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POSTNOTE Number 435 June 2013 Environmental Impact of Tidal Energy Barrages Overview A tidal energy barrage across the Severn Estuary could produce up to 5% of the UK’s electricity demand. It would help meet renewable energy targets but would have significant environmental impacts. This POSTnote summarises evidence on environmental impacts associated with the operation of tidal energy barrages and the effectiveness of compensatory measures. Background Energy Extraction Tidal energy barrages are a form of low-carbon marine renewable energy referred to as tidal range technology. Tidal range technologies harness the energy of an incoming or outgoing tide. There are various marine energy technologies (such as offshore wind turbines, tidal stream turbines), but tidal energy barrages offer the most predictable and consistent supply of electricity.1 Tidal energy barrages are dam-like structures consisting of turbines and sluice gates (Figure 1) and are typically located across the width of an estuary. There are two kinds: Ebb Generation: the basin behind the barrage is filled on the incoming tide. Once the tide has reached its highest point, the sluice gates are shut for 1-2 hours while the tide falls on the outside of the barrage. The sluice gates are then opened allowing the water in the basin to pass out through the turbines for 4-5 hours. Ebb-Flood Generation: electricity is produced on both the incoming and outgoing tides as the water passes through the turbines. Tidal barrages are a source of low-carbon energy that can significantly reduce dependence on fossil fuels. Tidal barrages impact water movement and the amount of suspended sediment, resulting in loss of intertidal habitat. It is uncertain how changes in water quality will impact biodiversity, but there is likely to be a change in the type of animals and plants that colonise estuaries. It is uncertain whether turbines designed to lower fish mortality would allow for the maintenance of fish populations, as existing studies on their efficacy are limited. In addition, a barrage may increase levels of fish mortality due to predation, disease, habitat loss and disruption to movement. There is limited evidence on the efficacy of compensatory and mitigation measures. way to meeting UK renewable energy targets (POSTnote 324). There has been interest in constructing a barrage across the Severn Estuary because of its large tidal range;3 a barrage from Cardiff to Weston-super-Mare could meet up to 5% of the UK’s electricity demand. In 2010, the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) published results of a feasibility study that investigated the impact of an ebb-only tidal energy barrage across the Severn Estuary.1 In respect of environmental impacts it concluded that “the scale and impact of a scheme would be unprecedented... and there is significant uncertainty on how the regulatory framework would apply to it”. There has been no further development of proposals for other UK barrages, but in 2012, Hafren Power submitted a proposal to the Government for an ebb-flood tidal energy barrage across the Severn Estuary. Figure 1: Cross-section of an ebb-generating tidal barrage. Tidal Power in the UK Tidal energy barrages have been proposed for a number of UK estuaries including the Mersey, Humber, Duddon, Wyre, the Wash and the Severn. UK Barrages could contribute up to 15% of total energy production,2 which would go some The Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology, 7 Millbank, London SW1P 3JA T 020 7219 2840 E [email protected] www.parliament.uk/post POSTnote Number 435 June 2013 Environmental Impact of Tidal Energy Barrages Box 1. Sediment Dynamics at Existing Barrages There are a number of tidal energy barrages which include: two in China (Jiangxia and Jindo Uldolmok), and one each in South Korea (Sihwa), Canada (Annapolis Royal), France (La Rance) and Russia (Kislaya Guba). However, there is no known published information on environmental impacts at the Korean and Chinese barrages. The Eastern Scheldt Storm Surge Barrier in the Netherlands is also commonly referred to when discussing barrage impacts: though not a barrage, it is likened to a barrage as it allows for the free passage of water like an ebb-flood barrage.8,9 La Rance differs from many UK estuaries in that it has a very low level of sediment.4 Observations since construction of the barrage include diverse but altered fish, invertebrate and bird populations.5 However, because of insufficient data prior to construction it is uncertain how species composition, abundance and distribution has changed. There is no information on rates of habitat loss and gain, or fish mortality. The Eastern Scheldt was experiencing erosion prior to construction of the barrier and other dams,6 but this was amplified post-construction.7-9 There was a change in erosion patterns from the erosion of channels to the erosion of intertidal habitat8,9 with the rate of loss of intertidal habitat exceeding that expected due to sealevel rise.7 Previously stable habitats at Annapolis Royal are said to be now undergoing erosion. However, because of a lack of data it is not possible to say that the system has undergone a net loss of habitat. In addition, erosion pressure is amplified by particularly complex water currents and ice, factors which do not affect the Severn Estuary.10-12 The increased rate of erosion downstream of Annapolis Royal and upstream of the Eastern Scheldt may be caused by the structures restricting sediment movement into these areas thus impeding habitat development.13 The Severn Estuary is unusual in that it receives relatively little new sediment from either rivers (fluvial) or marine sources; the majority of sediment enters the system from the on-going erosion of intertidal habitat. Existing Barrages The extent to which existing barrages (Box 1) and other similar structures can inform future developments is determined by similarity in characteristics and the availability of data from before and after construction. For these reasons there is limited data from La Rance, with a little more known on Annapolis Royal and the Eastern Scheldt. Predicting Impacts To predict the impact of a tidal barrage, first requires an understanding of the factors (for example, water currents and sediment load) that influence estuary characteristics. Prediction commonly starts with simplification of how an estuary works and how a barrage may influence a characteristic using data from similar estuaries or from the estuary of interest. This is referred to as conceptual modelling. Computer models are then used to simulate the conceptual model and provide a measure of the likelihood and scale of a particular impact occurring. Confidence in computer models depends on the quality and availability of data used to build the model, the type of model and whether the prediction can be validated. Impact prediction of a Severn Barrage suffers from two problems: a lack of real data on certain factors to build computer models a lack of validating computer models due to a lack of similar estuaries and similar barrages. Page 2 Impacts Most research on the impact of barrage construction has focused on water movement (hydrodynamics) and physical structure of habitat. This research has implications for factors such as biodiversity and water quality. Hydrodynamic Hydrodynamic response to a tidal barrage has been explored using computer models.14, 15 The following hydrodynamic responses are predicted to occur following construction of a Severn Barrage, and have been observed at La Rance, Annapolis Royal and the Eastern Scheldt: reduction in tidal range with loss of intertidal habitat area (see Figure 2)14 reduction in water speed, resulting in reduced suspended sediment.14 Figure 2: Estuary Habitat Types Habitat Structure Studies of habitat response are limited to conceptual models only.16, 17 A range of habitats will be affected by a tidal barrage including: salt marsh: an important habitat for birds, fish, and plants. Salt marsh depends on sediment transported and deposited by the incoming tide for growth at a rate that exceeds sea-level rise. mud flats: an intertidal habitat that is vitally important for migratory birds, and species of invertebrates and fish. sand flats: an intertidal habitat important for many invertebrate species. Two conceptual models have been developed to try to explain long-term change in habitat structure in the Severn Estuary.16, 17 Both predict that there will be an initial loss of intertidal habitat (mud flat and salt marsh) due to reduced tidal range. However, the first predicts that new habitat will be established almost immediately,16 while the second predicts there will be no gain in habitat because of increased erosion pressure.17 In an attempt to validate model scenarios, efforts have been made to match the Severn to La Rance, the Eastern Scheldt and Annapolis Royal.4,7,13 Both La Rance and Annapolis Royal are of limited use because of a lack of data quantifying the impact of barrages on hydrodynamic and habitat structural response (Box 1). The Eastern Scheldt provides some useful information on the possible impact of a barrage. However, the difference in the source and transport of sediment between the Eastern Scheldt and the Severn makes it difficult to conclude the same erosion patterns will occur. Intertidal habitat development has not been predicted using computer models for an ebb-flood barrage. In the 2010 DECC study,15 computer modelling of an ebb-only barrage resulted in a number of impacts including: loss of more than 36-63% of intertidal habitat POSTnote Number 435 June 2013 Environmental Impact of Tidal Energy Barrages reduction in peak suspended sediment load by a factor of 2-3 and rapid accumulation of up to 2m of sediment upstream of the Severn Bridge erosion of 1.3-3.1m at the Mid Severn flats and 0.3-1.4m accretion over the Outer Severn channel.15 Water Quality Hydrodynamics and suspended sediment have important implications for water quality. There are factors which may result in both a positive and negative effect on the concentration of metals, nutrients, and pathogens within the estuary.18 The propensity of an estuary to develop waterquality problems is dependent on two key factors: the amount of time water spends in the estuary, which is increased by an ebb-only barrage the existing level of nutrients, pathogens and metals. Predictions of impacts to water quality have been based on conceptual and computer models. The 2010 DECC study19 found an ebb-only barrage in the Severn had no significant impact on water quality, except for an increase in nutrient levels. This, in combination with reduced suspended sediment, would increase the level of algae and plants. However, this increased productivity is likely to be less pronounced under an ebb-flood barrage. Biodiversity The term biodiversity is used to describe the variety of life (including plants, animals and bacteria) on earth.20 A tidal energy barrage may impact biodiversity because of either a loss, gain or a change in species. A simple gain in the number of species may not represent a gain in biodiversity if it results in the loss of rare or unique species that are replaced with common species.21 While some studies suggest that a Severn Barrage will increase biodiversity, 4,17 these are not based on studies in which the number and type of species were evaluated before and after barrage construction. For there to be an overall gain in biodiversity, an increase in the number of some species (for example invertebrates) needs to offset species loss due to habitat loss, fish mortality in turbines, bird displacement and the loss of rare or unique species. To date, no studies at existing barrages have assessed overall change in species diversity and abundance. Invertebrates Invertebrates (animals without a backbone) make up a significant majority of the biodiversity in an estuary and include Sabellaria, brown shrimp, and mussels. Invertebrate diversity and abundance is predicted to increase following barrage construction,4,17 though this depends on the extent and type of habitat lost following barrage construction. Such gains would likely be caused by a reduction in water velocity and suspended sediment, and changes in sediment type. Increased invertebrate abundance would likely be more pronounced under an ebb only barrage scheme. Birds Species of waders appear to be particularly sensitive to barrage operation, because of intertidal habitat loss and displacement. In 1999, a barrage was constructed in Cardiff Bay as part of a regeneration project. Studies in the bay have revealed displacement of a number of species to neighbouring sites. However displaced birds have exhibited Page 3 reduced survival rates compared to non-displaced birds.22 In both the Eastern Scheldt and Cardiff Bay, there have been declines or local extinctions of wader species.7, 22 It is often reported that the loss of intertidal habitat and subsequent decline in birds will be offset by the increase in available food within the remaining intertidal habitat. However, the DECC 2010 study concluded that the scale of habitat loss for an ebb only barrage would far outweigh any gain in habitat quality.36 Fish Mortality There are two categories of threats to fish: Direct: injury and mortality due to blade strike and water conditions (for example water pressure) resulting in damage or disorientation. Indirect: loss and degradation of habitat which may be important for feeding and spawning; and disruption to movement (such as completion of migration). Mortality due to blade strike is the most studied source of fish mortality. Estimates depend on the type and operation of a turbine, and species of fish.23 In order to reduce levels of blade strike, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)24 produced a set of criteria for the design of ‘fish-friendly’ turbines. These criteria are based on an extensive literature review of studies on single fish passage through turbines at hydro-power schemes. In recent years, levels of survival greater than 90% have been achieved.25-28 While high survivability is possible, no field trials of turbines in an estuarine environment have been carried out. In addition, most studies of fish mortality have been carried out on small-sized salmon, a notoriously robust species; therefore reports of ‘negligible’ mortality levels may not be applicable to the diversity of fish, crustacean and invertebrate species common in estuaries29-31 such as adult salmon, shad, flounder, brown shrimp. In addition, estimates of fish mortality are based on fish making a single pass through a turbine: fish living in an estuary may make multiple passes in a day, increasing their risk of mortality. Less studied is mortality due to sub-lethal injuries, predation or indirect impacts. During turbine passage, blade strike and hydraulic conditions can result in injuries (for example scale loss, eye loss or abrasions) which may not cause immediate mortality, but will reduce survival through disease or decreased fitness. Fish commonly suffer disorientation during turbine passage which increases predation risk by other fish, fish-eating birds and aquatic mammals;23 this has been observed at La Rance.32 In a recent study,33 mortality because of predation of juvenile salmon was found to account for between 46-70% of total mortality, indicating it is potentially a considerable source of mortality. However, at present studies on mortality levels due to predation pressure and sub-lethal injuries are limited. Very Low-Head Turbines Very Low-Head (VLH) turbines are a new technology that reportedly has a smaller impact on fish than existing technologies.34 A recent trial on a VLH prototype achieved 100% survivability of both large and small eels.34 However, very few trials of VLH turbines have been undertaken. In response to growing interest in VLH turbines, the Canadian government published guidelines for the testing of these POSTnote Number 435 June 2013 Environmental Impact of Tidal Energy Barrages 35 turbines. The report comments that “mortality, although easy to define and measure, is simply one way to evaluate the biological effectiveness of a turbine yet the majority of studies focus only on mortality as an endpoint”. It suggests that a “suite of endpoints should be examined which incorporate relevant metrics that have the potential to influence long-term survival, health, condition and fitness”. Compensation and Mitigation Tidal energy barrages may impact on features (such as habitat types, birds, fish and invertebrates) protected under a number of EU Directives (Box 2). Under development of a Severn Barrage, impacts to protected features include: habitat loss, for example salt marsh and Sabelleria reefs, due to reduced tidal range and water speed loss of intertidal habitat which supports designated bird species such as Dunlin and Bewick's Swan loss of designated fish, for example, Twaite Shad, River Lamprey and Atlantic Salmon, due to degradation of habitat, blocking of migration path and direct mortality decline in the ecological status of a water body. Compensation for Habitats and Birds Compensation for designated intertidal habitats is typically carried out by recreating the lost features (such as Atlantic salt meadows, mudflats), referred to as ‘Like for Like’. The most commonly used technique is managed re-alignment in which “sea walls are deliberately breached to allow the coastline to move inland” (POSTnote 342). While this method has been successfully used to compensate for lost habitat on port developments, which are relatively small, there are concerns over its efficacy for the much larger Severn Barrage scheme. The success of managed realignment is well documented for salt marsh habitats, but less so for sand flats and mud flats.43 No compensatory measures are available for the loss of subtidal habitats that support Sabellaria reefs.36 Compensatory measures would need to be implemented prior to construction allowing sufficient time for monitoring to ensure sustainability of the Box 2. EU Policy Affecting UK Estuaries Many UK estuaries fall under the following EU directives: The EU Habitats Directive seeks to maintain or restore habitats and species listed under Annex I and II respectively and designation of sites as Special Areas of Conservation (SACs). The EU Birds Directive promotes the conservation of wild birds, with identification of Special Protected Areas (SPAs) required for vulnerable species listed in Annex I and migratory species. The EU Water Framework Directive requires European Union member states to achieve good status of surface water bodies (including marine waters up to one nautical mile from shore) by 2027 (some types of water body are exempt, POSTnote 320). The network of SACs and SPAs is referred to as the Natura 2000 network. Where a development impacts the Natura 2000 network, it must first assess whether there will be a negative impact of development (Article 6(3)). If there is, the development may only be permitted to proceed (Article 6(4)): if there is no “alternative solution” that is less damaging that there are “Imperative Reasons of Overriding Public Interest” (IROPI) for the development that all compensatory measures necessary to ensure the overall coherence of Natura 2000 is protected are undertaken. Page 4 newly created features. Compensation for Fish A range of methods has been proposed for compensating for the loss of fish populations and their habitats (Box 3). However, research into these methods has focused on design and implementation for a limited number of species and at much smaller scales. For estuaries as large as the Severn, most compensation measures would be required on an unprecedented scale. The 2010 DECC study concluded that “fish compensation measures are unlikely to completely offset all negative effects”. 43 Equal Value It is recognised that it may be difficult to recreate designated features on a ‘Like for Like’ basis. The Sustainable Development Commission (SDC)37 led an investigation into the case of compensating with habitat of ‘Equal Value’ rather than ‘Like for Like’. ‘Equal Value’ could be an alternative and adaptive form of compensation for developments where it is not possible to recreate ‘Like for Like’ or where there is a lack of available land for recreating lost habitat. However, at present ‘Like for Like’ is an untested method. The SDC investigation concluded that it represented “an unprecedented challenge” for a Severn Barrage scheme. Conclusions Tidal energy barrages have a number of environmental impacts that vary in scale depending on the type of barrage. There is insufficient evidence to determine the efficacy of compensation and mitigation measures for a Severn Barrage scheme. Some academics and NGOs are in favour of an incremental approach and step by step development of tidal power technologies and compensation on a smaller scale. 38-42 Box 3. Compensatory Measures for Fish The following possible compensation measures were investigated in the 2010 DECC study: Exclusion and diversion from turbines: while there is evidence for their effectiveness, they potentially have contradictory effects on different species.43 Bypasses: most research into the design of bypasses has focused on freshwater species, such as salmon, trout, eels and shad. There has been limited research on marine species.43 Herding and translocation: this measure involves the collection, transportation and release of fish from downstream of the barrage, to upstream. It is not an established measure, with research limited to only a few species.43 Predator control: effective methods are limited to birds, with no known effective methods for fish.43 Re-stocking: this measure supports population numbers, however, it reduces genetic diversity of a population thereby reducing the potential of a species to adapt and evolve.43, 44 Habitat creation and enhancement: an established method for many estuarine and marine species, but there is less evidence for its efficacy for migratory species.43 Endnotes For references, please see: http://www.parliament.uk/documents/POST/postpn435_Environmental-Impact-ofTidal-Energy-Barragesreferences.pdf POST is an office of both Houses of Parliament, charged with providing independent and balanced analysis of policy issues that have a basis in science and technology. POST is grateful to Nadia Richman for researching this briefing, to NERC for funding her parliamentary fellowship, and to all contributors and reviewers. For further information on this subject, please contact the co-author, Dr Jonathan Wentworth. Parliamentary Copyright 2013. Image copyright Wildfowl and Wetland Trust.