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Humans and Population Ecology Demography: the field of collecting, compiling, and presenting information about human populations Demographers believe that by 2100 our J-curve of exponential growth could level off to more of an “S” shape. Demographers have difficulty categorizing the human population: We have characteristics of weedy species that move from place to place quickly and that grow exponentially. BUT we also have characteristics of species that have long life spans, higher parental care and fewer offspring (elephants). We act both as local populations, with population characteristics such as family size and life expectancy…… And as part of a larger global whole. How have humans managed to become such a dominant part of Earth? 1. Neolithic Revolution: Evolution from hunter-gathers to practicing agriculture! Agriculture allows permanent settlements and the specialization of labor (more incentive and potential for technology) 2. Industrial Revolution: the use of fossil fuels! First coal, then oil and gas. This energy was used by humans to do work that we would never have been able to do: move large objects/quantities, produce more food, etc. 3. Medical Revolution: Vaccinations, water and sewage treatment, improvements in healthcare! Better sanitation, medicine, and nutrition brought reductions in mortality – while birth rates remained high! 4. Green Revolution: Again agriculture! Development of pesticides, increase in irrigation and fertilizer use/technology = industrialized agriculture! So do Humans have a Carrying Capacity?? Review - Carrying capacity: the max. population of a given species that an ecosystem can support without being degraded or destroyed in the long run. Some argue we will never have a carrying capacity, that we will continue our ingenuity and grow – even into space! Others disagree and say that we will hit a carrying capacity – even though we have removed limited factors (seasonal hunting, energy requirements) – our newest factor is pollution! In 2004, scientists identified a number of limiting factors for humans: - Water availability - Energy - Forest products - Non-renewable resources - Available land for food production These scientists concluded that our carrying capacity would be 7.7 billion. (We are currently at 7.3 billion) Population and Consumption The World Bank divides the countries of the world into three main economic categories: 1. High-income, highly developed, industrialized (USA, Canada, Japan, Korea, Western Europe etc.) 2. Middle-income, moderately developed (Latin America, North and South Africa, China, Eastern Europe, etc.) 3. Low-income, developing countries (India, Southern Asia, Eastern, Western, Central Africa) Population Growth in Rich and Poor Nations Sweden: growth rate of 0.1% = adding less than 1 million to the world population in a year Indonesia and Burkina Faso: growth rate of 1.5% = adding 75 million in a year More than 98% of world population growth is occurring in the developing countries! This issue is taken seriously! The UN held a conference in 1994 to discuss the links between poverty, population growth and development. There, they agreed that: 1. Women’s rights to health care, education, and employment were foundational to achieving slower population growth 2. Development must be linked to a reduction in poverty 3. The existing poverty in the developing countries was an affront to human dignity that should not be tolerated 4. Both poverty and development were a threat to the health of the environment and that only sustainable development would prevent a future of unprecedented biological and human impoverishment