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[Note] Globalization of Japanese Companies in East Asia WASHIO Kiyoshi Contents Introduction 1. Characteristics of globalization in the Japanese economy after the late 1980s (1) Transitions to the floating exchange rate system and the appreciation of the yen (2) Increasing shift to the East Asia in terms of trade and advance of Japan’s industrial structure 2. Characteristics of overseas production development (1) Establishment of an export-import network (2) Development of vertical intra-industry trade in Asia 3. Advancement of Triangular Trade (1) International competitiveness chart (2) Triangular trade structure 4. Japan’s direct investment trends in East Asia and evaluation of the investment environments (1) Direct investment trends of Japanese companies in East Asia (2) Evaluation of the investment environments 5. Promotion of Economic Partnership, including FTA (1) Initiative of Economic Partnership (2) Effect of Economic Partnership Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Abstract This paper aims to explain the characteristics of globalization in Japanese economy led by the expansion of overseas production after the 1990s and overseas activities of Japanese companies. First, Characteristics of globalization in the Japanese economy after the late 1980s are explained. The continuity of the yen appreciation affected greatly Japanese trade structure and foreign direct investment of corporate activities. Second, I point out that vertical intra-industry trade structure has been built in the East Asian region. This vertical intraindustry trade was made possible by the building of international corporate activity networks. Third, I describe the development of “Triangular Trade Structure” with separate locations for production, assembly, and final consumption. Forth, I look at Japanese direct investment trends in East Asia. Japan’s direct investment towards East Asia accelerated its speed since the 1985 Plaza Accord. But some countries and regions in East Asia are characterized by poor evaluations for infrastructural elements. Finally, the importance of promotion of economic partnership is shown. Economic Partnership Agreements (EPA) will bring significant benefits to both Japan and Asian countries. Keywords: Globalization, Vertical intra-industry trade, Triangular trade structure, Economic Partnership Agreements 96 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Introduction structure in Japan, the focus on the U.S.A. as a trading partner and foreign direct investment destination gradually Japanese direct investment has increased since the 1985 shifted to the East Asian regions. These developments are Plaza Accord and international trade has expanded through result of vigorous corporate activities which took place as the development of overseas production by companies. One Japan deepened economic relations with overseas region. of the characteristics of globalization in Japanese economy after the 1900s is that the focus on the United State as a The following will explain the background of these characteristics. trading partner and direct investment destination gradually shifted to the East Asian region. Within the East Asian region an e xp o r t-imp o r t (1) Transitions to the floating exchange rate system and the appreciation of the yen network has been built by dispersing overseas production Majo r countries inc luding J ap an shifted the fix base as a result of these developments the East Asian exchange rate system to the floating exchange rate system region became more competitive. in 1973. Since then, these countries have used a system In the East Asian region vertical intra-industry trade within same industry is taking place between Japan, China, where exchange rates are decided in a foreign exchange market. ASEAN and NIEs reflecting e ac h countr y’s facto r After World WarII, the inter national community conditions, overseas production development undertaken by developed global economy through nondiscriminatory and Jap anese companies and this vertical intra-industry free trade, and made adjustments to eliminate various network is characterized as advancement of triangular barriers to trade, such as tariffs and restrictions on exports trade. and imports. This Paper will explain the advancement of vertical As the basic economic conditions of countries began to intra-industry trade and triangular trade within the East change, these changes caused the balance of payments Asian region as a result of e xp ansion of J ap anese disequilibrium because the fixed exchange rate system was companies’ overseas development centered on the Asian used. For example, if competitiveness of a country declines region and describe the imp o r tance of Economic comparatively and the exchange rate does not devaluate in Partnership Agreements including FTA. response to the competitiveness, then its exports will be relatively expensive, whereas imports from other countries 1. Characteristics of globalization in the Japanese economy after the late 1980s will be relatively inexpensive. The trade deficit will grow as a result of the decline in exports and increase in imports. Conversely, in case where the competitiveness of a country rises compared to other countries, the trade surplus will Char acteristics of globalization in the J ap anese economy after the late 1980s were explained as follows. grow. Therefore major countries began controlling their balance of payments disequilibrium using the market First, it is the continuity of the appreciation of the yen function and reflecting the basic economic conditions in the and its economic impact. After making the transition to a exchange rate. And major countries tried to cut off the floating exchange rate system, Japan was faced with a effects of shocks such as economic fluctuations, rising r apid appreciation of the yen in the late 1980s and prices and so on which occurred in other countries. Under experienced a long-term appreciation of the yen, though these circumstances Japan also shifted to the floating modest, in the early 1990s. This appreciation of the yen had exchange rate system. a substantial impact on the Japanese economy. Second, with the advancement of industrial and trade As we look at trends in the yen/dollar exchange rate after the transition to the floating exchange rate system, we 97 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia can see that the exchange rate level changed dramatically Next, as for traded goods, a look at changes in import in the mid-1980s (Figure 1-1). This change continued for and export items shows that they reflect the industrial about one year, between the signing of the Plaze Accord in advancement of Japan in the past 30 years. Regarding September 1985 and the Louvre Accord in February 1987. export items, as exports of high value-added manufactured The yen/dollar exchange rate was on average about 252 yen goods increased, the share of machinery and equipment- from beginning with the adoption of the floating exchange related machinery grew substantially. Whereas, concerning rate system to signing of the Plaze Accord, while the import items, intermediate goods and products replaced yen/dollar exchange rate was on average about 121 yen raw materials, the products with relatively lower added from the signing of the Louvre Accord until April 2004. value compared to export have been imported. Hence the yen appreciated by about more than 50%. The As mentioned above, it is apparent that in the field of appreciation of the yen in the early 1990s continued for long trade, (a) merchandise trade of Japan has shifted its focus time, the yen appreciated about 48% during this time. from the United State to the East Asian regions, and (b) This continuity of the yen appreciation affected greatly Japanese trade structure and foreign direct investment of industrial structure of Japan has advanced in terms of the export and import items. corporate activities. (2) Increasing shift to the East Asia in terms of trade and 2. Characteristics of overseas production development advance of Japan’s industrial structure One of the distinctive changes in trade in the past 30 Japanese export companies have advanced overseas years is that the biggest trading partner shifted from being production development overall since the late 1980s mainly the United State to the East Asian regions. Behind this shift due to the appreciation of the yen. But changes in overseas is the rise of the ASEAN and China. With regards to the business activities by Japanese companies occurred form total of exports and imports, Asia surpassed the United the late 1990s. State as a trading partner after 1988 and China by itself exceeded the United State with regards to imports in 2002. The follow will examine the characteristics of the approach that these exporting companies took in overseas Figure 1-1 Trends in the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Note: End-of -the month spot central rates in the Tokyo Interbank Market. Original Source: Bank of Japan. Source: Cabinet Office (2004), p. 195 98 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia business development, taking up thre e industries – collapse of the IT bubble. transport machinery, electric machinery, and general At the same time, the regional sales rate in the Asian machinery as Japan’s leading export industries. We will region dropped during this period, unlike in the case of the point out two characteristics. North American and European regions. This is a sign that the export ratio to regions other than Asia is rising and (1) Establishment of an export-import network Since the late 1990s, transport machinery and general suggests that the Asian region is strengthening its position as an export base (Figure2-1 right). machinery which have high local sales rate have declined This analysis shows the following: its local sales rate, with the exception of electric machinery (a) The 1990s model of establishing overse as which has a high export to third countries (Figure 2-1 left). production bases in the Asian region and specializing in This trend is evident on a regional basis as well (Figure 2-1 local sales and exports to Japan became less effectiveness center). This means that the number of companies that have because of the Asian financial crisis and economic high exp o r t ratio to J ap an and of third countries is stagnation of Japan, and instead an export-import network gradually increasing. That is to say, until the mid-1990s was built by dispersing overseas production bases within Japanese companies went overseas, built production bases, the Asian region. and produced and sold finished products in local areas. But (b) The Asian region became more competitive by this since the late 1990s a specialized production through establishment of export-import network and turned into a export-import networks among different countries has been stronger export base for North America and Europe and so developed gradually after the Asian financial crisis and the forth. Figure 2-1 Downward Trends in Local Sales Rates Low local and regional sales rates in the Asian region Notes: 1. Local sales rate by industry is a median value for local sales rate of each company affiliated with the respective industry. Local sales rate by region and the sum of local sales and regional sales are based on total amount realized by local affiliates of companies in the manufacturing industry. 2. “Local” refers to a country, etc. where a Japanese company has entered and established business. “Regional” refers to the region of the county, etc. where a Japanese company has entered and established business, excluding the country of entry, etc. Original Sources: Basic Survey on Overseas Business Activities (data from specific charts) and 33rd Survey on Overseas Business Activities (July 2003), Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. Sources: Cabinet Office (2004). p. 230 99 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia (2) Development of vertical intra-industry trade in Asia International production network in Asia shows the following trends in recent years. consumption market. Trends in trade between East Asia, the United State, and Europe organized by production stage are explained The progress has been made not only in the traditional below (Figure 3-1). Trends in the trade value from Figure 3- form of trade where labor-intensive products produced 1 shows that: (a) trade in intermediate goods is increasing against a backdrop of relatively low wages are traded with both between Japan and the NIEs and between China and technology-intensive products reflecting the achievements ASEAN, (b) there is a striking increase imports of final of rese arc h and development, b ut also in ver tical goods, especially consumer goods, from China and ASEAN specialization of the manufacturing process of similar to the United State and Eu rop e , and (c) e xp o r ts of goods (vertical intra-industry trade). Under vertical intra- intermediate goods and final goods are growing steadily industry trade, labor-intensive processes are shared by from Japan and the NIEs to the United States and Europe. developing countries, on the other hand technology- These trends in trade goods by production stage reflect intensive processes are allocated to advanced countries. the development of the East Asian vertical intra-industry Therefore parts and intermediary goods are exported to a trade netwo rk. Here we will use the inter national particular country, where they become finished products, competitiveness and analyze vertical intra-industry trade in which are then re-exported to other countries. It is believed East Asia. that this type of vertical intra-industry trade structure has been built in the Asian region. If we evaluate the international competitiveness of intermediate and final goods of industries, we see that The vertical intra-industry trade structure in the Asian industries generally follow a clockwise path from the third region was developed when companies specializing in the quadrant as industries mature. Figure3-1 indicates that production of high value-added products sub-divided their each quadrant in the chart of international competitiveness production processes in response to improved technological index shows the characteristics of industries in that and management capacity and dispersed each process to a quadrant. The growth path of an industry can be explained different country or region. based on the following characteristics. The current vertical intra-industry trade in the Asian First, an industry which began in domestic supply region was made possible by the building of international takes advantage of cheep wages and gradually develops corporate activity networks. strength in the assembly area, then shifts to an assembly This issue will be closely examined after the following section. production type structure in which intermediate goods are imported and final goods are exported. Next, the industry builds competitiveness in intermediate goods in addition to 3. Advancement of Triangular Trade final goods by improving the level of its technology and grows to develop into a domestic overall production type (1) International competitiveness chart industry which is internationally competitive for both types The East Asian production network has a basic pattern of goods. However, once the industry which has passed the that regions where wages are low conduct labor-intensive height of its maturity loses competitiveness in assembly processes. That is to say, We can say that Japan and the due to factors such as increasing wage levels, and then NIEs produced the high added-value parts, components, begins to specialize in intermediate goods, which are more and processed goods and China and ASEAN, where wages capital-intensive. Finally, the industry as a whole loses its are low imported as these intermediate goods. Then these comparative advantage, begins to import a surplus of countries and regions made intermediate goods into final intermediate goods. This shows that trends in trade for the goods through assembly goods and exported to final industry as a whole, looking at the overall industry, imports 100 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Figure 3-1 How to read the Chart of International Competitive Index Note; International Competitiveness Index (ICI) = (Export - Import)/(Export + Import) Source: METI (2005), p. 241 of the both final goods and intermediate goods will exceed (2) Triangular trade structure exports, but it is possible to maintain competitiveness for According to the above analysis by country of the certain products and fields within the industry through international competitiveness (METI, 2005, pp. 248-251), it specialization. Normally an industry which has entered this was observed that J ap an and the NIEs have many stage will compete in domestic and world markets by industries with overall production type or intermediate specializing and differentiating products with high quality goods-specialized production type structure, on the other and high function utilizing the established brand and hand, China and ASEAN have many industries with advanced technology. characteristics of assembly production type. From this This hypothesis suggests that industries proceed in a point a picture will be drawn below. circular, clockwise path around the chart of international Parts, components, and processed goods produced in competitiveness index1, but at the same time industries Japan and the NIEs are imported as intermediate input actually become more sophisticated through the process as goods by China and ASEAN, then China and ASEAN they improve their technology. assemble intermediate goods, and export the assembled goods to the final consumption markets of the United State 1 The international competitiveness index is defined as a numeric value which shows trade balance (exports-imports ) as a proportion of trade amount (exports + imports). Indexes range from – 1 to 1, with values close to 1 indicating strong international competitiveness and values close to – 1 indicating weak international competitiveness. 101 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Figure 3-2 Model of Triangular Trade Structure Source: METI (2005), p. 257 and Europe. That is to say, a “Triangular Trade Structure” advancement of local procurement within China and with separate locations for production, assembly, and ASEAN would normally mean a decrease in imports of consumption has probably taken form (Figure 3-2). Based inter mediate goods from J ap an and the NIEs and on this analysis, it may be assumed that (a) China and weakening of the Triangular Trade Structure. However, ASEAN have strength in labor-intensive processes, (b) according to the Triangular trade index (METI, 2005, Japan and the NIEs produce capital and technology- pp.258-259), the Triangular Trade Structure is strengthened intensive, high added-value intermediate goods, (c) the in almost all of the industries. This is because although assembly process for final goods is generally more labor- local production of inter mediate goods is increasing, intensive than the production stage for intermediate goods, exports of intermediate goods from Japan and the NIEs are and (d) production costs in China and ASEAN are focused on China and ASEAN, and exports destined for the sufficiently cheaper than production costs in Japan and the United State and Europe are increasing relatively. This NIEs even including trade - related cost. means that as the East Asian economy developed multiple Hence the above model defines that China and ASEAN are locations for the assembly of intermediate goods. But ties, the Triangular Trade Structure formed as the basis for growth of this highly-specialized, open economic region. actually because technology transfer has prog ressed rapidly due to direct investment from Japan and the NIEs, procurement of the intermediate goods needed for assembly production in China and ASEAN are incre asingly 4. Japan’s direct investment trends in East Asia and evaluation of the investment environments dependent on production with the region, rather than on imports. According to 34th Basic Survey of Overseas Business Activities, betwe en 2000 and 2003 the local (1) Direct investment trends of Japanese companies in East Asia procurement rate of Japanese companies doing business in Direct investment of Japanese companies towards East China and ASEAN increased from 40.1% to 51.3%. The Asia accelerated its speed since the 1985 Plaza Accord and 102 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia has increased 10.8 times over the past 15 years. In the 1990s warehousing was 4.7% in composition ratio. the number of cases of direct investment incre ased Looking at regions with similar industry compositions particularly in Southeast Asian countries. Investment in of Japanese company located in East Asia according to China greatly increased with the full-scale introduction of cluster analysis2, Vietnam and China (regions of western, foreign capital into China after the adoption of socialistic central and northeastern) are characterized by a high market economy system of 1992. After the Asian financial presence of labor- intensive industries such as the textile crisis new investment in Southe ast Asia decre ased industry. In Korea and Malaysia chemicals, electrical dramatically, but sign of recovery was observed in the 21st equipment and wholesale industry were located relatively century. On the other hand investment in China has been large. Similarly Hong Kong and Singapore had distribution, increasing since the membership of WTO of China. finance, and insurance more than other countries. During the same period, other countries around the Here we will look at profit of J ap anese overse as world as well as Japan have been steadily increasing their affiliated companies who have made direct investments. direct investment in the East Asian region. Looking at the According to a survey conducted by JETRO (2003), many number of establishment of foreign capital in the East ASEAN and China-based Japanese affiliated companies Asian region, we see that since the 1997 Asian financial have been making profits in recent years. crisis the number of such establishments in Indonesia, And according to the actual profit ratio of Japanese Thailand, and Singapore has either decreased slightly or overseas affiliated comp anies in the Basic Sur vey of leveled off, but the number of companies entering China has Overseas Business Activities (METI), the ordinary income to increased by more than 10.000 over four years from 27.000 sales ratio for Japanese overseas affiliated companies was in 1990 to 39.000 in 2003. lower in China than in other countries and regions until the Next looking at the situation in the location of Japanese companies by country and region, there are 4.864 Japanese mid-1990s, but in recent years it has surpassed profit ratio in other regions, with the exception of ASEAN (Figure 4-1). companies operating in China, 1.432 in Thailand, 1.113 in Hong Kong, and 1.071 in Singap o re. The number of (2) Evaluation of the investment environments companies in China stands out as particularly large. We examine the investment environments for Japanese Regarding the are a of industr y, 59.0% of J ap anese companies who have made direct investment according to investment in the whole of East Asia was accounted for the survey of the Japan Industrial Policy Research Institute manuf actu ring industr y. Within the manuf actu ring (JIPRI). industry, the comp osition ratio of manufactu rers of First, we look at the survey results for Japanese head electrical equipment was 12.6%. Hence it is clear that offices which have made direct investments. Japanese head Japanese companies of electrical equipment have led foreign offices consider items such as infrastructure concerning direct investment. Similarly, the composition ratio of production, administr ative resp onses, and living manuf actu rers of c hemical was 9.5% and that of environment a relatively high importance to the expansion transportation equipment manufacturers was 6.4%. On the of their business overseas. While they consider business- other hand within the non-manufacturing industries, the related items suc h as tec hnical coop eration with wholesale industry accounted for 20.4% in the composition neighboring companies, industrial accumulation, and ratio and had a high share in the NIEs in particular. Next distance to Japan a relatively low importance. But as the service industry was 5.8%, and transportation and already mentioned, in East Asia regional enterprises and 2 Cluster analysis is a method in which subjects are divided into several groups (clusters), based on measurements of similarities and dissimilarities of date gathered from questionnaires and other sources (METI, 2005, p. 211). 103 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Figure 4-1 Trends in the ordinary income to sales ratio for Japanese overseas affiliates Notes: 1. Ordinary income to net sales ratio = ordinary income/sales x 100 (%) 2. Hong Kong was included NIEs until fiscal year 1997 and in China since fiscal year 1998. Original Source: Basic Survey of Overseas Business Activities (METI). Source: METI (2005), p. 226 supp o r ting industries are g rowing and the local receive poor evaluations for labor costs and potential for procurement rate of Japanese companies is on the rise. future market expansion for the intermediate goods market. Therefore the importance of business-related items in the localities will increase in the future. Next we look at the evaluation of local affiliated 5. Promotion of Economic Partnership, including FTA companies based on the above survey of JIPRI. Many affiliated comp anies resp onded that infrastr uctu ral (1) Initiative of Economic Partnership elements suc h as electricity, water and sewerage , The economic development of Japan was achieved telecommunication, roads and ports are important to through the advancement of multilateral liberalization current investment environments. Labor costs and labor centered on GATT/WTO. In recent years, movements force quality followed. And they also replied that political towards establish FTA (Free Trade Agreements) have and social situations and the local market are important vigorously witnessed among specified countries and relatively. regions in the fields of liberalization of international trade Looking at the characteristics of countries and regions, and investments. Japan concluded the Japan-Singapore each of China’s regions and Thailand is characterized by Economic Agreement for a New age Partnership in 2002, poor evaluations for prevalence of English and high and largely re ac hed EPA (Economic P ar tnership evaluations for production costs such as rent for industrial Agreements) with Mexico in March 2004. Japan is also complexes and land costs. Hong Kong, Singapore, and positively carrying forward consultations on conclusion of Taiwan are highly evaluated in most categories, whereas bilateral agreements ROK (Republic of Korea), Thailand, 104 Global Business of Japanese Companies in East Asia Philippines and Malaysia and on establishment of EPA with betwe en the countries conc luding an FTA due to the entire ASEAN. elimination of tariffs between them. FTA is a form of regional trade liberalization and Second is the improvement in productivity that agreements based on elimination of tariffs among the accompanies the realization of an economy of scale, as a participating countries. FTA includes an exception from the result of the elimination of regional trade and investment principle of MFN (Most Favo red Nation) in p oint of barriers and integration of markets. liber alization within a limited are a, while it has Third is the incre ase of productivity due to characteristics of an advancement of liberalization by competitiveness and transfer of technology. The inflow of eliminating tariffs within the specified area. low-priced goods and services, the participation of foreign Since the 1990s there has been a remarkable increase in companies and the entrance in Japan of foreign managers the number of FTA. A total of 150 (effective) economic and engineers stimulate competition, which in turn triggers partnership have been reported to the WTO. In resent years a rise in productivity based on the diffusion of outstanding in particular, an increasing number of developing countries management know-how and skills. have concluded FTA. As already mentioned, currently Japan is advancing The following factors will be showed as reasons behind efforts for conclusion of FTA with Asian countries. These the remarked increase in FTA from the late 1990s: (a) the countries actually are deepened economic relations with wide spread awareness that rapid consensus-building Japan, so it is expected that conclusion of FTA will have within the WTO has become difficult; (b) the emergence of a significant positive effects on the economy. The share of trend for countries with a common interest to go a step exports for Asia has increased to more than 40% in 2004. ahe ad and establish bilater al relationships to take Such relations also reflect the advancement of Japanese advantage of the benefits of liberalization; (c) motivation to companies in Asia. promote FTA as part of a country’ international political strategy. As the latest trends, the areas for application of FTA have expanded from the traditional trade liberalization The tariff ratio in the Asian countries is generally high comp ared with develop ed countries, therefo re tariff elimination through liberalization will bring significant benefits to both Japan and Asian countries. (such as elimination of tariffs and so on) to include investment, competition policies, intellectual property, government procurement, smooth movement of human resources, e-commerce, environment and harmonization of labor-related systems, etc. These areas are new even for the Additional note This paper is written mainly based on the results of METI (2005) and Cabinet Office (2004) WTO itself. Hence this recent agreement (including not only tariffs but also the above mentioned wide rage of areas) are called economic partnership agreements (EPA) Reference and distinguished from the tr aditional fre e tr ade Cabinet Office (2004) Annual Report on the Japanese Economy agreements. and Public Finance (2003-2004), National Printing Bureau. (2) Effect of Economic Partnership Trade liberalization through conclusion of FTA has effects as follows. First is trade creation effects. The direct and positive static effects of trade liberalization are creation of trade K awasaki, Kenichi (2003) The Impact of Fre e Trade Agreement in Asia, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 03E-18. JETRO (2005) JETRO White Paper on Trade and Investment 2005. 105 Globalization of Japanese Companies in East Asia Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (2005) White Paper on International Economy and Trade 2005. Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (2005) The 34th Basic Survey of Overseas Enterprise Activities. 106