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Canada Digital Density Index: Guiding Digital Transformation Accenture’s Digital Productivity Study The Accenture Digital Productivity study 2014 produced new insights into the way digitalization affects economic performance in the world’s major economies. The study produced a comprehensive digital density scorecard that captures not just the integration of digital technologies and processes into business practices, but also the degree to which digital is enabled in the surrounding institutional and economic environment. This study found empirical evidence that higher degrees of digital density are related to better economic Performance. Fig.1 Canada’s Digital Density profile Digital Density is composed of four components, which are in turn scored according to 18 key aspects. 2 Digital Density in Canada Canada gains a high digital density score, revealing the country’s consistently forward-leaning approach to digitalization across the scorecard. This high score is in spite of relatively slow internet speeds and a relatively small pool of information and communications technology (ICT) skilled labour. Canada’s success is built on institutions, behaviours and attitudes towards digital change as much as hard infrastructure. Digital Density Component Scores 3 Canada’s Digital Density profile Canada scores consistently high across the scorecard, landing it in the top half of the sample in each component. Canada offers strong foundations for digital entrepreneurs and Canadian businesses are leaders in the adoption of new digital technologies. Surprisingly, this is despite being a country with relatively weak digital infrastructure. The Making Markets component reveals a well- connected population, although one that has been slow to embrace online transactions. The internet is used frequently in advertising and Canadian firms compare relatively well in terms of the automated interaction between each other and the digital platforms they use to collaborate. Canada scores well in the study for the digitalization of business operations in the Running Enterprises component. Canadian business models are characterized by an openness to new digital innovations, firms generally have a clear strategy for digital progress, R&D spending is high and firms score above-average in their embrace of new ‘technology processes’. There are still shortcomings. Canada’s Human Capital score is in the bottom half of the range and it receives a low score for innovation. For the Sourcing Inputs component, which measures the digitalization of factor markets, Canada scores in the top third of the study sample. Some strong scores for use of the industrial internet are reflected in the strong ‘Plant, property and equipment’ score. The digitalization of labour market processes is close to the average, as is the use of digital platforms to access capital. The enabling environment in Canada is generally strong, although weaknesses exist. Canada is well regarded for the organizational flexibility of its industries, thanks in part to a very efficient labour market. There is also a lot of confidence in the potential of digital and the government’s role in facilitating it. However the speed of internet connectivity to facilitate this is surprisingly weak. 4 Fig 2. Canada Digital Density breakdown Performance against rest of international sample (quartiles indicated by dotted gridlines) Spotlight on Canada Digital Density Canada’s high digital density score is a story of consistency across the broad scorecard. Canada rarely finds itself at the digital frontier in our metrics but is habitually above average. It suffers few shortcomings significant enough to drag its overall score down, but that is not to say there is no room for improvement. Canada has a well-connected population. Data from the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) shows that 87% of Canadians were using the internet in 2012, which places it fifth highest in the study (Fig 3). Similarly the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) measure of internet access in schools places it 6th highest in the study, the 2nd highest outside Europe. Typical of Canada’s profile, these are solid scores, not quite at the frontier. But internet connections are not very mobile, nor very fast. Canada had only 0.6 mobile broadband subscriptions per head in 2012, compared to a study average of 0.77, and 1.3 per head in the US (Fig 4). Of Canada’s connected population, only 38% had high speed fixed broadband connections by 2013, notably lower than the study average (53%), and the US (68%). The typical Canadian enterprise is more digitalized than its international competitors. The 2014 Accenture Global Agenda survey found that 46% of Canadian firms reported having more than half of their business supported by digital technologies. A marginally higher proportion than the 45% of US firms and much higher than the study average of 38%. This may be the reason businesses have been slower to shift transactions online than in other countries. Euromonitor data shows that 29% of advertising spend is made online (Fig 5), the third highest in the study and notably above the US level of 20%. However only 1.8% of Canadian retail sales were made online in 2013. This compares to the study average of 4.3% and a US level of 7.3%. Fig 3. Proportion of Canadians using the internet % of all Canadian adults using the internet regularly, ITU 5 Fig 4. Growth in mobile broadband Mobile broadband subscriptions per head, selected countries, ITU Fig 5. Online advertising expenditure % of all advertising spending done online, Euromonitor 6 And the scorecard shows that Canadian firms appear to make greater use of new digital technologies than their international counterparts. Canada stands out in the 2014 Global Agenda survey for the importance executives place on mobile technologies and cloud computing to their business (Fig 6). Canadian enterprises are well regarded for their use of data analytics; in the top 6 of our sample. They are also in the top half of the sample for operationalizing machine to machine communications. Canada provides a broadly supportive enabling environment to digitally minded enterprises. The WEF’s Global Competitiveness Report scores Canada comfortably above average in terms of management quality, labour market flexibility and labour market relationships. It places fourth in the study, ahead of the United States but behind the UK at the study’s frontier. Canada’s pool of skilled labour is slightly above average for the study, with around 3.2% of the workforce employed in ICT. Much higher than the 2% of the US workforce, and slightly higher than the EU10 average of 3.1%. The degree of investment in digital and telecoms however paints a more varied picture. ITU data reveals that Canada’s per-capita investment in telecoms is the second highest in the study, at US$401 per capita (Fig 7), behind only Australia – perhaps reflecting their sparse populations. However, company spend on R&D is more limited in Canada according to the WTO Global Competitiveness Report, which ranks it 14th out of the study’s 18 countries. The scorecard also reveals certain shortcomings in the digital performance of Canadian industry, for example in innovation. The WEF’s Global Competitiveness Report ranks Canada low in terms of its capacity for innovation. This is also reflected in the number of patent applications, with only 200 applications made per million working age residents compared to an average of 399 in Western countries and 1185 in the United States (Fig 8). Fig 6. Importance placed on digital technologies % rated ‘extremely’ or ‘moderately’ important by executives for the next 12 months, Accenture 7 Fig 7. ICT investment Fixed investment in ICT per working age head, USD 2012, ITU Fig 8. Patent applications Number of patents applications per 1 million residents 8 Digital Density and better economic performance The Digital Productivity study upon which this report is based, found empirical evidence that a high degree of digital density is related to better economic performance. Using a combination of regression analysis and macroeconomic forecasting, the study found that by raising its digital density score by 10 points by 2020, an economy could add an extra 0.25 percentage points to its average annual growth rates. That is the equivalent of adding around 1.8% on top of Canada’s 2020 GDP. These impacts are transmitted through productivity improvements alone. For Canada to achieve such a 10 point boost to its digital density profile it would have to make a range of interventions across the economy. Fig 9 shows how Canada currently compares to the distribution of other countries in the study in each of the four Digital Density components. The following list of interventions, if combined, could add 10 points to Canada’s digital density score and thus represent the scale of progress required to achieve the productivity gains identified by our macroeconomic modelling. Making Markets • Remove barriers to online commerce: rapid catch-up with US levels. This is the equivalent of growing from 1.85% of all retail sales being made online to 7.35%. This would still be lower than the UK’s 10.4%. Running Enterprises • More R&D: Increase investment in R&D to US levels. This is the equivalent of raising expenditure from 1.73% of GDP to 2.79%. • Prioritise innovation: Catch up with 6th and 7th ranked UK and Netherlands in the WEF’s Capacity for Innovation metric and in the number of patents issued. This is equivalent to increasing from 190 patents per million inhabitants per year, to 340. And matching best practices in the Netherlands for crowd-sourcing. • Improve mobile connection with customers: Meet US levels. Learning from international best practice could improve Canada’s score. Making Markets Fig 9. Canada’s Digital Density scores How they compare to the rest of the sample Running Enterprises 9 Sourcing Inputs • Embrace remote working: In the labour market, invest in technologies and behaviors that facilitate remote working, matching Sweden and the Netherlands at the frontier by this metric Fostering Enablers • Mobile connectivity: Catch-up with US. Canada’s 0.6 mobile subscriptions per head is far behind the US, where there are 1.3 per head. • Digital government: Follow example of study leader, South Korea. Canada’s government could do more to digitalize its interactions with the private sector, learning from best practices such as in South Korea. • Enhance ICT services offer: A 30% increase in the size of Canada’s ICT sector, as a share of GDP, would bring Canada’s sector close to Indian or Brazilian levels. A 60% increase would bring it to the study average. • Upgrade broadband speeds: Catch up with UK/US. Canada lags behind the UK and US in terms of average fixed broadband speeds, with around half the proportion of UK/US users subscribing to fast internet. Sourcing Intputs Fostering Enablers 10 About the research The Accenture and Oxford Economics study on Digital Density was based on three principal research components: 1. Collection of internationally comparable observations across hundreds of measures of digital technology and related indicators, from public and private sources. 2. From more than 50 of those indicators, the construction of a statistically tested composite Digital Density Index for 33 major economies, 16 of which included partially imputed scores. 3. Multivariate regression analysis to estimate equations that explain variation in countries’ total factor productivity by reference to their relative Digital Density Index scores. The study estimates only the effect of changes in total factor productivity on GDP. Expanding Digital Density likely will have additional positive GDP effects from factors including expansion of the digital/ICT sector and capital deepening across the economy. Further analysis could also consider other effects of expanding Digital Density, including effects on labour markets, public finances, and investment patterns. This report focuses on the Canadian findings. You may also be interested in reading the Global report available at www.accenture.com/digitaldensity. * Accenture does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information in this report. Accenture makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, and accepts no liability concerning the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information contained herein or for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this presentation or for any decision based on it. 11 About Accenture Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 336,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. 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