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THE EVOLUTIONARY RADIAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF H2 DENSITY WITHIN SPIRAL AND IRREGULAR GALAXIES AT HIGH REDSHIFT: ESTIMATING CO DETECTION LIMITS Mercedes Mollá (CIEMAT), Eduardo Hardy (NRAO), Ángeles I. Díaz (UAM) Introduction. Our models: Chemical evolution models The molecular interstellar medium plays a critical role in the evolution of galaxies since it provides the material from which stars form. We have computed a wide grid of chemical evolution models for a large set of theoretical spiral and irregular galaxies of different total mass (Mollá & Díaz 2005). There are observations of rotational transitions of CO within 1.<z<6.5, mostly in QSO´s and EMG´s (Solomon and Vanden Bout 2005), which demonstrate that molecular clouds exist already at the epoch of the galaxy formation. The results provide the time evolution for specific radial regions within each galaxy modeled, with the corresponding mass in each gaseous or stellar phase, as well as their elemental abundances. However, the current sample is not very large for z>3 where the study of the star and galaxy formation is specially interesting. ALMA is the instrument that may solve this problem. The star formation model has 2 components: components: Star formation in the halo: SFR α Κ g 1.5 The gas falls on the equatorial plane forming out the disc The gas infall rate depends on the total mass of the galaxy τcol α Μ −1/2 In our models, the gas phase has two components: diffuse (HI) and molecular (H2). This is why it is possible to follow the evolution of the expected density of H2 with redshift. The total mass of the galaxy M (R) is calculated from the universal rotation curve V(R) of Steel et al. (1995) We show here the predicted radial distributions of H2 gas density at high redshift, which might be detectable with ALMA. The collapse time scale as a function of galaxy mass Stars form through cloud-cloud collisions: s α Ηc 2 Stars also form from the interaction between massive stars and molecular clouds: sαacs2 In the disc molecular clouds are formed from the diffuse gas c α µg 1.5 By using the multihase chemical evolution model from Ferrini et al. (1992) we have simulated 440 theoretical models, with 44 different radial distributions of total mass and 10 star-forming efficiencies for each radial distribution (see Mollá & Díaz (2005) for details) We have obtained the radial distributions of molecular gas mass, which we computed separately from the diffuse gas evolution. Fig. 11- Radial distributions of molecular gas surface density at z = 0. 0. Labeled curves are for different star formation efficiencies in the range 1 (highest) to 10 (lowest). The collapse time-scale calibrated with the MWG is The colapse time scale is variable along the galactocentric radius R Fig.1 shows the radial distributions of present-time molecular gas density for different SFRs. The lines in color correspond to the lowest star-forming efficiencies which maintain a higher density than in cases where stars are formed more efficiently (black lines). The distributions are close to exponential in the external regions but are flatter at the inner regions, as is in fact observed in Nature. HIGH REDSHIFT Fig. 33-The expected radial distributions of molecular gas density normalized to Rc (half optical radius) for three different redshifts as labelled. labelled. For z=0 most galaxies show distributions with values higher than the limiting value which may be detected with ALMA down to the optical radius, while for high redshift only the inner disks have have a flux density sufficiently high to be detected. z=0 z=2.9 Log(1+z) Fig. 2.2.- The evolution of the total mass of molecular gas for some of our models. Each panel represents the results for a given galaxy total mass (or Vrot), using, for each one, 10 different SFRs. SFRs. Lines mean the same as in Fig.1 z=4.25 The black lines correspond to the highest efficiencies. The evolution of the total mass of molecular gas in galaxies is represented in Fig.2 above. The red points are the estimates from Solomon and Vanden Bout (2005) for the Early Universe Molecular Emission Line Galaxies (EMG´s) which might be ellipticals. Our most massive spiral galaxies are in the bottom region of the EMG´s data. The molecular gas mass decreases for decresing z as in Solomon & Vanden Bout (2005). Only the least massive galaxies and those which are massive but with low starforming efficiencies are still producing molecular gas. However, the most massive galaxies most efficient in forming stars, consume very quickly the molecular gas. The magenta crosses are those of Bertram et al. (2005) for nearby QSO´s. The present time masses are similar to those estimated for local objects. The maximum value obtained for z=0 is in agreement with the observational limit 1og(MH2)=10.3, shown by a green line in the figure. Observation of emission from CO rotational transitions is the usual means of detecting interstellar molecular clouds. CO is a very stable molecule and the most abundant after H2. Following Combes (1991) we consider levels J=4-5 to detect molecular gas at high redshifts. In order to verify if our densities of molecular gas may be detected with ALMA, we need to transform the limiting flux for this instrument to a limit in gas density. The flux limit depends on the observed frecuency. We take the highest value from the report “Science with ALMA”, and we use Eq. 1 from Solomon and Vanden Bout (2005), to calculate the minimum LCO necessary for detection. This luminosity is transformed into gas mass by using a constant conversion factor a=0.8 (which assumes indpendence from z !). The result is shown as a thick line in Fig.3 Fig.4Fig.4- Expected evolution of the flux density of CO lines as a function of z , for an integrated galaxy, computed from the molecular gas density σ(H2) using the method outlined, outlined, for spiral galaxies with four different rotation velocities. Line colors colors mean the same as in Fig.1 The most massive galaxies –panel d of Fig. 4– and those with high star formation efficiencies –black lines-maintain an almost constant H2 mass and flux density up to z ~ 10. Those with low-to-medium efficiencies or rotation velocities Vrot < 50 km.s-1 ,on the other hand, show increasing densities for decreasing z. Conclusions •At redshift z > 3 only the central regions of galaxies might be observed in CO with ALMA •EMG´s are not necessarily the most massive galaxies. References Bertram, T., E, Eckart, A., Krips, M., et al. 2005, Combes. F. 2001, Proc.of SF2A, EDPS Conf. Series in Astron. & Astroph. Mollá, M. & Díaz, A.I. 2005, MNRAS Solomon, P. M. & Vanden Bout, P. A. 2005, A.R.A.A.