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Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 brill.com/jps The Decline of Safavid Iran in Comparative Perspective Rudi Matthee University of Delaware [email protected] Abstract This essay analyzes the incontrovertible weakening of the Safavid state in the late seventeenth and early eighteenth century by putting it in a larger context. It does so by comparing various manifestations of Iran’s “decline” at the time to conditions and developments in the adjacent Ottoman and Mughal states, where similar processes were playing out in the same period. In order to arrive at a measured and balanced view of similarities and differences between these three early modern Islamic empires, it singles out and focuses on four areas: geographical/environmental and economic conditions, political developments, the state of the army, and ideological characteristics. Keywords Safavids – decline – early modern empires – Ottomans – Mughals – Afghans Introduction There are good reasons to view Safavid Iran from its emergence as a state in 1501 until its demise in 1722 in the way most Iranians, as well as many modern scholars dealing with this period in Iranian history, do: as a polity in its own right, unique, sui generis, a world unto itself. The unique features of the Safavids, most significantly their role as the creators of the world’s only Twelver-Shiʿi nation, their status as the founders of the modern Iranian nationstate, and the abrupt disintegration of their state in the face of an uprising * I would like to thank Stephen Dale and Alan Mikhail for commenting on an earlier draft of this essay. © koninklijke brill nv, leiden, ���5 | doi 10.1163/18747167-12341286 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 277 followed by an assault by a small band of Afghan warriors, all appear to justify such an approach. It is also possible, and arguably more instructive, to view Safavid Iran as part of a continuum of political entities encompassing the adjacent Ottoman and Mughal empires (as well as, to a lesser extent, the Central Asian Uzbek state), entities that gave a measure of structure and cohesion to the area between the Balkans and the Deccan before the advent of colonialism. In an effort to find a short-hand term for their common features, modern scholarship has affixed various labels to these early modern polities: “gunpowder empires,” a term suggested by Marshall Hodgson (Hodgson, III, pp. 17-16, 26); “patrimonial-bureaucratic states,” in deference to Max Weber,1 or “tributary polities,” referring to the extraction by the central, imperial government of wealth as a token of respect and submission or allegiance, a model adumbrated by Marx and further developed by Eric Wolf, among other neo-Marxists (Wolf, pp. 76, 79-82). On a deeper, less functionalist level, the communality between these polities was above all a matter of inhabiting a common cultural space, of being heirs to a set of shared Turko-Mongol patterns and traditions, of taking part in a culture that, at the elite level, expressed itself in the Persian language and was suffused with Persianate and Islamicate, mutually comprehensible, cultural motifs (Fragner, passim; Soudavar; Robinson). Such traditions and patterns are reflected in the ways in which war, trade, and diplomacy were conducted between and among these states. People migrated; goods, money and precious metals were transmitted; and ideas were diffused across the lands in ways that warrant the term “oikoumene/ecumene” introduced by Marshall Hodgson for the (even wider) region (Hodgson, III, passim). Merchants traveled far and wide, between Isfahan and Bursa or Aleppo and Izmir, via Tabriz in Azerbaijan and Tokat in Anatolia, or following the trail into Mesopotamia via Hamadan and Baghdad; between Isfahan and Lahore via Farah and Qandahār, or taking the maritime route, between the Persian Gulf port of Bandar ʿAbbās and Surat in Gujarat, the Malabar Coast or the ports of Coromandel. Iranians readily found employment at the Mughal court; the Safavids fought wars against the Ottomans and, to a lesser extent, the Mughals, under the banner of the Shiʿi faith; diplomatic missions were elaborate affairs involving large numbers of people and an abundance of high-quality gifts; and the natural environment, in which urban centers and their surrounding oases were like islands in a vast ocean, created a commercial nexus sustained by caravan traffic by way of camels and caravanserais. 1 For the features of the patrimonial state, see Weber, I, pp. 1006-10. For its manifestation in the Mughal case, see Blake. For reflections on Safavid Iran as an empire, see Matthee, 2010. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 278 Matthee Most importantly for the purposes of this essay, the three states in question were structured and behaved in institutionally comparable ways, politically, religiously, as well as economically. They thus present a degree of commensurability leading to a certain isomorphism in their reaction to internal and external challenges. The elites in all three cases were foreign in origin, either having taken power by way of military invasion or initially introduced as “slave soldiers,” in a variant of the Mamluk system. Rule was patrimonial in the sense that power resided in the household of the ruler who personified not just the dynasty but the very idea of Islamic sovereignty. Islam, either in its Sunni manifestation in the case of the Ottomans and the Mughals, or in its Twelver-Shiʿi variant in the Safavid case, underpinned the system, formally turning the ruler into the divinely appointed defender of the faith. Also shared was the absence of primogeniture as a self-evident principle of succession and legitimacy; instead authority resided in the ruling clan rather than in the person of the ruler, leading to a type of “corporate” government as a model that continued to linger even as sons often succeeded their fathers. One consequence of this was the importance of the royal harem as a place where power was selected, managed, and perpetuated, resulting in a major role in state management for women and eunuchs. All three states, finally, used similar methods to collect revenue. They depended mostly on the yield of agriculture for their income. With regard to commerce, they sought to maximize wealth not by way of mercantilist protectionism, by imposing tariffs and other restrictions on imports, but with a “laissez-faire” approach, allowing merchants from far and wide, indigenous and foreign ones alike, to participate, and encouraging imports for the sake of an economy that was primarily designed to satisfy internal markets by ensuring an abundant supply of essential commodities. The study of the various manifestations of the commonality of and the interaction between the Ottomans, the Safavid and the Mughals have thus far not gone much beyond art, gift-giving, literature, and historiography. Diplomacy has received some attention, as has trade, but scholarship on war, arguably the main form of interaction in the “connective” history embodied by these states, is still in its infancy. The greatest impediment here is a long-standing separation and insularity of discourses in Middle Eastern history, which is exacerbated by the national(ist) tenor of modern historiography: Ottomanists, preoccupied with their empire’s military, political and economic links to Europe, generally don’t look “east”; and scholars of the Mughal Empire tend to be focused on connections with Britain, the colonial power that supplanted the Mughals in much of India and that also accounts for the limited linguistic abilities that many scholars of the Subcontinent bring to their field. Safavid historians, in turn, many of them hampered by similar language barriers, have been even more insular in their purview. In keeping with a general inclination among Iranians Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 279 to see their country as unique, civilizationally pivotal, and little influenced by other regional powers, except perhaps in negative ways, they have often analyzed Safavid Iran as a country prevented from reaching its natural destiny by (proto)-colonial and imperialist machinations, European, not Ottoman or Mughal or even Russian, to be sure. Even the tendency to privilege “mind over matter,” following converging biases and interests of traditional Persianate culture and modern Western Orientalism, has not necessarily generated profound studies of cultural interaction between Sarajevo and Hyderabad. Recent book-length studies by Stephen Dale and Douglas Streusand portend change, at least with regard to comparative history. Yet, these studies appear to lie outside today’s prevailing discourse of empire studies at large, in part perhaps because at least Streusand’s study adheres to the obsolescent “gunpowder empire” model, in part surely because current empire studies, driven by an agenda whose search for “modernist” tendencies excludes religion (and culture at large) as a serious ideological factor, tend to situate the Ottoman Empire in a comparative framework that includes the Habsburg, the Mughals and the Chinese but leaves out the presumably less commensurate Safavids.2 One scholar, struck by this absence of Iran from the discourse, in this case the discourse about non-Western “modernities,” has aptly called the “Turkey-India-China grouping” the “Three Tenors of non-Western Modernities” (Ben-Dor Benite, p. 649). Safavid “decline” in a comparative context is the specific topic of this paper, which seeks to broaden Iranian horizons in order to gain a better perspective on processes and developments that preceded the fall of Isfahan to a small band of Afghan tribesmen in 1722. “Decline” might be called the shared theme of the three empires under review, even though these days the term and the concept are highly contested, if not outright suspect. We still legitimately talk about Venetian decline after 1453, Dutch decline after the “Golden Age” of the seventeenth century, British decline in the twentieth century, and, now, American decline, yet decline applied to the Middle East has become a loaded term, the “D-word,” as Cemal Kafadar has called it (Kafadar, p. 32).3 The weakening of early modern Islamic empires is currently not at the top of the scholarly agenda, to say the least, and even in the case of the Central Asian Uzbek state, former seventeenth-century marginalization has come to be reinterpreted as 2 An exception is D’Souza. For recent studies that compare the Ottomans with the Habsburgs, the Russians and/or the Chinese, see Barkey, 2008, Lieven, 2000, and Subrahmanyam. The latter goes so far as to speak of “three early modern empires that covered an impressive swathe of more or less contiguous territory” only interrupted by a “small gap from east to west equivalent to the width of the Safavid Empire” (p. 75). 3 For a recent study of the “decline” of France as a result of war-related expenses and fiscal mismanagement under Louis XIV, see Rowlands. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 280 Matthee (commercial) revival and growth (Levi, pp. 13ff). As one colleague recently put it with reference to the Ottoman state, previously the favored target of decline theorists: “. . . the very task of refuting ‘decline’ has become a preoccupation in itself, posing obstacles to any new core narrative of early modern Ottoman history, lest it carry a taint of declensionism” (White, p. 345). In traditional scholarship, the Ottomans began their slide following the death of Sultan Süleyman in 1566 (or at least the murder of grand vizier Mehmed Sokollu Pasha in 1579) (Hammer-Purgstall, IV.2-3, p. 51). Ottomanists long ago began to chip away at that notion and have now more or less discarded it; yet the issue of a state and a society faced with multiple, profound problems adding up to a debilitating crisis has not gone away.4 The Ottoman state in the late sixteenth and early seventeenth century inarguably showed signs of weakness, with victories on the battlefield no longer a given, a rise in provincial rebellions and rural banditry, and increasing turmoil in the ranks of the governing elite. Late sixteenth-century Ottoman literati themselves experienced their moment in history as one of decline, and engaged in a vigorous debate over ways to remedy this condition (Lewis). Yet in the last quarter century or so Ottomanists, turning away from the very notion of decline, have interpreted these developments in various revisionist ways (Howard; Quataert; Neumann). Following an interpretation first proposed by Mughal scholars to the effect that the decline of the center might equal the rise of the periphery, they have separated state and society, at times implicitly, to argue or imply that the weakening of the first did not necessarily entail the weakening of the latter, that, indeed, a retreating state allowed other, mostly local “actors” to enter the fold. They thus have looked for provincial energy and initiative, finding it in the power elites of Syria and Lebanon, or in the invigoration of trade in Palestine or Iraq, and arguing that local forces from a variety of backgrounds became mediators with the center while finding access to state resources and offices.5 A few scholars have recently even sought to turn the “decline paradigm” on its head by arguing for an Ottoman equivalent of such quintessentially European notions as the “Age of Exploration” and the “Age of Enlightenment.” Giancarlo Casale’s book, The Ottoman Age of Exploration, presents the (short-lived military) thrust of the Ottomans into the Persian Gulf and the Indian Ocean as if it were part of an exploratory endeavor with a global reach. Baki Tezcan’s study, The Second Ottoman Empire, is equally as insistent in its revisionism, calling for a “positive narrative and approach for the seventeenth century” (Teczan, p. 10). Rather than analyzing weakness and its causes, the author seeks to construct 4 The first one to do so in a systematic manner was Abou-El-Haj. 5 For a summation of the state of the field, see Khoury. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 281 a century of renewal, beginning with the proposition that regicide, rather than a symptom of decline, might actually be a sign of strength, and continuing with the idea that the growing irrelevance of the sultan in reality represents a (civilizing) trend by way of the emergence of alternative elites, the rise of proto-democratic tendencies, and the creation of new legal foundations for the empire (Tezcan, p. 5). One does not have to agree with all aspects of Casale’s and Tezcan’s revisionism to call the seventeenth-century Ottoman case one of “temporary” as opposed to “definitive” decline.6 For all the serious problems they faced, the Ottomans endured for a further three-and-a-half centuries after the first signs of weakness had appeared, and, under the guidance of a series of forceful and energetic grand viziers, even managed to reorganize their institutions, for which reason the term “decline” has been rightfully contested: a slide that continued for 350 years is not a useful organizing principle, so that it is arguably more productive to theorize the longevity of the Ottomans. It is much more difficult to reject the idea of “decline” for the Mughal state. There is hardly a scholarly consensus about what made the Mughal dynasty atrophy, or even when the process began, but there is no question that the polity it led and represented did dissolve in the course of the eighteenth century. But if the idea of Mughal “decline” cannot be simply dismissed, it can be mitigated by way of deflection and circumvention. The Mughal collapse was a rather gradual and inchoate process, involving the mutation of the central state into a series of regional power centers and, ultimately, a creeping incorporation into a new, colonial dispensation, which has even been “blamed” not just for hastening the demise of the Mughal polity but also for causing a decline in Indian economic well-being.7 And as various historians have argued in the last few decades, in the Indian, multipolar case the rise of provincial centers such as Awadh and Hyderabad demonstrably “made up” for the disintegration of the center.8 Differences between the Safavids, the Ottoman and Mughals The point addressed in this essay is the weakening of the Safavid state, with the argument that, in the Iranian case, decline is impossible to evade, circumvent 6 For the difference, see Subrahmanyam, p. 82. 7 See the discussion in Erikson, pp. 38-40. 8 See, for instance, Marshall; Bayly, 1983; Alam. For a critique of this model, see Ali. The various contributions to the debate have now been brought together in Bhagarva. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 282 Matthee or ignore; the current trend of positing “transformation” and “adaptation” in the face of manifest crisis clearly does not work for the Safavids. We have to confront the issue of the weakening of key elements in state and society headon. The Safavid state after all fell, hard, fast and dramatically; and it did so at the hands of a relatively small number of poorly equipped tribal warriors. Any state of minimal strength and resilience would have been able to withstand their “assault.” The fact that the Safavid state did not manage to do so begs an explanation of the reasons and causes for its obvious weaknesses, why it lacked the adaptive capability to meet the challenges that came its way. We might be able to do so profitably by comparing conditions in Iran with those in the adjacent Ottoman and Mughal states, trying to avoid the “single explanatory mode” that is said often to constrain the practitioner of the synchronic way of looking at history (Bang and Bayly, introd., p. 11). The idea of decline is notoriously problematic, inherently impossible to quantify or to prioritize in terms of its causes, except in exceptional circumstances, and abandoning a “single explanatory mode” behind leaves one open to a bewildering array of scenarios. The locus classicus, Roman decline, is a case in point. In his exhaustive study of the subject, Alexander Demandt elaborates on a seemingly endless list of reasons modern scholars have adduced for the fall of Rome, from the abolition of God to military retrenchment to moral degeneration to self-satisfaction and smugness (Demandt, passim). This essay does not invoke the Romans as the avatars of good governance, just as it does not ascribe, in Victorian fashion, the weakening of the Safavid state to moral degeneration and a waning of creative powers. Nor does it assume or posit a “golden age” of centralization, efficiency and fortitude under an iconic ruler followed by a steady slide toward mismanagement, frailty and dissolution. Just as the fact that Ottoman Empire reached its greatest expansion under Sultan Süleyman does not automatically mean that the state he guided was a welloiled administrative apparatus, and just as Mughal India was wracked with rebellion even as it flourished culturally under Sultan Akbar, so the reign of Shah ʿAbbās I should not be used as the yardstick against which later times inevitably fall short (Abou-El-Haj, p. 10). Nor, finally, does this study attribute the loss of economic and military vigor in seventeenth-century Iran to external causes. Naturally, the interaction with foreign lands, either by way of warfare or of bullion flows, did not leave Iran untouched. Yet there is no indication that the incipient forces of globalization, or the impact of (Western) imperialism had any bearing on Iran’s fate at the turn of the eighteenth century. As insisted by Dale and argued by the present author in his Persia in Crisis, the Safavids (like the Mughals) “had not been fundamentally weakened by European expansion before they collapsed or declined” (Dale, p. 248). The Ottomans as Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 283 well as the Russians clearly had their eyes on Iranian territory, and both sent embassies to gather intelligence on the conditions of the Safavid state and its army prior to the fall of Isfahan (Dourry Efendy, passim; Mostafa Agha, pp. 23-25; Bushev, passim). But the Russians only invaded northern Iran when the Afghan siege of Isfahan was already in progress, and the Ottoman troops waited until after the Afghan occupation of Isfahan before moving toward Yerevan, Tabriz and Hamadan (Lockhart, p. 10; Mostafa Agha, p. 9). Instead, in an effort to bring some organization and clarity to the issue, I propose to look at four distinct, yet interrelated aspects of late Safavid society that represent its physical “base” with its political and cultural “superstructure,” geographicaleconomic conditions, the state of the military, political structures, processes and events, and ideological issues involving the question of legitimacy as well as religious policies. A Geographical/Environmental and Economic Conditions In spite of the many fertile oases surrounding its major urban centers, perhaps the most distinguishing, albeit often overlooked, feature of (Safavid) Iran is an unforgiving natural environment consisting of formidable mountain ranges and steppe lands receiving less than the 200 mms of annual rainfall needed for rain-fed agriculture, extending in the east to stark, largely waterless deserts, vast open, sparsely populated rather unproductive spaces that were difficult to traverse, let alone manage and control. Steel and Crowther, two English merchants, in the early seventeenth century summed up their impression of travel through Iran by describing the route between Qandahār and Isfahan as “barren, where sometimes in two or three days’ travel, there is no green thing to be seen; only some water, and that also often brackish, stinking and naught” (Purchas, IV, p. 2373). Just as in Russia, with its vast emptiness, filling up the frontier in Iran meant emptying out the heartland (Sunderland, p. 42). Hence the difficulty the Safavids faced guarding their frontiers with sufficient force. Adding to Iran’s centrifugal character was that the country, essentially landlocked, lacked a central site, a major river or a natural harbor, where a fixed and permanent capital, a nexus of political, military and commercial power, might have emerged. The Ottomans had in Istanbul a political and economic center that remained in place for almost six hundred years, giving the state a rootedness that greatly facilitated its centripetal, centralizing urges and inclinations. India’s political center was less immutable, but Delhi served the role of political center for much of Muslim rule in the subcontinent, and the alternative capitals, Agra, Fatipur Sikri, and Lahore, were all located within the rather narrow orbit of the fertile Indo-Gangetic river basin, north India’s center of gravity. The Iranian situation was far more centrifugal. Following the lack of a Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 284 Matthee central river or any other nodal point, strategic considerations, the background of the various dynasties that came to power over time, and the enduringly ambulant nature of Iranian rulers until the 1800s, Iran did not settle on a permanent capital until the turn of the nineteenth century; the capital was essentially where the itinerant shah and his entourage resided at any given time, and even Isfahan proved to be a temporary capital, losing that status in the early eighteenth century. Like parts of Russia and, to a lesser extent, the Mediterranean basin, Iran was also a land of scarce resources, and an “essentially poor country, with but few internal sources of wealth” (E. Sykes, p. 101).9 After living in Iran for some two decades during which he had become a confidant of Shah ʿAbbās, the Carmelite Father Giovanni Tadeo in 1626 called the “Kingdom of Persia, taken alone without its tributary states, [. . .] poor in money” (Chick, p. 287). Until the discovery and exploitation of oil about a century ago, the country indeed had a poor revenue base. Its agricultural output was low; the plateau was woefully short on timber; it lacked easily exploitable gold and silver deposits; and the Safavid realm produced few exportable goods beyond raw silk, the bulk of which was of comparatively inferior quality, which is why, eventually, it was to lose the competition with silk from Bengal (Matthee, 1999, pp. 203, 209). All this imposed serious limitations on productivity (Christensen, p. 249). Remarks by modern travelers to the effect that Iran’s richest villages lay at some remove from the main caravan routes, sheltered from regular despoilment by passing dignitaries including the shah himself, suggest that the true wealth of the country to some extent remained invisible to outside observers (Chardin, II, p. 138; IV, p. 428; VIII, pp. 496-97; De la Maze, IV, p. 70; Binning, II, p. 144). Yet such recesses of prosperity and their potential tax revenue typically remained out of reach to the state as well. A high percentage of the country’s rather small population of no more than eight million, finally, was made up by tribal folk, people who were hard to tax let alone to pacify and who often disrupted the orderly conduct of trade and agriculture. Long-term environmental degradation did the rest. As P. M. Sykes (p. 450) put it in the early twentieth century: “Nature has indeed been the reverse of lavish with her gifts, and man has systematically aggravated this unfortunate condition of affairs by ruthlessly burning every tree or bush and never attempting to replace the loss by planting.” 9 For Russia, see Hellie. Fernand Braudel (I, p. 241) cautions not to be deceived by the “famous charm and beauty” of the Mediterranean. He saw the underlying “fundamental poverty” of a region where “man gains his daily bread by painful effort,” and where “great tracts of land remain uncultivated and of little use,” as one of the main reasons for the sixteenth-century decline of the Mediterranean. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 285 The Ottomans and Mughals shared some of these traits, albeit to a lesser degree. The total Ottoman population has been estimated at 25-30 million; the tribal element, much smaller as a percentage of the overall population than in Iran, was not really centered in the heartland, and some of the most productive regions, such as Egypt and the Balkans, were not tribal-pastoral at all. The Ottomans managed to wrest themselves free of tribal dominance by way of the relatively successful military organization of their state: As of the sixteenth century they began to recruit their military and administrative cadre, on an individual basis, from a non-tribal slave elite. Their success in institutionalizing this recruitment through training and education allowed them to escape the Ibn Khaldunian trap of tribesmen taking on the states created by former tribesmen (Gellner, p. 73). And as of the late seventeenth century, the Ottoman administration embarked on a policy designed to count, register and, ultimately sedentarize its nomadic tribes (Kasaba, p. 17). The Mughal state, with an estimated population of perhaps 100 million, was of an altogether different magnitude. In Mughal India, too, tribal allegiances played a minimal role at the center following Sultan Akbar’s establishment of the mansabdāri service system. Indeed, the Indian subcontinent, or at least its heartland, “never experienced a nomadic conquest at all” (Wink, p. 123), so that tribal peoples (the Marathas, the Pathans, the Rohillas and the Jats) operated mostly on the periphery. Of course, in the Indian case, the tribal, mostly non-Muslim fringe did contribute to the weakening in the end, and many of the wars of the early to mid-eighteenth century were fought against peoples inhabiting the periphery. Most importantly, both adjacent empires were endowed with much more abundant resources than Iran, as a result of which the state was able to garner far more revenue: from the Balkans and Egypt in the case of the Ottomans; from the vast, fertile Punjab and the Ganjetic Plain all the way to Bengal in the case of the Mughals. Many foreign observers drew attention to Iran’s relative poverty. Jean Chardin, the French Huguenot jeweler who spent up to a decade in Iran and knew the country well, called Iranian peasants better off than their French counterparts, but described Iran itself as “dry, barren, mountainous, and but thinly inhabited,” insisting that no more than one-twelfth of its surface was cultivated. India by contrast, which Chardin visited at least twice during his time in Iran from 1666 to 1677, is called “a country very rich, fruitful and populous” (Chardin, 1810, IV, pp. 268, 288; idem, 1988, p. 130). Josua Ketelaar, a Dutch East India Company official who headed a mission to Isfahan in 1717, thought that the Safavid court was far less opulent than the Mughal court, which he had visited years earlier (NA, VOC 1901, Diary Ketelaar, fol. 457). Safavid Iran indeed had an enormous trade deficit especially with India, causing a large portion of its commercial profits to be siphoned off to the Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 286 Matthee s ubcontinent via its Persian Gulf ports. This made India, with China, the other destination of this bullion trade, the precious metal sink of the world, gathering the enormous surplus from its enormously large export volume in commodities such as textiles and spices. As a result of these various factors Iran knew an exceedingly fragile balance between revenue and expenditure, one that was much more precarious than in the two adjacent states. This fundamental ecological and economic vulnerability, which may have been aggravated by a series of droughts, famines and epidemics in the late 1680s and 1690,10 and the attendant urge to enhance royal revenue prompted the Safavid crown to pursue a variety of fiscal policies in the mid to late seventeenth century. One was to curb and restrict the growing outflow of bullion and specie to India via the Persian Gulf ports. Time and again the Safavid state issued bans on the export of gold and/or silver, or imposed taxes on money before it was spirited out of the country. All these measures foundered on subterfuge by merchants and the rampant corruption that existed among officials, and to the extent that they were successful, they were counterproductive inasmuch as they impeded trade. The result was a dramatic decline in the number of active mints and an equally dramatic fall in the volume of silver struck into convertible coins (Matthee, Floor and Clawson, ch. 3). Another approach was that of tampering with the coinage itself, lowering its weight and/or its fineness, producing more coins from a given amount of metal. In the absence of structural monetary reform, and given the contradictory impulses, the shah often hoarded coins of sound alloy in his treasury before issuing compromised “new” money. This, too, was a stopgap measure that increased royal income in the short term while it worsened rather than alleviated the structural problems (Matthee, Floor and Clawson, ch. 3). The Ottomans, faced with the same problems, embarked on similar remedies, only to find their realm engulfed by the kind of frightful vicious cycle of monetary debasement and inflation that modern scholarship has tended to see as a symptom, if not a cause, of the empire’s decline in the seventeenth century (Pamuk 2000, pp. 131ff). The Mughals, too, suffered a series of terrible drought and famine, which killed millions, most notably in the period 1630-32, and again in the years 1658-60 and 1685-87 (Van Santen, pp. 44, 54, 71, 96, 173-77; Parker, p. 403). They also periodically experienced monetary shortages in this same period. Yet their vastly superior productive forces and the resultant continued inflow of money, from the New World and Europe via the Islamic Middle East, enabled them to overcome these problems with relatively greater ease. 10 For the Mughal situation, see Kruijtzer, p. 272. For the Ottomans, see White. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 287 The Safavids also engaged in a sustained policy of converting state land (mamālek) into crown land (khāsseh), governed by state-appointed officials. By the 1650s, much of the realm had thus been appropriated by the crown. The long-term conversion to khāsseh land reflects a shift from a decentralized polity beholden to tribal military power to an agrarian-based system in which tribal chieftains came to be subordinated to the new, centrally appointed royal “slave” (gholām) class of soldiers and bureaucrats. Khāsseh land offered short-term fiscal benefits for the state, but these were far outweighed by the disadvantages, landholders no longer interested in maintaining the long-term productivity and prosperity of their land, and the fact that most revenue was now siphoned off from the territory. Chardin in the 1670s pointed out the drawbacks of the khāsseh system by calling the viziers of crown lands bloodsuckers, adding that, at the time when he was in Iran, these converted territories no longer yielded good soldiers and that money which used to circulate in the country now disappeared and was hoarded in the shah’s treasury. The peasants, who naturally bore the brunt of this, responded by engaging in fraud, passive resistance and, ultimately, flight (Chardin, 1810, V, pp. 367ff, 551-53). The Ottoman Empire experienced something similar with the conversion of timar holdings to hass land, belonging to the sultan and assigned to tax farmers by way of the eltezām system. In the late seventeenth century, Istanbul sought to remedy the problems inherent in the eltezām system and the resulting shortfall in state revenue by introducing the so-called mālekāneh system, a lifetime tax farming arrangement. The mālekāneh system reduced the abuse inherent in the previous short-term leases and, by fixing revenue payments to the state, made the income of the latter more predictable. The new arrangement had its drawbacks: It reflected a loss of state control over land and it was open to neglect of the land by the mostly absentee landlords, and it did not prevent the long-term weakening of the Ottoman treasury, but it does seem to have given the state a new lease on fiscal health (Darling, pp. 126ff.). India, of course, did not undergo a similar process. In the course of the seventeenth century the so-called jāgirdāri system of non-hereditary landholders fell into a crisis. Shah Jahān reformed the system by reassessing the salaries of the jāgir holders, but he was unable to stem the discrepancy between assessed land revenue and the actual yield, and by the turn of the eighteenth century conditions had reached crisis proportions again, which were exacerbated by Bahādor Shah’s practice of favoring officials by doling out jāgirs far beyond the capacity of the land to support these fiefs (Chandra, 1959/2002, pp. 96-98). Yet the weakening of the center this development represented coincided with, and was to some extent exacerbated by, the emergence of local chiefs and regional landholders who increasingly asserted their autonomy (Alam). Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 288 Matthee B Political Conditions Here we are faced with a paradox: Iran in the mid to late seventeenth century was, or at least appears, far more stable than either neighbor. The Herat region, by way of example, is said to have known a period of peace during the entire period of 1648 to 1698 (Tumanovich, p. 155). Indeed, the peace and stability that Safavid Iran enjoyed compared to the general pattern of unrelieved misery, war and famine in other parts of the world, from Russia, with its Time of Troubles, and China to France and Central Europe, prompts Geoffrey Parker to speak of the “enigma of Iran” (Parker, p. 417). On the surface, Safavid society in the half century following the death of Shah ʿAbbās I in 1629 seems to defy the “seventeenth-century crisis” model (as did Japan, the other exception singled out by Parker). It stands out for cultural efflorescence expressed in the splendid architecture of Isfahan as rebuilt and embellished under Shah ʿAbbās I, in brilliant philosophy exemplified by Mollā Sadrā as the most prominent representative of the so-called “School of Isfahan,” and in a well-functioning, secure road system that continued to draw praise from foreign observers until shortly before the fall of the dynasty. Seventeenth-century Iran was beset by many economic problems, notably a loss of agricultural fertility and productivity and a sharp decrease in the availability of silver coinage, leading to a precipitous drop in the number of active mints. But the country was at peace, knew no regicide, did not experience succession struggles in the form of fratricidal warfare (all seventeenth-century Safavid rulers died peacefully and successions rival Safavid pretenders unharmed) and the last three shahs were assisted by only a small number of few grand viziers. One of these, Shaikh ʿAli Khan was in office for a full twenty years, 1669-89, and only one, Mohammad Mirzā Taqi Khan, was assassinated as part of a court-led conspiracy in 1645. In sum, Iran in the mid-seventeenth century was an island of political stability compared to its neighbors. Overall, the Ottoman Empire may have been successful, and certainly more successful than the Safavids, in moving from an empire run as a military enterprise to an empire managed and maintained by way of organizing a functioning bureaucracy and coopting members of the conquered peoples to run it (Greene). Some of this long-term success may be attributable to the fact that the Ottoman state was built on the foundations of a pre-existing Byzantine structure as expressed in sultanic titles such as basileus, caesar, and tsar (Koƚodziejczyk, p. 181). But in the seventeenth century the lands ruled from Istanbul, and especially the empire’s eastern marches, were far more turbulent than the territory controlled by the Safavids, with their unsafe roads, endemic banditry and debilitating Janissary rebellions. This coincided with considerable political turmoil at the center. Despite recent efforts at revising the first Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 289 few decades of the seventeenth century as a period of regeneration, we are still left with the seventeen-year reign of the bloodthirsty Morād/Murad IV (1623-40), and the murderous eight years that the psychopathic Ebrāhim I sat on the throne (1640-48).11 Ebrāhim was eventually killed; three year later his mother, Kösem Sultan, was brutally murdered, and in the course of the seventeenth century sultans seemed increasingly irrelevant and were treated as disposable (Baer, p. 143). Between 1644 and 1656 the Ottomans went through eighteen grand viziers; four of these were executed, eleven were dismissed, and only one died a natural death. The three decades from 1650 to 1680 are traditionally seen as an age of recovery, a politically tranquil period, in part because of the strong hand of the Köprülü grand viziers who wielded control in the absence of forceful sultans (Teczan, pp. 47, 59-60, 215). But in 1687, Sultan Mahmud IV was deposed as a result of rebellions following defeat in the Balkans (at Mohacs) and a mounting tax burden imposed to fund wars. In Mughal India, meanwhile, the fratricidal war and internecine strife that preceded the accession of Shah Jahān in 1628 was as intense as the turmoil that led to his deposition thirty years later. Following his impressive military successes on the battlefield of the Deccan in 1617, Shah Jahān, then still known as Shāhzāda Khorram, had received the title “Shah Jahān Bahādor” (brave) and with that the right to succeed from his father, Jahāngir. But court intrigue involving Nur Jahān, Jahāngir’s favorite wife who promoted the candidacy of a younger brother, made him fall out of favor, causing him to revolt against his father in 1622. Defeated and forced to surrender unconditionally, he nevertheless gained the throne upon Jahāngir’s death in 1627, after which he promptly had his rivals executed and his stepmother imprisoned, allowing him to reign uncontested. When Shah Jahān fell ill in 1657, a new round of internecine warfare broke out, pitting Dārā Shekuh, Shah Jahān’s first-born son and heir-apparent against Shah Shojāʿ, his younger son, who declared himself king of Bengal. The struggle included another son, Morād Bakhsh, who declared himself emperor of Gujarat. Morād Bakhsh found in yet another brother, Aurangzeb, his main adversary, but after an initial confrontation the two became allies. Ultimately the confrontation narrowed down to the struggle between Aurangzēb and Dārā Shekuh. When the former accused the latter of having usurped the throne and even of having apostatized, a series of bloody battles between the two erupted. Aurangzēb emerged victorious from this struggle, prompting almost all 11 Tezcan, p. 47, sees Sultan Ahmed I’s peaceful enthronement in 1603 as a “major victory for the constitutionalists, whose goal was to secure the supremacy of the law over the dynasty.” He makes a similar argument about the succession of Sultan Mostafā I in 1617, pp. 72ff. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 290 Matthee supporters of Dārā Shekuh to defect and rally around him. After taking the capital, Agra, Aurangzēb moved against Bengal and defeated Shah Shojāʿ ’s troops, forcing his brother to flee to Arrakan (modern Burma), where he was executed by local rulers. Morād Bakhsh was next executed at Aurangzēb’s orders. This left Dārā Shekuh as Aurangzēb’s only opponent. Aurangzeb pursued his brother all along northern India, until he managed to capture him in 1659. Crowning himself emperor he had his brother executed. His father, Shah Jahān, immured in Agra for years, was to die in captivity in 1666. Aurangzēb faced no direct opponent during his long reign, and he died peacefully. But his tenure was marked by serious uprisings and revolts, and his death was immediately followed by a fierce and bloody succession struggle between the two pretenders, ʿAzam Shah and ʿAlam Shah. The latter, having prevailed, was to reign as Bahādor Shah for a short five years, after which five rulers were to occupy the throne in quick succession between 1712 and 1720. How do we explain this discrepancy? Viewed in retrospect and within a larger time frame, the tranquility of Iran in this period appears as the lull before the storm, a function of the absence of a significant challenge in the form of a major war, which in turn temporarily masked a woeful lack of revenue and growing military vulnerability (more about which later). But to explain the quietude in domestic politics and, more particularly, in court circles, we must also look at the question of legitimacy. One major difference between the Safavids and the Ottoman and the Mughal states, respectively, involves succession principles and practices. Both the Safavids and the Ottomans ended up modifying the egalitarian Turco-Mongol practice with its tendency to vest authority and succession rights in the entire clan by instituting a patriarchal line and immuring the heir-to-be in the palace. In the Ottoman case, there is a transition from open contest to a system of seniority as the basis of the succession of the oldest member of the Ottoman dynasty in the second half of the seventeenth century (Peirce, pp. 91-112). Throughout the sixteenth century, the Safavids went through multiple rounds of internecine succession warfare, however, beginning with Shah Tahmāsb’s killing several of his siblings, including his only full brother, Bahrām Mirzā. Yet in Iran the notion of primogeniture, a legacy of pre-Islamic statecraft and its focus on divine kingship, always provided a powerful counterweight to these fissiparous tendencies. Reinforced by the Sufi milieu that had given rise to the Safavids and that centered on charismatic leadership passed on from father to son, succession by seniority only became the norm, or at least the practice, with Shah ‘Abbās II, who mounted the throne in 1642. Yet even earlier the principle was strongly entrenched in the Safavid polity, more strongly than even in the Ottoman Empire, where seniority was adopted in 1617, and certainly more firmly than among the Mughals, Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 291 who never “developed a strategy for limiting competition, so that brothers and sons continued to compete for power until the end of the dynasty.”12 If the Mughals never allowed pragmatism to prevail in their succession mechanism, and if in the Ottoman case “pragmatism prevailed over principle in the matter of succession,” Safavid pragmatism aligned with pre-Islamic principle to produce succession by the ruler’s direct offspring (Murphey, p. 103).13 Similarly, the status and stature of the Safavid shah, in his capacity of trustee of the divine, remained near-unassailable. Indeed, despite the loss of legitimacy that had set in with Iran’s defeat against the Ottomans in 1514, the shah continued to occupy a metaphysical stature and be revered as the indispensable apex of the political pyramid. The French missionary Sanson at the end of the seventeenth century drew attention to this fact by claiming that the Iranians thought of their ruler as the “most magnificent, the most powerful and the most absolute ruler of all Asia” (Sanson, p. 3). The harem system, of course, threw up weak, reclusive and pleasureseeking rulers; Morād III (r. 1574-95), Ahmed I (r. 1603-17) and his direct successors in the case of the Ottomans, and Solaymān (r. 1666-94) and Soltan Hosayn (r. 1694-1722) in the case of the Safavids, all men who failed the test of kingship by abdicating as warriors extending, defending and patrolling their territory. Following the reign of Süleyman, the Ottomans engaged in what Colin Imber calls “frozen legitimacy” by changing the role of the sultan from an active to a symbolic warrior (Imber). This process entailed a decrease in his standing and legitimacy, as reflected in the critical debates the issue evoked among contemporaries.14 In Iran, a similar process took place but it evolved along different lines. The last Safavid shahs, too, spent virtually all their time immured in their palaces, invisible to the public and inaccessible to all but their most immediate entourage. Since the empire was not just the shah but the shah who actively engaged in battle, this led to a great loss of prestige and legitimacy among his fellow warriors, the Qezelbash. Yet it was precisely the Qezelbash who were sidelined and supplanted by new elements in society as the Safavids became more urban and pacific. The shah, meanwhile, retaining his aura as the indispensable apex of the system in his capacity as God’s trustee on earth, remained pivotal to the “Iranian” conception of statecraft as articulated by 12 For the Safavid case, see Babayan, pp. 373-74. For the Ottomans, see Peirce, pp. 99-101. The Mughal case is discussed in Blake, 2011, p. 220. 13 For a good discussion of the common roots as well as the historical differences in organizing succession between the Ottomans and the Safavids, see Mitchell. 14 See Karateke, with lists of sixteenth and seventeenth-century Ottoman campaigns and the sultans’ role in these. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 292 Matthee late Safavid political and religious commentators (Sabzavāri, pp. 66-67; Nāji, pp. 107-11). The last three Safavid shahs were fortunate in having a number of capable grand viziers by their side, most notably Mohammad Beg (in office 1654-64), and Shaykh ʿAli Khan (in office 1669-89). Yet it was precisely the shah’s persistently exalted position which prevented these officials from becoming alternative power holders. Grand viziers remained counselors, servants who continued to operate at the sufferance of the ruler, rather than effective standins, holders of full executive power next to a feeble shah. Late Mughal India exhibits a similar pattern. The descendants of the Iranian Zo’l-Feqār Khan, namely Asad Khan and Zo’l-Feqār Khan, served the Mughal rulers Aurangzēb and his successors for long periods of time, with Asad Khan holding on to his position as grand vizier for more than thirty years (Chandra, 1959/2002, pp. 40ff.). Yet, none of these acquired the executive power that might have enabled them to reenergize the state as a bureaucratic and military engine in ways seen in the Ottoman Empire. There, too, much of the seventeenth century is marked by weak sultanic power. But somehow the Ottomans made a rather successful transition from what Stephen Dale (p. 248) calls a “dynastic to a ministerial state.” The power vacuum created by a series of weak sultans was filled by strong grand viziers such as (Sokollu) Mehmed Pasha (in office 1565-79), who served as the de facto ruler of the Ottoman state for much of the reign of Selim II and Murad III; and ultimately by a dynasty of grand viziers, the Köprülüs, who took up where the fait-néant sultan left off, and “rescued the Ottoman state” by overseeing the system for much of the period between 1656 and 1735 (Dale, p. 267). The first of these was Köprülü Mehmed Pasha (in office 1656-61), who reversed the chaotic conditions prevailing at the time with great brutality, killing 10,000, and pacifying the countryside (Baer, p. 76). His successor, Fāzel Ahmad (in office 1661-76), although less severe and a patron of the arts, took on the fight against Venice, which led to the taking of Candia (Crete) in 1666, and presided over renewed campaigning against the Austrians. Next came Kara Mustafa. Ambitious, authoritarian and keenly engaged in the continuing anti-Austrian struggle, he was executed in 1683, following the Ottoman defeat at Vienna earlier that year. Amcazada Köprülü Huseyn Pasha (in office 1697-1702) was an able administrator who, given a free hand by Sultan Mustafa (Mostafā) II (r. 1695-1703), took measures to reform the fiscal and bureaucratic system, leading to tax relief and attempts to settle nomads in areas where peasants were in short supply (Dale, p. 267). The Ottoman Empire, in turn, witnessed a devolution of central power accompanied by a rise of provincial rulers, local power holders who became autonomous from the center without being able to fully break with the center, Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 293 the Maʿans in Lebanon, the ʿAzms in Syria, the Jalilis in Mosul, the Mamluks in Egypt. Most of these, especially the ones holding power in the urban centers of Syria and northern Iraq, lacked the military means to pose a threat to the Ottoman state. Tied to Istanbul by the obligation to supply mercenary troops to the sultan and enjoying the entitlements allocated to them by the state, they mediated between central and local interests. They continued to see themselves as subjects of the sultan and merely sought to optimize their own income and status within the existing order. The so-called neo-Mamluk regimes of Egypt, Palestine, Baghdad and Basra, were far more autonomous, and Ottoman control in the fringe provinces of North Africa and the Arabian peninsula was little more than nominal. Yet until the Western military and ideological intrusion of the early nineteenth century, even the peripheral rulers made no serious attempts to secede from Istanbul, either because of internal divisions, as in the case of Egypt, or because they feared being swallowed up by Iran, as in the case of the overlords of Iraq (Khoury).15 C Military Conditions The state of the military in any system is naturally linked to economic and political conditions. The Ottoman and Mughals continued to fight; they were forced to in the case of Ottomans, against the Europeans, or chose to keep expanding, as in the case of the Mughals who moved southward toward the Deccan, intent on rooting out the region’s “infidel,” non-Muslim or “heretical,” Shiʿi rulers. Even if the terrain and the climate of the south with its hills and humidity were hardly conducive to the deployment of cavalry and artillery, India’s geographical shape and the absence of insurmountable natural barriers, in addition to the fact that the northeastern frontier was closed, made moving south a natural inclination for Mughal rulers keen to enlarge their empire. Sultan Aurangzēb may have been a bigot, but he was no weakling.16 Prior to coming to power, Aurangzeb earned his stripes as an administrator, serving as viceroy of the Deccan between 1636 and 1642, then as governor of Multan and Sind from 1648 to 1652, and then again as viceroy, sobahdār, of the Deccan 15 Masters distinguishes four categories by origin: tribal/clan-based groups; neo-Mamluks; Ottoman military forces; and the urban notables. 16 A famous anecdote, celebrated in Persian as well as Urdu verse, relates how, when Aurangzeb was fifteen years of age he narrowly escaped death in an elephant fight and successfully defended himself from a stampede. While his other brothers fled from the arena, Aurangzeb’s valor was well appreciated by his father, Shah Jahān, who granted him the title Bahādor and had him weighed in gold, presenting him with gifts worth 2 lakh rupees. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 294 Matthee in 1652. He also took part in a campaign against Balkh in 1647, and participated in the Mughal attempt to reconquer Qandahār from the Safavids between 1649 and 1652. As a ruler, Aurangzēb also personally led his troops into war, besieging Bijapur in 1685 and taking Golconda two years later (Sarkar, pp. 9ff.). The Shivaji revolt of the 1660s, which was triggered in part by Aurangzēb’s refusal to make meaningful concessions to the Marathas, posed a severe challenge to Mughal power and financial wherewithal. M. N. Pearson even sees in the Maratha revolt the beginning of the decline of the Mughal state (Pearson). They were disruptive, to be sure. The sack of Surat, the Mughals’ premier port of economic import, and also suffused with religious significance for being the point of departure for India’s hajj pilgrims, represented a direct affront to the legitimacy of the dynasty. Yet these disruptions did not bring the Mughal state down; they did not even prevent Aurangzēb from pursuing his Deccan campaign. The expansionist wars toward the south waged by the Mughals, on the other hand, have been variously evaluated. Historians have viewed the “ceaseless wars” fought by Aurangzēb as especially ruinous to India’s economy and environment, hastening the financial exhaustion of the empire (Sarkar, 2001). More recently, J. F. Richards called the Mughal expansion profitable, providing the state with enormous amounts of cash. In his words, from Akbar’s annexation of Malwa in 1561 until the fall of Golconda to the Mughals more than a century later, every victory generated a large amount of plundered treasury from the lands of defeated rulers, more than compensating for the expense of the conquests (Richards, 1993, p. 185). Richards agrees that Aurangzēb’s draining wars against the Marathas dealt a severe blow to the central treasure, but insists that the Mughal Empire was still “self-financing from its own resources,” so that Mughal emperors did “not depend on loans from private financiers for even the most expensive military campaigns” (Richards, 1990, p. 628). Upon Aurangzēb’s death in 1707, his successor Bahādor Shah found the staggering sum of 240 million rupees in unminted gold and silver in the imperial treasury in Agra, suggesting that the Deccan campaign waged by his predecessor had hardly depleted the realm’s resources (Richards 1993, p. 253). Upon Bahādor Shah’s death in 1712 all had been spent, though (Chandra, 1959/2002, p. 99). Turning to the Ottomans, Sultan Mehmed IV, also known as Avci Mehmed (r. 1648-87), was a weak ruler who tried to make up for his failure to command his troops in person by projecting a warrior ( ghāzi) king image and having himself depicted as having recaptured power from harem women. But the age of the warrior sultan was clearly over (Baer, pp. 145, 171). The Ottomans kept fighting, and more than held their own during the so-called Candian War of 1644-66. The crowning event of this confrontation, the seizure of Crete in 1666, Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 295 did not inaugurate a new string of military successes, though. Until about 1700, the Ottomans managed to keep up with regard to artillery and siege warfare. Yet, in the same period their war machine failed to keep pace, financially, organizationally and technologically, with the military might of the European powers, including that of the modernizing Russians (Aksan, pp. 90, 95). The result was a string of defeats beginning with their rout by the Habsburgs at St Gotthard in 1664 and their failure to take Vienna in 1683. Besides, even if the Ottoman victory over the Russians at the Pruth in 1711 proved that defeat was not foreordained, the Treaty of Karlowitz twelve years earlier had really set the tone for the future by ending centuries of imperial expansion and forcing the Ottomans to retreat from large swaths of Central Europe. The decline and collapse of the Safavids can most definitely not be ascribed to “imperial overstretch.” Aside from Qezelbash forays deep into Anatolia in the early phase, under Shah Esmāʿil I, the invasion and incorporation of the lower parts of the Caucasus under Shah Tahmāsb and Shah ʿAbbās I, and the intermittent occupation of Iraq, the Safavids never sought to extend their dominion far beyond the plateau. This was partly a function of Iran’s topography, which set natural limits to expansion. Iraq, hot and humid, was alien territory for the Qezelbash used to the bracing climate of the plateau; the vast eastern desert expanses were an unattractive target, effectively putting India’s fertile heartland out of reach. Almost everywhere, a lack of water made campaigning difficult.17 But the relative lack of expansionist zeal may also have to do with changes in the make-up of the Safavid elite, involving a shift in gravity from the redtoothed tribal Qezelbash who lived for and by war, to the Tajiks, the more urban-based ethnic Iranians, and the so-called gholāms, especially the Armenians, who came to supplant the Qezelbash as the main administrators. The stake in peace and stability these groups represented was reinforced by the outright pacific sentiments exhibited by the women and the eunuchs of the royal harem, who came to take on a decisive role in executive power at the court. This new temperament became manifest in 1638-39 when, in an extraordinary moment, the Safavids gave up on war (with their western neighbors) voluntarily, by concluding the Peace of Zohab (or Qasr-e Shirin), after ceding Mesopotamia to the Ottomans. The Persian-language chronicles are explicit in listing a desire for peace and prosperity as the driving force behind this agreement (Vāla Qazvini Esfahāni, pp. 531, 585; Tafreshi, p. 174). The underlying motives were part strategic calculation, the realization that the Safavid 17 A lack of water had always been the most crucial problem for the army, and in the Safavid period matters were no different; see Briant, p. 55. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 296 Matthee army was no match for the Ottoman military, part cost-cutting calculus. It is remarkable that, the Treaty of Zohab and the potential benefits of the attendant “peace dividend” notwithstanding, the Safavids descended into fiscal ruin shortly thereafter. In the Ottoman Empire at least, as in a Western European country like France under Richelieu and Colbert, taxes were raised manifold for the (partial) purpose of waging ever more ambitious and costly wars. Yet the military consumed an extraordinary two-thirds of Ottoman state income in 1669-70 (Faroqhi, 1994, II, p. 541). The inevitable result was a neglect of the military. An army that doesn’t fight loses its readiness and, eventually, its ability to fight. There is ample evidence for the woeful state that the Iranian armed forces had fallen to in the late seventeenth century. In a last demonstration of military prowess the Safavids still managed to retake Qandahār from the (relatively weak) Mughals in 1648. Otherwise, a lack of serious adversaries bought them some time, during which they deluded themselves into thinking that their country’s physical environment worked in their favor. Enjoying strategic depth, like the Russians, they felt safe behind the vast deserts and the formidable mountain ranges that surround the Iranian heartland, which is the main reason why they had never fortified the cities of the interior.18 D Ideological Conditions It is here that the similarities are most apparent and poignant. Religion proclaimed and imposed as state ideology became more prominent in all three cases, as it did in contemporary Russia, where the “Old Believers” came to prevail in part because of weak (secular) leadership. The well-known Kadizadeli movement in the Ottoman Empire goes back to the preaching of the scholar Birgili Mehmed (d. 1573), who inspired Kadizade Mehmed (d. 1635) to take up his call for the need to purify Islam in the early seventeenth century. Going through various phases, the movement manifested itself most clearly in the capital and had its greatest effect on state policy beginning in 1660, when the blame for a devastating fire in Istanbul was put on the Jews, who were expelled from the center of the city and saw many of their synagogues burned. Sultan Mehmed IV, who had a close relationship with the movement, at this point shed his former “feminine” garb and turned more “pious.” The result was 18 The Polish missionary Krusinski, II, p. 199, offers the example of the Ottoman Mesopotamian campaign of 1638, when the Iranians had allowed their enemy to advance to within fifteen days of Isfahan, after which they “turned off the springs everywhere before and after the army,” so that “about half of the [Ottoman] army perished from thirst in the desert.” For Iran’s lack of fortified cities, see Matthee, 1996, and idem, 2012, chap. 5. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 297 growing pressure on non-Muslims to convert. In 1696 a sultanic rescript abolished the common law (kanun) and introduced the Shariʿa (Baer, chs. 9 and 11; also see Zilfi and Evstatiev). Another aspect of the greater prominence of religious forces in the late seventeenth century is criticism of the same Sultan Mehmed IV, who, after his army’s defeat at Vienna in 1683, turned into a sedentary monarch. The Ottoman ulama openly denounced his lifestyle, admonishing him to abandon his obsessive hunting and inviting him to sit on the throne and obey God’s commands (Baer, p. 233). Beyond the sultan and his conduct, the Kadizadeli movement blamed military defeats abroad and economic difficulties on the political establishment’s affiliation with Sufi orders. Mehmed IV reacted to this rebuke by closing Istanbul’s coffeehouses, although he only implemented ideas that suited his authoritarian rule, maintaining a close relationship with Sufis (Baer, pp. 68, 70). Despite the problems this type of pressure tended to cause for nonMuslim inhabitants of the empire, the Kadizadeli movement does not seem to have an adverse effect on the recruitment of large numbers of originally nonMuslims into the rank of the bureaucracy and the military. The Mughal state at this time was ruled by the intolerant Sultan Aurangzēb, whose policies were a far cry from those of his forebears, despite efforts by modern scholars to rehabilitate him. Shortly after coming to power, he recruited mohtasebs, censors, officials charged with the maintenance of public order, from the ranks of the clerical forces. He also issued various decrees proscribing practices at variance with the tenets of Islam, such as drinking and dancing. In 1668, he outlawed Hindu religious fairs, and the following year he forbade the construction and repair of Hindu temples, presumably in response to reports about the teaching of false doctrines in those places (Eaton, pp. 265-66).19 He also is on record as having destroyed many Hindu temples. He may have been less motivated by religious zeal than by the need to raise revenue when in 1679 he reimposed the poll tax (jezya), on non-Muslims, but the effect was divisive nonetheless, unleashing rebellions among the Rajputs and Marathas (Chandra, 2003; Kruijtzer, pp. 198-99). These practices have been contested. It has been argued that, despite his personal dislike of Shiʿis, Aurangzēb employed many officials of Iranian extraction, that he continued the practice of his predecessors of conferring land grants (jāgirs) on Hindu temples, and that the percentage of foreign-born Hindu office holders (mansabdārs) reached one-third during his reign. Pragmatism reflected in a lack of rigidity and a measure of flexibility is also suggested by his decision in 19 Eaton, p. 266, concludes that, . . . “Aurangzeb’s policies respecting temples within imperial domains generally followed those of his predecessors.” Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 298 Matthee 1705 to suspend the jezya in the Deccan, ostensibly “on account of the distress caused by war and famine in the region,” but quite possibly to accommodate the Marathas (Chandra, 2003, p. 323). Jahāndār Shah (r. 1712-13), abandoned the doctrinaire policies of Aurangzēb. Assisted by chief minister Zu’l-Feqār Khan, he abolished the jezya altogether and made concession to the Rajputs as well as to the Marathas (Chandra, 1959/2002, pp. 124-25). In late Safavid Iran, as in the Ottoman Empire, one witnesses an unmistakable erosion of royal legitimacy. A divine aura continued to surround the shah, but unhappiness with the dissolute life style of the ruler caused some members of the ulama to grumble that, while kingship remained necessary, the shah should be no more than the deputy of a mojtahed, a cleric of exemplary character and surpassing wisdom (Chardin, V, pp. 215-16; Matthee, 2005, pp. 89-90). Such criticism became more widespread under the last two Safavid monarchs. The transitions of power in 1666 and 1694 were peaceful, but popular criticism of the shah’s conduct grew louder, to the point where the meek and pleasureloving Shah Soltān Hosayn faced not just calls to have him replaced by his brother, but even a coup attempt (Matthee, 2012, pp. 199-201). The late Safavid period stands out in particular for the rise of doctrinaire religious forces, exemplified in the dour dogmatism of Mohammad-Bāqer Majlesi (d. 1699), the shaykh-al-Eslām (top religious authority) of Isfahan under Shah Soltān Hosayn and the main cleric of his time, author of the 110-volume Behār al-anwār. Soltān Hosayn, pusillanimous, uxurious and exceedingly devout, is said to have ruled under his spell, and, alongside the harem eunuchs, Majlesi had a strong influence on state affairs for as long as he was alive (ʿAbdal-Ḥosayn Ḵātunābādi, pp. 552, 556, 559). Like Aurangzēb in Mughal India, Soltān Hosayn at Majlesi’s behest issued a series of decrees outlawing practices abhorrent to Islam in its strict interpretation, from drinking and gambling to the strolling in public of women unaccompanied by male guardians (Nasiri, pp. 35ff). Just as in India, the growing influence of clerics and the official focus on religious propriety did not prevent non-Muslim, in this case non-Shiʿi, elements from playing a role in the state structure. Indeed, the longest-serving grand vizier under Soltān Hosayn, Fath-ʿAli Khan Daghestāni (in office 1715-20), was a self-proclaimed Sunni who hailed from the tribal, fervently Sunni region of Daghestān. Yet the new orientation did cause a deepening rift in government circles, especially since it created conditions in which the religiously underpinned interests and claims of Shariʿa-minded forces were no longer balanced by the “agenda” of a “secular,” pragmatic shah able and willing to keep these at bay. The late Safavids may be said to have conducted a policy of religious imperialism, which differed from the earlier, episodic intolerance under Shah Esmāʿil, Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 299 Shah Tahmāsb and Shah ʿAbbās I in that it was more consequential for being more systemic and comprehensive. It contained a strong anti-Sufi element, as was true in the Ottoman case. This new orientation had repercussions for all minorities (Armenians, Jews, Zoroastrians, and the Sunni inhabitants of the realm) in the form of higher taxes and growing harassment, forcing especially the Armenians, the only “minority” with resources and contacts outside of Iran, increasingly to seek refuge in Russia and Italy. But it manifested itself above all in anti-Sunni propaganda and policies. The Ottoman Empire is said to have owed its longevity to “pragmatism, flexibility and negotiation,” enabling it to “co-opt and incorporate into the state the social groups that rebelled against it” (Pamuk, 2004, p. 228).20 The same tools had allowed the Safavids to maintain control over their realm or at least to keep it from disintegrating. A policy based on a divide-et-impera strategy that mixed reward and retribution with flexibility, a willingness to tolerate and accommodate both alien and wayward indigenous elements, had enabled Shah ʿAbbās I and, to a certain extent his immediate successors, Safi I and ʿAbbās II, to wield power over disparate groups and interests. The last two rulers of the dynasty, Solaymān and Soltān Hosayn, lost this insight and capacity. The first was cruel and erratic; the second was meek and gullible; they were both narcissists, withdrawn, unable to stay above the fray, to tamp down the endemic feuding and factionalism between Qezelbash and gholām forces, between the eunuchs and the gholāms, and among individual men of large ambitions and outsized egos and appetites (Krusinski, I, pp. 90-92, 106-108). Factionalism and its corrosive effects in the form of endemic divisiveness in the ranks of the bureaucracy and the army became rife under their watch. The hard-line religious stance adopted by the state at the turn of the seventeenth century only exacerbated the growing cleavages: It pitted the center against the periphery, and especially the tribal periphery, which happened to be mostly Sunni. Just as Russia’s Nikonian Schism and the religious intransigence it represented contributed to the Cossack uprising led by Sten’ka Razin in the 1670s, so the doctrinaire forms of Shiʿism that came to prevail in Safavid court circles antagonized the tribal fringe to the point of provoking rebellion among its inhabitants (Parker, p. 180). The result was a fatal weakening of allegiance and loyalty in the vulnerable, mostly Sunni borderlands. Loyalty was the scarcest of commodities, especially in the frontier zones, and the empire could only acquire it by literally buying it, through accommodation, by way of tributary arrangements, and by giving the tribal periphery a stake in the core enterprise. Yet the Safavids might 20 For a recent essay questioning pragmatism as the foundation of Ottoman policy-making, see Dağli. Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 300 Matthee have saved their state if they had continued to accommodate their periphery by honoring existing tributary arrangements with its tribal inhabitants, the Lezghis in the Caucasus, the Uzbeks in Khorasan, the Baluchis and the Afghans in Baluchistan and Sistan. There are strong indications that all of these might have been bought off. The Lezghi raids into the lowlands of the Caucasus in the early eighteenth century were really meant to remind the shah of their vassal status and the consequences of a refusal to honor them with the robes of honor and the agreed-upon annuity this status entitled them to (Dourry Efendy, pp. 41-42). The Baluchis kept their raiding practices in check in return for a tributary stipend from Isfahan until the Safavids stopped disbursing the money. The Afghans, too, were ready to “secure their retreat” by accepting to be “bought off,” which would have meant Safavid acknowledgement of Afghan sovereignty over the Qandahār region and the payment of a substantial sum of money to sustain their troops. Isfahan, no longer attuned to the time-honored ways and means of sustaining an empire, rejected the offer (Krusinski, II, p. 209). It was the cardinal mistake of the Safavids to neglect this policy maxim, to alienate especially their frontier zone through financial shortsightedness and religious exclusion precisely at a time when the loyalty of its inhabitants was most needed. ‘Ali Mohammad Hazin Lahiji, the man of letters from Gilan who lived through and bore witness to, the dying days of the Safavid state, was right to attribute the fall of Isfahan to a negligent elite and an enfeebled army which by the 1720s had not seen war for close to a century (Hazin Lahijani, p. 190). When the assault came, in the form of a small number of Baluchi tribesmen followed by equally small cohorts of Afghans, the Safavids, militarily weakened, politically disorganized, and unable to count on the tribal marches, put up little resistance and dissolved. Conclusion After the Safavids fell in 1722, the name, reputation and legitimizing force of the dynasty continued to resonate for half a century or more (Perry). Safavid Iran, moreover, lives on in the present in various tangible and intangible ways, politically as well as culturally. The Twelver Shiʿism proclaimed by Shah Esmāʿil as his realm’s official faith endures as Iran’s state religion; most of the territory the Safavids conquered continues to be part of modern Iran; for all the persistent linguistic diversity on the plateau, Persian became the undisputed tongue of the country’s administrators and clerics and, eventually, of the majority of the population; and to many Iranians the reign of the Safavids represents the Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 The Decline Of Safavid Iran In Comparative Perspective 301 last time when their country flourished as a proud and independent country. Yet even if all this endured as part of the Iranian “empire of the mind,” the state the Safavids oversaw collapsed; and no exposition on lasting artistic brilliance or continuous religious vitality can substitute for an analysis of the reasons why it did. This essay has subjected Safavid Iran, the Ottoman Empire and the Mughal state to a comparative analysis on the basis of an assumed degree of commensurability centering on shared principles of statecraft, military organization, revenue collection and commercial policy. Its aim was not to demonstrate that these polities fell away from some imaginary ideal state, but to establish an explanatory framework for the inarguable weakening of their political command structure, economic wherewithal, and military resilience in the course of the seventeenth century. It has argued that an intertwined combination of a harsh natural environment, an inherently poor resource base, military neglect and ideological rigidity accounts for the fatal weakening of the Safavid state at the turn of the eighteenth century. Sparsely populated, predominantly tribal even at the center, and inherently low on resources, Safavid Iran was much more vulnerable than either of its two neighbors. These traits severely impeded the centralizing capacity of the state, making it far more circumscribed than that of the Ottomans and the Mughals. Iran’s lack of easily exploitable precious metal deposits, causing a woeful shortage of current coin, exacerbated this weakness. This was an endemic problem that defied easy solutions. Like the Ottomans and the Mughals, who faced similar deficits, the Safavids employed multiple measures to tackle the problem. They sought to ban or tax the export of bullion and specie; they tampered with the coinage, lowering its weight or its precious metal content. Yet, in the absence of fundamental reform, such measures only worsened the problem by impeding trade, sowing confusion and encouraging subterfuge among merchants and producers. The Safavids also converted large swaths of their realm to crown land, hoping to increase the flow of revenue to the center. Yet maximizing the amount of crown land was similar to tampering with the coinage in that it provided short-term revenue while causing long-term financial damage. The recurrent wars the Safavids fought against the Ottomans only aggravated Iran’s impecuniousness. There is no question that the need to curb costs was a factor in the decision to make peace with Istanbul in 1639. This should have resulted in a “peace dividend.” Yet, the money saved was not necessarily used productively; much of it was wasted on royal panoply or hoarded in the coffers of the shah and the elite. An unintended consequence of the resulting stability, meanwhile, was a decrease in the fighting capacity of the army. Temporarily obscured because the Iranians felt safe behind the deserts and Journal of persianate studies 8 (2015) 276-308 302 Matthee mountain ranges that framed a plateau that momentarily was on no one’s marching route, Safavid military weakness was fully exposed when the first real challenge appeared on the horizon in the early eighteenth century. In a fateful vicious cycle, military neglect went hand in hand with the conversion of the shah from an ambulant warrior-shah to a fait-néant ruler ensconced in his palace, susceptible to the blandishments of eunuchs and the exhortations of the ulama. Unlike the Mughals, the Safavids managed to limit filial competition and thus the often bloody internecine strife that marked the transfer of power from one ruler to the next. This, in addition to the divine aura that continued to surround the Safavid monarchs ensured peaceful successions and contributed to overall stability. But the price was weak executive power for which even the most energetic grand vizier was no real substitute. This retreat of the body politic’s only sovereign power unleashed the forces of factionalism in the ranks of the governing elite, gholāms, women, and eunuchs who worked at cross purposes, intent on undermining each other, obstructing the flow of scarce resources to a neglected and depleted army, loath to see any general gain prestige and power at their expense by succeeding on the battlefield. The loss of military vigilance and the lack of oversight in administrative management, as well as a growing emphasis on outward religiosity, combined to antagonize the tribal, Sunni dominated periphery. Given the vastness and desolation of especially Iran’s eastern half, which may have been “conquered” but was never incorporated, an Ottoman-type policy of seeking to control the tribes by sedentarizing them would have been utterly impossible. Yet the Safavids might have saved their state if they had continued to accommodate their periphery by honoring existing tributary arrangements with its tribal inhabitants. The fragile bonds of loyalty, always predicated on a combined lure of money and the fear of reprisal, thus snapped. Iran, hollowed out from the inside, exhausted by elite infighting, succumbed to what C. A. Bayly has called the first of the eighteenth-century tribal “breakouts”: a westward expedition by a small band of tribal warriors who marched into the heartland relatively unopposed, after which they appeared before a capital that was “quite defenceless, having only a slight wall around it, built of mud dried by the sun . . . and broken down in many places” (Bell, I, p. 121).21 Mughal India would soon follow, partly under the weight of the same forces, even though it received its mortal blow only with the next tribal breakout, Nāder Shah’s invasion of India, and had an afterlife that lasted, in some ways, until 1857. The Ottomans, too, came out of the seventeenth century severely weakened, politically, financially and militarily; yet they persisted and battled on, sustained by a more productive 21 For the tribal breakouts, see Bayly, 1989, pp. 38ff. 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