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Why did ancient civilization fall? http://www.learner.org/interactives/collapse/ The history of humankind has been marked by patterns of growth and decline. Some declines have been gradual, occurring over centuries. Others have been rapid, occurring over the course of a few years. War, drought, natural disaster, disease, overpopulation, economic disruption: any of these or a combination of these events can bring about the collapse of a civilization. Internal causes (such as political struggles or overfarming) can combine with external causes (such as war or natural disaster) to bring about a collapse. What does this mean for modern civilizations? What can we learn from the past? Fall of Civilization: 1.Climate change Signs of climate change • seasons are shifting, • temperatures are climbing • sea levels are rising Impacts • Changing landscapes • Wildlife at risk • Rising seas • Increased risk of drought, fire and floods • Stronger storms and increased storm damage • More heat-related illness and disease • Economic losses Climate Change Linked to Civilization Collapse http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2001/02/0227_climate4.html This crumbling Mayan temple, long since abandoned, is in the Lacandón rain forest of Guatemala. Scientists believe that climate change might be one of the causes leading to the collapse of the Mayan civilization. An article in a 1995 issue of Nature pointed to drought as one cause of the demise of the Maya civilization. Its writers argued that internal factors, including population growth and environmental degradation, worked with climate change and led to the Maya collapse. Weiss H.,and Bradley R.S., 2001. "Archaeology. What drives societal collapse?". Science 291 (5504): 609–10. Climate Change Killed off Maya Civilization http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2003/03/0313_030313_mayadrought.html Experts say the Maya collapse could serve as a valuable lesson today to societies in Africa and elsewhere that are vulnerable to droughts. When droughts strike, they can trigger a chain reaction beginning with crop failures, leading to malnutrition, increased disease and competition for resources, and ultimately causing warfare between nations and sociopolitical upheaval. Harvey Weiss is an archaeologist “abrupt climate change 4,200 years before present that reduced agricultural production in northern Mesopotamia, reduced and disrupted Akkadian imperial revenues there, and thereby forced the Akkadian political collapse in southern Mesopotamia Akkadian Empire” In Mesopotamia, a canal-supported agricultural society collapsed after a severe 200-year drought about 3,400 years ago. With wetter conditions, civilizations thrived in the Mediterranean, Egypt, and West Asia. Ten years after their economic peak in 2,300 B.C., however, catastrophic droughts and cooling hurt agricultural production and caused regional collapse. Salinization problem The Sumerians had a salinization problem. Evaporating water left behind layers of salt, and rising water tables brought more salt to the surface. Sumerians wrote of the earth turning white. A solution to the problem was to leave lands not watered for many seasons, to let the water table fall and let rain wash the salt down far below the surface. But this would have taken years. It was not done. Wheat is less tolerant of salt than barley, and Sumerian clay tablets describe the Sumerian diet changing from wheat to barley. Then the growing of barley and other crops diminished and the Sumerians suffered from hunger, malnutrition and disease. A Sumer weakened has been described as unable to defend itself Fall of Civilization: 2.Volcanic eruption The volume of ejecta and the plume height of the eruption column are probably the two most reliable criteria to use in giving an eruption a VEI number. The VEI numbers below correspond the the following eruption characteristics: VEI PLUME HEIGHT VOLUME CLASSIFICATION 0 <100 m 1000s m3 Hawaiian Kilauea 1 100-1000 m 10,000s m3 Hawaiian/Strombolia n Stromboli 2 1-5 km 1,000,000s m3 Strombolian/Vulcania n Galeras (1992) 3 3-15 km 10,000,000 m3 Vulcanian Ruiz (1985) 4 10-25 km 100,000,000s m3 Vulcanian/Plinian Galunggung (1982) 5 >25 km 1 km3 Plinian St. Helens (1980) 6 >25 km 10s km3 Plinian/Ultra-Plinian Krakatau (1883) 7 >25 km 100s km3 Ultra-Plinian Tambora (1815) http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcanoes_work/Variability.html#anchor762852 EXAMPLE The Santorini eruption (1650 BC) The Minoan eruption of Thera, also referred to as the Thera eruption or Santorini eruption, was a major catastrophic volcanic eruption (Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) = 6 or 7, Dense-rock equivalent (DRE) = 60 km3) which is estimated to have occurred in the mid second millennium BC. The eruption was one of the largest volcanic events on Earth in recorded history. The eruption devastated the island of Thera (also called Santorini), including the Minoan settlement at Akrotiri -- as well as communities and agricultural areas on nearby islands and on the coast of Crete. it has been speculated that the Minoan eruption and the destruction of the city at Akrotiri provided the basis for or otherwise inspired Plato's story of Atlantis. Santorini island, Greece Background (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minoan_eruption) Geological evidence shows the Thera volcano erupted numerous times over several hundred thousand years before the Minoan eruption. In a repeating process, the volcano would violently erupt, then eventually collapse into a roughly circular seawater-filled caldera, with numerous small islands forming the circle. The caldera would slowly refill with magma, building a new volcano, which erupted and then collapsed in an ongoing cyclical process.] Another famous volcano known to repeat a similar process is Krakatoa in Indonesia. Immediately prior to the Minoan eruption, the walls of the caldera formed a nearly continuous ring of islands with the only entrance lying between Thera and the tiny island of Aspronisi. This cataclysmic eruption was centered on a small island just north of the existing island of Nea Kameni in the centre of the then-existing caldera. The northern part of the caldera was refilled by the volcanic ash and lava, then collapsed again. The Eruption Intense magmatic activity of the first major phase of the eruption deposited up to 7 m (23 ft) of pumice and ash, with a minor lithic component, southeast and east. Archaeological evidence indicated burial of man-made structures with limited damage. The second and third eruption phases involved pyroclastic flow activity and the possible generation of tsunamis. Man-made structures not buried during the first phase were completely destroyed. The third phase was also characterized by the initiation of caldera collapse. The fourth, and last, major phase was marked by varied activity: lithic-rich base surge deposits, lahars, debris flows, and co-ignimbrite ash-fall deposits. This phase was characterized by the completion of caldera collapse, which produced tsunami. The Kameni Islands formed after the caldera. Eleven eruptions since 197 B.C. have made the two islands. The most recent eruption at Santorini was in 1950 on Nea Kameni, the northern island. The eruption was phreatic and lasted less than a month. It co nstructed a dome and produced lava flows. The Tephra On Santorini, there is a 60 m (200 ft) thick layer of white tephra that overlies the soil clearly delineating the ground level prior to the eruption. This layer has three distinct bands that indicate the different phases of the eruption: Studies have identified four major eruption phases, and one minor precursory tephra fall. The thinness of the first ash layer, along with the lack of noticeable erosion of that layer by winter rains before the next layer was deposited, indicate that the volcano gave the local population a few months' warning. Since no remains have been found at the Akrotiri site, this preliminary volcanic activity probably caused the island's population to flee. It is also suggested that several months before the eruption, Santorini experienced one or more earthquake(s), which damaged the local settlements. The Minoan eruption is a key marker for the Bronze Age archaeology of the Eastern Mediterranean world. http://www.decadevolcano.net/s antorini/minoaneruption.htm Volcanology (www.decadevolcano.net/santorini/...tion.htm) This Plinian eruption resulted in an estimated 30 to 35 km (19 to 22 mi) high plume which extended into the stratosphere. In addition, the magma underlying the volcano came into contact with the shallow marine embayment, resulting in a violent steam eruption. The event also generated a 35 to 150 m (115 to 490 ft) high tsunami that devastated the north coast of Crete, 110 km (68 mi) away. The tsunami had an impact on coastal towns such as Amnisos, where building walls were knocked out of alignment. On the island of Anafi, 27 km (17 mi) to the east, ash layers 3 m (10 ft) deep have been found, as well as pumice layers on slopes 250 m (820 ft) above sea level. Detail of a lpartly charred branch in the big hole visible on the previous photo. Preliminary results of the C-14 anaylses confirm an age around 1700-1600 BC. Climatic effects Hydrogeologist Philip LaMoreaux asserted in 1995 that the eruption caused significant climatic changes in the eastern Mediterranean region, Aegean Sea and much of the Northern Hemisphere, but this was forcefully rebutted by volcanologist David Pyle a year later. Around the time of the radiocarbonindicated date of the eruption, there is evidence for a significant climatic event in the Northern Hemisphere. The evidence includes failure of crops in China, as well as evidence from tree rings: bristlecone pines of California; bog oaks of Ireland, England, and Germany; and other trees in Sweden. The tree rings precisely date the event to 1628 BC. Minoan civilization The eruption devastated the nearby Minoan settlement at Akrotiri on Santorini, which was entombed in a layer of pumice. It is believed that the eruption also severely affected the Minoan population on Crete, although the extent of the impact is debated. Early theories proposed that ashfall from Thera on the eastern half of Crete choked off plant life, causing starvation of the local population. However, after more thorough field examinations, this theory has lost credibility, as it has been determined that no more than 5 mm (0.20 in) of ash fell anywhere on Crete. Other theories have been proposed based on archeological evidence found on Crete indicating that a tsunami, likely associated with the eruption, impacted the coastal areas of Crete and may have severely devastated the Minoan coastal settlements. A more recent theory is that much of the damage done to Minoan sites resulted from a large earthquake that preceded the Thera Eruption. Significant Minoan remains have been found above the Late Minoan I era Thera ash layer, implying that the Thera eruption did not cause the immediate downfall of the Minoans. As the Minoans were a sea power and depended on their naval and merchant ships for their livelihood, the Thera eruption likely caused significant economic hardship to the Minoans, and the loss of empire in the long run. Whether these effects were enough to trigger the downfall of the Minoan civilization is under intense debate. The Mycenaean conquest of the Minoans occurred in Late Minoan II period, not many years after the eruption, and many archaeologists speculate that the eruption induced a crisis in Minoan civilization, which allowed the Mycenaeans to conquer them easily. Minoan ruin Akroteri, a Minoan city on the south part of Thera, is being excavated. About 3-6 feet (1-2 m) of ash fell on the city which had a population of about 30,000. The residents appear to have been successfully evacuated prior to the eruption. No bodies hav e been found in the ash like those at Vesuvius. Archeologists also reported that movable objects had been taken from the city. Santorini Eruption and the Legend of Atlantis Plato Solon Atlantis The Greek philosopher Plato (427-347 BC) describes in his dialogs Critias and Timaeus the disappearance of Atlantis, a circular island populated by talented people of high culture and wealth. Plato's account was originally derived from Solon (640-560 BC), the great sage and lawgiver from Athens. While visiting the town of Sais on the Nile delta, Solon was told by Egyptian priests of the disappearance of a great island empire. In the modern era, geologic and archeological investigations hint at an intriguing possibility -- that the demise of Atlantis may be related to a catastrophic Bronze Age eruption in the Aegean Sea, which generated a flooded caldera and destroyed an advanced Minoan civilization living on the island group of Santorini. Fall of Civilization: 3. Earthquake December 26, 2003, earthquake magnitude 6.6 hit Bam an ancient city of Iran Thirteen of 15 major ancient civilizations (red dots) clustered mostly along tectonic boundaries. http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2008/08/22-03.html The Harappan enigma The Harappan civilization mysteriously disappeared in 1900 BC, after almost 2,000 years of continuous existence. Some researchers have argued that the civilization slowly declined because of changing trade patterns; others, now mostly discredited, blamed Aryan invaders from the north. Prasad and Nur blame earthquakes. In January 2001, a catastrophic earthquake struck the southern edge of the former Harappan territory, a coastal area near the border between India and Pakistan. In 1819, a similar earthquake raised an 80 to 100kilometer (50 to 62 mile) ridge of earth about 20 feet (6 meters), creating an artificial dam known as the "Allah Bund" (God's Dam). Both earthquakes are evidence that the Harappan region, though not near a traditional fault zone, is seismically active. Manika Prasad, a research associate in the Rock Physics Laboratory at Stanford, has helped expand the study of ancient earthquakes beyond the Eastern Mediterranean. Together with Nur, Prasad is studying the contribution of earthquakes to the collapse of the Harappan civilization in South Asia. (http://www.spacedaily.com/news/earth quake-01g.html) Evidence for Tectonic Activity During the Mature Harappan Civilization, 2600-1800 BC. Grijalva, K. A.; Kovach, R. L.; Nur, A. M. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2006, abstract #T51D-1553 The mature Harappan civilization located in Pakistan and India dates from 2600 to 1800 BC. By combining seismic data, three-dimensional elastic dislocation modeling, and archaeological findings we examined the role that earthquakes played in the demise of Harappan settlements. …………A number of the mature Harappan settlements are located along the dry Sarasvati-Ghaggar-Hakra river system. The decline of these sites coincides with the divergence of the SarasvatiGhaggar-Hakra system to the Indus and Ganga river systems. A succession of earthquakes, along with a period of aridity, likely led to the disappearance of the Sarasvati-Ghaggar-Hakra system. ……... Along the Makran coast two settlements, believed to have been Harappan seaports, are now located tens of kilometers inland. ……….. Dislocation modeling demonstrates that several great subduction earthquakes in the historical past could easily have raised the Harappan settlements to their current inland positions above sea level. The examples presented demonstrate that earthquakes affected the demise of several Harappan sites either by direct shaking damage, altering the water supply, or by changing the relative sea level. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2006AGUFM.T51D1553G Earthquake and stream diversion The evidence of seismic activity in the region, combined with the recent discovery of an ancient riverbed at the center of the former Harappan region, offers a possible explanation for the civilization's decline. Four millennia ago, one or more quakes could have blocked or diverted the water that flowed through the riverbed, say Prasad and Nur. That would have helped turn the part of the Harappan region into the desert it is today -- and destroyed the Harappan civilization in the process. ......ประมาณ พ.ศ. 1552 อาณาจักรโยนกนาคนครใน Thailand‟s Version? สมั ย พระเจ้ ามหาชั ย ชนะ ได้ เกิ ด น า้ ท่ ว มฉั บ พลั น เนื่องมาจากพนังกัน้ นา้ หรื อเขื่อนเหนือนา้ พังทลายลง จนทาให้ ที่ตงเมื ั ้ องกลายเป็ นหนองน ้าใหญ่ เรี ยกว่าเวียง หนองล่ ม ที่ บ้ านท่ า ข้ าวเปลื อ ก ซึ่ ง อยู่ ไ ม่ ห่ า งจาก ทะเลสาบเชียงแสน และบริ เวณที่แม่น ้ากกต่อกับแม่น ้า โขง ใกล้ วดั พระธาตุผาเงาและพระธาตุดอยตุง จังหวัด เชียงราย) จนเป็ นเหตุให้ บรรดาราชวงศ์กษัตริ ย์และขุน นางของโยนกนาคนครเสียชี วิตด้ วยเหตุนา้ ท่วมเมื อง ทังหมด ้ พวกชาวบ้ านที่เหลือรอดชีวิตได้ ประชุมปรึกษา กัน เลื อ กตัง้ ให้ ค นกลุ่ม หนึ่ง ที่ มิ ใ ช่ เ ชื อ้ สายราชวงศ์ ขึ น้ ดูแลพวกตน เรี ยกว่า ขุนแต่งเมือง และเรี ยกชุมชนแห่ง นั น้ ว่ า “เ วี ย ง ป รึ ก ษ า ”เ ป็ น เ ว ลา ต่ อ ไ ป อี ก 94 ปี อาณาจั ก รโยนกนาคนครจึ ง สิ น้ สุ ด ลงเพราะเกิ ด แผ่นดินไหว ในสมัยพระมหาชัย....... แคว้นโยนก: จากวิกิพีเดีย สารานุกรมเสรี ตามตานานสิงหนวัติที่พบเป็ นเอกสารลายลักษณ์ อั ก ษรในสมั ย ล้ านนาว่ า ในยุ ค พระมหาไชยชนะ กษัตริย์องค์สดุ ท้ ายแห่งนครโยนก ชาวเมืองทาผิดฮีต ฮอยด้ วยการจั บ ปลาไหลเผื อ กมาสู่ กั น กิ น เวี ย ง (นคร) จึงล่มสลายจมดินไป ในปั จจุบนั ปรากฏหนอง น ้าขนาดใหญ่อยู่บริ เวณเขตรอยต่ออาเภอแม่จนั และ อาเภอเชียงแสน ที่เชื่อกันว่าเคยเป็ นเวียงหนองล่มมา แต่เก่าก่อนแหล่งน ้าแห่งนี ้น่าจะมีความสาคัญต่อการ ด ารงชี วิ ต ของผู้ คนบนที่ ร าบเชี ย งแสน ในทาง ธรณีวิทยาพบหลักฐานว่าบริ เวณนี ้เป็ นแนวพาดผ่าน ของรอยเลื่อนของเปลือกโลกถึงสองแนว ซึ่งลักษณะ เช่ น นี เ้ ป็ นสาเหตุ ใ ห้ เกิ ด แผ่ น ดิ น ไหวขึ น้ บ่ อ ยครั ง้ อนุมานได้ ว่า เหตุการณ์ ในตานานกินปลาไหลเผือก เวี ย งล่ ม นั น้ จึ ง เป็ นการสร้ างต านานเพื่ อ อธิ บ าย ปรากฏการณ์ทางธรรมชาติของการเกิดขึ ้นของหนอง น ้าแห่งนี ้ Fall of Civilization: 4. Pollution Intensive mining of mercury (Hg) began around 1400 BC in the central Peruvian Andes. Cinnabar (HgS or mercuric sulphide) is the primary natural source of mercury (Hg), and forms a bright red pigment (vermillion) when powdered. In the Andes vermillion was used as either a body paint or a covering on ceremonial gold objects from the first (Chavín) to the last (Inca) Andean empires. Mining appears to have began before the rise of any complex or highly stratified society (around 1400 BC). The mercury amounts peaked, however, at about 500 BC (the height of the Chavín culture) and again about 1450 AD (the height of the Inca culture, with Inca expansion into the central Andes). In between, by 800 AD, there was a brief renewal in cinnabar mining. Inca mining continued until 1564 AD when the Spanish crown assumed control Scientists analyzed the pollution brought about by mercury mining in sediment cores from „lakebeds near old mines in Huancavelica, Peru, a city of 40,000 located 140 miles (225 kilometers) southeast of Lima, and the world‟s second largest mercury deposit after Almadén, Spain.‟ An international team of researchers has looked at mercury deposits in lakes around Huancavelica in the Peruvian Andes, home of the largest deposits of mercuric ore in the New World. Unlike studies in the Northern hemisphere, where there is no real evidence of pre-industrial mining of mercury, the team found that Andean cinnabar mining – and the associated mercury pollution – dated back nearly 3000 years to 1400 BC. With the increased colonial demand for liquid mercury to use in amalgamation to purify silver and gold, mercury levels rose massively, with a much greater proportion being attributable to free mercury rather than cinnabar. The smelting of the ore in the area around the mines gave rise to high atmospheric concentrations of mercury, making it a dangerous place to work and earning it the nickname mina de la muerte (mine of death). Mercury residues also became much more widespread, rather than being concentrated around Huancavelica.