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Theor. Appl. Climatol. 77, 1–7 (2004) DOI 10.1007/s00704-004-0038-7 Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos, World Radiation Center, Davos Dorf, Switzerland Greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps – by surface longwave radiation measurements and model calculated LOR R. Philipona, B. Dürr, and C. Marty With 3 Figures Received March 27, 2003; revised January 3, 2004; accepted January 5, 2004 Published online February 25, 2004 # Springer-Verlag 2004 Summary The greenhouse effect has been investigated predominantly with satellite measurements, but more than 90% of the greenhouse radiative flux affecting Earth’s surface temperature and humidity originates from a 1000 meter layer above the surface. Here we show that substantial improvements on surface longwave radiation measurements and very good agreement with radiative transfer model calculations allow the clear-sky greenhouse effect be determined with measured surface longwave radiation and calculated longwave outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere. The cloud radiative forcing is determined by measured net longwave fluxes and added to the clear-sky greenhouse effect to determine the all-sky greenhouse effect. Longwave radiation measurements at different altitudes were used to determine the clear-sky and all-sky annual and seasonal greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps. Linear altitude gradients are measured for clear-sky situations, whereas the all-sky greenhouse effect is strongly influenced by varying, cloud amounts at different altitudes. Large diurnal and seasonal variations show the importance of surface heating and cooling effects and demonstrate the strong coupling of the greenhouse effect to surface temperature and humidity. 1. Introduction Temperature rises at the Earth’s surface during the past decades are most likely related to an enhanced greenhouse effect (e.g. Mitchell et al., 1995; Tett et al., 1999; Harries et al., 2001; Houghton et al., 2001). Observational determinations of the greenhouse effect are so far mostly based on satellite measurements by determining the clear-sky greenhouse effect (Raval and Ramanathan, 1989; Ramanathan et al., 1989) and the top of the atmosphere (ToA) cloud forcing (Harrison et al., 1990; Stephens and Greenwald, 1991) from space. Attempts are being made to establish correlations between ToA and surface cloud forcing parameters, so that surface parameters can be derived from satellite observations (Harshvardhan et al., 1990). Global distributions of surface and atmospheric cloud forcing parameters have been derived using parameterized radiation models with satellite meteorological data from the Int. Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), and directly measured ToA radiative fluxes from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) (Gupta et al., 1993). Ship and airborne radiometer measurements were used to investigate the tropical super greenhouse effect and to determine tropospheric profiles of the clear-sky greenhouse effect over the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Lubin, 1994; Valero et al., 1997). 2 R. Philipona et al. Atmospheric longwave downward radiation (LDR) measured at the surface is a function of the amount of greenhouse gases and the atmospheric state, and reflects the atmospheric greenhouse effect acting on the Earth’s surface. Longwave upward radiation (LUR) is a function of surface temperature and emissivity. Longwave radiation measurements have been largely improved in recent years (Philipona et al., 1995; Lorenz et al., 1996; Philipona, 2001). Two International Pyrgeometer and Absolute Sky-scanning Radiometer Comparisons (IPASRC-I) (Philipona et al., 2001) and (IPASRC-II) (Marty et al., 2003) show that with optimized pyrgeometers, uncertainty levels of 1 Wm2 or 0.4% for LDR are reached. Furthermore, comparisons between clear-sky measurements and radiative transfer model calculations (MODTRAN and LBLRTM) show differences within 1.5 Wm2 or 0.5% between absolute longwave measurements and calculated irradiances. This paper reports on greenhouse effect determination by surface longwave radiation measurements and radiative transfer model calculations. Investigations are based on six years of accurate measurements at eleven stations of the Alpine Surface Radiation Budget (ASRB) network (Philipona et al., 1996) (latitude 46 N) at altitudes between 370 and 3580 m a.s.l.. Good agreement between clear-sky longwave downward radiation measurements and radiative transfer model calculations at the radiosonde station Payerne and other ASRB stations (D€ urr et al., 2004) encourage determining the ToA longwave outgoing radiation by the MODTRAN radiative transfer model. Linear relations are formulated between measured longwave downward and upward radiation and the clear-sky greenhouse effect. These relations and measured seasonal and annual clear-sky LDR values are used to determine the clear-sky greenhouse effect. The all-sky greenhouse effect is determined by adding the longwave cloud radiative forcing to the clear-sky greenhouse effect. 2. Greenhouse effect and cloud radiative forcing The greenhouse effect (or greenhouse radiative forcing) (G) is defined as the longwave upward radiative flux (LUR) emitted by the Earth surface at a certain location minus the longwave outgoing radiative flux (LOR) escaping to space at the ToA above that location (Raval and Ramanathan, 1989). The greenhouse effect is related to the net radiative heating (H) of the entire surfaceto-atmosphere column. Clouds are known to prevent the escape of terrestrial longwave radiation and change the net radiative heating. To describe the effects of clouds on H from observations, the cloud radiative forcing (CF) (Charlock and Ramanathan, 1985) has been defined as CF ¼ Hall –Hclr, where ‘all’ stand for all-sky and ‘clr’ for clear-sky situations. The net radiative heating at the top of the atmosphere (H(T)) is composed of the net radiative heating in the atmosphere (H(A)) and at the surface (H(S)) and the cloud radiative forcing effect therefore becomes CF(T) ¼ CF(A) þ CF(S) (Gupta et al., 1993). The greenhouse effect can be determined from space at the top of the atmosphere (G(T)) by using satellite measurements or from the surface (G(S)) by using surface longwave radiation measurements and a radiative transfer model to calculate LOR at the ToA. For clear-sky situations both methods rely on the same parameters and therefore the same (Gclr) results from space and from the surface. For all-sky situations however, the greenhouse effect (Gall) is affected by thermal effects of clouds and therefore the respective longwave radiative cloud forcing (CFLW) is added to the clear-sky greenhouse effect Gall ¼ Gclr þ CFLW : ð1Þ Although the longwave cloud radiative forcing in the atmosphere CFLW(A) is small (Harshvardhan et al., 1990; Gupta et al., 1993), it is different from zero. The all-sky greenhouse effect determined from the surface therefore is not necessarily the same as the greenhouse effect determined from space. However, for surface related climate change investigations, the cloud radiative forcing and the greenhouse effect at the surface Gall(S) are the relevant driving forces. 3. Longwave radiation and greenhouse effect Longwave downward radiation is strongly related to temperature and humidity at the Earth’s surface. Under clear skies more than 90% of LDR is from the first 1000 meter above Greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps 3 Fig. 1. Clear-sky longwave downward irradiance spectra from different layers above the surface and percentage of LDR and water vapour content (WC) in these layers. The uppermost Gaussian shaped curve shows the longwave upward radiation LUR emitted by the Earth’s surface (surface emission plus LDR reflection). Calculations are made with the radiative transfer model MODTRAN v4.2 and the Payerne radiosonde profile of Aug 11, 1998 in the wavelength range of 2.5 to 200 mm the surface. MODTRAN v4.2 (Berk et al., 2000) model calculations (Fig. 1) show that 39% of LDR originates from the first 10 meters even though this layer only contains 0.3% of the total water vapor content in the atmosphere. Spectra from the first 100 meter show that the water band at 6.7 mm and above 25 mm as well as the 15 mm CO2 band are already saturated around the center of the bands. Spectra from 1 000 and 100 000 meter demonstrate that from very high altitudes, Fig. 2. Relations of night- and daytime clear-sky greenhouse effect Gclr versus longwave downward LDR and upward LUR radiation for Payerne and Versuchsfeld. The relations are based on clear-sky LDR and LUR measurements, and MODTRAN calculated LOR that includes atmospheric profiles from Payerne and surface temperature inferred from measured LUR. Linear regressions of Gclr versus LDR (left side) are finally used to determine Gclr with measured average LDR values 4 R. Philipona et al. only in the atmospheric window region between 8 mm and 13 mm, some 6% of LDR is added, mainly in the water vapor continuum and the 9.6 mm ozone band. As stated above, measurements agree very well with radiative transfer model calculated clear-sky LDR values (Philipona et al., 2001; Marty et al., 2003). Comparisons of ASRB longwave downward radiation measurements with MODTRAN calculations show an average difference of 0.3 Wm2 with Stdev of 3.5 Wm2 , for a subset of 274 selected nighttime clear-sky cases at the radiosonde station Payerne (D€ urr et al., 2004). Hence, the good agreement between measurements and model calculations allows calculating ToA longwave outgoing radiation with accurate measurements of atmospheric parameters (radiosonde) and of surface longwave upward radiation. Relations have been established between clear-sky longwave radiation and the greenhouse effect for four ASRB stations (Payerne 490 m, Davos 1610 m, Versuchsfeld 2540 m and Weissfluhjoch 2690 m), which all have downward and upward radiation measurements. About 60 nighttime and 25 daytime case studies, distributed over the year, are used with measured LDR and LUR, and MODTRAN calculated LOR that includes radiosonde profiles from Payerne, station air temperature and skin temperature inferred from LUR. Gclr versus LDR relations for Payerne (490 m a.s.l.) and Versuchsfeld (2540 m a.s.l.) are shown in Fig. 2 (left). Large differences of LUR during nighttime emission (cooling phase) and daytime shortwave absorption (warming phase) made it necessary to calculate separate LDR relations for day and night. These relations are altitude dependent and correlation coefficients of 0.93 for night and 0.88 for day relations were found. Day correlations are lower because solar shortwave radiation produces thermal effects, which disturb the equilibrium between LUR and LDR. In contrast, Gclr versus LUR relations (Fig. 2, right) that are almost uniform for day and night, show much higher correlation coefficients of 0.98 and 0.99 and have almost no altitude dependence. 4. Greenhouse effect over the Alps Annual and seasonal mean values of the clearsky and all-sky greenhouse effect and of the longwave cloud radiative forcing over the Alps are based on six years of measurements of two minute average samples at the eleven ASRBstations. Seasonal mean values are restricted to June, July and August for summer and December, January and February for winter mean values respectively. Clear-sky situations are separated from all-sky measurements using the Clear-Sky Index (CSI) (Marty and Philipona, 2000). Since a number of stations do not have LUR measurements the clear-sky greenhouse effect is determined for all ASRB stations with measured average LDRclr values and the respective day or night Gclr versus LDR linear regressions (Fig. 2, left). For stations at which Gclr versus LDR could not explicitly be determined, due to missing LUR measurements, the relation of a station at similar altitude was used. The longwave cloud forcing is calculated using all-sky minus clear-sky longwave net radiation (Marty et al., 2002) and the all-sky greenhouse effect is determined using Eq. (1). In Table 1 a comparison of Gclr values determined with LDR and with LUR relations is shown for those stations which have LUR measurements. Differences are larger during winter and at stations at higher altitude with snow covered surfaces. The longwave cloud radiative forcing CFLW and the all-sky greenhouse effect Gall (Gclr from LDR measurements plus CFLW) is also shown. The greenhouse effect in the Alps is shown in Fig. 3, with annual and seasonal clear-sky night and day values (left graphs) and all-sky night and day values (right graphs). The clear-sky greenhouse effect shows explicit altitude dependence with high linear correlation and an annual mean gradient of 1.5 Wm2 =100 m during nighttime (Fig. 3, upper left). Considerable higher gradients of up to 3.1 Wm2 =100 m, are observed during daytime (Fig. 3, lower left). These larger gradients are primarily caused by higher daytime surface temperatures on mostly snow free surfaces at low altitude stations. Summer and winter show higher respectively lower greenhouse forcing but gradients are similar for night respective day situations. Lowest linear correlation of 0.91 was found for daytime summer greenhouse effect, which is due to less stable atmospheric situations during summer time. Negative altitude gradients are caused by stronger decrease of LUR with altitude compared Greenhouse effect and altitude gradients over the Alps 5 Table 1. Annual and seasonal night and day clear-sky Gclr and all-sky greenhouse effect Gall and longwave cloud forcing CFLW at 4 ASRB-stations. For comparison the clear-sky Gclr is determined with measured LDR and LUR and the respective relations ASRB-station Altitude a.s.l. Gclr (LDR rel.) [Wm2 ] Gclr (LUR rel.) [Wm2 ] CFLW [Wm2 ] Year Su Year Su Year Wi Su Year Wi Su Wi Wi Gall [Wm2 ] Night Payerne Davos Versuchsfeld Weissfluhjoch 490 m 1610 m 2540 m 2690 m 90 69 63 55 69 51 47 43 104 90 82 75 94 68 57 66 73 42 35 53 109 92 83 87 25 24 29 42 40 19 19 35 16 27 40 45 115 93 92 97 109 70 66 77 120 117 122 120 Day Payerne Davos Versuchsfeld Weissfluhjoch 490 m 1610 m 2540 m 2690 m 161 119 105 87 121 90 77 64 184 157 142 142 157 107 81 90 101 65 53 65 184 155 128 151 56 41 44 56 61 30 30 43 38 51 54 61 216 160 149 143 181 120 107 107 222 208 196 203 Fig. 3. Nighttime (above) and daytime (below) annual and seasonal mean clear-sky (left) and all-sky (right) greenhouse effect at ASRB-stations versus altitude. Altitude gradients and trend lines are also shown to that of LOR. For night situations this effect is reduced if clouds are present and lower altitude gradients around 0.9 Wm2 =100 m result for the all-sky greenhouse effect (Fig. 3, upper right). Due to frequent convective clouds at mountain peak stations this reduction is most pronounced during summer. Gornergrat being influenced by southern dryer weather conditions and sitting on a high plateau remote from surrounding mountain peaks has lower cloud forcing during the night. Daytime all-sky greenhouse effect values (Fig. 3, lower right) increased due to the cloud forcing with minor effect on the gradients except for the summer gradient which 6 R. Philipona et al. lowered due to the same reason as for the night situation. A rather high winter all-sky greenhouse effect can be observed over Payerne, which is due to frequent stratoform cloud layers over the Swiss central plateau, North of the Alps. Acknowledgments 5. Conclusions References The strong coupling between surface temperature and humidity and the longwave downward radiation suggests that greenhouse effect investigations with respect to surface temperature changes can well be done from the Earth’s surface. Surface longwave measurements allow to determine the cloud radiative forcing and together with radiative transfer model calculations the greenhouse effect can be determined for a specific climate zone. Measurement and model based relations between longwave radiation components and the greenhouse effect show a high correlation between LUR and G and demonstrate the importance of accurate longwave upward measurements. Clear-sky measurements show a linear altitude dependence of the greenhouse effect, but large temperature increases during the day lead to strongly increased daytime gradients and demonstrate the strong coupling to surface cooling and warming, hence the longwave upward radiation. The allsky greenhouse effect includes the cloud radiative forcing and shows higher values but similar gradients. The present study shows annual and seasonal mean values, but ongoing measurements will allow to investigate temporal and altitude dependent year-to-year variations. An expected global longwave radiative forcing of 2 to 3 Wm2 in the next ten years (Wild et al., 1997; Garrat et al., 1999) will likely be detectable from the surface. On a worldwide basis accurate longwave radiation measurements are available from the World Climate Research Program’s Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) (Ohmura et al., 1998). Accurate longwave radiation measurements at specific climate zones on the Earth’s surface not only benefit the satellite community but provide an important tool for long-term cloud and greenhouse effect investigations, which will demonstrate surface temperature increases to be a consequence of increasing greenhouse gases and=or changing cloud amounts. 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