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PANDEMIC OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE A CHALLENGE AND AN OPPORTUNITY (Prof. Shahryar A. Sheikh) By the beginning of the of the 20th century nutritional diseases, infectious diseases and maternal diseases accounted for a major cause of death, cardiovascular disease accounted for only 10% of all deaths. Rheumatic Heart Disease, infectious and nutritional cardiomyopathies made up for most of the cardiovascular disease burden. In 1999 World Health Organization (WHO) health report indicated that world wide Cardiovascular Disease (CVD), of which coronary artery disease and stroke are major component caused the deaths of approximately 16.7 millions people of all ages, (8 million men & 8.7 million women). In developed countries despite significant decline since 1970, CVD remains the leading cause of death accounting for over five millions deaths in 1990. In the developing countries with low and middle income, there is growing burden of CVD and in 1998 WHO estimated that 85% burden of CVD arose from the low and middle income countries, adding to the existing burden of infectious and rheumatic heart disease. Fortunately much is now known about the causes of common CVDs. Furthermore, the effects of the many cardiovascular risk factors have been shown to be potentially reversible. The various risk factors for CVD are approximately multiplicative in their effect on CVD risk. Therefore, the benefit will be greatest when there is a simultaneous reduction in several risk factors. It is important to remember that CAD is not just a Lipid disease, half of all myocardial Infarctions occur in Normo Lipidemic patients. Smoking accounts for 4.5 million cardiovascular deaths. Smoking increases the risk of dying from Coronary Heart Disease and cerebrovascular disease 2-3 fold and continuing to smoke after myocardial Infarction or coronary revascularization can have deleterious clinical consequences. Smoking cessation is the most cost effective intervention for patients with documented CVDs. Diabetes affects 135 million in the world. Number of people with diabetes are projected to increase 42% in developed countries and 170% in developing countries by 2025. Diabetes is now recognized as a vascular disease, due to the fact that two-thirds of people with diabetes-mellitus die from cardiovascular disease, and 75% of diabetic patients hospitalizations are for CVD. Hypertension confer as much risk for Myocardial Infarction as smoking or dyslipidemia. Systolic hypertension is an even greater indicator of CAD risk than diastolic hypertension. One billion people across the world are now over weight or obese, leading to fears, that obesity will rapidly overtake smoking tobacco as the leading life style risk factor for heart disease and stroke; due to the fact that obesity predisposes to diabetes mellitus, high blood pressure and dyslipidemia, major risk factors for CAD. Women with a body mass index of greater than 27 have a threefold risk of stroke compared to slender women, (BMI under 22). The past 25 years has seen the Aspirin, -Blockers, ACE-inhibitors, and lipid-lowering therapies to lower the risk of future vascular events, by about a quarter each, in high-risk patients. The benefits of each intervention appear to be largely independent so that when used together in appropriate patients it is reasonable to expect that about two-thirds to three quarters of future vascular events could be prevented. Add to this the potential benefits of quitting in smokers (which lowers the risk of myocardial infarction by a half) and blood pressure lowering (a 10mmHg reduction in systolic blood pressure could reduce the risk of cardiovascular events by a quarter) in hypertensive patients, and it may be possible to lower the risk of future events by more than four-fifths in high risk individuals. Ischemic Heart Disease and stroke mortality rates have declined up to 50% in developed countries, suggesting that the available preventive and therapeutic strategies can be effective. WHO Monica project in Finland has shown that by reducing the classic risk factors for CVD like smoking, Blood Cholesterol and Blood Pressure can result in almost 50% reeducation in mortality in CVD both in men and women. USA has seen one of the greatest declines in CVD mortality rates over the last three decades. Therapeutic advances and preventive measures, targeted at those with CVD and those potentially at risk for it, have been attributed to the decline in CVD mortality rates. The potential gains from the combination of currently known preventive strategies are large. While prescription is simple implementation is much more difficult. EUROASPIRE II showed that too many patients are not receiving adequate preventive and therapeutic intervention as a consequence most of the patients are not achieving the recommended goals. Cardiovascular specialist has to play an important role in CVD control efforts alongwith enlightened policymaking and effective community involvement. The epidemic of cardiovascular disease in developed countries peaked at a point when the knowledge of CVD causation and prevention was inadequate. It is a challenge for us at present to apply this existing knowledge about CVD in developing world to avoid huge burden of CVD in young and middle aged adults. REFERENCES: 1. Yusuf S. Two decades BMJ 2002;324;71-86. of progress in preventing vascular disease. 2. Yusuf S, Reddy KS, Global burden of cardiovascular disease, part I; General considerations, the epidemiologic transition, risk factors, and impact of urbanization. Circulation 2001;104;2746-2753 3. Yusuf S, Reddy KS, Global burden of cardiovascular disease, part II; General considerations, the epidemiologic transition, risk factors, and impact of urbanization. Circulation 2001104; 2855-286. 4. Reddy KS. Cardiovascular diseases in the developing countries; dimensions, determinants, dynamics and directions for public health action. Public Health Nutrition (PHN) 298; 10-24. 5. Chockalingam A, Balagur V, In: Impending Global Pandemic of Cardiovascular Disease. Barcelona: Prous Science, 1999. 6. EUROASPIRE II Study. Lifestyle and risk factors management and use of drug therapies in coronary patients from countries. European Heart Journal 2002; 22, 554-572. 7. international Action on Cardiovascular Disease: A platform for Success. Draft 2002; May 17. 8. Murray CJL, Lopez AD. Global mortality, disability, and the contribution of risk factors: Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet, Volume 349; 1436-1442. 9. E Vartiainen, P Puska. Changes in risk factors explain changes in mortality from Ischemic heart disease in Finland. BJM 1994; 309;23-27. 10. Hunink, Maria G. M. , Goldman, Lee. The recent decline in Mortality from coronary heart disease, 1980-1990; The effect of Secular Trends in Risk Factors and treatment. JAMA, volume 277 (7), 1997; 535-542. 11. Pearson Thomas A. Cardiovascular disease in developing countries: Myths, realities, and opportunities. Cardiovascular Drugs & Therapy 1999; 18: 95-104. 12. Raj Bhopal. Epidemic BMJ 2002; 324: 625-626. of cardiovascular disease in South Asians. 13. Global strategy for the prevention and control of non-communicable disease. WHO; A53/14: 2000, March 22.