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OPINION Simplifying the LDI story by focusing on the three DB hedge ratio levers Justin Owens By: Justin Owens, FSA, CFA, EA, Senior Asset Allocation Strategist I have met with dozens of plan sponsors over the last several years and most of them are weary of the burden their defined benefit (DB) plan has placed on their company. Common complaints include unexpected contributions, balance sheet volatility and increasing expenses. Sponsors are looking to manage these risks through both funding and investment policies; liability-driven investing (LDI) has become an important part of the toolkit. However, for some, the LDI “story” is complex, and I have found that a simple framework for explaining LDI in terms of three “levers” can be a helpful way of streamlining the key decision points. The levers identify key choices that sponsors can control in the investment portfolio. These levers explain how a sponsor can help mitigate some of the plan’s risks, particularly interest rate risk. A simple way to measure how well a sponsor has managing their interest rate risk is the “hedge ratio,” represented by this formula: Hedge ratio formula LEVER 1 Funded Status LEVER 2 LDI Allocation (Contributions) Hedge Ratio = Assets Liabilities × LDI Assets Assets LEVER 3 Duration Ratio × LDI Duration Liability Duration Sponsors desiring to increase their hedge ratios have three key levers to pull. These three levers encapsulate perhaps the most influential tenets of funding and investment policies, and each is within the plan sponsor’s control. 1. Funded status. Contribute to the plan to improve funded status and to increase LDI (high quality fixed income) assets. Contributing cash always helps funded status, and it can advance the hedge ratio insofar as it increases LDI assets. 2. LDI allocation. Reduce exposure to return-seeking (equity-like) assets in favor of LDI assets. Doing so can have a more immediate and meaningful impact on the hedge ratio than contributions alone. Russell Investments // Simplifying the LDI story by focusing on the three DB hedge ratio levers p / 1 3. Duration ratio. Increase the duration of the LDI assets. Increasing LDI duration – perhaps even beyond liability duration – can have the same effect while only minimally impacting the expected return on assets. This “hedge long first” strategy is designed to help sponsors get the most hedging potential out of their LDI allocation. While sponsors may relinquish some upside if rates dramatically increase, they will likely experience improved funded status stability, which may help reduce the chance of surprises—an exchange many sponsors are willing to make. To meet their risk management objectives, sponsors ought to first focus on the three hedge ratio levers. To meet their risk management objectives, sponsors ought to first focus on the three hedge ratio levers. While hedge ratio is not a perfect measure, and we can certainly dive deeper to further refine LDI strategies. Understanding the impact of these three levers puts sponsors on the right track to effectively manage their DB plan risk through sound funding and investment policies. Liability-driven investing is not the only way in which sponsors are managing their DB plan risks. Investment policy works in concert with benefits policy, and many sponsors have responded to increasing costs and uncertainty by closing or freezing their plans. Others have changed plan designs or made other modifications to the benefits policy. Looking back 10 years, many plans were fully funded but had not adopted an investment strategy conducive to maintaining that funding position. As plans work their way back to full funding, sponsors ought to consider which levers to pull to avoid repeating that history. This article is a condensed version of a recent paper, the full version of which is available here. For more information: Call Russell Investments at 800-426-8506 or visit russellinvestments.com/institutional IMPORTANT INFORMATION Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional. Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk, it cannot be completely removed. Investments typically do not grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns. These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the beginning of the document. Diversification does not assure a profit and does not protect against loss in declining markets. Russell Investments’ ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates with minority stakes held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners and Russell Investments’ management. Frank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand. Copyright © 2017 Russell Investments Group, LLC. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty. First used: February 2017 AI-24846-02-20 Russell Investments // Simplifying the LDI story by focusing on the three DB hedge ratio levers p / 2