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Ljubljana, 9 July 2014 Energy and Sustainability building a sustainable energy future - without the hot air Samo Fürst, GEN energija We need energy literacy to make informed decisions about our energy future. Energy: - Why? - How much? - When? - Where does it come from? - Decision factors? 1 kilowatt hour = 40 W light bulb / 24 hours - Food (chemical energy) = 3 kWh/day/person - Hot bath = 5 kWh of heat - Car drive (35 km/day, consumption 7 L/100 km) = 24 kWh/day Chemical energy Food Movement Energy primary sources and its consumption in Slovenia Energy use means unavoidable losses Slovenia’s primary source consumption is roughly hours (kWh) 113 kilowatt- per day per person. In practical terms, this is the amount of energy one hundred and thirteen 40-watt light bulbs would use if left turned on by a single person around the clock, every day of the year. Slovenian energy balance Energy unit: kWh/capita/day Slovenian electricity production Size of a circle represents yearly production 38 % 66% of electricity in Slovenia is low carbon and sustainable (RES + nuclear) 34 % 27 % OTHER RENEWABLES 1% Electricity consumption & production in Slovenia 1960-2060 2043 – Krško NPP closed 2055 – Šoštanj TPP closed Decisions are needed today! 1 GWh = one million kWh Electricity use vs. time – requested power Morning Evening Electricity cannot be stored! Production always equal to consumption! Developing a sustainable energy strategy Energy equity Energy trilemma - How to provide affordable, reliable supply of energy, which takes into account the principles of environmental sustainability? Energy security How, by what and when? Environmental sustainability Factors influencing decisions Slovenian commitments to the EU – climate and energy targets - Reduction of CO2 emissions; total emissions reductions of 30% to 40% by 2030 - Indicative targets for 2050; 80% to 90% reduction in the overall reduction of CO2 emissions - The share of renewable energy sources; 25% by 2020 Life cycle impacts shall be considered All impacts shall be taken into account! Planning vs NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) Irresponsibility is unsustainable! Climate change is (perceived as) one of the most serious threats to mankind Source: Climate change, Report, Special Eurobarometer 372, 2011. Climate change is a fact! Climate change driver: CO2 at record level of 400ppm • 400ppm is record level in the last 800.000 years (data from Antarctic ice) • This level was last reached 3 million years ago • Ice ages repeated every 100.000 years; CO2 level was from 180ppm to 280ppm Climate change is a fact! ESCII: 2,39 tCO2/toe in 1990 2,37 tCO2/toe in 2010 RES are not enough to achieve goal of 2 deg. temp. rise! Source: OECD/IEA Sustainable energy mix Nuclear + Renewable Low carbon electricity, affordable to all levels of society! Energy triangle Affordable Electricity prices for small consumers (USD/MWh) Nuclear provides sustainability Nuclear Non - Nuclear The key directions for Slovenian sustainable energy future are: - electrification of the transport and heating sector, - electricity generation from sustainable and renewable sources (nuclear and hydro energy), - reduction of fossil fuels and focus on natural gas as the cleanest of them, - better use of energy sources available due to our natural characteristics - biomass for heating, - energy efficiency measures (- 20%, - 30%?)… >>> EXPECTED RESULTS: - less energy import dependency > more energy security - less CO2 emissions - reliable energy supply at competitive prices Future low carbon option for Slovenia Today Option for future PRIMARY SOURCES 113 kWh/d per person PRIMARY SOURCES 80 kWh/d per person SOLAR: 0,1 kWh/d HYDRO: 5 kWh/d NUCLEAR HEAT: 25 kWh/d - 30 % in consumption BIOMASS AND GEOTHERMAL: 10 kWh/d COAL: 23 kWh/d NATURAL GAS: 11 kWh/d PETROLEUM PRODUCTS: 39 kWh/d SOLAR: 20 kWh/d NUCLEAR: 20 kWh/d ENERGY EFFICIENCY BIOMASS: 20 kWh/d WIND: 10 kWh/d HYDRO: 10 kWh/d Requirements for proposed future option NEEDS SOLAR: 20 kWh/d NUCLEAR: 20 kWh/d Power plant 1900 MW BIOMASS: 20 kWh/d 3400 km2 area WIND: 10 kWh/d 400 km2 area HYDRO: 10 kWh/d Is it a sustainable option? 280 km2 area All theoretic possible potential GEN Group’s core business functions Production Development and Investments Trading and Sales Based on sustainable energy sources The GEN Group: electricity production Portfolio of sustainable and renewable energy sources Electricity production in the GEN Group in 2013 (in GWh, by source) The GEN group 2.983 GWh Sustainable energy – provided by nuclear and RES Slovenian average energy production: 11 TWh/per year Slovenian average consumption: 12 TWh/per year Average GEN Group production (50% NEK): 3 TWh/per year Investing in new production capacity EXPANDING NUCLEAR CAPACITIES FOR ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION • Investment in the construction of a second unit of Krško NPP (Krško 2). OTHER INVESTMENTS • Completing the chain of hydroelectric power plants on the lower and middle course of the Sava River • Replacement of gas units PB 1, 2, 3 at Termoelektrarna Brestanica (TEB) – assessing the viability of investing in a gas-steam unit. • Investments in the future, with a focus on renewable and sustainable energy sources. JEK 2 and sustainable development of Slovenia • Optimal land requirements and nature conservation Environment • Low carbon source of energy • Domestic source of energy • District Heating • Highly qualified jobs • Pressurized water reactor, 3th generation with improved technology and security • Usage of recycled fuel Society • a reliable electricity supply Economy • the best, most advanced and secure technologies • Positive impact on Slovenian economy and standard of living • Competitiveness on electricity market Decision is in our hands! Be open minded and • decide on facts! electricity generated at a nuclear power plant is competitive in the market without any subsidies Thank you for your attention! Questions? Samo Fürst, Licensing Lead Engineer, GEN energija [email protected] Technical limitations for RES Electricity load diagram PV PV+ wind wind Load – power needed Energy deficit Classic power plants