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Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 1 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham EDRS 811 Midterm Examination Fall 2013 Brigham Answers are highlighted in yellow (explanations are in red italics) 1. A sample of employees of a large pharmaceutical company has been obtained. The length of time (in months) they have worked for the company was recorded for each employee. A stemplot of these data is shown below. In the stemplot 6|2 represents 62 months. 6 7 8 9 223345789 000234445678889 00112344457999 0001112358 What would be a better way to represent this data set? a. b. c. d. Display the data in a time plot. Display the data in a boxplot. Split the stems. (to show the data has ups and downs, not just one central peak) Use a histogram with class width equal to 10. Use the following to answer questions 2–4: In a statistics class with 136 students, the professor records how much money each student has in their possession during the first class of the semester. The histogram shown below represents the data he collected: 2. What is approximately the percentage of students with under $10.00 in their possession? a. 35% b. 40% c. 44% (61/136 = 0.449) d. 50% 3. Which of the following description(s) is/are correct regarding the shape of the histogram? (more than one appies) a. Skewed right b. Skewed left c. Symmetric d. An outlier is present. e. Unimodal f. Bimodal Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points 4. What a. b. c. d. Midterm Examination: 2 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham is approximately the number of students with $30.00 or more in their possession? Less than 5 About 10 About 30 More than 100 Use the following to answer questions 5–8: During the early part of the 1994 baseball season, many sports fans and baseball players noticed that the number of home runs being hit seemed to be unusually large. Below are separate stemplots for the number of home runs by American League and National League teams based on the team-by-team statistics on home runs hit through Friday, June 3, 1994 (from the Columbus Dispatch sports section, Sunday, June 5, 1994). American League 2 3 5 4 039 5 14788 6 488 7 57 National League 2 9 3 1 4 26788 5 3555 6 337 7 Legend: 2|9 represents 29. 5. What is the median for the number of home runs for the American League teams? a. 45 b. 50 c. 50.5 d. 57.5 6. Determine whether each of the following statements is true or false. a. The American League plot is reasonably symmetric. True b. The National League plot is bimodal. False (unimodal, mode = 55) c. The median number of home runs hit by National League teams for this time period was higher than the median for the American League teams. False (50.5 < 57.5) d. The lowest number of home runs hit by any team for this time period is 29. True 7. What is the mean for the number of home runs for the National League teams? a. 45 b. 50 c. 50.1 d. 57.5 8. What is the maximum number of home runs from a National League team? a. 7 b. 70 c. 67 d. 48 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 3 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 9. The ages (to the nearest year) of the 667 people participating in a large workshop are summarized as follows: Age Number of students 18 14 19 120 20 200 21 200 22 90 23 30 24 10 25 2 32 1 What is true about the median age? a. It could be any number between 19 and 20. b. It must be 20. c. It must be 21. d. It must be over 21. Use the following to answer questions 10–14: The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety publishes data on the total damage suffered by compact automobiles in a series of controlled, low-speed collisions. The cost for a sample of 9 cars, in hundreds of dollars, is provided below: 10 6 8 10 4 3.5 7.5 8 9 10. What is the median cost of the total damage suffered for this sample of cars? a. $400 b. $800 c. $730 d. $1000 11. What is the first quartile for the above data? a. $350 b. $600 c. $500 (median of values below the median, excluding median because odd # cars) d. $800 12. What is the interquartile range of the above data? a. $300 b. $400 c. $350 d. $450 (Q3-Q1 = 950-500 = 450) 13. What is the mean of the total damage suffered for this sample of cars? a. $239 b. $733 c. $800 d. $950 14. Using the correct units, what is the value of the variance? a. 224.85 dollars b. 238.48 dollars2 c. 50,555.54 dollars2 d. 56,875 dollars2 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 4 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham Use the following to answer questions 15 and 16: The Michigan Department of Transportation (M-DOT) is working on a major project: 80% of the highways in Michigan need to be repaved. To speed completion of this project, many contractors will be working for M-DOT. Contractors are currently bidding on the next part of the project. To help make a decision about which contractor to hire, M-DOT collects many variables besides just the estimated cost. One of those variables is the contractor’s estimate of the number of workdays required to finish the job. Twenty contractors have bid on the next job. The boxplot represents their estimates of the number of work days required: 15. What is (approximately) the interquartile range, based on the boxplot? a. 140 days b. 270 days (360-90=270) c. 360 days d. 760 days 16. Determine whether each of the following statements is true or false. a. The median number of days is approximately 180. False (median≈160) b. The minimum number of days is approximately 40. True c. The maximum number of days is approximately 750. False (max=900, outlier) d. Twenty-five percent of contractors estimated the number of days to be more than 100. False (about 75%) Use the following to answer questions 17 and 18: The asking prices (in thousands of dollars) for a sample of 13 houses currently on the market in Neighborville are listed below. For convenience, the data have been ordered. 175 199 205 234 259 275 299 304 317 17. What is the five-number summary? (in thousands of dollars) 175 219.5 299 345 350 355 384 549 549 18. Use the 1.5 IQR rule to determine if there are any outliers present. What is/are the value(s) of the outlier(s)? a. No outliers present 1.5*(350-219.5) = 195.75 b. One outlier: 175 219.5-195.75 = 23.75 (no values below) c. One outlier: 549 350+195.75 = 545.75 (one value above=549) d. Two outliers: 175 and 549 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 5 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham Density Use the following density curve to answer questions 19–22: 0.5 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 X 19. Determine whether each of the following statements regarding this density curve is true or false. a. It is symmetric. True b. The total area under the curve is 1. True c. The median is 1. True d. The mean is 1. True 20. For this density curve, what percent of the observations lie above 1.5? a. 25% b. 50% c. 75% d. 80% 21. For this density curve, what percent of the observations lie between 0.5 and 1.2? a. 25% b. 35% ((1.2-0.5)*0.5 = 0.35) c. 50% d. 70% 22. Using the standard Normal distribution tables, what is the area under the standard Normal curve corresponding to Z > –1.22? a. 0.1151 b. 0.1112 c. 0.8849 d. 0.8888 (1 – Z<-1.22 = 1 – 0.1112 = 0.8888) 23. Fill in the blank. When creating a scatterplot, one should use the axis for the explanatory variable. x (horizontal) Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 6 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham Use the following to answer questions 24and 25: A researcher measured the height (in feet) and volume of usable lumber (in cubic feet) of 32 cherry trees. The goal is to determine if the volume of usable lumber can be estimated from the height of a tree. The results are plotted below: 24. ___Volume______________ ________ is the response variable in this study. 80 70 60 Volume 25. Select all descriptions that apply to the scatterplot. a. There is a positive association between height and volume. b. There is a negative association between height and volume. c. There is an outlier in the plot. (Apparently) d. The plot is skewed to the left. 50 40 30 20 10 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Height 26. A college newspaper interviews a psychologist about a proposed system for rating the teaching ability of faculty members. The psychologist says, “The evidence indicates that the correlation between a faculty member’s research productivity and teaching rating is close to zero.” What would be a correct interpretation of this statement? a. Good researchers tend to be poor teachers and vice versa. b. Good teachers tend to be poor researchers and vice versa. c. Good researchers are just as likely to be good teachers as they are bad teachers. Likewise for poor researchers. d. Good research and good teaching go together. 27. A phenomenon is observed many, many times under identical conditions. The proportion of times a particular event A occurs is recorded. What does this proportion represent? a. The probability of the event A. b. The distribution of the event A. c. The correlation of the event A. d. The variance of the event A. Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 7 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 28. Suppose we roll a red die and a green die. Let R be the event that the number of spots showing on the red die is three or less, and G be the event that the number of spots showing on the green die is more than three. The events R and G are _________. a. disjoint b. complements c. independent d. reciprocals 29. Consider the following scatterplot of two variables x and y: a. 0.20 What can we conclude from this graph? 0.15 The correlation between x and y must be close to 1 because 0.10 there is nearly a perfect relationship between them. The correlation between x and 0.05 y must be close to –1 because there is nearly a perfect 0.00 relationship between them, 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 but it is not a straight-line X relation. The correlation between x and y is close to 0. (correlation measures linear relationship) The correlation between x and y could be any number between –1 and +1. Without knowing the actual values, we can say nothing more. Y b. 0.25 c. d. e. 30. An outlier is ______. a. a point in a scatterplot that follows the same pattern as the other points b. a point in a scatterplot that does not follow the same pattern as the other points c. Both of the above. d. Neither A nor B. 1.00 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 8 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 31. Match the four graphs labeled A, B, C, and D, with the following four possible values of the correlation coefficient: –0.9, –0.7, 0.4, 0.95. Assume all four graphs are made on the same scale. A) –0.7 B) 0.95 C) 0.4 D) –0.9 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 9 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham Use the following to answer questions 32–34: If you draw an M&M candy at random from a bag of the candies, the candy you draw will have one of six colors. The probability of drawing each color depends on the proportion of each color among all candies made. Assume the table below gives the probabilities for the color of a randomly chosen M&M: Color Probability Brown 0.3 Red 0.3 Yellow ? Green 0.1 Orange 0.1 Blue 0.1 32. What is the probability of drawing a yellow candy? a. 0.1 (1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1-0.1 = 0.1) b. 0.2 c. 0.3 d. Impossible to determine from the information given. 33. What is the probability of not drawing a red candy? a. 0.3 b. 0.6 c. 0.7 (1-0.3 = 0.7) d. 0.9 34. What is the probability that you draw neither a brown nor a green candy? a. 0.3 b. 0.6 (1-(0.3+0.1) = 1-0.4 = 0.6) c. 0.7 d. 0.9 Use the following situation to answer questions 35–36: A study was conducted in a large population of adults concerning eyeglasses for correcting reading vision. Based on an examination by a qualified professional, the individuals were judged as to whether or not they needed to wear glasses for reading. In addition it was determined whether or not they were currently using glasses for reading. The following table provides the proportions found in the study: Used glasses for reading Yes No Judged to need Yes 0.42 0.18 glasses No 0.04 0.36 35. What is the probability that the selected adult is judged to need eyeglasses but does not use them for reading? a. 0.42 b. 0.18 c. 0.54 d. 0.60 e. 0.36 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 10 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 36. Suppose two adults are selected from the population independently and at random. What is the probability that both were judged to need eyeglasses and neither was using them for reading? a. 0.36 b. 0.1296 c. 0.0324 (0.18*0.18 = 0.0324) d. 0.9216 e. 0.18 37. Suppose that A and B are two independent events. The probability that event A occurs is 0.4 (i.e., P(A) = 0.4), and that B occurs is P(B) = 0.2. What is the probability that A does not occur and B also does not occur? a. 0.92 b. 0.40 c. 0.60 d. 0.08 e. 0.48 ((1-0.4)*(1-0.2) = 0.6*0.8 = 0.48) Use the following to answer questions 38–40. The probability distribution of random variable, X, is defined as follows: X Probability 0 0 1 .3 2 .1 3 .3 4 .3 38. The table above describes a random variable that is ______. a. discrete b. continuous c. both discrete and continuous d. None of the above. 39. The expected value of the probability distribution is __2.6_______. (0*0+1*.3+2*.1+3*.3+4*.3 = 2.6) 40. The P(X = 3) = ___0.3_____________________ Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 11 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham Use the following to answer questions 41–44: Suppose that a college determines the following distribution for X = number of courses taken by a full-time student this semester: Value of X Probability 3 0.07 4 ? 5 0.25 6 0.28 41. The probability for X = 4 is missing. What is it? a. 0.07 b. 0.40 (1-0.07-0.25-0.28 = 0.40) c. 0.25 d. 0.50 42. What is the average number of courses full-time students at this college take this semester? a. 4 classes b. 4.74 classes (3*.07+4*.4+5*.25+6*.28 = 4.74) c. 4.26 classes d. 5 classes 43. What is the standard deviation of the number of courses full-time students at this college take this semester? a. 0.89 classes b. 0.94 classes sqrt(.07*(3-4.74)^2+.4*(4-4.74)^2+.25*(5-4.74)^2+.28*(6-4.74)^2) c. 1 class d. 23.36 classes 44. What is P(X > 4.74)? a. 0.25 b. 0.28 c. 0.53 (P(X=5 or 6) = 0.25+0.28 = 0.53) d. Impossible to calculate, because X cannot be 4.74 Use the following to answer questions 45–48: Suppose that A and B are two independent events with P(A) = 0.3 and P(B) = 0.3. 45. What is P(A and B)? a. 0.09 (0.3*0.3 = 0.09) b. 0.52 c. 0.51 d. 0.60 46. What is P(A or B)? a. 0.09 b. 0.52 c. 0.51 (0.3+0.3-0.09 = 0.51) d. 0.60 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 12 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 47. What is P(A and B c )? a. 0.09 b. 0.49 c. 0.21 (0.3*(1-0.3) = 0.3*0.7 = 0.21) d. 0.60 48. What is P(A c or B c )? a. 0.40 b. 0.91 ((1-0.3)+(1-0.3)-(1-0.3)*(1-0.3) = 0.7+0.7-(0.7*0.7) = 1.4-0.49 = 0.91) c. 0.49 d. 1.40 Use the following to answer questions 49-50: The scores of individual students on the American College Testing (ACT) Program Composite College Entrance Examination have a Normal distribution with mean 18.6 and standard deviation 6.0. At Northside High, 36 seniors take the test. Assume the scores at this school have the same distribution as national scores. 49. What is the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean score for a random sample of 36 students? a. 1.0 b. 6.0 c. 3.1 d. 18.6 50. What is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean score for a random sample of 36 students? a. 1.0 (6.0/sqrt(36) = 6.0/6 = 1.0) b. 6.0 c. 3.1 d. 18.6 Use the following to answer questions 51 and 52: Let X represent the SAT score of an entering freshman at University X. The random variable X is known to have a N(1200, 90) distribution. Let Y represent the SAT score of an entering freshman at University Y. The random variable Y is known to have a N(1215, 110) distribution. A random sample of 100 freshmen is obtained from each university. Let X = the sample mean of the 100 scores from University X, and Y = the sample mean of the 100 scores from University Y. 51. What is the probability that X will be less than 1190? a. 0.0116 b. 0.4090 c. 0.1335 N(1200,90/sqrt(100))=N(1200,9); Z=(1190-1200)/9=-1.11; 0.1335 from Table A d. 0.4562 Cheryl O’Connor Grade on hardcopy: 30/30 points Midterm Examination: 13 EDRS 811 Fall 13: Brigham 52. What is the probability that Y will be less than 1190? a. 0.0116 N(1215,110/sqrt(100))=N(1215,11); Z=(1190-1215)/11=-1.11; 0.1335 from Table A b. 0.4090 c. 0.1335 d. 0.4562 53. As you increase the margin error of a confidence interval, _________. (Note: Assume the sample size is fixed.) a. the confidence level increases. b. the confidence level decreases. c. the confidence level remains the same. Use the following to answer question 54 The scores on the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children (WISC) are thought to be Normally distributed with a standard deviation of = 10. A simple random sample of 25 children is taken, and each is given the WISC. The mean of the 25 scores is x = 104.32. 54. Based on these data, what is a 95% confidence interval for ? a. 104.32 ± 0.78 b. 104.32 ± 3.29 c. 104.32 ± 3.92 ( ) d. 104.32 ± 19.60