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Citi OpenInvestorsm presents: Europe’s bank loan funds – where now? Are new opportunities opening up for bank loan funds? With banks continuing to shrink their balance sheets, credit managers are keen to fill the growing gap in the market take up some of the slack. The market still faces a number of challenges. Europe’s bank loan market is at a point of inflexion. In contrast to the situation in the US, no new collateralised loan obligations (CLOs) are being launched in Europe, while past issues are rapidly moving towards maturity. In August last year, Standard & Poor’s warned that more than 98% of all European CLOs would reach the ‘static’ state – where they are prevented from reinvesting in new loans – by the end of 2014. With banks also shrinking their balance sheets, that poses a major question-mark over the market’s ability to refinance an estimated €250 billion of leveraged loans due to mature in the period up to 2017. To many observers, this heralds a major opportunity for credit managers. ‘All the evidence suggests bank loan funds are set to play a bigger role than in the past’, says John Reidy, Director, Alternative Investment Services, Citi Transaction Services - a specialist in the bank loan sector with long experience of servicing both direct lending funds and credit managers launching hybrid fund or note issuance programmes to invest in liquid bank loans and high yield debt. Many certainly have a strong case to make to investors. As an asset class, leveraged loans have performed well. Annual returns have averaged 6% over the past nine years, compared with just 1.4% for equities. Strong performance has continued into 2012 as investors have made an aggressive push for yield. At the time of writing, the S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI) had returned 5.93% for the first half of 2012 (29 December 2011 – 30 June 2012) – up 3.1% for the same period the year before (2.83% between 30 December 2010 and 30 June 2011) . The regulatory challenge Despite that performance, investment in bank loans in Europe is largely limited to institutional investors. UCITS funds can hold CLOs, which qualify as transferable securities, but they cannot hold bank loans directly. This contrasts with the situation in the US where retail mutual funds can buy loans and there are opportunities to place loans with large retail accounts. The EU’s regulatory approach – and in particular the requirement that issuers retain ‘skin in the game’ – is another bone of contention. In the US, last year’s proposals by federal agencies to impose a requirement on collateral managers of CLOs to retain a 5% credit risk are still being debated. Final rules are not expected until next year. For CLOs, any risk retention rule would then become effective two years later. In Europe, Article 122a of the EU’s Capital Requirements Directive goes beyond the requirements of the US Dodd-Frank Act in imposing onerous capital charges on banks investing in CLOs if the originators, sponsors or original lenders have not retained a 5% economic interest in the issue. This has proved a major deterrent to European banks looking to participate in new issues of CLOs and complicated their marketing to institutional investors. The US market also has its challenges. Much hangs on the final shape of the Volcker Rule, which will limit banks in engaging in proprietary trading and retaining interests in hedge funds and private equity funds. If the restrictions on bank sponsorship and ownership were to apply to CLOs, it would undermine their construction and operation. Market participants have been lobbying for exemption for securitisation vehicles. Europe and US go separate ways For all those uncertainties, the US market in CLOs is humming while its European counterpart remains closed. According to data provider S&P Capital IQ LCD, the first quarter of this year saw a jump in US CLO issuance from $1.22 billion to $5.83 billion. April 2012 then saw a further upsurge in activity, taking the total for the year to over $10 billion by the end of the month. That compares with a total of $12.3 billion for the whole of 2011. Over the three months to end-April 2012, the volume of CLO issuance in the US hit its highest level since late 2007, shortly before the bottom fell out of the market. The roster of issuers features a host of asset managers. Several deals were expanded in size to meet demand. In a landmark move in April, ICE Canyon, the Los Angeles-based emerging markets and credit investor, issued a $600m CLO made up of US dollar-denominated bank loans to emerging markets companies. Brought by investment bank Jefferies, this was the first such deal since 2007. In the past year, thousands of older CLO classes that had been downgraded by the ratings agencies were upgraded again. Evidence suggests that investor appetite has returned for a wide variety of manager offerings. AAA spreads have also seen further compression, to a little more than 130 basis points over Libor. That compares with an average 225 bps 18 months ago (and 25 bps at the height of the market in 2007). Market participants report that there are new equity buyers around and the hedge funds are back in. For many, the present surge in activity is all about exploiting a window that the Volcker rule could slam shut next year. Opportunities in the wider corporate space ‘While the CLO market remains stagnant in Europe, opportunities for credit managers to enter the wider corporate lending market are increasing, although not at the rate some would like’ says Catherine Brady, Managing Director, EMEA Head of Fund and Hedge Fund Services at Citi Transaction Services. Much depends on the willingness of banks to sell off more of their leveraged loans and give credit managers access to their small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) clients. half the financing. They are Alcentra, Ares, Cairn Capital, Haymarket Financial, M&G Investment Management, Palio Capital Partners and Pricoa Capital. Some banks are certainly ready to grasp the nettle. At least two of Europe’s bigger names have been linked with moves to farm out a percentage of their SME loans to specialised loan funds. Whether the banks and the funds can agree on the level of fees the banks would charge for bundling up the loans and providing credit assessments remains to be seen. ‘Direct access to the SME borrowers is seen as vital if credit managers are to take on these loans – something that is likely to restrict involvement to the biggest and best resourced funds,’ says Brady. Ironically, moves of this kind could open credit funds up to the accusation they are part of the so-called ‘shadow banking’ system. In November 2010, the G20 mandated the Financial Stability Board to come up with recommendations for strengthening oversight of the shadow banking system, but there is continuing debate over what actually constitutes a shadow bank. In the UK, the government is keen to get bank loan funds engaged in a new scheme to boost lending to SMEs. The Business Finance Partnership (BFP), due to launch later this year, is designed to provide an initial £700m of loans to small and medium-sized UK companies with turnover of up to £500m. It is loosely based on the M&G UK Companies Funding Fund, which has commitments of close on £1.5 billion and has so far loaned £830m. Seven funds have been short-listed to partner the government in the new scheme and are expected to raise Six ways to bolster Europe’s bank loan market Broadening and deepening the market in loans requires action on several fronts: Deeper liquidity: This is urgently needed if Europe’s CLO market is to revive. The US is a more mature capital market with deeper liquidity. As such, it has obvious attractions for European issuers – despite the swap costs for borrowers of US dollar loans serviced by predominantly euro cash flows. The bank loan market is especially illiquid. Traders say it can take several days to work a trade in the majority of loans. Tighter spreads: Spreads in bank loans are significantly wider than in the bond markets, at two to three percentage points. In a recent paper, the Alternative Investment Management Association (AIMA) argued forcefully that credit hedge funds (which account for somewhere between a quarter and a third of global hedge fund assets) were in no way shadow banks. Andrew Baker, AIMA CEO, says: ‘Credit hedge funds – and hedge funds in general – do not operate in the shadows. Managers are extensively regulated, are subject to reporting requirements and do not engage in any significant sense in credit, liquidity or maturity transformation, so their activity is not ‘bank-like’. Credit hedge funds do not belong in the same category as banks, let alone ‘shadow banks’.’ Faster settlement: While US bank loans tend to settle within a reasonable timeframe (T+7 is not unusual), European loans can take anything from 20 to 60 days. Lower transfer fees: Transfer fees vary but one bank prominent in the market charges €3,000 per transaction. This also impacts liquidity. Standardisation: Pricing is standardised in the US, but not in Europe. Standardised pricing around LIBOR would be a helpful move, say credit managers. A consistent line from the regulators: The impact of Solvency II may be helpful in driving demand from insurers. However, each insurance company has to seek approval from its own regulator. Different messages appear to be coming back. New vehicles, new ideas Citi a leader in bank loan fund servicing In the past year, two fund management groups have launched listed funds to invest in the asset class. Neuberger Berman raised a total of $694m in two offerings in 2011 for a Guernsey-based closed-ended fund to invest mainly in floating rate senior secured loans. The fund, the NB Floating Rate Income Fund, is listed on the London Stock Exchange. Alcentra took a similar route in raising £80m for its European Floating Rate Income Fund, which also listed on the London Stock Exchange. The fund is investing in a mix of leveraged loans and high yield bonds. Babson Capital Management came close to launching its own fund in October, but deferred the issue because of conditions in the loan markets. With a 30-strong dedicated loan team, Citi services more than $82 billion of loan assets across 70 portfolios, maintaining more than 4,200 loan facilities. ‘We are an industry leader from a scale, product and service perspective,’ says John Reidy: ‘Funds need a service provider with European structuring and financing expertise. They also need hybrid fund accounting and private equity partnership accounting expertise and a depth of middle office servicing expertise. We bring state-of-the-art bank loan and high yield debt technology and reporting skills to the party – and our complex pricing group can support valuations.’ More recently, AnaCap announced it had closed its new Credit Opportunities Fund II after raising a targeted £350m inside six months. The fund will invest in performing, semi-performing or non-performing consumer and SME debt in Europe. AnaCap’s success suggests there is mounting appetite for credit funds among institutional investors. The question is whether this is the start of something bigger. John Reidy says Citi is talking to a number of clients that would have managed CLOs and are now considering fund-type structures: ‘Some are looking to invest in a pool of syndicated loans, while others are looking at club loans or bilateral loans. New types of vehicle are emerging – open-ended, closed-ended, managed accounts – and many will be complex multi-tiered structures spanning a common asset pool. As structures become more complex, so more operational horsepower is needed.’ With banks continuing to retrench and the CLO market in Europe effectively closed, the bank loan fund universe looks set for a major expansion in the coming years. Citi is ready to play its part in helping clients to seize the opportunities on offer. For more information contact: John Reidy t: +44 (20) 7508 0220 e: [email protected] Citi OpenInvestorSM is the investment services solution for today’s diversified investor, combining specialized expertise, comprehensive capabilities and the power of Citi’s global network to help clients meet performance objectives across asset classes, strategies, and geographies. With a network that spans more than 95 countries and over $13 trillion in assets under custody, Citi offers award winning service and unmatched scale. 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