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Transcript
CHAPTER 1
Exploring Data
Introduction
Data Analysis:
Making Sense of Data
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Starnes, Tabor, Yates, Moore
Bedford Freeman Worth Publishers
Data Analysis: Making Sense of Data
Learning Objectives
After this section, you should be able to:
 IDENTIFY the individuals and variables in a set of data
 CLASSIFY variables as categorical or quantitative
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
2
Data Analysis
Statistics is the science of data.
Data Analysis is the process of organizing, displaying, summarizing,
and asking questions about data.
Individuals
 objects described by a set of data
Variable
 any characteristic of an individual
Categorical Variable
 places an individual into
one of several groups or
categories.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Quantitative Variable
 takes numerical values for
which it makes sense to find
an average.
3
Data Analysis
A variable generally takes on many different values.
• We are interested in how often a variable takes on each value.
Distribution
 tells us what values a variable takes and how often
it takes those values.
Variable of Interest:
MPG
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Dotplot of MPG
Distribution
4
How to Explore Data
Examine each variable
by itself.
Then study relationships
among the variables.
Start with a graph
or graphs
Add numerical
summaries
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
5
From Data Analysis to Inference
Population
Sample
Make an Inference
about the
Population.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Collect data from a
representative
Sample...
Perform Data
Analysis, keeping
probability in
mind…
6
Data Analysis: Making Sense of Data
Section Summary
In this section, we learned that…
 A dataset contains information on individuals.
 For each individual, data give values for one or more variables.
 Variables can be categorical or quantitative.
 The distribution of a variable describes what values it takes and
how often it takes them.
 Inference is the process of making a conclusion about a
population based on a sample set of data.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
7
Analyzing Categorical Data
Learning Objectives
After this section, you should be able to:
 DISPLAY categorical data with a bar graph
 IDENTIFY what makes some graphs of categorical data deceptive
 CALCULATE and DISPLAY the marginal distribution of a
categorical variable from a two-way table
 CALCULATE and DISPLAY the conditional distribution of a
categorical variable for a particular value of the other categorical
variable in a two-way table
 DESCRIBE the association between two categorical variables
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
8
Categorical Variables
Categorical variables place individuals into one of several groups or
categories.
Frequency Table
Format
Variable
Count of Stations
Format
Percent of Stations
Adult Contemporary
1556
Adult Contemporary
Adult Standards
1196
Adult Standards
8.6
Contemporary Hit
4.1
Contemporary Hit
569
11.2
Country
2066
Country
14.9
News/Talk
2179
News/Talk
15.7
Oldies
1060
Oldies
Religious
2014
Religious
Rock
869
Spanish Language
750
Other Formats
Values
Relative Frequency Table
Total
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
1579
13838
7.7
14.6
Rock
6.3
Count
Spanish Language
Other Formats
Total
Percent
5.4
11.4
99.9
9
Displaying Categorical Data
Frequency tables can be difficult to read.
Sometimes is is easier to analyze a distribution by displaying it with a
bar graph or pie chart.
Percent of Stations
Count of Stations
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Frequency Table
Format
Relative Frequency Table
Count of Stations
Adult Contemporary
1556
Adult Standards
1196
Contemporary Hit
Format
Adult Contemporary
11%
11%
Adult Standards
5%
569
Contemporary Hit
Country
2066
News/Talk
2179
News/Talk
Oldies
1060
Oldies
Religious
2014
Rock
869
Spanish Language
750
Other Formats
Total
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
1579
13838
Adult Contemporary
Percent of Stations
11.2
Adult
Standards
8.6
Contemporary hit
4.1
Country
14.9
9%
Country
6%
15%
Religious
Rock
8%
Spanish Language
4%
News/Talk
15.7
Oldies7.7
15%
14.6
Religious
6.3
Rock
5.4
16%
Other Formats
Spanish
11.4
Total
99.9
Other
10
Graphs: Good and Bad
Bar graphs compare several quantities by comparing the heights of
bars that represent those quantities. Our eyes, however, react to the
area of the bars as well as to their height.
When you draw a bar graph, make the bars equally wide.
It is tempting to replace the bars with pictures for greater eye appeal.
Don’t do it!
There are two important lessons to keep in mind:
(1) beware the pictograph, and
(2) watch those scales.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
11
Two-Way Tables and Marginal Distributions
When a dataset involves two categorical variables, we begin by
examining the counts or percents in various categories for one of the
variables.
A two-way table describes two categorical variables,
organizing counts according to a row variable and a
column variable.
Young adults by gender and chance of getting rich
Female
Male
Total
Almost no chance
96
98
194
Some chance, but probably not
426
286
712
A 50-50 chance
696
720
1416
A good chance
663
758
1421
Almost certain
486
597
1083
Total
2367
2459
4826
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
What are the variables
described by this
two-way table?
How many young
adults were surveyed?
12
Two-Way Tables and Marginal Distributions
The marginal distribution of one of the categorical variables in a twoway table of counts is the distribution of values of that variable among
all individuals described by the table.
Note: Percents are often more informative than counts, especially
when comparing groups of different sizes.
How to examine a marginal distribution:
1)Use the data in the table to calculate the marginal
distribution (in percents) of the row or column totals.
2)Make a graph to display the marginal distribution.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
13
Two-Way Tables and Marginal Distributions
Examine the marginal
distribution of chance
of getting rich.
Young adults by gender and chance of getting rich
Female
Male
Total
Almost no chance
96
98
194
Some chance, but probably not
426
286
712
A 50-50 chance
696
720
1416
A good chance
663
758
1421
Almost certain
486
597
1083
2367 by2459
4826
Chance of being wealthy
age 30
Total
Response
Percent
Almost no
chance
194/4826 = 4.0%
Some chance
712/4826 = 14.8%
A 50-50 chance
1416/4826 = 29.3%
A good chance
1421/4826 = 29.4%
35
30
Percent
25
20
15
10
5
0
Almost certain
1083/4826 = 22.4%
Almost none
Some
chance
50-50
chance
Good chance
Almost
certain
Survey Response
The Practice of Statistics,
5th
Edition
14
Relationships Between Categorical Variables
A conditional distribution of a variable describes the values of that
variable among individuals who have a specific value of another
variable.
How to examine or compare conditional distributions:
1) Select the row(s) or column(s) of interest.
2) Use the data in the table to calculate the conditional
distribution (in percents) of the row(s) or column(s).
3) Make a graph to display the conditional distribution.
• Use a side-by-side bar graph or segmented bar
graph to compare distributions.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
15
Relationships Between Categorical Variables
Calculate the conditional
distribution of opinion
among males. Examine the
relationship between gender
and opinion.
Young adults by gender and chance of getting rich
Female
Male
Total
Almost no chance
96
98
194
Some chance, but probably not
426
286
712
A 50-50 chance
696
720
1416
A good chance
663
758
1421
Almost certain
486
597
1083
Chance of being wealthy
by
age 30
2367
2459
4826
Total
Response
Male
Female
Almost no chance
98/2459 =
4.0%
96/2367 =
4.1%
90%
286/2459 =
11.6%
426/2367 =
18.0%
70%
720/2459 =
29.3%
696/2367 =
29.4%
758/2459 =
30.8%
663/2367 =
28.0%
30%
597/2459 =
24.3%
486/2367 =
20.5%
10%
A 50-50 chance
A good chance
Almost certain
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
80%
Percent
Some chance
100%
Almost certain
60%
50%
Good chance
40%
50-50 chance
20%
Some chance
0%
Males
Opinion
Females
Almost no chance
16
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
17
Relationships Between Categorical Variables
Can we say there is an
association between gender and
opinion in the population of
young adults?
Making this determination
requires formal inference, which
will have to wait a few chapters.
Caution!
Even a strong association between two categorical variables can
be influenced by other variables lurking in the background.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
18
Data Analysis: Making Sense of Data
Section Summary
In this section, we learned that…
 DISPLAY categorical data with a bar graph
 IDENTIFY what makes some graphs of categorical data
deceptive
 CALCULATE and DISPLAY the marginal distribution of a
categorical variable from a two-way table
 CALCULATE and DISPLAY the conditional distribution of a
categorical variable for a particular value of the other categorical
variable in a two-way table
 DESCRIBE the association between two categorical variables
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
19
Displaying Quantitative Data with Graphs
Learning Objectives
After this section, you should be able to:
 MAKE and INTERPRET dotplots and stemplots of quantitative data
 DESCRIBE the overall pattern of a distribution and IDENTIFY any
outliers
 IDENTIFY the shape of a distribution
 MAKE and INTERPRET histograms of quantitative data
 COMPARE distributions of quantitative data
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
20
Dotplots
One of the simplest graphs to construct and interpret is a dotplot. Each
data value is shown as a dot above its location on a number line.
How to make a dotplot:
1)Draw a horizontal axis (a number line) and label it with
the variable name.
2)Scale the axis from the minimum to the maximum value.
3)Mark a dot above the location on the horizontal axis
corresponding to each data value.
Number of Goals Scored Per Game by the 2012 US Women’s Soccer Team
2
1
5
2
0
3
1
4
1
2
4
13
3
4
3
4
14
4
3
3
4
2
2
4
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
1
21
Examining the Distribution of a Quantitative Variable
The purpose of a graph is to help us understand the data. After you
make a graph, always ask, “What do I see?”
How to Examine the Distribution of a Quantitative Variable
1)In any graph, look for the overall pattern and for striking
departures from that pattern.
2)Describe the overall pattern of a distribution by its:
• Shape
• Center
Don’t forget your SOCS!
• Spread
3)Note individual values that fall outside the overall pattern.
These departures are called outliers.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
22
Describing Shape
When you describe a distribution’s shape, concentrate on the main
features. Look for rough symmetry or clear skewness.
A distribution is roughly symmetric if the right and left sides of the
graph are approximately mirror images of each other.
A distribution is skewed to the right (right-skewed) if the right side of
the graph (containing the half of the observations with larger values) is
much longer than the left side.
It is skewed to the left (left-skewed) if the left side of the graph is
much longer than the right side.
Symmetric
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Skewed-left
Skewed-right
23
Comparing Distributions
Some of the most interesting statistics questions involve comparing two
or more groups.
Always discuss shape, center, spread, and possible outliers whenever
you compare distributions of a quantitative variable.
Compare the distributions of
household size for these two
countries.
Don’t forget your SOCS!
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
24
Stemplots
Another simple graphical display for small data sets is a stemplot.
(Also called a stem-and-leaf plot.)
Stemplots give us a quick picture of the distribution while including
the actual numerical values.
How to make a stemplot:
1)Separate each observation into a stem (all but the final
digit) and a leaf (the final digit).
2)Write all possible stems from the smallest to the largest in a
vertical column and draw a vertical line to the right of the
column.
3)Write each leaf in the row to the right of its stem.
4)Arrange the leaves in increasing order out from the stem.
5)Provide a key that explains in context what the stems and
leaves represent.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
25
Stemplots
These data represent the responses of 20 female AP Statistics
students to the question, “How many pairs of shoes do you have?”
Construct a stemplot.
50
26
26
31
57
19
24
22
23
38
13
50
13
34
23
30
49
13
15
51
1
1 93335
1 33359
2
2 664233
2 233466
3
3 1840
3 0148
4
4 9
4 9
5
5 0701
5 0017
Stems
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Add leaves
Order leaves
Key: 4|9
represents a
female student
who reported
having 49
pairs of shoes.
Add a key
26
Stemplots
When data values are “bunched up”, we can get a better picture of
the distribution by splitting stems.
Two distributions of the same quantitative variable can be
compared using a back-to-back stemplot with common stems.
Females
Males
50
26
26
31
57
19
24
22
23
38
14
7
6
5
12
38
8
7
10
10
13
50
13
34
23
30
49
13
15
51
10
11
4
5
22
7
5
10
35
7
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
Females
“split stems”
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
333
95
4332
66
410
8
9
100
7
Males
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
4
555677778
0000124
2
58
Key: 4|9
represents a
student who
reported
having 49
pairs of shoes.
27
Histograms
Quantitative variables often take many values. A graph of the
distribution may be clearer if nearby values are grouped together.
The most common graph of the distribution of one quantitative
variable is a histogram.
How to make a histogram:
1)Divide the range of data into classes of equal width.
2)Find the count (frequency) or percent (relative frequency)
of individuals in each class.
3)Label and scale your axes and draw the histogram. The
height of the bar equals its frequency. Adjacent bars should
touch, unless a class contains no individuals.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
28
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
29
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
30
Histograms
This table presents data on the percent of residents from each state
who were born outside of the U.S.
Class
Count
0 to <5
20
5 to <10
13
10 to <15
9
15 to <20
5
20 to <25
2
25 to <30
1
Total
50
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Number of States
Frequency Table
Percent of foreign-born residents
31
Using Histograms Wisely
Here are several cautions based on common mistakes students make
when using histograms.
Cautions!
1)Don’t confuse histograms and bar graphs.
2)Don’t use counts (in a frequency table) or percents (in a relative
frequency table) as data.
3)Use percents instead of counts on the vertical axis when
comparing distributions with different numbers of observations.
4)Just because a graph looks nice, it’s not necessarily a
meaningful display of data.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
32
Data Analysis: Making Sense of Data
Section Summary
In this section, we learned that…
 MAKE and INTERPRET dotplots and stemplots of quantitative data
 DESCRIBE the overall pattern of a distribution
 IDENTIFY the shape of a distribution
 MAKE and INTERPRET histograms of quantitative data
 COMPARE distributions of quantitative data
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
33
Describing Quantitative Data with Numbers
Learning Objectives
After this section, you should be able to:
 CALCULATE measures of center (mean, median).
 CALCULATE and INTERPRET measures of spread (range, IQR,
standard deviation).
 CHOOSE the most appropriate measure of center and spread in a
given setting.
 IDENTIFY outliers using the 1.5 × IQR rule.
 MAKE and INTERPRET boxplots of quantitative data.
 USE appropriate graphs and numerical summaries to compare
distributions of quantitative variables.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
34
Measuring Center: The Mean
The most common measure of center is the ordinary arithmetic
average, or mean.
To find the mean x (pronounced “x-bar”) of a set of observations, add
their values and divide by the number of observations. If the n
observations are x1, x2, x3, …, xn, their mean is:
sum of observations x1 + x2 +...+ xn
x=
=
n
n
In mathematics, the capital Greek letter Σ is short for “add them all up.”
Therefore, the formula for the mean can be written in more compact
notation:
x
å
x=
i
n
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
35
Measuring Center: The Median
Another common measure of center is the median. The median
describes the midpoint of a distribution.
The median is the midpoint of a distribution, the number such
that half of the observations are smaller and the other half are
larger.
To find the median of a distribution:
1. Arrange all observations from smallest to largest.
2. If the number of observations n is odd, the median is the
center observation in the ordered list.
3. If the number of observations n is even, the median is the
average of the two center observations in the ordered list.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
36
Measuring Center
Use the data below to calculate the mean and median of the
commuting times (in minutes) of 20 randomly selected New York
workers.
10
30
5
25
40
20
10
15
30
20
15
20
85
15
65
15
60
60
40
45
10 + 30 + 5 + 25 + ...+ 40 + 45
x=
= 31.25 minutes
20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
5
005555
0005
Key: 4|5
00
represents a
005
005
5
New York
worker who
reported a 45minute travel
time to work.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
20 + 25
Median =
= 22.5 minutes
2
37
Measuring Spread: The Interquartile Range (IQR)
A measure of center alone can be misleading.
A useful numerical description of a distribution requires both a measure
of center and a measure of spread.
How To Calculate The Quartiles And The IQR:
To calculate the quartiles:
1.Arrange the observations in increasing order and locate the median.
2.The first quartile Q1 is the median of the observations located to the
left of the median in the ordered list.
3.The third quartile Q3 is the median of the observations located to the
right of the median in the ordered list.
The interquartile range (IQR) is defined as:
IQR = Q3 – Q1
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
38
Find and Interpret the IQR
Travel times for 20 New Yorkers:
10
30
5
25
40
20
10
15
30
20
15
20
85
15
65
15
60
60
40
45
5
10
10
15
15
15
15
20
20
20
25
30
30
40
40
45
60
60
65
85
Q1 = 15
Median = 22.5
Q3= 42.5
IQR = Q3 – Q1
= 42.5 – 15
= 27.5 minutes
Interpretation: The range of the middle half of travel times for the
New Yorkers in the sample is 27.5 minutes.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
39
Identifying Outliers
In addition to serving as a measure of spread, the interquartile
range (IQR) is used as part of a rule of thumb for identifying
outliers.
The 1.5 x IQR Rule for Outliers
Call an observation an outlier if it falls more than 1.5 x IQR
above the third quartile or below the first quartile.
In the New York travel time data, we found Q1=15
minutes, Q3=42.5 minutes, and IQR=27.5 minutes.
0
1
2
For these data, 1.5 x IQR = 1.5(27.5) = 41.25
3
Q1 - 1.5 x IQR = 15 – 41.25 = -26.25
4
Q3+ 1.5 x IQR = 42.5 + 41.25 = 83.75
5
Any travel time shorter than -26.25 minutes or longer than 6
7
83.75 minutes is considered an outlier.
8
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
5
005555
0005
00
005
005
5
40
The Five-Number Summary
The minimum and maximum values alone tell us little about the
distribution as a whole. Likewise, the median and quartiles tell us little
about the tails of a distribution.
To get a quick summary of both center and spread, combine all five
numbers.
The five-number summary of a distribution consists of the
smallest observation, the first quartile, the median, the third
quartile, and the largest observation, written in order from
smallest to largest.
Minimum
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Q1
Median
Q3
Maximum
41
Boxplots (Box-and-Whisker Plots)
The five-number summary divides the distribution roughly into quarters.
This leads to a new way to display quantitative data, the boxplot.
How To Make A Boxplot:
• A central box is drawn from the first quartile (Q1) to the
third quartile (Q3).
• A line in the box marks the median.
• Lines (called whiskers) extend from the box out to the
smallest and largest observations that are not outliers.
• Outliers are marked with a special symbol such as an
asterisk (*).
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
42
Construct a Boxplot
Consider our New York travel time data:
10
30
5
25
40
20
10
15
30
20
15
20
85
15
65
15
60
60
40
45
5
10
10
15
15
15
15
20
20
20
25
30
30
40
40
45
60
60
65
85
Min=5
Q1 = 15
Median = 22.5
Q3= 42.5
Max=85
Recall, this is an
outlier by the
1.5 x IQR rule
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
43
Measuring Spread: The Standard Deviation
The most common measure of spread looks at how far each
observation is from the mean. This measure is called the standard
deviation.
Consider the following data on the number of pets owned by a group of
9 children.
1) Calculate the mean.
2) Calculate each deviation.
deviation = observation – mean
deviation: 1 - 5 = - 4
deviation: 8 - 5 = 3
x=5
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
44
Measuring Spread: The Standard Deviation
(xi-mean)2
xi
(xi-mean)
1
1 - 5 = -4
(-4)2 = 16
3
3 - 5 = -2
(-2)2 = 4
3) Square each deviation.
4
4 - 5 = -1
(-1)2 = 1
4) Find the “average” squared
deviation. Calculate the sum of
the squared deviations divided
by (n-1)…this is called the
variance.
4
4 - 5 = -1
(-1)2 = 1
4
4 - 5 = -1
(-1)2 = 1
5
5-5=0
(0)2 = 0
7
7-5=2
(2)2 = 4
8
8-5=3
(3)2 = 9
9
9-5=4
(4)2 = 16
5) Calculate the square root of the
variance…this is the standard
deviation.
Sum=?
“average” squared deviation = 52/(9-1) = 6.5
Standard deviation = square root of variance =
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
Sum=?
This is the variance.
6.5 = 2.55
45
Measuring Spread: The Standard Deviation
The standard deviation sx measures the average distance of
the observations from their mean. It is calculated by finding an
average of the squared distances and then taking the square
root.
The average squared distance is called the variance.
2
2
2
(x
x)
+
(x
x)
+
...+
(x
x)
1
2
2
1
2
n
variance = sx =
=
(x
x)
å i
n -1
n -1
1
2
standard deviation = sx =
(x
x)
å
i
n -1
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
46
Choosing Measures of Center and Spread
We now have a choice between two descriptions for center and spread
• Mean and Standard Deviation
• Median and Interquartile Range
Choosing Measures of Center and Spread
•The median and IQR are usually better than the mean and
standard deviation for describing a skewed distribution or a
distribution with outliers.
•Use mean and standard deviation only for reasonably symmetric
distributions that don’t have outliers.
•NOTE: Numerical summaries do not fully describe the shape of
a distribution. ALWAYS PLOT YOUR DATA!
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
47
Organizing a Statistical Problem
As you learn more about statistics, you will be asked to solve more
complex problems. Here is a four-step process you can follow.
How to Organize a Statistical Problem: A Four-Step Process
•State: What’s the question that you’re trying to answer?
•Plan: How will you go about answering the question? What
statistical techniques does this problem call for?
•Do: Make graphs and carry out needed calculations.
•Conclude: Give your conclusion in the setting of the real-world
problem.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
48
Data Analysis: Making Sense of Data
Section Summary
In this section, we learned that…
 CALCULATE measures of center (mean, median).
 CALCULATE and INTERPRET measures of spread (range, IQR,
standard deviation).
 CHOOSE the most appropriate measure of center and spread in a
given setting.
 IDENTIFY outliers using the 1.5 × IQR rule.
 MAKE and INTERPRET boxplots of quantitative data.
 USE appropriate graphs and numerical summaries to compare
distributions of quantitative variables.
The Practice of Statistics, 5th Edition
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