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CHAPTER 23 Financial Aspects of the Household, Firm, Government, and Rest-of-the-World Sectors Learning Objectives How economic and financial conditions influence household spending, saving, borrowing, and lending What determines the volume of investment spending in the economy How firms finance current production and investment How the government’s spending, taxing, and borrowing affect the financial system and the economy How the spending, saving, borrowing, and lending of the rest -of-the-world sector affect the domestic financial system and the economy Chapter Outline I. II. III. IV. V. VI. To Spend or Not to Spend Household Behavior from a Financial Perspective A. Asset Accumulation: Spending and Saving B. Liability Accumulation: Borrowing How Economic and Financial Conditions Influence Household Accumulation of Assets and Liabilities Financial Aspects of Behavior of Nonfinancial Firms A. The Accumulation of Real Assets by Firms: Capital and Inventories B. The Accumulation of Liabilities by Firms Financial Aspects of Government Behavior A. Financial Effects of Government Borrowing The Rest-of-the-World Sector and Its Effect on the Financial System A. The Effects of International Events on the Interest Rate Answers to Review Questions Do assets equal liabilities for an individual househol d? For the household sector as a whole? For the economy as a whole? Explain. Due to the availability of credit, assets are not always equal to liabilities for an individual household. In the household sector as a whole, assets are not always equal to liabi lities. For the economy as whole, assets are equal to liabilities since for every asset there is a corresponding liability. 131 132 Chapter 23 Both changes in income and changes in the interest rate affect spending. Which has a greater effect? Explain. Interest rates and income changes will affect spending. In general, changes in income have a greater effect on spending than changes in interest rates. Explain the effect that each of the following variables has on household and/or business spending or saving: a. b. c. d. e. f. g. Income Wealth The interest rate Capacity utilization Expectations Monetary policy Tax policy a. The household sector will spend and save more, the higher the income. b. The more wealth, the more spending and saving by the household sector. c. The higher the interest rate, the less spending and more saving by the household sector. Also, the higher the interest rate, the, lower investment expenditure by the business sector. d. If capacity utilization increases, business spending will increase e. A change in expectations can increase or decrease household and business spending and saving depending on the direction of the change f. Depending on the monetary policy, household and business spending and saving can increase or decrease. g. An increase in taxes will reduce household and business spending, and vice versa Define the following terms: depreciation, net investment, investment spending. Depreciation is when an asset's value decreases. Net investment is gross investment minus depreciation. Investment spending consists of new capital spending by business firms, changes in inventories, and spending on newly constructed houses by households. Is money a financial asset? Money is a financial asset. Its uniqueness results from it being the only financial asset tha t is also a medium of exchange. What are some of the factors that determine whether a firm chooses internal or external financing? How is the leverage ratio related to the borrowing constraint? Some of the factors that determine whether a firm chooses internal or external financing are 1) the particular type of expenditures being financed, 2) the current financial environment and expectations about the future environment, 3) a firm's financial structure, and 4) the tax laws. The leverage ratio is the ratio of debt to equity on a firm's balance sheet. The higher the ratio, the more severe the borrowing constraint. Do most college students face a borrowing constraint? Explain. Most college students do face borrowing constraints. Since college students us ually don't make that much money nor do they own real or financial assets, it is hard for them to seem credit Financial Aspects of the Household, Firm, Government, and Rest-of-the-World Sectors 133 worthy. However, they would like to borrow more today in anticipation of high future incomes that their education will insure. My income is going up, but interest rates are also higher. Will I buy a new car? Interest rates play a big part in whether or not someone will purchase a new car. If both interest rates and my income are going up, my decision to buy a new car will be based on how much I need the car. Would a firm ever use short-term debt to finance long-term capital expenditures? (Hint: Consider all possibilities for expected long-term rates.) Under most circumstances, firms prefer to finance long -term capital expenditures with longterm debt. The only exception would be if long term rates were very high and the firm expected the long term rate to fall in the future. The firm may wait to procure the long term financing until the rates fell and rely on short -term financing for the near term. How should the government decide whether to increase or decrease its purchases of goods and services? How does this procedure compare with the political process that is used? The government's decision on whether or not to change government purchases of go ods and services should be based on whether or not the benefits of increasing or decreasing its purchases of goods and services are greater than the costs. Unfortunately, politicians many times base these decisions on political pressure rather than on bene fits and costs. How will a reduction in a government deficit affect aggregate demand? Do changes in transfer payments affect aggregate demand? Reductions (increases) in the government deficit decrease (increase) aggregate demand. Changes in transfer payments do not affect aggregate demand because they are merely transferring purchasing power from one group to another. How can government expenditures be financed? Government expenditures can be financed either by tax increases or by the issuance of government securities (borrowing). Assume a constant supply of loanable funds. When government deficit spending leads to increases in the demand for loanable funds, do interest rates always rise? Explain. (Hint. Consider the role of expectations.) Under normal circumstances, increases in the government deficit, ceteris paribus, push interest rates up by increasing the demand for loanable funds. Decreases in the government deficit or increases in a government surplus push interest rates down by decreasing the deman d for loanable funds. Other factors operating on both the demand and the supply side of the market for loanable funds may affect whether interest rates will indeed rise when the government deficit rises. Expectations about the government deficit affect the interest rate, particularly for long-term bonds, before the deficit changes. In this case, if expectations have already caused interest rates to rise, then interest rates may not rise when the deficit actually goes up. 134 Chapter 23 If the economy is at full employment and the government increases its purchases of goods and services, does this always lead to crowding out? Is crowding out good or bad for the economy? Because the economy is at full employment to begin with, an increase in government purchases of goods and services will always lead to complete crowding out. Crowding out is always bad for the economy. Distinguish between the public debt and a deficit. The government is running a deficit if current government expenditures exceed current tax receipts. The government is running a surplus if current government expenditures are less than current tax receipts. The public debt is the sum of all past government deficits less past surpluses. When the Treasury issues government securities, who buys the securities? Government securities are typically sold to financial intermediaries, market makers, and individuals. In this case, the government has borrowed. The government securities may also be sold to the Fed. In this case, the debt is monetized. Will increased government spending always lead to crowding out if the economy is not at full employment? (Be sure to consider the case when the increased spending involves transfer payments rather than the purchase of goods and services.) If the economy is not at full employment, then increased government spending does not necessarily lead to crowding out if interest rates do not rise because the Fed also increases the money supply. When increased government spending involves transfer payments rather than the purchases of goods and services, there is no crowding out, if an increase in government purchases of goods and services is accompanied by a large enough increase in the money supply to keep interest rates constant. Discuss the following statement: If the Treasury i ncreases its borrowing today, interest rates will always go up. If the Treasury increases its borrowing today, interest rates will not necessarily rise if the Fed also increases the money supply. Briefly discuss the long-term effects of government borrowing and the public debt. The long term effect of government borrowing is a larger public debt. If the debt is owed to ourselves and if the deficit spending was used for productive use, then it may not be burdensome. However, if the borrowing is for frivolo us reasons, or crowds out significant private spending, then the deficit may be burdensome. The debt can become burdensome if a significant portion of the debt is owed to foreigners. What is the relationship between net exports and aggregate demand? Bet ween net exports and capital flows? If net exports increase, ceteris paribus, what happens to real GDP? If the domestic price level increases, ceteris paribus, what happens to net exports? There is a positive relationship between net exports and aggregate demand because net exports are a component of aggregate demand. There is also a positive relationship between net exports and capital flows. If net exports increase, ceteris paribus, real GDP will increase. If the Financial Aspects of the Household, Firm, Government, and Rest-of-the-World Sectors 135 domestic price level increases, ceteris paribus, net exports will decrease because prices in this country would be higher relative to foreign prices When the government balance is in surplus, does the government debt still have to be rolled over? Explain. Even if the government balance is in surplus, the government debt usually still has to be rolled over. The outstanding public debt is much larger th an a one-year surplus and if part of the debt that is maturing in a year is greater than the surplus, then this part of the government debt will still have to be rolled over. Why has the government regularized its borrowing? The government has regularized its borrowing to minimize the disruptions that its financing operations can cause in financial markets. What would happen to U.S. interest rates if, ceteris paribus, foreigners decided to sell some of the U.S. financial assets that they own? Ceteris paribus, if foreigners decided to sell some of the U.S. financial assets that they own, U.S. interest rates would increase. What factors caused the capital inflow into the United States in the late 1990s? How did this inflow affect the supply of loanable funds and the demand for dollars in international financial markets? Capital inflows into the United States during the late 1990s, soared for three reasons. 1) The strong performance of the U.S. economy contributed to investor confidence, 2) Foreign Investors were also propelled by the stellar performance of U.S. stocks, and 3) The global financial crisis made many investors engage in capital flight or the acquisiti on of dollar denominated assets. Answers to Analytical Questions Assume that Rosemarie and Jack have the following assets at the end of the year: House Stocks and bonds Money Furniture Jewelry Savings deposit Car $150,000 10,000 1,500 3,500 2,000 1,000 10,000 What is the total of their real assets? What is the total of their financial assets? What are their total assets? Real assets = $165,500 Financial assets = $12,500 Total assets = $178,000 136 Chapter 23 Assume that at the end of the year Rosemarie and Jack have th e following liabilities: Mortgage loan Credit card debt Car loan $120,000 4,000 6,000 What are their total liabilities? Assuming the assets from question 25 and the above liabilities, what is their net worth? Total liabilities = $130,000 Net worth = $48,000