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Health Psychology 2013, Vol. 32, No. 9, 978 –985 © 2013 American Psychological Association 0278-6133/13/$12.00 http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/a0031590 Inviting Free-Riders or Appealing to Prosocial Behavior? Game-Theoretical Reflections on Communicating Herd Immunity in Vaccine Advocacy Cornelia Betsch, Robert Böhm, and Lars Korn This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. University of Erfurt Objective: Vaccination yields a direct effect by reducing infection, but also has the indirect effect of herd immunity: If many individuals are vaccinated, the immune population will protect unvaccinated individuals (social benefit). However, due to a vaccination’s costs and risks, individual incentives to free-ride on others’ protection also increase with the number of individuals who are already vaccinated (individual benefit). The objective was to assess the consequences of communicating the social and/or individual benefits of herd immunity on vaccination intentions. We assume that if social benefits are salient, vaccination intentions increase (prosocial behavior), whereas salience of individual benefits might decrease vaccination intentions (free-riding). Methods: In an online-experiment (N ⫽ 342) the definition of herd immunity was provided with one sentence summarizing the gist of the message, either making the individual or social benefit salient or both. A control group received no information about herd immunity. As a moderator, we tested the costs of vaccination (effort in obtaining the vaccine). The dependent measure was intention to vaccinate. Results: When a message emphasized individual benefit, vaccination intentions decreased (free-riding). Communication of social benefit reduced free-riding and increased vaccination intentions when costs to vaccinate were low. Conclusions: Communicating the social benefit of vaccination may prevent free-riding and should thus be explicitly communicated if individual decisions are meant to consider public health benefits. Especially when vaccination is not the individually (but instead collectively) optimal solution, vaccinations should be easily accessible in order to reach high coverage. Keywords: public health, immunization, social dilemma, advocacy, communication strategies Vaccination yields a direct effect by reducing infection. Moreover, vaccination against contagious diseases has an additional indirect effect (Fine, Eames, & Heymann, 2011): The transmission of a disease is reduced with an increasing number of vaccinated individuals. An indirect effect of vaccination can have two major implications: On the one hand, each vaccination reduces the transmission of an infection in the population (Anderson & May, 1991), which protects other susceptible individuals (for instance, those who are too young to vaccinate or are immunocompromised). With a critical vaccination level, herd immunity and disease eradication can be reached (e.g., 95% vaccine coverage will allow for eradication of the measles in Europe; Christie & Gay, 2011; Smith, 1970). Hence, vaccination yields a social benefit, as vaccine coverage above the critical level is optimal from the collective perspective. On the other hand, if everyone else is directly protected by vaccination, free-riders (or free-loaders; see Fine et al., 2011) can benefit from the indirect effects of vaccination, and henceforth avoid individual costs of vaccination (e.g., money, time, vaccineadverse events, inconvenience). The indirect effect of vaccination, therefore, also yields an individual benefit. The presence and awareness of both individual and social benefit from herd immunity result in a mixed-motive situation that renders vaccination a strategic interaction (Schelling, 1960). In order to reach public health goals, high vaccination uptake is of major importance for society. It is therefore a fundamental question how societies can increase vaccination uptake. We investigated how the communication of herd immunity may affect vaccination uptake. More precisely, we examined how the Vaccination is typically treated as an individual decisionmaking task. In addition to motivational factors, such as adherence to social norms (Brown et al., 2011; Liao, Cowling, Lam, & Fielding, 2011; Sturm, Mays, & Zimet, 2005; Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980), a vaccination’s (perceived) individual costs and benefits are especially predictive of vaccination intention. This is proposed by several theoretical models of preventive health behavior (for an overview see Weinstein, 1993) and has been confirmed by empirical work (e.g., Brewer et al., 2007; Brewer & Fazekas, 2007; Nguyen, Henningsen, Brehaut, Hoe, & Wilson, 2011). Costs (barriers) of vaccination can be monetary and nonmonetary, such as the time needed to obtain a vaccination, but also include the risks associated with vaccination such as the occurrence of vaccineadverse events. Benefits of vaccination vary according to the vaccine’s effectiveness, as well as the likelihood and severity of the disease the vaccine protects against. Cornelia Betsch and Robert Böhm, Center for Empirical Research in Economics and Behavioral Sciences (CEREB), University of Erfurt, Erfurt, Germany; Lars Korn, Department of Psychology, University of Erfurt. Cornelia Betsch and Robert Böhm contributed equally to this paper. The authors are grateful to the master students of the fall 2011 term, who helped set up the study and collect data. Tilmann Betsch, Wasilios Hariskos, Fabian Kleine, Frank Renkewitz, Heather Fuchs, and the CEREB research group made helpful comments on a draft of the paper. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Cornelia Betsch, University of Erfurt, Nordhäuser Strasse 63, D-99089 Erfurt, Germany. E-mail: [email protected] 978 COMMUNICATING HERD IMMUNITY IN VACCINE ADVOCACY awareness of a vaccination’s individual benefit, social benefit, or both, affects vaccination intention. According to the theory of reasoned action and the theory of planned behavior, salient beliefs determine an individual’s attitude toward a behavior and behavioral intentions (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980). An individual’s awareness of herd immunity may therefore either increase or decrease vaccination uptake, depending on the salience of individual and social benefits that result from the indirect protection of herd immunity. This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Vaccination as a Strategic Interaction The interactive structure of vaccination decisions has recently been discussed in the literature (e.g., Bauch & Earn, 2004; Bhattacharyya & Bauch, 2010; Galvani, Reluga, & Chapman, 2007; Manfredi et al., 2009). Based on this literature, we devise a simple model of vaccination as strategic interaction, which is illustrated in Figure 1. The expected costs of a disease (E[cD]) are typically treated as the product of the severity of the disease and the probability to contract the disease. Similarly, the expected costs of a vaccination (E[cV]) are the product of its costs (monetary and nonmonetary) and their probability (e.g., the likelihood of adverse advents): E[cD] ⫽ SEVD ⫻ PROBD and E[cV] ⫽ SEVV ⫻ PROBV (Weinstein, 1993). The expected utility from vaccination (EUV) and nonvaccination (EU¬ V) results from the difference between the expected costs of the disease and the expected costs of vaccination: EUV ⫽ E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] and EU¬ V ⫽ E[cV] ⫺ E[cD]. Consequently, small differences in expected costs of the disease and vaccination yield larger differences in the expected utility of vaccination and nonvaccination, because EUV - EU¬ V ⫽ 2(E[cD] ⫺ E[cV]). Furthermore, the probability of contracting a contagious disease, and therefore also the expected costs of the disease, overproportionally de- 979 creases as a function of the number of vaccinated individuals, because the lifetime incidence for unvaccinated individuals decreases (e.g., Fine et al., 2011). At the same time, the expected costs of the vaccination remain constant, because, for instance, the probability and severity of side effects are not affected by the number of vaccinated individuals. Therefore, when the number of vaccinated individuals (vaccine coverage) increases, the expected costs of the vaccination will at some point exceed the expected costs of the disease (E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0; cf. intersection in Figure 1; Chen, 1999). From an individual perspective, nonvaccination then becomes the best response as EUV ⬍ EU¬ V. In contrast, it is collectively optimal to vaccinate until a vaccination level is achieved that eradicates the disease, as the expected cumulative incidence is zero if coverage is maintained above the critical vaccination level (Vc; Fine et al., 2011). Therefore, as soon as E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0 the vaccination decision contains a motivational conflict between the individual and collective interest. If Vc is reached, nonvaccination is the best response from an individual and collective perspective. Within these boundary conditions, vaccination constitutes a N-person prisoner’s dilemma in which individuals may decide whether or not to contribute (i.e., vaccinate) to a public good (i.e., herd immunity); see shaded area in Figure 1. It is important to note that expected costs are subjective variables and can therefore deviate from objective cost parameters. Today, wild forms of severe vaccine-preventable diseases are rare and most individuals lack a concrete, vivid representation of the disease (⫽ low perceived costs of disease). At the same time, vaccination costs are more visible, vivid, and tangible due to high vaccination rates and immediate effort and inconvenience (⫽ high costs of vaccination; Chen, 1999). Many modern vaccination decisions (e.g., against polio or the measles) can therefore be framed as a social dilemma. Figure 1. Simplified General Model of Vaccination as a Strategic Interaction. Note: n refers to the number of all other individuals in the population (N ⫺ 1) who decide to vaccinate. The gray dashed line indicates the expected individual costs of the vaccination (E[cV]) and the gray solid line indicates the expected individual costs of the disease (E[cD]). The black dashed line indicates an individual’s expected utility if he/she decides to vaccinate (EUV), whereas the black solid line indicates the individual’s expected utility if he/she decides not to vaccinate (EU¬ V). Vc refers to the critical vaccination level (herd immunity threshold) that must be achieved to eradicate the disease, which is simplified 1 ⫺ 1/R0, with R0 being the basic reproduction number of the infectious disease (Fine et al., 2011). The shaded area indicates a conflict between individual and collective interest, transforming the vaccination decision into a N-person prisoner’s dilemma. 980 BETSCH, BÖHM, AND KORN As discussed, herd immunity can have two potential effects. On the one hand, if the individual benefit of herd immunity is communicated, the individual’s selfish/egoistic preferences might be activated (Dawes, 1980; Hardin, 1968) and accordingly affect behavior (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980). Therefore, the first hypothesis predicts: This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. H1: If the individual benefit of herd immunity is salient (but not the social benefit), participants will show lower vaccination intentions, as compared with when the individual benefit is not salient (free-riding hypothesis). On the other hand, by making the social benefit of one’s own vaccination salient, individuals’ positive, other-regarding preferences might be activated (for an overview see Fehr & Schmidt, 2006). This leads to the second hypothesis: H2: If the social benefit of herd immunity is salient (but not the individual benefit), participants will show higher vaccination intentions, as compared with when the social benefit is not salient (prosocial behavior hypothesis). This study extends prior work (e.g., Hershey, Asch, Thumasathit, Meszaros, & Waters, 1994; Shim, Chapman, Townsend, & Galvani, 2012) by orthogonally manipulating the salience of individual and social benefits. We are, therefore, also able to explore the interaction between the salience of individual and social benefits. In Figure 1, if the expected costs of vaccination increase or decrease (gray dashed line moves up or down, respectively), ceteris paribus, the intersection of E[cD] ⫽ E[cV] shifts further to the left or right, respectively. Consequently, the difference in expected utility between vaccination and nonvaccination, on the right-hand side of this intersection increases, or decreases, respectively. This effect occurs due to the indirect effect of vaccination. If individuals are unaware of this indirect effect (e.g., because herd immunity is not communicated), the expected costs of the disease will not depend on the vaccination of others and will therefore be constant. As, in this case, the solid gray line would be parallel to the dashed gray line, selfish or other-regarding preferences should thus have no effect. The (perceived) costs of vaccination should therefore interact with the effects of communicated herd immunity: Free-riding entails the benefits of vaccination (due to others’ immunization) without carrying the costs. It follows that the incentives for freeriding are especially high if costs to vaccinate are high. Likewise, individuals who vaccinate due to a prosocial motivation (to protect the unimmune) take over costs for the society. Hence, if these costs are high, prosocial behavior may be less likely. This leads to our third hypothesis, which integrates the structurally equivalent subhypotheses of individual and social benefit salience: H3: If the individual benefit of herd immunity is salient, participants are more inclined to free-ride when the costs of vaccination are high than when the costs of vaccination are low. Similarly, if the social benefit of herd immunity is salient, participants are more inclined to prosocial behavior when the costs of vaccination are low than when the costs of vaccination are high (vaccination costs interaction hypothesis). Experiment The hypotheses were tested in an online experiment that assessed vaccination intentions regarding hypothetical diseases (for a similar methodological approach, see cf. Betsch & Sachse, in press; Betsch, Renkewitz, & Haase, in press; Betsch, Ulshöfer, Renkewitz, & Betsch, 2011; Vietri, Li, Galvani, & Chapman, 2012). The definition of herd immunity was provided along with one sentence summarizing the gist of the message (Reyna, 2012), making salient either the individual benefit, social benefit, or both. A control group received no information about herd immunity. Additionally, we tested if the cost of getting vaccinated, operationalized as the amount of effort required to obtain the vaccine, interacts with the communicated benefits. Method Participants and design. Participants were recruited via mailing lists and social network websites (e.g., Facebook). As compensation, all participants took part in a raffle for one of five gift certificates (25 Euro; ⬃ $ 31). Three hundred seventy-one participants completed the questionnaire. Twenty-nine participants were excluded from the sample due to excessively long (⬎30 min) or short (⬍5 min) duration of participation, resulting in a mean (M) duration of 12.76 minutes (standard deviation [SD] ⫽ 5.14). Hence, the final sample consisted of 342 participants, both students and nonstudents. Eighty-eight percent of the sample had an Abitur (German University entrance diploma) or higher level of education. The mean age of the sample was 30.34 years (SD ⫽ 12.5); 221 (64%) participants were female. The experiment used a 2 ⫻ 2 ⫻ 2 between-subjects design with individual benefit of herd immunity (communicated vs. not communicated), social benefit of herd immunity (communicated vs. not communicated), and costs of vaccination (low vs. high) as factors. It was realized with an online software program (EFS survey), which randomly allocated participants to the eight conditions. Herd immunity. In the control condition (individual and social benefits of herd immunity were not communicated), participants received no information about herd immunity. In the remaining three conditions, participants received the following definition of herd immunity: “Herd immunity denotes the effect that occurs when acquired immunity against a pathogen, generated through infection or vaccination, within a population (the “herd”) has reached such a level that nonimmune individuals in this population are also protected, because the pathogen can no longer be transmitted.” Furthermore, depending on condition, one additional sentence summarized the gist of the message, manipulating the salience of the individual benefit, social benefit, or both. Individual benefit was highlighted by the sentence “The more people are vaccinated in your environment, the more likely you are protected without vaccination.” Social benefit was highlighted by the sentence “If you get vaccinated, then you can protect others who are not vaccinated.” Vaccination costs. Participants were either informed that they could get vaccinated immediately (low cost) or that they would have to set up an appointment with the local hospital and that this appointment would take almost 3 hours (high cost). COMMUNICATING HERD IMMUNITY IN VACCINE ADVOCACY Measures Dependent measure. Vaccination intention was assessed (“If you had the opportunity to vaccinate against [the illness] next week, what would you decide?”) on a 7-point Likert-type scale ranging from 1 ⫽ definitely not vaccinate to 7 ⫽ definitely vaccinate.1 Manipulation check. As a manipulation check, one additional item assessed the perceived costs of the vaccination (“How do you estimate your personal vaccination costs?”; 1 ⫽ very low to 7 ⫽ very high). This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Procedure After giving informed consent, participants were informed that all presented information is fictitious. The questionnaire began with the measurement of demographic characteristics. They were then asked to imagine a fictitious scenario: During a routine physical examination, the general practitioner informs them about the severe infectious disease Cornicoviszidosis. This recently discovered illness had been diagnosed increasingly often. The participants received additional information about the origin of Cornicoviszidosis, the name of the responsible virus (Cornicovi), the path of infection (smear infection), and the symptoms of the disease (severe vomiting and diarrhea, severe dehydration, and high fever). Participants received a data sheet for a fictional vaccine termed Macentat containing information about vaccineadverse events: hypersensitivity reaction of the skin with a probability p ⫽ .1; headache, p ⫽ .0001 to .001; and vomiting, vertigo, and skin rash with a probability less than .0001. Information about herd immunity was displayed afterward. Before participants indicated their intention to get vaccinated, they were informed about the costs of the vaccination. Finally, the manipulation checks were recorded and participants fully debriefed. Results We present eta-squared as an effect size indicator along with all statistically significant results. All nonsignificant comparisons have an F ⬍ 1 if not stated otherwise. Manipulation check. As intended, the vaccination costs in the high cost condition were perceived as significantly higher than in the low cost condition: Mhigh ⫽ 4.67, SD ⫽ 1.69; Mlow ⫽ 2.20, SD ⫽ 1.36; F(1, 340) ⫽ 222.06, p ⬍ .001, 2 ⫽ .40. Table 1 Means (Standard Deviations) of the Intention to Vaccinate as a Function of Communicated Individual and Social Benefit as Well as Costs to Obtain the Vaccination Individual benefit Social benefit Communicated Not communicated Communicated Not communicated Communicated Not communicated High vaccination cost 3.44 (1.86) 3.62 (1.92) 3.75 (1.91) 4.20 (1.63) Low vaccination cost 4.54 (1.50) 4.40 (1.92) 3.30 (1.83) 4.42 (1.51) 981 Vaccination intention. The mean values and standard deviations of vaccination intention by experimental condition are displayed in Table 1. Inspection of the means in Table 1 suggests that the control condition (without any herd immunity information) showed, on average, higher vaccination intentions than when herd immunity was communicated in either manner. Indeed, a post hoc simple contrast analysis (control group vs. all other conditions) yields a significant difference, F(3, 363) ⫽ 3.69, p ⫽ .012, 2 ⫽ .030. Still, what are the specific effects of communicating individual versus social benefits on vaccination intentions? H1 and H2 predict lower vaccination intentions when the individual benefit is salient (free-riding hypothesis), and higher vaccination intentions when the social benefit is salient (prosocial behavior hypothesis). H3 suggests an interaction between benefit salience and costs. To test the hypotheses, we conducted a 2 ⫻ 2 ⫻ 2 analysis of variance with vaccination intention as the dependent variable. Results support the free-riding hypothesis (H1): when individual benefit of herd immunity was communicated, vaccination intentions were significantly lower than when it was not communicated, Mcomm ⫽ 3.72, SD ⫽ 1.84; M¬ comm ⫽ 4.18, SD ⫽ 1.77; F(1, 334) ⫽ 4.33, p ⫽ .038, 2 ⫽ .012. There was no difference in vaccination intentions whether the social benefit was communicated or not, Mcomm ⫽ 4.01, SD ⫽ 1.86; M¬ comm ⫽ 3.89, SD ⫽ 1.78, yielding no evidence in support of the prosocial behavior hypothesis (H2). However, there was a significant interaction effect between the individual and social benefit communication conditions, F(1, 334) ⫽ 3.90, p ⫽ .049, 2 ⫽ .011. As Figure 2A shows, when social benefit was not communicated, vaccination intentions varied as a function of the communicated individual benefit: the vaccination intention was significantly lower when the individual benefit of vaccination was communicated than when it was not communicated, F(1, 177) ⫽ 9.38, Bonferroni-corrected p ⫽ .006, 2 ⫽ .051, indicating the tendency to free-ride on others’ indirect protection. When the social benefit of herd immunity was communicated, however, there was no such difference, regardless of whether the individual benefit was additionally communicated.2 In general, vaccination intentions were lower when vaccination costs were high than when they were low, Mhigh ⫽ 3.83, SD ⫽ 1 Prior to intention we also assessed the perceived risk of the disease and the vaccination (general risk [0-100], respectively). We did not expect any effects of the manipulations on the assessed variables, as we did not provide any information about vaccine coverage. We used the risk variables as proxies for the expected costs of the disease and vaccination. The mean perceived risk of the disease was Mdisease ⫽ 41.18 (SD ⫽ 23.92); the risk of the vaccination was Mvaccination ⫽ 26.65, SD ⫽ 22.14; t(341) ⫽ 7.89, p ⬍ .001. This mirrors the experiment materials, as the disease was described as having severe symptoms, while potential vaccination side effects were rather moderate. As a consequence, 100 participants perceived a higher risk of vaccination than of the disease, while the majority of 237 participants perceived higher disease than vaccination risks; for 5 participants the costs of disease were equal to the costs of vaccination. 2 Strictly speaking, the preconditions for considering vaccination as a social dilemma are only given for those participants who perceived the costs (risk) of the vaccination to be higher than the costs (risk) of the disease (see Figure 1). In support of this, two separate analyses showed that the effects were indeed consistently stronger if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0 than if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬎ 0. The effect sizes if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0 were 2 ⫽ .014 for individual benefit communication (vs. 2 ⬍ .01 if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬎ 0) and 2 ⫽ .055 (vs. 2 ⫽ .001) for the interaction between social and individual benefit communication. We conclude that this demonstrates the validity of the proposed model. BETSCH, BÖHM, AND KORN This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. 982 Figure 2. Intention to Vaccinate as a Function of Communicated Social Benefit and Communicated Individual Benefit (A) or Vaccination Costs (B). 1.87; Mlow ⫽ 4.10, SD ⫽ 1.79; F(1, 334) ⫽ 4.57, p ⫽ .033, 2 ⫽ .013. As expected, vaccination costs interacted with the social benefit communication, F(1, 334) ⫽ 7.43, p ⫽ .007, 2 ⫽ .021. As Figure 2B shows, when the social benefit of herd immunity was communicated, vaccination intentions were higher when costs were low than when costs were high, F(1, 163) ⫽ 11.07, Bonferroni-corrected p ⫽ .002, 2 ⫽ .064, indicating conditional prosocial vaccination behavior. There was no such difference when social benefit was not salient. However, vaccination intentions under individual benefit salience did not differ between the low- versus high-cost conditions. Taken together, results partially confirm the vaccination costs interaction hypothesis (H3). The three-way interaction was not significant, F ⬍ 1.6, ns. Discussion The goal of this paper was to assess if and how the communication of herd immunity may affect vaccination uptake. We devised a simple theoretical model of (non)vaccination utility as a function of the perceived costs of the disease and the vaccination contingent on the number of vaccinated individuals in the population. Furthermore, some of the model’s implications were tested in an experiment. The data show that communicating the concept of herd immunity can have two effects, depending on the gist of the message: First, when a message emphasized the individual benefit of indirect protection through the “herd,” individuals’ inclination to free-ride increased (H1). This was especially the case when the social benefit of herd immunity was not communicated. Second, communicating the social benefit did not result in a general increase in vaccination intentions (contradicting H2). However, communicating the social benefit reduced free-riding and also had the potential to increase vaccination intentions when the costs of vaccinating are perceived as low. Thus, depending on which implication of herd immunity was made salient, vaccination intentions differed. The lacking overall positive effect of communicated social benefit, along with the obtained free-riding effect pose the question whether the communication of herd immunity is advisable at all. Strong emphasis on the social benefit, however, still seems recommendable; even if it might not have an overall positive effect, it might at least prevent free-riding. This becomes even more clear when we consider that many cues in the decision structure may invite free-riding: Recent gametheoretical models of vaccination uptake have shown that the level of vaccination may decrease dramatically and fall below the social optimum if the expected costs of vaccination increase (e.g., due to a vaccine scare or antivaccination activism; Bhattacharyya & Bauch, 2010) or if the costs of the disease decrease (Jansen et al., 2003). This occurs mainly because of free-riding on the immunized herd (e.g., Bauch & Earn, 2004; Galvani, Reluga, & Chapman, 2007; Manfredi et al., 2010). Furthermore, individuals are sensitive to different levels of immunity in the population if these are varied in a within-subjects’ setting (Vietri et al., 2012): The more people were vaccinated, the less likely participants were to vaccinate themselves. Our results contribute to this literature by showing that quite subtle communications are also sufficient to suggest a free-riding opportunity. Again, this implies that strategies that prevent free-riding are needed. The current results suggest that appealing to prosocial motives might be such a strategy to reduce free-riding tendencies (see also Shim et al., 2012). As previous research focused particularly on the negative effect of indirect protection through herd immunity (free-riding; e.g., Bauch & Earn, 2004), more scientific attention should be directed COMMUNICATING HERD IMMUNITY IN VACCINE ADVOCACY to its positive effect (i.e., prosocial behavior), in order to assess the boundary conditions under which the communication of the social benefit of vaccination does increase vaccine intentions (for instance, as in the present experiment, under low perceived costs of vaccination; or when the risk for the self is low as shown by Vietri et al., 2012). This becomes particularly important if the direct effect of vaccination is very small or even absent and the indirect effect has important consequences for eradicating a disease (as in the most extreme case of malaria control; Carter, Mendis, Miller, Molyneux, & Saul, 2000). This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Limitations and Further Research A number of possible limitations to the results should be noted. First, the hypothetical scenario and the self-report data (intentions) might limit the external validity of the results. In addition, online experiments may be subject to self-selection bias. Indeed, the participants in our sample were typically well educated. However, including education in the analyses did not affect the pattern of results. Moreover, the present study tests hypotheses derived from a general game-theoretical model. We do not assume different relations between utility functions for individuals with different levels of education. We therefore conclude that external validity of the results is given even though the sample might be skewed toward higher educated participants. Further, we neither manipulated nor measured the individual perception of vaccine coverage and could therefore not test its impact on perceived costs of the disease. This should be a next step in further research. For instance, an experimental public goods setting of vaccination (see Chapman et al., 2012) may be a viable framework to test the dynamic relationship between vaccination uptake and the number of others vaccinated. Nevertheless, the perceived risk of both the vaccination and the disease were assessed in this study and can serve as proxies for perceived costs (see footnote 1). As expected, the effects were stronger if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0 than if E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬎ 0 (see footnote 2). The presence of the effects in the total sample suggests that, even if only a subsample of the population perceives higher vaccination than disease costs, communicating the social benefit can have positive effects on vaccination intentions. The present experiment was ambiguous regarding whether the other protected individuals were not able to get vaccinated (because they are too young or immunocompromised) or simply not willing to do so (free-riders) when the individual benefit of herd immunity was communicated. A large amount of research in economics has shown that people are willing to cooperate if others are also expected to do so (conditional cooperation; e.g., Bolton & Ockenfels, 2000; Fischbacher, Gächter, & Fehr, 2001; Fehr & Schmidt, 1999). Moreover, in social psychology there is evidence that prosocial behavior is more likely when uncontrollable factors created the situation of need (Weiner, 1980). Thus, if it is communicated that others are explicitly not able to protect themselves, the communicated social benefit of herd immunity should have a larger effect. Similarly, the way in which costs were manipulated represents only one out of several possibilities. As said before, costs accrue due to time, money, side effects, inconvenience, and so forth. Future studies should use different approaches to manipulate costs. The perception or fear of potential side effects (such 983 as elicited in vaccine scares) decreases vaccination intentions and are among the most prominent reasons against vaccination (Betsch, Renkewitz, Betsch, & Ulshöfer, 2010; Brown et al., 2010a, 2010b). Thus, it is possible that if costs are manipulated via potential side effects of the vaccine, the obtained effects may be stronger. Practical Implications Overall, it seems advisable to stress vaccination’s social benefit in vaccine advocacy. This is especially the case if the concept of herd immunity is communicated to the public, such as during the process of eradicating diseases, for example, the measles and rubella in Europe until 2015 (Christie & Gay, 2011). If the indirect effects of vaccination become obvious, free-riding might increase, as vaccine coverage is usually already high (but not high enough). Therefore, stressing the social benefit may help to reach critical vaccination levels in order to eradicate diseases. Protection of others is especially important in contexts with highly vulnerable individuals, such as immunocompromised patients in a hospital. For this reason, the World Health Organization recommends vaccination against influenza for health care personnel (HCP). Despite the availability of an effective and welltolerated vaccine, low seasonal and pandemic influenza vaccine acceptance among HCP is a major problem detailed in many studies from all over of the world (Salgado, Giannetta, Hayden, & Farr, 2004; Talbot et al., 2010). The perception of vaccination risks in addition to other expected vaccination costs are major reasons why HCP do not get vaccinated against influenza (Betsch & Wicker, 2012; Wicker, Rabenau, Doerr, & Allwinn, 2009). One could speculate that HCP may generally be more prosocially oriented (e.g., Van Lange, 1999). Thus, building on the idea of tailoring health messages (Noar, Benac, & Harris, 2007), appeals to the social benefit of vaccination could be a viable strategy to increase HCP’s vaccination rates. Conclusions We conclude that the social benefits of vaccination need to be explicitly communicated if the individual decisions are meant to consider public health benefits. Even if it does not generally raise vaccination intentions, it can prevent free-riding and has the potential to increase vaccination intentions when the costs to vaccinate are low. A recent approach for vaccine advocacy suggests that “vaccination adoption ⫽ access ⫹ acceptance” (Thomson & Watson, 2012). Acceptance can be understood as E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬎ 0 or as prosocially oriented behavior under E[cD] ⫺ E[cV] ⬍ 0. Access can be understood as low costs to obtain the vaccine. The latter also proved to be an important variable in our study. Especially when vaccination is not the individually optimal solution and public health considerations suggest a collective benefit of vaccination (e.g., cocooning newborns against pertussis, preventing schoolchildren from spreading influenza to the elderly), access should be very easy in order to obtain high vaccination coverage. References Ajzen, I., & Fishbein, M. (1980). Understanding attitudes and predicting social behaviour. 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