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Chapter 17 INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Chapter in a Nutshell 1. The balance of payments is a record of a country’s international trading, borrowing, and lending. In the balance of payments, inflows of funds from foreigners to the United States are noted as receipts; outflows of funds from the United States to foreigners are noted as payments. 2. The balance of payments has two components, the current account and the capital account. The current account includes the dollar value of transactions in currently produced goods and services, investment income, and unilateral transfers. If the monetary inflows on these accounts are greater (less) than monetary outflows, the current account balance is a surplus (deficit). The second component of the balance of payments is the capital account which includes international purchases or sales of assets such as real estate, corporate stocks and bonds, and government securities. The capital account balance is a surplus (deficit) if domestic residents sell more (fewer) assets to foreigners than they purchase from foreigners. Because the current account balance and capital account balance always equal each other, any current account deficit (surplus) must be balanced by a capital account surplus (deficit). 3. In recent years, the United States has realized a deficit in its current account. Thus, foreigners lend or give us the funds to make up the difference between our imports and our exports. It would not be an overstatement to say that we borrow so much from foreigners to finance our current account deficits that we sell them pieces of America. Those pieces consist primarily of real estate and corporate stock. However, foreigners also lend us billions of dollars each year in the form of purchases of government and corporate securities and other debt instruments. 4. The buying and selling of currencies generally takes place in the foreign exchange market. This market does not involve sending large loads of currency from one country to another. Typically it involves electronic balances. Dollar-denominated balances in computers in the United States or other countries are traded for computer-housed balances around the world that are denominated in yen, pounds, francs, and the like. In short, when currency is traded, paper and metal are not the usual media of exchanges. 5. Most daily newspapers publish foreign exchange rates for major currencies. The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. Currency depreciation (appreciation) means that it takes more (fewer) units of a nation’s currency to purchase a unit of some foreign currency. Among the major factors that determine the equilibrium exchange rate in a free market are consumer tastes, relative incomes, relative prices, relative interest rates, and expectations of future exchange rates. 6. Although exchange rates are determined by supply and demand, governments can affect exchange rates in various ways. The extent and nature of government participation in foreign exchange markets defines the various systems of exchange rates. These systems include floating exchange rates, managed floating exchange rates, and fixed exchange rates. 169 170 Chapter 17: International Finance 7. As part of its strategy for forming a regional economic bloc, the European Union has pursued monetary integration. For participating nations, monetary integration implies a common currency, a single exchange rate, a single monetary policy, and a single central bank to oversee the monetary policy. Chapter Objectives After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Explain what a current account deficit or surplus means. 2. Identify recent trends in the U.S. balance of payments. 3. Discuss the nature and operation of the foreign exchange market. 4. Understand the foreign exchange quotations as presented in major newspapers. 5. Identify the factors that determine the dollar’s exchange rate. 6. Discuss the features of the major exchange rate systems of the world. Knowledge Check Chapter 17: International Finance Key Concept Quiz 1. current account 2. balance of trade 3. unilateral transfers 4. capital account balance 5. statistical discrepancy 6. exchange rates 171 _____ a. the amount of capital inflows minus capital outflows _____ b. the most widely reported component of the current account _____ c. is reported in the capital account _____ d. includes gifts for which nothing is given in exchange _____ e. the price of one currency in terms of another 8. appreciation _____ f. includes the dollar value of a country’s transactions in currently produced goods and services, investment income, and unilateral transfers 9. equilibrium exchange rates _____ g. when it takes more units of one nation’s currency to purchase a unit of a foreign currency 10. floating exchange rate system _____ h. when it takes fewer units of a nation’s currency to purchase a unit of some foreign currency 11. managed floating exchange rates _____ i. when governments and central banks do not participate in the foreign exchange market 12. key currency _____ j. one that is widely traded on the world money markets and is relatively stable 7. depreciation _____ k. is determined by the market forces of supply and demand _____ l. attempt to combine market determined exchange rates with central bank intervention Multiple Choice Questions 1. The current account balance is the sum of all of the following except a. b. c. d. trade balance foreign exchange balance services balance net unilateral transfers 2. When for all merchandise exports exceed imports, a. b. c. d. the trade balance is in surplus the current account is in surplus the capital account is in surplus the balance of payments is in surplus 3. When an Italian sends a gift of $10,000 to his German Internet café friend, the gift is a. considered to be an unilateral transfer b. not included in the capital account 172 Chapter 17: International Finance c. included in the current account d. all of the above 4. The capital account balance a. b. c. d. refers to positive capital inflows equals capital inflows minus capital outflows implies that capital outflows equal capital inflows imply that the current account is negative 5. A current account deficit implies a. b. c. d. a capital account surplus a capital account deficit that capital inflows are less than capital outflows a foreign currency shortage 6. The buying and selling of currencies takes place a. b. c. d. in the foreign exchange market only with the approval of the Federal Reserve Bank only with the approval of the U.S. Treasury Department in the stock market 7. The exchange rate is a. b. c. d. the price of one currency in terms of another determined in the United States by the Federal Reserve Bank fixed by the U.S. Treasury Department determined at the New York Stock Exchange a the beginning of the trading day 8. When the dollar price of pounds increases a. b. c. d. the dollar depreciates relative to the pound the pound appreciates relative to the dollar it takes more dollars to buy a pound all of the above 9. When the dollar is stronger a. b. c. d. the prices of foreign goods and services decrease for U.S. consumers U.S, exporters benefit U.S. current account surpluses increase all of the above 10. All of the following are direct determinants of the exchange rates except a. b. c. d. relative incomes relative prices relative interest rates U.S. budget deficits and surpluses 11. To offset a depreciation of the dollar against the yen, the Federal Reserve would a. use its holdings of yen to buy dollars on the foreign exchange market Chapter 17: International Finance 173 b. use its holding of dollars to buy yen on the foreign exchange market c. adopt an expansionary monetary policy that decreases interest rates d. adopt a contractionary monetary policy that decreases interest rates 12. Which of the following is not true for the International Monetary Fund? a. b. c. d. it attempts to promote trade and development in the international economy it makes loans to member nations that have weak economies and large debts it monitors the economies of weak member nations it primarily loans money to member nations to finance the building of roads, dams, and bridges 13. If the U.S. dollar depreciates on the foreign exchange market a. b. c. d. U.S. exporters find it more difficult to sell goods in foreign markets U.S. consumers realize lower prices on foreign goods U.S. capital markets become less attractive to foreign investors higher prices on foreign goods contribute to inflation in the United States 14. If the U.S. dollar appreciates on the foreign exchange market a. b. c. d. U.S. consumers see lower prices on foreign goods U.S. investors must pay higher prices for foreign stocks and bonds U.S. residents pay more when they travel to foreign countries higher prices on foreign goods intensify the rate of inflation in the United States 15. With floating exchange rates, if economic growth in Canada exceeds economic growth in Mexico, the a. b. c. e. dollar will appreciate against the peso dollar will depreciate against the peso peso will depreciate against the dollar dollar will hold steady against the peso 16. Transactions on the U.S. balance of payments would include all of the following except a. b. c. d. Sears importing shirts and trousers from Hong Kong Holiday Inn supplying rooms to German tourists visiting Chicago Ayako Ozawa, a student at Stanford, receiving gifts from her family in Seattle George Thomas, who lives in Hartford, purchasing radios from Sony of Japan 17. If the broadest context, the United States becomes a net demander of funds from the rest of the world when it realizes a a. b. c. d. deficit in its current account balance surplus in its current account balance deficit in its merchandise trade balance surplus in its merchandise trade balance 18. Concerning the balance of payments, in the past two deceased the United States has persistently realized deficits in all of the following except its a. merchandise trade balance 174 Chapter 17: International Finance b. services balance c. unilateral transfers balance d. current account balance 19. For a country’s balance of payments, the ____provides the broadest measure of a country’s international payments position a. b. c. d. goods and services balance merchandise trade balance unilateral transfers balance current account balance 20. Concerning the United States, suppose that its current account has a deficit of $20 trillion, its merchandise trade account has a deficit of $15 trillion, its income flow account has a surplus of $5 trillion, and its unilateral transfers account has a deficit of $10 trillion. The services account of the United States a. b. c. d. has a deficit of $5 trillion has a deficit of $10 trillion has a surplus of $5 trillion is in balance 21. Suppose the exchange rate between the currencies of the United States and Great Britain is $2 per pound. A shirt that cost $20 in the United States would cost ______in Great Britain. a. b. c. d. 5 pounds 10 pounds 25 pounds 40 pounds True-False Questions 1. T F Monetary integration for the European union members implies that a single central bank will oversee a single monetary policy. 2. T F Foreign currencies are typically traded on the trading floors of the foreign currency exchanges. 3. T F Currency appreciation implies that it takes more units of a nation’s currency to purchase a unit of some foreign currency. 4. T F Because exchange rates are determined by supply and demand, governments have very little control over them. 5. T F In recent years, the United States has experienced a deficit in its current account. 6. T F When the current account is in deficit, the capital account must be in surplus. 7. T F The capital account balance is in surplus when domestic residents sell fewer assets to foreigners than they purchase from foreigners. 8. T F When U.S. imports exceed U.S. exports, capital flows into the U.S. Chapter 17: International Finance 175 9. T F Foreigners lend us billions of dollars in the form of purchases of governmental corporate securities. 10. T F The balance of payments refers to a surplus in the current account. 11. T F The current account only includes the value of transactions in currently produced goods and services. 12. T F Investment income is always included in the capital account. 13. T F The balance of trade excludes trade in services. 14. T F Unilateral transfers refer to private transfers and gifts only. 15. T F A strong dollar benefits all U.S businesses. 16. T F Changes in consumer tastes can affect the equilibrium exchange rate. 17. T F When Japanese incomes increase, the U.S. dollar tends to appreciate relative to the Japanese yen. 18. T F If the Federal Reserve Bank increases interest rates, the dollar tends to appreciate. 19. T F Central banks never intervene directly in foreign currency markets to manage exchange rates. 20. T F Fixed exchange rates are used primarily by large developed nations with stable currencies. 21. T F Concerning the United States and Argentina, if it takes $0.32 to purchase one peso then it takes about 3.12 pesos to purchase $1. 22. T F A depreciation of the dollar against the euro will make Ford autos less competitive on European markets. 23. T F A weak euro makes it less expensive for American tourists who visit Europe. 24. T F A rise in labor productivity in the United States tends to cause the dollar to appreciate on the foreign exchange market. 25. T F The euro is the common currency for members of the European Monetary Union. 26. T F Dollarization of the Mexican economy would occur if the U.S. dollar replaced the peso as the official medium of exchange. 27. T F 28. T F Long-run determinants of exchange rates include relative prices, relative productivity levels, and relative interest rates. Economists widely agree that the U.S. current-account deficit has caused sizable job losses for Americans in general. 29. T F If the U.S. current account shows a deficit, the United States becomes a net supplier of funds to the rest of the world. 176 30. Chapter 17: International Finance T F Economists widely agree that the United States can run current-account deficits without limit because the dollar is universally accepted as a means of international payment. Application Questions 1. The following data represents Vegaland’s international transactions measured in vegas: Merchandise exports Change in foreign assets in Vegaland 150 120 Exports of services 70 Income receipts on investment 50 Merchandise imports 100 Change in assets abroad (rest of the world) 80 Import of services 50 Income payments on investment Unilateral transfers 100 60 a. What is Vegaland’s balance of trade? b. What is its balance on the current account? c. What is its balance on the capital and financial account? 2. Consider the following data on demand and supply of U.S. dollars: Quantity Demanded (Billions of Dollars per Day) Quantity Supplied (Billions of Dollars per Day) 130 0.6 1.0 120 0.7 0.9 110 0.8 0.8 100 0.9 0.7 Exchange Rate (Lira per Dollar) Chapter 17: International Finance 90 1.0 177 0.6 a. Graph the supply and demand curves. b. What is the equilibrium exchange rate? c. If U.S. importers decide to buy $200 million more of Italian products, what changes occur in the foreign exchange market? Illustrate your answer. Does the U.S. dollar depreciate or appreciate? What is the exchange rate? d. Now suppose that the Italian importers decide to reduce their purchase of U.S. products by $200 million. What changes occur in this foreign exchange market? Is the Italian lira appreciating or depreciating relative to the U.S. dollar? Answers to Knowledge Check Questions Key Concept Answers 1. f 4. a 2. b 5 c 3. d 6. e 7. g 8. h 9. k 10. 11. 12. Multiple Choice Answers 1. b 6. a 2. a 7. a 3. d 8. d 4. b 9. a 5. b 10. d 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. a d d a b 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. c a b d c 21. b True-False Answers 1. T 6. T 2. F 7. F 3. F 8. T 4. F 9. T 5. T 10. F 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. F F T F F 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. T T T F F 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. i l j T F T T T 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. T F F F F 178 Chapter 17: International Finance Application Question Answers 1. a. Vegaland’s balance of trade is Merchandise exports Less merchandise imports Balance of trade 150 (100) 50 Chapter 17: International Finance b. 179 Vegaland’s current account is Merchandise exports Exports of services Income from investments Less merchandise exports Less import of services Less income payments on investments Less unilateral transfers 150 70 50 (100) (50) (100) (60) Current account balance (40) Vegaland’s capital and financial account is c. Changes in foreign assets in Vegaland Less Changes in Vegaland’s assets in foreign countries Current account balance 120 80 40 Foreign Exchange Market for U.S. Dollars Exchange Rate (lira/$) 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 S S' D 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Quantity of Dollars per Day (Billions) 2. a. b. The equilibrium exchange rate is 110 lira per dollar. When the U.S. importers buy $200 million more of Italian products, the quantity of U.S. dollars supplied increases by $200 million. So, the supply curve of U.S. dollars shifts to the right by $200 million. The U.S. dollar depreciates. The new exchange rate is 100 lire per year. c. The decrease in demand for U.S. imports decreases the demand for U.S. dollars by $200 million. The Italian lira appreciates because the U.S. dollar depreciates.