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ТЕКСТИ ДЛЯ ПОЗААУДИТОРНОГО ЧИТАННЯ SUPPLEMENTARY READINGS ECONOMICS AS AN ACADEMIC DISCIPLINE Economics is as old as the human race: it is probably the first art which man acquired. When some cavemen went out to hunt while others remained to defend the fire or when skins were traded for flint axes we had economics. But economics as an academic discipline is relatively new: the first major book on economics Adam Smith's "The Wealth of Nations" was published in 1776. Since that time the subject has developed rapidly and there are now many branches of the subjects such as microeconomics, international economics and econometrics as well as many competing schools of thought. There is an economic aspect to almost any topic we care to mention of education. Economics is a comprehensive theory of how society works. But as such it is difficult to define. The great classical economist Alfred Marshall defined economics as "the study of I man in the everyday business of life". This is rather too vague a definition. Any definition should take account of the guiding idea in economics which is scarcity. Virtually everything is scarce; not just diamonds or oil but also bread and water. How can we say this? The answer is that one only has to look around the world to realize that there are not enough resources to give people all they want. It is not only the very poor who feel deprived, even the relatively well-off seem to want more. Thus when we use the word' scarcity' we mean that. All resources are scarce in the sense that there are not enough to fill everyone's wants to the point of satiety. We therefore have limited resources both in rich countries and poor countries. The economist's job is to evaluate the choices that exist for the use of these resources. Thus we have another characteristic of economics: it is concerned with choice. Another aspect of the problem is people themselves; they do not just want more food or clothing, but specific items of clothing and so on. We have now assembled the three vital ingredients in our definition, people, scarcity and choice. Thus we could define economics as: 12 The human science which studies the relationship between scarce resources and the various uses which compete for these resources. The great American economist Paul said that every economic society has to answer three fundamental questions. What, How, and For whom? What? What goods are to be produced with the scarce resource: clothes, food, cars, submarines, television sets? How? Given that we have basic resources of labor, land, how should we combine them to produce the goods and services which we want? For whom? Once we have produced goods and services we then have to decide how to distribute them among the people in the economy. One alternative definition of economics is that it is the study of wealth. By wealth the economist means all the real physical assets which make up our standard of living: clothes, houses, food, roads, schools, hospitals, cars, oil tankers, etc. One of the primary concerns of economics is to increase the wealth of a society, i.e. to increase the stock of economic goods. However, in addition to wealth we must also consider welfare. The concept of welfare is concerned with the whole state of well-being. Thus it is not only concerned with more economic goods but also with public health, hours of work, with law and order, and so on. Modern economics has tried to take account not only of the output of economic goods but also of economic such as pollution. The wealth welfare connotation in thus a complex aspect of the subject. COLLECTIVISM In the twentieth century there has grown up a new economic in order, known as collectivism. Collectivism is the system whereby economic decisions are taken collectively by planning committees and implemented through direction of resources either centrally or at local level. Under this system planning committees are appointed and they provide the answers to our three central questions. Thus committees take the decision on whether, for example, more cars or more tractors should be produced. They solve the "How?" problem by directing 13 labor and other resources into certain areas of production and, at the end of the day, they decide the "For whom" problem not by pricing but by allotting goods and services on the grounds of social and political priorities. We have usually associated collectivism with communism. Recently the upheavals in Eastern Europe have led to many states attempting to throw off collectivism and replace it with more marketorientated arrangements. However, China stil remains collectivist and China has one quarter of world's population. THE MIXED ECONOMY By a mixed economy we mean one in which some economic decisions are taken by the market mechanism and some collectively. To this mixture we might also add a dash of tradition and command. When we use the term mixed economy it is usually applied to economies where there is a significant component of both collectivism and free enterprise. Despite the wave of privatization in the UK and elsewhere significant economic decisions are still taken collectively. Education, health care, defense and social security remain in the section of the economy. In the UK 40 per cent of all exnenditure is undertaken by the state. In countries such as the Nether-lands and Sweden over 60 per cent of the economy is state-directed. We study economics in the belief that through understanding we will be able to increase the wealth and welfare of society, and with the conviction that knowledge is better than opinions, analysis better than supposition. What we understand about economics is terribly important; it influences us all. We can put this need no better than it was put in 1936 by John Maynard Keynesin the closing words of the most influential economics book of the century: The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. THE KEYNES1AN REVOLUTION Between 1921 and 1939 the average level of unemployment was 14 per cent; it never fell below 10 per cent and in the worst years was over 20 per cent. Conventional economic theory concentrated on the demand for resources. This held that if there was unemployment it was because wages were too high. 14 Keynes was English and worked for Cambridge University. His views on the economy, however, were so radical that they were not accepted by governments. In his most famous book The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money Keynes analysed the workings of the economy and put forward his solution to unemployment. Keynes maintained that it was not the demand for individual resources which was important but the level of total (aggregate) demand in the economy. Management of the economy. The objectives of economic policy. Whatever political party is in power three main objectives of policy are pursued. • Control of inflation. • Reduction of unemployment. • Promotion of economic growth. These objectives are not dispute; they are concerned with the good housekeepings of the economy. Different governments may, however place different degrees of importance on individual objectives. There are three areas of action in which the government can pursue its economic policies: fiscal policy, monetary policy. Fiscal policy. The term "fiscal policy" is used to describe the regulation of the economy through government taxes and spending. The most important aspect of this is the overall relationship between taxes and spending. If the government spends more money in a year than it collects in taxes, the situation is referred to as a budget deficit. Monetary policy. This is regulation of the economy through quantity of money available and through the price of money, i.e. the rate of interest borrowers will have to pay. Expanding quantity of money and lowering the rate of interest should stimulate spending in the economy and is thus expansionary or inflationary. The factors of production. The sum total of the economic resources which we have in order to provide for our economic wants are termed tie factors of production. Traditionally, economists have classified these under four headings. They are: -primary factors; 15 a) labour b) land c) capital -secondary factors d) enterprise. The first two are termed "primary factors" since they are not the result of the economic process; they are so to speak what we have to start with. The "secondary factors" however are a consequence of an economic system. LABOUR Labour may be defined as the exercise of human mental and physical effort in the production of goods and services. Included in this definition is all the labour which people undertake for rewards either in the form of wages and salaries or income from self-employment. I.and. Land may be defined as all the free gifts of nature. As such land constitutes the space in which to organize economic activity and the resources provided by nature. Thus include within the definition are all mineral resources, climates, soil fertility. The sea since it is a resource both for fishing and mineral exploitation would also fall within the definition of land. The economists, therefore, use the word land in a special way. In practice it may be very difficult to separate land from other factors of production. Capital. We define capital as the stock of wealth existing at any one time As such capital consists of all the real physical assets of society. An alternative formulation would be: Capital is all those goods which are used in the production of further wealth. Capital can be divided into owned capital, which is such things as buildings, machinery, and working, or circulating capital which consists of stocks of raw materials and semi manufactured goods. Capital is a secondary factor of productions which means that it is a result of" the economic system. Capital has been created by current consumption, i.e. people nave refrained frorn consuming all their wealth immediately and have saved re-sources which can then be used in the production of further wealth Suppose we consider a very simple economy in which the individual's wealth consists entirely of 16 potatoes. If the individual is able to retrain from consuming all the potatoes, these may he planted and thus produce more wealth in the future. TYPES OF INTERNAL ECONOMY • Indivisibilities. These may occur when a large firm is able to take advantage of an industrial process which cannot be reproduced on a small scale. For example, many of the modern colour printing processes are not available on a small scale. • Increased dimensions. In some cases it is simply a case of "bigger is better". For example, an engine which is twice as powerful does not cost twice as much to build or use twice as much material. This is partly due to area volume relationships. For example, if we square the dimensions of a ship we will cube its volume i.e. its ability to carry cargo, while we will only square its resistance to motion. Hence large ships are much more efficient than small ships, which at least partly accounts for the trend towards bulk cargo carriers. • Economies of linked processes. Technical economies are also sometimes gained by linking processes together, e.g. in the iron and steel industry, where iron and steel production is carried out in the same plant, thus saving both transport and fuel costs. • Commercial. A large-scale organization may be able to make fuller use of sales and distribution facilities than a small-scale one. For example, a company with a large transport fleet will probably be able to ensure that they transport mainly full loads, whereas a small business may have to hire transport or dispatch part-loads. A large firm may also be able to use its Commercial power to obtain preferential rates for raw materials and transport. This is usually known as bulk buying. MICRO- AND MACROECONOMICS Due largely to the work of the great economist John Maynard Keynes it has been customary to divide economic theory into microeconomics and macroeconomics. As its name implies microeconomics is concerned with small parts of the economy and the interrelationships between these parts, while macroeconomics is concerned with the behavior of broad aggregates affecting the whole economy. A microeconomics topic therefore might be explaining 17 movements in the prices of shoes or whether there has been underinvestment in manufacturing vis a vis the service sector. Macroeconomics topics come under the four headings of inflation, unemployment, the balance of payment, and growth. Since the late 1960s there has been a reaction to the macro/micro distinction; monetarists and neo-classicists in particular have attempted to explain all economic phenomena in terms of theories based upon explanations of how individual markets function. MARKET APPROACH AND "SOCIALIST COMPETITION" The market approach is commonly considered "capitalist". But this is a misunderstanding. The market approach can equally be "socialist". Whether ownership is in capitalist hands or not is no longer primary. What matters is managerial autonomy and accountability. What matters is whether resources are being allocated to produce results and on the basis of results. The prevailing idea that the U.S. economy is capitalistic because ownership is private is a misunderstanding. Decisive ownership of American big business is in the hands of the people - that is, in the hands of the mutual funds and pension funds who are the fiduciaries for the middle class and workers. Big business in the U.S. has not been nationalized, but it has largely been socialized. In terms of the classical definition, the U.S. is, at best, a mixed and may steadily be approaching a socialist economy in which the public owns the means of production. But the U.S. manages largely on the basis of local autonomy of the enterprise and allocates resources on the basis of results. It is still a market economy. Japan conforms even less to the traditional identification of ownership as the determinant. If anyone in Japan can be said to own the big companies, it would be their employees and especially their manages. Since they cannot be dismissed but have lifetime employment, they are what the law calls the beneficial owners even though they have no legal title. Yet, Japan is clearly not a socialist economy. The most searching discussion of market economics in the last fifty years has not been conducted in the free-enterprise countries or in the free-enterprise camp. It has been the discussion of what is known as socialist competition, that is, competition in an economy in which 18 the means of production are not owned by private capitalists. This discussion goes back to the years immediately following World War I when the Social Democrats, newly in power, expected to nationalize German business. They set up a powerful Socialization Commission to work out the transition on the from a capitalist to a socialist economy. The economists on the Socialization Commission were themselves mostly committed socialists. But they had also experienced first-hand the inefficiency, ineffectiveness, and wastefulness of Germany's planned economy during World War I. Instead of a blueprint of a socialist economy, they produced what can only be called a "capitalist manifesto". FROM THE HISTORY OF ECONOMICS ECONOMICS AS A SCIENCE TODAY Economics is a social science studying economy. Why study economics? In fact, people do it for countless reasons. For many people concern for the economy goes no further then the price of tuition or the fear of losing a job. Many others, however, are becoming aware that their job prospects and the prices they pay are somehow related to national trends in prices, unemployment, and economic growth. Although few people think in terms of price indexes and graphs, most of us now recognize the importance of major economic events. And that's why so many people worry about such abstractions as unemployment rates, inflation, economic growth, etc. As a scholarly discipline, economics is two centures old. The first scientist who made extraordinary contributions in economic was Adam Smitt. He was born in a small fishing town near Edinburgh, Scotland. At the age of 28, Adam Smitt became Professor of Logic at the University of Glasgow. Some time later, he became a tutor to a wealthy Scottish duke. Then he received a grant and with the financial security of this grant, Smitt devoted 10 years to writing his work "The Wealth of Nations" which founded economic science. It was published in 1776. His contribution was to analyze the way that markets organized economic life and produced rapid economic growth. He showed that a system of price and markets is able to coordinate people and business without any central direction. Almost a century later, as capitalist enterprises began to spread, there appeared the massive 19 critique of capitalism: Karl Marx's "Capital". Marx proclaimed that capitalism was doomed and would soon be followed by business depressions, revolutionary upheavals and socialism. In 1936 John Maynard Keynes published "The General Theory of Employment, Interest and money". Economics was supposed to help government monetary and fiscal policies to tame the worst ravages of business cycle. Later in the 80's and 90's, the fundamental insights of A. Smith were discovered again. What exactly is the subject that the economists from Smith to Marx to the present generation have analyzed? Economics is the study of how societies use scarce resources to produce valuable commodities and distribute them among different people. No brief description can offer clean guidance to the content and character of economics but numerous writers have attempted that. A notable economist of the last century Alfred Marshall called economics "a study of mankind in the ordinary business of life". Another notable economist Lionel Robbins, in the 1930's, described economics as "the science of choice among scarce means to accomplish unlimited ends". During much of modern history, especially in the nineteenth century, economics was called simply "the science of wealth". The scope of economics is indicated by the facts with which it deals. These consist mainly of data on output, income, employment, interest rates, prices and related magnitudes associated with individual activities of production, transportation and trade. There are four major economic goals that are generally accepted. These goals are: • Full employment; • Price stability; • Economic growth; • An equitable distribution of income. In each case, the goal itself is formulated through the political process. The economist's job is to help design policies that will allocate the economy's resources in ways that best achieve these goals. 20 THE SOURCES OF ECONOMIC HEALTH In 1776, new technologies were being invented and applied to the manufacture cotton and wool, iron, transportation and agriculture in what came to be called "The Industrial Revolution". Adam Smith was keenly interested in these events. He wanted to understand the sources of economic wealth, and he brought his acute powers of observation and abstraction to bear on this question. His answer was: a) the division of labour; b) free domestic and international markets. Smith identified the division of labour as the source of "the greatest improvement in the productive powers of labour". The division of labour became even more productive when applied to creating new technologies. THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT The economy comprises millions of people and thousands of firms as the government and local authorities, all taking decisions about prices and wages, what to buy, sell, produce, export, import and many other matters. All these organizations and the decisions they take play a prominent part is shaping the business environment in which firms exist and operate. The economy is complicated and difficult to control and predict, but it is certainly important to all businesses. You should be aware that there are times when businesses and individuals have plenty of funds to spend and there are times when they have to cut back on their spending. This can have enormous implications for business as whole. When the economy is enjoying a boom, firms experience high sales and general prosperity. At such times, unemployment is low and many firms will be investing funds to enable them to produce more. They do this because consumers have plenty of money to spend and firms expect high sales. It naturally follows that the state of the economy is a major factor in the success of firms. However, during periods when people have less to spend many firms face hard times as their sales fall. Thus, the economic environment alters as the economy moves into a recession. At that time, total spending declines as income falls and Scientists and engineers, trained in extremely narrow fields, became specialists at inventing. Their powerful skills speeded the 21 advance of technology. Machines started performing repetitive operations faster, and more accurately than people. But, said Smith, the fruits of the division of labour are limited by the extent of the market. To make the market as large as possible, there must be no impediments to free trade both within a country and among countries. Smith argued that when each person makes the best possible economic choice based on self-interest, that choice leads as if by an invisible hand to the best outcome for society as a whole unemployment rises. Consumers will purchase cheaper items and cut expenditure on luxury items such as televisions and cars. Changes in the state of the economy affect all types of business, though the extent to which they are affected varies. In the recession of the early 1990's, the high street banks suffered badly. Profits declined and, in some cases, losses were incurred. This was because fewer people borrowed money from banks, thus denying them the opportunity to earn interest on loans, and a rising propotion of those who did borrow defaulted on repayment. These so called "bad debts" cut profit margins substantially. Various forecasters reckoned that the National Westminster Bank's losses in the case of Robert Maxwell's collapsing business empire amounted to over $ 100 millions. No individual firm has the ability to control this aspect of its environment. Rather, it is the outcome of the actions of all the groups, which make up society as well as being influenced by the actions of foreigners with whom the nation has dealings. THE ECONOMY The words «the economy» are words we hear or read almost every day. For example, we may be told that "the world economy is in the doldrums", or "European economy is making little progress out of recession", or "the UK economy is beginning to recover", or "the Scottish economy has held up relatively well during the recent recession". But what is mean by the economy? What is an economy? What happens in one? How dies an economy work? The economy is a social mechanism, which answers these three questions. The economy means a system for the management, use and control of the money, goods and other resources of a country, community or household. 22 OPPORTUNITY COST AND TRADE-OFFS Opportunity cost is the forgone benefit of the next best alternative when scarce resources are used for one purpose rather than another. If We use some of our limited resources for one purpose, we must give up the opportunity to use these resources for other purposes. Thus, the term "opportunity cost" refers to the most desirable of the alternatives not chosen. If, for example, a piece of land could be used for an office building, a sport stadium, a department store, or a parking garage, the opportunity cost of using the land for a department store is the loss of only the most desirable of the forgone alternatives. It is either the loss of the office building or of the sports stadium or of the parking garage - not all three; which of these is the most desirable can be determined only by more careful investigation. If a young college graduate chooses to become an accountant rather than a lawyer or an architect or an engineer, opportunity cost refers only to the loss of the most important of the forgone — alternatives. Trade-offs involve accepting or choosing less of one thing to get more of something else. Individuals who choose one good or service instead of another, or more of one thing and less of another, are making a tradeoff Society also makes trade-offs, e.g.., between its need for more energy and its desire to preserve the environment Evaluating trade-offs, when done carefully and systematically, involves comparing the costs and benefits of decisions that affect different groups within the economy; e.g.., the rich vs poor, city residents vs rural residents, etc. Most choices and trade-offs are not all-or-nothing propositions; instead, they typically involve small changes at the margin - a little more of for a little less of that. Decisions about small changes at the margin are made more often than decisions about big changes, and the former are usually easier to access then the latter. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 1. Everybody should master the tools of the trade. To analyse economic issues economists use both models and data. 2. A model or theory makes a series of simplifying assumptions from which it deduces how people will behave. It is a deliberate simplification of reality. Models are frameworks for organizing the way we think about the problem. They simplify by omitting some 23 details of the real world to concentrate on the essentials. From this manageable picture of reality we develop our analysis of how the economy works. 3. An economist uses a model in the way a traveller uses a map. A map of London misses out many features of the real world-traffic lights, roundabouts - but if you study it carefully you can get a good picture of how the traffic is likely to flow and what will be the best route to take. This simplified picture is easy to follow, yet helps you understand real world behaviour when you drive through the city in the rush hour. 4. The data or facts interact with models in two ways. First, the data help us quantify the relationships to which our theoretical models draw attention. It may be insufficient to work out that all bridges across the Thames are likely to be congested. To choose the best route we need to know how long we would have to queue at each bridge. We need some facts. The model is useful because it tells us which facts are likely to be the most important. Bridges are more likely to be congested than six-lane motorways. 5. Second, the data help us test our models. Like all careful scientists, economists must check that their theories square with the relevant facts. Here the crucial word is "relevant". It is this that prevents a chimpanzee or a computer sifting through all the facts in the world to establish the single definitively correct theory. For example, it turns out that the number of Scottish dysentery deaths is closely related to the actual inflation rate in the UK over many decades. Is this a factual coincidence or the key to a theory of inflation in the UK? The facts alert us to the need to ponder this question, but we can make a decision only by recourse to logical reasoning. In this instance, since we can find no theoretical or logical connection, we regard the close factual relationship between Scottish dysentery deaths and the UK inflation as a coincidence that should be ignored. Without any logical underpinning, the empirical connection will break down sooner or later. BRITISH ECONOMY Britain lives by manufacture and trade. For every person employed in agriculture eleven people are employed in mining, manufacturing and building. The United Kingdom in one of the 24 world's largest exporters of manufactured goods per lead of population. Apart from coal and iron ore Britain las very few natural resources and mostly depends on imports. Its agriculture provides only half the food it needs. The other half and most of the raw materials for its industries such as oil and various metals ( copper, zinc, uranium ore end other) have to be imported Britain also has to import timber, cotton, fruit and farm products. Britain used to be richly forested but most of the forest were cut down to make more room for cultivation. The greater part of land is used for cattle and sheep breeding and pig raising. Among the crops grown on the farms are wheal, barley and oats. The fields are mainly in the eastern part of the country. Most of the farms are small ( one third of them is less than one hundred arses ). Farms tend to be bigger where the soil is less fertile. In the past century Britain secured a leading position in the world as manufacturer, marchant and bankes. After World War I the world demand for the products of Britain's traditional industries textiles, coal and machinery - fell off, and Britain began expanding trade in new engineering products and electrical goods. The crisis of 1929 - 1933 brought about mass unemployment, which reached its peak in 1931, Britain's share in the world industrial output decreased. After the crisis production and employment increased following some revival m world trade and as a result of the extensive armament program. During World War II Britain's economy was fully employed in the war effort. Massed raids of German planes on British industrial centres caused considerable damage to Britain's industry World War II brought about, a further weakening of Britain's might. Great Britain is no longer the leading imperialist power it used to be. It has lost its colonies which used to supply it with cheap raw materials. Britain produces quality expensive goods, which has always been characteristic of its industry. A shortage of raw materials, as well as the light cost of production makes it unprofitable for British industry to produce semi - finished goods or cheap articles. Britain mostly produces articles requiring skilled labour, such as precision instruments, electronic equipment, chemicals and high quality consumer goods Britain produces and export cotton and woolen 25 goods, leather goods and articles made of various kinds of synthetic (man - made ) materials. The original basis of British industry was coalmining, and the early factories grew up hot far from the main mining areas Glasgow and Newcastle became great centres of engineering and ship -building. Landcashire produced cotton goods and Yoorkshire woolens, with Sheffield concentrating on iron and steel. Birmingham developed light engineering. There appeared a tendency for industry and population to move to the south, particularly to the London area (Britain's industry is now widely dispersed). Great progress was made in the development of new Industrie's, such as the aircraft, automobile, electronic industries and other. A number of atomic power reactors were made. Great progress was made on the development of the industry. US ECONOMY The United States is rich in natural resources, the main being iron ore, coal and oil. The nation produces more than 100 million tons of iron a year. Four fifth of the ore mined in the USA comes from the Great Lakes region. Though a great deal of the ore has been used up, its resources have been not exhausted. Most of the coal mined in the USA is used by power plants to produce electricity. Coal is also used in the chemical industries for the manufacture of plastics and other synthetics. The production, processing and marketing of such oil products as petrol (called "gasoline" or "gas" in the USA) make up one of America's largest industries. The basic metals and minerals mined in the United States are zinc, copper and silver. Some of the main crops grown in the USA are wheat, maize, cotton, tobacco and fruit. Cattle breeding and pig raising make up an important branch of American's agriculture. To make the farmer's work more productive scientific methods of farming are employed and modern technique of freezing, canning and packaging farm products is used. The United States is a highly industrialised country with various branches of heavy industry prevailing, namely, the mining metallurgical, automobile and chemical industries as well as engineering. Many branches of light industry are also developed, among them are the textile, food and woodworking industries. A great deal of attention in American industry is devoted to 26 research and emphasis is made on the use of labour - saving machines. In the past few years the number of workers has increased only a few per cent, while the number of scientists and engineers in the plants has almost doubled. Mechanisation and automation do away with thousands of office jobs, intensify production and increase labour productivity. But they also brine about a further growth of unemployment. New industries are created as new discoveries are made in phisics, chemistry and other sciences. Atomic energy, for example, has created a wide range of new industries. Electronics has become a major industry. Throughout American industry great emphasis is being made on management training. A great number of schools are training young people to become industrial leaders. American industry is distributed univenly. Most of the industrial enterprises are located in the eastern part of the country. But industry is spreading out as there is a tendency to build factories far removed from the home plant and closer to natural resources and markets. Good transportation facilities and rapid communications systems make it possible for the main plants to keep in touch with branch factories. The leading US exports are industrial machinery, electronic equipment, textiles, grain, iron, coal, oil products and chemicals. SALES PROMOTION Sales Promotion, element of the marketing process that can close the sale of goods or services to a potential customer by providing the incentive to make a positive purchase decision. Sales promotion, advertising, and salesmanship are the major techniques used in merchandising products to the public. Salesmanship often takes the form of a face-to-face encounter between the buyer and seller; the presentation is set up to convince customers that the product on sale is essential to their satisfaction. The lack of personal feedback between buyer and seller is sometimes considered a drawback of the advertising approach. Selling by telephone, although it is significantly less effective than personal selling, is still considered an important method of merchandising. In the 1980s, a growing promotional technique involved in-home shopping programs using cable television channels. 27 HISTORY The traveling salesman appeared late in the 19th century both in Europe and in the U.S. The early itinerant peddler carried his goods on his back or on his horse, working his way from a port city through the hinterlands. With the coming of the railroad and the assurance given to sellers by new credit-reporting systems, salespersons with their sample cases moved across the land. Persuasive skill was less important in those days of unsatisfied demand, and orders were readily forthcoming. By 1900, however, with the increasing supply of manufactured goods, buyers became more discriminating in their purchases. Greater attention was given to training the sales force and to providing buyer incentives. The growth of industrialization and urban living led to the development of merchandising as a major business endeavor. The use of sales promotion practices has experienced steady growth in the 20th century. PROMOTIONAL PRACTICES The techniques of sales promotion are used both to motivate salespersons to improve their performance and to induce consumers to purchase goods and services. Although sales promotion works most closely with advertising, it is also related to other elements of marketing: production services, packaging, price, and distribution. At the manufacturing and wholesale levels of distribution, the methods used to motivate personnel to meet specific goals usually fall into two categories—sales incentive prizes (such as merchandise, travel, or cash awards) and sales contests. Both are based upon the salesperson reaching an objective above the normal sales quota. Consumer promotions encompass a wide variety of techniques, including sampling of goods or services, store redeemable "moneyoff" coupons to encourage the trial of products, special price-reduced packages, mail-in premium merchandise offers, cash or coupon refunds by mail, special product packaging, contests, and sweepstakes. During recessionary periods, when the demand for consumer expendable dollars becomes more competitive, there is greater participation in refund, coupon, and premium offers. More than half the households in the U.S. take advantage of some sales promotion offers each year. Sales promotion, now fully recognized as a vital element in the 28 marketing mix, has become a multibillion dollar industry. In recent years, sales promotion expenditures have exceeded monies spent on advertising and there are strong indications that this pattern of growth will continue to maintain its economic edge. UNEMPLOYMENT Unemployment, enforced idleness of wage earners who are able and willing to work but cannot find jobs. In societies in which most people can earn a living only by working for others, being unable to find a job is a serious problem. Because of its human costs in deprivation and a feeling of rejection and personal failure, the extent of unemployment is widely used as a measure of workers' welfare. The proportion of workers unemployed also shows how well a nation's human resources are used and serves as an index of economic activity. MEASUREMENT The most common method of measuring unemployment was developed in the U.S. in the 1930s; it is followed by many other countries on the recommendation of the International Labor Organization. In a monthly survey of a sample of households representing the entire civilian population, information is obtained about the activity of each person of working age (16 years of age or older in the U.S.). To ensure precision and ease of recollection, the interviewers ask what people were doing in a single week. A person who did any work during that week for pay or profit, worked 15 hours or more as an unpaid worker in a family business, or had a job from which he or she was temporarily absent, is counted as employed. A person who was not working but was looking for work or was on a temporary layoff and available to take a job is counted as unemployed. The number of unemployed is then divided by the number of people in the civilian labor force (that is, the sum of the employed and the unemployed) in order to calculate the unemployment rate. In the U.S., statistics for states and local areas are based partly on the same survey and partly on estimates of unemployment built up from unemployment-insurance records; these records, however, do not include all the unemployed, since many people who are seeking work are not eligible to receive unemployment compensation (see Unemployment Insurance). 29 In some countries, instead of a special survey, unemployment estimates are developed from data on the number of people who are looking for work through the public employment offices or the number receiving unemployment compensation payments. CAUSES Economists have described the causes of unemployment as frictional, seasonal, structural, and cyclical. Frictional unemployment arises because workers seeking jobs do not find them immediately; while looking for work they are counted as unemployed. The amount of frictional unemployment depends on the frequency with which workers change jobs and the time it takes to find new ones. Job changes occur often in the U.S.: A January 1983 survey showed that more than 25 percent of ail workers had been with their current employers one year or less. About a quarter of those unemployed at any particular time are employed one month later. This means that a considerable degree of unemployment in the U.S. is fractional and lasts only a short time. This type of unemployment could be reduced somewhat by more efficient placement services. When workers are free to quit their jobs, however, some frictional unemployment will always be present. Seasonal unemployment occurs when industries have a slow season, such as construction and other outdoor work in winter. It also occurs at the end of the school year in June, when large numbers of students and graduates look for work. At its seasonal high point (January and February), unemployment in the U.S. between 1976 and 1986 was typically 20 percent higher than at the seasonal low (October). Structural unemployment arises from an imbalance between the kinds of workers wanted by employers and the kinds of workers looking for jobs. The imbalances may be caused by inadequacy in skills, location, or personal characteristics. Technological developments, for example, necessitate new skills in many industries, leaving those workers who have outdated skills without a job. A plant in a declining industry may close down or move to another area, throwing out of work those employees who are unable or unwilling to move. Workers with inadequate education or training and young workers with little or no experience may be unable to get jobs because 30 employers believe that these employees would not produce enough to be worth paying the legal minimum wage or the rate agreed on with the union. On the other hand, even highly trained workers can be unemployed; this happened in the U.S. in the early 1970s, for example, when the large numbers of new graduates with doctoral degrees in physics and mathematics exceeded the number of jobs available in those fields. If employers practice illegal job discrimination against any group because of sex, race, religion, age, or national origin, a high unemployment rate for these workers could result even when jobs are plentiful. Structural unemployment shows up most prominently in some cities, in some occupations or industries, for those with below-average educational attainments, and for some other groups in the labor force. In June 1992, for example, when the U.S. civilian unemployment rate was 7.8 percent, the rate in the state of New York was 9.2 percent; аor teenagers 16 to 19, 23.6 percent; for black workers, 14.9 percent; and for retail workers, 9.2 percent. Cyclical unemployment results from a general lack of demand for labor. When the business cycle turns downward, demand for goods and services drops; consequently, workers are laid off. In the 19th century, the U.S. experienced depressions roughly every 20 years. A long and severe depression occurred in the 1890s, when unemployment reached about 18 percent of the civilian labor force, and four less-severe depressions occurred in the first quarter of the 20th century. The worst depression in U.S. history was in the 1930s; at its height, one worker in four was unemployed, and some remained out of work for years. See Business Cycle. GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMENT As a result of this depression, the U.S. government took steps to alleviate unemployment. In the mid-1930s millions of jobs were provided by public works and other special programs. Notable among the federal agencies established to carry out these programs were the Civilian Conservation Corps and the National Youth Administration, which employed young workers on a wide variety of projects; and the Work Projects Administration, which embarked on a broad program involving both public-works construction and cultural and recreational activities. Another New Deal measure was the Social Security Act of 1935, 31 which set up the first comprehensive social-insurance system in the U.S. (see Social Security). It introduced unemployment insurance, providing workers who lose their jobs with a weekly compensation payment. By maintaining the workers' purchasing power, unemployment insurance reduces cyclical swings in demand, thus helping trade and industry. The enactment of various laws aimed at reviving business and industrial activity resulted in a substantial improvement in U.S. economic conditions and a decline in unemployment. Soon after the outbreak of World War II in September 1939, the U.S. government launched a program for expanding and modernizing the national defense system. The program provided industry with a powerful stimulus, and unemployment rapidly declined. After the U.S. entered the war in December 1941, not only was the goal of full employment attained, but a shortage of labor replaced the previous shortage of jobs. In the postwar period a major new measure was passed by the Congress. The Employment Act of 1946 proclaimed that the federal government would take the responsibility for maintaining high employment levels, economic stability, and growth; that is, the government would coordinate its economic policies (such as those on taxation, expenditures, foreign trade, and control of money, credit, and banking) in such a way as to prevent serious depressions. A Council of Economic Advisers was set up to monitor the economy and provide advice to the president and Congress. Between 1945 and 1990 nine cyclical swings in unemployment occurred; all were smaller than the 1930s depression. During this period the unemployment rate was as low as 2.9 percent (1953) and as high as 9.7 percent (1982). Because of cutbacks in the unemployment insurance program and changes in the nature of employment during the 1980s, however, only 37 percent of jobless workers received benefits in 1990. Fears that the introduction of automation and other labor-saving technology would increase unemployment have led some workers to oppose such changes. Labor-saving methods, however, increase output per worker and make possible rising levels of worker income. In order to deal with the effects of technological change, the government passed several acts, such as the Manpower Training and Development Act (1962) , the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (1973) , and the Job Training Partnership Act (1982), to 32 set up programs designed to train the unemployed in those skills in which there was employment opportunity. A major policy issue is the relation of unemployment to inflation. In theory, when demand for labor rises to the point at which unemployment is low and employers find it difficult to hire qualified workers, wages increase, pushing production costs and prices higher and thus contributing to inflation; when demand declines and unemployment increases, inflationary pressures on wages and production costs are relieved. Confounding this theory, however, both inflation and unemployment rates were high in the 1970s. The government adopted policies to control inflation that involved reducing demand in the economy in the expectation that one of the costs of lowering inflation would be rising unemployment. Indeed, the unemployment rate rose from 5.8 percent in 1979 to 9.7 percent by 1982 before dropping back to between 5 and 7 percent in the mid- and late 1980s. UNEMPLOYMENT IN OTHER NATIONS The post-World War II period in Europe was characterized by sharp rises in unemployment resulting from the wartime destruction of many industries, the addition to the labor force of large numbers of war veterans, and a variety of consequent economic maladjustments. U.S. aid helped the highly successful efforts of Western European countries to rehabilitate their industries and provide employment for their workers (see European Recovery Program). Most of the major nonsocialist industrialized countries had lower rates of unemployment than the U.S. by the 1950s. In the 1960s, when the U.S. unemployment rate averaged 5-6 percent, only Canada had a higher rate (7 percent); Italy had a rate of 4 percent, and all the other Western European industrial nations, as well as Japan, had rates of about 2 percent or less. Attempts to explain these disparities focused on social and economic differences among nations, including the following: the more rapid growth of the labor force in the U.S.; more years of schooling in the U.S., with many students working parttime and seeking jobs frequently; measures taken in European countries to reduce seasonal unemployment by spreading work over the year; European practices of placing youth in their midteens into apprenticeship and other work-training arrangements that promote job 33 stability; legal restraints in some countries against laying off workers; extensive retraining programs for unemployed workers to update their skills; and greater attachment of workers to their jobs in both Europe and Japan. By early 1992 Japan's unemployment rate was still low (just over 2 percent), despite an economic slowdown, but the rate was approaching 10 percent in Britain and France and generally exceeded that rate in Eastern Europe, where formerly socialist economies were adjusting to free-market capitalism. The Soviet Union maintained no statistics on unemployment, nor did it have unemployment insurance. Generally, workers were kept on the payroll whether or not they were needed, making for a low productivity rate. In early 1992, unemployment in Russia was reported to be less than 1 percent, but the government was opening unemployment offices, preparing for an increase as more people began working in the private sector. In developing nations in Asia, Africa, and Latin America a much more serious and widespread problem, is underemployment— that is, people are employed only part time or at work that is inefficient or unproductive, with a correspondingly low income that is insufficient to meet their needs. Much of the unemployment and underemployment in developing nations has accompanied migration from rural to larger urban centers. In industrialized countries, with unemployment insurance and other forms of income maintenance, unemployment does not cause as great a hardship as it once did. Measures to stabilize the economy have made economic downturns briefer and less severe. Workers are still threatened by long periods of unemployment, however, and some workers bear a disproportionate burden. The problem of modern governments is how to get the benefits of economic flexibility and rising productivity while reducing the number of unemployed workers, keeping their spells of joblessness short, maintaining their income, and helping them return to work with viable skills. FREE-MARKET ECONOMY Free-Market Economy, economic system in which individuals, rather than government, make the majority of decisions regarding economic activities and transactions (see Capitalism) . Individuals are free to make economic decisions concerning their employment, how 34 to use or accumulate capital, what expenditures to make, and whether to use their resources now or to save them for later consumption. The principles underlying free-market economies are based on laissez-faire (non-intervention by government) economics and can be traced to the 18th century British economist Adam Smith. According to Smith, individuals acting in their own economic self-interest will maximize the economic situation of society as a whole, as if guided by an "invisible hand." In a free-market economy the government's function is limited to providing what are known as "public goods" and performing a regulatory role in certain situations. Public goods, which include defense, law and order, and education, have two characteristics: consumption by one individual does not reduce the amount of the good left for others; and the benefits that an individual receives do not depend on that person's contribution. An example is a lighthouse. One individual's use of light provided by a lighthouse does not reduce the ability of others to use it. In addition, the lighthouse owner cannot restrict individuals from using the light. The latter illustrates the "free-rider" phenomenon of public goods— both those who helped pay for the lighthouse and those who did not will enjoy the same amount of light. The "free-rider" problem can be eliminated if governments collect taxes and then provide public goods. Government's role in a free-market economy also includes protecting private property, enforcing contracts, and regulating certain economic activities. Governments generally regulate "natural monopolies" such as utilities or rail service (see Monopoly). These industries require such a large investment that it would not be profitable to have more than one provider. Regulation is used in place of competition to prevent these monopolies from making excessive profits. Governments may also restrict economic freedom for the sake of protecting individual rights. Examples include laws that restrict child labor, prohibit toxic emissions, or forbid the sale of unsafe goods. Proponents of free-market economies believe they provide a number of advantages. They see free-market economies as encouraging individual responsibility for decisions and they believe that economic freedom is essential to political freedom. In addition, many people believe that free markets are more efficient in economic terms. Free markets provide incentives both to individuals to allocate 35 resources, such as labor and capital, among the most productive uses, and to firms to produce goods and services that the public wants, using the most efficient means of production. Free-market economies are also criticized. Opponents believe that a free-market economy cannot ensure basic social values, such as alleviating poverty, or that the income distribution that results from a free-market economy may not be equitable. A free-market economy may also permit the accumulation of vast wealth and powerful vested interests that could threaten the survival of political freedom. Alternative economic systems include communism and mixed economies. In communism, the government plans the economy and all means of production are publicly owned. The economy of the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics was an example of a planned economy: all decisions regarding production and distribution were made by the government. In contrast, a mixed economy is one where the government does some planning and owns or controls more industries than in a free-market economy. Governments may own key industries such as steel, aviation, and banking, while the individual still plays an important role. Sweden and France are examples of mixed economies. 36