Lymphocytes 41.0 109/l Presence of haemolytic anaemia Male sex Age (per year) Positive anti-ds DNA SLEDAI (per point) Log-rank test p Unadjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) by univariate Cox’s regression and p value Adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) by multivariate Cox’s regression and p value 50.0001 50.005 0.98 – 0.67 – 5.0 2.5 1.5 1.02 1.1 1.04 4.7 (1.6–13.7) p ¼ 0.005 1.2 (0.4–3.4) p ¼ 0.78 – – – – (1.9–13.3) p 5 0.001 (0.9–6.5) p ¼ 0.066 (0.2–11.2) p ¼ 0.7 (0.99–1.04) p ¼ 0.28 (0.4–3.4) p ¼ 0.82 (0.95–1.15) p ¼ 0.37 SLEDAI, systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index. Deaths Discussion There was only one death in the study during the follow-up period: a 77-year-old lady with history of Evans’ syndrome (autoimmune haemolytic anaemia and thrombocytopenia) treated with steroids and splenectomy. She subsequently developed photosensitive rash, proteinuria with positive ANA and anti-DNA. Two years later, she developed ischaemic colitis requiring bowel resection, and died post-operatively from nosocomial pneumonia (methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus). Lupus was not active at the time of death. No autopsy was performed. This is the first report from Hong Kong of the risk factors associated with infections in Chinese patients with SLE. The study was performed on ambulatory patients followed-up in a tertiary referral hospital, all seen within 12 months of diagnosis (i.e. patients in the early stages of SLE). All patients were followed in a single centre, under the care of one rheumatologist. Infection was common in these patients, with an overall incidence rate of 18.5 per 100 patientyears of follow-up. In the study of Ginzler et al., the incidence of major infections was 13.9 per Infections in SLE 43 1.0 Patients without lymphopenia Proportion without major infection .9 .8 .7 .6 Lymphocyte at onset .5 lymphocyte ≤ 1 Patients with lymphopenia .4 .3 lymphocyte ≤ 1 -censored .2 lymphocyte > 1 .1 lymphocyte > 1 -censored 0.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Time from SLE diagnosis (months) Figure 1. Cumulative probability of infection-free survival for the complete follow-up period in SLE patients with or without lymphopenia (41.0 109/l) at presentation (n ¼ 82). Proportion without major infection 1.0 .9 .8 Patients without lymphopenia .7 .6 lymphocyte at onset .5 Patients with lymphopenia lymphocyte ≤ 1 .4 .3 lymphocyte ≤ 1 -censored .2 lymphocyte > 1 .1 lymphocyte > 1 -censored 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Time from SLE diagnosis (censored at 12 months) Figure 2. Cumulative probability of infection-free survival for the initial 12 months of follow-up in SLE patients with or without lymphopenia (41.0 109/l) at presentation (n ¼ 82). 100 patient years.9 Our infection rate was almost identical to that in a group of Malaysian SLE patients.11 but a much lower rate of 6.9 per 100 patient years was observed separately in Canadian26 and Swedish populations.27 Overall, 34.7% of the hospitalizations within the study period were related to infections, whereas 47.6% were attributed to SLE activity. In contrast, in the W.L. Ng et al. Proportion without microbiologically confirmed major infection 44 1.0 .9 .8 Patients without lymphopenia .7 .6 lymphocyte at onset .5 lymphocyte ≤ 1 .4 lymphocyte ≤ 1 -censored .3 Patients with lymphopenia .2 lymphocyte > 1 .1 lymphocyte > 1 -censored 0.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Time from SLE diagnosis (months) Figure 3. Cumulative probability of infection-free survival (for microbiologically confirmed major infections) for the complete follow-up period in SLE patients with or without lymphopenia (41.0 109/l) at presentation (n ¼ 82). Hopkins Lupus Cohort, which included sicker patients with longer disease duration, infections were responsible for only 14% of admissions.28 In a large, multi-centre prospective study, infections accounted for 28.9% of deaths among a cohort of SLE patients, and was the second most common cause of death identified in that study.29 Most major infections in this cohort were caused by common bacterial or viral pathogens, most commonly involving the lungs and urinary tract. Escherichia coli and Staphyloccocus aureus were the leading causative pathogens. There was one case of Listeria monocytogenes bacteraemia, a classic intracellular organism requiring intact cell-mediated immunity for body defense.6 Krau et al. reported seven cases of listeriosis in SLE patients, all having severe lymphopenia and receiving immunosuppressive therapies.30 Of particular interest was the high rate (6.6%) of mycobacterial infection in our patients, similar to the prevalence of tuberculosis reported in 390 Philippino SLE patients (13.8% over 11 years).31 In a previous Hong Kong study, there were nine cases of tuberculosis among 156 SLE patients (5.8%) over 4 years.32 This may reflect the high local prevalence of tuberculosis in our community. In addition, eleven patients (12.1%) developed herpes zoster infection in this cohort, with no disseminated infection. Kahl et al. reported a similar prevalence of 13.5% among 348 SLE patients.33 Severe opportunistic infections by organisms such as Nocardia, Pneumocystis carinii, Cytomegalovirus and systemic fungal infections were not seen in this cohort. It was unlikely that such infections were missed, as they would have fatal outcomes if left untreated.34 There could be a number of reasons for the absence of severe opportunistic infections in our study. It is possible that patients with more severe infections at presentation might have succumbed before they could be recruited into our study. Severe opportunistic infections were strongly associated with use of immunosuppressants,34–36 and patients with longer disease duration and more extensive use of immunosuppressants were under-represented in our study. Also, the clinical manifestations and mortality pattern of SLE differ in different stages of the disease.37 Our study reflects the infection pattern in the early stages of the disease process. In this study, the occurrence of infection was expressed as a survival function. The occurrence of major infections appeared to follow a ‘decrescendo’ pattern, with the majority of events occurring early in the course of the disease. This may reflect their susceptibility to infection as a result of the inherent immune dysregulation in SLE patients.38 These patients should be followed-up to see whether the rate and pattern of infections change as a result of cumulative increase in end-organ damage and immunosuppressive therapies. Infections in SLE Corticosteroid and other immunosuppressive therapies did not appear to confer excessive infective risk in our cohort. Many patients were steroid-naive (33%), and 37.0% received an average dose of 410 mg/day prednisolone in the month preceding their first major infection. Only 7.4% received either azathioprine or cyclophosphamide prior to infection. Corticosteroids and immunosuppressive agents have a dual effect on the immune system in SLE.1 Corticosteroids can inhibit migration and accumulation of leukocytes; bactericidal activity, Fc receptor binding and other functions of monocytes and macrophages are often impaired. Glucocorticoids induce lymphopenia by redistributing cells to various tissue compartments, and T lymphocytes are selectively depleted. Expression of the adhesion molecule L-selectin is downregulated, thereby inhibiting lymphocyte migration to lymph nodes. Corticosteroids also impair lymphocyte proliferation and cell-mediated cytotoxicity.39 However, by suppressing abnormal cells, corticosteroids may improve the function of other aspects of the immune system. For example, abnormal neutrophil migration in untreated patients may be normalized in steroid-treated SLE patients,40 and cell-mediated immunity may improve after prednisolone therapy.41 These may contribute to the inconsistent findings regarding the role of corticosteroids as a risk factor for infections in SLE. Active lupus is recognized as a risk factor for infection,9–11 but few studies have documented disease activity using validated instruments.16,42 In this study, we used the SLEDAI, a widely accepted instrument.21 Mean SLEDAI at the time of diagnosis of our patients was 8.2 5.0 (median 7, range 0–24), which is similar to those reported in other case series of hospitalized SLE patients.16,42 There was a trend for increased risk of infection in patients with more active disease (SLEDAI 47), (p ¼ 0.058 by log rank test), but this was not significant on multivariate analysis. Previous studies looking at leukopenia as a predictor of infection in SLE have yielded negative results.9,10 However, total white cell count is an imprecise representation of leukocyte components, and lymphopenia can occur with a ‘normal’ total white cell count. In our patients, the prevalence of leukopenia (54 109/l) was only 27%, whereas lymphopenia (51.5 109/l) was present in 62% of patients at presentation (Table 1). Moreover, depletion of different cellular components may predispose to infections with different pathogens.43,44 We therefore advocate measuring differential leukocyte counts for patients with SLE. To our knowledge this is the first study to document lymphopenia as a risk factor for infections 45 in SLE patients. As illustrated in Figure 2, the risk of developing a major infection over the six-year period was increased by approximately 5-fold for patients with lymphocyte counts 41.0 109/l at presentation. Since lymphocyte count in SLE patients may vary with time and disease activity, and could be modified by treatment,24,25 the lymphocyte count may fluctuate during the course of disease. In this cohort, the prevalence of lymphopenia 41.0 109/l had increased from 49% to 66% by the end of the follow-up period. We repeated our analyses, using data censored at 12 months from diagnosis. As shown in Figure 3, the presence of lymphopenia 41.0 109/l remained strongly predictive for the occurrence of major infection. There is surprisingly little literature on lymphopenia in SLE, despite its common occurrence in this disorder.24,25,45,46 Lymphopenia is well known to predispose to infections, especially in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)44 and those with idiopathic CD4þ T-lymphocytopenia.47 Patients with a CD4 count of 50.2 109/l have a dramatic increase in the incidence of opportunistic infections such as Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia44 and tuberculosis.48 The mechanism of lymphopenia in SLE is not clear. Lymphopenia commonly develops in SLE patients during active disease24,45 and is strongly associated with coldreactive, complement-fixing, and presumably cytotoxic anti-lymphocyte antibodies.49 Another potential mechanism of lymphopenia is increased apoptosis, as reflected by increased expression of Fas antigen on T cells.50 Apart from the aforementioned clinical risk factors, there are other potential contributing factors to the risk of infections in SLE patients that have not been thoroughly investigated. For instance, the integument and mucosal barriers may break down as a result of vasculitis. SLE patients may have a low serum level of mannose-binding lectin (MBL),51 which is an important protein in the opsonization and phagocytosis of microbes, leading to complement activation and deposition.17,52 In addition, multiple defects in the macrophage/monocyte system, ‘natural killer’ cells, as well as T and B cells, are common.38 Autosplenectomy and functional hyposplenia may also confer infection risk.53 These factors may contribute to the inconsistent findings reported in previous studies of risk factors for infections in SLE. Our study is limited by its retrospective nature and relatively small sample size. We included only newly diagnosed patients, and the findings may not be applicable to other patient groups. Only the first major infection was studied, and subsequent 46 W.L. Ng et al. infections were not analysed. 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