* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Credit Rating and Short-Term Debt Financing: Empirical
Syndicated loan wikipedia , lookup
Household debt wikipedia , lookup
Financialization wikipedia , lookup
Interest rate ceiling wikipedia , lookup
Global saving glut wikipedia , lookup
First Report on the Public Credit wikipedia , lookup
Securitization wikipedia , lookup
Credit rationing wikipedia , lookup
Credit bureau wikipedia , lookup
Credit Rating and Short-Term Debt Financing: Empirical Analysis of Listed Firms in Korea ‡ Byung-Uk Chong*, In-Deok Hwang**, Young Sang Kim*** November 24, 2014 Keywords: Asymmetric Information, Credit Rating, Financial Distress, Trade Credit, Short-Term Debt Financing JEL Classification: G14, G24, G28, G32 ‡ We acknowledge that Korea Ratings Corp., Korea Investors Service Inc, and NICE Investors Service Co., Ltd., provided credit rating data and Korea Ratings Corp. provided financial data of listed firms in Korea * Corresponding author. College of Business Administration, University of Seoul, Tel: +82-2-6490-2250, E-mail: [email protected] ** Korea Ratings Corp., Tel: +82-2-368-5548, E-mail: [email protected] *** Haile/US Bank College of Business, Northern Kentucky University, Tel:1-859-572-5160, E-mail: [email protected] 1 Credit Rating and Short-Term Debt Financing: Empirical Analysis of Listed Firms in Korea Abstract This paper investigates how credit rating affects trade credit use in short-term debt financing. Empirical results show that, under information asymmetry in debt market, credit rating plays a key role both as screening device of lender and signaling device of borrower. Hence, credit rating system can mitigate information asymmetry problem, resulting in the improvement of efficiency in allocation of funds in short-term debt market of Korean economy. Interesting and unique empirical results of this paper is the finding of non-linear relationship between credit rating level and trade credit use. Among low-rating firms, the increase in credit rating reduces trade credit use, while, among high-rating firms, the increase in credit rating raises trade credit use in Korean economy. Given that large firms have high credit ratings in Korean economy, the positive relation between credit rating level and trade credit use reflects the possibility of predatory transaction of trade credits. This paper also finds that various characteristics of borrowing firm such as size, financial distress, product characteristics, and industry characteristics are key determinants of trade credit use in short-term debt financing. Keywords: Asymmetric Information, Credit Rating, Financial Distress, Trade Credit, Short-Term Debt Financing JEL Classification: G14, G24, G28, G32 2 I. Introduction This paper examines various determinants of trade credit use in firms’ short-term financing and provides policy implications for diversifications of short-term financing structure, given that trade credits are non-market-based bilateral debt contracts compared to bank revolving line and commercial paper, both of which are market-based short-term financing instruments. Especially, this paper provides evidence that credit rating system can function as a mechanism for mitigating information asymmetry problem so that informationally opaque firms, e.g., small-medium firms, can expand the use of market-based shortterm financing instruments such as bank revolving line and commercial paper substituting trade credit use. Expansion of credit rating coverage to more of informationally opaque firms can establish mechanism where they can more efficiently select short-term financing instruments corresponding to their own risktype. Therefore, credit rating system can restrain excessive constraint of financial services to high-risk borrowing firms, leading to vitalize real economic activities. Firms need to purchase intermediate goods to produce final products and services and, for purchasing the intermediate goods, they may use their own liquidity or need to finance short-term debts. In short-term debt markets, there are alternative financing instruments with different economic and financial characteristics, mainly classified into three types: bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credit. Trade credits are offered by suppliers in the form of postponement of payment when selling their products to buyers.1 Trade credits are non-market-based bilateral debt contracts between buyer and seller, requiring relatively higher debt costs than bank revolving line and commercial paper, both of which are market-based financing instruments. In the well-developed financial markets of industrialized countries such as USA and Western European countries, trade credits are prevailingly used while they service relatively high-risk firms. In Korean economy, the portion of trade credits is also quite high in short-term financing among bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credit. 2 Since credit rating system provides information on the firm’s future cash flows and risk and hence reflects firm’s intrinsic value, it can mitigate information asymmetry problem and improve efficiency in financial markets. Moreover, as credit rating might be a device through which a borrowing firm can signal its own risk-type, it can help the borrowing firm select efficient structure of short-term financing instruments 1 Trade credit is also known as account payable in general. Trade credit is bilateral debt contracts between nonfinancial companies and its key characteristic is that it is a short-term financing in the form of deferred-payment and is operated through credit transaction account. 2 In our sample for year 2012, the ratio of trade credit to total asset was 8.65% for large firms (chaebol-affiliated firms 9.76%), and 8.28% for small firms. Debt ratio such as short-term bank loan ratio was 13.97% for large firms (chaebol-affiliated firms 9.13%) and 15.59% for small firms. 3 fitting in its own risk-type. Especially, given that the small-medium firms have more severe information asymmetry problem than large firms, expansion of possession of credit rating among small-medium firms can minimize distortion in selecting short-term financing structure. This paper investigates whether credit rating plays a role as a screening device of lender and at the same time as a signaling device of a borrower under the environments of information asymmetry. In particular, this paper focuses on the effects of credit rating system on use of trade credit among alternative, but not perfectly substituting short-term financing sources such as bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credit. Empirical analysis examines various determinants of firms’ trade credit use. Variables controlling for firms’ financial and operational characteristics are included in estimations. Since many economic factors such as dichotomy between large-firm and small-medium-firm sectors, concentration of economic power by chaebol-affiliated firms, and industry characteristics affect the firms’ trade credit use, the effects of these factors are estimated. Because purchasing/borrowing firms’ trade credit use is closely related to the characteristics of product/service selling/lending firm supplies, characteristics of product/service and industry are also controlled in estimations. Empirical results show that, under information asymmetry in debt market, credit rating plays a key role both for screening device of lender and signaling device of borrower. Hence, credit rating system can mitigate information asymmetry problem, resulting in the improvement of efficiency in allocation of funds in short-term debt market of Korean economy. Interesting and unique empirical results of this paper is the finding of non-linear relationship between credit rating level and trade credit use. Among low-rating firms, the increase in credit rating reduces trade credit use, while, among high-rating firms, the increase in credit rating raises trade credit use in Korean economy. The relation between the level of credit rating and the level of trade credit use is non-linear and U-shaped. Given that large firms have high credit ratings in Korean economy, the positive relation between credit rating level and trade credit use reflects the possibility of predatory transaction of trade credits. This paper also finds that various characteristics of borrowing firm such as size, financial distress, product characteristics, and industry characteristics are key determinants of trade credit use in short-term debt financing. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews previous literature on trade credits and short-term financing. Section 3 describes short-term debt and develops testing hypotheses. Section 4 describes data and presents empirical results. Section 5 provides summary and conclusion. 4 II. Literature Review Research on trade credit use among alternative sources of short-term financing instruments can be regarded as an extension and application of traditional study on selection of external financing sources in corporate finance. The literature on trade credit falls into two main streams. One stream of literature focuses on the “business” motivations for trade credit, seeing it as a way to minimize transactions cost (Ferris, 1981), to allow firms to practice price discrimination (Brennan, Maksimovic and Zechner, 1988), and to offer implicit quality guarantees (Lee and Stowe, 1993; Long, Malitz and Ravid, 1993; Emery and Nayar, 1994; and Deloof and Jegers, 1995). Recently, Frank and Maksimovic (2010) argue that the legal system, at least under common law, allows trade creditors to repossess their collateral more easily than financial intermediaries. Another stream of literature emphasizes with the “financial” aspects of trade credit, particularly under information asymmetry in financial markets. Emery (1984) argues that trade credit can serve to arbitrage the difference when the borrowing and lending rates faced by firms differ. As trade credit is an important source of financing to firms running out of bank financing and capital market funding, many theoretical models on trade credit assume that suppliers have certain advantages over banks. A widespread notion in the trade credit literature is that trade credit(vendor financing) substitutes for bank financing because suppliers have access to private information about the riskiness of their customers. Smith (1987) argues that in the normal course of business, a seller obtains information about the true state of a buyer’s business that is not known to financial intermediaries. The financial intermediaries may not have detailed knowledge of industry conditions and are forced to rely excessively on accounting information while seller can obtain more reliable information about buyer’s credit through frequent transactions. Since this information is potentially valuable, seller acting on this information extend credit to buyers on terms that they would not be able to receive from financial intermediaries. Mian and Smith (1992) argue that the sales effort of suppliers gives them informational advantage in assessing their customers’ credit risk. Biais and Gollier (1997) explain why suppliers are willing to offer credits to firms that have exhausted their debt capacity with banks. They show that suppliers can more effectively identify firms whose credit risk is overestimated by banks. Knowing that a firm’s credit line is unduly low based on their business relationship with the firm, the suppliers are willing to extend a vendor financing. Petersen and Rajan (1997) show that suppliers can extend more credit to firms with current losses but positive growth of sales, interpreting this finding as evidence that suppliers have comparative advantage in identifying firms with growth potential. They also argue that suppliers may have lower monitoring costs and thus are able to provide vendor financing to firms constrained in their bank financing. 5 Other previous studies on trade credit explain that the structure of the product market is the main cause of the prominence of trade credit. Brennan et al. (1988) provide a model where a monopolist finances the sale of its own product, setting the price of product and the interest rate of vendor financing to maximize combined expected profits both from the sale of products and the offering of trade credit. They argue that the monopolist will use differential interest rates to discriminate the buyers of the product if the regulators force the monopolist to charge the same product price to all customers. In this setting, they show that an elastic demand induces the monopolist to offer trade credit at subsidized interest rates while the optimal interest rate varies with customers’ characteristics. In Brennan et al. (1988), the product supplier internalizes the differential price elasticity of demand into debt costs by offering subsidized interest rates to their customers. Other studies have adopted the product differentiation hypothesis for trade credit that business managers use vendor financing to differentiate their products like advertising. Nadiri (1969) argues that trade credit is a non-price factor that generates product differentiation and thus optimal credit decisions for vendor financing reflect this aspect, which is termed as “product differentiation hypothesis. In Nadiri (1969), manager maximizes firm value by choosing price of product and size of trade credit. The optimal ratio of trade credit to revenues is directly proportional to the elasticity of demand with respect to trade credit and inversely proportional to elasticity of demand with respect to product price. The model predicts that the optimal receivables-to-sales ratio is positively related to profit margin while the optimal profit margin is negatively related to price elasticity of demand. This prediction suggests the intuitive notion that firms offer more generous credit terms when they can make more profit margin from additional sales. Petersen and Rajan (1997) test the product differentiation hypothesis along with other theories of vendor financing. They find a positive cross-sectional relation between account receivables and profit margin, as predicted by the Nadiri (1969)’s model of the product differentiation. Modeling trade credits based on contract theories is also prevailing in the literature. As in Stiglitz and Weiss (1981), under asymmetric information about a borrowing firm’s risk-type, credit rationing arises either when a lender cannot set an appropriate interest rate suiting the borrowing firm’s risk type or when the lender is not willing to offer a loan at any interest rate. Schwartz and Whitcomb (1979) focus on the credit rationing issue to explain why firms obtain trade credit. They find that firms under the credit constraint in bank financing tend to use vendor financing. Smith (1987) shows that banks face an adverse selection problem under private information on the borrowing firm’s risk-type. Banks offer financing as much as a low-risk borrowing firm desires at lower rates and ration credit to high-risk borrowing firms. In the meanwhile, product suppliers offer trade credit at high interest rates to high-risk borrowing firms. Therefore, the corporate debt market is separated into low-risk-firm and high-risk-firm segmentations. 6 That is, low-risk borrowing firms select bank revolving line at low interest rates while high-risk firms select vendor financing at high interest rates, resulting in a separating equilibrium in corporate debt market. Love et al. (2005) and Blasio (2005) argue that trade credits are useful short-term debt instrument useful to the high-risk firms which face financial distress due to internal factors and credit constraint due to external factors such as financial crisis and downturn in business cycles. In contrast, Giannetti et al. (2011) find that firms can take advantage of trade credits to pay cheap debt costs: the firms with high creditworthiness can reduce the debt costs by receiving discount on debt costs through early repayment of trade credits.3 There exist other streams of previous studies on trade credit. Garcia-Appendini(2011) finds that suppliers of intermediate goods have better skills in certifying creditworthiness of purchasing/borrowing firms when offering trade credits. Financial institutions tend to offer credits to the firms which have obtained trade credits and have paid them back on time. Such certification effect of trade credits is more apparent when financial intermediaries have lack of information about borrowing firms. Mian and Smith (1992) argue that the products sold on trade credits can be used as collateral with more effective collection and liquidation. Frank and Maksimovic (2010) and Cunat (2007) find that collateral value of the products transacted on trade credits increase when they are capital goods. This is because the sellers are experts about the features and re-sale values of the products purchased on trade credits, which are put as collateral. Deloof and Jerger(1999) find that supply of trade credits by sellers are affected by the characteristics of the goods transacted on trade credits and is in proportion with the levels of sales. Ng et al.(1999) and Fisman and Love(2003) examine how industry characteristics affect trade credit use by including industry indicator variables in the estimations. They find that the firms in the industries characterized by high growth potential and more investment opportunity tend to demand more trade credits. Berger and Udell(1998) find that firms’ financing sources become diversified as they grow and expand. Especially, use of alternative short-term financing sources such as bank revolving lines and commercial papers other than trade credits is expanded as the firm sizes become large and firm ages become old. The firm characteristics such as size, age, and sales growth can proxy corporate transparency. Berger and Udell(1998) and Fluck(1999) show that the borrowing firm can be considered to be transparent on the basis of such characteristics incur less debt costs as lower information costs. Berger and Udell (1998) and Fluck (1999) argue that such informationally transparent firms rely less on trade 3 Giannetti et al. (2011) categorized and assessed the ratings from 1(high credit risk) to 5 (low credit risk) and found that the higher the credit risk is, the possibility of getting a discount for trade credit related contracts despite early payment is lower. Giannetti et al. (2011) interpreted that the suppliers do not provide any discount benefits considering that it would be difficult for financially distressed firms to make early payments. 7 credits in their short-term financing than on other sources, including bank financing and capital market funding. Giannetti et al. (2011) find that large firms, which in general transact with more counterparties than small-medium sized firms, have advantage in bargaining/negotiating power and thus can use more trade credits offered by suppliers at cheaper debt costs (in the form of discount on early repayments of trade credits). By analyzing National Survey of Small Business Finances (NSSBF) of 1998 and COMPUSTAT data of 2001, Giannetti et al. (2011) find that the both sellers and buyers of differentiated goods are inclined to use more trade credits. Fisman and Raturi (2004) also find that the more competitive product market the more trade credits are offered by suppliers. Fabbri and Klapper (2009) provide the evidence that the sellers with relatively weak market power tend to increase sales by offering trade credits. This evidence is also in accordance with Wilner (2000). In corporate finance and financial intermediation areas, the research on the selection of financing sources by firms with differential risk types has been important issues under information asymmetry in financial markets. In line with this traditional research stream, , this paper examines how borrowing firms and lenders align short-term debt instruments, explaining the risk segmentation of short-term debt market by alternative but not perfectly substituting debt instruments: bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credits. In particular, this paper deals with the issue on the selection of short-term financing sources by firms, risk of which are mainly characterized by credit ratings. III. Development of Empirical Hypotheses The existing literature on trade credit suggests two main views on trade credit, which one can term “substitution view” versus “complementarity view.” The substitution view posits that trade credit is a substitute for market-based short-term financing such as bank revolving line and commercial paper. Reliance on trade credit is likely to be highest when borrowing firms are constrained from access to these market-based short-term financing sources and then they will turn to substituting source of financing, in particular trade credits. In this sense, trade credit and market-based financing are substitutes, and trade credits are expected to be used more by firms under financial distress and in times of economic shocks, e.g., financial crisis. The complementarity view holds that the use of trade credit is greater in the environments which have a large and efficient system of financial intermediaries. In such environments, non-financial corporations act as ‘agents’ for financial intermediaries. That is, while it seems natural to conclude that borrowers are likely to view market-based financing and trade credit as substitutes, the supply of trade 8 credit may be greater if supplying firms have easy access to bank financing and capital markets. Following Biais and Gollier (1997) and Frank and Maksimovic (2010), the use of trade credits may be viewed as complementary with financing by financial intermediaries. Firms obtain financing from financial intermediaries and capital markets. For transactions where direct monitoring by financial intermediaries is efficient, financial intermediaries and capital markets provide financing directly to firms. However, in cases where suppliers are more efficient at monitoring, or in enforcing contracts, it may be optimal for financial intermediaries to lend to suppliers, who then relend to the buying firms. Such efficiencies may arise because suppliers have proprietary information about buyers, because they can threaten to suspend future deliveries, or because they have a higher opportunity cost of any repossessed inventory than do financial intermediaries. This paper empirically examines firms’ selection of short-term debt financing instruments among bank revolving line (intermediated loan/indirect financing), commercial paper (direct financing from capital market), and trade credit (vendor financing). Since product suppliers have relatively limited access to capital market compared to financial intermediaries, they incur higher cost of funds than financial intermediaries, resulting in higher debt costs of trade credits. The main question of this paper is why financially constrained firms rely more on trade credit even when seemingly cheaper bank revolving line and commercial paper are available in the short-term debt market. Even though long-term survival and growth of a firm is determined by competitive advantage, the short-term operation is critically dependent upon management of working capital and short-term financing. Management of working capital and short-term financing affects the financial strength and creditworthiness of borrowing firm. Since the liquidity risk triggered by failure in short-term debt management can generate firm-wide default, selection of short-term debt and the management of liquidity are key factors that can maintain the firm as a going-concern entity.4 Theoretical background for short-term debt financing could be related to pecking order theory or financing hierarchy theory of Myers (1984). Pecking order theory posits that, due to information asymmetry between management and potential investors, external financing incurs additional debt costs. Therefore, firms fund in the order of retained earnings, safe debt, risky debt, and equity. Informationally opaque firms such as small-medium firms and high-growth firms usually have a large portion of short-term financing in total debt. These firms have large portion of trade credits among 4 According to Gopalan et al.(2009)’s research on S&P’s ratings from 1980 to 2008, long-term corporate bonds issued by companies with heavy dependence on short-term debt showed high return despite controlling of variables including credit ratings, and that it is very likely for these companies to experience more than a two notch drop in their ratings within a year. 9 short-term debt instruments including bank revolving line and commercial paper. It is prevailing perception that trade credits are “inferior alternative” to other short-term financing instruments such as bank revolving line and commercial paper. Wilner (2000) argue that trade credits incur higher costs of debt than bank revolving line and hence high-risk and financially constrained firms use more trade credits. From the view point of pecking order theory, trade credit is useful short-term financing instrument to the borrowing firms, which are constrained in funding through bank revolving line and commercial paper. Financially sound firms can issue commercial papers solely based on its creditworthiness to finance short-term funds for working capital management.5 Bank revolving line is traditional indirect financing instrument for work capital. Similar to commercial paper, firms with high creditworthiness and financial stability usually use bank revolving line for short-term financing. In sum, trade credit, commercial paper, and bank revolving line have substitutability among themselves while each of them respectively specializes in the borrower segment with different risk-type. Excessive credit constraint on high-risk firms can restrain balanced economic growth and development of financial markets. This paper examines the factors determining the structure of short-term debt financing, i.e., mixture of bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credit. In particular, this paper tests whether the trade credit use as a short-term financing instrument is complementary or substituting to bank revolving line and commercial paper. Optimal short-term financing structure minimizing debt costs can be obtained by removing information asymmetry problem. Since credit rating system reflects the information on future cash flow and risk of a firm, it can represent the intrinsic value of the firm and can play an important role as a screening device mitigating information asymmetry problem. Because credit rating system may also function as a signaling device with which a borrowing firm can reveal its own risk-type, it can select appropriate short-term debt financing instrument corresponding to its own risk-type. Small-medium firms, which at large have poorer corporate transparency than large firms, can minimize information asymmetry problem and diversity short-term financing instruments by possessing credit rating. This paper estimates the effects of credit rating on the structure of short-term debt financing by examining whether the possession of credit rating can mitigate 5 Unlike stocks and bonds, CP can be issued relatively easily without going through process such as BOD resolution, issuer registration, registration of securities, and is exempted from duty to disclose. Also unlike bonds with long term maturities, there are no additional costs such as underwriting fee and registration fee, and is subject to low and flexible interest rate. Due to its ability to effectively cope with excess or[and] deficiency of short term fund, CPs plays a pivotal role as short term debt tool despite CP’s refinancing risk amid credit crunch resulting from sudden economic recession and financial shock. However, supply and demand within the CP market is very volatile in accordance with the market’s short term liquidity. In times when the company faces poor performance, its capacity to raise fund through CP becomes more vulnerable compared to trade credit or credit line. CP are prone to liquidity risk due to refinancing risk triggered by short maturity, and large companies and blue-chip companies tend to issue CP. 10 information asymmetry problem, leading to the diversification of short-term financing from trade credit to other market-based instruments such as bank revolving line and commercial paper. Empirical analysis of this paper would show whether possession of credit rating helps borrowing firms expand the sources of short-term financing. <Table 3> shows the numbers of listed firms possessing credit ratings over the year 2000-2012 period in Korea. As shown in <Table 2>, the observations are classified into large-firm sample and small-medium-firm sample. During the estimation period, the proportion of listed firms possessing credit ratings kept declining and this proportion stayed around 35% level. This low level of rating coverage may generate information asymmetry problem in short-term debt markets, leading to possible adverse selection and moral hazard. Then, distortion in allocation of financial resources can be further exacerbated. Empirical analysis mainly tests hypotheses concerning the cross-sectional differences in trade credit use under information asymmetry in short-term debt markets. This paper investigates how financial characteristics of borrowing firms affect the selection of short-term debt financing, i.e., the level of trade credit use. The empirical hypotheses concerning this issue are as following: Hypothesis1: High-risk firms use more trade credit than bank revolving line and commercial paper in short-term financing. Hypothesis 2: Borrowing firms with more cash flows and current assets use more trade credits. This paper mainly investigates the effects of credit rating on trade credit use in short-term debt financing. In other words, this paper examines whether, by possessing credit ratings, borrowing firms can switch and diversify from, “an inferior substitute”, trade credit to bank revolving line and commercial paper, in shortterm debt financing. Empirical hypotheses concerning this issue are as following: Hypothesis 3: The relation between credit rating level and trade credit use is non-linear and U-shaped in Korean economy. Hypothesis 4: Firms possessing credit ratings lowers trade credits use. The characteristics of product/service and industry can affect trade credit use. For example, the industry where firms produce/sell standardized goods are competitive and hence bargaining/negotiating power of firm purchasing intermediate good is weak. As a consequence, the trade credit use of such firms could be low. In contrast, the industry where firms produce/sell differentiated goods in general have bigger market power and hence intermediate goods purchased are usually customized for the purchasing firm, resulting in the advantage in bargaining/negotiating power of purchasing firms. This may lead to 11 more use of trade credits by purchasing firms. In construction sector of Korean economy, subcontract is prevailing and thus the level of trade credit use can be higher than in other industries. In service and distribution sectors, competition in market and characteristics of goods/services can form specific transactional relationship between sellers and buyers and then affects the levels of trade credit use. To examine the effects of the characteristics of product/service and industry, this paper test following hypothesis. Hypothesis 5: The characteristics of product/service and industry generate different patterns of trade credit use. The observations are the firms listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ in Korea and are classified as following: (i) firms with credit rating versus those without credit rating, high-rating firms versus low-rating firms, large firms versus small-medium firms, chaebol-affiliated firms versus non-chaebol-affiliated firms. Considering a structural feature of Korean economy, dominance of large firms (many of them are chaebolaffiliated), this paper tests whether the unfairly advantageous position of large firms in bargaining/negotiating affects the structure of short-term financing across different types of firms, say large versus small-medium firms. In particular, this paper examines whether large firms can take advantage of their position in transaction and exploit sellers of intermediated goods and/or subcontractors by receiving more trade credits.6 Main test variables are the variable measuring trade credit use in short-term debt financing and the variables indicating information and certification effects of credit rating system. The estimations include various control variables such as financial characteristics of borrowing firm, industry characteristics of borrowing firm, financial distress, and financial crisis. In order to test the hypotheses on short-term financing structure, i.e., level of trade credit use, this paper estimates the panel regression models specified as following: AP_DEBT = b0 + b1RATING_CONTENT + b2 ASSET + b3 EBIT + b4 CA + b5 CAPEX + b6 FIRM_RISK + b7 SALES_GROWTH + b8 LOAN_ASSET + e (1) In estimating panel regression model (1), the key test variable is RATING_CONTENT. RATING_CONTENT represent dummy variables defined based on (i) whether a sample firm possesses credit rating, (ii) level of credit rating, and (iii) The length of time over which a sample possess credit rating. The types 6 Chaebol-affiliated firm refers to the firm belonging a conglomerate that includes firms in a group which are prohibited from mutual investment and share-holding. In Korea, chaebol-affiliated firm isannounced by the Fair Trade Commission every April. 12 of credit ratings include Issuer Credit Rating (ICR), Bond Rating, Commercial Paper Rating. <Table 1> provides the definitions of variables. The empirical tests require the data of sample firms’ financing structure. Dependent variable, AP_DEBT, is measured by Trade credit/(Trade Credit + Bank Revolving Line + Commercial Paper) and indicates the degree of trade credit use in short-term debt financing.7 The level of a firm’s trade credit use may also be affected by borrowing firm’s characteristics such as credit risk, growth pattern, external financing need, profitability, financial status, and business cycles. Firm’s asset size (ASSET) controls the level of information asymmetry and a negative sign is expected. ASSET is log-transformed value of total asset. This paper includes the firm’s ability to generate internal funds by the firm’s profitability measure EBIT/SALES. The firm’s ability to generate internal funds decreases its demand for trade credit financing, and therefore, one can expect a negative sign on EBIT. As a firm’s ability to generate funds internally decreases with its demand for trade credit financing, we also include a firm’s ability to generate internal funds measured by EBIT. Firm’s current assets (CA) representing short-term liquidity will decrease with its demand for trade credit if trade credit financing takes a lower position in the firm’s pecking order structure than internally generated liquidity. Borrowing firms tend to first rely on internally generated liquidity. If internally generated liquidity is short, then the firms would seek external financing. In a firm’s pecking order structure, there is a possibility that trade credit financing takes a lower position than other marketbased short-term financing sources such as bank revolving line and commercial paper (Myers, 1984). CA is measured by a firm’s current asset divided by total asset. In contrast, maturity matching hypothesis (Diamond, 1991; Hart and Moore, 1994) argues that firms minimize possible risk caused by mismatch between current assets and current liabilities and thus tend to maintain balance of amounts and maturities of current assets and current liabilities. Therefore, one can expect that the more the current assets the more trade credits are used in the context of working capital management. The level of trade credit is also affected by a borrowing firm’s external financing need as the firm’s demand for trade credit will be larger if external financing need is bigger. External financing need is measured by capital expenditure (CAPEX). CAPEX is defined by (Investment on fixed assets- Sale of fixed assets)/Sales and a positive sign is expected. 7 The level of trade credit use can also be measured by ratio of trade credit to total asset. But, in this paper, the level of trade credit use is measured standardized by the ratio of trade credit to short- term debt with an aim to indicate the selection of trade credit among alternative short-term financing instruments. 13 Operational risk is controlled by the variable FIRM_RISK defined by standard deviation of Sales/Average of Sales over past 5 years. Firm’s growth would affect its short-term financing as higher growth in sales will need more intermediate goods purchased on more trade credits. Following Fisman and Love (2003), firm’s growth potential proxied by SALES_GROWTH is included in the estimations. For a firm’s growth, this paper employs the growth rate of sales (Sales Growth), measured by the percentage change in sales from year t-1 to year t, i.e., (Salest/Salest-1)-1. If the borrowing firm with trade credit has access to bank financing, it may reduce trade credit financing because trade credit and bank financing are in general substitutes. That is, vendor financing is most common among firms that face constraint in bank financing (Petersen and Rajan, 1997; Biais and Gollier, 1997). To control for the substitutability between trade and bank financing, LOAN_ASSET defined by bank financing divided by total assets is included in estimations and a negative sign on LOAN_ASSET is expected. IV. Empirical Analysis and Results This paper investigates the sample firms listed in stock exchanges, KOSPI and KOSDAQ, in Korea, total 18,369 firm-year observations over 2000-2012 period. In panel regression analyses, the number of observations is reduced to 18,006 due to omitted variables. Following observations are removed: (i) financial companies are removed in the sample, (ii) firms with missing financial statement(s) for the past 5 years, (iii) holding companies and government-owned firms which have significantly different accounting system are removed. To minimize survivorship bias in sampling, we include all of newly listed firms, delisted firms, and firms with different fiscal year end. Financial data of listed firms are obtained from corporate financial database of Korea Ratings Corporation. <Table 1> provides the definitions of dependent and explanatory variables in more details. The dependent variable, portion of trade credit of a borrowing firm, is defined by accounts payables, i.e., trade credits, relative to total short-term financing, the sum of bank revolving line, commercial paper, and trade credits. <Table 2> summarizes the descriptive statistics of key variables. The observations are classified into full sample, large-firm sample, and small-medium-firm sample. Compared to small-medium firms, large firms can have advantage in financing since they can use internal capital market and hence can pay lower debt costs. Moreover, large firms have less possibility of financial distress due to diversified operations and the associated cash flows. Therefore, it is prevailing wisdom that large firms are less inclined to use trade credit compared to bank revolving line and commercial paper for external short-term debt financing. In Korean economy, it is observed that large firms use more trade credit than small- 14 medium firms, which is interesting but contradicting the prevailing patterns in industrialized economies. This observation contradicts the perception that small-medium firms, which are constrained in access to capital market and bank financing, would use more trade credit than large firms. Credit rating data are obtained from four credit rating agencies in Korea: Korea Ratings Corp., Korea Investors Service Inc., NICE Investors Service Co., Ltd., and Seoul Credit Rating and Information Inc. Bond rating and Issuer credit rating (ICR) are employed for long-term rating while CP rating is employed for short-term rating. When the ratings for an identical firm are different across credit rating agencies, i.e., split-rating, lower credit rating is used. In case a firm possesses both long-term rating (bond rating, ICR) and short-term rating (CP rating), long-term rating is used as base rating. In case a firm possesses only short-term rating (CP rating), CP rating A1 is matched to bond rating AA, A2 to A, A3 to BBB, B to BB, respectively. <Table 3> summarizes the numbers of sample firms which possess CP Ratings and Bond Ratings (including ICR) for 2000-2012 period. The observations are the firms listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ and they are classified into full sample, large-firm sample, and small-medium-firm sample. <Table 3> shows that small-medium-firm sector has low proportion of rating possession. Possession ratio of CP rating is extremely low. <Table 4> summarizes the distribution of sample firms across the levels of credit rating. Especially, Panel B shows the distribution of samples grouped into large and small-medium firms. Panel B in <Table 4> apparently shows that large firms are distributed at high ratings while small-medium firms are at low ratings: polarization between large and small-medium firms occurs in the distribution of credit ratings. 8 The statistics in <Table 2>, <Table 3>, and <Table 4> provides implication that estimations for selection of short-term financing need to be conducted after controlling for firm characteristics carefully, especially large versus small-medium firms. Due to dominant market power of large firms (many of them are chaebol-affiliated) in Korean economy, it is needed to test whether unfairly advantageous position of large firms in bargaining/negotiating affects the structure of short-term financing across different types of firms, say large versus small-medium firms.9 <Table 5> provides the correlation coefficients between variables. The dependent variable AP_DEBT has negative correlations with RATING_ALL and RATING_CP. AP_DEBT has negative correlation with firm size (ASSET). These univariate tests show that the firm characteristics variables mitigating information asymmetry have statistically significant correlation coefficients with AP_DEBT. Current assets (CA), measure of firm’s liquidity holding, have positive correlation with AP_DEBT. 8 Number of large company samples with credit ratings (incl. CP, Bond, and ICR) is 2,981 (excluding overlaps) and conglomerates accounts for 48.6% with 1,453. 9 In this research, conglomerates account for 20.1% of the total 10,707 sample, marking 2,157. 15 This univariate evidence supports the maturity matching hypothesis in the sense of Diamond (1991) and Hart and Moore(1994). EBIT measuring firm’s profitability and ability to generate cash flow has positive correlation with AP_DEBT, but magnitude is very low. The effect of EBIT on AP_DEBT can be ambivalent. On one hand, the increase in EBIT (indicator of firm’s profitability) can decrease trade credit use since trade credit is “inferior substitute” for bank revolving line and commercial paper. On the other hand, the large EBIT generates more cash flow, leading to more use of trade credit since more current liabilities can be used due to large ore liquidity buffer. Positive correlation between EBIT and AP_DEBT provides univariate evidence supporting maturity matching hypothesis in the sense of Diamond (1991) and Hart and Moore(1994). AP_DEBT has positive correlation with capital expenditure CAPEX, which measures the demand for long-term financing for fixed assets such as equipment and plant. FIRM_RISK, measuring business/operational risk, has positive correlation with AP_DEBT, but statistically insignificant. AP_DEBT has statistically insignificant correlation with SALES_GROWTH. AP_DEBT has negative correlation with LOAN_ASSET. The magnitude of correlation coefficient is large and very statistically significant. This provides univariate evidence that trade credit and bank financing are substituting short-term debt financing instruments. In <Table 6>, credit rating dummy variable is defined based on the level of credit rating from low to high rating and then panel regression of fixed effect model is conducted. Moreover, in <Table 6> the sample firms possessing credit rating are classified into two groups: firms rated at speculative grades (below BBB) and non-chaebol-affiliated versus firms rated above A and chaebol-affiliated. Each of these groups is defined to be 1, otherwise 0, respectively and then panel estimations of fixed effect model are conducted for each group to investigate how rating level affects trade credit use.10 <Table 6> shows the empirical results that, in low-rating samples, the increase in the credit rating reduces the trade credit use, while, in high-rating samples, the increase in the credit rating raises the level of trade credit use. These estimation results imply that the level of credit rating and trade credit usage have non-linear and U-shaped relationship in Korean economy. That is, low-rating firms have more likelihood of facing financial distress and credit constraint and hence trade credit use is larger. These results support Petersen and Rajan (1997), Love et al.(2005), and Blasio (2005) in that financially distressed firms are forced to use more trade credits since they are constrained in access to market-based 10 In panel data analysis, fixed effect model or random effect model is used in consideration of error term. As a result of applying model 1 to total sample and conducting Hausman specification test, null hypothesis was rejected and alternative hypothesis was adopted. Thus, we calculated the estimation by only applying fixed effect model to all analysis results. Also White test was conducted as the company’s financial variables used in this research can bring about heteroscedasticity issues by time series and cross-sectional data, and as a result, test statistic p-value was smaller than 0.01, rejecting the null hypothesis. In order to control all heteroscedasticities for all individual analysis results, robust standard errors were calculated and statistical significance was verified. 16 debt financing instruments such as bank revolving line and commercial paper. In high-rating samples, firms might have advantageous position in bargaining and negotiating in transactions and thus they can obtain more trade credits from suppliers. This result supports view of Giannetti et al.(2011), who posit that firms with market power can exploit suppliers of intermediate goods/services by obtaining trade credits under favorable debt terms and conditions. In Korean economy, most of high-rating firms are large firms (many of them are also chaebol-affiliated), the increase in credit rating among these sample firms may indicate larger firm size, more market power, and more bargaining/negotiating power, resulting in the increase in the trade credit use. This evidence contradicts the prevailing practice that trade credit is a short-term debt financing inferior to bank revolving line and commercial paper especially in industrialized economies. That is, large firms, which are naturally highrated, can take advantage of their positions in transaction and exploit sellers by acquiring more trade credits. Therefore, it might be the case that the levels of credit rating and trade credit use have non-linear (U-shaped) relationship in Korean economy. Therefore, this paper defines dummy variables based on the level of credit rating from low to high rating and then investigates the effect of credit rating at each level on trade credit the use, AP_DEBT. The illustration below summarizes the results of <Table 6> by showing the credit rating dummy variables and estimated coefficients. The shaded areas are level(s) credit ratings over which dummy variables are defined in ascending order in <Table 6>. If credit rating belongs to the shared area, dummy variable is 1, otherwise 0. As shown below, the first estimated coefficient is positive at the lowest rating level. Then the estimated coefficients become and stay negative over the middle levels of credit ratings. They become positive over the highest credit rating ranges. Speculative Rating:1 Investment Rating:0 Below BBB:1 Above A: 0 BB-BBB:1 Above A & Below B: 0 BBB:1 Speculative & Above A: 0 BBB-A: 1 Speculative & Above AA: 0 Above A: 1 Above AA:1, Below BBB: 0 BBB:0 Excluding Excluding Below Below CCC BB Above AA A BBB BB Sample Excluded Below B Sample Excluded Coefficient on Credit Rating 0.0178 -0.0512*** -0.0513*** -0.0366*** -0.0420*** 0.0512*** 0.0773*** In <Table 6>, while the estimated coefficient of dummy variable for speculative-grade and nonchaebol-affiliated firm has insignificant positive sign, that of above-A-grade and chaebol-affiliated firm is positive and statistically significant. This result implies that both groups of firms with opposite 17 characteristics use more trade credits and contradicts the empirical findings in the samples of industrialized economies such US and Western European countries. The empirical finding provided in <Table 6> shows that the Korean economy is polarized into extreme groups of firms: large firms versus small-medium firms. Further, selection of short-term debt instruments between these two groups is based on different economic incentive and motivation. In <Table 7> the observations are grouped into full sample, large-firm sample, small-mediumfirm sample, and chaebol-affiliated firm sample. Key test variables are RATING_ALL and RATING_CP and fixed effects models are estimated to investigate the effects of rating possession on trade credit usage. 11 <In Table7>, credit rating dummy variables RATING_ALL and RATING_CP are consistently estimated to be negative and statistically significant except for small-medium firms. These results imply that borrowing firms can mitigate information asymmetry problem by possessing credit ratings, leading to the less use of trade credits and more use of market-based short-term debt financing instruments, bank revolving line and commercial paper. The estimated coefficients on total asset (ASSET) are consistently negative and statistically significant across all sub-samples and models. These results imply that large firms tend to have less information asymmetry problem and hence they use more bank revolving line and commercial paper than trade credit. The estimated coefficients on current assets (CA) are consistently positive and statistically significant. This result implies that firms maintain the balance between current assets and current liabilities as an important aspect of working capital management and so naturally the increase in sales accompany the increase in account receivables, simultaneously leading to the increase in account receivables. These results are in accordance with Diamond (1991) and Hart and Moore (1994). The effects of EBIT can be ambivalent: as an indicator of profitability, the increase in EBIT can reduce the use of trade credit, an inferior short-term financing instruments while, as an indicator of ability of generating cash flow, it can accompany the increased use of trade credit since EBIT can provides the solvency for short-term debt. The estimated coefficient on EBIT is negative and statistically significant only in full sample while they are all insignificant in other sub-groups of sample. A higher capital expenditure requirement suggests that a firm is forced to demand more trade credit when more capital is needed to fund investing activities, as shown by a positive sign on CAPEX. In large firm sample, the estimated coefficient of capital expenditure CAPEX, a measure of long-term demand for funds for fixed assets is positive. This result implies that, since the increase in long-term 11 For estimation of total sample firms, it is difficult to assume a linear relationship between variables as indicated in <table 6>, and there could be limitations in estimating linear regression of total sample pooling large companies and SMEs due to structural differences between large companies and SMEs in Korea. 18 financing for fixed assets can cause liquidity constraint and potentially financial distress, the firm with large capital expenditure may need to rely more on trade credit than bank revolving line and commercial paper. In small-medium firm sample, the estimated coefficient of CAPEX is not statistically significant. This might be because financing need for fixed assets of small-medium firms is not substantial. The estimated coefficient of FIRM_RISK, the measure of firm’s business risk, is not statistically significant in all sub-groups of sample. LOAN_ASSET, the ratio of total bank financing to total assets, indicates the accessibility to bank financing and controls the substitutability between bank financing and trade credit. A negative sign on LOAN_ASSET is consistent with the argument that, when a firm can easily access to bank financing, it uses less trade credit. This also supports the argument that bank financing and trade credit are substituting short-term debt instruments. Trade credit is operational debt which needs to be maintained at some optimal level by taking into account firm-wide total leverage including both short-term and long-term debt financing. Thus, it is interesting to estimate the effects of financial distress generated by excessive leverage on short-term financing selection. Firm’s credit risk would also affect the level of trade credit use as more severe financial distress could affect firm’s short-term financing structure. In the estimations of <Table 8>, in addition to the base models in <Table 7>, the dummy variables indicating borrowing firm’s financial distress are included: LEVERAGE_DISTRESS and INTEREST_COVERAGE12. LEVERAGE_DISTRESS is a dummy variable defined to be 1 if debt-equity ratio is above 200%, otherwise 0. INTEREST_COVERAGE is a dummy variable defined to be 1 if interest coverage ratio is below 1, otherwise 0. Furthermore, this paper also employs indicator variable of global financial crisis to control for the effect of extreme credit constraint on short-term financing; FINANCIAL_CRISIS is equal to 1 if observation year is 2008-2009, otherwise 0. The estimated coefficients of the variables which are in common in <Table 7> and <Table 8> are similar in signs and statistical significance. 13 At large, there is no substantial difference in estimations between large firm sample and small-medium firm sample. As in <Table 7>, large firms are inclined to use more market-based short-term financing instruments (bank revolving line and commercial paper) than trade credits. 12 Debt-to-equity ratio of 200% was set as principle for Corporate Restructuring during the 1997 Korean Financial Crisis, and is not commonly used since 2001 with limited use in regulating holding companies and drawing up innovative guideline for public institutions. However, in this research, debt-to-equity ratio of 200% was applied considering following factors. First, the market practice that Bank of Korea and Korea Finance Institute are using debt-to-equity ratio of 200% as main criteria of financial constraint proxy was considered. Second, debt-to-equity ratio of 200% is being used when Financial Supervisory Service and Banks evaluate credit risk of Main Debtor Groups since early 2000s every year. 13 <Table 9> only indicates estimation figure of total sample. Separately from this, specific estimation figures are not listed as no differences were found between estimation figures of large companies, SMEs and conglomerates. 19 The estimated coefficient of LEVERAGE_DISTRESS is positive and statistically significant. This result indicates that highly leveraged firms, i.e., firms with debt-equity ratio above 200%, use more trade credits since high leverage can potentially trigger financial distress, leading to constraint in access to market-based short-term debt instruments, bank revolving line and commercial paper The estimated coefficient of INTEREST_COVERAGE is negative and statistically significant. That is, low interest coverage ratio reduces trade credit use. Interest coverage ratio, EBIT/Financing Costs, is a measure of ability of paying debt costs, which is in nature based on the firm’s ability of generating operating cash flow. Thus, low interest coverage ratio may indicate that a borrowing firm faces liquidity constraint due to insufficient cash flow. Then, in the sense of maturity matching theory (Diamond, 1991; Hart and Moore, 1994), low interest coverage ratio constrains trade credit use. Liquidity constraint of purchasing/borrowing firm generates economic incentive for selling/lending firm to reduce the supply of trade credit as it has advantage in promptly acquiring the information on purchasing/borrowing firm’s financial status due to long-term repeated transactions with purchasing/borrowing firm. While LEVERAGE_DISTRESS indicates long-term perspective of financial distress on capital structure, INTEREST_COVERAGE indicates short-term perspective of financial distress on operating cash flow. Thus, the estimated coefficients of LEVERAGE_DISTRESS and INTEREST_COVERAGE are opposite, positive and negative respectively. Especially, the negative estimated sign on INTEREST_COVERAGE is in accordance with maturity matching argument in the sense of Diamond (1991) and Hart and Moore (1994). The estimated coefficients of FINANCIAL_CRISIS, dummy variable equal to 1 when observation year is 2008-2009, are all negative and statistically significant. This result implies that trade credit is more pro-cyclical and sensitive to economic shock than bank revolving line and commercial paper, resulting in sharp reduction of trade credit use under extreme credit constraint caused by global financial crisis. The decrease in trade credit use over the period of global financial crisis may be the evidence that severe financial constraint caused by crisis restrains the available liquidity of selling/lending firms, resulting in the reduction in the supply of trade credit. This evidence is in accordance with Love and Zaidi (2010) and supports the argument that transaction of trade credits is pro-cyclical especially during the period of economic and financial shock and the supply of trade credit is sensitive to business cycles. Therefore, trade credit is not perfect substitute for bank revolving line and commercial paper in the phase of economic shock and during financial crisis from a macroeconomic point of view. Giannetti et al. (2011) argues that the characteristics of industry and the associated characteristics of good/service affect the pattern of trade credit use. Following Giannetti et al. (2011), <Table 9> provides the estimation results of effects of industry and good/service characteristics on the selection of 20 short-term debt instruments, i.e., trade credit use. This paper defines dummy variables equal to 1 if product/service sold are classified to standardized goods, differentiated goods, service based on SIC. Moreover, construction and distribution, which are at large highly leveraged sectors in Korea, are also defined to be dummy variable 1, otherwise 0.14 Estimation models are classified across product/service and industry dummy variables. Panel A and Panel B of <Table 9> show the estimation results with RATING_ALL and RATING_CP respectively. The estimation results in <Table 9> are similar to those in <Table 7> and <Table 8>, the estimated coefficients of RATING_ALL and RATING_CP are negative and statistically significant, implying that the possession of credit ratings can mitigate the information asymmetry problem, leading to less use of trade credits, i.e., more use of market-based short-term financing instruments such as bank revolving line and commercial paper. In <Table 9>, the estimated coefficient of dummy variable for standardized goods (STANDARDIZED_GOOD) is negative while that of differentiated good (DIFFERENTIATED_GOOD) is positive. This evidence is in accordance with Giannetti et al. (2011) in that the firms selling differentiated products receive more trade credits from intermediate good suppliers than those in other sectors. The estimated coefficients of industry dummy variables for service industry (SERVICE), distribution industry (DISTRIBUTION), and construction industry (CONSTRUCTION) are all positive and statistically significant. The positive estimated coefficient of dummy variable for distribution industry may indicate the circumstances where large buyers purchasing various commodities from small-medium suppliers in general have advantageous bargaining/negotiating power and thus can obtain trade credits in favorable terms. The positive estimated coefficient of dummy variable for construction industry (CONSTRUCTION) may be due to specific industry characteristics of construction industry. The final product of construction industry is a kind of differentiated product customized to the need of buyer, while the construction is not reversible and substitutable, and the price for the final product is paid after the construction is completed and the product is delivered. All of these characteristics of construction industry generate circumstances where the construction companies receive account payables as much as they can and delay the payment of them as late as possible (Smith, 1987; Lee and Stowe, 1993; Long et al., 1993). Moreover, the estimation result also reflects downstream subcontracting quite prevailing in construction industry in Korea. Overall summary of the results shown in <Table 6> through <Table 9> shows that (i) borrowing firms with high credit risk are inclined to use more trade credits than bank revolving line and commercial paper in short-term debt financing, supporting [Hypothesis 1], (ii) firms with more cash flows and current 14 Since the dummy variables for industry classification cannot be estimated by fixed effects model of panel analysis due to multicollinearity, estimations were conducted by OLS. 21 assets (cash holding and account receivables) use more trade credits, supporting [Hypothesis 2]. The estimation result in <Table 6> show that, among low-rating sample firms, the increase in credit rating reduces trade credit use while, among high-rating sample firms, the increase in credit rating raises trade credit use in Korean economy. That is, the relationship between credit rating level and trade credit use is non-linear. Given that large firms (many of them are also chaebol-affiliated) have high credit ratings in Korean economy, the positive relation between credit rating level and trade credit use reflects the possibility of predatory/exploiting transaction of trade credits. That is, large firms (with high credit rating and chaebol-affiliated) can enforce the suppliers (with low credit rating and small-medium size) of intermediate goods to provide trade credits taking advantage of their bargaining/negotiating power. These results could support [Hypothesis 3]. In all estimation results of <Table 6> through <Table 9>, the estimated coefficient of the dummy variables indicating possession of credit rating, RATING_ALL and RATING_CP, are negative and statistically significant. These results support [Hypothesis 4] that credit rating mitigates the information asymmetry problem and thus the possession of credit rating can reduce the use of trade credits, non-market bilateral debt contracts which are inferior substitutes for market-based short-term financing instruments, bank revolving line and commercial paper. In the estimation results of <Table 9>, the characteristics industry in which selling firms operate and the characteristics of final product/service which firms sell form the business environment of sectors and then this generates differential pattern of trade credit use across different industries and types of final products/services. These results support [Hypothesis 5]. V. Summary and Conclusion The main goal of this paper is to examine whether borrowing firms use credit ratings to improve corporate transparency and to certify their own risk-type and whether this role of credit rating in turn provides the mechanism where lenders, suppliers of trade credits, commercial bank (providers of bank revolving line), and investors in capital market (purchasers of commercial papers), can design appropriate debt contracts corresponding to borrowers’ risk-type based on the information credit rating transfers. In particular, this paper tests whether the observations classified into large and small-medium firms reduce trade credit use while increasing other market-based short-term debt financing instruments, bank revolving line and commercial paper by possessing credit ratings. In sum, this paper tests whether credit rating can play a role as a screening device of lender and signaling device of borrower, leading to informationally efficient allocation of short-term debts across trade credits, bank revolving line, and 22 commercial paper, while mitigating information asymmetry problem. The empirical results provide evidence that high-risk borrowing firms are inclined to use more trade credits than bank revolving line and commercial paper in short-term financing and that those with more cash flows and current assets (cash holding and account receivables) raises trade credit use, supporting maturity matching hypothesis. Interesting and unique empirical results of this paper is the finding of non-linear relationship between credit rating level and trade credit use. Among low-rating firms, the increase in credit rating reduces trade credit use, while, among high-rating firms, the increase in credit rating raises trade credit use in Korean economy. That is, the relation between the level of credit rating and the level of trade credit use is nonlinear and U-shaped. Given that large firms (also in many cases chaebol-affiliated firms) have high credit ratings in Korea, the positive relation between credit rating and trade credit use reflects the possibility of predatory transaction of trade credits. Large firms (high-rating, chaebol-affiliated) can enforce the suppliers (low-rating, small-medium sized, non-chaebol-affiliated) of intermediate goods to provide trade credits taking advantage of their bargaining/negotiating power. Empirical results of this paper imply that, under information asymmetry in short-term debt market, credit rating plays a key role as screening device of lender and signaling device of borrower. Credit rating system can mitigate information asymmetry problem resulting in the improvement of efficiency in allocation of funds in short-term debt market of Korean economy. Since trade credit in nature has more likelihood of distortion in allocation of funds due to its characteristics of non-market-based bilateral debt contract, the expansion of credit ratings to small-medium firms can diversify their short-term financing alternatives to market-based financing sources such as bank revolving line and commercial paper in general with lower debt costs and more favorable contractual terms. Furthermore, the expansion of credit rating and the associated diversification of short-term financing sources can provide the buffers that can absorb the financial distress and economic shock while preventing excessive contraction of financing in times of crisis. 23 References Baum, C., M. Caglayan, and N. Ozkan, “The Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Trade Credit for NonFinancial Firms,” Boston College Working Paper in Economics 566, 2003. Berger, A. and F. Udell, “The Economics of Small Business Finance: The Roles of Private Equity and Debt Markets in the Financial Growth Cycle,” Journal of Banking and Finance, 22, 1998, 613-673. Biais, B., and C. Gollier, “Trade Credit and Credit Rationing,” Review of Financial Studies, 10, 1997, 903-937. Blasio, de G., “Does Trade Credit Substitute for Bank Credit? Evidence from Firm-Level Data,” Economic Notes, 34(1), 2005, 85-112. Brennan, M., V. Maksimovic, and J. Zechner, “Vendor Financing”, Journal of Finance, 43, 1988, 1127-1141. Burkart, M. and T. Ellingsen, “In-Kind Finance: A Theory of Trade Credit,” American Economic Review, 94 (3), 2004, 569-590. Barron, J., B. Chong, and M. Staten, 2008, Emergence of captive finance companies and risk segmentation in loan market: theory and evidence, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 40, pp. 173-192. Chong, B. and H. Yi, “Bank Loan, Trade Credit, and Borrower Characteristics: Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 37 (1), 2011, 37-68. Cuñat, V., “Trade credit: Suppliers as Debt Collectors and Insurance Providers,” Review of Financial Studies, 20(2), 2007, 491-527. Danielson, M. and J. Scott, “Bank Loan Availability and Trade Credit Demand,” Financial Review, 39, 2004, 579600. Diamond, D., “Debt Maturity Structure and Liquidity Risk,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 56, 1991, 709-738. Emery, G. and N. Nayar, “Product Quality and Payment Policy,” Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 10, 1998, 269-284. Emery, G., “A Pure Financial Explanation for Trade Credit,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 19(3), 1984, 271-285. Fabbri, D. and A. Menichini, “Trade Credit, Collateral Liquidation and Borrowing Constraints,” Journal of Financial Economics, 96, 2010, 413-432. Fabbri, D. and L. Klapper, “Trade Credit and the Supply Chain,” Mimeo, University of Amsterdam, 2009. Ferris, J., “A Transactions Theory of Trade Credit Use,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 94, 1981, 243-270. Fisman, R. and I. Love, Trade Credit, Financial Intermediary Development, and Industry Growth,” Journal of Finance, 13(1), 2003, 353-374. Fisman, R. and M. Raturi, “Does Competition Encourage Credit Provision? Evidence from African Trade Credit Relationships,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 2004, 345-352. Fluck, Z., “Capital Structure Decisions in Small and Large Firms: A Life-Cycle Theory of Financing,” Working Paper. Stern School of Business, New York University, 1999. Frank, M. and V. Maksimovic, “Trade Credit, Collateral, and Adverse Selection,” Journal of Financial Economics, 96, 2010, 413-432. Garcia-Appendini, E., “Supplier Certification and Trade Credit,” Working Paper, Department of Finance, University of Bocconi, 2011. Garcia-Appendini, E. and V. Cunat, “Trade Credit and Entrepreneurial Finance”, In Oxford Handbook of Entrepreneurial Finance, Oxford University Press. 2012, 526-557. Giannetti, M., M. Burkart, and T. Ellingsen, “What You Sell Is What You Lend? Explaining Trade Credit Contracts,”Review of Financial Studies, 24(3), 2011, 1261-1298. Hart, O. and J. Moore, “A Theory of Debt Based on the Inalienability of Human Capital,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(4), 1994, 841-879. Klapper, L., L. Laeven, and R. Rajan, “Trade Credit Contracts,” Review of Financial Studies, 25(3), 2012, 838-867. Lee, Y. and J. Stowe, “Product Risk, Asymmetric Information, and Trade Credit,” Journal of Finance and Quantitative Analysis, 28, 1993, 285-300. 24 Long, M., I. Malitz, and A. Ravid, “Trade Credit, Quality Guarantees, and Product Marketability,” Finance Management, 20(2), 1993, 117-127. Love, I., L. Preve, and V. Sarria-Allende, "Trade Credit and Bank Credit: Evidence from Recent Financial Crises," World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3716, 2005 Love, I. and R. Zaidi, “Trade Credit, Bank Credit and Financial Crisis,” International Review of Finance, 10(1), 2010, 125–147. Mateut, S., S. Bougheas, and P. Mizen, “Trade Credit, Bank Lending and Monetary Policy Transmission,” European Economic Review, 50, 2006, 603-629. Mian, S. and C. Smith, “Accounting Receivable Management Policy: Theory and Evidence,”Journal of Finance, 47, 1992, 169-200. Myers. S., “The Capital Structure of Puzzle,” Journal of Finance, 39, 1984, 575-592. Neelam, J. “Monitoring Costs and Trade Credit,” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 41, 2001, 89-110. Ng, C., J. Smith, and R. Smith, “Evidence on the Determinants of Credit Terms Used in Interfirm Trade,” Journal of Finance, 54(3), 1999, 1109-1129. Nilsen, J., “Trade Credit and the Bank Lending Channel,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 34(1), 2002, 226– 253. Petersen, M. and R. Rajan, “The Benefit of Lending Relationships: Evidience form Small Business Data” Journal of Finance, 49, 1994, 3-37. Petersen, M. and R. Rajan, “Trade Credit: Theories and Evidence,” Review of Financial Studies, 10, 1997, 661-691. Rajan, R. and L. Zingales, “What do we know about capital structure? Some evidence from international data,” Journal of Finance, 50, 1995,. 1421–1460. Rajan, R. and L. Zingales, “Financial Dependence and Growth,” American Economic Review, 88(3), 1998, 559-586. Schwartz, R., “An Economic Model of Trade Credit,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 9, 1974, 643657. Schwartz, R. and D. Whitcomb, “The Trade Credit Decision,” in J. Bicksler (ed.), Handbook of Financial Economics, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1979. Smith, J., “Trade Credit and Information Asymmetry,” Journal of Finance, 4, 1987, 863-869. Stiglitz, J. and A. Weiss, “Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information,” American Economic Review, 71(3), 1981, 393-410. Wilner, B., “The Exploitation of Relationships in Financial Distress: The Case of Trade Credit,” Journal of Finance, 55, 2000, 153-178. 25 <Table 1> Definitions of Variables Dependent Variable AP_DEBT Trade Credit/short-Term Debt: where Trade Credit = (Account Payables + Note Payables) and Short-Term Debt = (Trade Credit + Bank Revolving Line + Commercial Paper) Explanatory/Control Variables RATING_ALL 1 if borrowing firm possesses at least one of ICR, Bond Rating, and CP Rating, otherwise 0 1 if borrowing firm possesses at least one of ICR, Bond Rating, and CP Rating, RATING_CP otherwise 0 ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET Dummy variable Bond rating & ICR are long-term credit rating Dummy variable CP rating is short-term credit rating Log of book value of total asset Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Book Value of Sales Book Value of Current Assets/Book Value of Total Assets (Purchase of Fixed Assets-Sale of Fixed Assets)/Book Value of Sales (Standard Deviation of Sales)/Average of Sales Average and standard deviations estimated over past 5 years (Salest/Salest-1)-1 Bank Borrowing/Book Value of Total Assets LEVERRAGE_DISTRESS 1 if debt-equity ratio> 200%, otherwise 0 INTEREST_COVERAGE 1 if interest coverage ratio< 1, otherwise 0 FINANCIAL_CRISIS Measure of portion of trade credit in shortterm debt: level of use of trade credit relative to bank revolving line and commercial paper 1 if observation year is in the period of global financial crisis (2008.1~2009.12) , otherwise 0 26 Dummy variable: Indicating long-term financial distress Dummy variable: Indicating short-term financial Distress Dummy variable Indicating extreme economic/financial shock and credit constraint <Table 2> Descriptive Statistics Panel A: Descriptive Statistics of Key Variables across Full Sample, Large Firm Sample, Small-Medium Firm Sample Full Sample Variables Mean 25% percentile Median Large Firm Sample 75% percentile Mean 25% percentile Median Small-Medium Firm Sample 75% percentile Mean 25% percentile Median 75% percentile AP_DEBT 0.4515 0.1788 0.3686 0.7143 0.4624 0.1876 0.3810 0.7320 0.4365 0.1669 0.3517 0.6791 ASSET 11.5792 10.6066 11.3280 12.2650 12.1342 11.0917 11.9819 12.9462 10.8035 10.3252 10.8117 11.3061 EBIT -0.0520 -0.0045 0.0406 0.0859 -0.0161 0.0072 0.0446 0.0885 -0.1023 -0.0324 0.0346 0.0820 CA 0.5125 0.3659 0.5078 0.6478 0.4959 0.3413 0.4824 0.6322 0.5357 0.4038 0.5385 0.6661 0.0104 0.0334 0.0855 0.0771 0.0109 0.0345 0.0845 0.1217 0.0096 0.0322 0.0870 CAPEX 0.0957 FIRM_RISK 0.2923 0.1397 0.2310 0.3771 0.2811 0.1306 0.2173 0.3634 0.3079 0.1547 0.2481 0.4000 SALES_GROWTH 0.1865 -0.0706 0.0644 0.2059 0.1593 -0.0515 0.0708 0.2020 0.2245 -0.1023 0.0527 0.2129 LOAN_ASSET 0.1970 0.0410 0.1626 0.3101 0.1822 0.0323 0.1440 0.2848 0.2179 0.0545 0.1895 0.3428 27 <Table 2> Descriptive Statistics Panel B: Structure of Short-Term Debt Financing over 2000-2012 Period Structure of Short-Term Debt Financing: Trade Credit/short-Term Debt Possession of Credit Rating Non-Possession of Credit Rating Year Mean Median Mean Median 2000 0.3308 0.2680 0.4329 0.3809 2001 0.3500 0.2822 0.4324 0.3460 2002 0.3810 0.3115 0.4509 0.3695 2003 0.4245 0.3649 0.4636 0.3795 2004 0.4547 0.3770 0.4726 0.3840 2005 0.4757 0.4275 0.5047 0.4344 2006 0.4690 0.4108 0.5017 0.4299 2007 0.4319 0.3903 0.4841 0.4020 2008 0.3742 0.3283 0.4186 0.3081 2009 0.3994 0.3525 0.4381 0.3458 2010 0.4223 0.3670 0.4554 0.3759 2011 0.4006 0.3584 0.4603 0.3811 2012 0.3788 0.3082 0.4739 0.3761 28 <Table 3> Number of Listed Firms Possessing Credit Rating CP Rating Large Firm Bond Rating Small-Medium Firm NonPossession NonPossession Possession Large Firm Total ICR Small-Medium Firm NonNonPossession Possession Possession Possession Large Firm Total Small-Medium Firm Possession NonPossession Possession NonPossession Total Year Possession 2000 171 410 20 354 955 225 356 48 326 955 0 581 0 374 955 2001 160 502 15 428 1,105 224 438 54 389 1,105 0 662 0 443 1,105 2002 160 578 8 514 1,260 176 562 41 481 1,260 0 738 0 522 1,260 2003 146 657 6 567 1,376 157 646 28 545 1,376 2 801 1 572 1,376 2004 147 684 3 585 1,419 165 666 16 572 1,419 5 826 0 588 1,419 2005 147 714 3 575 1,439 162 699 20 558 1,439 14 847 1 577 1,439 2006 143 755 5 605 1,508 155 743 22 588 1,508 27 871 3 607 1,508 2007 143 777 4 630 1,554 167 753 46 588 1,554 63 857 22 612 1,554 2008 140 786 2 652 1,580 176 750 41 613 1,580 59 867 11 643 1,580 2009 127 771 0 637 1,535 176 722 22 615 1,535 120 778 6 631 1,535 2010 130 749 0 663 1,542 173 706 18 645 1,542 93 786 10 653 1,542 2011 118 748 0 684 1,550 179 687 13 671 1,550 69 797 8 676 1,550 2012 114 730 0 702 1,546 191 653 15 687 1,546 60 784 11 691 1,546 Total 1,846 8,861 66 7,596 18,369 2,326 8,381 384 7,278 18,369 512 10,195 73 7,589 18,369 Note: 49 firms with rating D (5 firms for CP ratings, 45 firms for bond rating, and 1 firm for ICR) are classified to non-possession since these firms cannot raise funds on its creditworthiness. 29 <Table 4> Distribution of Credit Ratings: Number of Listed Firms across Levels of Credit Rating Samples are classified based on effective credit rating, i.e., the lowest credit rating, across credit rating agencies. Bond ratings include ICR which is long-term credit rating system. In Panel A, the figures in parentheses of “Below B” rating are the numbers of sample firms defaulted. Panel A: Full Sample CP Rating Bond Rating (Including ICR) Year A1 A2 A3 Below B Total AAA AA A BBB BB Below B Total 2000 15 37 86 55(2) 193 4 12 41 112 83 34(13) 286 2001 18 44 65 51(2) 178 5 11 50 88 106 29(11) 289 2002 21 41 61 45 168 7 11 45 64 67 28(5) 222 2003 22 35 63 32 152 7 11 42 59 37 33(3) 189 2004 30 35 63 22 150 6 12 48 73 23 24(2) 186 2005 28 34 70 18 150 5 18 47 75 21 22 188 2006 37 36 61 14 148 5 22 49 65 18 27 186 2007 35 47 51 14 147 5 21 60 59 25 64 234 2008 38 43 49 12 142 5 25 63 45 27 78(3) 243 2009 42 37 37 11 127 6 43 59 38 20 53(1) 219 2010 49 38 37 6 130 6 47 70 44 26 37(1) 230 2011 53 36 26 3 118 6 53 77 40 32 24(4) 232 2012 49 35 27 3 114 6 60 71 45 40 14(2) 236 Total 437 498 696 286(5) 1917 73 346 722 807 525 467(45) 2940 30 Panel B: Classified Samples: Large Firm and Small-Medium Firm Large Firm Small-Medium Firm Short-Term Credit Rating: Long-Term Credit Rating: Short-Term Credit Rating: Long-Term Credit Rating: CP Rating Bond Rating (Including ICR) CP Rating Bond Rating (Including ICR) Year A1 A2 A3 Below B 2000 15 37 79 41 2001 18 44 61 38 2002 21 41 59 39 2003 22 35 62 27 2004 30 35 61 21 2005 28 34 68 17 2006 37 36 58 12 2007 35 47 48 13 2008 38 43 48 11 2009 42 37 37 11 2010 49 38 37 6 2011 53 36 26 3 2012 49 35 27 3 Total 437 498 671 242 Total 172 161 160 146 147 147 143 143 140 127 130 118 114 1848 AAA AA A BBB BB Below B 4 12 41 102 55 17 5 11 50 82 69 13 7 11 45 60 43 13 7 11 42 57 26 17 6 12 48 71 19 13 5 18 47 71 16 11 5 22 49 62 15 11 5 21 60 56 16 28 5 25 63 44 22 39 6 43 58 37 16 34 6 47 70 43 15 25 6 53 77 39 20 18 6 60 71 42 29 7 73 346 721 766 361 246 Total 231 230 179 160 169 168 164 186 198 194 206 213 215 31 2513 A1 A2 A3 Below B 0 0 7 14 0 0 4 13 0 0 2 6 0 0 1 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 44 Total 21 17 8 6 3 3 5 4 2 0 0 0 0 69 AAA AA A BBB 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 41 BB Below B Total 28 17 55 37 16 59 24 15 43 11 16 29 4 11 17 5 11 20 3 16 22 9 36 48 5 39 45 4 19 25 11 12 24 12 6 19 11 7 21 164 221 427 <Table 5> Correlation Analysis The sample includes the firms listed in Stock Exchange in Korea over 2000-2012 period. See <Table 1> for the definitions of variables. Figures in parentheses are p-values of Pearson correlation coefficients. AP_DEBT AP_DEBT RATING_ALL RATING_CP ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_ GROWTH LOAN_ASSET RATING_ALL RATING_CP ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_ GROWTH LOAN_ ASSET 1 -0.0694 (<.0001) 1 -0.0107 0.7097 (0.1500) (<.0001) 1 -0.0114 0.547 0.5406 (0.1252) (<.0001) (<.0001) 1 0.042 0.0265 0.0332 0.1183 (<.0001) (0.0003) (<.0001) (<.0001) 1 0.0658 -0.053 -0.0432 -0.1019 0.0114 <.0001 (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (0.1236) 0.0053 -0.0058 -0.005 -0.0095 -0.0655 -0.0013 (0.4788) (0.4307) (0.4980) (0.1996) (<.0001) (0.8623) 1 1 0.008 -0.0989 -0.1202 -0.2227 -0.1467 0.0366 0.0302 (0.2793) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) (<.0001) 1 -0.0033 -0.0025 -0.0013 -0.0026 0.0151 -0.0023 0.0005 0.104 (0.6534) (0.7361) (0.8611) (0.7294) (0.0413) (0.7549) (0.9408) (<.0001) -0.6284 (<.0001) -0.0215 (0.0036) -0.0641 (<.0001) -0.0466 (<.0001) -0.0511 (<.0001) -0.0539 (<.0001) -0.008 (0.2824) 0.0002 (0.9835) 32 1 -0.0028 (0.7053) 1 <Table 6> Effect of Level of Credit Rating on Trade Credit Use: All Observations with Credit Ratings The sample includes the firms listed in Stock Exchange in Korea over 2000-2012 period. See < Table 1> for the definitions of variables. The dependent variable is AP_DEBT. Fixed effects models are estimated. Figures in in parentheses are t-values. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Dependent Variable AP_DEBT Sample Classification All Observations with Credit Rating Classified by Rating Level Dummy Variable by Rating Level Speculative Rating:1 Investment Rating:0 Below BBB:1 Above A: 0 Credit Rating Dummy Variable 0.0178 (1.08) -0.0218* (-1.73) 0.0447** (2.31) 0.1960*** (4.30) 0.0032 (0.21) 0.0580* (1.65) 0.0008 (0.57) -0.8893*** (-15.31) 0.7503*** (4.43) 0.2299 34.09 3385 698 -0.0512*** (-2.89) -0.0330*** (-2.67) 0.0464** (2.37) 0.1837*** (4.02) 0.0025 (0.16) 0.0599* (1.70) 0.0007 (0.52) -0.8593*** (-15.00) 0.9353*** (5.57) 0.2343 35.32 3385 698 ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Number of Groups BBB:1 BBB-A: 1 BB-BBB:1 Speculative & Above Speculative & Above Above A & Below B: 0 A: 0 AA: 0 -0.0513*** (-3.79) -0.0320*** (-2.64) 0.0491** (2.51) 0.1886*** (4.18) 0.0033 (0.22) 0.0593* (1.69) 0.0007 (0.53) -0.8701*** (-15.38) 0.9151*** (5.62) 0.2363 35.68 3385 698 -0.0366*** (-2.94) -0.0271** (-2.24) 0.0465** (2.39) 0.1912*** (4.20) 0.0037 (0.25) 0.0618* (1.76) 0.0008 (0.61) -0.8793*** (-15.48) 0.8366*** (5.15) 0.2340 35.61 3384 698 -0.0420*** (-3.33) -0.0272** (-2.28) 0.0464** (2.39) 0.1907*** (4.21) 0.0043 (0.29) 0.0640* (1.82) 0.0008 (0.61) -0.8882*** (-15.48) 0.8506*** (5.30) 0.2350 34.53 3384 698 33 Non-Chaebol-Affiliated versus Chaebol-Affiliated Above A: 1 Below BBB: 0 Excluding Below CCC Above AA:1, BBB:0 Excluding Below BB Speculative & NonChaebol-Affiliated: 1 Others: 0 Above A & ChaebolAffiliated Large Firm: 1 Others: 0 0.0512*** (2.89) -0.0330*** (-2.67) 0.0464** (2.37) 0.1837*** (4.02) 0.0025 (0.16) 0.0599* (1.70) 0.0007 (0.52) -0.8593*** (-15.00) 0.8841*** (5.37) 0.2343 35.32 3385 698 0.0773*** (4.11) -0.0442*** (-2.86) -0.1472 (-1.19) 0.2242*** (3.96) 0.0196 (0.64) 0.0872* (1.75) -0.0002 (-0.24) -1.1204*** (-14.47) 1.1047*** (5.05) 0.2727 32.09 2355 397 0.0189 (1.22) -0.0219* (-1.75) 0.0445** (2.30) 0.1971*** (4.28) 0.0030 (0.20) 0.0575 (1.63) 0.0007 (0.51) -0.8871*** (-15.27) 0.7518*** (4.44) 0.2299 33.80 3385 698 0.0364** (2.03) -0.0294** (-2.42) 0.0459** (2.36) 0.1860*** (4.08) 0.0029 (0.19) 0.0607* (1.72) 0.0007 (0.50) -0.8710*** (-15.26) 0.8461*** (5.22) 0.2319 34.77 3385 698 <Table 7> Effects of Possession of Credit Rating on Trade Credit: Base Model of Panel Analysis The sample includes the firms listed in Stock Exchange (KOSPI and KOSDAQ) in Korea over 2000-2012 period. The observations are classified into Full Sample, Large Firm, Small-Medium Firm, and Chaebol-Affiliated Firm. See < Table 1> for the definitions of variables. The dependent variable is AP_DEBT. Fixed effects models are estimated. Figures in in parentheses are t-values. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Panel A: Possession of Credit Rating Indicated by RATING_ALL Dependent Variable Possession of Credit Rating Sample Classification RATING_ALL ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Number of Groups AP_DEBT RATING_ALL Full Sample Large Firm Small-Medium Firm -0.0672*** (-8.53) -0.0290*** (-5.20) 0.0160*** (3.11) 0.2409*** (11.73) 0.0073 (1.25) 0.0380** (2.48) 0.0001 (0.15) -0.9266*** (-35.52) 0.8535*** (12.72) -0.0781*** (-8.16) -0.0295*** (-4.23) 0.0314*** (3.75) 0.2367*** (8.32) 0.0311*** (4.53) 0.0402** (1.97) 0.0023 (1.22) -0.8897*** (-25.55) 0.8806*** (10.12) -0.0385*** (-2.90) -0.0313*** (-3.30) 0.0193*** (3.59) 0.2361*** (7.95) -0.0045 (-1.62) 0.0273 (1.16) -0.0001 (-0.37) -0.9751*** (-25.18) 0.8594*** (7.91) Chaebol-Affiliated Firm -0.1032*** (-4.73) -0.0061 (0.45) -0.0035 (-0.18) 0.1682*** (2.59) 0.0566 (1.13) 0.0127 (0.28) -0.0001 (-0.17) -0.8630*** (-10.10) 0.7104*** (3.71) 0.2885 187.18 18006 2081 0.2705 103.02 10446 1108 0.3187 96.15 7560 973 0.2270 20.87 2165 311 34 Panel B: Possession of Credit Rating Indicated by RATING _CP Dependent Variable Possession of Credit Rating Sample Classification RATING_CP ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Number of Groups AP_DEBT RATING_CP -0.0638*** (-5.53) -0.0335*** (-4.82) 0.0326*** (3.86) 0.2399*** (8.38) 0.0317*** (4.66) 0.0410** (2.01) 0.0023 (1.21) -0.8884*** (-25.37) 0.9168*** (10.52) Small-Medium Firm -0.0432 (-1.24) -0.0324*** (-3.43) 0.0190*** (3.41) 0.2374*** (7.99) -0.0044 (-1.57) 0.0274 (1.17) -0.0001 (-0.36) -0.9753*** (-25.14) 0.8684*** (8.01) Chaebol-Affiliated Firm -0.0909*** (-5.71) -0.0165 (-1.23) -0.0011 (-0.06) 0.1623** (2.55) 0.0574 (1.15) 0.0134 (0.31) 0.0000 (-0.05) -0.8505*** (-9.95) 0.8315*** (4.41) 0.2649 97.78 10446 1108 0.3178 95.57 7560 973 0.2291 22.93 2165 311 Full Sample Large Firm -0.0611*** (-5.54) -0.0319*** (-5.74) 0.0161*** (3.03) 0.2433*** (11.80) 0.0073 (1.26) 0.0384** (2.52) 0.0001 (0.15) -0.9261*** (-35.37) 0.8793*** (13.11) 0.2852 182.59 18006 2081 35 <Table 8> Effects of Possession of Credit Rating on Trade Credit Use: Panel Analysis with Controls for Financial Distress and Financial Crisis The sample includes the firms listed in Stock Exchange in Korea over 2000-2012 period. The dependent variable is AP_DEBT. Fixed effects models are estimated. Additional control variables for longterm financial distress (LEVERAGE_DISTRESS), short-term financial distress (INTEREST_COVERAGE), and economic/financial shock (FINANCIAL_CRISIS) are included in the estimations. See < Table 1> for the definitions of variables. Figures in in parentheses are tvalues. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Dependent Variable Possession of Credit Rating Financial Distress & Crisis RATING_ALL AP_DEBT Possession of at least one of CP Rating, Bond Rating, and ICR: RATING_ALL Interest Financial Leverage Coverage Crisis -0.0701*** -0.0662*** -0.0676*** (-8.98) (-8.42) (-8.60) RATING _CP ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_ GROWTH LOAN_ASSET LEVERAGE_ DISTRESS INTEREST_ COVERAGE FINANCIAL_ CRISIS CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Number of Groups -0.0297*** (-5.32) 0.0189*** (3.28) 0.2478*** (12.07) 0.0082 (1.28) 0.0347*** (2.29) 0.0000 (0.12) -1.0053*** (-37.91) 0.0820*** (10.21) -0.0294*** (-5.29) 0.0136*** (2.95) 0.2255*** (10.96) 0.0066 (1.30) 0.0327** (2.12) 0.0001 (0.20) -0.9078*** (-34.89) -0.0263*** (-4.73) 0.0150*** (3.01) 0.2387*** (11.68) 0.0072 (1.28) 0.0374** (2.44) 0.0001 (0.13) -0.9228*** (-35.36) Possession of CP Rating: RATING _CP Interest Financial Leverage Coverage Crisis -0.0615*** (-5.61) -0.0327*** (-5.89) 0.0188*** (3.19) 0.2501*** (12.13) 0.0083 (1.29) 0.0352** (2.34) 0.0001 (0.12) -1.0028*** (-37.71) 0.0799*** (9.96) -0.0316*** (-6.31) 0.8627 (12.88) 0.2980 184.14 18006 2081 0.8743 (13.03) 0.2913 169.13 18006 2081 -0.0627*** (-5.69) -0.0322*** (-5.82) 0.0135*** (2.87) 0.2271*** (11.00) 0.0066 (1.32) 0.0329** (2.14) 0.0001 (0.21) -0.9064*** (-34.72) -0.0619*** (-5.62) -0.0292*** (-5.27) 0.0151*** (2.94) 0.2412*** (11.75) 0.0072 (1.29) 0.0379** (2.48) 0.0001 (0.14) -0.9223*** (-35.20) -0.0332*** (-6.64) -0.0225*** (-5.46) 0.8271 (12.32) 0.2901 175.34 18006 2081 36 0.8892 (13.29) 0.2942 180.39 18006 2081 0.9009 (13.44) 0.2882 164.49 18006 2081 -0.0224*** (-5.42) 0.8532 (12.72) 0.2868 171.63 18006 2081 <Table 9> Effects of Possession of Credit Rating on Trade Credit Use: Panel Analysis with Controls for Product and Industry Characteristics The sample includes the firms listed in Stock Exchange (KOSPI and KOSDAQ) in Korea over 2000-2012 period. The dependent variable is AP_DEBT. Fixed effects models are estimated. Characteristics of industries where sellers operate are included in the form of dummy variables as additional control variables. Those industries include standardized good, differentiated good service, construction, and retail. See < Table 1> for the definitions of variables. Figures in in parentheses are t-values. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Panel A: Possession of Credit Rating Indicated by RATING_ALL Dependent Variable Possession of Credit Rating Industry Classification RATING_ALL ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET STANDARDIZED_ GOODS AP_DEBT Possession of at least one of CP Rating, Bond Rating, and ICR: RATING_ALL Standardized Good -0.0861*** (-15.60) -0.0145*** (-8.27) 0.0182*** (2.79) 0.2983*** (28.54) 0.0001 (0.01) -0.0175* (-1.70) -0.0002 (-0.55) -1.1087*** (-88.38) -0.0730*** (-18.33) Differentiated Good -0.0760*** (-13.55) -0.0133*** (-7.61) 0.0169*** (2.73) 0.3029*** (29.05) 0.0008 (0.14) 0.0035 (0.34) -0.0003 (-0.95) -1.1353*** (-90.09) Service Construction -0.0835*** (-14.82) -0.0124*** (-7.06) 0.0181*** (2.73) 0.3008*** (28.62) 0.0005 (0.08) 0.0142 (1.40) -0.0004 (-1.16) -1.1216*** (-88.26) -0.0859*** (-15.14) -0.0110*** (-6.27) 0.0183*** (2.77) 0.2873*** (26.55) 0.0009 (0.14) 0.0181* (1.79) -0.0004 (-1.20) -1.1280*** (-89.91) 0.0449*** (12.20) DIFFERENTIATED_ GOODS 0.0199*** (4.25) SERVICE 0.0640*** (6.91) CONSTRUCTION DISTRIBUTION CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Retail Distribution -0.0805*** (-14.41) -0.0121*** (-6.93) 0.0178*** (2.73) 0.3026*** (28.94) 0.0009 (0.14) 0.0169* (1.68) -0.0004 (-1.25) -1.1293*** (-90.04) 0.4343*** (18.70) 0.4481 523.01 18006 0.3980*** (16.98) 0.4428 496.04 18006 0.4188*** (17.96) 0.4390 493.10 18006 37 0.4433*** (18.83) 0.4397 498.70 18006 0.0230*** (2.78) 0.4243*** (18.21) 0.4386 491.93 18006 Panel B: Possession of Credit Rating Indicated by RATING _CP Dependent Variable Possession of Credit Rating Industry Classification RATING_CP ASSET EBIT CA CAPEX FIRM_RISK SALES_GROWTH LOAN_ASSET STANDARDIZED_ GOOD AP_DEBT Possession of CP Rating: RATING_CP Standardized Good -0.0682*** (-9.79) -0.0092*** (-5.28) 0.0197*** (2.89) 0.2996*** (28.54) 0.0005 (0.07) -0.0208** (-2.01) -0.0002 (-0.50) -1.1122*** (-87.98) -0.0731*** (-18.17) Differentiated Good -0.0516*** (-7.35) -0.0077*** (-4.41) 0.0185*** (2.85) 0.3037*** (29.03) 0.0013 (0.20) 0.0002 (0.02) -0.0003 (-0.91) -1.1379*** (-89.60) Service Construction -0.0601*** (-8.47) -0.0066*** (-3.78) 0.0197*** (2.84) 0.3020*** (28.63) 0.0010 (0.14) 0.0116 (1.14) -0.0004 (-1.13) -1.1256*** (-87.94) -0.0665*** (-9.14) -0.0057*** (-3.24) 0.0199*** (2.87) 0.2891*** (26.60) 0.0013 (0.19) 0.0149 (1.47) -0.0004 (-1.16) -1.1315*** (-89.54) 0.0467*** (12.65) DIFFERENTIATED_ GOOD 0.0172*** (3.65) SERVICE 0.0620*** (6.61) CONSTRUCTION DISTRIBUTION CONSTANT R2 F-Statistics Number of Obs Retail Distribution -0.0567*** (-8.11) -0.0063*** (-3.64) 0.0194*** (2.85) 0.3035*** (28.92) 0.0013 (0.19) 0.0140 (1.38) -0.0004 (-1.22) -1.1320*** (-89.57) 0.4821*** (20.67) 0.4437 498.68 18006 0.4495*** (19.06) 0.4388 473.84 18006 0.4726*** (20.17) 0.4344 470.89 18006 38 0.4920*** (20.89) 0.4351 478.09 18006 0.0232*** (2.80) 0.4776*** (20.40) 0.4342 470.25 18006