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Cross-Sector Perspectives: Global Health CPTR Workshop October 2-4, 2012 Christian Lienhardt Stop TB Department Overview of the presentation • Background – Global TB burden • Challenges in introducing new TB drugs/regimens • Developing Guidance to countries • A pluri-partners model Overview of the presentation • Background – Global TB burden • Challenges in introducing new TB drugs/regimens • Developing Guidance to countries • A pluri-partners model The Global Burden of TB -2010 Estimated TB incidence rates, by country, 2010 TB cases per 100 000 0–24 Estimated number of cases 25–49 50–99 100–299 >=300 No estimate All forms of TB HIV-associated TB Multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) 8.8 million (range: 8.5–9.2 million) 1.1 million (13%) (range: 1.0–1.2 million) 440,000 (range: 390,000–510,000) Estimated number of deaths 1.4 million (range: 1.2–1.6 million) 350,000 (range: 320,000–390,000) about 150,000 Estimated TB incidence rates, by country, 2010 TB Incidence Rates - 2010 Americas 5% Europe 5% Eastern Mediterranean 7% South-East Asia 40% TB cases per 100 000 Africa 26% 0–24 25–49 50–99 100–299 >=300 No estimate Western Pacific 19% •Highest burden in Asia (59% of 8.8 million cases) •Highest rates in Africa, due to high HIV infection rate ~80% of HIV+ TB cases in Africa Impact of HIV on TB in Africa •80% of all TB/HIV cases world-wide are in Africa •50% of all TB/HIV cases world-wide in 9 African countries •23% of the estimated 2 million HIV deaths due to TB Notified cases per 100,000 pop. 1980-2008 AFR South Africa 700 SEA India Nigeria 600 Zimbabwe Uganda Kenya Mozambique 500 Ethiopia WPR Zambia 400 AMR United Republic of Tanzania Malawi 300 Côte d'Ivoire Botswana Côte d'Ivoire DR Congo Gabon Guinea Kenya Malawi Mozambique South Africa UR Tanzania Zimbabwe EUR Myanmar 200 China Democratic Republic of the Congo Brazil Thailand 100 Cameroon EMR 1% 5% 10% 20% Percentage of global estimated HIV-positive TB cases 50% 90% 0 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 % MDR-TB among new TB cases, 1994-2009 0-<3 3-<6 6-<12 12-<18 >=18 No data available Subnational data only Australia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Fiji, Guam, New Caledonia, Solomon Islands and Qatar reported data on combined new and previously treated cases. The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement. WHO 2010. All rights reserved Notified cases of MDR-TB Estimated absolute numbers of reported cases with MDR-TB* Notified cases of MDR-TB Cases of MDR-TB <100 0–99 100–999 100–999 1000–9999 1000–9999 ≥10 000 >10,000 *among reported pulmonary TB patients NA 13 top settings with highest % of MDR-TB among new cases, 2001-2010 Preliminary results Minsk, Belarus (2010) 35.3 28.3 Murmansk Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) 27.3 Pskov Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) 23.8 Arkhangelsk Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) 22.3 Baku city, Azerbaijan (2007) 20.0 Ivanovo Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) Republic of Moldova (2006) 19.4 Kaliningrad Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) 19.3 Belgorod Oblast, Russian Federation (2008) 19.2 Dushanbe city and Rudaki district, Tajikistan (2009) 16.5 Mary El Republic, Russian Federation (2008) 16.1 Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine (2006) 16.0 Estonia (2008) 15.4 Tashkent, Uzbekistan (2005) 14.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Countries that had reported at least one XDR-TB case by late 2011 Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgium Botswana Brazil Burkina Faso Bhutan Cambodia Canada Chile China Colombia Czech Republic Ecuador Egypt Estonia France Georgia Germany Greece India Indonesia Iran (Islamic Rep. of) Ireland Israel Italy Japan Kazakhstan Kenya Kyrgyzstan Latvia Lesotho Lithuania Mexico Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nepal Netherlands Norway Pakistan Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Qatar Republic of Korea Republic of Moldova Romania Russian Federation Slovenia South Africa Spain Swaziland Sweden Tajikistan Thailand Togo Tunisia Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States of America Uzbekistan Viet Nam The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement. WHO 2011. All rights reserved The Global TB Control Targets 2015: Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Target 6c: to have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence… *Indicator 6.9: incidence, prevalence and mortality associated with TB *Indicator 6.10: proportion of TB cases detected and cured under DOTS 2015: 50% reduction in TB prevalence and deaths by 2015 2050: elimination (<1 case per million population) Rate per 100,000 population Incidence, prevalence and mortality rates: global estimates Incidence Prevalence Mortality 150 100 250 25 200 20 150 15 100 10 Peak in 2002 50 Target Target 50 5 Falling 1.4% per year 0 40% decline since 1990 0 1990 2010 0 1990 2015 1990 2015 Global notifications (black) in context of estimated incidence (green) 8.8 TB cases (millions) 7.6 Detection gap: 1/3 5.8 3.7 Estimated Global Case Detection 65% (63–68%) Treatment success 87% globally …but Europe lagging behind 87 88 86 WHO Regions, new sm+ 95 W. Pacific 93 90 SE Asia 89 86 85 86 84 83 84 82 EMR 88 85 Africa 81 80 80 20 09 20 08 20 07 65 20 06 76 20 05 Europe 67 20 04 70 20 03 78 20 09 Americas 76 20 06 20 07 20 08 75 20 04 20 05 80 20 03 Treatment success rate (%) Global, new sm+ Notifications of MDR-TB increasing BUT only ~ 1 in 5 (19%) of estimated cases of MDR-TB among reported TB patients diagnosed and treated in 2011 MDR-TB cases treated and estimated numbers not treated for MDR-TB, among notified TB patients, 2010 Notified cases of MDR-TB 60 290,000 300 50 53,000 250 Not on treatment Treated 40 200 30 150 20 100 2008 2009 2010 or ld 2007 W 2006 Am R er ic as 2005 EM 0 Af r 0 A si W .P a ac ifi c Eu ro pe 50 ic a 19,000 10 SE Number of patients (thousands) Global Plan target ~270,000 in 2015 Time trends in TB and MDR-TB: reverting, controlling, and alarming… ____ TB ____ MDR-TB 100 ____ TB -6.7% per year ____ MDR-TB 100 2.4% per year 10 10 -2.4% per year -5.1% per year 1 1998 1 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 1999 2001 2003 2007 2009 Tomsk Oblast, Russia Estonia ____ TB ____ MDR-TB 1000 0.3% per year 100 10 Botswana 2005 19.4% per year 1 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Overview of the presentation • Background – Global TB burden • Challenges in introducing new TB drugs/regimens • Developing Guidance to countries • A pluri-partners model Current TB Therapy and Unmet Needs Patient Population Current Therapy Unmet Needs Drug-Susceptible DS-TB 4 drugs; 6 month therapy (2RHZE + 4RH) Shorter, simpler therapy Drug-Resistant M(X)DR-TB At least 4 drugs (including injectable); ≥18 months; poorly tolerated Fully oral, shorter and safer therapy TB/HIV co-Infection Drug-drug interactions (DDI) with ARVs No or low DDI, coadministration with ARVs Latent TB Infection 6-9 months H Shorter, safer therapy * Rifampin (R), Isoniazid (H), Pyrazinamide (Z), Ethambutol (E) ► For all indications and treatment, issues in delivery and access ► Need shorter and simpler therapies against both DS and DR-TB Adapted from TB Alliance Global TB Drug Pipeline 2012 Discovery1 Lead Optimization Nitroimidazoles Mycobacterial Gyrase Inhibitors Riminophenazines Diarylquinoline Translocase-1 Inhibitor MGyrX1 inhibitor InhA Inhibitor GyrB inhibitor LeuRS Inhibitor Pyrazinamide Analogs Spectinamides Preclinical Development Preclinical Development CPZEN-45 SQ641 SQ609 DC-159a Q201 Clinical Development GLP Tox. BTZ043 Phase I AZD5847 Phase II Bedaquiline (TMC207) PA-824 Linezolid SQ-109 Rifapentine Novel Regimens2 PNU-100480 Phase III Gatifloxacin Moxifloxacin Rifapentine Delamanid (OPC67683) Chemical classes: fluoroquinolone, rifamycin, oxazolidinone, nitroimidazole, diarylquinoline, benzothiazinone 1 Ongoing projects without a lead compound series can be viewed at http://www.newtbdrugs.org/pipeline-discovery.php 2 Combination regimens: first clinical trial (NC001) of a novel TB drug regimen testing the three drug combination of PA-824, moxifloxacin, and pyrazinamide completed August 2011. www.newtbdrugs.org Public health challenges of introduction of new TB drugs in countries • Novel drugs and shortened treatment regimens with new and/or re-purposed drugs are proceeding along the clinical development pathway; • New drugs submitted for regulatory approval for treatment of drug-resistant MDR-TB; • Implications for TB control programmes: – determine optimal regimens for use of newly developed and/or repurposed drugs for treatment of DS- and DR-TB under programmatic conditions; – evaluate requirements for patients’ eligibility; – assess programmatic feasibility; – evaluate cost-effectiveness of newly-developed treatments; – ensure proper surveillance and pharmacovigilance; – ensure responsible use (appropriate indication, doses, drug combination(s), and treatment duration) – prevent off-label use and amplification of resistance; Overview of the presentation • Background – Global TB burden • Challenges in introducing new TB drugs/regimens • Developing guidance to countries • A pluri-partners model STAG-TB recommendations for guidance on new drugs for TB (Sept 2010) STAG-TB recommends that: - WHO issues clear policies to guide countries on the introduction of new regimens for treatment of DS and DR-TB […] upon availability of evidence in support of use of such regimens; - WHO issues specific requirements on what evidence and information would be needed to develop policy recommendations related to new drugs/regimens for treatment of DS and DR-TB; - WHO promotes collaboration and action by partners [...], so that appropriate drug regimens are utilized by programmes for the treatment of DS- and DR-TB, inclusive of the new drugs, and avoid irrational use of new tools; - WHO organizes expert consultation(s) to review the evidence for use of new drugs and regimens to inform timely development of treatment policy guidance to national health authorities. Task Force for new TB drug policy development Objectives: • To advise and assist WHO Stop TB in the development and monitoring of a strategic plan to prepare WHO policy guidance for the rational introduction of new TB drugs/regimens in countries; • To advise and assist in the development of a policy development framework for the introduction of new drugs/regimens for the treatment of TB in countries; • To assist and facilitate the implementation and evaluation of activities listed in the strategic plan Established April 2012; 12 members + 2 observers The Strategy Plan - Principles • Introduction of new anti-TB drugs in practice is a multistage process; • Development of appropriate combination(s) of drugs needs efficient coordination and sharing of data between key partners; • Introduction of new TB drugs should be adaptable to countries settings according to country's own health infrastructure and preparedness; • Need for rapid approval of new TB drugs by regulatory authorities in high-TB burden countries so as to favor due access; • Equitable access to new drugs to all patients in needs worldwide is essential and should be linked with measures to prevent misuse of the drugs; • WHO has a key role to play for the development of policy recommendations for rational introduction and use of new drugs/regimens in programmatic settings, ensuring proper, equitable and cost-effective access to treatment. The Strategy Plan – Contents (1) I. Determination of the type of evidence and data that would be required by WHO to recommend the use of new drug(s)/ regimen(s) for the treatment of DS and/or MDR-TB • Review of current drug/regimen development landscape • Review of requirements for licensure by stringent regulatory authorities • Determination of data according to indications (DS or DR-TB) and populations (children, PLHIV) • Priority categories (fundamental -> nice to have) The Strategy Plan – Contents (2) II. Production of information notes: • aimed at facilitating the production of policy recommendations for the treatment of TB (all forms), according to progress made in the development of new drugs/combinations of drugs • Information notes: – to countries – to drug/regimen developers – to regulators – on compassionate use The Strategy Plan – Contents (3) III. Development of a "Policy Development Framework” for the introduction of new TB drugs/regimens in countries. • Describes the process for development of policies for treatment of TB including the new drugs/regimens. • Will be used to guide development of policy recommendations for specific drugs/regimens as data become available – based on progress of new drugs/drug combinations along clinical development pathway (e.g. PK and drug-drug interaction studies, Phase II trials, Phase III pivotal trials), – approval by stringent regulatory authorities (FDA, EMA, …). • Will be used by the expert committees that will be convened by WHO to update/revise policy recommendations as needed. The Strategy Plan – Contents (4) IV. Plan for expert consultations on revision of treatment guidelines (depending upon drug pipeline development) • • • • • • Timing of meetings (through 2012-2014) Drugs/regimens to be assessed Preparation of key data Experts selection & planning Discuss with GRC - Rapid advice approach ? Include time for STAG submission/endorsement and finalization of policies The Strategy Plan – Contents (5) V. Market introduction • map-out the detailed expertise needed (drug market introduction, pricing, funding, public vs. private issues) and identify appropriate stakeholders (incl. GF; UNITAID; GDF; CHAI, etc) • Evaluate market shortcomings and commodity access issues • Identify potential obstacles related to introduction and work with stakeholders (countries, drug developers, economists, market specialists, NGOs, donors…) to optimize market introduction. The Strategy Plan – Contents (6) VI. Introduction in countries • Country preparedness – Background epidemiological data ("know your epidemics") – Health infrastructure – NTP structure • Country support to enable access to new drugs – Strengthened capacity for diagnosis, drug resistance surveillance, pharmacovigilance – Standardized definitions of outcomes (harmonize data collection after drug introduction) – Drug supply and management – Discuss check/control mechanisms (accreditation) – Develop "Demonstration sites" for initial deployment of new drugs with harmonised methods and surveillance Overview of the presentation • Background – Global TB burden • Challenges in introducing new TB drugs/regimens • Developing Guidance to countries • A pluri-partners model Key messages • Ensure equitable access to new drugs to all patients in needs worldwide and avoid acquisition of new resistances • Identify suitable drug combination(s) for treatment of DS and DRTB early • Need to work on country preparedness and clarify conditions for controlled/accredited access to new drugs • Encourage collaboration between drug developers, regulators, and programme managers • Find the suitable balance for easy access to new therapies and guarantee patients protection with use of drugs that remain efficient and safe worldwide A pluri-partners model • Dialogue needed with drug/regimen developers, sponsors, regulators, National TB Programme Managers. • Information Notes: – Drafts circulated to partners/stakeholders for comments and feed-back to ensure buy-in – To be finalised and disseminated in Oct-Dec 2012 • Meetings with stakeholders: – Task Force – Satellite meeting at International Conference of Drug Regulatory Authorities (ICDRA), Tallinn (22 Oct 2012) – Meeting at International Conference on Lung Health, Kuala Lumpur (Nov 2012) A role for CPTR • As unique forum grouping representatives from key drug development initiatives, CPTR has a critical role to play in the dialogue with key stakeholders. • Contribute/promote interactions – e.g. through - Global Regulatory Pathway Working Group - Working Group on Access and Appropriate Use • Contribute to works of the Task Force for New Drug Policy Development – technical resource • Later stages ? Acknowledgements • Task Force members • WHO staff, particularly Samvel Azatyan, Dennis Falzon, Christopher Fitzpatrick, Malgosia Grzemska, Ernesto Jaramillo, Shanthi Pal, Andrea Pantoja, Charles Penn, Lembit Rägo, Mario Raviglione, Diana Weil & Karin Weyer • BMGF; USAID; DfID Thank you for your attention !