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Characteristics determining the efficiency of Foreign Banks in Australia. # by Jan-Egbert Sturm* and Barry Williams** This Version: July, 2006. Abstract: The factors determining foreign bank efficiency are investigated using a three stage research method. Following clients (defensive expansion) was found to increase host nation efficiency, and new trade theory tended to, (but not conclusively), dominate comparative advantage theory. The limited global advantage hypothesis of Berger, et al. (2000) was found to apply for United States bank revenue creation efficiency, but not for their transformation of physical inputs into outputs. Competitor market share reduces host nation efficiency and positive parent bank attributes such as size, credit rating and profits are associated with lower host nation efficiency, as is home nation financial development. Key words: Foreign bank efficiency, distance functions, factor analysis JEL code: G15, G21, C15, C52 # Corresponding author: Barry Williams, School of Business, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. [email protected]; Tel. +61 7 5595 2259; Fax + 61 7 5595 1160. * KOF – Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research, ETH Zurich, Switzerland and CESifo Munich, Germany. ** School of Business, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. 1 1. Introduction. Factors determining the efficiency of foreign banks in the host nation is an area that has received relatively little attention to date. This paper responds to (and extends) the research agenda commenced by Berger, et al. (2004a) for cross border bank mergers, by considering both country-level and firm-level characteristics of multinational banks that determine differences in multinational bank efficiency in the host nation. This research will commence from the frameworks offered by both comparative advantage theory and new trade theory and so provide a new dimension to this growing literature. The current work will extend this literature in two dimensions; (i) by considering firm-level as well as country-level characteristics, and (ii) by considering the efficiency of multinational banks. This research will have the further advantage of providing a test of the limited global advantage hypothesis of Berger, et al. (2000). The limited global advantage hypothesis argues that banks from some nations are able to overcome the diseconomies of cross-border operations due to various unspecified advantages. By responding to Berger, et al. (2004) within the context of the limited global advantage hypothesis, this paper will identify at least some of the sources of these unspecified advantages. The stylised facts relating to cross-border banking generally conclude that in developed nations foreign banks generally under-perform their domestic counter-parts, with the opposite occurring in developing nations (Berger, et al., 2000). Further, Berger, et al. (2000) find that banks from some developed nations (particularly the United States) tend to perform well in developed host nations, even when benchmarked against host nation domestic banks. An exception to this body of research is provided in the Australian case by Sturm and Williams (2004), who found foreign banks to be more efficient, on average, than domestic banks. Thus the Australian environment provides an interesting location for further investigation of multinational bank performance. This is particularly important given the importance of multinational banks in a globalised financial marketplace, yet by contrast, the relatively limited evidence regarding factors determining foreign bank performance in the host market. As far as these authors are aware, to date, there is no published evidence addressing this question from the perspective of foreign bank efficiency. This paper will consider the relevance of comparative advantage theory and new trade theory (Casson, 1999, Dunning, 1977, Markusen and Venables, 1996, Williams, 1997), 2 to the study of the efficiency of foreign banks in Australia. An important feature of this study is that efficiency estimates of foreign banks will be drawn from efficiency estimates from a larger bank population that includes both domestic and foreign banks. In this way the negative impact of the liability of foreignness will be controlled for (Miller and Parkhe, 2002). The framework to model foreign bank efficiency will be based upon the work of Buch (2003), Berger, et al. (2004) and Williams (2003). By applying bank-level data to estimate bank efficiency as well as to estimate the impact of parent bank-level effects, this paper provides further insights to the country-level approaches of Buch (2003), Berger, et al. (2004), both of whom considered bank mergers across borders rather than bank efficiency from a country-level perspective. It is found that following clients (defensive expansion) tends to increase host nation bank efficiency and that new trade theory tends to dominate comparative advantage theory in explaining difference in bank efficiency. However, as factor analysis was not able to separate these two theories conclusively, further research is necessary in other settings. Some support was found for the limited global advantage hypothesis, in that banks from the United States were found to be more efficient in revenue creation efficiency, but less efficient in transforming physical inputs into outputs. Competitor market share was found to reduce efficiency in the host market, consistent with Williams (2003). Home nation financial development and positive parent bank attributes such as size, credit ratings and profits were found to be associated with lower host nation efficiency. The rest of this paper is structured as follows; the next section provides a review of the relevant literature. The third section will detail the method that will be used to address the research question posed by this paper. The fourth section discusses the nature of the sample that will be employed. The fifth section will present the results; while the final section will provide a conclusion and suggests directions for further research endeavour. 2. Literature Review. This paper will consider the efficiency of foreign banks in Australian within the contexts offered by comparative advantage theory and new trade theory. The traditional 3 approach to modelling multinational banks is based upon Ricardian comparative advantage theory. In this approach the multinational bank seeks to exploit its comparative advantage and minimise its opportunity costs. Recent examples of this framework within the context of multinational banking are offered by Williams (2003) and Kosmidou, et al. (2006). New trade theory, (Markusen, 1995), emphasises national similarities in determining investment flows. Recent studies of cross-border mergers by Buch (2003) and Berger, et al. (2004) have considered that both of these theoretical approaches are relevant to multinational banking. Accordingly this issue can be considered within these two frameworks. 2.1 Comparative Advantage and Opportunity Costs. Within the structure offered by comparative advantage theory, multinational banks can be considered to be subject to home nation effects, parent bank effects and host nation effects, each providing a mix of advantages, opportunity costs and barriers to entry. Home Nation Effects. In multinational banking the hypothesis that banks follow their client’s abroad (defensive expansion) is a traditional approach. This is usually measured by the use of a vector of measures that represent the host nation’s trading and investment relationship with the home nation. As surveyed by Williams (2002) this hypothesis is usually supported for size studies but results for the impact of defensive expansion upon bank profits are less unambiguous. Defensive expansion relationships are usually measured using portfolio investment relationships, as these are most likely to result in the multinational bank requiring a physical presence to defend its bank-client relationship. It is this defence of the bank-client relationship that forms the core of the defensive expansion hypothesis. Export of financial practices and financial sophistication is also argued as a rationale for multinational banking. It is argued that those nations from more developed and sophisticated financial systems are more likely to be able to export efficient financial practices and so overcome the negative impact of the liability of foreignness. Nations with higher levels of GDP per capita are more likely to possess sophisticated and efficient financial systems, so GDP per capita is the usual measure of this home nation effect. Buch and DeLong (2004) and Berger, et al. (2004) found that banks from 4 nations with higher levels of GDP per capita are more likely to acquire banks in other nations, which was presumed by Buch and DeLong (2004) to be due to their higher levels of efficiency. Parent Bank Effects. As compared to Williams (2003), Buch (2003) and Berger, et al. (2004) did not employ bank-level data, instead confining their study to macroeconomic data. While parent profits were not found by Williams (2003) to impact upon host nation profits, Focarelli and Pozzolo (2001, p 2326) argued that parent profit offers a readily available measure of parent efficiency. Thus, if a bank operates in the home market more efficiently than other banks, this efficiency provides a potential source of comparative advantage when expanding offshore. Overall, it is possible that parent profitability does not translate into host market profitability, but does impact upon host market efficiency. It is often argued that in multinational banking size is an important variable (Hirtle, 1991), with parent size found to determine host nation size (Cho, 1985, Ursacki and Vertinsky, 1992). Further, Tschoegl (2004) suggested that the largest bank in each nation is the most likely candidate for successful offshore expansion. It would be therefore expected that banks with larger parents are more likely to be efficient in the host nations than smaller banks. Experience of operating internationally is another possible parent characteristic that enables a multinational bank to succeed in the host nation. Tschoegl (1982) considered that this experience can have two dimensions; (i) general experience of international operations and (ii) experience of operating in a particular host nation. Experience measures of the first type have been found to be highly correlated with size measures (Cho, 1985), while Williams (1998a, and 1998b) found no support for host nation experience effects for either size or profits of foreign banks in Australia. Again, however, it is possible that host nation experience impacts upon efficiency in the host nation, but not upon size or profits. Host Nation Effects. Barriers to entry act to reduce the benefits of firm-specific and nation-specific comparative advantages. As this study focuses upon a single nation, many of the 5 country-specific variables used by Berger, et al. (2004) are a constant for each year. To alleviate statistical and interpretive problems associated with this issue, Williams (2003) applied a competitor market share variable. This measures the degree of competition confronting a foreign bank in the host market; considering the market share of the four dominant banks in Australia, plus the market share of all other banks of the same nationality. This measure reflects the degree of competition from the major Australian banks, plus the additional competition from other banks of the same nationality seeking to establish a beachhead in the host nation, (Fieleke, 1977), via defensive expansion to follow their national client base. Williams (2003) found that foreign bank profits in Australia were reduced by the impact of this competitor market share. This result may not necessarily apply for efficiency, as this level of competition may engender increased efficiency while depressing profits. Foreign banks in Australia are disproportionately active in wholesale banking, which is a price competitive sector of the banking market with an emphasis upon efficiency. Thus, the barrier to entry represented by this measure may reduce profits while increasing efficiency. 2.2 New Trade Theory. New trade theory represents the alternative approach to comparative advantage theory. Unlike comparative advantage theory, new trade theory considers that relative characteristics of nations determine the patterns of investment, that markets are no longer competitive and homogenous and that firms can choose between trade with or investment in a nation (Berger, et al., 2004). This approach has also been termed eclectic theory (Dunning, 1988) or the internalisation approach (Casson, 1990), with Williams (1997) discussing each of these approaches within the context of the multinational firm. From this basis Markusen and Venables (1996) developed the convergence hypothesis in which increasing similarity increases investment as opposed to trade. As multinational banking is based upon intangible assets such as skills, knowledge, brand names and communications, new trade theory lends itself particularly well to multinational banking (Berger, et al., 2004, Buckley, 1988). Berger, et al. (2004) concluded that in the case of cross-border mergers and acquisitions both new trade theory and traditional comparative advantage theory were supported. 6 3. Method. This paper employs a three-step research design. In the first step foreign bank efficiency is estimated from a sample panel of data that includes both domestic and foreign banks in Australia between 1988 and 2001. In the second step foreign bank characteristics will be analysed using factor analysis. In this step the variables employed will be endogenous to those used in the first step. This step will estimate a series of common factors representing distinctive features that are specific to foreign banks operating in Australia. In the third step the estimates of foreign bank efficiency drawn from the first step are used as dependent variables, while the common factors estimated in the second step are used as independent variables in unbalanced panel regressions. Step 1. Bank Efficiency Estimation. Given that this study is focussing upon foreign bank operations in the host nation, the choice of efficiency estimation technique is limited by data availability. In this case the data does not contain input or output prices, thus cost, profit or alternative profit efficiency techniques are not available. As a result parametric input distance functions from Coelli and Perelman (1999) will be used. This approach applies maximum likelihood estimation of efficiency allowing for multiple inputs and multiple outputs to achieve an index of relative efficiency ranging from 100 to 0, with 100 representing complete efficiency. Such an approach allows for the multiple input and output nature of banking and has the additional advantage of allowing different specifications of inputs and outputs which allows for some sensitivity analysis. We will include a time trend in the efficiency estimation to allow for the impact of changing technology and other time-dependent circumstances. The parameterisation of Battese and Corra (1977), σ is used, replacing σ V2 and σ U2 with σ 2 = σ V2 + σ U2 and γ = σ 2 +Uσ 2 . The appendix in 2 V U Battese and Coelli (1993) presents the log-likelihood function of this model. Efficiency of banks in Australia will be modelled using the intermediation approach. From this sample of efficiency estimates the efficiency estimates of the foreign banks in Australian will be drawn. In the intermediation approach a bank is viewed as using inputs such as deposits, staff and equity to produce outputs such as loans and offbalance sheet items. This approach is commonly used in modelling bank efficiency (Berger and Humphrey, 1992, Berger and Mester, 1997). As efficiency estimation can be sensitive to input and output specification (Berger, et al., 1993), several different 7 combinations of inputs and outputs will be applied to the available data. In the base line approach, following Allen and Rai (1996), banks will be considered to use equity, employees and deposits to produce loans and off-balance sheet items (Model 1). Expanding upon this approach outputs will be expanded into housing loans and other loans (Model 1a) and in Model 1b outputs will include wholesale activity. A revenue based model of inputs and outputs will also be estimated, following Avkiran (2000, and 1999) and Sturm and Williams (2004); inputs will be considered to be interest expenses and non-interest expenses, while outputs will be considered net interest income and non-interest income (model 2). Table 1 summarises these models. TABLE 1 ABOUT HERE. Step 2. Factor Analysis. Given the theory discussed above, there are a number of potential variables possible to explain the efficiency of foreign bank in Australia. Factor analysis will be applied to determine the common characteristics of these variables and to obtain a few uncorrelated variables that are linear combinations of the original variables. This approach will have the advantages of reducing the number of possible variables to a few key measures, of reducing the problems associated with multicollinearity in the third stage of this study, and (hopefully) ensuring that any complex interrelationships are reduced to a few variables representing the fundamental effects of concern. Factor analysis will be conducted using both image factoring and alpha factoring with the commonly used varimax rotation (Tabachnick and Fidell, 2001). Those factors selected for inclusion in the third stage of this research will have eigenvalues of greater than one. Step 3. Model Estimation. In step three the estimated factors from step two will be used as independent variables with the efficiency estimates from step one employed as dependent variables in unbalanced pooled regressions. Because the efficiency estimates from step one were estimated from a sample that includes both domestic and foreign banks, the diseconomies of the liability of foreignness will be controlled for. In order to achieve a parsimonious model specification, general to specific modelling (Hendry, 1995) will also be employed. 8 4. Data. The sample for the first stage of this study will be drawn from banks operating in Australia between 1988 and 2001. Following Sturm and Williams (2004) these banks will be classified as Big Four (the dominant four banks in Australia), Other Domestic (mainly regional banks) and Foreign Banks. The data will be sourced mainly from the bank’s individual annual reports, with some additional details, such as housing loans, obtained from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Bulletin and the website of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA). Details regarding this data are in the appendix as tables A1 and A2. Data for the factor analysis in the second stage was obtained from a number of different sources. Details regarding parent banks were obtained from Moody’s Credit Opinions: Financial Institutions. Trade and investment stocks and flows from the parent bank’s home nations were obtained from Australian Bureau Statistics publications. Parent nation data was obtained from the International Financial Statistics of the International Monetary Fund. Several measures of home nation comparative advantage are possible. These include trade measures and investment measures. Following the defensive expansion approach to multinational banking, several measures of following clients will be employed. The first measure will be home nation investment income, measured according to the IMF’s Balance of Payments convention, in that flows from Australia to the home nations will be measured as an outflow, with a negative value. A second measure of defensive expansion effects will be total home nation trade (exports plus imports) as a share of Australian GDP. Additional measures of defensive expansion effects will be home nation capital flow into Australia, and home nation capital stock in Australia, both in the relevant calendar year in billions of Australian dollars. In each case the investment measures will reflect direct investment rather than portfolio investment, reflecting the argument of Williams (2002) that direct investment is more likely to result in a need for a physical presence to satisfy the requirements of defensive expansion. As a last measure of home nation comparative advantage, the arguments of Buch and DeLong (2004) and Berger, et al. (2004) will be applied, in that nations with higher GDP per capita are more likely to have efficient domestic financial systems and so are able to export efficient financial practices into the host nation. Both Buch and DeLong (2004) 9 and Berger, et al. (2004) found banks from nations with higher GDP per capita are more likely to acquire banks in other nations and that banks from nations with lower GDP per capita are more likely to be targets in cross-border mergers. Given that cross border mergers are conducted with some expectation of gains, this observed regularity was argued by Buch and DeLong (2004) to reflect efficiency of the acquiring bank. This study will determine if this effect translates into observed increases in efficiency in the host nation. Measures of parent bank comparative advantage encompass parent profitability, parent size and parent experience. Measures of this type were not used by Buch and DeLong (2004) and Berger, et al. (2004). Following Focarelli and Pozzolo (2001, p 2326), parent profits acts as a possible measure of parent efficiency. While Williams (2003) did not find any evidence that parent bank profits affected foreign bank profits in Australia, it is possible that foreign bank efficiency in the host market is increased by parent profits, but that this does not translate into host nation profits. Two measures of parent profits in the home nation will be used, parent Return on Assets and parent Net Interest Margin. With parent bank size found to have in important role in multinational banking (Cho, 1985, Ursacki and Vertinsky, 1992), two measures of parent size will be used, log of parent assets and log of parent capital. In each case the foreign currency values will be converted into Australian dollars using the average of the relevant year’s exchange rate. A further parent bank advantage may be its experience of operating in the host nation (Tschoegl, 1982). This will be measured as the number of years since the first transaction based activity in Australia. The alternative measures of experience, those representing multinationality in general, are usually found to be highly correlated with measures of parent bank size (Cho, 1985). While Williams (1998a, and 1998b) found no evidence that this measure of experience impacted upon profits in the host nation, following the line of reasoning above, it is possible that efficiency but not profits in the host nation is increased by host nation experience. As a measure of host nation effects, this study will consider the barriers to entry confronting foreign banks in Australia. In this case these barriers to entry will be measured as competitor market share. As with Williams (2003), this will be specified as the market share of the Big Four banks, which dominate the Australian banking system, plus the markets share of all other banks of the same nationality. This will 10 measure the impact of market domination, as well as the competitiveness of the foreign banks with the other banks seeking to establish a beachhead (Fieleke, 1977) in the host nation by following their clients abroad. New trade theory emphasises the role of similarity between home and host nations in encouraging international investment. Following Berger, et al. (2004) three measures of similarity will be employed, (i) differences in home nation growth (Home nation real GDP growth – Australian real GDP growth); (ii) similarity of economic size (GDP); and, (iii) similarity of GDP per capita. Both of the last two measures will represent similarity as an index ranging between 0 and 1, with 1 representing complete similarity. In the case of GDP this will be calculated as [1 – abs (Home real GDP – real Australian GDP) / max(Home real GDP, Australian real GDP). Similarity of real GDP per capita will be calculated in the same manner. Some control variables will also be included to ensure that there are no nation- or firmspecific effects excluded from our consideration. It is possible that a combination of parent characteristics that are represented by its credit rating impact upon efficiency in the host nation. Thus a measure of ranked credit rating will be included, this will be constructed as having a value of 1 for all banks with a rating of AAA, if there are three such banks, then the banks with the next lowest rating (Aa1) will be ranked 4 and so forth. Further analysis will also be conducted in the third stage of this paper to determine if dummy variables representing nationality have any additional explanatory power after the variables represented by the factor analysis are considered. The descriptive statistics for the variables in the second stage factor analysis, as well as the additional control variables, are shown in Table 2. TABLE 2 ABOUT HERE. 5. Results. The efficiency estimates from the first stage estimation are summarised in the Appendix, Table 3. Consistent with Sturm and Williams (2004) the correlations between Models 1, 1a and 1b are the highest and the correlations with Model 2 are lower. The average estimated efficiency of between 80 and 85 per cent is also consistent with previous Australian studies, with some differences due to differences in 11 estimation technique and increases in sample population. Foreign banks are on average less efficient than the domestic incumbents, also consistent with previous global studies. However, one foreign bank is also the most efficient for each model, consistent with the limited global advantage hypothesis (Berger, et al., 2000). It should be noted that it is not the same foreign bank that is the most efficient for each model. The Kaiser’s measure of sampling adequacy and Bartlett test of sphericity both indicate factorability of the data. As the Kaiser’s test value is above the value of 0.6 and the Bartlett’s test is significant, the factorability of the correlation matrix is indicated.1 The factor analysis results are shown in Table 3. In the case of each of Alpha factoring and Image factoring, factors are chosen on the basis of an eigenvalue of one or greater. In each case five factors were extracted, with the extracted factors after varimax rotation showing high levels of commonality across the two factor analysis methods. In the case of Alpha factoring the five factors extracted accounted for over seventy percent of sample variance, while with the Image factor analysis five factors explained over sixty per cent of sample variance.2 In this study variables with a factor loading approximately equal to or greater than 0.5 will be interpreted, as shown by the shaded elements in Table 3, this critical value is greater than the value of 0.32 discussed in Tabachnick and Fidell (2001, p 625). TABLE 3 ABOUT HERE. The first factor found generally loaded on macroeconomic factors, with a combination of trade, home GDP per capita and the two similarity indices all loading on the same factor, as well as parent size. The macroeconomic factors had positive loadings while the similarity factors had negative values for their loading. This indicates that it is not possible to readily separate the impacts of comparative advantage and new trade theory. The second factor represented defensive expansion effects, with a positive loading on the two measures of direct investment into Australia (stock and flow) and negative loading on the measure of Home Nation Investment income. Given that this third variable is measured according to the IMF’s Balance of Payments conventions, this sign reflects the fact that outflows from Australia to the bank’s home nation are reported with a negative sign. The third factor in Alpha factor analysis loaded on the same 1 2 These results in the Appendix Table A4. These results are shown in the Appendix, Table A5. 12 variables as the fifth factor in Image factor analysis, and represented a mix of macroeconomic, defensive expansion and host nation effects. Home Nation Investment income again entered this factor with a negative loading and the factor analysis again was not able to distinguish between defensive expansion effects and new trade theory effects. In this case, the macroeconomic factors included home GDP per capita and differences in real GDP growth rates. This factor also included the impact of competitor market share. The fourth factor represented parent bank factors, loading on parent bank profits; experience in Australia and ranked home credit rating. The fifth factor in Alpha factor analysis loaded on the same variables as the third factor in Image factor analysis. The variables in this factor were again mixed, with the factor representing a mix of home nation (investment income), host nation (competitor market share) and parent bank effects (parent return on assets). As with the previous factors Home Nation Investment Income had a negative sign. Overall, the factor analysis was not able to separate the variables as cleanly as the theoretical framework depicted, in particular, macroeconomic factors representing comparative advantage theory tended to be included in the same factor as new trade theory variables. This outcome is consistent with Berger, et al. (2004), who concluded that both types of effects were relevant to cross-border mergers. However, factor loadings for parent effects and defensive expansion effects each tended to be more concentrated into a single factor. The third stage of the analysis of this study then employed the efficiency scores from the first stage analysis as dependent variables and used the calculated factors for each bank-year as the independent variables in a series of unbalanced panel regressions. Each of these regressions were estimated as random effects models with bank and time specific effects, as this was indicated by the Hausman and LM tests to be the most appropriate. In this third stage, the fully specified model including all the factors was estimated, together with a second model that also included the nation specific dummy variables.3 These results are shown in Table 4. Following these estimations a second set of regressions were estimated applying the general to specific approach outlined in Hendry (1995). Again two sets of models were estimated, one including the factors 3 The regressions results for the fully specified models without the nationality dummy are shown in the Appendix, Table A6. 13 from the second stage and one including these factors and the nation specific dummy variables.4 These results are shown in Table 5. TABLES 4 and 5 ABOUT HERE. In general the results for Models 1, 1a and 1b were different to those for Model 2. Models 1, 1a and 1b represent the efficiency of banks in transforming physical inputs and deposits into loans, off balance sheet items and investments (Model 1b), while Model 2 represents the efficiency of banks in transforming expenses into revenue. Thus they each reflect different aspects of bank efficiency, as is borne out by the empirical results in this study. Overall it was found that factor five, representing a mix of home host and parent variables had a consistently negative and significant relationship with bank efficiency measured using Models 1, 1a and 1b. Given that Home Nation Investment Income has a negative loading in this factor, this result shows that following clients increases bank efficiency in the host nation, consistent with the defensive expansion hypothesis. Further, competitor market share reduces bank efficiency in the host market, consistent with the profit results of Williams (2003), indicating that increased dominance of the host market by the incumbent banks results in the foreign entrants increasing expenditure on inputs to produce the same level of outputs, resulting in lower profits and efficiency. In the case of Model 1a, the retail focussed model, it was also found that factors one and two had negative relationships with foreign bank efficiency. This indicates that following clients, with the exception of Home Nation Investment Income (factor 2) reduces bank efficiency in the host nation. Further, home nation financial development, as measured by GDP per capita is associated with reduced efficiency in the host market, as is parent bank size. However, new trade theory is supported, with increased economic similarity increasing bank efficiency in the host nation. In the case of Models 1, 1a and 1b, dummy variables representing nationality indicate that banks from the United States tend to be less efficient, contrary to Berger, et al. (2000), who found banks from the United States to be more efficient in Europe. However Berger, et al. (2000) estimated cost and profit efficiency, which is closer in general approach to Model 2, which will be discussed below. 4 The regressions results for the general to specific models without the nationality dummy are shown in the Appendix, Table A7. 14 In the case of Model 2, representing the efficiency of revenue creation, factor 4, representing parent variables were found to be consistently negative and significant. This indicates that increased experience in the host nation, higher parent profits (as measured by parent Net Interest Margins) and higher credit ratings tend to result in lower revenue creation efficiency. The General to Specific reduced form model also showed that factor 3 has a significant and negative relationship with bank revenue creation efficiency. This indicates that following clients, as measured by Home Nation Investment Income, increases revenue creation efficiency. Consistent with the above results, competitor market share reduces revenue creation efficiency and higher levels of home nation financial development, as measured by GDP per capita, is associated with lower host nation revenue creation efficiency. Supporting new trade theory, it was also found that increased similarity in terms of real GDP growth rates increases revenue creation efficiency. Dummy variables representing nationality are positive and significant in the reduced form General to Specific regression for the United States and Japan. The result for the United States dummy variable is consistent with Berger, et al. (2000) and supports the limited global advantage hypothesis. 6. Conclusion. Overall, these results indicate that following clients will increase bank efficiency and that new trade theory tends to be a stronger explanation of differences in bank efficiency than the comparative advantage approach. However, the comparative advantage approach should not be rejected on the basis of these results, as factor analysis was not able to separate these two effects. Further, this is a study of a single host nation, unlike Berger, et al. (2000), who considered a multi-county sample. Banks from the United States are less efficient at transforming physical inputs into loans and other items, but more efficient in revenue creation efficiency. This second result is consistent with the limited global advantage hypothesis. Competitor market share reduces bank efficiency in the host nation, resulting in over use of inputs to produce outputs, and as shown by Williams (2003), resulting in lower profits. It was also found that home nation financial development is associated with reduced efficiency in the host nation and that positive attributes of parent banks such as increased size, higher profits and higher credit ratings have a negative impact on foreign bank efficiency in the host nation. 15 As with Berger, et al. (2004) (in the case of cross-border bank mergers) it is hoped that this paper will provide a call to research into factors determining foreign bank efficiency. This study has considered foreign bank efficiency from the perspective of one host nation, Australia, and using parametric distance functions and factor analysis. Thus there is a need to address this research question in a variety of nations and using different techniques. 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Rugman, ed.: New theories of the multinational enterprise (Croom Helm). Tschoegl, Adrian E., 2004, Who owns the major US subsidiaries of foreign banks? A note, International Financial Markets Institutions and Money 14, 255-266. Ursacki, Terry, and Ilan Vertinsky, 1992, Choice of entry timing and scale by foreign banks in Japan and Korea, Journal of Banking and Finance 16, 405-421. Williams, B., 1998a, Factors affecting the performance of foreign-owned banks in Australia: A cross-sectional study, Journal of Banking and Finance 22, 197-219. Williams, B., 1998b, A pooled study of the profits and size of foreign banks in Australia, Journal of Multinational Financial Management 8, 211-231. 17 Williams, Barry, 1997, Positive theories of multinational banking: Eclectic theory versus Internalisation theory, Journal of Economic Surveys 11, 71-100. Williams, Barry, 2002, The defensive expansion approach to multinational banking: Evidence to date, Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments 11, 127-203. Williams, Barry, 2003, Domestic and international determinants of bank profits: Foreign banks in Australia, Journal of Banking and Finance 27, 1185-1210. 18 Table 1: Summary of Models Employed. Model 1 Model 1a (retail model) Model 1b (wholesale model) Model 2 (revenue model) 19 Inputs (i) employees, (ii) deposits and borrowed funds, (iii) equity capital. (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. (i) interest expenses, (ii) non-interest expenses. Outputs (i) loans, (ii) off balance sheet activity. (i) loans less housing loans, (ii) housing loans, (iii) off balance sheet activity. (i) loans, (ii) investments, (iii) off balance sheet activity. (i) net interest income, (ii) non-interest income. Table 2. Descriptive statistics: Parent Characteristics. Home Country Home Nation Investment Income 127 -0.43 1.74 -3.53 2.34 Trade with Australia as a share of Aust. GDP 129 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.06 Home nation capital flow 128 1.28 1.27 -0.67 6.05 Home nation capital stock 129 21.87 12.70 0.75 57.06 Log (Home Nation GDP per capita) 132 10.30 0.50 7.89 11.10 Home Return on Assets 132 0.63 0.62 -1.66 3.02 Home Net Interest Margin 121 2.52 1.37 -1.62 4.93 Log(Home Assets) (Avg. Annual Ex Rate) 132 12.13 1.04 9.04 14.04 Log(Home Capital) (Avg. Annual Ex. Rate) 127 9.44 1.10 6.79 12.71 Experience in Aust. (years) 132 19.50 16.93 0.00 66.00 Ranked Home Credit Rating 109 97.38 54.74 16.00 183.50 132 0.58 0.08 0.46 0.71 Dummy English Language 132 0.58 0.49 0.00 1.00 Real growth differential to Australia 132 -0.30 2.61 -6.37 9.06 Index of comparative economic size 132 0.19 0.17 0.02 1.00 Index of comparative economic development 132 0.76 0.18 0.08 1.00 Dummy Canada 132 0.02 0.12 0.00 1.00 Dummy Germany 132 0.05 0.21 0.00 1.00 Dummy Hong Kong 132 0.01 0.09 0.00 1.00 Dummy Japan 132 0.26 0.44 0.00 1.00 Dummy Jordan 132 0.02 0.15 0.00 1.00 Dummy Singapore 132 0.05 0.21 0.00 1.00 Dummy Switzerland 132 0.02 0.15 0.00 1.00 Dummy UK 132 0.32 0.47 0.00 1.00 Dummy USA 132 0.25 0.43 0.00 1.00 Dummy Bank WA 132 0.06 0.24 0.00 1.00 Dummy ING 132 0.02 0.12 0.00 1.00 Parent Bank Host Nation Competitor Market share New Trade Theory Control 20 Table 3 Factor Analysis Results. Rotated Factor Matrix (a) Factor 1 Home Nation Investment Income Trade with Aust. As a share of Aust. GDP Home nation capital flow Home nation capital stock Log (home nation GDP per capita) Home ROA Home NIM 2 3 4 5 -.068 -.498 -.433 -.124 -.543 .963 .147 -.112 -.108 -.157 .064 .661 -.128 .084 .108 -.003 .863 .190 .388 .194 .750 .139 .485 -.108 .230 -.088 .133 -.087 .079 .848 -.391 .141 -.002 .561 .118 .261 -.385 -.242 .078 .605 .053 .680 .120 .525 -.711 -.101 .130 .141 -.113 -.017 -.274 .106 .014 .085 .724 .011 Log (Home assets) (Avg. .461 .381 Annual Ex. Rate) Experience in -.073 .203 Aust (years) Competitor .092 .246 Mkt. Share Real growth differential to -.011 .093 Aust. Index of -.746 -.039 similarity of GDP Index of similarity of -.926 .121 GDP per capita Ranked Home .126 .042 Credit Rating. Extraction Method: Alpha Factoring. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization. a Rotation converged in 7 iterations. 21 Table 3 Factor Analysis Results (cont’d). Rotated Factor Matrix (a) Factor 1 Home Nation Investment Income Trade with Aust. As a share of Aust. GDP Home nation capital flow Home nation capital stock Log (home nation GDP per capita) Home ROA Home NIM 2 3 4 5 -.069 -.481 -.563 -.160 -.341 .897 .117 -.131 -.099 -.058 .068 .617 .118 .077 -.087 .010 .726 .271 .364 .122 .729 .092 .289 -.096 .465 -.093 .127 .648 .109 -.066 .086 .583 -.039 -.188 -.287 .282 .085 .516 .046 .576 .124 .561 .006 -.102 -.587 .007 -.154 .177 -.018 .095 -.266 .071 .603 .119 -.425 .160 Log (Home assets) (Avg. .509 .333 Annual Ex. Rate) Experience in -.077 .217 Aust (years) Competitor .085 .257 Mkt. Share Real growth -.037 .047 differential to Aust. Index of similarity of -.781 -.055 GDP Index of -.883 .115 similarity of GDP per capita Ranked Home .101 .014 Credit Rating. Extraction Method: Image Factoring. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization. a Rotation converged in 6 iterations. Alpha Factor 1 = Image Factor 1: Macroeconomic Factors. Alpha Factor 2= Image Factor 2: Defensive Expansion Alpha Factor 3= Image Factor 5: Mixed Factor; Home and Host Effects Alpha Factor 4= Image Factor 4: Parent Factors Alpha Factor 5= Image Factor 3: Mixed Factor; Home / Host / Parent 22 Table 4. Random effects models with bank- and time-specific effects. Including dummy variables for nationality. t-statistics in parentheses. TE_M1 TE_M1 TE_M1A alpha img alpha 0.69 0.76 (3.58) (3.41) Constant Constant 0.02 0.05 ALPHAFAC1 IMGFAC1 (0.38) (0.67) 0.01 0.03 ALPHAFAC2 IMGFAC2 (0.20) (0.87) -0.02 -0.02 (-1.15) (-0.73) ALPHAFAC3 IMGFAC5 0.01 0.04 (0.18) (0.85) ALPHAFAC4 IMGFAC4 -0.05 -0.08 ALPHAFAC5 IMGFAC3 (-2.30) (-2.66) 0.21 0.16 (1.06) (0.66) DUMUK -0.08 -0.20 (-0.35) (-0.76) DUMUS 0.12 0.04 DUMJP (0.51) (0.14) 0.27 0.29 (1.07) (0.97) DUMCAN 0.26 0.20 (1.10) (0.71) DUMDE -0.09 0.01 DUMING (-0.35) (0.04) Alpha Factor 1 = Image Factor 1: Macroeconomic Factors. Alpha Factor 2= Image Factor 2: Defensive Expansion. Alpha Factor 3= Image Factor 5: Mixed Factor; Home and Host Effects. Alpha Factor 4= Image Factor 4: Parent Factors. Alpha Factor 5= Image Factor 3: Mixed Factor; Home / Host / Parent TE_M1A TE_M1B TE_M1B TE_M2 img alpha Img alpha 0.88 (6.08) 0.00 (-0.05) 0.06 (2.04) -0.03 (-1.33) 0.00 (0.02) -0.05 (-2.05) -0.03 (-0.21) -0.13 (-0.76) -0.09 (-0.45) 0.09 (0.53) 0.14 (0.87) -0.13 (-0.70) 0.91 (5.92) -0.04 (-0.47) 0.08 (2.57) -0.01 (-0.22) 0.04 (1.01) -0.06 (-2.18) -0.10 (-0.61) -0.17 (-0.89) -0.04 (-0.19) 0.06 (0.32) 0.09 (0.53) -0.13 (-0.49) 23 0.82 (5.82) -0.06 (-1.22) 0.00 (0.16) 0.00 (-0.28) 0.02 (0.93) -0.03 (-1.87) 0.00 (0.03) -0.06 (-0.35) 0.13 (0.70) 0.11 (0.61) 0.04 (0.26) -0.11 (-0.57) 0.92 (6.39) 0.00 (0.07) 0.03 (1.01) 0.00 (-0.11) 0.03 (0.79) -0.06 (-2.68) -0.03 (-0.20) -0.20 (-1.16) -0.04 (-0.24) 0.07 (0.36) 0.01 (0.03) -0.13 (-0.56) TE_M2 img 0.35 (1.56) -0.15 (-1.80) -0.09 (-2.31) 0.03 (1.21) -0.11 (-2.59) 0.03 (1.01) 0.42 (1.74) 0.76 (2.82) 0.59 (2.09) 0.23 (0.82) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) -0.36 (-0.94) -0.29 (-2.48) -0.04 (-0.97) 0.10 (1.98) -0.14 (-2.34) 0.06 (1.20) 0.96 (2.84) 1.56 (3.27) 1.44 (2.92) 0.61 (1.82) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) Table 5. General to Specific Reduced Form Model. Random effects models with bank- and time-specific effects (t-statistics in parentheses). Constant Constant ALPHAFAC1 IMGFAC1 ALPHAFAC2 IMGFAC2 ALPHAFAC3 IMGFAC5 ALPHAFAC4 IMGFAC4 ALPHAFAC5 IMGFAC3 DUMUK DUMUS TE_M1 TE_M1 TE_M1A TE_M1A TE_M1B TE_M1B TE_M2 TE_M2 alpha img alpha img alpha img alpha img 0.73 (15.89) 0.83 (18.65) 0.80 (29.72) 0.05 (2.67) 0.82 (35.90) -0.04 (-2.03) 0.05 (2.20) 0.88 (39.63) 0.88 (40.60) 0.84 (18.17) -0.02 (-1.85) -0.07 (-2.50) -0.06 (-3.87) 0.14 (1.66) -0.08 (-4.64) -0.04 (-2.73) -0.05 (-2.81) -0.19 (-2.28) -0.05 (-3.94) -0.13 (-3.07) -0.12 (-3.02) -0.18 (-1.80) -0.17 (-1.73) DUMCAN 0.19 (1.68) DUMING Alpha Factor 1 = Image Factor 1: Macroeconomic Factors. Alpha Factor 2= Image Factor 2: Defensive Expansion. Alpha Factor 3= Image Factor 5: Mixed Factor; Home and Host Effects. Alpha Factor 4= Image Factor 4: Parent Factors. Alpha Factor 5= Image Factor 3: Mixed Factor; Home / Host / Parent. 24 0.10 (2.07) -0.14 (-2.66) -0.06 (-4.29) DUMJP DUMDE -0.29 (-0.77) -0.26 (-2.41) 0.90 (2.74) 1.44 (3.15) 1.32 (2.78) 0.61 (1.73) Appendix. Table A1: Sample Characteristics. 2 1 3 6 2 3 13 18 4 8 7 19 3 8 15 26 3 4 12 19 3 8 15 26 4 9 8 21 3 8 13 24 3 8 13 24 3 8 13 24 4 10 7 21 4 9 13 26 4 9 13 26 4 9 13 26 4 10 7 21 4 9 12 25 4 9 12 25 4 9 12 25 4 10 7 21 4 9 11 24 4 9 11 24 4 9 11 24 4 12 7 23 Total 3 13 18 Total Foreign Big4 Other Domestic Model 2 2 Total Foreign Big4 Other Domestic Model 1b Total Big4 Other Domestic Model 1a Foreign 198 8 198 9 199 0 199 1 199 2 199 3 199 4 199 5 199 6 199 7 199 8 199 9 200 0 200 1 Foreign Big4 Other Domestic Model 1 4 10 11 25 4 10 11 25 4 10 11 25 4 10 7 21 4 10 9 23 4 10 9 23 4 10 9 23 4 11 5 20 4 10 6 20 4 10 6 20 4 10 6 20 4 11 4 19 4 7 6 17 4 7 6 17 4 7 6 17 4 8 4 16 4 5 4 13 4 5 4 13 4 5 4 13 4 9 5 18 4 5 5 14 4 5 5 14 4 5 5 14 4 7 6 17 4 5 4 13 4 5 4 13 4 5 4 13 4 8 7 19 4 5 3 12 4 5 3 12 4 5 3 12 4 8 4 16 Model 1: Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans, (ii) off balance sheet activity. Model 1a: Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans less housing loans, (ii) housing loans (iii) off balance sheet activity. Model 1b Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans, (ii) investments, (iii) off balance sheet activity. Model 2: Inputs: (i) interest expenses, (ii) non-interest expenses. Outputs: (i) net interest income, (ii) non-interest income. 25 Table A2. Descriptive Statistics. Australian Bank data. All values in $A,000 except Employees. Panel A: All banks Series Deposits Employees Housing loans Loans Non-interest income Off balance sheet activity Equity capital Interest income Interest expense Investments Non-interest expense Obs 334 341 361 334 321 304 364 324 322 334 283 Mean 16,627,473 7,497 4,080,611 17,246,386 494,091 7,925,736 1,699,438 2,030,574 1,324,700 3,599,697 872,726 Std. Error Minimum Maximum 31,670,293 2,607 191,000,000 14,146 43 50,366 7,811,910 0 47,679,000 33,448,542 188,471 208,000,000 961,216 1,678 6,522,999 17,324,183 0 96,141,000 3,484,645 21,999 23,556,999 3,564,893 31,235 19,918,999 2,272,543 6,150 12,958,999 6,158,195 2,700 45,165,999 1,440,134 8,131 8,348,999 Panel B: Big four banks: Series Obs Mean Std. Error Minimum Maximum Deposits 56 78,631,183 34,541,815 27,577,499 191,000,000 Employees 56 38,552 6,608 22,500 50,366 Housing loans 56 18,759,232 9,994,634 4,370,841 47,679,000 Loans 56 81,615,712 38,934,619 26,445,398 208,000,000 Non-interest income 56 2,124,322 1,125,816 626,499 6,522,999 Off balance sheet activity 52 41,359,625 19,934,037 5,510,000 96,141,000 Equity capital 56 8,674,520 4,393,153 2,491,899 23,556,999 Interest income 56 9,281,054 2,835,641 4,902,799 19,918,999 Interest expense 56 5,834,337 2,030,585 3,103,399 12,958,999 Investments 56 14,866,742 6,556,399 6,403,099 45,165,999 Non-interest expense 56 3,450,101 1,160,910 1,799,699 8,348,999 Panel C: Other domestic banks Series Obs Mean Deposits 134 6,803,024 Employees 134 2,242 Housing loans 139 2,544,646 Loans 134 6,655,576 Non-interest income 133 233,326 Off balance sheet activity 119 1,392,368 Equity capital 157 597,805 Interest income 133 763,401 Interest expense 133 538,757 Investments 134 1,932,073 Non-interest expense 131 334,516 26 Std. Error 7,403,338 2,368 3,461,435 7,763,194 565,918 1,877,616 815,295 764,347 550,861 3,369,209 574,008 Minimum 267,770 45 0 188,471 1,678 0 21,999 46,361 6,150 54,484 22,322 Maximum 37,853,918 11,495 20,300,100 39,698,998 4,331,999 9,826,000 3,858,999 3,310,999 2,457,599 29,246,999 4,260,999 Panel D: Foreign banks Series Deposits Employees Housing loans Loans Non-interest income Off balance sheet activity Equity capital Interest income Interest expense Investments Non-interest expense Obs 144 151 166 144 132 133 151 135 133 144 96 Mean 1,657,115 644 414,926 2,069,206 65,217 699,486 258,060 271,368 211,849 769,886 103,689 27 Std. Error Minimum Maximum 2,037,772 2,607 12,322,799 788 43 3,311 1,093,813 0 6,386,400 2,564,837 295,810 16,633,098 107,813 2,121 580,545 893,698 5,772 5,086,258 304,297 21,999 1,576,768 276,123 31,235 1,344,199 198,942 21,494 947,099 914,925 2,700 5,051,665 111,618 8,131 568,217 Table A3. Average efficiency scores. All Banks. Series Obs Mean Std.Error Minimum Maximum Model 1 280 0.83 0.12 0.24 0.96 Model 1a 261 0.83 0.09 0.51 0.96 Model 1b 280 0.86 0.08 0.51 0.97 Model 2 272 0.87 0.10 0.16 0.97 Correlation between efficiency scores: All Banks. Observations \ Correlation Model 1 Model 1a Model 1b Model 2 Model 1 280 0.70 0.63 -0.03 Model 1a 261 261 0.61 -0.01 Model 1b 280 261 280 -0.08 Model 2 232 221 232 272 Foreign Banks. Series Obs Mean Std.Error Minimum Maximum Model 1 125 0.80 0.17 0.24 0.96 Model 1a 112 0.83 0.11 0.51 0.96 Model 1b 125 0.85 0.10 0.51 0.97 Model 2 85 0.85 0.13 0.16 0.97 Correlation between efficiency scores: Foreign Banks. Observations \ Correlation Model 1 Model 1a Model 1b Model 2 Model 1 125 0.74 0.68 -0.15 Model 1a 112 112 0.64 -0.16 Model 1b 125 112 125 -0.17 Model 2 78 73 78 85 Model 1: Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans, (ii) off balance sheet activity. Model 1a: Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans less housing loans, (ii) housing loans (iii) off balance sheet activity. Model 1b Inputs: (i) employees, (ii) deposits, (iii) equity capital. Outputs: (i) loans, (ii) investments, (iii) off balance sheet activity. Model 2: Inputs: (i) interest expenses, (ii) non-interest expenses. Outputs: (i) net interest income, (ii) non-interest income. 28 Table A4. KMO and Bartlett's Tests of Factorability. Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy. Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Approx. Chi-Square df Sig. .664 1203.066 91 .000 29 Table A5. Total Variance Explained Factor Initial Eigenvalues Total Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Total Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings % of Variance Cumulative % % of Variance Cumulative % 1 3.881 27.720 27.720 3.589 25.633 25.633 Total 3.315 % of Variance 23.681 Cumulative % 23.681 2 3.354 23.954 51.674 3.152 22.517 48.150 1.782 12.727 36.408 3 1.555 11.110 62.783 1.236 8.832 56.982 1.639 11.705 48.114 4 1.439 10.275 73.059 1.051 7.505 64.487 1.605 11.466 59.580 5 1.111 7.938 80.997 .824 5.882 70.369 1.510 10.789 70.369 6 .658 4.701 85.697 7 .567 4.052 89.750 8 .421 3.006 92.755 9 .394 2.813 95.568 10 .185 1.322 96.891 11 .170 1.212 98.102 12 .116 .825 98.928 13 .091 .653 99.581 14 .059 .419 100.000 Extraction Method: Alpha Factoring. Total Variance Explained Factor Initial Eigenvalues Total % of Variance Cumulative % Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings % of Cumulative Total Variance % Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings % of Total Variance Cumulative % 1 3.881 27.720 27.720 3.522 25.158 25.158 3.208 22.914 22.914 2 3.354 23.954 51.674 2.773 19.810 44.968 1.447 10.333 33.247 3 1.555 11.110 62.783 .974 6.955 51.923 1.311 9.366 42.612 4 1.439 10.275 73.059 .723 5.161 57.084 1.306 9.330 51.942 5 1.111 7.938 80.997 .502 3.583 60.668 1.222 8.726 60.668 6 .658 4.701 85.697 7 .567 4.052 89.750 8 .421 3.006 92.755 9 .394 2.813 95.568 10 .185 1.322 96.891 11 .170 1.212 98.102 12 .116 .825 98.928 13 .091 .653 99.581 14 .059 .419 100.000 Extraction Method: Image Factoring. 30 Table A6. Random effects models with bank- and time-specific effects. No Dummy variables for Nationality. t-statistics in parentheses Constant Constant ALPHAFAC1 IMGFAC1 ALPHAFAC2 IMGFAC2 ALPHAFAC3 IMGFAC5 ALPHAFAC4 IMGFAC4 ALPHAFAC5 IMGFAC3 TE_M1 TE_M1 TE_M1A TE_M1A alpha 0.78 (18.64) -0.02 (-0.74) -0.01 (-0.33) -0.01 (-0.62) -0.01 (-0.33) -0.05 (-2.52) img alpha img 0.78 (15.59) -0.01 (-0.21) 0.01 (0.41) 0.00 (0.02) 0.01 (0.25) -0.08 (-2.73) 0.82 (27.50) -0.04 (-2.00) 0.03 (1.40) -0.02 (-0.94) -0.01 (-0.56) -0.04 (-1.93) 0.82 (25.61) -0.04 (-1.71) 0.05 (2.02) 0.00 (-0.20) 0.00 (0.19) -0.05 (-2.04) Alpha Factor 1 = Image Factor 1: Macroeconomic Factors. Alpha Factor 2= Image Factor 2: Defensive Expansion Alpha Factor 3= Image Factor 5: Mixed Factor; Home and Host Effects Alpha Factor 4= Image Factor 4: Parent Factors Alpha Factor 5= Image Factor 3: Mixed Factor; Home / Host / Parent 31 TE_M1B TE_M1B TE_M2 TE_M2 alpha img alpha 0.86 (15.91) -0.04 (-0.82) -0.04 (-1.21) 0.00 (0.02) -0.07 (-2.26) 0.03 (1.01) Img 0.84 (30.06) -0.04 (-1.67) -0.01 (-0.28) -0.01 (-0.48) 0.00 (-0.02) -0.04 (-2.52) 0.84 (29.33) -0.02 (-0.81) 0.01 (0.33) 0.01 (0.33) 0.00 (-0.07) -0.06 (-2.70) 0.85 (14.64) -0.01 (-0.15) 0.01 (0.20) -0.03 (-0.85) -0.07 (-1.58) 0.04 (0.93) Table A7. General to Specific Reduced Form Model. Random effects models with bank- and time-specific effects No Dummy variables for Nationality. t-statistics in parentheses TE_M1 TE_M1 TE_M1A TE_M1A TE_M1B TE_M1B TE_M2 TE_M2 alpha img alpha img alpha img alpha img Constant Constant ALPHAFAC1 IMGFAC1 ALPHAFAC2 IMGFAC2 ALPHAFAC3 IMGFAC5 ALPHAFAC4 IMGFAC4 ALPHAFAC5 IMGFAC3 0.78 (19.82) 0.78 (20.52) 0.82 (35.62) -0.05 (-2.35) 0.03 (1.96) 0.82 (35.90) -0.04 (-2.03) 0.05 (2.20) 0.84 (36.41) -0.03 (-1.88) 0.84 (47.03) 0.84 (18.17) 0.84 (15.49) -0.07 (-2.50) -0.07 (-1.99) -0.02 (-1.80) -0.06 (-3.86) -0.08 (-4.64) -0.04 (-2.82) -0.05 (-2.81) Alpha Factor 1 = Image Factor 1: Macroeconomic Factors. Alpha Factor 2= Image Factor 2: Defensive Expansion Alpha Factor 3= Image Factor 5: Mixed Factor; Home and Host Effects Alpha Factor 4= Image Factor 4: Parent Factors Alpha Factor 5= Image Factor 3: Mixed Factor; Home / Host / Parent 32 -0.04 (-3.52) -0.06 (-4.36)