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Five Latent Factors Underlying Schizophrenia: Analysis and Relationship to Illnesses in Relatives by John A. McQrath, Qerald Nestadt, Kung'Yee Liang, Virginia K. Lasseter, Paula S. Wolyniec, M. Danielle Fallin, Mary H. Thornquist, James R. Luke, and Ann E. Pulver research about dimensions that might underlie the observable symptoms. Strauss et al. (1974) described three such dimensions characterized by positive symptoms, negative symptoms, and disorder in relating. Crow proposed that variation in the clinical picture of schizophrenia among patients owes to the action of two independent processes, related to positive versus negative symptoms (Crow 1980, 1981). Other researchers working on dimensional theories have developed and studied scales to measure the putative dimensions, such as the Scale for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms (SANS) and the Scale for the Assessment of Positive Symptoms (SAPS) (Andreasen and Olsen 1982; Andreasen et al. 1995a, 19956), the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS; Kay et al. 1987; Bell et al. 1994; Lindenmayer et al. 1994; White et al. 1997), and the Schedule for the Deficit Syndrome (Kirkpatrick et al. 1989, 2001). A common analytic strategy in dimensional studies has been to submit items or summary scores from one or more scales to principal components analysis or factor analysis, to explore whether and how the items can be explained by a smaller number of latent factors or dimensions. Three factors have been commonly identified in a wide variety of studies: a positive dimension comprising hallucination and delusion items; a disorganized dimension, which includes such phenomena as bizarre behavior, positive thought disorder, and inappropriate affect; and a negative dimension, covering such symptoms as anhedonia, poverty of speech, and blunted affect (Klimidis et al. 1993; Brekke et al. 1994; Buchanan and Carpenter 1994; Murphy et al. 1994; Andreasen et al. 1995ft; Burke et al. 1996; Ratakonda et al. 1998; Mojtabai 1999). However, the identification of underlying factors is dependent on study design features such as sampling, the period of observation, the range of symptoms and signs that are examined, and the data sources that are used (e.g., Abstract Clinical signs and symptoms in a sample of 1,043 individuals with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder were subjected to latent class factor analysis. Positive, negative, disorganized, and affective factors were similar in content to factors described in a number of other studies, while a fifth factor representing early onset/developmental signs provided a new area for investigation. The five sets of factor scores were logistically regressed on psychiatric illness indicators in first and second degree relatives. Relatives of probands with higher positive or negative symptom factor scores had a lower risk of depressive illness. Higher affective factor scores in probands predicted more mania and depression in relatives. Both the disorganized and the early onset/developmental factors were related to increased risk of psychiatric hospitalization in relatives, as well as increased risk of psychosis (marginally so for the disorganization factor). Increased early onset/developmental signs in the proband were also associated with increased risk for depression in relatives. These findings suggest a possible endophenotypic role for the factor scores in future studies. Keywords: Schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, latent class factor analysis, family history. Schizophrenia Bulletin, 30(4):855-873, 2004. Schizophrenia is generally thought to be a group of disorders arising in part from susceptibility introduced through at least four to five genes of moderate effect (Risch 1990). In all likelihood, schizophrenia is genetically heterogeneous. Varied expression of the genes likely results from the influence of multiple environmental factors and developmental processes. Researchers have long sought to study and characterize the symptoms of schizophrenia, hoping to identify signs that validly segregate subjects with the disease into more homogeneous subgroups and to improve etiologic knowledge and treatment. A potentially fruitful approach to sorting out "the schizophrenias" has been the development of theory and Send reprint requests to Dr. A.E. Pulver, Johns Hopkins University, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, 1820 Lancaster Street, Suite 300, Baltimore, MD 21231; e-mail: [email protected]. 855 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. direct assessment, informant reports, medical records). The types of statistical tools brought to bear also affect dimensional studies. With regard to the range of symptoms and signs that are examined, several researchers have added social adjustment indicators to the indicators of psychosis and have applied confirmatory factor analytic methods to produce models that include four factors: the common three factors (positive, negative, disorganized) plus a relational (social) factor (Peralta et al. 1994; Lenzenweger and Dworkin 1996). Work with the 30-item PANSS has often produced five factors: a positive factor, a negative factor, a dysphoric factor, an excited factor, and a "cognitive" or "autistic preoccupation" factor, which has some features in common with the traditional disorganized factor (Bell et al. 1994; Lindenmayer et al. 1994; Lindenmayer et al. 1995; White et al. 1997; Lancon et al. 1998). Factor analysis of 50 individual SANS/SAPS items (rather than ten global ratings) has yielded five to seven interpretable factors in a mixed sample including schizophrenia patients (34%) as well as subjects with other major psychotic and affective disorders: (1) negative, (2) disorganized, (3) disordered relating, (4) bizarre delusions, (5) auditory hallucinations, (6) nonbizarre (paranoid) delusions, and (7) other hallucinations (Toomey et al. 1997). The factor analytic picture of schizophrenia is also altered by the period of observation: Assessment of lifetime symptoms or longitudinal assessment is useful in capturing the full range of psychopathology that a subject has experienced, because results of cross-sectional assessment may be limited by the current phase of illness for the subject (Arndt et al. 1995; Eaton et al. 1995; Schultz et al. 1997; Mojtabai 1999). Because symptom profiles for each individual may vary over a lifetime, the period of observation must be considered. Factor analyses of lifetime symptoms of psychosis gathered through use of the Operational Criteria Checklist for Psychotic Illness (OCCPI) have resulted in more complex dimensional pictures of schizophrenia, likely owing to the broader range of symptoms and time frame included in analyses. Several studies of schizophrenia and schizoaffective subjects by Cardno et al. have included the negative and disorganized dimensions but have broken the positive dimension into paranoid delusions versus first rank delusions versus first rank hallucinations (Cardno et al. 1996), or positive symptoms (mainly hallucinations) versus first rank delusions (Cardno et al. 1999). Van Os et al. (1999) have also demonstrated the utility of broadening the scope of symptoms studied and the time period covered. They assessed 706 patients with chronic psychosis (54% having DSM-III-R schizophrenia/schizoaffective disorder, 32% with psychotic affective disorders, 14% with other psychoses) and generated a four-factor result (positive, negative, depressive, and manic) accounting for 26 percent of the variance in 65 cross-sectional psychopathology items from the Comprehensive Psychopathological Rating Scale (CPRS). But they also generated a five-factor solution (the same four, plus disorganization) accounting for 41 percent of the variance in 46 items from the OCCPI. The OCCPI was completed using not only the cross-sectional CPRS data but also the SANS and lifetime data derived from medical records. The present study of the latent factor structure of psychopathology in schizophrenia has arisen out of the need to attempt a data reduction of the many variables collected in our epidemiological and genetic studies of schizophrenia, with the hope of advancing knowledge about factors that will be useful in understanding the heterogeneity of schizophrenia. It is possible that factor analysis will be able to yield alternative phenotypes for linkage and association studies. A relatively new analysis tool (Latent Gold version 3.0 [Vermunt and Magidson 2000, 2003]) is applied to a set of data compiled from both cross-sectional and lifetime sources (e.g., through subject interviews, medical record reviews, informant interviews), in a large sample of individuals with schizophrenia (n - 1,043). Latent Gold implements latent class factor analysis (LCFA), which differs in a number of important ways from traditional factor analysis (TEA; e.g., principal components analysis). TEA is suited to continuous manifest variables and assumes that the underlying derived factors are normally distributed. These limitations have been largely ignored in studies of the dimensions of psychosis, which often involve dichotomous, ordinal, or "count" manifest variables and assume normality in the latent factors. LCFA operates on nominal, ordinal, count, and continuous manifest variables, and it does not assume normality for the latent factors, which may be construed as dichotomous or ordinal. An additional advantage of LCFA over TEA is that it is able to detect both linear and nonlinear sources of variation in a set of indicators, thus performing better than TFA in situations that involve both sources (Magidson and Vermunt 2003). LCFA is a relatively recent extension of latent class analysis (LCA) (Magidson and Vermunt 2004). LCA supports testing whether a group of associated nominal manifest variables can be related to an underlying categorical (class) variable having two or more categories that classify the subjects. LCFA differs in that it produces two or more latent variables (rather than a single latent classification variable with two or more levels); each variable represents a separate dimension related to some set of the manifest variables. The software also handles missing data so that a large number of variables can be studied without deletion of subjects missing some variable values. The present study also provides initial validation information for the latent class factor model by examining the relationship of probands' factor scores to the risk of 856 Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 affective and psychotic syndromes and psychiatric hospitalization in their first and second degree relatives. cally stable at the time of the interviews, which took place for the most part at participants' homes, or in some cases at inpatient or outpatient facilities. A consensus diagnostic procedure involving two or more raters (psychiatrists, or clinical psychologists with a Ph.D.) was conducted for each subject, using information from the direct assessment interview, medical records, and additional information from informants or clinicians treating the affected subjects. Raters completed a Diagnostic Checklist for DSM-IV Disorders (earlier cases had a checklist for DSM—IH-R disorders) using the aforementioned sources of information to rate lifetime symptoms and episodes of major psychiatric disorders. Forty-four indicators characterizing aspects of psychotic disorder or potentially related developmental and residual conditions were chosen for the LCFA (table 1). Almost all of the indicators were taken from the diagnostic checklist and represented the consensus judgments of the clinicians on the symptom level; a few indicators came from the direct assessment interview. The majority of the indicators were dichotomous variables characterizing development, signs, symptoms, and course of psychotic illness. We also included indicators concerning violent behavior (Lachman et al. 1996a, 1996&, 1998; Li et al. 1996, 2000; Strous et al. 1997; Karayiorgou et al. 1998; Kotler et al. 1999; Nolan et al. 2000) and affective disorders (Pulver et al. 2000), owing to the potential value of this information in identifying more homogeneous groups of schizophrenia subjects. The nominal indicators were coded 1 (positive or present), 0 (negative or absent), or missing and entered into LCFA models. Latent Gold software version 3.0 (Vermunt and Magidson 2000, 2003) was used. Subjects were included regardless of missing data. Beginning with a one-factor model, successive models were generated with increasing numbers of factors, and changes in the log likelihood (LL) were monitored along with changes in the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) based on the LL. A given successive model (with an additional factor over the previous model) is judged to be better if the LL increases, the BIC decreases, the additional factor makes clinical/theoretical sense, and the model can be replicated (i.e., the same model statistics are produced in several reruns, indicating that the maximum likelihood solution is global rather than local). Latent Gold detects and permits model adjustment for the presence of local dependencies (strong bivariate associations among indicator variables that remain even after construction of the factors). In constructing a five-factor model that was judged to have clinical merit, stability, and adequate fit (supported by reduction in the BIC relative to simpler models), we detected several local dependencies. We examined the changes in standardized beta coeffi- Subjects Subjects (n = 1,043) for the LCFA were 371 females and 672 males diagnosed with DSM-III-R or DSM-IV (APA 1987, 1994) schizophrenia (877) or schizoaffective disorder (166) who had participated in one or more studies within the Epidemiology-Genetics Program at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences. The subjects came from 780 families. The numbers affected with schizophrenia and directly assessed per family were as follows: 1 affected in 582 families; 2 affected in 153 families; 3 affected in 33 families; 4 affected in 8 famines; 5 affected in 1 family; 6 affected in 2 families; and 7 affected in 1 family. In a factor analytic study of 169 siblings with schizophrenia from 80 families, Murphy et al. (1994) pointed out that use of correlated observations (members of the same family) should not affect the resulting factor structure, although it can affect error estimates. Subjects were on average 39.6 (±11.5) years of age at assessment and had an average age at psychosis onset of 21.1 (±6.2) years. The general ethnic composition of the sample was 549 Ashkenazi Jewish, 1 Sephardic Jewish, 475 European-Caucasian, 17 African-American, and 1 European-Caucasian/Native American. For the analysis of risk for psychiatric disorders in relatives of schizophrenia subjects, 679 probands with finalized family history data were identified from the 1,043 subjects, and these 679 probands had 10,094 first and second degree relatives with known sex and family history data. (Some of the 10,094 relatives with family history data were also among the 1,043 subjects with direct assessment data used in the latent factor analyses, but for these subjects only their family history data were used for the familial analyses.) The 10,094 relatives were on average 54.2 (±24.5) years of age at assessment, 49.4 percent female, and 29.95 percent first degree. The average number of relatives per family was 14.9. Methods The 1,043 subjects with schizophrenia/schizoaffective disorder participated in direct assessment with experienced clinicians (master's degree, Ph.D., or M.D.) using either a Diagnostic Interview Schedule (modified to increase validity in assessing psychotic symptoms [Pulver et al. 1989]), a later Diagnostic Interview Schedule (modified for family studies [Pulver et al. 1994]), or the Diagnostic Interview for Genetic Studies (DIGS [Nurnberger et al. 1994]). Among other scales, the DIGS contains the SANS and SAPS items. Subjects were clini- 857 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. Table 1. Clinical/epidemiological indicators examined Indicator Details Key Features of Schizophrenia Grandiose delusions Delusions of guilt Delusions of reference Persecutory delusions Nihilistic delusions Primary delusional perception Primary delusions Delusions of influence Delusions of passivity Thought insertion Thought withdrawal Thought broadcasting Thought echo Olfactory hallucinations Visual hallucinations Tactile hallucinations Auditory hallucinations: first rank or non-first rank Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Somatic hallucinations Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Alogia Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Negative formal thought disorder Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Disorganized speech Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) of disorganized speech characterized by one or more of the following: incoherence, loosening of associations, speech difficult to understand, or marked tangentiality Catatonic behavior Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Flat affect Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Apathy Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Anhedonia Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Inappropriate affect Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Self-neglect Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0 Bizarre behavior Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0 Poor insight Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0 Parkinsonian signs Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0 Akathisia Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0 Tardive dyskinesia Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Developmental/Course Variables Poor premorbid functioning School deterioration1 Therapeutic school 1 Presence of premorbid personality disorder; or direct assessment determination of poor adolescent peer relationships1 (deviant or isolated), adolescent withdrawal,1 or poor high school adaptation1 (with all of these being prior to onset of psychosis) Subject report: yes (1), no (0) Subject attendance at a school for individuals with learning disabilities or emotional disturbance: yes (1), no (0) 858 Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Table 1. Clinical/epidemiological indicators examined—Continued Details Indicator Prodromal signs Either (1) lack of sudden onset (sudden = onset of psychotic illness within a 3-month prodromal period) or (2) 3 or more prodromal symptoms (considering 9 symptoms: social isolation/withdrawal; impaired role functioning; peculiar/eccentric behavior; impaired personal hygiene; blunted or inappropriate affect; digressive, vague, overelaborate, or circumstantial speech or poverty of content of speech; odd beliefs or magical thinking; unusual perceptions; lack of initiative, interest, or energy) Psychosis onset < 16 Onset by age 16 or earlier (1) versus later (0) Affective symptoms early in course Affective symptoms occurring early in the course of the psychotic illness: yes(1);no(0) Remitting course Course of psychotic illness has been remitting (1) versus otherwise (0). Remitting includes (1) episodic with complete or virtually complete remissions between psychotic episodes, and (2) single psychotic episodes followed by a complete or virtually complete remission. Nonremitting includes (1) continuous: no remission of psychotic symptoms throughout the period of observation; (2) episodic with progressive development of negative symptoms in the intervals between psychotic episodes; (3) episodic with persistent but nonprogressive negative symptoms in the intervals between; (4) single psychotic episode followed by an incomplete remission; and (5) any other pattern. Subjects with less than 1 year of illness are not rated on this variable. Convulsions, seizures, epilepsy1 Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) of convulsions, seizures, or epilepsy. These symptoms may be evidence of premorbid neurological problems but are not sufficient in these cases to alter the diagnosis of schizophrenia. Behavioral Variables Committed assault Self-damaging acts Additional Variables Criterion A: major depression Criterion B: mania 1 Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) of criterion A for DSM-IV major depression Lifetime presence (1) or absence (0) of criterion B for DSM-IV mania Subject report during direct assessment. cients (representing the relationships of the indicators to the factors) as the five-factor model was adjusted for up to 14 local dependencies, to make sure further adjustments did not substantially alter the factor structure. Data on the psychiatric disorders of first and second degree relatives of the probands were obtained using the family history method, with master's-level clinicians gathering information from two informants per family, via telephone interviews. Data sheets on psychiatric disorders were prepared for each relative, using either Family History Research Diagnostic Criteria (FH-RDC [Endicott et al. 1975; Andreasen et al. 1977]), for 361 families, or DSM-IV criteria applied to data from the Family Interview for Genetic Studies (FIGS: see National Institute of Mental Health Web site, http://zork. wustl.edu/nimh/figs/figs_linkpage.htm), for 318 families. Because the two sources of family history data (FH-RDC vs. FIGS) with different diagnostic criteria were used to characterize illness, we chose to focus on four broad indicators of illness that could be constructed from either data set: mania, depression, psychosis, and psychiatric hospitalization. These indicators were constructed to overcome formal diagnostic exclusions, so that, for instance, mania was coded as present in the FH-RDC data set whether the subject had a formal diagnosis of bipolar disorder, manic disorder, or schizoaffective-manic disorder. DSM-IV diagnostic exclusion rules for the FIGS data set were similarly crossed, and we developed algorithms to produce FH-RDC diagnoses using detailed symptom checklists from the FIGS data set, so that subjects with FIGS data could be coded based on either their DSM-IV diagnoses or FH-RDC approxima- 859 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. tions. Thus, for example, mania was coded as present in the FIGS data set in subjects diagnosed with DSM-IV bipolar I or bipolar disorder not otherwise specified, or for any subjects with FH-RDC mania or FH-RDC schizoaffective mania as constructed from algorithms. Proband factor scores derived from the five-factor LCFA indicate the probability of scoring at the high (vs. low) level of a given factor. These scores were used in logistic regressions on the four illness indicators in the relatives, which were coded as present (1) versus absent (0). To adjust for the presence of correlated data among relatives from the same family, Proc GenMod (SAS 1998) was used for the logistic regressions, because it incorporates the generalized estimating equations method (GEE; Zeger and Liang 1986). Each of the four illness indicators (mania, depression, psychosis, and psychiatric hospitalization) was modeled separately. The basic model included sex and degree of relative, as well as the five types of factor scores, and age of relative at assessment. The latter was included to control for differences in family illness indicators that might arise because relatives were in different parts of the risk periods. For relatives with unknown age at assessment, the mean age of the sample was substituted (results were obtained with and without this missing data correction and did not differ substantively). Of the 10,094 relatives, 8,925 had nonmissing data for the four illness indicators (mania, depression, psychosis, and psychiatric hospitalization) and entered the analysis. For any factor having a significant relationship to an illness indicator, a model was also run including an interaction term for degree of relative versus factor, to determine whether the relationship to illness indicator differed by degree of relative. Marginal (p < 0.10) and significant (p < 0.05) interactions with degree were then explored through separate models for first versus second degree relatives. relationships of indicators to factors are given by factor loadings, which are similar to correlations in their interpretation (ranging from -1 to +1) when orthogonal factors are constructed. However, in LCFA the analog to a factor loading is the beta representing the relationship between the given factor and the given indicator (akin to a coefficient for the regression of the factor on the indicator). Each indicator can have significant relationships with more than one of the five factors. Two betas are produced for each nominal indicator: one for the negative level of the indicator and one for the positive level. For example, the beta representing the relationship of therapeutic school attendance to factor 5 is -1.0234 (standard error [SE] = ± 0.184) for subjects who did not attend a therapeutic school, and +1.0234 (SE = ± 0.184) for subjects who did attend a therapeutic school. Because the beta values are symmetrical, we focused for simplicity on the betas associated with the positive levels of the indicators. Hereafter, beta refers to the effect of the factor on the positive level of the given indicator. For purposes of interpretation, each indicator has a primary assignment to the factor having the most significant beta, and secondary assignments to other factors for which the betas are still significant. Significance is arbitrarily defined as a standardized beta (i.e., z score) > 2.0 or < -2.0 (±2.0 being close to ±1.96, the z score for a 2tailed significance test at a = 0.05); the betas have been standardized (divided by their standard deviations) to increase ease of comparison. Table 4 shows the primary factor assignments, shaded gray for each indicator; bold but unshaded values signify the assignments of indicators to secondary factors. For example, the indicator criterion A: major depression is most significantly related to factor 2 (z = 5.4366) but also has a significant association with factor 3 (z = 3.8469). Factor 1 reflects positive symptoms: the high level of factor 1 is related to the presence of positive symptoms, because the standardized betas for the various delusions and hallucinations all have positive signs. Factor 2 reflects an affective dimension, with presence of symptoms at the high level. The low level of factor 2 is therefore associated with a lack of affective symptoms, and this can be seen in a number of negative symptoms, which have significant negative standardized betas for factor 2 (e.g., anhedonia, flat affect, apathy, negative formal thought disorder). The five factors can be interpreted as follows: Factor 1: positive (delusions/hallucinations) Factor 2: affective Factor 3: disorganized (at the low level, because the primary standardized betas are negative) Factor 4: negative (again, at the low level) Factor 5: early onset/developmental Note that while table 4 presents standardized betas, Results Factors. Table 2 provides the baseline proportions of subjects coded positive for the 44 indicators used in the LCFA. Statistics relevant to the fit of the five models are presented in table 3. Given the large number of indicators (44) and subjects (1,043), we focused on the LL statistic and associated BIC in comparing the different models, and we reached a global and replicable solution with five factors and a reduction in the BIC over models with fewer than five factors. The estimated variance (R2) accounted for by each of the five factors in the final model was 0.71, 0.67, 0.66, 0.64, and 0.57 for factors 1 through 5, respectively. In TFA such as principal components analysis, the 860 Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Table 2. Baseline proportions for the 44 indicators, in 1,043 schizophrenia subjects Indicator Proportion positive Affective symptoms early in course 0.5427 Akathisia 0.1539 Alogia 0.3481 Anhedonia 0.4485 Apathy 0.7128 Auditory hallucinations: first rank or non-first rank 0.8202 Bizarre behavior 0.6359 Catatonic behavior 0.1157 Committed assault 0.41 Convulsions, seizures, epilepsy 0.111 Criterion A: major depression 0.5666 Criterion B: mania 0.3311 Delusions of guilt 0.2203 Delusions of influence 0.2668 Delusions of passivity 0.1754 Delusions of reference 0.7928 Disorganized speech 0.5407 Flat affect 0.5656 Grandiose delusions 0.5603 Inappropriate affect 0.3923 Negative formal thought disorder 0.2763 Nihilistic delusions 0.0557 Olfactory hallucinations 0.155 Parkinsonian signs 0.1472 Persecutory delusions 0.8685 Poor insight 0.682 Poor premorbid functioning 0.3631 Primary delusional perception 0.0371 Primary delusions 0.0561 Prodromal signs 0.8727 Psychosis onset < 16 0.1862 Remitting course 0.06 School deterioration 0.4912 Self-damaging acts 0.4604 Self-neglect 0.4848 Somatic hallucinations 0.2127 Tactile hallucinations 0.1492 Tardive dyskinesia 0.1095 Therapeutic school 0.1044 Thought broadcasting 0.2099 Thought echo 0.0723 Thought insertion 0.226 Thought withdrawal 0.119 Visual hallucinations 0.4136 861 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. Table 3. Overview of model fit for the models tested No. of factors in model 1 No. of parameters LL df BIC (based on LL) 0 (1-class baseline model) 45 -20,589.71 1.63E+15 41,492.16 1 91 -19,875.94 1.63E+15 40,384.33 2 3 2 4 5 2 137 -19,380.15 1.63E+15 39,712.43 184 -18,834.62 1.48E+15 38,948.01 230 -18,643.95 1.48E+15 38,886.36 277 -18,426.83 1.44E+15 38,778.77 Note.—BIC = Bayesian information criterion; LL = log likelihood. 1 The 1 -class model is a simple baseline latent class (rather than latent factor) model, which yields estimates of the baseline variation among the indicators before construction of latent factors. 2 Beginning with model 3, adjustment was made for local dependency of criterion A: major depression with affective symptoms early in course; with model 5, adjustment was added for local dependency of delusions of reference with persecutory delusions. the nonstandardized betas are quite similar in magnitude, so strong relationships between factors and indicators (reflected in large betas) also tended to be highly significant (reflected in large z scores, i.e., the standardized betas). Factor-specific Pearson correlations of the betas and z scores ranged from 0.92 to 0.97. For readers who are familiar with LCA, results are presented in table 5 in terms of the conditional probabilities of each given factor as a function of the levels of the manifest indicators. While LCA yields the probability of class membership as a function of indicator level, LCFA yields the probability of being at the "high" level of a given dichotomous factor as a function of indicator level. For instance, subjects with a history of school deterioration have a 56 percent (0.562) probability of classification in the "high" level of factor 5 (early onset/developmental), while subjects without deterioration have only a 17 percent probability (0.165). Because the overall probability of the high level of factor 5 is 36 percent (0.357), the relationship of school deterioration to this factor is highlighted by presenting the data in this way. Note that these conditional probabilities look at a glance like traditional factor loadings but should not be interpreted as "correlations." It can be important to note low conditional probabilities as well as high ones; the distance between the two probabilities for levels of a given indicator is very closely associated with the standardized betas (indicators with greater distance between the conditional probabilities have larger absolute betas). The strongest two bivariate residuals (signifying local dependencies) arising in the course of generating the fivefactor model included one for criterion A: major depression versus affective symptoms early in course, and one for delusions of reference versus persecutory delusions. The final five-factor model contains adjustments for these associations. Adjustment for additional smaller local dependencies improved model fit but did not substantially alter the factor structure. Finally, Latent Gold produces factor scores, which are simply the probabilities of the subject being at level 2 (the "high" level) of a given factor. Intercorrelations among the five sets of factor scores were weak to nonexistent, owing to the fact that the default method of the LCFA software is to produce orthogonal factors. The positive factor scores showed a weak positive correlation to the early onset/developmental scores (r = 0.12, p < 0.0001): early onset/developmental cases tended to show more positive symptoms. The affective scores correlated very weakly but positively with the negative symptom scores (r - 0.08, p < 0.009) (recall that the "low" level of the negative factor represents more negative symptoms, so this weak positive correlation makes sense). The disorganized factor scores correlated weakly and positively with the negative factor scores (r = 0.10, p < 0.0007), indicating that subjects with disorganization symptoms were slightly more likely to also have negative symptoms. Family Illness Indicators. Table 6 provides the odds ratios (ORs) and 95 percent confidence intervals (CIs) for illness indicators in first and second degree relatives in relation to the factor scores of probands. For those models in which an interaction was detected between degree and factor, separate ORs are given by degree. All ORs are adjusted for sex of relative, degree of relative (except for degree-specific ORs), and age of relative at assessment. ORs for a given factor effect are also adjusted for the other four factors (this did not substantially alter coefficient estimates relative to models excluding the other four factors). All five factors were related to one or more illness indicators. Higher scores on the positive symptom factor predicted less depression in all relatives (p - 0.0396). 862 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Five Latent Factors Table 4. Primary (shaded and bold) and secondary (bold) factor assignments of indicators based on standardized betas Standardized Beta Indicator Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Factor 4 Factor 5 Delusions of influence 10.5043 -2.9301 -0.3307 -0.7829 2.5621 Thought insertion 9.9026 -1.8481 1.3154 -3.3656 5.1135 Somatic hallucinations 8.9148 -1.9185 1.3717 -1.4964 3.33 Thought broadcasting 8.5648 -1.2671 1.9319 -2.8027 3.9525 Delusions of passivity 7.9545 -3.3418 -1.1419 -1.8637 2.805 Thought withdrawal 7.626 -2.0257 0.191 -4.3295 4.4991 Grandiose delusions 6.7484 5.375 -3.1879 1.6448 1.3637 Tactile hallucinations 6.0596 -2.263 0.2898 -1.1254 4.097 Olfactory hallucinations 4.9715 0.4002 1.3764 -0.274 3.546 Auditory hallucinations: first rank or non-first rank 4.5835 -2.7155 -2.5613 -1.3132 3.026 Thought echo 4.5566 1.1421 3.7663 -2.6855 3.5219 Primary delusions 4.1495 -2.2918 2.9129 -0.5301 -0.5418 Delusions of reference 3.607 Primary delusional perception 3.44 2.2862 2.9086 -2.1649 1.4482 -2.9802 1.7072 -0.1484 -0.5181 Delusions of guilt 3.3746 3.0034 3.0505 -0.7029 3.0173 Nihilistic delusions 3.1636 -0.0014 0.1161 -1.4514 1.7322 Tardive dyskinesia 2.7189 2.08 -2.2906 -1.508 0.7268 Criterion B: mania 0.9709 7.8003 -1.4094 1.881 0.6628 Affective symptoms early in course 0.9553 6.1048 -2.0431 1.0148 1.9951 0.6395 -1.3087 5.4366 3.8469 -1.5147 4.6179 -0.3576 -9.2826 -2.5711 Self-neglect 4.3963 -2.8505 -9.9282 -4.854 Bizarre behavior 4.0246 -0.2416 -8.3008 -2.1762 Criterion A: major depression Disorganized speech -0.0255 -0.9709 0.4454 Inappropriate affect 2.6953 0.3703 -9.6079 -2.0107 0.9248 Parkinsonian signs 2.4755 0.5968 -3.4402 -1.2503 -1.0452 Catatonic behavior 2.2401 0.3777 -3.7743 -3.3576 1.3935 Akathisia 2.0872 1.8024 -4.0881 -1.89 1.6542 0.4326 -2.8963 1.3405 1.6844 -6.9852 -3.5612 -0.6677 Persecutory delusions 1.72 Poor insight 0.9105 -4.196 Committed assault 0.2489 0.5323 -6.4032 -2.2467 3.1728 Anhedonia 0.8031 -2.0129 -2.7948 -7.7486 -1.8348 Poor premorbid functioning 0.4808 0.1267 0.0776 Flat affect 0.3137 -3.1602 -4.2541 Prodromal signs -0.6804 -1.8502 -2.6648 -4.0206 3.1868 Apathy -0.9202 -2.0589 -5.5356 -9.3588 -0.6465 Negative formal thought disorder -1.0789 -2.222 -4.988 -8.1009 -0.2432 Remitting course -2.0066 1.4649 3.2903 3.7674 -2.1785 Alogia -2.1213 -1.5201 -3.8661 -8.6627 0.1004 Visual hallucinations 3.831 -1.6847 -3.182 -0.8369 4.1027 Self-damaging acts 2.0662 2.8543 -3.5512 -1.9314 4.9214 -1.0781 -1.7876 -2.4953 -2.2156 6.5736 School deterioration 863 -2.6919 -10.157 0.1513 -0.6506 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. Table 4. Primary (shaded and bold) and secondary (bold) factor assignments of indicators based on standardized betas—Continued Standardized Beta Indicator Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Convulsions, seizures, epilepsy -1.1905 -1.5387 -1.1826 Psychosis onset < 16 -1.4835 0.5888 Therapeutic school -2.5841 -1.604 Similarly, lower scores on the negative symptom factor (indicating more negative symptoms) predicted less depression, but only for second degree relatives (p 0.0012); the OR for depression in first degree relatives was not significant (p - 0.1392), although it was not in opposition to the OR for second degree relatives. Higher scores on the affective factor predicted more mania in all relatives (p = 0.0062) and more depression. Although the interaction of the affective factor with degree was marginally significant (p = 0.082) for depression, again the first versus second degree ORs were not in opposition; rather, the affective factor was significantly related to depression in second degree relatives (p = 0.0003) but only marginally so for first degree relatives (p = 0.0652). Lower disorganized factor scores (indicating more disorganization) predicted more psychosis among first degree relatives (p = 0.0076); the relationship was nonsignificant among second degree relatives (p = 0.7918), leading to a marginally significant interaction of degree with disorganization (p = 0.0993). Lower disorganized scores also predicted more psychiatric hospitalization among all relatives (p - 0.0031). The early onset/developmental factor was related in a consistent way to depression, psychosis, and psychiatric hospitalization in relatives, with higher factor scores predicting more illness for all three measures. The relationship with depression was significant for second degree relatives (p < 0.0001) but not first degree relatives (p 0.1348), leading to a significant interaction of degree by early onset/developmental factor (p = 0.0141). The relationship with psychosis was marginal (p - 0.0881) for all relatives, while the relationship with psychiatric hospitalization was significant (p - 0.0412) for all relatives. Apart from the above-mentioned interactions, it should be noted that degree showed significant and similar relationships with all four illness indicators, such that first degree relatives had a higher probability of each of these illness indicators than second degree relatives: the ORs ranged from 2.78 (2.34-3.31) for psychiatric hospitalization to 4.55 (3.76-5.51) for depression. Sex of relative was related only to depression in relatives, with females being 2.01 times more likely to have depression (95% CI: 1.70-2.38). Factor 4 Factor 5 0.3545 4.1735 -0.171 -0.3478 4.2315 -2.481 0.023 5.5621 Discussion Factors. This exploratory LCFA confirms results from a number of previous studies that described factors relating to positive symptoms, negative symptoms, and disorganization (Klimidis et al. 1993; Brekke et al. 1994; Buchanan and Carpenter 1994; Murphy et al. 1994; Andreasen et al. 1995ft; Burke et al. 1996; Ratakonda et al. 1998; Mojtabai 1999) but expands knowledge of the possible dimensions underlying the schizophrenias with the description of the early onset/developmental factor, which, to our knowledge, has not been previously isolated via factor analysis. As an exploratory factor analysis, the present study is open to the basic criticism that statistical generation of an underlying factor related to a number of manifest indicators does not prove that the factor exists or that it holds causal explanatory power. However, in LCFA the factors are generated without rotation, so the potential TFA problem of multiple non-unique solutions achieved through different rotation techniques is avoided. Early onset/developmental factor. This factor seems to mark subjects who have manifested early signs of disturbance (early onset, school deterioration, attendance at a therapeutic school). The therapeutic school subjects included at least some with possible attention deficit and conduct disorders. The flavor of conduct problems was also suggested by the self-damaging acts indicator, and the secondary loading of committed assault. We make this interpretation cautiously, because in the present study the age at which the assault or self-damaging acts occurred was not necessarily a young age. However, this grouping of early onset and conduct problems is consistent with research by Hafner and associates (Hafner and Nowotny 1995), who have found a higher rate of nonspecific symptoms related to neurotic and conduct disorder diagnoses among cases of early-onset schizophrenia. The loading of seizures on this factor arises from the strong bivariate associations of seizures with both onset < 16 and attendance in a therapeutic school in this sample. Furthermore, seizures are highly associated with selfdamaging acts, and with visual, tactile, and olfactory hallucinations. Self-damaging acts are in turn highly associ- 864 00 0.53 0.65 0.24 0.28 0.29 0.26 0.35 0.20 0.35 0.34 0.23 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.29 0.31 0.27 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.25 Thought insertion Somatic hallucinations Thought broadcasting Delusions of passivity Thought withdrawal Grandiose delusions Tactile hallucinations Olfactory hallucinations Auditory hallucinations: first rank or non-first rank Thought echo Primary delusions Delusions of reference Primary delusional perception Delusions of guilt Nihilistic delusions Tardive dyskinesia Criterion B: mania Affective symptoms early in course Criterion A: major depression Disorganized speech Self-neglect Bizarre behavior Inappropriate affect Parkinsonian signs Catatonic behavior Akathisia Persecutory delusions 0.52 0.24 0.34 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.39 0.52 0.49 0.43 0.45 0.49 0.52 0.45 0.16 0.20 0.16 0.44 0.47 0.51 0.47 0.44 0.50 0.51 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.55 0.43 0.49 0.35 0.77 0.49 0.44 0.46 0.58 0.45 0.81 0.74 0.45 0.63 0.70 0.49 0.84 0.31 0.29 0.48 0.51 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.51 Absent 0.97 0.76 0.76 0.86 0.90 0.20 Delusions of influence Present Absent 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.47 0.38 0.43 0.70 0.96 0.72 0.58 0.48 0.60 0.05 0.49 0.55 0.64 0.54 0.54 0.68 0.85 0.76 0.73 0.43 0.53 0.54 0.31 0.49 0.30 0.34 0.24 0.40 0.24 0.28 0.61 0.47 0.54 0.55 0.37 0.52 0.66 0.53 0.72 0.53 0.55 0.81 0.85 0.48 0.59 0.49 0.42 0.52 0.51 0.30 0.62 0.57 0.51 0.45 0.54 0.48 0.54 0.61 0.52 0.62 0.51 0.60 0.59 0.52 0.52 Present 0.52 0.53 0.50 Factor 3 Absent 0.43 0.49 0.35 0.60 0.37 0.31 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.35 Present 0.45 0.41 Overall probability of "high" level of factor Factor 2 Factor 1 0.45 0.51 0.43 0.48 0.49 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.56 0.52 0.51 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.55 0.48 0.50 0.46 0.37 0.27 0.41 0.41 0.45 0.35 0.41 0.48 0.44 0.54 0.38 0.36 0.44 0.47 0.44 0.44 0.24 0.44 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.50 0.41 0.22 0.40 0.36 0.42 0.35 0.45 0.42 0.52 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.52 0.48 Present Factor 4 Absent Table 5. Conditional probabilities of " high" level of factors, given presence/absence of indicators' 0.23 0.34 0.34 0.37 0.33 0.35 0.38 0.33 0.29 0.33 0.34 w 0.38 0.45 0.44 0.30 £ o p 'i S' 0.38 S? 0.37 f iS' £ G o 3 21 n a 0.33 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.51 0.34 0.34 0.48 0.28 0.38 0.28 0.68 0.41 0.55 0.39 0.62 0.64 0.52 0.53 0.51 0.58 0.47 Present 0.31 0.35 0.26 0.35 0.33 0.13 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.29 0.31 Absent 0.36 Factor 5 3 <' 0.45 0.36 0.27 0.29 0.50 0.45 0.36 0.34 0.27 0.26 0.41 0.43 0.41 0.33 0.36 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.42 Negative formal thought disorder Remitting course Alogia Visual hallucinations Self-damaging acts School deterioration Convulsions, seizures, epilepsy Psychosis onset < 16 Therapeutic school Bold and shaded: primary factor; bold only: secondary factor. 0.56 0.49 0.35 0.42 1 0.45 0.57 0.40 0.46 Prodromal signs Apathy 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.53 0.40 0.49 0.51 0.38 0.54 0.41 0.40 Flat affect 0.36 0.38 0.37 0.43 0.53 0.42 0.40 0.56 0.36 0.44 0.48 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.63 0.48 0.58 0.76 0.67 0.61 0.53 0.59 0.41 0.47 0.39 Poor premorbid functioning 0.63 0.76 0.35 0.37 0.45 0.46 0.43 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.67 0.47 0.43 0.42 0.61 0.83 0.68 0.75 0.35 0.49 0.50 0.77 0.51 0.54 0.43 0.65 0.50 0.56 Absent 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.48 0.31 0.76 0.78 0.63 0.25 0.56 0.49 0.32 0.24 0.41 0.51 0.34 0.19 0.35 0.34 0.40 0.35 0.36 0.31 0.45 0.35 Present 0.17 0.25 0.40 0.36 0.11 0.37 0.36 0.40 0.15 0.38 0.35 0.40 0.29 0.38 Absent 0.36 Factor 5 0.44 0.93 0.08 0.31 0.41 0.21 0.38 0.26 0.41 0.40 Present Factor 4 0.50 0.34 0.38 Present 0.50 Factor 3 Absent 0.47 0.41 0.38 Anhedonia 0.45 0.41 0.39 0.50 0.39 Committed assault 0.59 0.42 Present 0.39 0.38 Absent Present 0.45 0.41 Absent Poor insight Overall probability of "high" level of factor Factor 2 Factor 1 Table 5. Conditional probabilities of "high" level of factors, given presence/absence of indicators'—Continued o 1 to ts. p •-7 © S' < f?" to S' 1 I Schi Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Table 6. Odds ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) for illness indicators in first and second degree relatives (n = 8,925) as a function of factor scores in probands1 Illness indicator in relatives Positive factor (high = more positive) Disorganized factor (low = more disorganized) Affective factor (high = more affective) Negative factor (low = more negative) Early onset/ developmental factor (high = more developmental) Mania 0.80 0.49-1.30 2.03 1.22-3.36 1.18 0.71-1.98 1.40 0.84-2.35 1.36 0.78-2.37 Depression 0.74 0.55-0.99 1st: 1.36 2 nd : 2.00 0.98-1.89 1.38-2.91 1.10 0.82-1.48 1 s t : 1.29 2 nd : 1.95 0.92-1.80 1.30-2.91 1 st : 1.32 2 nd : 2.39 0.92-1.91 1.57-3.65 Psychosis 0.96 0.70-1.31 0.93 0.69-1.26 1st: 0.61 2 nd : 0.94 0.42-0.88 0.57-1.53 1.13 0.82-1.57 1.34 0.96-1.88 Psychiatric hospitalization 1.18 0.93-1.48 1.20 0.95-1.53 0.69 0.54-0.88 1.07 0.83-1.37 1.32 1.01-1.73 1 Separate odds ratios are given by degree for factors that showed marginal (p < 0.10) or significant (p < 0.05) interactions with degree. Bold: p < 0.05; italic: 0.05 < p < 0.10. ated with visual hallucinations, as well as auditory and tactile hallucinations. Although visual hallucinations per se do not necessarily suggest early onset, this loading does not appear arbitrary when one considers the above interrelationships of indicators, and the fact that many other positive symptom indicators have significant secondary associations with the early onset/developmental factor (all of the hallucination items and most of the Schneiderian items). One possible explanation is that early-onset cases may manifest more typical aspects of the disease, such as the visual and auditory hallucinations. The significant secondary negative loading of remitting course suggests that subjects with high scores on this factor are chronically affected. Affective factor. In several studies, some of which sample patients with affective disorders and nonaffective psychosis in addition to schizophrenia, separate depression and/or mania factors have been described (Kitamura et al. 1995; Van Os et al. 1996, 1997, 1999; Lancon et al. 1998; McGorry et al. 1998; Cardno et al. 2001; MacCabe et al. 2002). In the present study, affective symptoms were related to a single factor, and in the same direction (i.e., mania and depression were not on opposite poles). Furthermore, this affective factor also had the same directional relationship with affective symptoms early in the course of illness, which has been suggested as a predictor of better outcome among individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia (Davidson and McGlashan 1997). Indicators secondarily associated with the affective factor in an inverse fashion included four of eight negative indicators and two of ten disorganized indicators. This finding suggests that the affective factor may mark patients with relatively better outcome, although the secondary beta for remitting course did not reach signifi- cance in relation to this factor (table 5: z = 1.4649). Affective factors have been associated with better outcome in subjects with nonaffective psychosis (Van Os et al. 1996; Kendler et al. 1997). Recently, MacCabe et al. (2002) reported that schizophrenia subjects who were functioning well enough to enter university before the onset of illness had higher scores on a reactive depressive factor and lower scores on a schizophrenia factor than more poorly functioning subjects with schizophrenia. Studies identifying separate mania and depression factors rather than a combination factor have included multiple symptoms of both mania and depression (Kitamura et al. 1995; Van Os et al. 1996, 1997, 1999; Lancon et al. 1998; McGorry et al. 1998; Cardno et al. 2001; MacCabe et al. 2002), and it is probably this feature (rather than the inclusion of patients with other psychotic diagnoses) that permits the breakdown of affective symptoms into two separate factors, because there are adequate numbers of patients in our schizophrenia sample who have experienced affective psychopathology. Positive factor. Although this study included a wide selection of psychosis indicators, the analysis did not break down the positive dimension into two or more discrete subdimensions (e.g., first rank delusions, paranoid delusions, first rank hallucinations, other hallucinations) seen in some studies (among broad psychosis samples [Toomy et al. 1997; Van Os et al. 1997; Cardno et al. 2001]; among schizophrenia/schizoaffective samples [Cardno et al. 1996, 1999]). However, most of this study's positive indicators showed multidimensionality. For example, as mentioned above, five of the seven Schneiderian (first rank) indicators had secondary associations with the developmental dimension. In addition, five 867 Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 J.A. McGrath et al. dimension, but a local dependency remained. When this was adjusted for, and five factors were constructed, the persecutory delusions indicator loaded primarily on the disorganized factor. The loading likely derives from the strong association of persecutory delusions with two primary indicators of disorganization, namely, disorganized speech and committed assault, plus self-damaging acts, which is a secondary disorganization indicator. Likewise, the association of parkinsonian signs with the disorganization factor is understandable in light of the fact that this indicator was most highly associated with TD, followed by akathisia, self-neglect, persecutory delusions, delusions of guilt, delusions of passivity, and disorganized speech: Of these seven associated indicators, four loaded primarily on the disorganized dimension (akathisia, self-neglect, persecutory delusions, disorganized speech), and two loaded secondarily on it (TD and delusions of guilt). We hypothesize that the disorganized dimension reflects to some extent one or more forms of schizophrenia that are particularly sensitive to dopamine imbalance, because the three motor disturbance indicators had connections to this factor. positive symptoms had associations with the negative dimension, and ten delusion/hallucination items had associations with the affective dimension (predictably, grandiose delusions, delusions of reference, and delusions of guilt had positive associations with the affective factor, while the other items had negative associations). The association of tardive dyskinesia (TD) with the positive symptom factor results from the interrelationships of this indicator with multiple positive indicators: TD was most strongly associated with parkinsonian signs but was also associated with five positive symptom indicators, including four of the five strongest loading indicators on the positive dimension (delusions of influence, thought insertion, somatic hallucinations, and delusions of passivity). TD was also associated with six indicators (disorganized speech, self-negflect, bizarre behavior, parkinsonian signs, catatonic behavior, and committed assault) loading primarily on disorganization. The association of TD with both the disorganized and positive factors could be the result of using higher doses of neuroleptics in subjects manifesting florid symptoms, or the wide range of symptoms could be the result of reduction in medication because of TD, with a resultant reemergence of a florid symptom pattern. Disorganization and negative factors. The current analyses followed a great many other studies in separating disorganized symptoms from positive and negative dimensions. McGorry et al. have suggested that the separation of disorganized symptoms from the negative dimension may be specific to schizophrenia and may not be characteristic of functional psychoses as a whole (Kitamura et al. 1995; McGorry et al. 1998). However, other studies of dimensionality in subjects with a broad range of functional psychoses have supported separate negative and disorganization dimensions (Peralta et al. 1997). And studies of within-family or within-sibship sameness for dimensions have supported the validity of separate disorganization and negative dimensions in samples of probands with schizophrenia (Burke et al. 1996; Cardno et al. 1999; Wickham et al. 2001) as well as probands with broad psychosis (Kendler et al. 1997; Cardno et al. 2001). In the present study, the great majority of the negative indicators have secondary loadings on the disorganized factor, and vice versa (table 5). However, the present modeling produced a better fit to the data with five factors, and the negative and disorganized factor scores showed different relationships with family illness indicators. The association of persecutory delusions with the disorganized factor rather than the positive factor seems anomalous but likely owes to the adjustment made in the model for the local dependency between persecutory delusions and delusions of reference. In the four-factor model, both indicators loaded primarily on the positive Family Illness Indicators. Examination of psychiatric illness indicators in first and second degree relatives of probands provides a preliminary means of evaluating the validity of separating schizophrenia signs and symptoms into five dimensions. In the present study, the five proband factors had varying associations with familial illness indicators, supporting their distinctiveness. Mania in relatives. Higher scores on the affective factor most strongly predicted manic illness in relatives. Van Os et al. (1997) have similarly reported an association between a mania factor in Research Diagnostic Criteria schizophrenia and broad schizoaffective probands and affective psychosis (bipolar illness or depression with hospitalization) in first degree relatives. This finding is also somewhat consistent with that of Kendler et al. (1998), who, in an LCA, found a significantly higher risk for bipolar illness among relatives of "bipolar-schizomania" (class) probands compared with relatives of controls, and a trend toward more affective illness in general in the relatives of these probands. Wickham et al. (2001) have also demonstrated the familiality of a manic dimension within families multiplex for psychosis and ascertained through a schizophrenia proband. The manic illness associations in the present study are consistent with research pointing to possible shared genetic susceptibility among at least some schizophrenic and bipolar illnesses (Berrettini 2000). Depression in relatives. All of the factor scores except disorganization were related to depression in relatives. Of interest, more psychosis in the proband (either positive or negative) predicted less depression in relatives. 868 Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Higher factor scores on the affective or early onset/developmental factor predicted more depression in relatives. The affective factor association is consistent with the finding of Maier et al. (1993) of an elevated risk of unipolar depression in families of schizophrenia probands. To the extent that the early onset/developmental factor is specific to schizophrenia, that association is also consistent with the Maier et al. finding. One caveat with the depression findings is that three of these factor associations differed by degree of relative (table 6). Although the associations by degree did not contradict each other (the CIs for the ORs overlapped for first vs. second degree relatives), the ORs for the second degree relatives were of consistently greater magnitude and more significant, while the CIs were also wider. This finding suggests that there may have been more error in the assessment of depression among second degree relatives. Psychosis in relatives. More disorganization in probands predicted more psychosis in first degree relatives; higher early onset/developmental factor scores marginally predicted more psychosis in all relatives. The latter relationship is sensible, given that in general cases of early-onset diseases are more likely to be familial (Childs and Scriver 1986); however, the literature on early onset and familiality has been inconsistent for schizophrenia, so further study of this finding is needed. The relationship between the disorganized factor and psychosis involved an interaction with degree: first degree relatives showed a stronger and more reliable OR than second degree relatives, for whom the association was nonsignificant. This pattern is consistent with a genetic relationship between disorganization in probands and psychosis in relatives, because psychosis is a more reliably ascertained phenomenon (than, e.g., depression) using the family informant method, and power is better among second degree relatives because of their larger numbers. The relationships between the disorganization factor and family illness indicators were somewhat consistent with other findings. Previous studies point to a relationship between the disorganized dimension in probands and the risk of schizophrenia or psychosis in relatives (Cardno et al. 1997, 2001). Wickham et al. (2001) demonstrated familial aggregation of the disorganization factor in 224 probandwise twin pairs concordant for psychosis. And the latent class study by Kendler et al. (1998) identified a disorganized/manic class ("hebephrenic") as having the highest morbid risks of schizophrenia, nonaffective psychosis, and schizophrenia spectrum disorders compared with other patient classes and controls. Research by Van Os et al. (1997) also found a positive relationship for a disorganized factor (inappropriate affect, catatonia, bizarre behavior) and familial risk for affective psychosis and general psychosis, but this was limited to families of schizophrenia rather than schizoaffective probands. However, they found a more robust relationship between an early and insidious onset/affective blunting dimension and familial risk for schizophrenia, affective psychosis, and general psychosis (more robust in that it held for both schizophrenia and schizoaffective probands). It is not entirely clear why the negative psychosis factor in the present study was not similar enough to the early and insidious onset/affective blunting dimension in the Van Os et al. study to show any comparable associations, but perhaps the difference is due to the fact that the "early onset" component and a few other possible indicators of early disorder segmented into a separate factor in the present study. Psychiatric hospitalization in relatives. Psychiatric hospitalization showed almost identical associations to those seen for psychosis, except that the associations (with disorganization and early onset/developmental factor scores) were both significant, with no significant variation by degree. Although this indicator is not specific about the illness for which hospitalization occurred, it presupposes a fairly serious illness. In the sample of relatives entering analyses, 90.0 percent of those with psychosis were hospitalized, while 73.2 percent of those with mania and 40.2 percent of those with depression were hospitalized. Conclusions In summary, the present study confirmed the presence of positive, negative, disorganized, and affective dimensions within the signs and symptoms of schizophrenia and described an additional important factor relating to early onset/developmental signs. The associations of factor scores with psychopathology in first and second degree relatives suggest that these factors may be useful in marking aspects of schizophrenia that are familial. It will be important for future research following from the present study to examine whether and which of the latent factors may be shared among affected members within a family. 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We are also grateful to the National Institute of Mental Health, which supported a large part of the data collection through grants. Five Latent Factors Schizophrenia Bulletin, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2004 Genetics Program, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. M. Danielle Fallin, Ph.D., is Assistant Professor, Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health. Mary H. Thornquist, Ph.D., is Supervisor of the Clinical Examination Team for the Epidemiology-Genetics Program, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. James R. Luke, Psy.D., is a Clinical Examiner for the Epidemiology-Genetics Program, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins School of Medicine. Ann E. Pulver, Sc.D., is Professor and Director of the Epidemiology-Genetics Program, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. The Authors John A. McGrath, M.A., is Senior Department Research Data Manager, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. Gerald Nestadt, M.D., M.P.H., is Professor, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. Kung-Yee Liang, Ph.D., is Professor, Departments of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD. Virginia K. Lasseter, B.S., is Genetic Analyst, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. Paula S. Wolyniec, M.A., is Research Coordinator for the Epidemiology- 873