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Editorial to PBMB_2016_7 "Disturbances of Cardiac Wavelength and Repolarization Precede Torsade de Pointes and Ventricular Fibrillation In Langendorff Perfused Rabbit hearts" by Luc Hondeghem It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future:* thoughts about forecasting cardiotoxicity of pharmacological interventions Katja E. Odening1,2,3 MD; Peter Kohl2,3,4 MD PhD Department of Cardiology and Angiology I, University Heart Center Freiburg – Bad Krozingen, Medical Center – University of Freiburg, Germany; 2 Institute for Experimental Cardiovascular Medicine, University Heart Center Freiburg – Bad Krozingen, Medical Center – University of Freiburg, Germany 3 Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany 4 Cardiac Biophysics and Systems Biology, National Heart and Lung Institute, London, UK 1 * a quote, variably attributed to Mark Twain, Niels Bohr, Robert Storm Petersen, Yogi Berra, and others. Reliable preclinical safety testing of new compounds in general, and assessment of potential pro-arrhythmic properties in particular, are of the utmost importance yet loaded with challenges. To date no single electrical surrogate parameter in patients, and no single cellular, tissue or whole animal model, including computer simulations, enables reliable clinical risk prediction [Haverkamp et al. 2000; Mirams et al. 2012]. Therefore, potential new drugs are evaluated by a combined integrative approach, using several preclinical test systems [ICH S7B safety guideline 2005], in a bid that focusses to a large extent on the avoidance of false-negative risk prediction. This comes at significant cost to the drug industry: the development of a drug takes more than 10 years, out of those that enter clinical trials only 12 % turn into an approved (revenue generating) medicine, and if one divides the overall R&D investment by the number of drugs that make it to market, this is now in the order of USD 2.5 billion [Pharma-2015]. This highlights the importance of predicative pre-clinical assessment of lead compounds. Cardiac safety pharmacology has been dominated, perhaps overly so, by concerns about delayed repolarization as a cause of Torsade de Pointes (TdP), a potentially lethal ventricular tachycardia. This is an exceedingly rare event, and may occur as infrequently as once in every 10 000 patient-years of exposure to a compound [Yap et al. 2003]. However, due to the potentially lethal character of this arrhythmia, indications of ‘torsadogenicity’ generally preclude marketing. Preclinical measurement of drug-induced prolongation of action potential duration (APD) or of QT interval duration in the ECG as surrogate markers have not achieved a sufficient sensitivity for reliable prediction of pro-arrhythmic effects of drugs [Hondeghem et al. 2001; Milberg et al. 2002]. Therefore, additional parameters, such as triangulation of action potential shape (APD90-30) indicating slowing of phase-3-repolarization [Hondeghem et al. 2001], reverserate dependence [Hondeghem and Hoffmann 2003], ventricular rate adaptation [Green et al. 2011], spatial APD dispersion [Antzelevitch 2008], and temporal beat-to-beat APD/QT variability [Jacobsen et al. 2011] have been proposed to increase the performance of ex vivo whole heart assays for the detection of drug-induced pro-arrhythmia. In this issue, Luc Hondeghem, who pioneered the TRIaD score (disturbance of Triangulation, Reverse use dependence, Instability of repolarization, Dispersion of repolarization) for combined assessment of various factors indicative of increased pro-arrhythmia [Hondeghem et al., 2001], provides further evidence that a combination of various electrical markers outperforms any single parameter [Hondeghem PBMB 2016]. He adds another aspect to the pro-arrhythmia score (-TRIaD) – cardiac wavelength that is determined by conduction velocity and effective refractory period – to further enhance prediction of drug-induced TdP and illustrates its utility in isolated rabbit heart models. This is in keeping with current safety pharmaceutical guidelines, according to which all novel candidate drugs have to be screened for HERG/IKr-blocking properties and potential proarrhythmia in a combined, integrative ex vivo and in vivo approach at an early stage of drug development [ICH S7B safety guideline 2005]. The rabbit is one of the more suitable preclinical model species for investigation of drug-induced pro-arrhythmia [Valentin et al. 2004], since it demonstrates similarities to human (patho-) physiology in ion currents determining cardiac electrical characteristics, action potential properties, intracellular ion concentrations, cardiac responses to drugs and ischemia, and regional contractile and diastolic behaviour [Galinanes and Hearse 1990; Nerbonne 2000; Panfilov 2006; Jung et al. 2012]. Human subjects that appear particularly prone to drug-induced QT prolongation and TdP may harbour an increased susceptibility due to single nucleotide polymorphisms or rare variants in genes related to the so-called long QT syndrome (LQT), including KCNQ1, KCNH2, SCN5A, KCNE1, KCNE2, KCNJ2, KCNJ5, and AKAP9 [Yang et al. 2002; Kannankeril et al. 2005; Weeke et al. 2014]. The sensitivity to detect pro-arrhythmia and the capability to translate experimental findings into clinical practice may therefore be further enhanced if pre-clinical testing on rabbit hearts utilized models harbouring the above risk factors. Indeed, rabbit models with a similarly impaired repolarization reserve – such as drug-induced LQT or transgenic rabbits models of LQT1, LQT2, or LQT5 – may outperform wild-type rabbit hearts in the detection of drug-related pro-arrhythmia [Odening et al. 2008, Ziupa et al. 2014, Major et al. 2016]. The utility of experimental and computational models of the rabbit heart for cardiovascular research will be the focus of a forthcoming special issue of this journal that will appear in autumn of 2016. Themed to address non-murine (lagomorph) heart models, it will include papers on (patho-) physiological research into rabbit cardiac structure and electro-mechanical function, including novel insight from transgenic rabbit models, and highlight important insights gained with these model systems from ion channel function to integrated modelling, covering themes from arteriosclerosis to arrhythmogenesis. References: Antzelevitch C. Drug-induced spatial dispersion of repolarization. Cardiol J 2008, 15: 100–121. Galinanes M, Hearse DJ. Species differences in susceptibility to ischemic injury and responsiveness to myocardial protection. Cardioscience 1990, 1(2):127-43. Green JR, Diaz GJ, Limberis JT, Houseman KA, Su Z, Martin RL, Cox BF, Kantor S, Gintant GA. Ventricular rate adaptation: a novel, rapid, cellular-based in-vitro assay to identify proarrhythmic and torsadogenic compounds. J Pharmacol Toxicol Methods 2011, 64(1):68-73. Haverkamp W, Breithardt G, Camm AJ, Janse MJ, Rosen MR, Antzelevitch C, Escande D, Franz M, Malik M, Moss A, Shah R. The potential for QT prolongation and proarrhythmia by non-antiarrhythmic drugs: clinical and regulatory implications. Report on a policy conference of the European Society of Cardiology. Eur Heart J 2000, 21: 1216–1231. Hondeghem L. Disturbances of Cardiac Wavelength and Repolarization Precede Torsade de Pointes and Ventricular Fibrillation In Langendorff Perfused Rabbit hearts. Prog Biophys Mol Biol 2016, Mar 12. doi: 10.1016/j.pbiomolbio.2016.03.004. [Epub ahead of print] Hondeghem LM, Carlsson L, Duker G. Instability and triangulation of the action potential predict serious proarrhythmia, but action potential duration prolongation is antiarrhythmic. Circulation 2001, 103: 2004–2013. Hondeghem LM, Hoffmann P. Blinded test in isolated female rabbit heart reliably identifies action potential duration prolongation and proarrhythmic drugs: importance of triangulation, reverse use dependence, and instability. J Cardiovasc Pharmacol 2003, 41(1):14-24. ICH S7B safety guideline (2005): The Non-Clinical Evaluation of the Potential for Delayed Ventricular Repolarization (QT Interval Prolongation) by Human Pharmaceuticals, http://www.ich.org/fileadmin/Public_Web_Site/ICH_Products/Guidelines/Safety/S7B/Step4/S7B_ Guideline.pdf. Jacobson I, Carlsson L, Duker G. Beat-by-beat QT interval variability, but not QT prolongation per se, predicts drug-induced torsades de pointes in the anaesthetised methoxamine-sensitized rabbit. J Pharmacol Toxicol Methods 2011, 63:40-46. Jung B, Odening KE, Dall'Armellina E, Foell D, Menza M, Markl M, Schneider JE. A quantitative comparison of regional myocardial motion in mice, rabbits and humans using in-vivo phase contrast CMR. J Cardiovasc Magn Reson 2012, 14:87. Kannankeril PJ, Roden DM, Norris KJ, Whalen SP, George AL Jr, Murray KT. Genetic susceptibility to acquired long QT syndrome: pharmacologic challenge in first-degree relatives. Heart Rhythm 2005, 2: 134–140. Major P, Baczko I, Hipiri L, Odening KE, Juhasz V, Kohajda Z, Horvath A, Seprenyi G, Kovacs M, Prorok J, Ordog B, Doleschall Z, Nattel S, Varro A, Bosze Z. A novel transgenic rabbit model with reduced repolarization reserve: long QT syndrome caused by a dominant-negative mutation of KCNE1 gene. Br J Pharmacol, accepted April 1, 2016 Milberg P, Eckardt L, Bruns HJ, Biertz J, Ramtin S, Reinsch N, Fleischer D, Kirchhof P, Fabritz L, Breithardt G, Haverkamp W. Divergent proarrhythmic potential of macrolide antibiotics despite similar QT prolongation: fast phase 3 repolarization prevents early afterdepolarizations and torsade de pointes. J Pharmacol Exp Ther 2002, 303: 218–225. Mirams GR, Davies MR, Cui Y, Kohl P, Noble D. 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Review of the predictive value of the Langendorff heart model (Screenit system) in assessing the proarrhythmic potential of drugs. J Pharmacol Toxicol Methods 2004, 49:171-181. Weeke P, Mosley JD, Hanna D, Delaney JT, Shaffer C, Wells QS, Van Driest S, Karnes JH, Ingram C, Guo Y, Shyr Y, Norris K, Kannankeril PJ, Ramirez AH, Smith JD, Mardis ER, Nickerson D, George AL Jr, Roden DM. Exome sequencing implicates an increased burden of rare potassium channel variants in the risk of drug-induced long QT interval syndrome. J Am Coll Cardiol 2014, 63(14): 1430-7 Yang P, Kanki H, Drolet B, Yang T, Wei J, Viswanathan PC, Hohnloser SH, Shimizu W, Schwartz PJ, Stanton M, Murray KT, Norris K, George AL Jr, Roden DM. Allelic variants in longQT disease genes in patients with drug-associated torsades de pointes. Circulation 2002, 105: 1943–1948. Yap YG and Camm AJ. Drug induced QT prolongation and torsades de pointes. Heart 2003, 89(11): 1363–1372. Ziupa D, Beck J, Franke G, Perez Feliz S, Hartmann M, Koren G, Zehender M, Bode C, Brunner M, Odening KE. Pronounced Effects of HERG-Blockers E-4031 and Erythromycin on APD, Spatial APD Dispersion and Triangulation in Transgenic Long-QT Type 1 Rabbits. PLoS ONE 2014, 9(9): e107210.