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I ACLI-Stetson Caribbean Law Program at the Cayman Island Law School THE IMPLICATIONS OF SELECT GLOBAL INITIATIVES ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARl BBEAN Roger M. Groves Associ Professor Florida Coastal School of Law WINTER 2011 / —I Zm -Q m m fl’, . ‘Ii I a -‘‘9 ci. I. I ri. 137 4nn. Hum. Gene!. (2001), 65, 137—151 Printed iv Great Britain MtDNA from extinct Tainos and the peopling of the Caribbean C. LALUEZA-FOX’, F. LUNA CALDERON’, F. CALAFELL’, B MORERA 3 AND J. BERTRANPETIT’ Secció Ant ropologia, Dept. Bioiogia Animal. Facuitat de Biologia, Universitat de Barcelona.. Barcelona. Spain ‘Depa4ta.mento de Antropoiogia Fi’sica, Museo del Hombre Dominicano, Santo Domingo, Replblica Doininicana; Universidad T\Ta,cjo?jai Pedro Henriguez Ureña, Repüblica Dominica.na Unita,t de Biologia. E’voiutiva, Faculta.t de Ciències de la Saint i de la Vida, Universita.t Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain (Received 10.7.00. Accepted 30.11.00) SUMMARY Tainos and Caribs were the inhabitants of the Caribbean when Columbus reached the Americas; both human groups became extinct soon after contact, decimated by the Spaniards and the diseases they brought. Samples belonging to pre-Columbiari Taino Indians from the La Caleta site (Dominican Republic) have been analyzed, in order to ascertain the genetic affinities of these groups in relation to present-day Amerinds, and to reconstruct, the genetic and demographic events that took place during the peopling of the Caribbean. Twenty-seven bone samples were extracted and analyzed for mtDNA variation. The four major Amerindian mtDNA lineages were screened through amplification of the specific marker regions and restriction enzymatic digestion, when needed. The HVRI of the control region was amplified with four sets of overlapping primers and sequenced in 19 of the samples. Both restriction enzyme and sequencing results suggest that only two (C and D) of the major mtDNA lineages were present in the sample: 18 individuals (75 %) belonged to the C haplogroup, and 6 (25%) to the D haplogroup. Sequences display specific substitutions that are known to correlate with each haplogroup, a fact that helped to reject the possibility of European DNA contamination. A low rate of Taq inisincorporations due to template damage was estimated from the cloning and sequencing of different PCR products of one of the samples. High frequencies of C and D haplogroups are more common in South American populations, a fact that points to that sub-continent as the homeland of the Taino ancestors, as previously suggested by linguistic and archaeological evidence. Sequence and haplogroup data show that the Tainos had a substantially reduced mt.DNA diversity, which is indicative of an important founder effect during the colonization of the Caribbean Islands, assumed to have been a linear migratory movement from mainland South America following the chain configuration of the Antilles. INTRODUCTION When Christopher Colombus reached two of the Greater Antilles (Bahamas and Hispaniola) Correspondence: Jaume Bertranpetit Unitat de Biologia Evolutiva, Facu]tat de Ciencies de Ia Sa]ut i de Ia Vida, Universitat Poinpeu Fabra, C. Dr. Aiguader 80, 08003 Barcelona, Spain. Tel: (+3493) 542 28 40: Fax (+3493) 542 28 02. E-mail: jaume. bertranpetit@cexs. upf. es during his first discovery voyage, in 1492, he was greeted by indigenous people who called themselves Tairios. At that time, Columbus was convinced of having arrived in either Japan or China; later he changed his mind, and, believing he had reached India, called the abor igines ‘Indians’, a misleading name for the Native Americans that has remained in use to this day. Thus, the wrong and biased perceptions 138 C. LALuEzA-Fox AND OTHERS of Westerners about Caribbean aborigines date back to the very first moment both cultures collided. However, we don’t really know what the Tainos thought about the Spaniards, since they were extinguished iii just one or two generations after this first contact, decimated by the harsh treatment of the Spaniards and the diseases they brought with them. It is difficult to know how many people were killed during this process of extinction; according to different authors they could have numbered between 2 and 7 million throughout the Caribbean (Tjbelaker, 1992; Crawford. 1992). At the be ginning of the 16th century, to replace the decreasing Tainos as agricultural and mining labour, the Spaniards brought African slaves (Kiple, 1984), who came to constitute the major present-day human substratum in the Caribbean. Despite claims of Taino heritage survival in some rural communities in the east of Cuba, it must be concluded that, after 500 years of cultural and genetic disruption, the original Caribbean people have disappeared forever as a distinct human group. The study of the so-called Black Caribs from Belize (Monsalve & Hagelberg, 1997), a population which is presumed to derive from the admixture of Island Caribs with West African slaves, illustrates the limitations of working with the highly admixtured modern Caribbean popu lations, since at least 16 of the 17 sequences found were clearly of African origin. Therefore, we need to rely on ancient DNA analysis if we want to know the genetic affinities of these groups in relation to the other peoples of the Americas. By the time of Columbus, and according to the Spanish chroniclers, there were two main human groups in the Caribbean, the Tainos, and the Caribs (whose name is the source of the region’s name). The Tainos inhabited Ia Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the east of Cuba, and probably Jamaica, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands, while the Caribs inhabited the Wind ward Islands and Guadeloupe (Rouse, 1986, 1993). The latter group sometimes called Island Caribs was culturally related to some mainland American groups (called Mainland Caribs), that — — were established mainly in Venezuela. The Tainos consisted of hierarchical societies organized into chiefdoms; they had advanced agricultural techniques that allowed them to establish some settlements of thousands of inhabitants, with ceremonial squares and ball game courts. In contrast, the Caribs were ferocious nomadic. hunters that raided the Taino villages, expanding from the South through the Lesser Antilles. In addition to Tainos and Caribs, there were other groups at Columbus’ times: the so-called Arawaks, inhabitants of Trinidad and the Guianas, and the Guanajuatabeys, inhabi tants of West Cuba. The names of the Caribbean groups and the languages they spoke are a source of debate among scholars; it seems that both Tainos and Island Caribs spoke Arawakan languages that belong to the Equatorial sub-family, in the Equatorial-Tucanoan family (Ruhlen, 1991). In contrast, the Mainland Caribs spoke Caribbean languages, which are classified into the Macro Carib subfamily, within the Ge-Pano-Carib fain ily (Greenberg, 1987; Ruhlen, 1991). The exist ence of some words with clear Caribbean origin in the language of the Island Caribs poinìts to a close relationship with the Mainland Caribs. The original homeland of the Taino groups in main land South America is more controversial. Archaeological evidence shows that the Caribbean area was already settled by 5000 B.C.; however, it has been suggested that the direct ancestors of the Tainos might have come from populations that migrated from the Lower Orinoco Valley, the Guianas or Trinidad and Tobago, around 1000 B.C. Thereafter, they undertook a long series of voyages, from one island to another, progressing from the mainland to the Lesser Antilles and from there to the Greater Antilles, eventually mixing with or pushing west the pre-existing populations, like the Guanajuatabeys. The islands are so close to one another that, with three exceptions, it is possible to see the next island in the migratory chain. If this hypothesis is correct. the peopling of the Caribbean had to take place as a linear migratory movement from South East to North mtDI’L4 from extinct Caribbean Indians West, following the chain configuration of the Antilles Islands. Therefore, whether or not the Caribbean was peopled from South-America is a hypothesis that can be reliably explored with ancient DNA analysis. The vast majority of ancient DNA studies have been based on the analysis of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA). This cytoplasmic genorne has a better chance of recovery, since a cell with a single copy of the nuclear genome can contain several thousand copies of the mtDNA genolne. MtDNA has been widely used as a molecular tool for reconstructing the history of present-day human populations, by virtue of its special evolutionary properties, such as a rapid mutation rate relative to nuclear DNA, lack of recombination and maternal inheritance (Avise, 1986; Stoneking, 1993). In the Americas, many studies have shown that most of the mtDNA of Amerindian PoPu lations falls into four major lineages (named ‘A’, ‘B’, ‘C’, ‘D’), primarily defined by specific rntDNA markers (Schurr et al. 1990; Torroni et at. 1992; 1993b, 1994; Horai et at. 1993). Haplogroup A is defined by an HaeIII site at np COII/tRNA’’ iiyler 663, haplogroup B by a 5 genic 9bp deletion, haplogroup C by an AiuI site at np 13262 and haplogroup D by the absence of the AluI site at np 5176. Sequence data show a correlation between these lineages and particular imitations in the Control Region I of the mtDNA genome (Torroni et at. 1993o). An additional residual fifth founding haplogroup, named ‘X’, has been recently described (Bandelt et at. 1995). This lineage, ancestrally related to the lineage X found in some European populations, is charac terized, at its basal level, by some RFLP and control region markers, such as 1715 DdeI, + 16517 FIaeIII, and the 16223T-16278T substi tutions; in the Americas. it has only been found in populations from North America. Greenberg et at. (1986) postulated that three different migrations (Amerind, Na-Dene and Eskimo-Aleut speakers) from Asia across the Bering Straits peopled the Americas. However, the first sequence data (Ward et at. 1991) showed a rather high rntDNA diversity in one single — 139 tribe, suggesting a much more complex scenario than that expected from the three-migration model. Subsequent genetic studies (Horai et al. 1993; Torroni et at. 1993a, 1993b) demonstrated that the Native American rntDNAs clustered in few, but relatively deep, lineages that were widespread along the continent and not re stricted to any particular ethnic group or linguistic family. The ubiquity of the Native American mtDNAs in Asia suggested that a single initial migration into America, instead of successive migration waves, was a more plausible scenario (Merriwether et at. 1995; Merriwether & Ferrell, 1996). From that common rnitochondrial founding pooi, different demographic events would have produced the differences observed among present-day Native American popu lations, thus complicating the interpretation of both genetic and ethnohistorical data (Forster et at. 1996). The purpose of this study is to recover mtDNA from pre-Columbian Taino remains from Hispaniola (Dominican Republic) to ascertain the genetic affinities of these groups in relation to present-day mainland Amerinds and to recon struct the irocess of peopling of the Caribbean Islands, along with the possible existence of demographic events during that process, such as genetic drift or bottlenecks. The future aim of this project is to analyse the genetic composition of the pre-Columbian remains from other Caribbean Islands. to provide a clear picture of the whole migration process; if successful, this can constitute a case study on ancient human migrations similar to that of Polynesia, although on a smaller scale. MATERIALS AN]) METHODS DNA extraction and amplificat ion Twenty-seven bone samples from the pre Columbian site of La Caleta (Repibliea Dorninicana) were analyzed. The site is located 25 km east of Santo Domingo city, and is one of the most important Taino necropolises in the island; the bodies are buried with Boca Chica style ceramics, ornaments and tools (unpublished The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Last Edit: February 29, 2008, 08:39:44 pm by Bianca Page 22 of 25 Report Spam ‘. Logged Your mind understands what you have been taught; your heart what is true. Bianca Ser,1çmber Re: The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct e Reply #12 on: February 29, 2008, 08:44:51 pm e Posts: 41646 http://www. hartford-hwp.com/a rchives/41/O 13 html A Note on Tainos: Whither Progress? By José Barreiro, from Northeast Indian Quarterly, pp. 66-77 Fall, 1990 Author’s note: An appreciation is due John Mohawk, who contributed to an early version of this article. References in the body of the text refer to the Select Bibliography which follows this article. All illustrations except the photograph on page 76 are taken from Onello Jorge Cardoso, Los Indocubanos. Havana: Gente Nueva, 1982. Christopher Columbus, whose name literally means “Christ-bearing colonizer,” wrote in his diary shortly after the landfall that he and his sailors saw “naked men” (there were also women), whom they found “very healthy-looking.” Landing at Guanahani, in the Bahamas, and sailing on to Cuba and Bohio (Haiti/Santo Domingo), renamed Espafiola, Columbus soon noted a widespread language and system of beliefs and lifeways. Conferring with various caciques (chiefs), he heard them call themselves “Taino.” (Tyler 1988) Taino culture was dominant throughout the Caribbean, a sea and island world that was in turn cradle of Taino civilization. In agriculture, seafaring and cosmology, Ciboney and Guanahatabey (western Cuba), Macorix and/or Ciguayo (Bohio) and even Carib (Lesser Antilles) all followed the material and much of the psycho-spiritual framework of the Taino. The original Caribbeans spoke Arawak. The people of the Arawak language family still comprise one of the more widespread American Indigenous cultures, with relatively large kinship nations in the Amazon and Orinoco river basins of South America. Throughout the Caribbean, usually in remote mountain ranges and coastal promontories, remnant groups and communities of Taino-Arawak and Carib descendants survive to the present. Aspects of the animistic and material culture of the Taino-Arawak have been adopted by the mestizo populations of the Caribbean and are interwoven into the Euro-African fabric of the islands’ folk universe. The word Taino meant “men of the good,” and from most indications the Tainos were good. Coupled to the lush and hospitable islands over millennium, and a half, the indigenous people of “La Taina” developed a culture where the human personality was gentle. Among the Taino at the time of contact, by all accounts, generosity and kindness were dominant values. Among the Taino peoples, as with most indigenous lifeways, the physical culture was geared toward a sustainable interaction with the natural surroundings. The Taino’s culture has been designated as “primitive” by western scholarship, yet it prescribed a lifeway that strove to feed all the people, and a spirituality that respected, in ceremony most of their main animal and food sources, as well as the natural forces like climate, season and weather. The Taino lived respectfully in a bountiful place and so their nature was bountiful. (Jane 1930) Last Edit: March 01, 2008, 06:08:26 am by Bianca e http://atlantisonline.smfforfree2.comlindex.php?topic7559.0 Report Spam Logged 11/11/2010 The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Page 23 of 25 Your mind understands what you have been taught; your heart what Is true. Re: The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Bianca Superhero Member Reply #13 on: March 01, 2003, 06:09:40 am rr.cJ’4’. posts: 41646 The naked people Columbus first sighted lived in an island world of rainforests and tropical weather, and adventure and fishing legends at sea. Theirs was a land of generous abundance by global terms. They could build a dwelling from a single tree (the Royal Palm) and from several others (gommier, ceiba), a canoe that could carry more than one hundred people. The houses (bohios) were (and are today among Dominican and Cuban Cuajiros) made of palm tree, trunk and thatch lashed together in a rectangle or sometimes a circle pattern. The islands still have millions of royal and other useful palm trees, from which bohios by the hundreds of thousands could be built. The wood of the Royal Palm is still today considered the most resistant to tropical rot, lasting untreated as long as ninety years. 1 The Tainos lived in the shadows of a diverse forest so biologically remarkable as to be almost unimaginable to us, and, indeed, the biological transformation of their world was so complete in the intervening centuries that we may never again know how the land or the life of the land appeared in detail. What we do know is that their world would appear to us, as it did to the Spanish of the fifteenth century, as a tropical paradise. It was not heaven on earth, but it was one of those places that was reasonably close. The Taino world, for the most part, had some of the appearance that modern imaginations ascribe to the South Pacific islands. The people lived in small, clean villages of neatly appointed thatch dwellings along rivers inland and on the coasts. They were a handsome people who had no need of clothing for warmth. They liked to bathe often, which prompted a Spanish royal law forbidding the practice; “for we are informed it does them much harm,” wrote Queen Isabella. Their general physical appearance was consistent with the appearance of other Indians of the Americas. They were rarely taller than five feet six inches which would make them rather small to modern North American eyes. They painted their bodies with earth dyes and adorned themselves with shells and metals. Men and women chiefs often wore gold in the ears and nose, or as pendants-around the neck. Some had tattoos. Report Spam Logged Your mind understands what you have been taught; your heart what is true. Re: The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Bianca SuperheroMen-iber ‘4 a Reply #14 on: March 01, 2008, 06:11:13 am a Posts: 41646 http://atlantisonline. smfforfree2.comlindex.php?topic7559.O 11 / 11/2010 The Taino People of the Caribbean Are NOT Extinct Page 24 of 25 I From all early descriptions the Tainos were a healthy people who showed no signs of distress from hunger or want. The Tainos, whose color was olive-brown to copper, reminded Columbus of the people of the Canary Islands, who were neither white nor black. He noted their thick, black hair, short in front and long in back, and that it fell over muscular shoulders. On some islands, the wom wore short cotton skirts after taking a permanent man but in others all the people went naked. In parts of Cuba and Santo Domingo, some of the caciques, village or clan and nation chiefs, wore a type of tunic on ceremonial occasions, but they saw no apparent need to cover their breasts or genitals and they were totally natural about it, The Taino had plenty of cotton, which they wove ml mats, hammocks and small sails and numerous ‘bejucos or fiber ropes. (Tyler 1988) The Taino islands provided a vast array of edible fruits. The Arawaks made specific use of many types of trees and plants from an estimated floral and faunal range of 5,800 species. The jagua trt they used for dyeing cotton, the jocuma and the guama for making rope, the jucaro for underwate construction, the royal palm for buildings and specific other trees for boats, spears, digging tools, chairs, bowls, baskets and other woven mats (in this art they flourished), cotton cloth (for hammocks), large fishing nets and good hooks made of large fish bones. Inspecting deserted seashore camps, Spanish sailors found what they judged to be excellent nets and small fishing canoes stored in water-tight sheds. Further upriver in the villages, they saw large fields of corn, yucca, beans and fruit orchards covering whole valleys. They walked through the squares of villag all recently swept clean, where they saw many kinds of drying tubers, grains and herbs, and sunlight-tight storage sheds with shelves packed with thousands of dried cassava (casahe or cazat torts. In one village, sailors found large cakes of fine wax, a local product. (Rivero 1966) The Taino were a sea-going people and took pride in their courage on the high ocean as well as thi skill in finding their way around their world. They visited one another constantly. Columbus was often astonished at finding lone Indian fishermen sailing in the open ocean as he made his way among the islands. Once, a canoe of Taino men followed him from island to island until one of thel Report Spurn Logged Your mind understands what you have been taught; your heart what is true. Sweeten your business cards Personalized MY M&M S Candie t4 Aø Pages: [1] 2 3 4 Go Up PRINT << Jump to: => previous next the Bahamas, Bermuda, Cuba & the West Indies http://atlantisonline.smfforfree2.comlindex.php?topic7559.0 11 / 11/2010 Page 4 of 7 kwabs.corn,caribbean history, tainos, caribs gained his freedom and the right to live with his followers in the Bahoruco mountains which are now part of the South East Department of Haiti. The name of the town associated with this piece of Tainos history is Anse a Pitres. It is near Jacmel. In Cuba, some groups of people of Taino descent.have been identified through antropologic ;—$- F-:c1 research. . However, those pockets of survivors do not make the broader picture of the near extinction obsolete because one cannot negate the fact that there was a very rapid decline of the Arawak population of the West Indies. It fell from a probable 2 to 3 million to a few thousands by the early 16th century. By the end of that century, island Arawak were in fact nearly extinct. The main element governing this catastrophic mortality rate was the arrival of Columbus and the Spaniards. For the Arawak/Tainos, the Spanish conquest was an ecological, political and sociological disaster. Aside of the pressure exerted on them by the destruction of social structures, the disruption of their food supply, slavery, Spanish brutality and massacres that followed each revolt, the Arawaks had to face the European diseases for whom they were not immunologically prepared. The Arawaks were part of the global native American population and as every native American they had no previous contact with the pathogens that came from Europe with the Spanish. They lost the biological and political war against the European. By comparison, the Blacks slaves that came from the west coast of Africa have been in contact with most of the European disease and even came with new one, such as yellow fever, that killed lots of European in the Caribbean. Before the Spanish conquest, the large-island ecosystems, offering bountiful harvests and abundant fish, combined with the compact and stable island populations, permitted the development of an elaborate political and social structure. A class of hereditary chiefs ruled three other classes, the lowest of which was composed of slaves. Conflict between classes was apparently minimal. In this matrilineal society, rulers were succeeded by their eldest sister’s eldest son. Religion offered a hierarchy of deities parallel to the social structure. The Arawak tribes of South America were able to survive the European contact a little more than their Caribbean brother because their groups were smaller and more scattered. Their social structure was also matrilineal but much less complex. Mainland Arawak traded with the Dutch and English. In the 17th and 18th centuries they made a transition to plantation agriculture. Arawakan-speaking groups are widespread in lots of parts of South America. back to Tainos/Caribs directory back to Caribbean directory THE CARIBS httw //wwwkwahs.com/tainos caribs.html 11/11/2010 /, kwabs.com,caribbean history, tainos, caribs Page5of7 Caribs Indian still living in the Caribbean KARIBS I CARIBS or KARIBE tribe of Native American of the Caribbean linguistic stock, occupying various regions of South and Central America. The Caribs, who probably originated in the valley of the Orinoco River, were noted for their ferocity. .During the late 15th century the Karibs inhabited most of the islands of the Lesser Antilles and the coast of what is now Venezuela, territories from which they had expelled the Arawak Indians. From Caniba or Canima to Caribs, Cannibal, Caribbean. Columbus talked about the Caribs in his log of Sunday, November 4, 1492. On that day, the log says, he showed some gold and pearl to the Indians. He was told that an infinite amount of gold could be found by going to the southeast in a place called Bohio. The first mention, all be it vague, about the Caribs came immediately after in the next sentence of the log which says the following: “I also understand that, a long distance from here, there are men with one eye and others with dogs’ snouts who eat men. On taking a man they beheaded him, drink his blood and cut off his genitals.” The next reference about the Caribs is a little more specific. It is part of the log book entry of Tuesday, December 111492, which speaks about a continental land behind La Espagnola where the people of Caniba lived. The entry in the log is the following: “They (the Tainos of Hispagnola/kyskeya, Bohio, Haiti) indicate that there is a continental land behind La Isla Espagnola, which they called Caritaba. They say that it is of infinite extent, which supports my belief that these lands may be harassed by a more astute people, because the inhabitants of these lands live in great fear of the people of Caniba. So I repeat what I have said before, the Caniba are none other than the people of the Great Khan, who must be very near here. They have ships that come to these lands to capture these people and take them away. Since the people never return, it is believed that they have been eaten.” The name Caritaba which Colombus referred to as the land of the Caniba was in fact the land surrounding Cap Haitien in Haiti. The chain of islands forming the lesser Antilles where the Caribs lived starts beyond La Espagnola and the the island of Boriken (Puerto-Rico). The mistakes of Columbus about the Caribs people were due to the erroneus context governing his interpretation of the facts. He thought he http ://www.kwabs.comltainos caribs .html 11/11/2010 CHAPTER 4 FARMER POWER 1956 IN MON tana, working for an elderly farmernamed Fred Hirschy. Born in Switzerland, Fred had come to southwestern Montana as a teenager in the 1 890s and proceeded to develop one of the first farms in the area. At the time of his arrival, much of the original Native American population of A TEENAGER, I SPENT THE SUMMER OF hunter-gatherers was still living there. My fellow farmhands were, for the most paErt, tough whites whose nor mal speech featured strings of curses, and who spent their weekdays work ing so that they could devote their weekends to squandering- their week’s Wages in the local saloon. Among the farmhands, though, was a member of the Blackfoot Indian tribe named Levi, who behaved very differently from the coarse miners—being polite, gentle, responsible, sober, and well spoken. He was the first Indian with whom I had spent much time, and I came to admire him. It was therefore a shocking disappointment to me when, one Sunday morning, Levi too staggered in drunk and cursing after a Saturday-night binge. Among his curses, one has stood out in my memory: “Damn you, Fred Hirschy, and damn the ship that brought you from Switzerland!” It Poignantly brought home to me the Indians’ perspective on what I, like other white schoolchildren, had been taught to view as the heroic conquest 8c ‘3 8 6 • GUNS, GERMS, AND STEEL - of the American West. Fred Hirschy’s family was proud of him, as a pio neer farmer who had succeeded under difficult conditions. But Levi’s tribe of hunters and famous warriors had been robbed of its lands by the irnrnj grant white farmers. How did the farmers win our over the famous war riors? For most of the time since the ancestors of modern humans diverged from the ancestors of the living great apes, around 7 million years ago, all humans on Earth fed themselves exclusively by hunting wild animals and gathering wild plants, as the Biackfeet still did in the 19th century. It was only within the last 11,000 years that some peoples turned to what is termed food production; that is, domesticating wild animals and plants and eating the rçsulting livestock and crops. Today, most people on Earth consume food that they produced themselves or that someone else pro duced for them. At current rates of change, within the next decade the few remaining bands of hunter-gatherers will abandon their ways, disintegrate, or die out, thereby ending our millions of years of corrirnitment to the hunter-gatherer lifestyle. Different peoples acquired food production at different times in prebis tory. Some, such as Aboriginal Australians, never acquired it at all. Of those who did, some (for example, he ancient Chinese) developed it inde pendently by themselves, while others (including ancient Egyptians) acquired it from neighbors. But, as we’ll see, food production was indi rectly a prerequisite for the development of guns, germs, and steel. Hence geographic variation in whether, or when, the peoples of different conti nents became farmers and herders explains to a large extent their subse quent contrasting fates. Before we devote the next six chapters to understanding how geographic differences in food production arose, this chapter will trace the main connections through which food production led to all the advantages that enabled Pizarro to capture Atahuallpa, and Fred Hirschy’s people to dispossess Levi’s (Figure 4.1). The first connection s the most direct one: availability of more consum- - Figure 4.1. Schematic overview of the chains of causation leading up to proximate factors (such as guns, horses, and diseases) enabling some peo: pies to conquer other peoples, from ultimate factors (such as the orienta tion of continental axes). For example, diverse epidemic diseases of humans evolved in areas with many wild plant and animal species suit able for domestication, partly because the resulting crops and livestock 1+ FARMER POWER ‘ 8 7 Factors Underlying the Broadest Pattern of History Hasest FACTORS + as J ease of species spreading / many domesticated plant and animal species + food surpluses, food storage + large, dense, sedentary, stratified societies I I I I 1.11.1 PRo)aJTE FACTORS horses technology guns, steel swords oceangoing ships political organization, writing epidemic diseases helped feed dense societies in which epidemic could maintain them selves, and partly because the diseases evolved from germs of the domes tic anjmils themselves. 15 8 8 GUNS, GERMS, AND STEEL able calories mans more people. Among wild plant and animal species only a small minority are edible to humans or worth hunting or gathering. Most species are useless to us as food, for one or more of the following reasons: they are indigestible (like bark), poisonous (monarch butterflies and death-cap mushrooms), low in nutritional value (jellyfish), tedious to prepare (very small nuts), difficult to gather (larvae of most insects), or dangerous to hurtt (rhinoceroses). Most biomass (living biological matter) on land is in the form of wood and leaves, most of which we cannot digest. By selecting and growing those few species of plants and animals that we can eat, so that they c9nstitute 90 percent rather than 0.1 percent of the biomass on an acre of land, we obtain far more edible calories per acre. As a result, one acre can feed many. more herders and farmers— typically, 10 to 100 times more—than hunter-gatherers. That strength of brute numbers was the first of many military advantages that food-produc ing tribes gained over hunter-gatherer tribes. In human societies possessing domestic animals, livestock fed more peo ple in four distinct ways: by furnishing meat, milk, and fertilizer and by puffing plows. First and most directly, domestic animals became the socie ties’ major source of animal protein, replacing- wild game. Today, for instance, Americans tendLto get most of their animal protein from cows, pigs, sheep, and chickens, with game such as venison just a rare delicacy. In addition, some big domestic mammals served as sources of milk and of milk products such as butter, cheese, and yogurt. Milked mammals include the cow, sheep; goat, horse, reindeer, water buffalo, yak, and Arabian and Bactrian camels. Those mammals thereby yield several times more calories over their lifetime than if they were just slaughtered and consumed as meat. Big domestic mammals also interacted with domestic plants in two ways to increase crop production. First, as any modern gardener or farmer still knows by experience, crop yields can be greatly increased by manure applied as fertilizer. Even with the modem availability of synthetic fertiliz ers produced by chemical factories, the major source of crop fertilizer today in most societies is still animal manure—especially of cows, but also of yaks and sheep. Manure has been valuable, too, as a source of fuel for fires in traditional societies. In addition, the largest domestic mammals interacted with domestic plants to increase food production by pulling plows and thereby making it possible for people to till land that had previously been uneconomical for farming. Those plow animals were the cow, horse, water buffalo, Bali HOW AFRICA BECAME BLACK 3 9 7 southern African areas unsuitable for Bantu agriculture. The southernmost Bantu people, the Xhosa, stopped at the Fish River on South Africa’s south coast, 500 miles east of Cape Town. It’s not that the Cape of Good Hope itself is too dry for agriculture: it is, after all, the breadbasket of modern South Africa. Instead, the Cape has a Mediterranean climate of winter rains, in which the Bantu summer-rain crops do not grow. By 1652, the year the Dutch arrived at Cape Town with their winter-rain crops of Near Eastern origin, the Xhosa had still not spread beyond the Fish River. That seeming detail of plant geography had enormous implications for politics today. One consequence was that, once South African whites had quickly killed or infected or driven off the Cape’s Khoisan population, whites could claim correctly that they had occupied the Cape before the Bantu and thus had prior rights to it. That claim needn’t betaken seriously, since the prior rights of the Cape Khoisan didn’t inhibit whites from dis possessing them. The much heavier consequence was that the Dutch set tlers in 1652 had to contend only with a sparse population of IChoisan herders, not with a dense population of steel-equipped Banns farmers. When whites finally spread east to encounter the Xhosa at the Fish River in 1702, a period of desperate fighting began. Even though Europeans by then could supply troops from their secure base at the Cape, it took nine wars and 175 years for their armies, advancing at an average rate of less than one mile per year, to subdue the Xhosa. How could whites have suc ceeded in establishing themselves at the Cape at all, if those first few arriv ing Dutch ships had faced such fierce resistance? Thus, the problems of modern South Africa stem at least in part from a geographic accident. The homeland of the Cape Khoisan happened to con tain few wild plants suitable for domestication; the Bantu happened to inherit summer-rain crops from their ancestors of 5,000 years ago; and Europeans happened to inherit winter-rain crops from their ancestors of nearly 10,000 years ago. Just as the sign “Goering Street” in the capital of newly independent Namibia reminded me, Africa’s past has stamped itself deeply on Africa’s present. TN AT’S HOW THE Bantu were able to engulf the Khoisan, instead of vice Versa. Now let’s turn to the remaining question in our puzzle of African Prehistory: why Europeans were the ones to colonize sub-Saharan Africa. That it was not the other way around is especially surprising, because 8 • GUNS, GERMS, AND STEFL Africa was the sole cradle of human evolution for millions of years, as well as perhaps the homeland of anatomically modern I-fomo sapie,js. To these advantages of Africa’s enormous head start were added those of highly diverse climates and habitats and of the world’s highest human diversity An extraterrestrial visiting Earth 10,000 years ago might have been for given for predicting that Europe would end up as a set of vassal states of a sub-Saharan African empire. The proximate reasons behind the outcome of Africa’s collision with Europe are clear. Just as in their encounter with Native Americans, Euro peans entering Africa enjoyed the triple advantage of guns and other tech nology, widespread literacy, and the political organization necessary to sustain expensive programs of exploration and conquest. Those advan tages manifested themselves almost as soon as the collisions started: barely four years after Vasco da Gama first reached the East African coast, in 1498, he returned with a fleet bristling with cannons to compel the surren der of East Africa’s most important port, Kilwa, which controlled the Zirn babwe gold trade. But why did Europeans develop those three advantages before sub-Saharan Africans could? As we have discussed, all three arose historically from the development of food production. But food production was delayed in sub-Saharan Africa (compared with Eurasia) by Africa’s paucity of domesticable native animal and plant species, its much smaller area suitable for indigenous food production, and its north—south axis, which retarded the spread of food production and inventions. Let’s examine how those factors oper ated. First, as regards domestic animals, we’ve already seen that those of sub Saharan Africa came from Eurasia, with the possible exception of a few from North Africa. As a result, domestic animals did not reach sub Saharan Africa until thousands of years after they began to be utilized by emerging Eurasian civilizations. That’s initially surprising, because we think of Africa as the continent of big wild mammals. But we saw in Chap ter 9 that a wild animal, to be domesticated, must be sufficiently docile, submissive to humans, cheap to feed, and immune to diseases and must grow rapidly and breed well in captivity. Eurasia’s native cows, sheep, goats, horses, and pigs were among the world’s few large wild animal spe cies to pass all those tests. Their African equivalents—such as the African buffalo, zebra, bush pig, rhino, and hippopotamus—bave never been domesticated, not even in modern times. HOW AFRICA BECAME BLACK • 3 9 9 k’s true, of course, that some large African animals have occasionally been tamed. Hannibal enlisted tamed African elephants in his unsuccessful war against Rome, and ancient Egyptians may have tamed giraffes and other species. But none of those tamed animals was actually domesti cated—that is, selectively bred in captivity and genetically modified so as to become more useful to humans. Had Africa’s rhinos and hippos been domesticated and ridden, they would not only have fed armies but also have provided an unstoppable cavalry to cur through the ranks of Euro pean horsemen. Rhino-mounted Bantu shock troops could have over thrown the Roman Empire. It never happened. A second factor is a corresponding, though less extreme, disparity between sub-Saharan Africa and Eurasia in dotnesticable plants. The Sahel, Ethiopia, and West Africa did yield indigenous crops, but many fewer varieties than grew in Eurasia. Because of the limited variety of wild starting material suitable for plant domestication, even Africa’s earliest agriculture may have begun several thousand years later than that of the Fertile Crescent. Thus, as far as plant and animal domestication was concerned, the head start and high diversity lay with Eurasia, not with Africa. A third factor is that Africa’s area is only about half that of Eurasia. Furthermore, only about one-third of its area falls within the sub-Sabaran zone north of the equator that was occupied by farmers and herders before 1000 B.C. Today, the total population of Africa is less than 700 million, compared with 4 billion for Eurasia. But, all other things being equal, more land and more people mean more competing societies and inventions, hence a faster pace of development. The remaining factor behind Africa’s slower rate of post-Pleistocene development compared with Eurasia’s is the different orientation of the main axes of these continents. Like that of the Americas, Africa’s major axis is north—south, whereas Eurasia’s is east—west (Figure 10.1). As one moves along a north—south axis, one traverses zones differing greatly in climate, habitat, rainfall, day length, and diseases of crops and livestock. Hence crops and animals domesticated or acquired in one part of Africa had great difficulty in moving to other parts. in contrast, crops and ani mals moved easily between Eurasian societies thousands of miles apart but at the same latitude and sharing similar climates and day lengths. The slow passage or complete halt of crops and livestock along Africa’s north—south axis had important consequences. For example, the Mediter 1j 4 0 0 ‘ GUNS, GERMS, AND STEEL ranean crops that became Egypt’s staples require winter rains and seasonal variation in day length for their germination. Those crops were unable to spread south of the Sudan, beyond which they encountered summer rains and little or no seasonal variation in daylight. Egypt’s wheat and barley never reached the Mediterranean climate at the Cape of Good Hope until European colonists brought them in 1652, and the Khoisan never devel oped agriculture. Similarly, the Sahel crops adapted to summer rain and to little or no seasonal variation in day length were brought by the Bantu into southern Africa but could not grow at the Cape itself, thereby halting the advance of Bantu agriculture. Bananas and other tropical Asian crops for which Africa’s climate is eminently suitable, and which today are among the most productive staples of tropical African agriculture, were unable to reach Africa by land routes. They apparently did not arrive until the first millennium A.D., long after their domestication in Asia, because they had to wait for large-scale boat traffic across the Indian Ocean. Africa’s north—south axis also seriously impeded the spread of livestock. Equatorial Africa’s tsetse flies, carrying trypanosomes to which native Afri can wild mammals are resistant, proved devastating to intoduced Eur asian and North African species of livestock. The cows that the Bantu acquired from the tsetse-free Sahel zone failed to survive the Bantu expan sion through the equatorial forest. Although horses had already reached Egypt around 1800 B.c. and transformed North African warfare soon thereafter, they did not cross the Sahara to drive the rise of cavalrymounted West African kingdoms until the first millennium A.D., and they never spread south through the tsetse fly zone. While cattle, sheep, and goats had already reached the northern edge of the Serengeti in the third millennium B.C., it took more than 2,000 years beyond that for livestock to cross the Serengeti and reach southern Africa. Similarly slow in spreading down Africa’s north—south axis was human technology. Pottery, recorded in the Sudan and Sahara around 8000 n.c., did not reach the Cape until around A.D. 1. Although writing developed in Egypt by 3000 B.C. and spread in an alphabetized form to the Nubian kingdom of Meroe, and although alphabetic writing reached ‘Ethiopia (possibly from Arabia), writing did not arise independently in the rest of Africa, where it was instead brought in from the outside by Arabs and Europeans. In short, Europe’s colonization of Africa had nothing to do with differ- HOW AFRICA BECAME BLACK • 4 0 X ences between European and African peoples themselves, as white racists assume. Rather, it was due to accidents of geography and biogeography— in particular, to the continents’ different areas, axes, and suites of wild plant and animal species. That is, the different historical trajectories of Africa and Europe stem ultimately from differences in real estate. r) 0)0 D(D D. -3 (Dr+ ‘I- — (Pb) 5:0 0) Cr, C}IAPThR 4 THE RECEPTION OF ENGLISH LAW AND ITS SIGNIFICANCE TO CARIBBEAN JURISDICTIONS ... — of lea1 systems In the See the discussion in Chapter 2 (‘Legal traditions types legal systems. Commonwealth CarIbbean’s Sea, also, the exceptions made for ‘hybild’ SeeChapter2. 11955] All ER 646, CA, p 653. Allot, AN, The Lire ji qfLaw, 1980, London: Eutterwoeths, pp 109—10. (1821) 2 Nag Con 371, p380 [19701AC1111,p 1116, ... belong essentially As discussed previously, the legal systems in the Caribbean s to the civil to the common law legal tradition, with some historical linkage nce of tradition. These legal systems were born out of the experie law legal 1 the region. This colonialism, during which law was transplanted to tion of the doctrine transplantation process is important, since it is the founda of the reception of law. y legal The reception of law doctrine describes the process whereb consciously phenomena which were developed in a given environment are ates from our exported to another environment. This definition elimin particular country discussion the influences from other legal traditions in any 2 which result from mere contact or interplay with each other. e to Caribbean Before examining the applicability of the doctrin n the very jurisprudence, the reader must be aware that some writers questio be labelled the nomenclature of the term ‘reception’, clhning that it should 3 Nyali Ltd nAG, . doctrine of ‘Inipoaltion’ or even ‘transplantation’ instead In on’. Indeed, the for example, Lord Denning used the term ‘transplantati te record of the description ‘imposition’ is more in keeping with an accura benevolent. Allot history of the Caribbean, which was neither peaceful nor upon the colonies: contends, for example, that the common law was forced ed in such cases, it If we analyse the legal reasons why the common law migrat declared is that the metropolitan legal system for its own purposes and reasons migrated this to be the governing metanorm. At bottom, then, these laws niigrate because they were made to 4 of the Rolls, This view is supported by a 1792 Memorandum by the Master affirmed by Lord StoweU in Rudling v Switck the When the King of Ongland conquers a country the Conqueror by saving in people; lives of the people conquered gains a right and property In such consequence of which he may impose on them what laws he pleases. 6 Lord Diplock explained that ‘in the case of Similarly, In Kaadesevaren v AG, is incorporated as most former British colonies the English common law I 3 2 4 5 6 Commonwealth Caribbean Law end Legal Systems part of the domestic law of the new independent State because It was imposed upon the colony ...‘. We see, therefore, that English law was Imposed on the Commonwealth Caribbean. In St Lucia and Guyana, civil law was also imposed and retained. The reader should further note that in the case of Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana and Jamaica, traces of Indian law were also received. This mainly occurred during the time of Indian indentureship. The reception of other legal traditions has left some impression on Commonwealth Caribbean legal 7 Hindus are allowed to marry systems. For example, as we saw previously, according to the tradition and customs of their own law. Some of these traditions have even been incorporated into local legislation. In the main, 8 and the English common law however, this is of cosmetic effect only tradition can be seen to be the dominant one in Commonwealth Caribbean jurisdictions. The discussion on reception thus centres around the transplantation of the English common law. The attitude toward the reception or imposition of English law is important in deciding to what extent English law informs or should inform the law of the Commonwealth Caribbean in form and substance. In particular, the dynamic potential of legal sources in Commonwealth Caribbean legal systems is considerably influenced by the view that Commonwealth Caribbean judges and law makers take in relation to the reception question. This is particularly so in relation to judicial precedent and the constitution, discussed in later chapters. While the original dependency and ‘Britishness’ of our law and legal system is accurately attributed to the colonial policy of imposition, it cannot fully excuse the continuance of these attitudes in modem, independent societies. SETfl.ED COLONIES AND CONQUERED COLONIES Chapter 1. WIth the esception of the civil law in St Lucia and Guyana. See Chapter 3 (‘The hybrid legal systems of St Lucia and Guyana’). For the purposes of reception, there is no practical distinction between conquered and ceded territories. Since the doctrine of reception or imposition is closely related to the historical background of the region, it is important to make a distinction between those 9 The territories which were conquered or ceded and those which were settled. process of political transformation was directly related to the manner in which law was received and implemented. This has further implications for how law is interpreted. 7 8 9 • • The Reception of English Law and its Significance to Caribbean Jurisdictions - One interesting difference is the right to land. In Levy and Wood v 10 a case from the Cayman islands —a Adminisfrtitor of the Cayinan Islands, settled territory, still a British colony the Court of Appeal held, in a contest for title to land, that ‘ownership by the Government was the natural consequence of the introduction of the common law of England by the first 11 This was precisely because the Cayinan islands was a settlers of the Islands’. settled colony. Accordingly, there was no evidence of land being previously occupied by anyone. The settled territories of the Commonwealth Caribbean include Anguilla, Antigua, the Bahamas, Barbados, British Virgin Islands, Montserrat, and St 12 These countries received the English common law at the end of the Kitts. 17th century. A settled colony is commonly described as one where there was no previous inhabitation by indigenous or ‘civilised’ peoples, or which had been inhabited by peoples from imperialist countries who had subsequently 3 Nevertheless, when one abandoned the territory or had been destroyed.’ considers the historical reality of the Commonwealth Caribbean, which acknowledges the existence of indigenous Amerindian peoples, the very definition is suspect. Conversely, the concept of a conquered territory refers to that which was first held by one imperialist power and which was subsequently transferred to another imperialist, conquering power after battle. In the Commonwealth Caribbean, the term ‘imperialist powex’ usually refers to the English, French and Spanish, who fought several battles for 14 The total contempt with which conquerors ownership of the region. regarded ‘uncivilised’ peoples and their laws betrays the biases inherent in the reception of law doctrine. The conquered territories are Dominica, Beliae, Guyana, Grenada, St Lucia, St Vincent and Trinidad and Tobago. The status of Jamaica is controversial, It can be considered as conquered since, at the time of the arrival f the British, there were Spanish settlers there, albeit without any rational institutionalisation of law. However, with regard to the reception of English law, it is best regarded as settled, as discussed below, p62. The reception doctrine and process is more complex in the cases of St Lucia and Guyana. There, the common law was imposed on essentially civil law systems. This was a difficult infusion as the civil law endured. This 10 11952—?9]CILR42. 11 Ibid,p45. 12 See Patchett, KW, ‘The reception of law in the West IndIes’ [19731 JLJ 17 for an authoritative hisloricnl account of the reception of law in the region. 13 See Tucker, SC fed), B1ackstvne’ Cainmentnries 1803, Vol 1,1969, New York Keuey. 14 In the case of St Lucia, ownership actually changed hands between the French end English 14 times. Commonwealth Caribbean Law and Legal Systems s, is endurance, which was the impetus for the creation of hybrid legal system chapter,’ discussed in a separate 5 THE METHOD AND DATE OP RECEPTION ... — onwealth The English common law was introduced into the Comm Caribbean by two methods: so (a) With respect to settled colonies, the colonists carried with them only n much of the English law as was applicable to their own situatio and the condition of the infant colony. The date of the establishment of the colony was the date of reception. (b) For conquered territories, the colonists retained the existing legal system g only in so far as it was not repugnant to natural justice. The existin system was retained until such time as other arrangements could be made for English law to be intnxluced. If we consider St Lucia, for example, it the was this arrangement of convenience which made it possible for on is the hybrid legal system to emerge. In such cases, the date of recepti date which the Crown directed that English law come into operation. e the These are the orthodox English roles on the reception of law. In practlc ant as most distinction between conquered and settled territories is less import scope of the countries have introduced legislation defining the date and not without its reception of the common law. Still, as we will see below, this is own difficulty. Two types of English law were imposed on the Caribbean. They were the h English common law and English statute law. This imposition of Englis common law was achieved via two maia methods: tion of a (a) The use of the incorporation clause this is where the legisla territory makes specific provision that the common law of England, y. existing at a particular date, shall be deemed to be in force in the territor les (b) By way of proclamation: t)ominica, St Vincent and Jamaica are examp : of reception by proclamation as evidenced by the 1763 Proclamation ution All person inhabiting in our colonies may confide in our royal prosec Jl’ for the enjoyment of the benefits of the laws of our realm of England See, also, Anthony, 15 See Chapter 3 (‘The hybrid iegai systems of St Luda and Guyana’). lth KD, ‘The reception of the common law by clvii law systems in the Commonwea Juridiques, Caribbean’, in Doucet, M and Vanderlinden, J (eds), La ltde9lfion des Systlmcs 1994, Brussels: Bruylant, p 15. v Hall (1779) 1 Comp 204, dinised 16 Op cit, Tucker, fn 13, pp 196-07. See Campbell further below, p 61, wluih affirmed this latter rule. 17 RevIsed Laws of Domlntca 1961. 60 ean Jurisdictions The Reception of English Law and its Significance to Caribb cation, ry The reception of English law was, however, subject to statuto modifi n law, that is, that a territory may enact legislation which abrogates the commo to the and the further requirement that all law received must be suited circumstances or needs of the colony. said to have Two prerequisites must be present before English law can be the Crown’s been received. First, the territory must have been brought within shed, that is, dominion. Secondly, the settlement must have been establi ents and annexation Crown authorisation, recognition of unauthorised settlem of inhabited areas must have been forrnalised. ture before one It was also necessary to have some semblance of a legisla have been a could describe a colony as established or settled. There should te. This is not constitution or some authority which had the power to legisla Virgin Islands, without historical contradiction. For example, in the British up until 1774. It is colonists arrived in 1666 but the legislature was not set were without nevertheless accepted that this does not mean that the Islands view may be that law or legal authority during the interim period. The better the colony had the term ‘established colony’ refers to the situation where ion and some ‘some adequate communal organisation to call for legal regulat 18 form of governmental and legislative control was set up’. control by Jamaica provides a unique example, since it came into British of goverament force of arms which destroyed completely the previous system us system to continue and law. It was therefore not possible for this previo Vaughan’ and Campbell v until further arrangement could be made, lit R v 9 cal fact has been 20 the island was treated as settled and this histori Hall, Jamaica. Part of the problem with Jamaica accepted by the Supreme Court of 21 such, the Crown was that it was one of the first colonies to be conquered. As extended. The Crown was uncertain how far its prerogative or royal power after a grant of did assert the right to legislate for the colony even form of selfrepresentative institutions had been made allowing a that its legislative government. Afterwards, however, the Crown conceded d in 1620. power had been lost when the Representative Assembly was restore e of the Crown’s Therefore, the common law came to Jamaica via the exercis that time onward, prerogative in the proclamation of 14 December 1661. From could not be altered the basic law and the right to a representative legislature colony. ’ by the Crown and it was to be treated as a settled 2 on the legal historian, Roberts 18 Op elf, Patchelt, In 12, p 18. For this assertion, he relies 1. 5 Wray, IC, Commonwealth Colonial Law 1966, London: Stevens, pl Morrison, El, The reception 22 For further discussion of the particular rage of Jamaica, see of law In Jamaica’ (19791 2WILJ 43. 19 (1769)4 Barr 2492, p 2500. 20 (1770)1 Coomp 294, p212. 21 Jocquet v Edwards, 1 Jam SC DecIsions 414. 61 Commonwealth Caribbean Law and Legal Systems containing immutable legal principles. This is the common law which Commonwealth Caribbean jurisdictions received. While the theory may be a legal fiction, Lt does present a certain Intellectual difficulty for Caribbean jurisprudence. It presumes that it is only English courts and judges which have the authority to find and declare these common law principles. Taken to its logical conclusion, Caribbean judges and courts do not possess the flexibility to adept the common law to local needs. Rather, (hey are tied to these rigid principles of the common law as declared in England. This is as true for judicial precedent as it is for the interpretation of the constitution, as we shall see later in this book. The difficulty inherent in the doctrine of reception, in deciding how much of the common law was transplanted to any particular territory, is ably illustrated by the abstracts from the following cases. Ideally, although we have received English law, or rather It has been imposed upon us, this should not restrict us in our formulation of a Caribbean jurisprudence to reflect our own needs. Rather, reception of the common law should be viewed merely as a foundation upon which to build, and where necessary to deviate from, moulding the common law to suit our societies. This view has not always found favour with Caribbean judges. Consider the restrictive view of Wooding J In Johnson v R, 28 a trial for murder. The difficulty with the decision lies in its reasoning, which was based on an English case that the judge saw as imposing both English statute and common law, as defined by the English courts, on the West ladies. Wooding I saith ... In view of s 3 of the Offences Against the Person Ordinance and a 12 of the Judicature Act which incorporates as part of our lalv the common law of England, and since any decision of the House of Lords must be regarded as the prevailing law and, in so far ait interprets it, the common law of England, we must, whatever our own view, accept its judgment as declaratory of the law 29 here. The problem of Commonwealth Caribbean judges binding themselves to precedents by courts, such as the House of Lords, which lie outside the hierarchy of Caribbean courts, is discussed in Chapter 17 (‘The office of the Ombudsman’). Here, it is enough to note that this was a post-independence case, yet the issues of the effect that political independence might have on the reception of English law, and the attitude toward accepting that English law as binding on West Indian courts, were not addressed. The Johnson court clearly accepted that what was received and binding was not merely a common law tradition, but common law legal principles, both precedent and statutory interpretation, as defined by the English courts. 28 (1966)IOWJR4r32. 29 Ibidp415. 64 The Reception of English Law and its Significance to Caribbean Jurisdictions 0 Here the issue was whether sIB of the Consider, further, Jemmot v Phang. Gaming Act of the IlK applied to Trinidad and Tobago. The court held that the Act should apply. Section 12 of the Trinidad and Tobago Judicature Act of 1962 provides that Subject to the provisions of any enactment in operation on the first day of March 1848 end to any eoactment passed after that date the common law doctrines of equity and statutes of General Application of the Imperial Parliament that were in force In England on that date shall be deemed to have been enacted and to have been in force in Trinidad. This, therefore, was a reception of law clause embodied In the Trinidad and Tobago legislation. The court found that the Gaming Act was a statute of the Imperial Parliament in force in England on 1 March 1848 and that it was a statute of general application which had not been abrogated by local legislation. 31 did not agree with The court in the case of Persaud v Plantation Versailles this restrictive view of the doctrine of reception. The relevant issue in this case was whether the remedy of unjust enrichment was part of the law of Guyana. Money was being deducted from the wages of employees to support payment of goods from a recreation dub even after the club was closed down. Although the court did decide that the remedy was part of th law in Guyana, the attitude of the judges was clearly different to that exhibited in the Johnson and Jennnot cases. Crane J, for example, noted that the English courts were unclear as to whether the principle of unjust enrichment existed in English law, but also found that the duty of a court in an independent country was to 3 formulate a jurisprudence to ‘suit the needs of our ever-changing society’. For him, the date or consequence of reception was secondary to this judicial duty. The contrast between the above cases should, therefore, be noted and is a good example of the debate on the question of the relevance of reception to West Indian jurisprudence. it is a debate which still rages today. Indeed, in 1823, the Attorney General for Dominica said that the rule relating to reception was ‘so vague and so little understood in the colonies, that decisions contradictory’. While he was concerned with founded upon it will be often 33 the relevant data of reception, the substance of his complaint holds true for more general matters on reception. The confusing situation today is hardly different We are still faced with the ultimate question, to what extent has English law been received in the territories? 30 (l%3)6W1R36. 31 (1970)17WIR 107. 32 Ibid. pill. See the discussion of this and other cases in the context of the bindingnature of case law in Chapter 7 (‘The common law and the doctrine of judicial precedent). 33 Second Report of the Commissions of Inquiry on the Administration of Civil and Civil Justice in the West indies, 1626, First Series, p61. 65 COMMERCE OR ISOLATION: THE DECISION TO TRADE ‘36 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS TiNsAcTIoNs: A PROBLEM-ORIENTED COURSEBOOK Tenth Edition I.. By Ralph H. Folsom Professor of Law University of San Diego Michael Wallace Gordon John H. and Mary Lou Dasburg Professor of Law University of Florida John A. Spanogle, Jr. William Wallace Kirkpatrick Professor of Law The George Washington University Peter L. Fitzgerald Professor of Law Stetson University College of Law AMERICAN CASEBOOK SERIES® WEST® A Thomson Reuters business Mat #40703398 CnAITER 1 CoMMERcE OR ISOLATION: THE DECISION TO T1]E Long after the creation of the world, three identifiable societies began to emerge in different locations on the planet. In Westia there were reasonably good natural resources. The climate was temperate and the people quite industrious and independent. For as long as anyone could remember, there had been an allocation of the society’s resources on the basis of each individual’s efforts. Some of the people worked for others, and were paid for their efforts. Some became quite wealthy, others poor. But the society made everyone contribute some of what they produced to assist those unable to work. No one in Westia had ever ventured beyond its ocean borders. - South of Westia some several hundred miles lay Tropica, a large island nation stretching across the middle of the planet. It had many natural resources, more than Westia. The climate was extremely hot. Most of the population was involved with small scale agriculture. A few persons had accumulated considerable wealth, but Tropica was mainly a poor island where people worked hard to survive. There was much disease in Tropica, far more than in Westia. Families, rather than the leaders of the society, tended to provide for those who were unable to provide for themselves. But there were far more poor than in Westia. As in the case of Westia, no person in Tropica had ever ventured beyond the island. To the east of Westia, on the third major land mass, was Egalia. The climate and amount of natural resources were similar to Westia, but the society’s distribution of resources and ownership of property was very different than in either Westia or Tropica. In Egalia, everything was owned collectively by the group. Each person was entitled to receive what was needed to live, and each was expected to produce according to his or her maximum capacity. The mass of the population existed with adequate food, housing and medical care, with no one having very much more than anyone else. But the governing elite seemed to live quite well. Egalians were as little traveled as Westians and Tropicians; none had ever ventured beyond Egalia. 2 CiI.1 Tm DECISION TO TnE 3 As the people of Westia became more affluent, with a significant and comfortable middle class, they had time to devote to activities other than providing for necessities. Culture and thought occupied the time of a number of Westians. New ideas of exploration caused small delegations to be sent across the oceans in search of what lay beyond. When a group of Westians arrived in Tropica, they were surprised to discover a population living in much less affluence than in Westia. Tropicians were very interested in the better quality garments and farm instruments possessed by the Westians. They asked if they might obtain some of them. It took a Tropician five days to make a garment, but the same garment of better quality could be made in Westia on something Westians called looms in only a half day. At first the Westians offered to give the Tropicians some garments; both peoples were quite friendly towards each other. The Tropicians accepted several, but said they would like to be able to obtain many more for their people. The Westians had to gather together and think what this meant. Westia would have to increase its production of garments to satisfy the demand of Tropica. If they did that they would have to stop producing something else. So they talked to the Tropicians. The Tropicians said that although the tools of the Wes tians were very useful in design and quality, the metal was very soft and they discovered that Westian tools did not last long. The Westians agreed that was a problem with their tools. The Tropicians showed the Westians some of the minerals found in many places on their island in great abundance. One mineral was very hard and after some experimentation the Westians learned that they could add it to their metal and make very strong tools. So the Westians had found something to receive from Tropica in exchange for their garments. They would take so many kilos of the Tropician mineral for each garment. And so the nations began to trade. Westia received something it did not have and Tropica received something it had not been able to produce as well as Westia. Labor costs of production might have equalized in the two societies, but people of Westia were reluctant to move to Tropica, and Tropicians generally felt the same about moving to Westia. Furthermore, each nation had placed limits on immigration. This had a tendency to preserve labor differentials in the production of goods. Later the two societies discovered that Tropica made a wonderful wine, and they did it with much less labor than the wine produced in Westia. It took a Westian ten days to produce a barrel, while a Tropician could do the same in two days. It seemed appropriate for Westia to trade some of its garments for Tropician wine. Westia had a “comparative advantage” in producing garments, Tropica in producing wine. And so they traded more. And they began to discover that Westia produced some other items more efficiently than Tropica, while the latter produced nearly as many goods more efficiently than Westia. One of the items which Westia produced more efficiently was dishes. The firing kilns were vei’y advanced in Westia. There was also a dish -33 4 Tm DEcISION TO TinE PT. 1 leaders. The industry in Tropica. It was owned by relatives of some of the Westia, the from dishes dish producers said that if Tropica imported now that that said also Tropica producers would go out of business. They how to learn the two countries traded, the Tropician dish producers would n Westia the make better dishes and soon would be able to compete with allow will not dish producers. So the Tropician leaders said to Westia, “We our infant protect must we e becaus y countr your dishes to come into our were the Nor happy. not were ers produc dish industry.” The Westian dish with goods all trade should es leaders of Westia. They said the two societi ians Tropic the But trade. no restrictions. They referred to this as free sold be to boats ian pointed out that the Westians would not allow Tropic boats , dishes unlike in Westia. Westian officials responded by saying that that special were necessary for survival of Westia and it must protect dish industry industry. Westians asked Tropica when it thought the infant a thought it would mature, and be able to compete with Westia. Tropic n dishes’ Westia no time that until that would take ten years and suggested were dishes their that out d would be imported. When Westians pointe that ted sugges a Tropic of finer in quality than the Tropicians, the leaders so of quota a sh establi some would be allowed in, but that they would would that ted many thousand per year. Some critics in Tropica sugges . But after allow the governing elites of Tropica access to the finer dishes raise some thinking more about the idea, Tropica decided that it could learned also They . dishes ed import on tax needed revenue by placing a ers produc dish n Westia s variou , that when news of quotas reached Westia of idea the ed discard a Tropic began arguing for quota allocations. So They dish. n Westia each quotas and placed a tariff of four pellos on as would estimated that the same number would enter by paying the tariff e. The revenu have with the quota, but that using a tariff would raise roads and revenue was needed because the nation was trying to build from Westia ports to help its trade. But it seemed to be buying more goods it ought to r whethe d debate Westia a. than Westia was buying from Tropic wished to leaders Its not. did it retaliate against these new tariffs, but not would trade that er, pursue free trade. It seemed inevitable, howev limit to ions regulat s really be free, but that officials would create variou ts of their trade when limitations were believed to be in the best interes nation. ged When goods were first traded between the two areas, they exchan many so for goods for goods, so many minerals or barrels of wine ge goods for garments. But as the years passed they had begun to exchan pello would be currency. At first the societies agreed that each Tropician ment would govern each that agreed worth one Westian dollah. They also nation other the when cy support its currency by buying its own curren pellos of surplus a ulated wished to sell. For example, if Westia accum back. them buy beyond what it needed, the Tropica Central Bank would They ? dollahs But what would they buy them with if they did not have to about the agreed to use gold, which was a very scarce commodity mined ground, and same degree in each nation. It was very hard to find in the CH.1 ‘he ;he iat to an ow Lflt ;he ith tns old ats ial ry it aes ere aat so Lild ter me ied ers of iey ild ‘he Lnd tia • to to aot nit .eir ed my for be ild Ion los ck. iey Ihe nd Tm DEcIsIoN TO T1DE 5 had long been highly prized by both nations. This currency arrangement worked for a number of years, but Tropica was concerned that its gold reserves were diminishing. Trade was favoring Westia and it seemed that whenever there was some accounting to be done, it was an exchange of surplus pellos in Westia for Tropician gold reserves. Tropica had what they called an unfavorable trade balance. One Friday afternoon the Tropician government announced that they were devaluing their currency, that they would now give two pellos for each dollah. Westia and its producers did not like this. Westian officials said it was a “beggar thy neighbor” policy, that it attempted to correct a domestic problem by causing harm to one’s neighbor. Immediately goods from Tropica became more attractive to buyers in Westia, and some goods from Westia were now too expensive for Tropica buyers to consider. But over time, Westia became more efficient and the imbalance in its favor occurred once again. This time Tropica did not devalue. It was nearly out of gold. It decided that it would no longer exchange gold at a fixed rate for its own pellos. And it would not support the pello. It would allow the currency to float, and if there was no confidence in the pello, it would drop in value compared to the dollah. That is what began to happen. The pello had become a “soft” currency. The dollah was “hard” Sellers in Westia now wanted only Westian currency for their goods. Tropician pellos were not worth anything in Westia. Westian workers making goods to export to Tropica would not accept pellos. They could no longer take the pellos to the Westian bank and be assured of receiving dollahs in exchange. And of course they had to buy their food and other items with dollahs. So when a Westian seller agreed to sell to a Tropica buyer, the buyer was required to obtain dollahs. Dollahs were available from the Central Bank of Tropica, but often the supply was low. Some times the Tropician buyer received dollahs for selling goods to Westia. It may have seemed strange to some observers, but Tropicians were more willing to accept Westian dollahs for the sale of Tropician goods, than were Westian sellers wiffing to accept Tropician pellos for the sale of Westian products. After a couple of years the Bank of Westia discovered that it had many pellos which it had received from its producers, who had exchanged the pellos for dollahs. One day the Central Bank of Tropica said it did not have any dollahs to give to the Bank of Westia in exchange for the pellos the latter bank had accumulated. There had never been such a problem before. So the government of Westia began to loan dollahs to the govern ment of Tropica. In time the amount of dollahs owed by Tropica to Westia became very high, and Westians were concerned that they might never be paid. Some Tropician politicians suggested that the nation should default, but most believed that would be very harmful to the country and that extensions should be sought for paying the debt. Westia agreed, but demanded that Tropica take certain steps to diminish the prospects that the same problem would arise in the future. 6 Tm DECISION TO TRADE PT. 1 While early trade between Westia and Tropica was limited to the exchange of goods, ultimately Westia learned that some of the products it produced could be produced more cheaply in Tropica. Westian producers transferred the knowledge of how to manufacture some of its products to producers in Tropica, calling this a transfer of technology. Later Westian producers actually established their own Westian owned plants in Tropica to manufacture various products, what they referred to as foreign direct investment. Sometimes the Westian producer owned the entire Tropica entity, but at other times it jointly owned the entity with some Tropicians. The Tropicians were also becoming concerned that as the decades passed many Westian companies had bought not only goods from Tropica, but entire companies which produced those goods. Tropicians were not sure that this should be allowed. They were also concerned that although the quality of life in Tropica had improved, in Westia it had increased even more rapidly, and that the disparity of income which was only modest when the societies began to trade, was now very great. Only two decades ago a garment from Westia cost only one barrel of wine, but now it cost two. And this was particularly true of the natural resources of Tropica. Their price had deteriorated compared to the price for finished products from Westia. Westia was now a manufacturing nation, while Tropica was still an agricultural community with much production of natural resources by Westian owned firms. Tropician officials were not sure that the idea of trading on the basis of comparative advantage was working. They thought that free trade had caused them considerable harm because the industries of Westia had started out more efficient. Tropica had limited free trade to protect infant industries, as had Westia for national security. Both nations occasionally used tariffs and quotas, and more recently they found other ways which seemed to reduce trade. Often containers had to meet certain regulations. Labels had to be in the importing society’s language and goods had to be tested locally; only certain small ports could be used for the entry of designated goods. The governments of each society were subsidizing production of certain products on the one hand, and adopting Buy Westia or Buy Tropica rules on the other. Permits were required to import, but they were difficult to obtain. Both nations had become protectionist in different degrees. But there was cultural, educational and scientific cooperation between the two societies. One cooperative project was to explore the uncharted areas east of Westia. To their amazement they discovered a third society— Egalia. It was a strange society to them. It did have a temperate climate as in Westia, and considerable resources. And it had much gold. But it had not advanced very much in the time that Westia and Tropica had been trading with each other. All of the means of production and distribution were owned by the government, not by private individuals. When Westian and Tropician traders began to talk to several Egalians about goods made in Westia and Tropica, they were told that all trade would have to be negotiated through a central society or State Trading Organization (STO). Cii. 1 1 1 t S S I I t Y e g a a a d - S d a a e e ). Tm DECISION TO TRADE 7 Everything seemed to be centrally planned in Egalia. The government decided how many boats to produce, as well as how many pairs of shoes. The market—forces of supply and demand—played little role. Cost meant little. The government provided for all the needs of its citizens who worked for the benefit of the group, not the individual. Often there were shortages of certain products, while others were over-produced. Egalia was determined to be an industrial nation, and it diverted much of the resources of the nation to that end. It was not satisfied with being an agricultural nation. If certain items were not on the Egalian five year purchase plan, then the STO officials said they were sorry but there was no reason to discuss trade of those items. But Egaiia did want to trade with the two other societies. When the price was discussed, Westia said they would accept some Egalian kupecks, but Egalia said its currency could not be taken out of the country. Egalia insisted that the other societies take goods manufac tured in Egalia in trade for products it desired. Westian and Tropician officials thought privately that this was barter, which they did a very long time ago, but the Egalian officials insisted on calling it “countertrade”. They were also not willing to allow Westian or Tropician persons to own equity in investments in Egalia, where all of the means of production and distribution was owned by the state with the exception of one province of Egalia, where it was owned by the workers in each plant. Westia and Tropica began to trade with Egalia, but it was quite limited. Westia was much concerned with the concept of state ownership in Egalia, and was wary of this new society. Through the years the three societies developed different ways of gaining advantages in their trading relationships, and in minimizing the disadvantageous effects of the others’ trade activities. The nations had all originally been agrarian economies, beginning to produce other items only when they developed more efficient forms of farming. When one family could produce enough for two families, one family could begin to make other goods, such as pottery or tools. But the idea of owning land remained important to them. It always seemed to dominate the policies in Tropica, where land reform tended to reduce the development of economi cal agricultural production. But Tropica also had higher population growth rates than Westia and Ega]ia, and there were thus more mouths to feed. Ultimately Tropica followed a pattern of encouraging extensive industrial production, and moved first to produce goods within Tropica which they formerly imported. This became known as “import substitu tion” and reduced the need for Tropica to use some of the scarce hard currency of Westia they possessed to import these items. Of course the Westian producers disliked the loss of their export market of these items. Sometimes Westian capital would enter Tropica to produce the items locally, but Tropica made it difficult for foreign. capital to invest locally once Tropica realized that the profits from the sales continued to benefit the Westians. The only apparent benefit they saw to Tropica was the employment of some Tropicians making the products in Tropica. Tropica I 3) 8 Tm DECISION TO TRADE PT. 1 first thought it would acquire new technology, but soon discovered that the technology introduced tended not to be the most advanced possessed by the Westian companies. Import substitution worked well in some instances for Tropica, but they soon began to feel that to be like Westia they must produce for export. Westia had grown to be a rich nation partly because of its exports to Tropica and more recently to Egalia. No one could quite explain how all nations could be net exporters, but Tropica was determined to export larger amounts of production. But they then realized that their restrictive investment policies, which had long protected Tropician industries, had caused the perpetuation of highly inefficient Tropician producers. They were unable to produce goods which could compete with Westian products either in the Westian market or in Egalia. It seemed the “terms of trade” were not improving. The nation once had to trade one (and later two) barrel of wine for a Westian garment. Now it had to trade four barrels for the same single garment. But garment production was moving to Tropica. Tropician labor was cheaper than that of Westia and Egalia. Tropica was developing a comparative advantage in producing garments and it was not long before a great many of the garments bought in Westia bore a made in Tropica label. The use of Tropica labels was somewhat new. When Tropica products first reached Westia, disgruntled Westian producers who were forced to compete for the first time with foreign products tried to wage a campaign that Tropician products were inferior solely because they were Tropician. At first it worked and Westia even passed laws requiring the origin of the goods to appear on the label. But many persons bought the goods anyway, and learned that they were not all inferior. In time, the label “Made in Tropica” even gained a measure of quality and status. As the decades passed, additional exploration resulted in the discovery of many more societies on the planet. Many were like Westia, others like Tropica and still others like Egalia. Alliances were formed based mainly on political views, but to some degree also on levels of development. There was a Westian alliance composed of the nations which were called “devel oped nations”, or “capital exporting nations”, or sometimes “market economy industrialized nations”. The Tropician alliance became known as the Group of 77, or the South (when used in conjunction with what was referred to as the North—South dialogue, which involved discussions between the Westian and Tropician groups regarding how to help the latter develop more quickly). The Tropician alliance nations were usually called “developing” or “less developed”. Some broke the group down even further. The first. were the least developed nations or dependent nations. They were the poorest societies on the planet. Then there were the developing nations, and finally the newly industrializing countries (NICs), or advanced developing countries (ABCs). They were the most developed of the developing societies. The Egalian alliance included nations with centrally planned econo mies. They were often called “nonmarket economies” (NMEs) or, to refer to them according to political rather than economic form, socialist or CH1 d that sessed : a but ice for xports Elow all export brictive s, had They oducts trade” r two) rels for ‘ropica. ica was vas not aadein Iropica LO were wage a .v were ght the ne the sttus scovery rs like tinly There “develmarket iown as at wa.s ussions elp the usually vn even iations. ere the (NICs), veloped econoto refer alist or I Tm DECISION TO TIDE 9 communist nations. Some of the smaller nonmarket economies were trying to decentralize their economies, and allow market forces to play a greater role. But Egalia, the strong power in the alliance, looked upon such changes as dangerous to the security of the alliance and sometimes stopped these changes. Nor did Westia like to see Tropician alliance nations shift loyalty to the Egalian group. Westia often tried to stop this shift. Interrelationships between politics and trade were very complex. Change was not only an attribute of Egalian and Tropician alliances nations, but also of Westia. Some members of the Westian alliance adopted central planning and even brought under state ownership some of the largest industrial companies, such as those manufacturing airplanes and automobiles. This was often called nationalizing, and it was also done to airline services, port facilities, telephone and telegraphic facilities and even banking. When nationalization resulted in the takeover of foreign owned property, many difficulties ensued. For example, when Westian properties were nationalized by Tropica, the owners demanded that the properties be returned, or that “prompt, adequate and effective” compen sation be paid. If the owners tried to seize property of Tropica located in Westia, the Tropician government said it was “sovereign” and thus immune from such challenges, or that the taking was an “act of state” and the courts in Westia should not consider the matter. Usually several years passed and then the two societies sat down and resolved the issue by a lump sum payment. Both the Egalian and the Westian alliances competed for dominance over the Tropician societies. Revolutions and civil wars occurred in several of the latter nations. The result was often a shift in allegiance from Westia to Egalia, and sometimes back again. It was a subject of conflict between Westia and Egalia and of considerable concern on the planet. Tropician alliance nations were progressing quite well until they and lenders from Westian alliance nations realized that the debt of the former nations was so excessive that it probably could never be paid. The refusal of Westian nations to loan more caused the Tropician nations to realize that they must achieve economic development through a less restrictive policy towards investment and imports. Although they earned hard for eign currencies from tourism, it was not enough. Many of the Tropician nations began to sell off state owned companies, a process called “privati zation.” They also opened up to more investment from Westian nations and sometimes converted their debt to equity. At the same time, Egalia and many of the Egalian alliance nations underwent a major transformation in their fundamental economic philoso phy. They moved away from strict economic planning and allowed market forces to enter and establish prices. One area of Egalia far on its eastern edge, called Oriente, was quite different in its population and history in contrast to much of the remaining parts of Egalia. Oriente once had a highly developed society, a very rich culture of art and production of exquisite fabrics. But internal strife caused it to look inward and adhere to 3 10 TIlE DECISION TO TiDE PT. 1 strict nonmarket economy rules, trading little with the rest of the world, even other parts of Egalia. But Oriente made a bold and quite dramatic move. It opened the nation to significant trade and foreign investment, but retained a very centrally planned government. With the largest population of any nation, and a poor but increasingly skilled labor force ready to work for a small fraction of the wages in most of the rest of the world, Oriente quickly developed into the world’s largest producer of many products. As Oriente began to play a very major role in world trade, there seemed to be a convergence in the economic philosophies of much of the Egalian alliance and Tropician alliance nations. Nations of both alliances were trying to become more like the Westian nations. The former nations pursued this goal of assuming market characteristics by such domestic measures as privatization of state property, allowing inefficient businesses to be dissolved, reducing the size of state bureaucracies, opening their nations to more trade by reducing tariffs and quotas, and repealing laws imposing restrictions on foreign investments, especially allowing very large investments in projects to develop natural resources. But all foreign investments were not always welcome in other nations. An increasing concern of many citizens of a few Westian and Tropician alliance nations was the loss of their national culture. Westian nations were viewed as concerned only with profit making, and Westian foreign investments in Tropician nations, as well as the trade of some goods, sometimes was viewed to have damaging affects on the recipient Tropician alliance nation’s cultural heritage, such as its music and literature. Additional concern was expressed that the national language was being “Westian ized.” Westia saw this concern solely as a new trade barrier, and was determined to stop it. But Westia did not have the support of some very large Westian alliance nations. Furthermore, they were trying to join Westian created multilateral trade organizations which were founded upon market principles. They often were surprised to discover, however, that when they did join a multilateral trade agreement, the Westian alliance participants used a variety of non-tariff barriers to restrict trade and protect national industries. Some Egalian and Tropician nations wondered why, after they had adopted more open trade policies, they still had difficulty penetrating Westian markets. The former nations thought they must learn how to use these trade barriers, and began to bring their own dumping and countervailing duty actions. Westian nations did not like this. Many of the nations of the Westian and Tropician alliances, and some of the nations of the Egalian alliance, created a new world trade organiza tion to move even closer to a global free trade society. This new trade organization replaced an older one (formed after a war principally among Westian nations) which by periodic meetings of the members called “rounds” had achieved considerable success in reducing tariffs and abol ishing quotas, as well as eliminating many non-tariff trade barriers. The newer organization additionally addressed several areas previously politi CH.l Tm DECISION TO T1DE 11 cally impossible to consider, including agriculture, services, investment and intellectual property. Where these unilateral rules were not thought sufficient to generate sufficient free trade, smaller groups of nations formed free trade areas, generally based on geographic considerations. Trade in these areas was not always absolutely free, but the purpose of the alignments was to increase trade and move more towards the characteristics which had always distinguished Westia, and away from the collective characteristics of Egalia, or the restrictive characteristics of Tropica. A few of these mostly regional trade associations agreed to considerably freer trade than was true of the much larger world trade organization. The people of Westia and some of the Westian alliance nations seemed to have very inventive characters. They developed many products which were unlike any others. The inventors were given protection by Westian laws, so they might profit from their ideas. These laws were grouped together and called intellectual property laws, and protected a great range of creativity. But many of the Tropician and Eastian alliance nations were concerned that the Westian nations refused to allow access to some needed goods, such as pharmaceuticals, without very high and unfair payments. Tropician and Eastian alliance nations often copied the ideas from the Westians, without paying any compensation. Although the recently formed world trade organization had tried to deal with this issue, there remained many abuses. It was a continuing issue between many of the nations of the world. The changes in the world seemed to be bringing many people, regardless of their alliance affiliation, closer in thinking about trade. The centuries before had seen isolation caused by lack of communication among societies change to trade which increased as the three different societies began to think more alike. Nations increasingly felt interdepen dent, although there remained many forms of national restrictions on trade and investment. It seemed fair to say that trade had become the norm. Not free trade without restrictions, but rather a complex trade matrix which was often quite difficult to understand. There were those who sought to try to understand and to advise on matters of international trade. And they were called international business lawyers. They were not always well liked, and they sometimes seemed to function without ade quate rules of conduct. Much more admired were those lawyers who remained in the academy—the professors at the nations’ law schools.a These law schools taught courses in international business transac tions. QuEsTIoNs AND CoMivnwrs 1. Jeffrey Garten, Under—Secretary of Commerce for International Trade in the first Clinton Administration, commented on the impact of a. If any reader has not yet realized the fictional character of this chapter, this sentence will assuredly establish that fact. 12 Tm PT. 1 culture by exporting nations affecting the capital and goods receiving nations. See Business Week, Nov. 30, 1998, at pg. 26. Noting that superpowers have always spread their culture, whether Italian Renaissance by Lorenzo De Medici or Disney images by Michael Eisner, he stated: Americans should not have difficulty empathizing with foreign fears of cultural invasion. Recall U.S. anxieties a decade ago when Sony Corp. bought Columbia Pictures and Mitsubishi Corp. purchased New York’s Rockefeller Center. Now reaction against American “cultural imperial ism” is building. Just a few years ago, France almost torpedoed the Uruguay Round of global trade negotiations because it wanted to limit the activities of U.S. entertainment companies. Last spring, a multilateral treaty on investment rules was derailed in part because of a spat between Brussels and Washington over protection of Europe’s cultural industries. In August, Canada called together 19 other governments to plot ways to ensure their cultural independence from America. Mexico is considering legislation requiring that a certain percentage of its media programming remain in the hands of its citizens. Suggesting that the United States ought to pay some attention to these warnings, he further commented: recognize that strong cultures abroad are in The U.S. should the disorientation that comes with globali Amid self-interest. American’s national communities grounded in history cohesive need countries zation, in place can they unite in the tough these with Only tradition. and societies. If societies feel under modern building to necessary decisions to policy paralysis, strident leading magnified, be will insecurities assault, nism. anti-America and nationalism, GaLrten suggests the United States might allow some quotas and subsidies abroad when nations wish to protect their cultures, such as TV and film. He worries that the protection of national culture might become a defensive “rallying point” for developing nations overwhelmed by the process of globali zation, and that a more sensitive approach might help U.S. exports in the long run. This spread of U.S. culture is sometimes referred to as Macdonaldiza tion. How do you view the increasingly protective responses from abroad— more as trade barriers, or as a justified reaction to seriously threatened culture? Garten’s comments address the issue of the impact of a nation’s culture abroad. In the next chapter we will see the issue of culture return, but this time addressing how we need to understand foreign culture (which may not be the same as respecting it) in order to successfully engage in international business. ... H DECISION TO T1DE TRADE AND ECONOMIC GLOSSARY OF TERMS Balance of Payments. A tabulation of a county’s credit and debit transactions with other countries and international institutions. These transactions are divided into two broad groups: Current Account and Capital Account. The Current Account includes exports and imports of goods, services (including investment income), and unilateral transfers. The Capital Account includes financial flows related to international direct investment, investment in government and private securities, international bank transactions, and changes in official gold holdings and foreign exchange reserves Balance of Trade. A component of the balance of payments, or the surplus or deficit that results from comparing a country’s expenditures on merchandise imports and receipts derived from its merchandise exports. Barter. The direct exchange of goods for other goods, without the use of money as a medium of exchange and without the involvement of a third party. Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy. A course of action through which a country tries to reduce unemployment and increase domestic output by raising tariffs and instituting non-tarriff barriers that imede imports, or by accomplishing the same objective through competetive decalitation. Countries that pursued such policies in the early 1930’s found that other countries retaliated by raising their own barriers against imports, which, by reducing export markets, tended to worsen the economic difficulties that precipitated the initial protectionist action. The Smoot-Hawley Tarriff Act of 1930 is often cited as a conspicuous example of this approach. Bilateral Trade Agreement. A formal or informal agreement involving commerce between two countries. Such agreements sometimes list the quantities of specific goods that may be exchanged between participating countries within a given period. Comparitive Advantage. A central concept in international trade theory which holds that a country or a region should specialize in the production and export of those goods and services that it can produce relatively more efficietly that other goods and services, and import those goods and services in which it has a comparative disadvantage. This theory was first propounded by David Ricardo in 1817 as a basis for increasing the economic welfare of a popultaion through international trade. The comparative advantage theory normally favors specialized production in a country based on intensive itilization of those factors of production in which the country is relattively well endowed (such as raw materials, fertile land or skilled labor), and perhaps also the accumulation of physical capital and the pace of research. Countertrade. A reciprocal trading arrangement. Countertrade transactions include: A) Counterpurchase obligates the foreign supplier to purchase from the byer goods and services unrelated to the goods and servise sold, usually with a one-to five-year period. B) Reverse countertrade contracts require the importer (a U.S. buyer of machine tools from Eastern Europe, for example) to export goods equicalent in value to a specified percentage of the value of the imported goods—an obligation that can be sold to an exporter in a thrid country; C) Buyback arrangements onligate the foreign supplier of plant; machinery or technology to buy from the importer a portion of the reultant production during a 5-25 year period. D) Clearing agreements between two countires that agree to purchase specific amounts of each other’s products over a specified period of time, using a designated “clearing currency” in the transactions; E) “Switch” arrangements that permit the sale of unpaid balances in a clearing account to be sold to a third party, usually at a discount, that may be used for produ8cing goods in the country holding the balance; F) Swap schemes through which products from different locations are traded to save transportaion costs (e.g., Soviet oil may be “swapped” for oil from a Latin American producer, so the Soviet oil is shipped to a country in South Asia, while the Latin American oil is shipped to Cuba); G) Barter arrangements through which two parties directly exchange good deemed to be of approximately equilavent value without any flow of money taking place. Countervailing Duties. Special duties imposed on imports to offset the benefits of subsidies to producers or exporters in the exporting country. GATT Article VI permits the use of such duties. The Executive Branch of the U.S. Government has been legally empowered since the 1890s to impose countervailing duties in amounts equal to any “bounties” or “grants” reflected in products imported into the United States. Under U.S. law and the Tokyo Round Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Duties, a wide range of practices are recognized as constituting subsidies that ay be offset through the imposition of countervailing duties. The Trade Agreements Act of 1979, through amendments to the Tariff Act of 1930, established rigorous procedures and deadlines for determining the existence of subsidies in response to petitions filed by interested parties such as domestic producers of competitive products and their workers. In all cases involving subsidized products from countries recognized by the United States as signatories to the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Duties, or countries which have assumed obligations substantially equivalent to those under the Agreement. U.S. law requires that countervailing duties may be imposed only after the U.S. International Trade Commission has determined that the imports are causing or threatening to cause material injury to an industry in the United States. Devaluation. The lowering of the value of a national currency in terms of the currency of another nation. Devaluation tends to reduce domestic demand for imports in a country by raising their prices in terms of the devalued currency and to raise foreign demand for the country’s exports by reducing their prices in terms of foreign currencies. Devaluation can therefore help to correct a balance of payments deficit and sometimes provide a short-term basis for economic adjustment of a national economy. Developed Countries. A tern used to distinguish the more industrialized nations—including all OECD member counties as well as the Soviet Union and most of the socialist counties of Eastern Europe—from “developing” —or less developed—countries. The developed countries are sometimes collectively designated as the “North,” because most of them are in the Northern Hemisphere. IL4 Developing Countries (LCD5). A broad range of countries that generally lack a high degree of industrialization, infrastructure and other capital investment, sophisticated technology, widespread literacy, and advanced living standards among their populations as a whole, The developing countries are sometimes collectively designated as the “South, “because a large number of them are in the Southern Hemisphere. All of the countries of Africa (except South Africa), Asia and Oceania (except Australia, Japa and New Zealand), Latin America, and the Middle East are generally considered “developing countries, as are a few European countries (Cyprus, Malta, Turkey and Yugoslavia, for example). Some experts differentiate four sub-categories of developing countries as having different “ economic needs and interests: 1) A few relatively wealthy OPEC countries—sometimes referred to as oil exporting developing counties—share a particular interest in a financially sound international economy and open capital markets; 2) Newly Industrializing Countries (NICs) have a growing stake in an open international trading system; 3) A number of middle income countries—principally commodity exporters—have shown a particular interest in commodity stabilization schemes; and 4) More than 30 very poor countries (“least developed countries”) are predominantly agricultural, have sharply limited development prospects during the near future, and tend to be heavily dependent on official development assistance. Exchange Rate. The price (or rate) at which one currency is exchanged for another currency, for gold, or for Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). Free Trade. A theoretical concept that assumes international trade unhampered by government measures such as tarriffs or non-tarrif barriers. The objective of trade liberalization is to achieve “ifreer trade” rather than “free trade, “it being gfenerally recognized among trade policy officials that some restrictions on trade are likely to remain in effect for the foreseeable future. International Monetary Fund (IMF). An international financial institution proposed at the 1944 Bretton Woods Conference and established in 1946 that seeks to stabilize the international monetary system as a sound basis for the orderly expansion of international trade. Specifically, among other things, the Fund monitors exchange rate policies of member countries, lends them foreign exchange resources to support their adjustment policies when they experience balance of payments difficulties, and provides them financial assistance through a special “compensatory financing facility” when they experience temporary shortfalls in commodity export earnings. Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Some 36 of the world’s poorest countries, considered by the United Nations to be the least developed of the less developed countries. Most of them are small in terms of area and population, and some are land-locked or small island countries. They are generally characterized by low per capita incomes, literacy levels, and medical standards; subsistence agriculture; and a lack of exploitable minerals and competitive industries. Many suffer from aridity, floods, hurricanes, and excessive animal and plant pests, and most are situated in the zone 10 to 30 degrees north latitude. These countries have little prospect of rapid economic development in the foreseeable future and are likely to remain heavily dependent upon official development assistance for many years. Most are in Africa, but a few, such as Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Laos, and Nepal, are in Asia. Haiti is the only country in the Western Hemisphere classified by the United Nations as “least developed.” See developing countries. Most-Favored-Nation Treatment (MFN). The policy of non-discrimination in trade policy that provides to all trading partners the same customs and tariff treatment given to the so-called “Most-FavoredNation.” This fundamental principle was a feature of U.S. trade policy as early as 1778. Since 1923 the United States has incorporated an “unconditional” Most-Favored-Nation clause in its trade agreements, binding the contracting governments to confer upon each other all the most favorable trade concessions that either may grant to any other country subsequent to the signing of the agreement. The United States now applies this provision to its trade with all of its trading partners except for those specifically excluded bylaw. The MEN principle has also provided the foundation of the world trading system since the end of World War II. All Contracting Parties to GATT apply MEN treatment to one another under Article I of GATT. Multilateral Agreement. An international compact involving three or more parties. For example, GATT has been since its establishment in 1947, seeking to promote trade liberalization through multilateral negotiations. Non-Market Economy. A national economy or a country in which the government seeks to determine economic activity largely through a mechanism of central planning, as in the Soviet Union, in contrast to a market economy that depends heavily upon market forces to allocate productive resources. In a “nonmarket” economy, production targets, prices, costs, investment allocation, raw material, labor, international trade, and most other economic aggregates are manipulated within a trade, and most other economic affrefates are manipulated within a national economic plan drawn up by a central planning aurthoriey, and hence the public sector makes the mahor decisions affecting demand and supply within the national economy. Protectionism. The deliberate use or encouragement of restrictions on imports to enable relatively inefficient domestic producers to compete successfully with foreign producers. Retaliation. Action taken by a country so restrain its imports from a country that has increased a tariff or imposed other measures that adversely affect its exports in a manner inconsistent with GATT. The GATT, in certain circumstances, permits such reprisal, although this has very rarely been practiced. The value of trade affected by such retaliatory measures should, in theory, approximately equal the valie affected by the initial import restriction. Subsidy. An economic benefit granted by a government to producers of goods, often to strengthen their competitive position. The subsidy may be direct (a cash grant) or indirect (low-interest export credits guaranteed by a government agency, for example). Tariff. A duty (or tax) levied upon goods transported from one customs area to another. Tariffs raise the prices of imported goods, thus making them less competitive within the market of the importing country. After seven “Rounds” of GATT trade negotiations that focused heavily on tariff reductions, tariffs are less important measures of protection than they used to be. The term “tariff” often refers to a comprehensive list or “schedule” of merchandise with the rate of duty to be paid to the government for importing products listed. Terms of Trade. The volume of exports that can be traded for a given volume of imports. Changes in the terms of trade are generally measured by comparing changes in the ratio of export prices to import prices. The terms of trade are considered to have improved when a given volume of exports can be exchanged for a larger volume of imports. Some economists have discerned an overall deteriorating trend in this ratio for developing countries as a whole. Other economists maintain that whereas the terms of trade may have become less favorable for certain countries during certain periods—and even for all developing countries during some periods—the same terms of trade have improved for other developing countries in the same periods and perhaps for most developing countries during other periods. Transfer of Technology. The movement of modern or scientific methods of production or distribution from one enterprise, institution or country to another, as through foreign investment, international trade licensing of patent rights, technical assistance or training. World Bank. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), commonly referred to as the World Bank, is an intergovernmental financial institution located in Washington, D.C. Its objectives are to help raise productivity and incomes and reduce poverty in developing countries. It was established in December 1945 on the basis of a plan developed at the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944. The Bank loans financial resources to credit worthy developing countries. It raises most of its funds by selling bonds in the world’s major capital markets. Its bonds have, over the years, earned a quality rating enjoyed only by sound governments and leading corporations. Projects supported by the World Bank normally receive high priority within recipient governments and are usually well planned and supervised. The World Bank earns a profit, which is plowed back into its capital. SISIND 1VIDNVNIJ 1V9019 3HI JO NOIIVDI1dLAJI ]NV S3flSSI ADNEINNflD IN3NNflD FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS §101 3 §101 FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS Money and Currency [11 Throughout much of human history, trade did not involve money or currency but occurred through barter, the direct exchange of goods and services Even today, international barter, called cou’ntertrode, is an important segment of global commerce, particularly for countries that lack a widely acceptable currency But barter and countertrade create two serious econormc inefficiencies (1) trade is limited to partners who both want and have specific commodities, and, (2) production cannot be specialized because many items that cannot be acquired by trade must be made locally Money, of course, has replaced barter in the vast majority of domestic and international transactions Money performs three basic functions it is a medium of exchange that may be used to acquire goods and services from anyone who is willing to accept it, it is a store of wealth that may be accumulated for future transactions, and it serves as a unit of account for determining the relative value of different commodities and services For example, the relative values of a book and a haircut is established by the fact that the book costs twenty dollars and the haircut thirty Until relatively recently, most of the money used in mternational trade consisted of metal coins typically gold or silver that had a measurable intrinsic value However, growing commerce involving larger transactions at longer distances required governments and banks to substitute paper bills for heavy coins that were difficult to transport and protect Over time, national governments assumed sole responsibility for issuing money, and the paper bills and coins circulated by a country’s government constitutes its currency — — Initially, paper money was acceptable as medium of exchange only if people were confident that the issuer would eventually convert it to gold or silver Indeed, until 1933, the U S Treasury would exchange gold coins for paper dollars upon demand The convertibility of paper dollars into gold ended, however, with the economic reforms enacted during the Great Depression Since that tune, creditors in the U S must accept paper currency in settlement of debts (t e it is legal tender), without the ability to convert it to gold This is true for most of the world’s monetary systems, the value of a nation’s currency is determined by government actions and policies rather than by reference to gold or silver , The institution with the sole authority to issue a nation’s currency is referred to as its centml bank Central banks also regulate the supply of credit in a country’s economy Examples of central banks are the U S Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the German Bundesbank The European Central Bank, located in Frankfurt, acts as the central bank for the European Monetary System The central bank of the United States is the Federal Reserve System (the Fed), consisting of a seven-member Board of Governors m Washington, D C, 12 regional Reserve Banks, and national and state chartered member depository MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 4 CH. 1 institutions. The Fed controls the nation’s monetary policy by managing the supply of money, setting interest rates and supervising the banking system. It also manages international monetary affairs by establishing and maintaining the value of the U.S. dollar in global markets. The Federal Reserve usually increases or decreases the domestic money supply through open market operations that are directed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC directs the New York Federal Reserve Bank to buy or sell securities (government and other kinds) to control the amount of money and credit in the economy. When the FOMC purchases securities, new money and credit are introduced into the banking system, and economic expansion is fostered. Conversely, if the FOMC sells securities, money and credit are taken out of the system and economic activity is slowed. [2] Foreign Exchange International transactions are often complex because they involve the currencies of more than one nation. Ordinarily, this means that the transaction will require one party to convert its nation’s currency into the national currency used by the other party. For example, if a U.S. importer of Chilean wine must pay for the goods in Pesos, the importer must use its dollars to buy Pesos from a currency dealer or bank. If payment is made in dollars, the Chilean exporter must convert the dollars to Pesos if he is to spend the money in Chile. Another country’s currency is called foreign exchange and the price of one currency in terms of another currency is called the foreign exchange rate. In the U.S., the exchange rate usually is stated as how many units of a specified foreign currency will be received for a dollar. Thus, if the wine importer must pay one dollar to receive five pesos, the foreign exchange rate is 5.00. It is important to know foreign exchange rates in order to compare the international prices of goods and services. For example, if the wine importer wants to compare the prices in dollars of Chilean and Italian products quoted in their home currencies, he must know the exchange rate for Chilean pesos and Italian Euros. Foreign exchange may consist of cash, credit and debit card funds, traveler’s checks, bank deposits, and other short-term rights to funds. For larger transactions, such as those conducted by banks and foreign exchange dealers, the transactions usually are conducted by trading bank deposits denominated in different national currencies. For example, a dealer-to-dealer sale of dollars for pesos is conducted by exchanging a dollar bank deposit for a peso bank deposit. As discussed in § 1.O1[4j[c] below, world trade now operates under a system that does not permanently fix exchange rates between currencies, but allows most currencies to fluctuate (float) in accordance with market conditions. In a floating rate system, many factors affect the exchange rate of a nation’s currency, including the relative value of imports to exports, the amount of investment capital attracted, government monetary policies, domestic political and economic stability, and inflation and interest rates. Ultimately, the value of a nation’s currency is determined by private traders in the global foreign exchange market. § 1.01 FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS 5 The most important factor affecting the value of a nation’s currency is the international demand for the goods and services it produces. One nation’s currency is simply a commodity in other countries, so that its price (exchange rate) depends upon the demand and supply of the currency on the foreign exchange market. If Americans buy more items from foreign countries (imports) than they sell abroad (exports), eventually the supply of U.S. dollars will exceed the international demand and the exchange rate for the dollar will go down. Changes in currency exchange rates directly affect the relative prices of foreign goods and services. Continuing the wine importer example, a decrease in the exchange rate of the peso from 5.00 to 4.00 per dollar results in a 25 percent increase in the cost to import Chilean wine. A bottle of wine priced at 20 pesos previously cost four dollars (20 / 5), but now costs five dollars (20 / 4). When the dollar price of a foreign currency increases, the dollar is said to depreciate and the other currency is deemed to appreciate. In theory, an efficient, free market should restore the exchange rates between currencies to their equilibrium point. Depreciation of the dollar with respect to another currency means the dollar price of that currency (e.g., peso) rises; it takes more dollars to buy a peso. Conversely, the peso price of the dollar falls; it takes fewer pesos to buy a dollar.. As a result, Chilean goods become more expensive in the U.S. and U.S. products become cheaper in Chile. Absent other factors affecting prices, the lower cost for U.S. goods should increase demand for them in Chile, increasing the demand for dollars, which in turn will cause the dollar. to again appreciate against the Peso. [3] Foreign Exchange Markets Currencies are traded in a number of financial markets centers around the world, including New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, London, Tokyo, Singapore, Frankfurt., Paris, Zurich, and Milan. Most market participants are commercial and investment banks throughout the world that are linked to each other by electronic means such as computers and telephones. The basic transaction between these participants is the purchase of a bank deposit denominated in a specific currency. Thus, a Japanese Bank that buys dollars is really buying a dollar denominated bank deposit in the U.S. or a foreign bank’s claim to dollar deposits in a U.S. bank. Because the foreign exchange market operates in different time zones, a twenty-four hour market has developed in which financial institutions are trading currencies every hour of every day and night. Exchange rates fluctuate all day long in response to global developments, so that market participants must carefully monitor exchange rate changes. Market information is simultaneously received by dealers around the world, resulting in an exchange rate for the key currencies that usually is the same in all financial markets. Any differences between the rates would allow for arbitrage, which is the buying and selling of identical securities in two markets to take advantage of price differences. Discrepancies that arise between exchange rates in different markets are quickly eliminated by arbitrage transactions that use fast technologies and communications to find rate inequalities and instantly buy and MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 6 CH. 1 sell the currencies in two different locations. This fast, low risk profit source ensures that currency rate discrepancies do not exist for long. Although hundreds of currencies are in use around the world, most exchange the dollar, yen. pound sterling, transactions involve only a few key currencies and euro. By far, the dollar is the most widely traded currency, accounting for nearly 90 percent of foreign exchange transactions. Much of this dollar trading arises from transactions in which it is used as a vehicle for trading other currencies. For example, parties wishing to exchange Brazilian reals for Hungarian forints are likely to sell the reals for dollars and then sell the dollars for forints. This is because an active market and ready price are available between dollars and reals and dollars and forints, while a direct market and accurate price between reals and forints would be difficult to find. Although the dollar is the most used vehicle, other currencies such as they yen and euro also are used for this purpose. — [41 Eurodollars Eurodollars are bank deposits denominated in dollars held in banks outside the U.S.’ This type of deposit originally developed in Europe but is now found in major financial centers around the world, including many Asian and Caribbean nations. The deposits, which may be owned by individuals, corporations, or governments, are called Eurodollars regardless of the country where held. Eurodollars do not represent actual U.S. dollars deposited abroad, but merely change the ownership of dollar deposits located in the U.S. For example, a U.S corporation that writes a $10 million check on its U.S. bank to deposit in a foreign bank changes ownership of the U.S. deposit from itself to the foreign bank. The foreign bank treats the transaction as if it acquired the $10 million deposit in the U.S. bank as a new asset and a new liability of $10 million to the U.S. corporation. The U.S. bank records the transaction as a shift in its $10 million liability from the corporation to the foreign bank. The Eurodollar market has growii rapidly because it is generally free of government regulation. Eurodollar deposits are simply obligations of the banks that accept them and are not guaranteed by any government. The lack of regulation makes Eurodollar deposits more profitable for banks than deposits subject to U.S. banking requirements (such as minimum reserves and Federal Deposit Insurance premiums) and interest rates on Eurodollars generally exceed the yields of other money markets. A major portion of global financial transactions is conducted in Eurodollars. The market is huge, consisting of many trillions of dollars deposited by large corporations, central banks, supranational institutions such as the Bank for International Settlements, and wealthy individuals. The maturity on deposits is generally short term, often less than six months. Most Eurodollar loans are Non-U.S. residents also may conduct Eurodollar transactions at International Banking Facili ties (IBFs) in the United States. See Goodfriend, Eurodollars, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (1998). 1.01 FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS 7 quite large, going to corporations funding foreign operations, and foreign governments funding national projects or balance-of-payment deficits. Eurobonds. Eurobonds are bonds denominated in a different currency than used by the country in which they are issued. Most Eurobonds are issued by international syndicates and are classified by reference to the currency of denomination. For example, a Japanese company may issue a eurodollar bond (i.e., a bond denominated in U.S. dollars) in any country other than the U.S. and a Euroyen bond (denominated in yen) in any country other than Japan. Eurobonds are attractive financing instruments for several reasons. A Eurobond allows the issue to denominate its obligation in a preferred currency. The instruments also allow an issuer to offer bonds in a country without regard to many of the regulations applicable to bonds denominated in the local currency. Generally, Eurobonds have low par values that make them highly liquid. Global Bonds. Unlike Eurobonds, Global Bonds can be issued in the same currency used by the country of issuance. For example, a global bond denominated in U.S. dollars can be issued in all countries, including the U.S. Thus, Global bonds can be issued in several markets simultaneously. However, the offering must satisir the financial regulations of the currency denomination country, so that such offerings may be quite complex. Accordingly, Global bonds usually are issued by very large organizations with high credit ratings. [51 Regulating Foreign Exchange Rates National and international policies and agreements that regulate the exchange rate between different national currencies are referred to as exchange rate systems.. Although many systems have been adopted over the centuries, most fall into one of two categories: fixed or floating exchange rates systems. In a fixed exchange rate system, a nation’s currency is set at a predetermined exchange rate that does not change in response to supply and demand for the currency. Usually, a country’s central bank accomplishes this by fixing the exchange rate between its currency and a commodity (such as gold), or a specific foreign currency (such as the dollar). In afloaling exchanie rate system, the central bank allows its currency exchange rate to be determined by supply and demand through trading in the foreign exchange market. In either system, a nation’s currency will appreciate or depreciate when its value changes relative to another currency. A currency appreciates when one of its units can buy more units of another currency and depreciates when one of its unit can buy fewer units of another currency. In a floating rate system, these value changes are determined by market forces. In a fixed rate system, a nation may deliberately devalue its currency through a downward adjustment to its official exchange rate set or “pegged” to a standard such a gold or the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a government can revalue its currency by an upward adjustment of the pegged exchange rate. Freely. convertible currencies that are not expected to depreciate greatly in the near future are referred to as hard currencies. These include key currencies such as the dollar, yen, pound and euro. A currency is convertible if it can be L:,3 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 8 CH. 1 readily exchanged for other currencies without excessive government controls or restrictions. By contrast a currency that cannot be readily exchanged is a soft currency. A number of governments impose foreign exchange controls that restrict the purchase and sale of foreign currencies by residents or the purchase and sale of domestic currency by foreigners. Advocates of fixed exchange rates (like the gold standard described below) argue that history shows that they provided a long period of exchange rate stability for most trading nations. Under this view, the fixed rate standard provides a simple, automatic mechanism for adjusting trade imbalances without government interference. Supporters believe that a fixed exchange rate system: • prevents governments from adopting inflationary monetary policies; • promotes international coordination of monetary policies by removing the ability to adopt independent monetary policies, and; • enhances international trade and investment by eliminating exchangerate risk. Although a dedicated band of “gold bugs” continues to argue for restoration of the gold standard, that seems unlikely to occur anytime soon. Many disagree that the fixed rate gold standard enhanced economic well being. They argue that during the Great Depression the fixed rate system prevented governments from taking economic measures to restore beleaguered economies, decrease unemployment and enhance domestic living standards. Proponents of floating exchange rates hold that these systems: • enhance optimal resource allocation in the world economy; • allow for policies that help internal economic conditions without disrupting the balance of payments, and; • reduce the need for unproductive foreign exchange reserves to support the fixed rate. As described in the following sections, most of the exchange rate systems used today combine elements of fixed and floating rates. [a] The Gold Standard From the mid-1800s through the start of the First World War in 1914, most of the world’s major trading countries used the gold standard of fixed currency exchange rates. The United States began to apply the gold standard in 1879, and formally adopted it by legislation in 1900. Under the gold standard, each participating country defined the price of gold in terms of its domestic currency, and promised to convert its paper currency to gold on demand at the central bank of the issuing country. Under this system, a U.S. exporter of goods to Chile could take payment in pesos, exchange the pesos for dollars at his U.S. bank, which would then exchange the pesos for dollars at a U.S. Federal Reserve bank. The Federal Reserve would ship the pesos to Chile in exchange for gold, thus increasing the U.S. gold supply and decreasing Chile’s gold supply. § 1.01 FOREIGN EXC}IANGE TRANSACTIONS 9 Because each unit of currency was backed by a specific amount of gold, a nation’s money supply increased or decreased directly with the gain or loss of gold. A country that spent more for imports than it earned from exports (ie., a balance of payments deficit) had to ship gold abroad to cover the deficit. The decrease in the nation’s gold stock required a reduction in its money supply, resulting in lower domestic prices and wages (deflation). A nation that exported more than it imported (ie., a positive balance of payments) received additional gold and expanded its money supply, resulting in higher domestic prices and wages (inflation). Theoretically, these wage and price increases or decreases would create shifts in trade that would automatically adjust the imbalance of payments to equilibrium and restore each country’s gold and money supply. In practice, however, these automatic adjustments frequently did not occur because countries adopted policies inconsistent with a gold standard to avoid domestic unemployment or inflation. During the First World War, many European counties stopped exchanging gold for currency and adopted floating exchange rates. After the war, the exchange rate of many European currencies fluctuated widely and steeply lost value against the U.S. dollar. Because of their weakened economies and large war debt burdens, returning to the gold standard was infeasible. The dollar became an attractive currency for international transactions because it was still convertible to gold and backed by a strong U.S. economy. Although Great Britain and other European nations reverted to the gold standard for a brief period in the 1920s, the financial strains of the Great Depression forced them to abandon it again during the early 1930s. The Great Depression upset foreign exchange markets and devastated the international monetary system, which depended upon international cooperation. Many nations adopted unrealistic measures to restrict imports and enhance exports. Thçse included high tariffs, trade restrictions, foreign exchange controls and steep currency devaluations. A breakdown of confidence in paper currency incited a demand for gold that central banks could not meet, requiring many nations to abandon the gold standard. As a result, trade became increasingly difficult between the many nations that abandoned the gold standard and the few, like the U.S. that continued to use it. Indeed, some governments encouraged barter arrangements as a means of avoiding international exchange transactions altogether. The resulting chaos in exchange rates contributed to a precipitous decline in international trade, which dropped by almost 65 percent between 1929 and 1932. The economic rivalries of the 1930s provided the stimulus for the economic reforms and monetary cooperation that would be implemented after the Second World War. [hi The Bretton Woods Agreement Toward the end of Second World War, the U.S. and Great Britain organized an international conference at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to plan the political and economic arrangements that would govern the post-war era. The participating nations generally agreed that chaotic international monetary conditions were causative factors in the Great Depression that subsequently led to the war. As a remedy, the U.S. and Great Britain proposed a new global t;5 MONEY CURRENCY AND FINANCE 16 CM. 1 An option that grants the right to sell a currency is a put option. A seller of a put option must buy the currency at the strike price if the option is exercised. Typically, put options are purchased by holders of a currency who seek protection against a fall in its price. The option will be exercised if the put price is greater than the market price of the currency. Like futures, currency options are traded on organized exchanges. These include the Philadelphia Stock Exchange and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the U.S. and a number of exchanges abroad such as in Singapore, Amsterdam, Paris, and Brussels. Exchange-traded options are traded in contracts that are standardized for the amount of currency, exercise price, and expiration date. Each exchange operates a clearinghouse which guarantees that a contract party will not sustain a loss if the other party fails to perform its financial obligations. No margin requirement is imposed on the option buyer, who must only pay a premium for the contract. However, the option writer does bear a financial risk on the contract and is subject to the exchange’s margin account requirements. In addition to foreign currencies, exchange-traded option contracts are written on many of the same kinds of commodities and financial assets involved in the futures markets. Options are also traded over-the-counter by banks and other financial institutions. The two basic forms of options are the European style option that may only be exercised on the expiration date, and the American style option that may be exercised at any tune before or on the expiration date. Most over the counter options are European style, while most options traded on exchanges are American style. The regulatory agency responsible for a currency option depend upon the exchange on which the option is traded. Foreign currency options traded on national securities exchanges are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SE C). Foreign currency options traded on other exchanges are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The regulatory agency responsible for other types of options depends on the underlying asset. Stock options and options on securities are governed by the SEC, while commodity options are regulated by the CFTC. § 1.02 REGULATION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS [1] Overview An international financial transaction occurs when some aspect of a payment, investment, or financial contract involves people or institutions located hi different countries. This occurs when loans are sought and extended, or securities are marketed and sold, across national borders. Usually, parties engage in international financial transactions to obtain bona fide economic advantages. In some cases, however, a transaction may be purposefully structured abroad to avoid a home country’s banking and securities regulations or taxation. MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 18 CR. 1 and related financial instruments these institutions owned or insured. The distress of the U.S. financial institutions inevitably spread to financial markets abroad. The severe losses sustained by global financial institutions, and the consequential lack of trust in debtors, limited their abifity and willingness to make new loans. Accordingly, little credit was available to businesses for conducting their operations or to consumers for houses, cars, necessities, and luxuries. The result was a massive contraction in business and investment activity, record low consumer confidence, high unemployment, and falling stock market prices throughout the world. Companies that relied on consumer credit, such as the automobile industry, fared most poorly. [a] Causes A major cause of the economic decline was the collapse of the real estate price “bubble” that began forming in the mid-1990s. The continual increase in house prices fed expectations of future increases, even in the last years of the bubble when prices had peaked. By 2006, the inflation of housing prices far exceeded the levels of household income required to make. homes really affordable. The rapid price inflation of residential real estate was exacerbated by a vast increase in the issuance of sub-prime mortgages to home buyers that could not qualify for regular loans. Most of these loans entailed little or no down-payment, low initial interest rates that substantially increased in later years, and high prepayment penalties that made it costly to refinance when interest rates declined. Many home buyers did not understand these onerous terms or were persuaded that ever-increasing house prices guaranteed a later sale of the house for a profit. Generally, the initial mortgage lenders did not hold these sub-prime mortgages but sold them,through the banking system, to the governmentsponsored institutions created to purchase mortgages. These institutions, called Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in turn sold the mortgages to investment banks that bundled thousands of such loans into a mortgage-backed security (MBS). This process continually provided the funds mortgage lenders required to make new loans. Because ever-rising property values seemed to indicate little chance of default, rating agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s generally gave high grades to these securities mistakenly identifying them as relatively safe investments. Thus, an MBS, or parts of one, could easily be sold to institutional or private investors as a low-risk security. — Commercial and investment banks also packaged pools of sub-prime mortgages with other asset-backed securities into Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO). These financial investment products divided the pool of loans into different slices or tranches having different default risks and interest rates. The tranches with the lowest default risk were assigned the highest rating by the credit rating agencies, while tranches with more risk (and higher interest rates) received lower ratings. § 1.02 REGULATION OF INTL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS 19 This ordering of risk and ratings made CDOs attractive to different kinds of investors with different risk tolerances. The higher rated CDO tranches were considered conservative investment choices and were included in the portfolios of many asset managers, including hedge funds, insurance companies, banks and pension funds. This vast amount of funding from institutional investors provided continuing support for new subprime mortgages, further increasing housing demand and prices. To further decrease the apparent risk to CDO and MBS holders, insurance companies and other financial institutions began issuing instruments called credit default swaps (CDS) that, for a premium, guaranteed losses from a default of a CDO or MBS. The CDS, however, soon evolved from a guarantee of an existing debt to a highly speculative investment vehicle. By purchasing a CDS on securities they did not own, speculators could profit from increases in the default rate even if they sustained no loss on the default. Although this huge speculative market generated huge profits for the CDS issuers, the potential losses from a substantial increase in the default rate were far greater than they could possibly cover. In 2008, more than $60 trillion of CDSs were outstanding. The dangers posed by mortgage backed securities were not generally apparent while housing prices were increasing. Mortgage debtors could resolve any personal financial difficulty by borrowing against their home equity or selling the house at a profit. Thus, defaults on home loans were unusual and unnecessary. The rapid and unrealistic increase in house values was fueled by low interest rates and a speculative flurry of buying predicated on the assumption that prices could only go up never down. These conditions existed in many parts of the world, so that real estate bubbles were evident in many parts of Europe, South America, and Asia. — But, of cburse, the housing bubble did burst and an alarming number of mortgage borrowers began to default. Housing prices declined severely and rapidly, particularly in rapidly growing areas such as Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada. The default rate for sub-prime mortgages increased rapidly and soon spread to prime mortgages as the economy deteriorated. New buyers could not get loans or were reluctant to purchase while prices were still falling. Existing homeowners could not refinance at more favorable rates because the value of their houses were less than the amount they owed. As delinquencies and defaults on mortgages increased, the credit rating agencies downgraded their ratings of most CDOs backed by this collateral. Obviously, these agencies, as well as the CDO issuers and investors, greatly miscalculated the risks inherent in CDOs and in the CDSs that purported to guarantee them. The defaults and rating downgrades produced a massive decline in value of the CDOs held by major financial institutions throughout the world, drastically reducing the capital required for their lending operations and reserves. Because the depth of the financial decline was unknown, financial institutions could not quantify the decreased value of the asset-backed securities they owned or guaranteed. Similarly, they could not determine the true financial condition of the other institutions they dealt with in the marketplace. This lack MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 20 CH. 1 of confidence rapidly spread through the global financiai system, freezing the flow of credit that underpins modern economies. Without credit, businesses could not fund their operating expenses and consumers could not purchase houses, cars, vacations, and other discretionary items. Thus, the problems of the housing industry rapidly spread to most other areas of business and commerce, resulting in the most severe decline in economic activity since 1929. Unemployment skyrocketed and a plunging stock market wiped out a decade of gains. The decline in stock values decimated pension plans, resulting in a huge loss of wealth by millions of baby-boomers who would soon need that wealth to fund their retirements. A perception grew that the economy was not merely in recession, but on the verge of another 1929style Great Depression. It was the greatest loss of wealth in history. [bi International Response The severity of the economic problems became apparent to the public when the largest, best-known fmancial companies in the U.S. began to fail. Reduced to a fraction of their value, these companies were taken over by others, went out of, business or were bailed out by massive capital infusions and guarantees from, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve Bank. Essentially, all the independent investment banks on Wall Street disappeared through merger, bankruptcy or transformation into regulated deposit-taking banking companies. These problems were not limited to the U.S., which became evident as many major European financial companies began the same process of merger, failure or government bailout. With varying degrees of severity, banks failed and credit disappeared in the U.}C, France, Spain, Ireland, Germany, Belgium, Luxemburg and Netherlands. A shocking failure of banks in Iceland led to the virtual bankruptcy of that formerly properous country. The initial response of most governments was massive intervention in their national financial systems and economies. The basic policy tools were low interest rates, expansion of the money supply, tax rebates, and enormous government spending programs. In the United States, the Federal Reserve reduced short-term interest rates to zero and pumped more than $1 trillion into the economy through purchases of securities and loan guarantees. The Treasury Department used a $700 billion allocation from Congress (initially intended for purchases of toxic assets from financial institutions) to inject capital directly into more than 200 financial institutions in exchange for ownership interests. Hundreds of billions in tax refunds were mailed to households and more billions provided through tax credits and rebates to purchasers of houses and cars. Billions more were allocated to bail out major U.S, automobile manufacturers. Similar policies were adopted across the globe. European govermnents provided hundreds of billions to buy all or part of domestic banks and to guarantee their loans. The European Central bank coordinated substantial interest-rate reductions with the central banks of most European countries. Over opposition from Germany, which called for fiscal restraint, European governments created huge public-spending programs to stimulate their economies. REGULATION OF INTL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS § 102 21 Although most Asian banks did not incur major losses from investments in asset-backed securities, Asian economies suffered greatly from declining exports to the U.S. and Europe. Japan, stung by its highest unemployment rate since WW II, instituted a massive economic stimulus package. In China, a rapid decline in the rate of economic growth resulted in massive layoffs across its export-oriented industries. The government slashed interest rates and instituted a $600 billion economic stimulus program. [ci Recovery and Reform By late 2009, the U.S. and global economies appear to have stabilized and a slow period of recovery is likely. Governments and international agencies are now considering the causes of the economic crisis and the reforms needed to prevent recurrence. The economic analysis and political debate are focused on the following issues: “Too Big to Fail.” This phrase refers to the necessity for government intervention to prevent failure of a large, interconnected financial firm that poses systemic risk ie., its failure would cause major damage throughout financial markets. Opponents of such interventions argue that bail-outs of financial institutions create moral hazard i.e., it encourages risky behavior by creditors and investors who believe that governments will protect them against loss. To minimize systemic risk and the need for intervention, governments will grant central banks and regulators broad authority over troubled financial companies whose failure would cause widespread harm to the entire financial system. This resolution authority will allow regulators to act to preserve these firms as going concerns or to rapidly close or wind them down. Other rules may ‘require these firms to reduce the complexity of their group structures or mandate stand-alone subsidiaries. — — Regulation of Credit Rating Agencies. Because of their complexity and limited public information, investors in CDOs and other assetbacked securities relied on credit rating agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s to determine the risks associated with these instruments. The fact that the high ratings afforded these securities were woefully inaccurate has led to calls for regulation of the credit rating process. These regulations would restrict conflicts of interests created when a rating agency has other business relationships with the institution seeking the rating, as well as changes to the rating methodologies. Regulation of Credit Derivatives. As noted above, the proliferation of mis-priced Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) and Credit Default Swaps (CDS) was a significant cause of the financial crisis. These instruments were specifically removed from regulatory oversight by the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. New legislation and regulation will make these transactions more transparent and provide for oversight of the derivatives market. See discussion below. 22 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE CH. 1 Compensation Reform. Compensation practices at major financial institutions significantly contributed to the 2008 financial crisis by encouraging excessive risk-taking by senior executives and traders. New international compensation standards have been proposed to align compensation with creation of long-term value rather than excessive risk-taking. Specific rules may include: o Eliminating multi-year guaranteed bonuses. o Reduction in total compensation in firms that have negative financial performance, including reductions in previously earned amounts through clawback arrangements. o Compensation of senior executives and employees whose actions materially affect a firm’s risk exposure must be deferred over a period of at least 3 years and relate to their individual performance. o A substantial proportion of the compensation tb senior executives and employees must be awarded in shares or share-linked instruments whose value is aligned with the firm’s long-term growth. Risk Management and Capital Requirements. New regulations will mandate substantial increases in the amount and quality of capital maintained by banks engaged in international transactions. This will require revision of the Basel II capital framework discussed in § 1.02[4] below. The new Basel II rules will include: o Significantly higher capital requirements. o Requirements that banks build capital during profitable periods that can be drawn upon during economic downturns. o Higher quality capital reserves such as common shares and retained earnings. o Full disclosure of each bank’s capital base and risk exposure. Restructuring Global Imbalances. Many economists believe that the underlying cause of the financial crisis is the imbalance between savings arid investment in major national economies. This imbalance is reflected in the large trade deficit of the United States and the large trade surpluses of developing countries such as China. These imbalances stem from government policies that encourage unrealistic currency exchange rates, low interest rates and excess borrowing for consumption in the U.S., and excess savings and lack of domestic consumption in China and other emerging-market economies. This underlying problem must be addressed through multi-lateral agreements that encourage sustainable, balanced national growth patterns. The challenge to the international community is to avoid booms and busts in asset and credit prices by promoting balanced global supply and demand in most areas of trade. It is unclear if such global macroeconomic cooperation is feasible in the near future. § 1.02 [2] REGULATION OF INTL FINANCLAL TRANSACTIONS 23 Financial Derivatives A derivative is a financial instrument that takes its value from the value of another underlying asset such as a commodity, mortgage, corporate stock, bond, or currency. Derivatives are designed to shift some of the risk associated with the underlying asset from one party to the agreement to another. For example, assume that the buyer in an international sales contract must pay for the goods at a future date in a foreign currency. To hedge the risk that the foreign currency will increase in cost, he may purchase a futures contract that provides a right to buy the currency at a future date at a set price. The futures contract is a derivative that shifts the risk of any increased currency cost to the other party. In addition to hedging risks, derivatives often are used for speculative purposes. One class of derivatives, called swaps, are custom, privately negotiated contracts in which the parties agree to exchange an asset or cash at a future time. Because swaps are not traded on exchanges, they are called over-thecounter (OTC) derivatives. Another class of derivatives comprises standardized, exchange-traded contracts called futures. Many different kinds of contracts, with varying degrees of complexity, are available in both classes. In recent years, the huge amounts invested iii complex derivatives created substantial and misunderstood risks in financial markets. During the 1990s, some of the dangers associated with derivatives were revealed by a number of highly-publicized cases involving substantial losses on derivative investments. For example, a major British Bank, Barings PLC, was bankrupted by losses sustained by one of its traders on Nikkei index futures and options. Similarly, Orange County, California, one of the richest areas in the U.S., became bankrupt in 1994 because of a $1 billion loss on its investments in derivative instruments. These transactions reflect the overuse of derivatives as a means of speculation, rather their more appropriate role as a hedge against the risks inherent in a transaction.. The 2008 Financial Crisis. Clearly, failure to understand the risks posed by financial derivatives was a major cause of the 2008 global financial crisis. Sophisticated financial institutions and investors poured trillions of dollars into complex OTC derivatives such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO), and Credit Default Swaps (CDS), that they thought were insured against major loss. Until the crisis emerged, this vast portion of the global fluianeial market was unregulated by any government agency. The true risks of these derivatives became clear in 2007, when a decline in U.S. home prices caused a concomitant decline in the value of the hundreds of billions of mortgage backed securities owned by domestic and foreign financial institutions. Although these investors believed that their hedging derivative contracts would provide protection, the huge volume of losses was far greater than the contract guarantors (“counterparties”) could cover. The lack of transparency in the unregulated derivatives market led many large, sophisticated investors to misunderstand the true risk of loss they incurred, which, in turn, created enormous systemic risk throughout global financial markets. It is likely that new international treaties and domestic legislation will MONEY, CURRENCY AN]) FINANCE 24 CR. 1 provide for regulation of OTC derivatives to prevent these transactions from creating excessive risk to the entire financial system. [a] Futures and Swaps Futures contracts, which include most options, are always traded on exchanges anj contain standardized terms for delivery dates, volume, trading procedures and credit allowances. Although the parties bear the risk of loss on the underlying transaction, the only credit risk (i.e., risk of non-payment) is that exchange’s clearinghouse will default. Exchanges generally reduce this credit risk by mark-to-market accounting which adjusts the value of an investors account each day to reflect profits and losses. An investor that has a loss may be required to provide an additional cash payment to ensure that the loss is not shifted to the exchange. Generally, futures transactions are regulated by the rules of the exchange and by government agencies, such as the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. By contrast, the terms of a swap contract are privately negotiated by the parties and the contracts are privately traded over-the counter. In addition to the risk of loss on the underlying transaction, each party to a swap contract is exposed to the credit risk of the counterparty’s default on its payment obligation. Substantial lobbying by the financial industry resulted in the Commodity Futures Regulation Act of 2000, which prohibited government regulation of swap transactions. The financial crisis of 2008 exposed the need for regulation of these transactions and this is likely to occur soon. — [bi Swaps A swap is a contract between two parties, called counterparties, to exchange specified cashfiows at predetermined future times. The amount of cashilow that each counterparty will exchange usually is determined by reference to a hypothetical amount, called the national amount, and an underlying market (e.g., foreign exchange, securities, or commodities) or financial index (e.g., LIBOR or the Consumer Price Index). Although these transactions are tailor made to fit the specific needs of the counterparties, there are two basic categories of swaps: interest rate swaps (the most frequently used type), and currency swaps. A transaction that combines both of these variants is referred to as a cross currency swap. Swaps are derivatives that are frequently used by large companies to lower borrowing costs and to hedge risks associated with changing interest rates or foreign exchange rates. Most swap transactions are arranged through commercial banks, utilizing customized contracts that are not traded on exchanges. A standard form contract has been developed by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA), that establishes the parties’ responsibilities upon default or premature termination. The key contract terms, such as price, duration, and quantity are not standardized, but are written for each transaction. Generally a swap contract is not tradable or assignable without both parties’ consent. The transaction is not guaranteed by a clearinghouse so that each party bears a credit risk that the other party will not perform it financial obligations. THE URBAN CARIBBEAN: TRANSITION TO THE NEW GLOBAL ECONOMY The Inform& Economy: Industriai Districts And M iroenterprises r FOREWORD BRYAN ROBERTS University of Texas—Austin This volume marks the successful conclusion of an unusual and innovative multinational project. Alejandro Portes, with the support of the Social Science Research Council and Andrew W. Mellon Foundation, brought together researchers from five countries of the Caribbean basin—Costa Rica, Haiti, Guatemala, the Dominican Republic, and Jamaica—to plan a joint study of urbanization in the region. I enjoyed witnessing the project’s evolution through invitations to meetings filled with lively debates over research questions and methods. The end result was to forge a common methodology that is remarkably sensitive to national differences in culture and political context. This methodological achievement alone would make this a valuable contribution to comparative studies of development. Since generalizations about urbanization in Latin America and the Caribbean have been mainly based on the experience of the large countries, this volume makes a significant substantive contribution by focusing on some of the smaller countries of the region. Apart from their relatively small size, the countries of the Caribbean basin have certain geopolitical and econom ic similarities that give their comparative study an especial significance. Historically, they have been economically dependent on the export of primary products, they are geographicafly close to the United States, and, with the partial exception of Jamaica, the United States is their primary market both for exports and for international migration. The five countries composing this study are, however, diverse in their political systems, economic structures, and culture. It is this diversity that underlies the comparative methods of small numbers and maximum differ ences that are outlined in the first chapter and skillfully used throughout the volume. Thus, the authors of these chapters use the considerable differ ences among the five countries to help distinguish the general trends in urbanization from those that are context-specific. This analysis is reported in chapter 2, identifying similar trends in the five countries with respect the xi xii Foreword spatial polarization of the urban social classes and the informal economy. Other trends (such as that of the primacy of the urban system) are more inconsistent and context-specific, and the comparable data collected for each case enables the editors and authors to weigh the economic, political, and geographical factors that lead to declining primacy in one country and not in another. The fieldwork and data gathering for the case studies were carried out during a time of relative economic crisis. The authors emphasize, however, that these years of crisis signify a basic restructuring of the urban econom ies of the region. In these five countries, as elsewhere in Latin Ameri ca and the Caribbean, the 1980s marked the definitive shift away from economic regimes based on import-substituting industrialization (isi) to ones based on the lowering of tariffs, less direct state control of the internal economy, and an emphasis on export-oriented industrialization (EoI). This shift has far-reaching implications for politics and social welfar e as well as for employment. These implications can be summarized as follows: The state’s capacity to extend patronage and social welfare dimini shes as state employment declines in relative terms and subsidies to urban consumers are withdrawn, Increased import competition in the interna l market and the emerging opportunities in the export market restructure labor markets geographically and in terms of supply and demand. The locatio ns of the export industry, including tourism, are frequently located away from the previously dominant urban centers. The new export industries demand a mix of workers that often differs from that of traditional industr ies in terms of gender and skills. Many plants assembling products for export , for exampie, have a high proportion of women employees and an interna l labor market polarized between a small proportion of highly skilled worker s and a mass of semi- and unskilled workers (Fernández-Kelly and Sassen 1993; Standing 1989; Shaiken 1990). The move toward more open markets also drastically changes the situation of nationally owned finns, both in manufacturing and the services. Imports of consumer goods, the arrival of foreign mass-retailing firms or fast-food chains can force even large local firms out of business or make them raise productivity through laying off workers or subcontracting less profitable parts of their business, often to firms operating informally, One of the great values of this volume is that it is the first to examine, systematically and with empirical data, the consequences for urbanization of this new international economic context. The value of this examination is particularly apparent in the discussion of the inform al economy in chapter 2 and in the country case studies that follow . The issue of the informal sector acquires a new salience in the contem porary period be- cause of the shift econom’) conduct had olig concentr ated sma providin small fin expenses The c context cheap in enterprii garment lessenin lessens t regulatic dynamis vertical 1 ing or be to surviv the abil purchasi workers, services tute the This tion ant contrib present arising a an urget tries diff the cen security part oft. the 194 counter fiscal dii need to Foreword al classes and the informal economy. Lmacy of the urban system) are more id the comparable data collected for iors to weigh the economic, political, :leclining primacy in one country and for the case studies were carried out isis. The authors emphasize, however, restructuring of the urban economies is elsewhere in Latin America and the lefinitive shift away from economic industrialization (ist) to ones based on control of the internal economy, and strialization (rot). dons for politics and social welfare as :ations can be summarized as follows: iage and social welfare diminishes as terms and subsidies to urban consum 3mpetition in the internal market and port market restructure labor markets y and demand. The locations of the ire frequently located away from the The new export industries demand a that of traditional industries in terms mbling products for export, for examen employees and an internal labor )ortion of highly skilled workers and a (Fernández-Kelly and Sassen 1993; move toward more open markets also ationally owned firms, both in manu consumer goods, the arrival of foreign is can force even large local firms out ictivity through laying off workers or their business, often to firms operating ume is that it is the first to examine, :a, the consequences for urbanization context. The value of this examina iscussion of the informal economy in tudies that follow. The issue of the rice in the conternporary period be- xiii cause of the dramatic changes in the macroeconomic context entailed by the shift from 1t to EOI regimes. Yet, our understanding of the informal economy in Latin America and the Caribbean derives mainly from studies conducted under isi regimes. Under those regimes, the large national firms had oligopolistic positions in the internal market that permitted them to concentrate on the sale of high-cost goods and services. Informally oper ated small firms were left with the less profitable niches, such as that of providing basic goods and services for the low-income population. These small firms could profitably exploit these niches mainly by avoiding the expenses of state regulation. The country case studies bring out many of the factors that create a new context for the informal economy. In the new export-oriented regime s, cheap imports of basic goods threaten the viability of the small inform al enterprise whose prices cannot match those of the mass-produced footwe ar, garments, and other basic goods imported from Asia. At the same time, the lessening of worker protection in the large enterprises through deregulation lessens the advantages that small firms once derived from avoiding state regulation. in this situation, it is likely that the informal economy loses dynamism and its capacity to act countercyclically. It becomes either more vertically dependent on firms in the formal economy through subcon tract ing or becomes more clearly an economy of subsistence that enables people to survive in the absence of jobs in the formal sector. Even in this latter case, the ability of the informal economy to absorb workers depends on the purchasing power generated by the formal economy, because formal -sector workers, living in low-income neighborhoods and purchasing goods and services from corner shops, street-sellers, or construction workers, consti tute the major market for the informal sector. This volume, through its comparative analyses of community participa tion and of perceptions of state provision of services, also makes a major contribution to current debates over social policy and citizenship. The present period is a turning point in these debates: new social needs are arising as economic and political changes question old certainties, creatin g an urgent need to broaden the range of policy alternatives. Though coun tries differ considerably in the extent and timing of social security progra ms, the centralized provision and management of social welfare, with social security linked to formal employment, has been a relatively unquestioned part of the development policies of most Latin American governments from the 1940s onward (Mesa-Lago 1978, 1991). Currently, various trends run counter to these topdown approaches to social policy. In the face of the fiscal difficulties of many Latin American governments and their perceiv ed need to retrench state expenditures, the continued extension of the cen xiv Foreword tralized provision of social security by governments is unlikely. In some countries, notably those of the Southern Cone, the fiscal burden of existing social security obligations is already a cause of serious concern for governments and international development agencies. Current policies of economic liberalization weaken state oversight of social welfare; thus, various Latin American governments have adopted policies of labor deregulation to stimulate the freer movement of capital and goods. Many small- and medium-scale enterises are threatened by competition from imports, creating job losses that are not compensated by job increases in the large coorations and that add to infoal and unprotected fos of work. At the same time, it is likely that noneconomic trends make social rights, particularly those to health and adequate living conditions, a matter of increasing public concern. As the chapters in this volume suggest, the chaos of the cities, which jwctaposes rich and poor and areas of adequate infrastructure with those having none, underlines for everyone the need to find collective solutions. The increasing presence of nongovernmental organizations throughout Latin America, both religious and secular, working to help local populations demand their rights, inevitably increases demands from below. This presence also weakens the state’s ability to co-opt local populations or suppress their demands. In this situation, urban social policy needs to take account of the limitations and possibilities that face the contemporary urban community as a source of informal care and as a unit of political participation. The local residential community is, after all, the place that determines the quality of access to many social rights, whether those of health care, education, or an adequate envirbnment. We know from many urban studies that family and community networks of mutual aid made the neighborhood a source of social support and welfare during the period of rapid urbanization in Latin America and the Caribbean from the 1950s to the early 1980s. The neighborhood also represented the most accessible unit of political participation. It was also a basis of collective mobilization, even though that mobilization was often of limited duration, as the literature on urban social movements makes clear (Blondet 1991; Castells 1983; Touraine 1987). It is an open question whether the urban community continues to function in these ways, given contemporary changes in the structure of urban economies, urban spatial organization, and migration patterns. We thus need more studies, such as those of this volume, that look at the impact of the new context of urbanization on the caring capacity of the local community and on local-level political participation. The urban space once available for invasion and self-construction of housing is now less available and the problems of P°’ solved by the in The five case in social policy Guatemala, in’ population hav extreme are th( istotjcallY, p0] Dominican Re] how these dift explain the s affecting housi ment, and, of c are, however, extend social of the study, c ployment. In cohesion and of family and economic libt political patti One impo’ mented in se international carrying cap Haiti is now has documer times, organ communit volume mak f political i 0 organizatiot local comm tmsted forr mined, hov text permit I ThiS VOl paths takei seek to acc encourage project dei r Foreword y by governments is unlikely. In some :hem Cone, the fiscal burden of existing y a cause of serious concern for govern ient agencies. Current policies of eco versight of social welfare; thus, various adopted policies of labor deregulation )f capital and goods. Many smalland ened by competition from imports, cre )ensated by job increases in the large al and unprotected forms of work. At neconomic trends make social rights, [equate living conditions, a matter of uggest, the chaos of the cities, which of adequate infrastructure with those e the need to find collective solutions. iernmental organizations throughout ecular, working to help local popula r increases demands from below. This bility to co-opt local populations or ;y needs to take account of the limita :ontemporary urban community as a of political partiipation. The local place that determines the quality of those of health care, education, or an n many urban studies that family and made the neighborhood a source of period of rapid urbanization in Latin 95 to the early 1980s. The neigh l 0s essible unit of political participation. tion, even though that mobilization terature on urban social movements 1983; Touraine 1987). It is an open iity continues to function in these the structure of urban economies, don patterns. We thus need more that look at the impact of the new apacity of the local community and Fhe urban space once available for sthg is now less available and the xv problems of providing infrastructure are more complex and less easily re solved by the initiative of individuals or even of individual communities. The five cases explored in this volume provide interesting contrasts both in social policy and citizenship. At one extreme are the cases of Haiti and Guatemala, in which both the political rights and the social rights of the population have been minimal and bitterly contested by elites. At the other extreme are the cases of Costa Rica and to a lesser extent Jamaica, where, historically, political and social rights have been relatively extensive. The Dominican Republic is the intermediate case. The case studies make cleat how these differences in the historical constitution of citizenship help explain the spatial as well as the social configuration of the five cities, affecting housing provision and spatial segregation, the structure of employ ment, and, of course, the nature of political participation. All five countries are, however, currently facing difficulties in finding the fiscal resources to extend social rights. They all, though to varying degrees, were, at the time of the study, experiencing economic instability and rising rates of unem ployment. In this situation, the disruptive effects of poverty on family cohesion and on informal support networks undermine the caring capacity of family and community. The chapters report some of the consequences of economic liberalization for access to social services and for the evaluation of political participation as a means of improving the social situation. One important change in the meaning of the local community is docu mented in several of the case studies: the significance of remittances from international migrants for the welfare of many urban inhabitants. The carrying capacity of the “local” neighborhood in both Santo Domingo and Haiti is now clearly a transnational one. Indeed, as Robert Smith (1994) has documented for Mexicans in New York, international migrants can, at times, organize more effectively to influence the politics of their home communities than those who have stayed at home. The case studies of this volume make clear that the urban neighborhood remains the preferred basis of political participation. Despite the variations among the cities in spatial organization, in economic structure, and in the numbers of rural migrants, local community organizations, not national political parties, are the most trusted form of political participation. Levels of participation are deter mined, however, by the national political context and whether that con text permits space for popular participation. This volume is an incentive to other collaborative efforts to chart the paths taken by the countries of Latin America and the Caribbean as they seek to accommodate to the new global political and economic context. To encourage further research along this path, the editors have made the project detail available to the public. The data files (sr’ss 6.1 and text file xvi Foreword format) can be accessed through the Internet at http://www.jhu.edu/soc/ s.iuc), 1 kidark.html, site of the Latin American Development Archive (in of Sociology. Department based at the Johns Hopkins University’s The message of the volume is a convincing one. Because of similarities in the trends affecting countries of the region and policy debates, each country can benefit from the experiences of the others. However, the differences in political structure and in the nature of citizenship mean that social and economic policy debates must take into account the national context. References Blondet, Cecilia. 1991. Las Mujeres y El Poder. Lima: Instituto de Estudios Peruanos. Castells, Manuel. 1983. The City and the Grassroots. London: Edward Arnold. Fernández-Kelly, M. Patricia, and Saskia Sassen. 1993. “Recasting Women in the Global Economy: Internationalization and Changing Definitions of Gender.” Russell Sage Foundation Working Paper No. 36. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Mesa-Lago, Carmelo. 1978. Social Security in Latin America: Pressure Groups, Stratification and Inequality. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press. • 1991. “Social Security and Prospects for Equity in Latin America.” World Bank Discussion Paper No. 140. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Shaiken, Harley. 1 99D. Mexico in the Global Economy: High Technology and Work Organization in Export Industries. San Diego, Calif.: Center for U.S.-Mexico Studies, University of California. Smith, Robert C. 1994. “Los Ausentes Siernpre Presentes: The Imagining, Making arid Politics of a Transnational Community between New York City and Ticuani, Puebla.” Ph.D. diss., Department of Sociology, Columbia UniverSit’,’, Standing, Guy. 1989. “Global Feminization through Flexible Labor.” World Development 17 (7): 1077—97. Touraine, Alain. 1987. Actores Sociales y Sistemns Politicos en America Latina. San• tiago: PREALC. The research 1 the Andrew ered the enti chapter 1). T the five Card this process Foundation tude for theii Without the would have Man otl entire proje numerous tC collaboratec and Caribh hosted the Latin Ame Republic, and A. Do of the first: 1 to the live faculty o data-collec Atthis study in Jr leagues an Universit’, Robothart auspicious book is de and his fe Regional Studies Page 1 of 43 2. 3 5 6 7 8 9 EMPLOYMENT ANTI WAGE DYNAMICS IN ITALIAN 10 INT)USTRIAL DISTRICTS ii 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Alessandro Muscioa and Michele Scarpinato Abstract: This paper is concerned with the analysis of differences in employment and wage growth rates inside and outside Italian industrial districts. On the basis of national statistical data, we compare employment 2 and wage differentials in mani4facturing industries between district and non-district areas. The aim is to investigate whether the industrial disimict model generates better labour conditions for sustaining employment 3 pemformnance and wage levels. I Keywords: industrial districts, employment, wages H42. JEL Classification: J21, .139, RI], R12 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Aziendali (DPTEA) Università Luiss Guido Carli, Via 0. Tommasini, 1 00162 Roma (Italy), Tel: ÷ 39 06 86506530, Email: [email protected] Università dell’Insubria Facoltà di Economia, via Ravasi, 2 21100 Varese (Italy) Tel: +39 0332 215410, Email: [email protected] — 56 57. - — - 60E 1 http:/lmc.manuscriptcentral.comlcres Email: regional.studies©fm.ru.nI Regional Studies 1 2: 3 7 8: 9 10 1 INTRODUCTION The large quantity of empirical evidence on industrial districts (IDs) has shown that they can be highly competitive and generate steady economic 15 16 17 18 growth (FORTIS, 2000; GUERRIERI and TAMMARINO, 2003). Yet very little is known about the quantitative aspects of labour dynamics arising from this complex model of industrial organisation. 21 22 23 Following the conditions set by Piore and Sabel’s model of flexible specialisation in industrial organisation (PIORE and SABEL, 1984), underlying the district theory is the idea that this model can generate employment and create the opportunities for good pay and optimal social conditions (PYKE and SENGERBERGER, 1996). However, the reasons why such a model of territorial development is better able to mobilize human resources have not been systemically analysed in the literature. In fact, the literature offers no clear explanation of why the 43 district environment may generate favourable employment dynamics (BRUSCO et al., 1996; PffGO et al., 2001). Furthermore, the 48: empincal evidence on employment dynamics in districts obtained through 50 damic comparison of employment performance in firms located inside and outside districts is very limited. 55 : 5B 57::.: 58 60 http:!Imc.manuscriptcentral.com/crL Email: regionaI.studiesfm.ru.nI Page 2 of 43 Regional Studies Page 3 of 43 2 3 4 :5 6 Therefore, the gap we address in this study is substantive in terms of both 7 method and relevance. In terms of method, there is no extensive statistical analysis of employment and wage differentials between district and non- 12 13 14 district areas and of how such differences vary over time. Also, we do not know whether a distnct s employment and wage growth levels are accompanied by different firm growth trends. In other words, we do not 20 21 know whether eventual differences in employment levels correspond to new finn formation or consolidation processes. 2 In terms of the relevance of the subject we find that the topic of employment performance in IDs is generally underestimated. First, evidence of any positive impact of the district model on employment and wage levels would obviously strengthen the argument of supporters of this model of territorial development that industrial policies should be more locally oriented. Secondly, evidence of the ability of districts to survive periods of general 4. • economic downturn, generating growth, or at least keeping employment 45 levels constant would introduce new perspectives into the ongoing debate 47 on the decline of districts. Some of the literature is providing evidence that IDs may not be equipped to face the new competitive pressures (AIvIIN 1999; BELUSSI 1999; GAROFOLI, 2002) and their potential advantage 52 with respect to non-clustered industnes may have been exaggerated (ENGELSTOFT et al 2006) However despite this in some contexts 58 59 60 — http IImc manuscriptcentral comIcres Email regional studies@fm ru nI Regional Studies 7 ;.. districts may still have competitive advantage compared to isolated firms in facing increasing compefition. In other words, in Italy and other countries, districts may be in decline, but their growth performance might still be 14 stronger than in the rest of the economic context in which they operate. Therefore, evidence must be provided of how non-district areas in the same 18 1g 2o: 21 22 23 national context and in the same industry, perform over the same period of time. Given the above, the purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamics of employment and wages in firms located inside and outside Italian IDs. We use Italian national statistical data to test whether distncts offer better labour conditions in terms of employment and wage levels. I The paper is organised as follows: Section 2 discusses the theoretical :4 background and the research hypothesis; Section 3 reports the empirical evidence. Concluding remarks follow. 2 53 2.1 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND Definition of industrial district The interest in IDs has been carned on the wave of the ability of such local productive systems to achieve outstanding economic success and to generate http IImc manuscriptcentral comIcrs Email regional studies@fm ru ni Page 4 of 43 Regional Studies Page 5 of 43 2. 3 4 6 7 sustained development processes (BECATTINI, 1987, 1989; BRUSCO, 1989; GAROFOLI, 1989, 1992). Over the last two decades significant empirical evidence has shown how districts specialised in producing high 14 quality products, have become competitive players in international markets (FORTIS, 2000; MAZZONI, 2001; NADVI id HALDER 19 20.: 21 RABELOTTI, 1999; SAXENLkN, 1994; STORPER, 1993). I By defimtion the ID is 2002; a socioterritorial entity which is characterised by the active presence of both a community of people and a population of firms in one naturally and historically bounded area (BECATTINI, 1990: 38). District firms are generally small in size and, within one district, are 4specialised in the production of the same product’s. They share a common 45 social and cultural background which facilitates complementanty between 46 47 activities and division of labour among local actors. In IDs technical and socio-cultural aspec are closely inteoven with the life of the community. 52 The existence of this strong relationship between social and technical 54 factors allows the co-estence of complex dynamics of cooperation and competition between local firms (BECATTINI, 1990). 58 *59 60 5 http llmc manuscriptcentral comicres Email regional studiesfm ru ni Page 6 of 43 Regional Studies 4 5 7 The competitiveness of districts relies on the collective efficiency of the local system, in which each firm exploits dynamic competitive advantages 14: 15 deriving from the existence of external economies and collective action (BELLANDI, 1992; GAROFOLI, 1989; SCI{MITZ, 1999). A high degree 19 20 21 of production generates specialisation continuous improvements in technology and production organisation (GOTTARDI, 2000). These improvements have multiplicative effects on the local system and are determined by continuous competitiveness feedback effects of individual firms and between the system the increased as a whole (GAROFOLI, 1989). As a result, districts are regarded as places where close inter-finn communication, socio-cultural structures and the institutional environment may stimulate socially and telTitorially embedded collective learning and continuous innovation (ASHEIM and ISAKSEN, 2002). 4- 42 43 ‘--44 45 2.2 Employment dynamics in industrial districts The results of the empirical studies on lBs have had an enormous impact on 51 52 53 regional development policies. Research on districts has led to a general consensus among economists and policy makers that the territorial dimension plays a key pa in economic development processes, and that 58 59 districts may offer new opportunities for economic growth in both 60 ‘1 6 http IImc manuscriptcentral comlcres Email regional studles@fm ru nI Regional Studies Page 7 of 43 2 5 6 industrialised and developing countries (HUMPHREY and SCHMITZ, 7 1996; McCORMICK, 1999; NADVI, 1999; NADVI and SCIITZ 1999; SCHMITZ, 2000). 12 13 14 Underlying, this interest in the district model and the adoption of what in the policy makers’ jargon is termed the ‘cluster approach’, there is the idea that 20 21 clustering of firms producing similar products may generate wealth and offer new opportunities for policy intervention. Clustering is seen as setting new frontiers for industrial development planning in offering new opportunities to set ‘high roads to development’ (PYKE and SENGEN]3ERGER, 1992). There is general agreement that the organisation of production in districts sustains employment performance and wage levels. According to Glaeser et al. (1992), cluster firms should exhibit higher employment levels and higher rates of employment growth compared 4 to production that is not clustered. 4 Studies on districts have also underlined that, compared to other forms of 45 small firm orgamsation, distncts seem to have the capability of providing 47 good wages and social conditions (CASAVOLA et al. 1999; SOLINAS, 1991). This aspect of the district model has been of special interest for international organisations such as the International Labour Organization 52 53 (ILO) (COSSENTINO et al., 1996; PYKE et a!., 1990) and more recently the Umted Nations liidustnal Development Organization (UN1DO) (NADVI - 7 http IImc manuscripteentral comicres Email regional studles@fm ru ni Page 8 of 43 Regional Studies r7 7 a and BARRIENTOS 2004 TJNIDO 2001) which have identified new perspectives for industrial development for countries and regions with economies essentially based on small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). 13 14 Indeed, the ID literature puts great emphasis on the key role of human 19 20 21 capital in distncts’ competitiveness. According to PYKE and SENGENEERGER (1996), job creation in most Italian districts has been as good as or better than the national average. Unemployment is generally lower and wage levels are generally reported to be at least equal to, and 2 often above national levels. Evidence from industrial clusters in other parts of the world also seems to confirm these trends (ISAKSEN, 1996; MARTIN 3 and SUNLEY, 2003; NADVI, 1999; KARLSSON and KLAESSON, 2000). Other authors point out the abilities of districts to quickly and efficiently react to external challenges. This allows them to minimise the negative 4, effects of changes in market demand, or economic downturns, on district performance and therefore on employment (GAROFOLI, 2002; NADVI and 45 SCHM1TZ 1999) 46 47 Confirming these insights, some authors argue that the efficiency of SMEs in discts also stems from good worng conditions (BRUSCO et al., 1996; th SIGNORINI, 2000) especially for highly skilled workers (BRUSCO, 1991; 53 54 OCCARI and TATTARA, 1997). According to BECATTINI (1987) several mechamsms such as information sharing in relation to workers personal http:!Imc.manuscriptcentral.comlcrL Email: regionaI.studiesfm.ru.nl Regional Studies Page 9 0143 .2 3 4 5 6 7 and professional qualities, and employment as a factor of attraction to (and retention in) the district of the best qualified workers. Similarly, SIGNOR1NI (2000) argues that in IDs wage levels are normally 13 14 15 higher than in larger firms, and higher than the national average. However, in the Italian context some studies have suggested that the relationship between wage levels and districts is controversial (De BLASIO and DI 19 20 21 22 23 ADDARIO, 2002; PIflNGARO et al., 2001; TATTARA, 2001). In summary, several studies make reference to the relevance of district effects on employment. It is argued that the district model can and does guarantee good socio-economic conditions in the form of higher salaries and sustained employment performance. However, there is no conclusive view about the factors that converge to the competitive advantage of distcts. Similarly, there is no systematic empincal evidence of the extent to which 3 employment and wage levels are effectively higher in districts and of whether 45 - eventual differences between district and non-district areas tend to diverge or converge over time. 47 In our view there are several factors, which jointly may contribute to befter employment performance and better salaries in districts: 52 53 - 54. 55 57r 58 http:I/mc.manuscriptcentral.comlc!L Email: regional.studiesfm.ru.nl Page 10 of 43 Regional Studies 2 3 4 6 7 1. Agglomeration economies. Agglomeration economies and economies of scale and scope (BELLANDI, 2002) generate superior competitiveness in local systems, which in turn leads to higher employment performance and better wages; 14 2. Near-perfect information regimes. Local knowledge spillovers stimulate flows of information on available positions and available 19 20 21 workforce in the district area. Information flows on demand and supply of labour in the local labour market generate the efficient allocation of human resources and reduce the costs to finns of finding appropriate labour (AUDRETSCH and FELDMAN, 1996); • 3. • Microeconomic effects of demand for labour. High employment rates increase the price of labour as companies offer higher wage levels in order to fill vacant positions. In some cases these employment dynamics can ‘heat up’ the local labour market and the unemployment rate can approach near-frictional levels (MUSCIO, 2006a). 45. 47 4. Demand for skilled labour. Districts are knowledge intensive environments where firms introduce innovative and qualitatively advanced products (GOTTARDI, 2000; MASKELL, 2001; MUSCIO, 2006b). The competitiveness of the local system is sustained by the use of skilled workers, who are rewarded with higher pay than they would receive elsewhere. 58 5;.• http:IImc.manuscriptcentral.comIcs Email: regionalstudies©fm.ru.nl Regional Studies Page 11 of 43 I .2 .3 4. 5 6 7 5. Reduction of wage disparities. High employment rates and continuous information flows help to reduce wage disparities within 9 districts. The efficient circulation of information on wages offered in the local system and the dynamic nature of the local labour market .15:. generate a continuous optimisation of human resources allocation. L. 1 8., ió 20 21 22 23 These factors reduce wage disparities and generate stable social conditions. In addition, the well-documented competitiveness of districts is also said to translate into favourable work conditions. Efficient utilisation of resources provides evidence of the endogenous nature of this model of territorial development and its effectiveness as a viable solution in economic planning. : : The district model can offer extraordinary opportunities for provision of satisfactory social conditions and is rightly seen as a sustainable approach in 3 4 the development of SMEs systems in the development context (NADVI and BARRIENTOS, 2004). 47 The scope of this work is to provide a systemic analysis of employment and wage dynamics inside and outside Italian s. On the basis of national 52 53 statistical data, this study provides evidence of the recent dynamics of labour in Italian firms in different manufacturing industries. We test the following research hypotheses: 8. 60 nuscriptcentral.com/cie Email: regional.studiesfm.ru.nl 1 http://mc.ma s :::i Regional Studies 2:. 3 4. 5 6 7.:: Hypothesis]: there are ,-elevant static and dynamic differences in employment and wage levels between ID and non-ID areas. 13 : 1 4. Hothesis 2: the ID model sustains firms’ competition allowing better 19 20 21 employment levels. In the following sections we analyse the differences in employment and wage levels between ID and non-ID areas taking into consideration different industry sectors, geographic areas (north, central and southern Italy), firm size and employee qualifications. We also test via econometric analysis the 3 impact of the ‘district effect’ on employment growth in Italy over the period 1991-2001. 42 3 EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 43 45 47 48 3.1 Introduction to the research methodology In the empincal evidence we refer to two different data sources: 49. 50 51 1. Employment data obtained from the Italian statistical institute, Istituto 54J Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT) and which refer to the 1991 and 2001 5&. .57 59 60 http IImc manuscripteentral comIce s Email regional studiescfm ru ni 2 Page 12 of 43 RegonaI Studies Page 13 of 43 1 2 3 4. 5 .6 Censuses. We considered data for all manufacturing sectors. We 7 8 10 11 12 excluded public institutions from our analysis. 2. Data on wages were obtained from the Italian social security agency, Istituto Nazionale di Previdenza Sociale (INPS). INPS data used here 14 15 16 refer to four macro- manufacturing industries and consider both “white 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 collar” and “blue collar” workers. INPS data are available for the period 1994-98.’ We use here the definition of IDs proposed by ISTAT in its 1991 classification of districts. ISTAT has not issued an updated classification of districts on the basis of the 2001 Census data. ISTAT identifies as districts 2 199 Local Labour Systems (LLS), with a total of 5,110,930 employees. I Table 1 reports the regional distribution of districts and non-district LLS. It can be seen that the majority of districts are concentrated in northern and central Italy. 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 .49.. 50 51a 52 H 53 54• p.-. H The criteria followed by ISTAT in the identification of IDs in Italy are built on the basis of the conditions set in 1993 by the Ministry of Productive Activities (MAP). These conditions focus on LLS, which are groups of neighbour communes where labour mobility is self-contained. MAP identifies as industrial districts those LLS areas that meet the following conditions: a) employment share in manufacturing activities above the national average: b) employment share in SMEs above the national average; c) employment share in the main manufacturing activity above the national average; d) employment share in SMEs in the main manufacturing activity above the national 2 average. nuscriptcentral.comIcê Email: regional.studiesfm.ru.nI 3 http:/lmc.ma s Regional Studies 7 8 TABLE 1 9 10 11 12 We split Census data on economic activities into two groups: firms located 13 14 in IDs and firms located outside IDs. Section 3.2 presents a comparison of employment dynamics in district and non-district areas over the period 19 20 21 1991-2001. Data on employment performance was weighted based on the number of employees in 1991. Differences in performance between district and non-district areas were tested using an independent samples T-test. Section 3.3 adopts the same methodology for the analysis of differentials in terms of wealth and productivity between the two areas. In Section 3.4 we used INPS data to estimate differences in the growth and dispersion of salaries inside and outside IDs in selected manufacturing industries. INPS reports salary data filed by economic sector and Italian administrative units 3 Finally, Section 3.5 presents the econometric analysis of the (provinces). 4, • impact of the ‘district effect’ on employment growth. 3.2 Employment dynamics in districts In 2001 in Italy there were 1 ,342,000 local units in district areas (28.8% of total local units), employing a total of 5,111,930 staff (31.5% of total national employment) (Table 2). In the manufacturing industry there were Provinces correspond to NUTS 3 units in the Eurostat classification of administrative units in Europe. The average dimension of Italian provinces is 2,926.6 Km2. http:I/mc.manuscriptcentraI.com/cs Email: regional.studiesctm.ru.nI Page 14 of 43 Small-Firm Networks — Charles Perrow. 1992. LLSmall Firm Networks.” .. “The firms are usually very small say 10 people. They interact with one another, sharing information, equipment, personnel, and orders even as they compete with one another. They are supplied by a smaller number of and financial service firms.” business service firms ID is one type of small-firm network (SFN) of cooperating and competing small-medium enterprises (SME) in a geographic area. I SMEs mostly light manufacture consumer goods: ceramics, clothing, cutlery, food, furniture, leather goods, shoes, small machinery, toys, utensils SMEs use flexible-specialization (artisanal crafts) for customized, small-batch production runs Personal trust & reputation are critical to maintain long-term relations, avoid deceitful double-dealings Classic SFNs located in IDs of Southern Germany & Third Italy Clustering for Competitiveness Michael Porter identified the competitive cluster as a geographic location wfth sufficient resources and competences to give its businesses a sustainable competitive advantage over other places. ‘I Cluster: “geographical concentration of interconnected companies, specialized suppliers, service providers, finns in related industries, and associated institutions (e.g., universities, standard agencies, trade associations) in a particular field that compete and also cooperate.” - Techno Clusters high technology-oriented, well adapted to the knowledge economy, typically including universities & research centers - Historic Know-How Clusters based on more traditional industrial activities that maintain knowledge advantage over decades or centuries increasing the productivity of companies in the cluster driving innovations in the industry or sector attracting & stimulating new businesses to the A cluster can achieve competitive advantages by: - - - La Terza Italia Contrast to poorer Southern Italy & Sicily’s noncooperative “amoral familism” culture These historical regions evolved from local ethnic communal cultures of trust & cooperation among firms and between bosses & workers Industrial districts of the “Third Italy” are located primarily in Northeast (Veneto., Friuli) and Central Italy (Emilia-Romagna, Tuscany, Marches) - Extensive social capital ties support a “local custom of reciprocal cooperation the real axis of social culture of the district” (Dei Ottai 1994) Institutional structures & politics underpin Third Italy’s IDs: Governments, laws give regulatory exemptions, low taxes, loan guarantees Public research institutes & service centers offer customized business services Voluntary self-help associations & producer cooperatives foster innovations IDs & the We w’ Itallan Econ Geography Fabio Sforzi describes how competitive advantage depends less on large firm size “than on how production is organized locally and interacts with the social and productive environment in which it takes place.” — — “A system of values and norms dominated by a spirit of initiative and largely reflected in the principal aspects of life, like work, consumption, saving, attitudes to uncertainty produces a cultural environment favourable to economic enterprise, influencing industrial relations and the activities local government and administration.” (Sforzi 2002:442) Local territory, not firm or industry, is the key economic unit of analysis: > Technical division of labor plus local external & internal “scale economies” > High & variable demand for nonstandard goods (upscale I luxury) > Global competitive advantages in org’l intelligence, talent, innovation Local society dominated by small entrepreneurs & extended families Such local economies very difficult to “transport from place to place” Are Italian IDs becoming less competitive in the global economy? F 2 UrboRizatioll iii t[ic Caribbcon Bosin Social Change during the Years or the Cri5is ALEJANDRO PORTES, JOSÉ ITZIOSOHN, and CARLOS DORE-CABRAL In this chapter, we review the principal theoretical perspectives that domi nated the study of Latin American urbanization in the past, their revisions on the basis of more recent empirical material, and theit bearing on the evolution of Caribbean Basin cities during the lsst two decades. We use material from the first phase of the project described in chapter 1 to exam ine consistencies and variations of central features of urban development in the region. The backdrop is the revolutionary transformations that oc curred in the economies of these small countries during this period and the ways in which they affected civil society. A fundamental theoretical ques tion that we seek to answer is the extent to which such changes are a reflection of the new insertion of these countries into the international economy and the extent to which they obey characteristics of their domes tic politics and economies. This analysis, in turn, sets the stage for the presentation of individual country results from the second phase of the study. Theoretical Overview The abundant literature on Latin American urbanization until the late 1970s and even later painted a fairly coherent picture of its evolution. It emphasized the uniformity that the process had acquired throughout the continent. First, the population of Latin America was becoming rapidly Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 17 urbanized, but the process was distorted by the region’s underdevelopment. The migration of the nsral population toward the cities did not occur in a gradual manner but as an explosive influx toward a few receiving centers. In most countries, a single city simultaneously played the role of political capital, main site for industry and commerce, and place of residence of the dominant classes. The condition of urban primacy—gigantic heads of dwarfish national bodies—was not new to Latin America, but the rural migrant flows of the mid-twentieth century accelerated it and suggested an inexorable increase in the disparity between the largest metropolitan ag glomerations and the rest of the urban system (Breese 1966; Beyer 1967; Hardoy 1975; Portes and Johns 1989). Second, within the large cities, rapid demographic growth combined with highly unequal income distribution to produce other distortions. The advent of the automobile allowed the wealthy to escape the peasant crowds by moving to remote suburban locations. The political power of urban elites then compelled city govemmenrs to extend services to these areas. At the opposite extreme, incressing tents and housing scarcity drove the poor to create their own shelter solutions in irregular settlements. These were also built in the urban periphery, but in directions generally opposite to the exodus from the central ciry of the well-to-do. The outcome of these cen trifiigal forces was growing spatial polarization of the classes: rich and poor lived in increasingly different worlds, even if formally they shared the same city (Amato 1969; Hardoy, Basaldiia, and Moreno 1968; Portes and Walton 1976). Third, the disintegration of traditional agriculture in Latin American rural areas took place without creating sufficient capacity to absorb labor either in the new modernized farms or in urban industry. The first type of scarcity caused nsral outmigration; the second led to the growth of a vast ‘marginal mass” in the cities that survived by inventing employment in the fringes of the urban economy (Nun 1969; Garcia 1982). Yet unemployment remained low because the urban poor could not afford nor to work in the absence of welfare protection. Instead, the typical profile of Lsrin American cities featured low rates of unemployment combined with high rates of casual or informal employment that ofren absorbed half or more of the urban labor force (Tokman 1982). Regardless of the label applied to it, irregular work was perceived by many analysts as a countercyclical mecha nism. This view was frequently discussed by economists associated with the International Labour Office (no) and its Latin American offshoot, the Regional Employment Programme for Latin America (s’ssaAcc) (Bairoch 1973; Lagos and Tokman 1983; rRaAcc 1982; Marshall 1987). Together, accelerating urban primacy, spatial polarization of the classes, 18 Alejans-fro Portes, Jose Itzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral and high informal employment constituted the cento-il features of Latin Americas-i urbanization prior to the l9SOs. The research literature describ ing these features also provided a fairly coherent explanation of their causes on the basis of a common condLtiors of external dependency. Industrializa tion as it took place in the region was highly centripetal in its consequences because the largest industries, many subsidiaries of transnational corpora tions, concentrated in the main urban centers. Added to the consistent decline in trditional agriculture, this concentration naturally gave rise to rapid rural migration toward the few places where industrial employment could be found. But industrialization under foreign control created a mis match between the resource endowments of these countries, abundant in labor and short on capital, and the labor-saving character of imported technologies (Eckstein 1977; Tokmari 1982). The inability of urban indus try to absorb the mass of rural migrants gave rise in turn to a growing segmentation between a sector of modern,” protected, and relatively wellpaid employees and a vast informal economy in which most migrants sur vived on the basis of invented jobs of minimal productivity (i’aeALc 1981; Marshall 1987; Poi-tes and Johns 1989). The poverty of most rural migrants due to their lack of suitable employ ment barred them from access to market-provided housing and created the conditions for the emergence of vast shantytowns on the periphery of most large cities. Their sheer number in turn led elite sectors to escape the city toward ever more remote suburban enclaves. These twin processes acceler ated the spatial polarization observed, with almost monotonous regularity, in most large cities of the region (Leeds 1969; Goldrich 1970; Cornelius 1975; Eckstein 1977). During the mid-1980s, we conducted a study of recent Latin American urban trends based on firsthand studies of three South American capitals plus secondary material for the rest of the region (Fortes 1989). The study found plenty of evidence of urban primacy, spatial polarization, and a large urban informal economy, but along with them, it also discovered notable departures from conventional wisdom. First, the seemingly inexorable in crease in urban primacy had decelerated and even reversed itself during the preceding decade in a number of countries; second, the great physical distances separating rich, middle class, and poor in most metropolitan areas appeared to have diminished significantly in several cities as a result of novel rearrangements of the urban population; third, a number of urban labor markets registered vast increases in open unemployment question ing the assumed countercyclical role of the informal sector during eco nomic downturns. Open unemployment rather than informal employment emerged as the key adjustment mechanism at the height of the crisis, Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 19 contradicting the earlier assumption that, in the absence of welfare cover age, the poor must find some form of employment. These trends represented not only empirical departures from past theo ries but contained important lessons for their revision. Each trend appeared to reflect, in its particular way, the rapid adjustment of Latin American countries to the debt-induced economic crises of the mid-1970s and early 1980s and their changing insertion in the global economy. We summarize next the specific ways in which this societal adjustment affected each aspect of urban development and formalize the three alternative theoretical propositions that they suggest. Beginning with the regionwide economic downturn prompted by the increase in oil prices in 1973, Latin American countries turned increasingly toward export promotion as a means to alleviate balance-of-payments defi cits and service a growing foreign debt. The process accelerated during the early 1980s, when a second major increase irs oil prices was accompanied by the resistance of international banks to cover the deficit with fresh loans. After the Mexican debt moratorium of 1982, country after country em barked in a painful process of economic adjustment under close monitoring by international financial organizations. The details are well known and have been examined at length in the specialized literature (Massad 1986; Eci.Ac 1988; Inter-American Development Bank 1990). Less well noticed have been the effects that the rapid shift from the previous importsubstitution model of development to the new export-oriented model had on civil society. An unanticipated consequence of this shift was the rechanneling of domestic migration flows toward the new growth areas created by export agriculture, export fisheries, and export platform industries. Together with the decline in employment opportunities in the old import-substitution industries, concentrated in the large cities, the new migration patterns led to the rapid growth of many secondary cities and to the slowing down of growth in several metropolitan areas. Hence, export-oriented development (Eoo) may reduce or even arrest urban primacy to the extent that the new export industries are located away from the major cities and hence induce a centrifugal pattern of domestic migration. The argument can be formalized in a first proposition: 1. The greater the shift from iniporr-subsdtuiion toward an export oriented model of development, the greater the probability of secondary city growth and a decline in urban primacy. The economic adjustment programs inspired by international finance organizations to deal with the debt crisis led to the exacerbation of the 20 Alejandro Fortes, José ltzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral already marked income disparities in most Latin American countries (Iglesias 1985; PREALC 1987). In the large cities, this trend suggested the acceleration of the pattern of spatial polarization present even before the onset of the crisis. The contrary results found in the previous study (Fortes 1989), emerged as the outcome of two previously unnoticed processes. First, middle-class urban groups, hard pressed by the economic situation, breached the geographic divide separating them from poor settlements in search of affordable housing. In the Colombian capital of Bogoté, for exam ple, this phenomenon took the form of a massive displacement of middleincome groups toward the south of the city, formerly the preserve of the urban working class and the marginalized groups (Carrier 1988). Second, there was a simultaneous growth of irregular or squatter settlements near high-income residential areas. This displacement was prompted by the search by the poor for some sort of employment—usually informal vending and odd jobbing—whose markets are among higher-income groups. The result of these twin processes was the partial rearrangement of the urban spatial order leading to greater intermingling of the classes. Kowarick, Gambier Campos, and de Mello (1990), who observed the same phenome non in São Paulo, labeled it “perverse integration” because the spatial convergence between rich, middle class, and poor was not prompted by a better distribution of income but rather by the generalized impoverishment of the urban population. Similar events reported in cities as dissimilar as Montevideo, Lima, and Rio de Janeiro (Fortes 1989; Kowarick, Gambler Campos, and de Mello 1990) suggested a regional trend summarized in a second proposition: 2. In.creases in poverty and incsnse disparities produced by economic adjusrment programs led to a reduction of spatial polarization in Latin American cities as an outcome of the suwival srraregies of both middle-class and law-income sectors. The crisis of the 1980s brought a contraction of formal employment and a significant reduction of urban wages that, according to earlier explana tions of the role of the informal economy such as those advanced by ILO and PREALc analysts, should have produced large increases in irregular employ ment. Out earlier study did find that the urban informal sector expanded in moat countries but that, relative to the magnitude of the economic down turn, the growth was modest. According to estimates by PSEALC, it averaged about 20 percent for Latin America during the early l980s. Underemploy ment, another indicator of informality, did not increase significantly in most countries according to the information available (Fortes 1989: 24— 27). By contrast, open urban unemployment increased rapidly teaching record levels in Colombia, Peru, Honduras, Chile, and Venezuela. For Latin Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 21 America as a whole, unemployment increased from an unweighted average of about 6 percent of the economically active urban population in 1974 to some 14 percent in 1984 (eclc 1986: 23). The significant growth of unemployment at the height of the crisis provided evidence against dualistic theories of Latin American labor mar kets that assumed the informal sector would function as a compensating mechanism to absorb surplu labor, Its failure to do so supported instead the argument advanced originally by Roberts (1976, 1978) and expanded in Portes and Walton (1981) concerning the profound articulation of formal and informal activities as part of unified urban economies. Informal pro ducers and vendors—defined as those who operate outside the pale of state regulation—do not live in a world apart from the firms that are so regulated. Instead, the two types of enterprises are closely intertwined through a variety of arrangements, providing goods and markets for each other (Be neria 1989; Fortuna and Prates 1989). For informal entrepreneurs, in partic ular, the larger firms are a key source of demand, both directly, through subcontracting agreements, and indirectly, through the buying power of formal workers’ wages. When formal firma cease to exist as during the economic crises of the l980s, demand for informal goods and services also drops. Although more people are available to engage in informal activities, their remunerations rapidly approach zero as labor supply vastly outatripa demand. The outcome is the rise in open unemployment observed in a number of countries during these years. The argument can be formalized in a third proposition: 3. The formal and informal sectors are inte gral parts of the same urban economies. Hence infossnal employnsenrfunctsons only impeifectly as a countercydical mecha nism. During severe recessions, open unemployment wi 11 rise reflecting the limited absorptive capacity of irregular activities. Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin In the rest of this chapter, we examine the validity of these hypotheses in a regional context different from the one that gave rise to them. In the past, theories of Latin American urbanization based on the experience of the larger countries have been applied by extension to smaller ones, such as those of the Caribbean Basin. Our study focuses explicitly on urban trends in this region. As indicated in chapter 1, the countries selected for the study were Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Haiti, and Jamaica. Although these countries do not encompass the entire region, they do form a signifi F 22 7c9 Alejandro Portes, José Irzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral _5 U o cant proportion of its total population and illustrate the great diversity ‘of historical experience found in the area. The principal differences between these five countries are summarized in table 2.1. They include the richest and most politically stable nation in the region (Costa Rica) and the poorest and most unstable (Haiti). Politically, there are two stable democracies, albeit with different political regimes (Costa Rica and Jamaica). The other counties range from a strong presi dentialist incipient democracy (the Dominican Republic) to fragile politi cal systems that have experienced repeated military interventions (Gua temala and Haiti). In terms of size, they include the largest Central American country (Guatemala) and, with the exception of Cuba, the largest island-country (the Dominican Republic). The urbanized populations range from less than one-third of the total in Haiti to mote than half in Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and Jamai ca. Given other economic and political differences, it is possible to expect that utbanization pattems will differ across the five countries. ‘What these differences are and how they bear on the above propositions is the purpose of the study. The collaborative character of the project, described in chap ter 1, called for the same three themes—urban primacy, spatial polariza tion, and the informal economy—to be covered by each report so that systematic comparisons could be conducted. These data findings are cited, where appropriate, in ensuing sections of this chapter. They are supple mented by other secondary data to provide the most up-to-date portrayals of urban systetna in the region. U • .1 :;ir -6 .6 o S , • -a.6 .6 H gass2 D 9t1 -Icc ‘8 ,, 1° a-c-- a -e U) -a 9t g 1 go 0 1 2 E t E2c8 .2c3 5 U’ U) o - a a 0 o 0 U) 0 r— 5- U) 0 0’ — — U) -, 0 g au..9 — e g .5 o U) C w -C U) 0 o 0 fl ,— U) ,- — ,., 0 r, a U) The evidence from the five countries on our first proposition is mixed. In some nations, there has been a deceleration of primacy; in others, there has not. The observed intraregional differences tend to agree, however, with the logic of the hypothesis. The shifr toward coo is cleat and is exemplified by the rapid growth of export production zones (Ens) throughout the Caribbean Basin. Table 2.2 presents illustrative data for four of the five countries studied. The consistent growth of cars and export assembly plants documented by these figures is a direct consequence of the search for new sources of foreign exchange, coupled with the favorable tariff regime cre ated by the new Caribbean Basin Initiative. Without doubt, the principal stimulus for foreign industries to transfer operations to the Caribbean has been low labor costs. In 1988, the hourly manufacturing wage was estimated at US$1.00 in Costa Rica, $0.6 1—0.88 I - -t Urban Primacy 0 O 2 -t e e .5 D 1 U) c0 C C 5 6 U) ,- 0 0 0 0 0 0 a o e .61 0 I - I e 5 5- : 5g sos CC C -C .6 C p I I I 6-S S S o I S 0 0 0 .5 S C 2 a 9 -a 5 a a .a .9-I . -C ‘-5 e S - ‘8 .1 j - r Alejandro Porces, José Iczigoohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral 24 Table 2.2 Export Production Zones (cr’zs) in Selected Caribbean Countries and Ocher S,port Manafacturicy Employment 1975 1990’ en Number of Zones 1973 19901 Number of Plants cx. 1980 cx. 1990’ Export Manufac turing as Percent age of Total Employment in Manufatruting 19901 1975 1%) (%) Costa Rica 0 4 0 89 0 11,470 0 7 Dominican Republic 2 26 88 419 6,900 111,000 5 43 Haiti 1 1 13 154 25,000 43,000 20 35 Jamaica 1 2 25 26 6,100 8,000 8 7 Soaeces. Schoepile and Peeer-Lopm 1989; Lomno and Duane 1991; Direction General de Essodisrics y Cema de Cosea Rica 1991, Coepoexcion de Is Zoos Pmnco de Espanacian 1991; bantam de Esmdios Doroinicar,xs 1992; sod Cooseix Nacional de Zonas b’cancas de Exportation 1992. I. The data foe Haiti and Jama,ca are from cx. 1986. in Guatemala, $0.44—0.88 in the Dominican Republic, and $0.36 in Jamai ca. Coats of labor and overhead associated with the assembly of women’s garments were estimated at $4.75 per unit in the United States, $2.20 in Hong Kung, and $1.66 in the Caribbean (Schoepfle and Perez-Lopez 1989: 135—136). Guatemala (excluded from the table because of the absence of ens) has recently established a large zone in Puerto Barrios and has begun fostenng the growth of export gannenr assemblies on the basis of extremely low labor costs (Pdrez-Sainz 1992). Yet the effects of export-platform industrialization on Caribbean primate cities are not even because there are three additional factors: (1) the physi cal location of the export zones; (2) their relative viability; (3) the growth of other foreign-oriented sectors, especially export agriculture and tourism. These factors determine variations of urban development around a com mon pattern dominated by the tendency to rechanrsel internal migration toward new areas of tourism and export manufacruring.1 Of the five countries under study, Jamaica is the one that has experi enced most clearly a reduction in primacy. As shown in table 2.3, the primacy index declined from 7.2 in 1960 to 2.2 in 1990. This result was associated with the expansion of the tourist industry in the northern coast of the island, the revival of bauxite production in the interior, and the growth of satellite cities in the vicinity of the Kingston metropolitan area (irMA). The latter process is exemplified by the rapid population increase of Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 25 Spanish Town to the northwest of the capital. Under the effect of expanded tourism, cities like Montego Bay and Gcho Rios also grew at a very fast clip durinE the last decade. With the return to puwer of the Jamaica Labour Party in 1980, under Edward Seaga, the island became transformed into an expurt-orienred open economy, a process completed under Seaga’s successor, the People’s Nation al Parry’s Michael Manley. This led to growing capital investments both in tourism and export platform industrialization (Gordon and Dixon 1991). The decentralizing potential of EPZ industries is partially neutralized be cause the largest export-production zone is located in Kingston itself. How ever, a second en is located in Montego Bay and, along with the phenome nal growth of tourism in this and other northern cities, has led to significant reductions in the former hegemony of Kingston. The Dominican Republic has experienced a similar rapid expansion of both tourism and export industries. By 1985, receipts from tourism had surpassed the sum of the three main traditional agricultural exports—sugar, coffee, and tobacco. About the same time, receipts from the export zones also started to climb rapidly. In the Dominican case, the centrifugal poten tial of export oriented industrialization was not partially neutralized as in Jamaica because most of the epzs are located outside the capital city of Santo Domingo. The latest census figures indicate that the fastest urban growth during the last intercensal period (1970—931 took place in La Ro mana, the city where the first EPZ was established and that also was the recipient of significant tourism investment. The rate of growth of Santo Domingo has declined significantly during the same period, falling behind that of all three secondary cities. By 1993, the capital’s urban primacy had declined to 2.0 The growth rate of Domin can secondary cities during the 1980s has been explosive, driven by tourism and the continuing expansion of export manufacturing. Tourist develop ment has centered on a city on the north coast, Puerto Plata, in a pattern very similar to Jamaica’s Montego Bay, and on all-inclusive, enclave resorts in La Romana. As seen in table 2.2, export-oriented industries expanded fivefold be tween 1973 and 1990 and their labor force grew by 1,500 percent. This rapid expansion has continued unabated during the early 1990s. By 1992, for example, employment in export-manufacturing plants was estimated at 134,100, a 21 percent increase in just two years. With the exception of the San Crisrobal export zone, located near the western fringe of the capital, most manufacturing for export and ancillary economic activities are lo cated in secondary cities such as Santiago, La Rumana, and San Pedro de Macoris (Guarnizo 1992: chap. 2). These cities have experienced a rapid -J C, s-J Santo Domingo Goaremala City Port-au-Prince Kingston Domintran Repablsc Guatemala Haiti Jamaica Spanish Town Montego Boy Mop Pen Cap Hoitien Gonalves Caym Qaetaltenango Escointla Puerto Barrios Santiago San Pedro de Macotis La Romona Limssn Panta Arenm Canago Three Neet Largesr Ciriea, 1980—90 8.8 5.6 6.1 10.4 0.9 10.1 5.0 5.0 11.5 4.1 5.5 4.5 2.2 10.3 6.3 6.1 559.1 118.8 87.1 50.8 376.5 14.7 23.6 14.1 .— 1,143.6 89.2 58.3 62.5 2.3 1.4 0.9 1.4 4.6 5.0 5.4 6.0 3.3 15.8 16.0 13.4 (%) 458.6 45.6 28.7 22.6 4.9 6.2 4.8 3.1 8.4 6.5 6.5 7.8 5.9 (%) 2.2 3.7 0.1 940.5 1,555.7 488.3 146.6 141.6 861.3 66.1 55.7 61.4 1980—90 lntercental Growth Rate 4 Latest 1960—70 62.7 36.9 24.2 44.2 24.9 22.3 587.5 650 155 44 37 320.4 19.4 19.6 18.0 1960_70t Popalarion (ODDs) 7.2 2.7 6.4 2.7 5.4 1960 4.4 4.7 7.7 2.7 5.4 2.6 5.1 7.6 2.7 6.0 Urban Primacyt 1980 1970 2.2 5.4 — 2.0 4.7 1990 Sources: Lungo, Pétes, and Piedm 1991; Lossno and Doorre 1991; Péeee-Sdtne 1991; Manigas 1991; Gordon and Dioon 1991; United Nasiom 1988: table A-l0; Encyclopaedia Beimnoicu 1991; Economic Commission fur Latin Ameeico and the Cacibbeon 1992: table 7; Panes and Walton 1976: table 2. 1. Calculated as the eutia of the largest city to the sam of the three neat largest. 2. For Costa Rica, Guatemsla, and Jamaica, estimate is for 1960; for the Dominican Republic and Haiti, 1970. 3. For Costa rico, Guatemola, and Jamaica, estimate is for 1990; foe Haiti, 1980—81; for she Dominican Repablic, 1993. 4. Poe Coasa Rica, 1984—90; she Dominican Republic, 1970—93; Goaremala, 1973—81; Hoiti, 1970—88; )amaica, 1970—90. San José Largest City (Metropolitan Area) Costa Rira Country Table 2.3 Urban Primacy 28 Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin Alejandro Portes, José ltzigsobn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral expansion of their urbanized perimeters as well as notable densificarion. A recent study of Santiago, the country’s second largest city concludes: “The city has grown in a chaotic way to the east in massive settlements in the direction of Puerto Plara; to the south, advancing rapidly toward mral zones, and to the southeast toward the mountains” (Santana 1992: 44). This and similat reports indicate that, despite the dearth of official data, urbanization patterns in the Dominican Republic are likely to follow those in Jamaica, with an upsurge of smaller urban centers and a relative decelera tion of the capital’s primacy. Costa Rica, too, has been making significant investments in tourism and export-platform industrialization. Unlike in the Dominican Republic, how ever, neither sector has yet surpassed the dominance of traditional export agriculture. In addition, export assembly remains a small percentage of total Costa Rican manufacturing, still dominated by import-substitution indus tries. As in other countries, these industries cluster in the largest city, in this case the metropolitan area of San José (AxlsJ). Despite these trends, urban primacy, which had been increasing steadily up to 1980, declined in the following decade. As shown in table 2.3, this decline was atcompanied by a halving of the tate of growth of San José along with very rapid increases in the population of smaller cities. Among the latter are the two port cities of Punta Arenas and Limon, suggesting that new export-oriented investments in these areas ate beginning to have significant demographic consequences (Lungo, Perez, and Piedra 1991). However, there is also a powerful countertrend to a mote balanced urban system because the largest sites of exportassembly manufacturing are located in Costa Rica’s central valley, in close Table 2.4 Urban Growth in Guatemala, 1950—198 1 City Guatemala City Meoopsliran Areat Qaezaltenango Escuintla Resalhalea Paerre Bareies Antigua Mazarenango Urban Total Annual Grewrls Rate 1973—81 1950—64 1964—73 7.2 7.3 4.3 11.1 4.3 3.4 1.9 5.5 2.5 4.9 2.2 3.7 3.1 0.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.4 2.3 1.4 1.9 0.9 —1.5 —1.3 7.6 3.4 0.7 Saarce: Pérez-SSinz 1991: table 4. I. Oaatnmala City and maeicipalitiea af Micra and Villa Naeva. 29 95 N CARIBBEAN SEA PACIFIC OCEAN san Jaw Met,apalitan Aan • Main Cities Figure 2.1 Location of Costa Rican Cities in Relation to the San Jead Metropolitan Area. Seance: Longo, Perez, and Piedra 1991. proximity to the AM5J. Despite government efforts to locate the eras in coastal cities, moat export industry converged in the central valley, which also concentrates a large portion of the tounat znfraattucture. As seen in table 2.3, Cartago, a central valley city, grew very rapidly during the last decade, as did Alajuela and Heredia, all urban areas in cloae vicinity to San José. Their relative locations ate portrayed in figure 2.1. Combined with the continuoua outward expansion of the capital, the growth of these satellite cities threatens to atreat the reversal of primacy, recreating it on a larger scale. The contours of a new megacity comptising the thirty-one central valley contonca, or municipalities, and concentrating the majority of the national population have begun to emerge (Lungo, Perez, and Piedra 1991). Hence, despite the recent weakening of San José’s primacy and the rapid growth of Costa Rican coastal towns, thete is a clear danger that the decentralizing potential of the new export-oriented industries may be lost 30 Alejandro Portes, José ltzigsohn, and Carlos Dore.Cabral as they reinforce rather than weaken the expansionary tendency of the capital. Guatemala has lagged behind most of its neighbors in both the establish ment of export assembly industries and the development of tourist infra structure. Prolonged political instability and generalized violence have conspired against successful investments in either Sector. The country’s entry into the new export-oriented model of development has depended, so far, on the expansion of its agricultural exports. As noted by Amaro (1990: 13—29), coffee exports grew by almost 800 percent between 1950 and 1981; cotton also has experienced a boom, beginning midcenrury. Guatemalan urbanization patterns have reflected, with some lag, these tendencies in export agriculture. The country’s urban primacy is among the highest in Latin America because of the weakness of secondary cities. In 1980, the population of Guatemala City was more than seven times the combined total of the next three cities. Nevertheless, figures in table 2.4 show that the second city, Quezaltenango, grew at twice the rate of the capital during the last intercensal period, corresponding to its role as the principal coffee center. The two cotton cities, Escuintla and Retalhuleu, also grew rapidly during the period of this crop’s expansion; afterwards, growth there leveled. The banana center, Puerto Barrios, stagnated during the l970s and 1980s following the collapse of this sector. Congruent with the absence of any significant economic innovation, at least until the mid-l980s, Guatemala’s urban system has not experienced any significant transformation. Primacy remained unchanged and the over all rate of urbanization declined during the last intercensal period (table 2.4). The only signs of dynamism were the relatively fast growth of Que zaltenango and the rapid increase of the population in municipalities adja cent to the capital city. The suburban towns of Mixco and Villa Nueva grew from a combined total of 15,000 in 1964 to 186,000 in 1981. These munici palities by themselves are larger today than the sum of the next three cities outside of the Guatemala Metropolitan Area (AMcz). Without them, the AMOs primacy would have declined from an index of 7.6 to 6.1 (Pérez-Sáinz 1991: 23). These results are congruent with the subutbanization of the metropolitan population and growth of satellite towns observed in other countries. The question for the future is whether the establishment of new EPZ5 and investments in tourism in the smaller cities would introduce a second dynamic, so far absent in Guatemalan urban development. The dynamic role of export-oriented manufacturing is much mote visi ble in Haiti which was one of the first countries to take advantage of the Caribbean Basin Initiative (Schoepfle and Perez-Lopez 1989). However, the effects of the new industries have been the opposite of those anticipated I Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 31 by the hypothesis of decelerating primacy. Political instability, lack of a suitable infrastructure, and fear of AIDS have all but dismantled Haiti’s tourist sector. Goods assembly, the country’s main export earner, was con centrated in the late l980s in a single EPZ located adjacent to Port-auPrince’s airport. This location accelerated rural migration to the capital, already stimulated by land scarcity and soil erosion (Manigat 1991; Miller 1984). The result was that Haiti continued to experience sustained in creases in primacy along the pattern typical of earlier Latin American urban development. Port-au-Prince’s annual rate of growth during the 1970s and l980s, 8.8 percent (table 2.3), is the highest of all the cities studied. The evidence in this section indicates that urban primacy is not declin ing everywhere, but that the underlying forces identified as responsible for its decline in the larger Latin American countries also operate in those of the Caribbean Basin. Effects of the new export-oriented model of develop ment on the urban system are not uniform: they depend on the location of the new industries and their capacity for employment creation. When sizable tourist and export manufacturing projects are located away from the primary city, the urban system responds along the lines predicted by the hypothesis (Jamaica and the Dominican Republic); when these same sec tors are located in or near the capital city, primacy is exacerbated (Haiti); in situations where export-oriented development is in its early stages, the urban system remains unaltered (Guatemala). The analysis also identified a second dynamic concerning the rapid growth of satellite towns and suburbs—a tendency that runs contrary to the decentralizing potential of export growth and that may negate its effect by giving rise to future larger cities. The principal case in point is Costa Rica, where the rapid expansion of the capital is fast linking with satellite towns in which export assembly plants have clustered. The two forces affecting the evolution of the urban system reinforce each other in this instance, leading to the possible emergence of a new megalopolis in the country’s central region. Spatial Polarization Our analysis of patterns of spatial distribution in the capital cities of the countries studied does not support the hypothesis of a unifotm reversal of class polarization. However, the changes observed accord with the under five lying rationale of our second proposition. These cities were generally less polarized than their larger South American counterparts at the onset of the economic crisis, in part because local elites were not sufficiently large to 32 Alejandro Portes, José Itzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Calsral Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 33 occupy vast expanses of terntory. Instead, they cteated ptotected enclaves in an utban landscape dominated by low-income neighborhoods and squat ter settlements. This potttayal vatied, of cootse, with the level of economic development, the topographical chatacterisrics of each city, and, above all, the policies of the national government. The most polarized of our five cities is Kingston, where the social config uration resembles an inverted ice-cream cone: shantytown and workingclass neighborhoods at the base and elite settlements in the upper reaches of the Liguanea Plain, on which the city is located. This patrem—alteady observable in Cohn Clarke’s (1975) study of the city in the 1960s— remained essentially unchanged into the l980s. Debates among Jamaican urban specialists during the 1970s centered on the evolution of Kingston’s “transition zone” of middle housing between the low lying shantytowns and the elite high grounds (Norton 1978; Knight and Davies 1978). A second debate was on the extent to which an inner ring of popular settlements close to the wealthy foothills subverted Clarke’s portrayal of spatial polar izatiori. As shown in figure 2.2, the presence of these shantytown areas in the mid-1970s did not really alter the overall tendency toward spatial segrega tion. The latter was strongly correlated with different population densities. Norton (1978: 100) noted that 41 percent of Kingston’s residential area in the early l970s was occupied by 6 percent of the population living at densities of Od persons per room, whereas 75 percent of the population occupied only 33 percent of the residential area at average densities of 2 persons per room. Class differences were also superimposed on ethnic char acteristics. As Gordon and Dixon (1991) observed, there was significant overlap between the white/mulatto/black composition of Kingston’s popu lation and the elite/middle-class/poor descriptions of locations for residing in urban space. Since the economic crisis of the mid-1970s, two novel tendencies in Jamaica correspond fairly well with those observed in the larger South American cities. First, the consolidation of new elite enclaves around the shopping and business districts ofNew Kingston and Constant Spring Road to the north has been partially counteracted by the rapid growth of innerring irregular settlements around the same areas. A report by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica summarizes the resulting configuration as “an erratic arrangement of residences; close juxtaposition of residences containing opposite socioeconomic groups and the dispersed clusters of low-income residences throughout the higher income areas; an increased tendency towards peripheral location of lower income residences as they rival higher income groups in search of accommodation” (cited in Gordon and Dixon fIll] jjJjJ Irregular (squaiter) neiilemenis esd sery low Incomes Low and medium incomes Medium-high and high incomes Figure 2.2 Residential Strata in Kingston’s Metropolitan Ares, ca. 1980. Source: Adapted from Gordon sod Dixon 1991, bssed on official sources. 1991: 33). The crearion of these “suburbs of the poor” (Norton 1978) has been followed by the still more notable displacement of middle-income and impoverished groups out of Kingston proper and into the adjacent Sr. Catherine Plain. The movement was accommodated in planned housing estates such as Porrmore, Enson City, and others on the toad to Spanish Town as well as in new, large shantytowns. Low-lying Portmore, across the bay from Kingston, grew from a community of 5,000 in 1970 to 73,400 in 1982, equivalent to an annual growth rate of 25 percent. As shown in table 2.5, this new frontier of suburban projects and squatter settlements led to the absolute decline of the population of Kingston proper, already observ able in 1982 along with the growth of St. Catherine. The spread of population across Kingston Bay was the outcome of two sets of forces. First were efforts by the poor to escape the growing violence in central Kingston, caught in the throes of fscrional wsrfare between rival 9 34 Alejandro Portes, José Itzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin Table 2.5 Growth of Urban Population in the Kingston Region Popalasion Area 1970 1982 Change Annaal Rate of Growth Kingston Merrepolirso Kingston Sr. Andrew Urban St. Catherine Plain 473,715 111,897 361,818 63,263 524,638 104,04t 420,597 207,460 50,923 —7,856 58,779 144,197 0.90 —0.59 1.35 18.99 Sourre: Jamaica Srarisriral lnsrirure 1973, 1982. political parties; second was the closure of opportunities for affordable middle-income housing in the established northern suburbs. The first phe nomgnon rs unique to Jamaica, but the second is similar to that observed in Bogota, São Paulo, and other South American cities. In both instances, the impact of the economic crisis forced large sectors of the urban middle class to seek housing solutions in aress regarded previously as physically or social ly unacceptable. The difference is that, whereas in South American capitals the physical displacement of middle-income groups took place in the direc tion of established working-class areas, in Kingston the middle classes and the poor moved together—both heading toward previously unsettled land. Along with the cxpansion of the “suburbs of the poor” toward the north, this movement led to greater intermingling in urban space, and, hence, to a partial reversal of the pattern of class polarization. A similar trend is observable in Santo Domingo, although with other variants. During the period of import-substitution industrialization (isi), the Dominican capital grew rapidly. This gave rise to a new industrial zone and working-class settlements toward the north and east of the Ozama River and the displacement of elite sectors to the west. Sustained economic growth under in during the 1960s and early 1970s generated new wealthy groups and an urban middle class capable of fueling demand for luxury housing (Ouarnizo 1992: chapter 2). This demand led to a rapid inflation of land prices in the northwest quadrant of the city and the emergence of exclusive residential neighborhoods such as Naco, Los Jardines, and Arroyo Hondo. South of them, toward the Caribbean Sea, grew more-affordable middle-class housing developments such as Miramar and Mirador Norte (Lozano and Duarte 1991). The same period wimessed the growth of a vast conglomeration of slum dwellings and squatter settlements north of downtown and east of the Ozama River around the area of Los Mina. The apparent polarization of urban space into a westem frontier of elite and middle-income develop ments and a northeast zone of marginalized population was interrupted by 35 the fateful decision of the national government to establish a new industrial zone in the area of Herrera, in the westem fringe of the city. This industrial zone and the working-class neighborhoods that grew around it effectively bracketed the upper income residential developments, converting them thto an elite enclave in the midst of a poor city and limiting their possi bilities of expansion. This situation had important consequences for urban development in the years that followed. As in Kingston, the economic crisis in Santo Domingo saw the displace ment of poor populations toward high-income areas in search of em ployment and better housing. The movement took the form of increasing occupation of publicly owned land in the interstices of middle- and upperincome developments as well as the rapid growth of the western fringe around the Hertera industrial zone (Lozano and Duarte 1991). The process reduced spatial polarization and, more significantly, further encapsulated upper-income neighborhoods between two wide rings of impoverished pop ulation. The wealthier groups responded by seeking even more remote and exclusive locations in the northwest area, in developments such as Artoyo Manzano and Altos de Arroyo Hondo. The emergence of these expensive suburban divisions represents a clear attempt to maintain social distance from the poor, but even here physical space has been increasingly contested by squatter settlements moving north from the settled working-class areas. Figure 2.3 portrays the relative location of socioeconomic strata in Santo Domingo according to quality of dwellings and relative densities in 1990. The map indicates two noteworthy features. One is the spread of irregular squatter settlements throughout the entire urban area. Although concen trated noeth and east of downtown, squatter settlements are also found close to the rich suburban developments in the city’s northwest. A second feature of note is the existence of a sizable middle-income area east of the Ozama River and close to the largest poor settlements. The rapid growth of this area in neighborhoods such as Los Trinirarios and Villa Faro is a recent phenomenon that corresponds well to the trend already observed in other Latin American cities. In the Dominican case, this trend was prompted by the closure of the western fringe to middle-class expansion and by the occupation of the adjacent northwest by the wealthy. Predictably, urban densities and rents increased in the old established, middle-class areas. In response, some middle-claas groups breached the symbolic divide separating them from working-class areas in search of affordable housing. In Santo Domingo, this decision became known as “crossing the bridge” (across the Ozama) toward the new residential developments in the east. This process is essentially the same as that observed in Bogota and other South American cities. Along C’s? ‘11 Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 0 0 C C .3 S ‘a0 0 2 0. -c S cc 0 0 C S 0 C vs .5 53 C S -535 H 532 11 ‘.55 a..2 36 37 with the displacement of the urban poot toward the west, it has produced a visible reintegration of the city, partially reversing its past class polarization. Port-au-Prince offers the most dramatic example of transformation of the urban spatial ordec In the Haitian capital, reversal of class polarization has been more marked than in Kingston or Santo Domin go and it has been entirely due to the migration of the rural poor. There is no observable movement of middle-class sectors in search of new housin g, in part because the urban middle class is so small. Instead, there has been a thorough invasion of urban space by impoverished masses migrat ing from the coun tryside (Manigat 1991). The counterpart of Port-au-Prince ’s sharp increase in primacy, described above, is the emergence of vast bidonv illes such as Cite Soleil and the densification of formerly working-class areas to near unbe lievable levels (Duquella 1989). The invasion of the city by the rural poor has not been limited to the crestion of irregular settlements but extends to the occupa tion of free space in residential districts. No upper-class area, no matter how remote or exclu sive, has escaped this invasion. The occupation of urban space by the migrant poor is not limited to vacant land but extend s to the streets, several of which have been turned into informal markets, blocki ng vehicular traf fic. The fragile infrastructure of public services has been swamped by this rapidly growing population, malcing access to water, drainag e, and electrici ty a privilege accessible only to a few. By 1988, 72 percen t of the city’s population lacked running water and 92 percent had access only to basic latrines (Manigst 1991). In this context, the geadual displacement of rural migran ts towatd for merly elite areas, such as Petionville, Lsboule, and Tomassin, has been ptompted not only by the need for some form of emplo yment but also by the sesrch foe basic services. Deprived of legal access to these services, the poor have simply appropriated them thtough widesptead pitatin g of water, elec tricity and, in some ateas, even television cable. In 1988, 80 petcent of dwellings in Port-au-Prince had access to electricity, but the majority ac quited it thtough clandestine hookupa. ‘What has emerge d, then, is a silent struggle between the classes for open space, basic service s, and even the streets. Armed guseds ste commonly posted in front of the tesidencea of the well-to-do, seeking to prevent furthet encroachmen ts by the poor. Port-au-Prince today is best described as a few islands of wealth sur rounded by a sea of poverty. It tepeesenes an extrem e case of “pervetse integration” (to use Kowarick’s term), prompted by the exacerbation of the underlying social processes. In Haiti, the economic crisis of the late 1970s and 1980s took place in a context of declining ptoductivity and employ ment in agriculture, with no other industry emergi ng to take its place. 38 Alejandro Portes, José ltzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral Neither the new EPZ close to the capital, nor the city itself could cope with the material needs of the vast wave of new rural migrants. As in other cities affected by the crisis, the poor gravitated toward those areas where some wealth existed, but, in this case, such areas were (and are) much smaller and the needs and numbers of those seeking refuge in them much greater. The two capitals in Central America—in Costa Rica and Guatemala— represent exceptions to the patterns outlined above. Neither city has expe rienced significant reversals of spatial polarization, in part because neither was highly polarized to begin with. The reasons accounting for this lesser segregation are quite different, however. In the Costa Rican capital—the most socially integrated of the five cities studied—higher levels of econom ic development were combined with state policies that sought to reduce economic and spatial inequalities. State intervention in the development ofSan José led to a relatively homogeneous urban space; there were neither distinct elite enclaves nor a shantytown belt. This outcome was the result of three types of state policies: (1) subsidized provision of housing for lower-middle and low-income sectors, (2) rapid response to land invasions through the relocation of invaders in state hous ing projects, and (3) dispersion of these projects throughout the metro politan area. As Lungo, Perez, and Piedra (1991: 117) note, “The state has been the central agent in the development of metropolitan San JosC. Its actions promoted the extension of the urban infrastructure of roads, water, and electricity and the construction of good quality housing for the lower These actions generated a more homogenous urban space middle-class. where state projects were interspersed with those of the private sector preventing the radical spatial segregation found in other Latin American cities.” The economic downturn of the early 1 980s, coincided with the adminis tration of Rodrigo Carazo (1 978—82) and led to a contraction of employ ment, wages, and the ability of the state to intervene in the housing marker. Urban shantytowns and land invasions proliferated, concentrating in spe cific areas and threatening to initiate a process of spatial polarization. Both the economy and the state investment capacity recuperated, however, by the mid-1980s. During the administrations of Luis A. Monge (1982—86) and Oscar Arias (1986—90), efforts were made to reestablish spatial equilib rium. The government gave priority to the provision of housing solutions through new programs of subsidized credit for the middle class, resettlement of land invaders in new projects, and prevention of further land invasions through an innovative sites-and-services program. By 1990, “the tendency for a marked segregation of urban space that emerged in the early eighties disappeared because the revamped housing market offered solutions which, . . I / O) Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 39 although small, were accessible to an impoverished middle class” (Lungo, Perez, and Piedra 1991: 126). San José is primarily a middle-class city; Guatemala City, on the other hand, is characterized by the opposite; namely, the feebleness of middleincome sectors. Guatemalan society is sharply divided between a wealthy elite and a mass of impoverished people, mostly Indians. For the country as a whole, 1.25 million families (83.4% of the total) were classified as living in poverty in 1986—87; of these, 949,000(64.5%) lived in conditions of ex treme poverty. Even in the capital city, where the situation was better, 56.3 percent were poor or very poor (Pérez-Sáinz 1991:53; Ruiz 1990). This class structure has produced an urban landscape dominated by settlements of the poor and the working class and shantytowns, with a well-defined elite enclave in its midst. Guatemala City is administratively divided into some twenty-five zones that facilitate a more refined analysis of its spatial structure. In 1985, only five of the twenty-five zones that comprise the metropolitan area could be classified as middle-income or higher. The others had average family monthly incomes of 800 quetzales (US$120 in 1985) or less. One of the middle-class residential zones (#14) combined a population with average family incomes exceeding US$300 with 36 percent of very poor families whose incomes did not reach US$45. Even more remarkable, the middleand upper-income enclaves were not in the suburbs but in relatively close proximity to the central city. Most of these areas are located south of downtown in low-density residential developments such as Santa Clara and Tivoli, established during the late l940s (Pérez-Sáirsz 1991: 31). Figure 2.4 portrays the spatial distribution of socioeconomic strata in the Guatemala Metropolitan Area. Two facts are immediately apparent. First, shantytowns ate frequently located in central areas, in close proximity to elite residential neighborhoods; zones 10 and 14, for example, are actually shared by low-density residential housing and high-density working-class and squatter settlements. Second, this spatial mix has not prompted upperincome groups to flee the city; there is no frontier of suburban elite develop ments anywhere in the urban periphery. The generalized and increasing poverty in Guatemala City during the 1980s and the close and visible presence of well-to-do neighborhoods should have prompted the most deprived sectors to invade elite areas in search of better employment opportunities. This phenomenon, observable in Kingston, Santo Domingo, Port-au-Prince, and larger South American cities, did not materialize in Guatemala City—a direct consequence of the level of state-sponsored violence. An entrenched elite, willing to employ any means in defense of its privileges, presents a major challenge to any /01 Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin t3 ,) — a. a act, a Egr .a cc,. ‘ — , •oiii g i . : g f - 5 , . a. 41 popular attempt at revind icat ion. Although working-class occupations of land near high-income neighborhoods is an everyday affair in other cities, it would be quite unthinkable, in the face of the violent opposition, in the elite urban zones of Guatemala (Jonas 1991). This political simation also helps to explain the peculiar absence of reaidential segregation that is apparent in figure 2.4. In part, there is no spatial segregation of the classes because their social segregation is so vast as to render the proximity of the poor more a convenience than a threat to privileged groups. With the state’s means of violence at their disposal and a population intimidated by yeats of repression, there is little incentive for the well-to-do to escape the city. Instead, poor settlements function mostly as a convenient source of domestic labor and personal,sei-vices for elite areas (Roberts 1978). In sum, the five capital cities provide evidence in favor of the hypothesis of reversal of spatial polarization, but there are also indications of significant variations and exceptions to the process. The comparison highlights the significance of the state in countermanding the tendency of urban elites to create exclusive residential areas and of impoverished groups to try to settle near them in search of better material opportunities. In the two Central American capitals in the study, these tendencies are absent, in large part because of state action. In one case, state policy attempted to meet those basic needs that lead the urban poor to invade elite suburbs; in the other, state repression foreclosed the possibility of such popular actions, hence removing one of the major incentives for elite flight from the city. The second rtend leading to the reduction of spatial polarization (that is, the movement of middle-class groups into formerly low-income areas) is observable in two of our five cities (Kingston and Santo Domingo). In the other three, either the middle class is too small (Port-au-Prince and Gua temala City) or it comprises the majority of the urban population and has been the recipient of state programs to meet its housing needs (San José). The Informal Economy and Unemployment Our analysis of urban labor markets and of the role of the informal Sector seeks to understand the extent to which inegular forms of emploent played a countercyclical role at the height of the economic crisis. This analysis, guided by hypothesis 3 above, is limited to four countries. Haiti, the one excluded, is exceptional in that formal-sector employment barely exists; furthermore, the dearth of reliable statistics makes it impossible to detect short-term change) in a labor market that is overwhelmingly infor 40 (9;L 42 Alejandro Fortes, José Irzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral Table 2.6 Evolution of the Labor Market in Metropolitan San José, GNP growth rate Employment (000s) Formal-sector employment (%) Informal-sector employment 1%)’ Open unemployment (%) Percentage of composition of tlse informal sector Informal owners (%) Informal workers 1%) Unremunerated family workers (%) Self-employed (%) Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 1980—1989 1980 1981 1982 1983 1985 1987 1988 1989 0.8 210.9 71.6 26.7 5.0 100.0 —2.3 208.4 68.3 29.9 8.3 100.0 —7.3 219.5 66.7 30.5 11.3 100.0 2.9 221.9 67.9 30.3 8.5 100.0 0.7 240.2 68.9 29.7 7.4 100.0 4.9 248.6 68.8 29.7 4.8 100.0 3.8 253.5 70.7 27.6 6.6 100.0 5.0 265.7 70.7 27.5 2.7 100.0 11.2 35.6 6.0 47.2 8.1 38.0 6.1 47.8 9.4 37.5 5.3 47.8 9.7 32.2 2.4 55.7 7.7 36.5 3.5 52.3 7.2 32.6 2.9 57.3 11.5 33.6 3.2 51.7 8.6 20.9 2.9 67.6 So,arcr Tre os 199L ruble 2. 1 1. Includes domestic service. Percentages of formal and informal employment do not add op to 100 became of eocloslon of agricultuml workers. 2. Rounded figures. mal. According to the International Labour Office, only 7.7 percent of the Haitian labor force in 1987 held jobs that could be considered in any sense regulated or formal, the bulk of the figure being formed by 32,000 state employees (Manigat 1991). Among the remaining countries, the best available information comes from Costa Rica. Time-series data on the evolution of the labor market in metropolitan San José are presented in table 2.6. During the crisis years of 198 1—84, open unemployment rose sharply and informal employment ex panded only moderately. According to the figures, unemployment in the metropolitan area of San José (AMsJ) rose 66 percent in 1980/81 and anoth er 36 percent in 1981/82, coinciding with art aggregate decline of real gross national product (GNP) of 9.6 percent in this two-year period. Informal employment expanded more slowly, by 8.2 percent in 1980/81 and 2 per cent in 1981/82. Unemployment remained high during the next three years, then declined rapidly with economic reactivation in the late 1980s. By 1989, unemployment was approximately half of what it had been at the beginning of the decade. By contrast, informal employment remained steady at about a quarter of the labor force. These contrasting trends indi cate that adjustment to the economic crisis of the early 1980s occurred primarily through open unemployment rather than a massive expansion of the informal sector. This is not the whole story, however. Additional evidence shows a parallel rise in unstable and lower-paid jobs in both sectors of the San José 43 economy. Female labor market participation grew during the decade in connection with the proliferstion of assembly-for-export plants in the AM5J. Maquzkss, as these plants are known locally, more than tripled their employ ment between 1984 and 1990, reaching 40,000 in the latter year: Most of these jobs are unstable and pay low wages, employing mainly young women. Part-time employment also grew, tos high of37.5 percent of the economi cally active population by the mid-1980s. While the minimum wage recu perated in 1989 to its full value at the beginning of the decade, earnings of skilled and white-collar workers remained below the 1980 figure (Lungo, Pmirez, and Piedra 1991). The informal sector registered a parallel evolution in its internal structure. The better remunerated and more stable category of informal entrepreneurs declined by 45 percent between 1980 and 1986, recuperating only during the last years of the decade. Less stable and lowerpaid jobs such as odd jobbing and other forms of informal self-employment grew, however, throughout these years. As seen in table 2.6, they rose 20 percent between 1980 and 1989, representing two-thirds of all urban infor mal employment in the latter year. 2 These figures suggest a complex adjustment process of the Costa Rican urban labor market. Governmental intervention was instrumental in checking the rise of open urban unemployment during the 1980s and preventing the deterioration of the minimum wage. Simultaneously, how ever, there was a rise in lower-paid, more unstable employment in both the formal and informal sectors. Part-time work and low-paid musquila employ ment became more common among formal workers; whereas selfemployment (much of it in marginal odd jobbing) became predominant in the informal sector. This development is consonant with our procyclical hypothesis; it shows that the informal sector, instead of counteracting trends in the formal economy, followed its evolution. In contrast to San José, the labor market in Guatemala City has always been highly informal. Among the five cities studied, only Port-au-Prince has a larger proportion of the economically active population (EM) in the informal sector. During the 1980s, however, figures for informal employ ment in Guatemala City barely moved. Estimates based on the measure ment criteria employed by the ILO indicate that the informal sector com prised 30 percent of the urban EAP in 1980 and 33 percent in 1989. Alternative figures, based on the proportion of the EAP working without legally mandated coverage, yield a much higher estimate for 1980 (54.3%) but coincide in showing little change during the decade. 4 As in San Jose, adjustment to the crisis took place mainly through a significant rise in open unemployment. Two sets of estimates are presented in table 2.7. They coincide in showing that urban unemployment more than quadrupled be- 44 103 Alejandro Portes, José ltzigsohn, and Carlos Dore.Cabral Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin tween 1980 and 1983 and then remained at a high level during the entire decade. Unlike the Costa Rican case, no significant government intervention took place to bnng down record unemployment, a pattern of official policy congruent with that observed for low-income housing in the preceding section. Hence, the presence of a large, urban, informal sector in which average wages were lower than among protected workers did not suc cessfully cushion the effects of the economic downturn. The quadrupling of open unemployment in Guatemala City during the l980s is also congruent with our hypothesis concerning the limits of the informal sector as a coun tercyclical mechanism. As table 2.7 shows, the internal structure of the informal sector in Guatemala City appears to have evolved in a direction contrary to that of San Jose. In a comparison of estimates available for 1980 and 1989, the relative representation of informal entrepreneurs seems to have increased and that of the self-employed to have declined. As in San José, entrepre neurs earned incomes significantly above the official minimum and their presence led to art improvement of average earnings in the informal sector. Table 2.7 Evolution of the Labor Market in Mertopol itan Guatemala City, Ca. 1980 Total employment (000s) Formal-sector employment (%) i Informal-sector employment (%)2 Open unemployment (%)3 Open unemployment (%)4 (1980 100) Percentage of composition of the informal sector Informal owners Informal workers Uriremunerated lhmily workers Self-employed Avenge wages Formal sector Informal sector 323.8 30 0 66.9 2.2 100.0 40 27 0 50 64.0 1982 — — — 9.9 450.0 — — 1980—1989 1989 3227 33 0 53.5 62 545 9 28 7 — — 511 US $148.9 US$102.6 Soa,ros. Pérea-Sdirsa 1991; Inter-America,, Development Bank 1990; Mesa-L.ago 1991; Economic Commissio, for Latin America and the Caribbean 1992; pan.si.c 1986 Note; Dash indicates that data are unavailable. I. As percentage of the urban nw, maci.e 2. As percentage of the urban nap without social security protection: 3. From Economic Commission for Latin American and the Caribbean 1992: table 14; total urban unemployment. 4. From lntrr-Americun Development Bank 1990: table 10. 45 Yet, despite its apparent decline, in 1989, self-employment still represented the majority of the Guatemalan informal labor force. The Caribbean island-nations of Jamaica and the Dominican Republic experienced a similar evolution of their urban labor markets in the 1980s. Estimates for both countries indicate an expansion of informal employ ment, especially in street vending and odd-jobbing, along with a contrac tion of both formal employment and earnings. Despite the scarcity of data, figures for the Dominican Republic are consistent in showing a significant rise tn the jobless population, a sharp decline in formal sector wages, and an increase in self-employment. As shown in table 2.8, the proportion of the population entering the labor force rose as real industrial and public-sector wages declined steeply. Most of the increase in participation was concentrated in the cities, as indicated by the rising representation of the urban labor force in the nation al EAP. Self-employment increased during the last half of the 1980s, but the proliferation of these informal activities did not prevent a sharp rise in open unemployment, which doubled between 1977 and 1991. It appears that efforts of Dominican households to compensate for declining wages with an increased labor offer by the primary wage earner and/or other members of the household met with a shortage of remunerated employment in both the formal and informal sectors. Although street-vending and similar activities Table 2.8 Evolution of the Urban Labor Market in the Dominican Republic: 1977—1991 Labor-force participation (%)i Urban tar (%)° Manufacturing wagesS 3 Export-once wages Public-sector wages 3 Self-employment (%)5 Unremunerated family workers Open unemployment (%)i (%)5 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 32.6 56.1 149.0 161.2 57.4 20.4 1.8 13.7 33.3 58.8 142.0 155.2 83.7 16.2 1.6 18.6 34.5 59.2 129.4 123.2 85.1 18.5 2.4 20.7 35.3 60.7 128.4 159.0 74.0 17.6 2.2 21.7 35.0 63.8 92.1 74.0 72.3 39.1 64.6 99.1 80.8 68.0 40.0 65.0 87.6 88.5 54.1 — — — — — 25.7 25.6 41.9 64.2 75.6k 84.8 41.74 25.2 1.9 26.8° Sosncos; National Statistical Office 1987, 1990; Dominican Documentation Center 1991. Nate: Dash indicates that data are unavailable. 1. Notional figures, as percentage of the total population. 2. As proportion of total tar. 3. In cormorant pesos of 1977. 4. To August 1991. 5. In Santo Domingo, as proportion of urban tan’. 6. 1990. — 25.6 46 Alejandro Porteo, José ltzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral Urbanization Table 2.9 Evolation of the Labor Msrket in Kingston, 1977—1991 1977 Formal-sector employment 1%)’ Pablic sector and servicm Informal-sector employment (%)° Vendon Males Females Small services and ageicalture Males Females Unemployment (%)3 Males Females Labor-force participation (%)3 Males Females 60.4 23.7 17.4 4.1 8.8 10.7 8.6 1983 — — — — — — — 1989 53.3 14.0 26.0 5.8 12.5 6.8 7.7 17.5 29.9 21.0 35.3 11.4 21.8 82.9 70.1 83.5 71.1 78.1 64.0 Saarces: Gardan and Diaan 1991’ rabIes 5, 9; Andenon 1987. Nose: Dash indicates that data see anavailable. I. Formal-serene employment is defined as the sam sf gavemment, formal services, white-collar, and regulated blae-cnllar emplnyrrsene. 2. lnfne,nal-secrsr employment is defined m anregolseed emplaymene in domestic service, crafts, sod moesalaceoring, smeeee-eending, services, and sabaeban agriculmee. 3. As percentage of the warbing-age papalasien. rose, they could not absorb a tapidly increasing labor supply. Open unem ployment teached recotd levels. In parallel fashion, in the Kingston Metropolitan Area during the eco nomic ctiais there were simultaneous increases in informal employment and unemployment. The unemployment rate teached record levels between 1983 and 1985 and declined afterwards. However, this apparent improve ment may mask a rise in the number of discouraged workers. As shown in table 2.9, participation in the labor force actually dropped, suggesting that a large proportion of prospective workers simply stopped looking for work. As in San José, the internal structure of the informal sector evolved in the direction of an apparent decline of small entrepreneurs and a rise in infor mal self-employment. Informal street-vendors (male and female) increased their participation in the Kingston labor force; meanwhile, entrepreneurial activities in small-scale services and agriculture declined. The overall trend was toward a simultaneous deterioration of employment opportunities and earnings in both segments of the Kingston labor market. in the Caribbean Basin 47 Despite the scarcity and imperfections of official data, the figures indi cate that urban labor markets in the smaller countries of the Caribbean Basin adjusted to the economic crisis in a manner similar to their larger South American counterparts. In both instances, adjustment involved a combinatson of declining wages, declining formal employment, growing informality, and record levels of unemployment. The growth of unemploy ment, in all countries, clearly points to the limitations of the informal sector as a labor-absorptive mechanism. Contrary to the dualistic conceptualiza tion of Latin American labor markets proposed by analysts of the Ito and its Latin American affiliate PREALC, there is no hydraulic relationship between formal and informal sectors in which excess supply in one is automatically absorbed by the other. The overall pattern of results seems more congruent with the alternative view of unified urban economies in which both types of activities coexist. In accordance with hypothesis 3, open unemployment rises as a logical consequence of economic contraction. The contraction reduces employment opportunities and earnings in both formal and infor mal enterprise. Summary and Conclusions Overall, these results support the conclusion of earlier studies that “something” significant has changed in Latin American urbanization dur ing the last two decades. Though the three dimensions of urbanization examined do not exhaust by any means all that there is to the topic, they capture important aspects highlighted by a voluminous research literature. The Caribbean findings presented in this chapter do not support such simplified conclusions as “primacy is declining everywhere” or “class polar ization is everywhere diminishing.” Indeed, the evidence from one or more countries runs contrary to such assertions. Instead, what the pattern of results shows is support for the theoretical logic behind each proposition: primacy decelerates (or does not decelerate) depending on whether the decentralizing potential of the new outward-oriented model of develop ment is actualized; spatial polarization declines (or does not decline) de pending on whether middle-class and poor sectors are able to implement new strategies to cope with economic emergencies; the informal sector can absorb more or less labor depending on the state of the economy and the success of governmental efforts to reactivate it. The contrasting empirical trends observed in the five countries, added to those in our earlier South American research (Portes 1989), point toward a second important conclusion. Earlier portrayals of the urban “explosion” in F 48 Alejandro Fortes, José Iczigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral Latin America and of the homogenous characteristics of peripheral urban izacion were flawed. Such generalizations may have played a useful role in an earlier stage of conceptual devclopmenr, but they are out of atep with current realities. Contempotary Latin American cities cannot be under stood on the baaia of blanket notions about less-developed societiea, wheth er they stem from orthodox neoclassical or unorthodox world-system theo riea. Instead, the weight of the evidence pointa to a third theoretical approach that combines global trends with specific national processes. A number of similarities among Latin Ametican countries preclude the oppo site extreme of aaserting that only national traits count. A mote useful level of analysis would begin by focusing on the changing role of these countries as they are inserted into the global economy and follow up with giving attention to the specific characteristics of each, in particular ira prior level of development and the type of state existing there. In an attempt to reassert the importance of the state in the analysis of national development, Evana (1989) has ptopoaed a typology of state aysrems, situated in a contin uum from predorory to developmentol. Much of what he has to say about the quality and effectiveness of state apparatuses bears on our results. All of the countties studied confronted a similarly adverse extemal environment dur ing the early 1980a and all moved in the direction of promoting exports in otder to reactivate their economies. Howevet, in some instances, record levels of unemployment lasted throughout the decade (Guatemala); in others, these levels were promptly brought down by effective state interven tion (Costa Rica). Similarly, the decentralizing potential of the new export industries was fully actualized in aome cases (Dominican Republic); in others it either did not exist (Guatemala) or it aggravated the preexisting urban concentration (Haiti). The effects of the crisis were also felt differently within each capital city. In some instances, the absence or ineffectiveness of state programs led to the exacerbation of the “pervene integration” already observed in larger South American cities (Kingston, Port-au-Prince). In others, spatial polar ization was kept at bay by strong state intervention. However, the character of the latter ranged all the way from effective middle-class and low-income housing programs that reduced the impact of economic inequality (San José) to vigorous state repression that prevented popular sectors from imple menting their own unorthodox solutions (Guatemala City). These conclusions converge and reinforce similar trends in the analysis of other aspects of national development. They support an emerging con sensus that a proper analytic stance would be, not at the level of sweeping global theories, nor at that of unique national or local traits, but in the interaction between the two. The empirical results obtained in the first - Urbanization in the Caribbean Basin 49 phase of this project illustrate the advisability of this midrange perspective. They will also serve to usher the presentation of derailed analysis of results from each capital city in the ensuing chapters. This still leaves for investigation how the people who have themselves been subjects and parcicipann in these processes interpret them and how they have coped with their consequences. Has life in the cities become better or worse for its different inhabitants? Are state authorities at both the national and local levels perceived as capable of coping with the effects of the economic crisis? Or has this role devolved into community self-help organizations? Are the proliferating informal enterprises crested by urban dwellers mere survival strategies subordinate to the whims of the large corporations? Or do they contain the seeds for autonomous economic growth? These are some of the questions that the second phase of our project sought to answer. The results for each city are presented in part 2. Notes This chapter is s revised version of an article originally published in the Loon Ametican Research Review 29 (2) 1994. I. A word must be said sbout the quality of data used to evslusre urbsn primacy. Although all estimates are based on nsrionsl census dsta, definitions vsry from source to source. Table 2.3 presents what sre, in our view, the bmt mrimsres svsilsble. These figures must be interpreted with caution. In particular, minor vsnsnons in urban primacy snd city size are best interpreted ass result of measure ment error rsther than actual changes. 2. Informs? entrepreneurs hsve average esmings significsntly sbove the mini mum; the self-employed tend to receive much lower esmings. In 1989, only 22.7 percent of informal entrepreneurs in the AMSJ received less than the official mini mum. The corrmpondmg figure for the self-employed was 44.7 peecent (Trejos 1991). 3. The u.n Regional Emplo)-ment Programme for Latin Americs (iataALc) de fines the informal sector as the sum of the self-employed, minus professionals, unremunersced family workers, snd domestic-service worken. Estienstes for 1980 ste from P5BALc; estimates for 1989 ste from a survey conducted by the Latin Americsn Faculty of Social Sciences (s’iscso). See Perez-Same (199?). 4. This estimating procedure is based on the definition of the informal sector as income-esming sccivitses unregulated by the state. The empirical indicator is the percentage of workers not covered by the cosintcy’s social security system. It is derived from estimates provided by Mess-Lsgo (1991). Gn altemative definitions of the informal sector, see Fortes and Schsuffler (1993). 5. The unemployment series is for the nsrionsl LAs’. Sepstste individual figures indirste the same trends for the urban LAP and the capital city. Benveen 1980 and 50 Alejandro Porres, José Itzigsohn, and Carlos Dore-Cabral 1986, for example the unemployment rate in the capital increased by 29 percent; by 1990, it stood at 20.3 percent, slightly below the national average for the year (National Statistical Office 1990). References Amaro, Nelson. 1990. Descencralizacidn y Participaciôn en Guatemala. Ciudad de Guatemala: ices’. Amato, Peter. 1969. An Analysis of the Changing Patterns of Elite Residential Areas in Bogoia, Colombia. Latin American Dissertation Series. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cor nell University Press. Anderson, Patricia. 1987. ‘Informal Sector or Modem Labour Market? Towards a Synthesis.” Social arid Economic Studies 36 (3): 149—76. Bairoch, Paul. 1973. Urban Unemployment in Developing Countries: The Nature of the Problem and Proposals for its Solution. Geneva: International Labour Office. Beneria, Lourdes. 1989. “Subcontracting and Employment Dynamics in Mexico City.” Pages 173—88 in The informal Economy: Studies in Advanced and Less Developed Countries, ed. A. Portes, M. Castells and L.A. Benton. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. Beneria, Lourdes, and Marts I. Roldan. 1987. The Crossroads of Class and Gender: Homework, Suhcantracung, and Household Dynamics in Mexica City. Chi cago: University of Chicago Press. Beyer, Glenn H. 1967. The Urban Explosion in Latin America. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press. Breese, Gerald. 1966. Urbanization in Newly Developing Countries. New York: Prentice-Hall. Carrier, William. 1988. “Urban Processes and Economic Recession: Bogotd in the 1980s.” Paper presented at the seminar on Latin American Urbanization During the Crisis. Center for Latin American and Caribbean Studies, Ron da International University. Clarke, Cohn. 1975. Urban Decelopmentassd Social Change, 1692—1961. Berkeley: University of California Press. Consejo Nacional de Zones Franctu de Exportación. 1992. Data gathered and compiled by José Iraigsohn. Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. Cornelius, Wayne. 1975. Politics and the Migrant Poor in Mexico City. Stanford: Stanford University Press. Corporacion do Ia Zorsa Franca de Exportación. 1991. Data gathered and compiled by José ltzigsohn. San José, Costa Rica. Direccián General de Estadistica y Censo de Costa Rica. 1991. Encuesta Nacional de Hogares. Data compiled by José Itzigsohn. San José, Costa Rica. Dominican Documentation Center. 1991. Series Estadisticas Sobre Empleo. Comp. Edwin Croes. Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. Duquella, A. 1989. “La Popul; eographed report. Port Eckstein, Susan. 1977. The Pa Mexico. Princeton: Prir Economic Commission for Lat: Statistical Yearbook of L Nations. 1988. “Preliminary C Notes on Economy and. 1992. 1992 Statistical York: United Nations. Encyclopaedia Bntannica. 19? cyclopaedia Britannica Evans, Peter B. 1989. “Predato: psrative Political Econ logical Fomm 4 (Decen Fortuna, Juan Carlos, and So malized Labor Relatioi amy: Studies in Advanc Castells, and L. A. Bei GarcIa, Norberto E. 1982. “Dr. ment.” CEPAL Review Goldrich, Daniel. 1970. “Po Poblador.” Comparativi Gordon, Derek, and Cheryl Years of Growth arid’ Urbanization in the C tional University, Mia Guarnizo, Luis E. 1992. “One York and the Dominic Johns Hopkins Univet Hardoy, Jorge E. 1975. Urbam Books. Hardoy, Jorge, Raul Basaldila,: Mecanismos parasu Rel Instinito. Iglesias, Ennique. 1985. “The L Overview.” CEPAL R Instituto de Esrudios Domini: Dore-Cabral. Santo ID Inter-American Developmen America, 1990 Report. Jamaica Statistical Institute. —. —. Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Affica: KnowledgeWharton (htt:l/knowledge.wharton.uenn.edu/article.cfm?articIeid=264O) kn\v1Ldc’’Vharton Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Africa Published : November 23. 2OO in KnowledgeiWharton Africa today contributes some 1.5% to world trade and attracts little global investment. Still, the continent sfuture is hardly as dark as that scenario might suggest. Africa has a growing middle class; governments that are enacting laws to stem corruption, and public andprivate institutions that are investing heavily in infrastructure. According to Elkanah Odembo, Kenya ambassador to the US, in another decade the continent will grow into a market ofone billion consumers. He notes that companies that seize these opportunities today will reap dividends in the future. Chinese firms, for example, have recognized this potential and are investing in infrastructure projects all over Africa. Odembo visited the University ofPennsylvania recentlyfor meetings arranged by the UgA.—Keni’a (‘hainher of Gommerce and spoke with KnowledgeWharton about the potential rewards and risks ofinvesting in Africa, including Vision 2030, Kenya’c plan to become a middle income nation in the next 20 years. The following are edited extracts from the conversation. Part I: Part II: Knowledge@Wharton: What business opportunities does Africa offer and why do so many companies overlook them? Elkanah Odembo: At the moment, we contribute very little, about 1.5%, to global trade. For that reason, to most investors and business people, Africa doesn’t appear to be particularly active in terms of business and trade. But the fact is that in the filture all roads will lead to this continent because of some things that are happening: A rising middle class, developing African governments, and heavy investment in infrastructure. The continent also has commodities, which the world economy values and requires to keep growing. We hope that with all the resources that we have and know are precious to the world, the world will begin to turn its head toward Africa. We want to make sure that we are ready to do business with the rest of the world and grow from 1.5% to 10% in the near future, because we have a lot to offer. The fact is that those on the continent who are investing are doing very well. Knowledge@Wharton: If you were to look into Africa from the perspective of somebody outside the continent, what are the most promising regions in terms of investment? Odembo: In terms of investment, I would, of course, favor East Africa because that’s where Kenya is located. But you also must appreciate the fact that the continent is beginning to think collectively, looking at Africa as an investment destination and a trading bloc. As such, we have segmented the continent into regional economic blocs. By and large, the regional economic blocs are beginning to do very well. Some are fairly young. The East African bloc, with a population of about 150 million that’s Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi offers a significant opportunity because we have a customs protocol, which has increased trade between the countries significantly. A few -- -- At oopynght c/ the Wnartc.n Sch of the s of Per.kana. Page 1 of 5 /0 Why Kenyas Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Affica: Knowledge@Wharton (htto:/Iknowlede.wharton.uenn.edu/artjcle.cfm?artideid=264U) months ago, the five countries signed a free trade protocol, which now enables us to move goods, services and people across our boundaries without any hitches. We are investing heavily in infrastructure, with major roads coming from the ports on the Indian Ocean going all the way to southern Sudan, Ethiopia, Rwanda and Burundi and to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. The Southern African Development Community (SADC) is also doing equally well in terms of building regional infrastructure, increasing trade and opening up the region. If you are doing business in one country, you have access to the rest of the region as well. By setting up shop and doing business with Kenya, you do not just have the possibility of [accessing] the East African community but you also have the population of all of eastern and southern Africa, some 18 countries, with a population of 400 million. ... KnowledgeWharton: What are the principal risks of doing business in Africa that international investors should be aware of and how can they protect themselves? Odembo: Whenever businesspeople venture outside their comfort zone, and their familiar environment, they will face an element of risk. The kinds of risks that businesses and investors have had to deal with on the African continent are related to the civil wars that we have seen come and go. We have had risks related to unreliable judiciary processes, [involving] issues pertaining to business contracts and so forth [and] the court procedures taking too long. But if you look at the continent in the last few years, there are fewer civil wars compared to 10 years ago, when at any given time, there were about 10 countries at war. The mindset [of some foreigners] about the continent is often that, if there’s war in one country, there’s war all over the continent. That’s just a geography lesson [about Africa’s] 53 countries. If you look at what has happened in the last few years in terms of improved governance, many countries are becoming more democratic. They’re having elections more regularly. The typical tensions that would result in risk have been minimized to a great extent wars around the time of elections, civil wars between different communities, fighting between one community and another over natural resources we’ve overcome those challenges to a great extent. The continent is looking ahead to being a place where there’s a certain amount of predictability. In the past, unpredictability was another risk. -- -- Africa now has all the ingredients to minimize the risks that people feared before. One way to establish that is for a prospective investor to talk to companies already doing business on the continent. They would be able to tell you about changes that have taken place over the last five or 10 years, and how much we, as countries and as regions, have managed to minimize risks to investors. We appreciate now that we’ve been left behind and we must do what is necessary to create an enabling environment for private-sector business and investment, both local and foreign direct investment. KnowledgeWharton: How do you view China’s investment strategy in Africa? What does it mean for investors from other parts of the world? Odembo: I don’t know if I can talk about the Chinese investment strategy because I’m not privy to [it], but I can discuss what I have observed. When the Chinese first appeared as investors on the continent about 10 years ago, a lot of African countries were very uneasy about the manner in which they were setting up businesses and the types of investments they were making. The Chinese have become much more sophisticated in the last 10 years. They now have a strategy. It appears to revolve around what they have studied extremely well on the continent. They know the demographics: There is a rising middle class on the continent; there’s a very dynamic, young population; and the continent is becoming increasingly urbanized. Therefore, there is a market and purchasing power on the continent. One part of the Chinese strategy is based on the fact that they are reading Africa very well in terms of where we are now and where we are likely to go to in the next few years. The Chinese also appreciate the riches that the continent has. Most other countries have known the riches that exist here. Some northern countries from North America and Europe have already extracted the valuable minerals and metals that they needed to develop their industries. The Chinese have figured out that over the next 10 years or so, some of the most valuable commodities that the global economy All : sty of Prs\-3. P?ç 2 E Why Kenya’s Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Afilca: KnowiedgeWharton (htt://knowledoe.wharton.uenn.edu/articIe.cfm?articleid=264O) requires are on this continent. The Chinese are positioning themselves to do business with African countries, and have figured out that in another 10 years, the continent will have a population of one billion people. That’s a very sizable market for selling your products, not to mention the human resource capabilities for producing goods that you might want to export to your own country. Again, I’m not sure what the strategy is, but I can imagine that they’re seeing it putting them in a very good position in terms of who will benefit the most. KnowledgeWharton: What implications will this have for investors from other parts of the world? Odembo: It’s a challenge. Investors will have to compete with somebody who already has a foot in the door, investing heavily in developing infrastructure, which is where African governments will tell you is where the greatest need has been infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure. In the next 10 years or so, if this infrastructure has been developed, Africa is going to be able to trade within itself quite significantly. We’ve learned this during the global recession, when our commodities didn’t have a ready market because our traditional markets were experiencing the crisis. We turned inward and started trading with each other. -- Because of the potential for trading within the continent with a developed infrastructure, people investing in infrastructure will stand to benefit very significantly because they will know the infrastructure very well. Part of being a good business person and investor is knowing how the infrastructure is set up and how things move from point A to point B. KuowIedgeWharton: Turning now to Kenya, what is Vision 2030 and what opportunities does it offer international investors? Odembo: Vision 2030 is Kenya’s goal of making the country a middle-income country by the year 2030. This is a plan we developed over the last three or four years. We have traditionally planned in five-year cycles, which correspond with each government in place. It occurred to us that this isn’t making sense. If we are going to get out of the poverty we are in, we need to project beyond just five years. We embarked on a national planning process involving stakeholders across the board government and non-government, and the private sector was very central, because our government made a commitment to make the private sector the engine of growth. -- We also appreciate that if there’s going to be a movement from poverty to becoming a middle income country, wealth will have to be created, employment will have to be created and the economy will have to grow, and the private sector has a key role to play. The strategic thinking and planning process stretched over a period of about a year and a half. Vision 2030 is Keny&s vision of what a developed, middle-income Kenya would look like. We have identified a number of pillars for getting us to become a middle-income country. There’s a very strong economic pillar, [in which] the private sector very central. A good part of it was developed in partnership with a number of foreign experts as well. It is about how to position the economy, manage macroeconomics and get the economy to grow at least 10% consistently over a period of time. We have a pillar that looks at all social aspects: Food production, food security, health care, education, shelter, water and sanitation. It is very important that infrastructure development is a part of this. Then there’s the political pillar, which is equally important because, as you asked earlier about risks that investors fear when it comes to investing in the continent, the fact is that political instability has cost us a lot. In the last 50 years of independence, the political instability that we’ve seen is to a large extent very politically motivated. That’s now being managed. Kenya promulgated a new constitution on August 27, which provides a framework for governance. Within that political pillar, governance was big. We’re looking at corruption, for example one of the variables not conducive to good business and investment. We can’t run away from that. -- With the constitution, certain structures and institutions will enable a complete overhaul of the judiciary over the next 12 months, because we appreciate that some of the problems with regard to prosecution, for example, and due processes in the courts were a result of [a lack of an] accountable and effective S Vharton eif eraIs copr;ght of the Schoof of the Usersty of °er’.na. Pege 3 of 5 Why Kenyas Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Africa: Knowledge@ Wharton (httn:I/knowIedcie.wharton.uJennedu/articlecfm?articleid=264O) judiciary. KnowledgeWharton: Will the new constitution help increase business transparency? It is a matter of tremendous concern to international investors that there should be transparency. Odembo: Absolutely. The first group of people in Kenya to react to the promulgation of the new constitution was the business community. That says something. They came out and congratulated Kenyans for this very historic achievement. They spoke about why they felt this was very important and reiterated that there had been too many things in the environment that made businesses and investors uncomfortable. A big part of it has to do with unpredictability and corruption. In the new constitution, there’s even a chapter on leadership and integrity what we expect of our leaders. New structures and institutions have been created to [encourage the private sector. There is a round table involving business leaders and the prime minister’s office [to enablel regular contact between the government and the private sector so concerns are continuously being communicated to the government. That wasn’t the case before. -- In many African countries, governments did what governments did and the private sector was busy doing what they were doing, producing goods and services. That has now changed.... For example, with Vision 2030, there is a national economic and social committee that has ministers and some key industry and private sector leaders. This is the oversight body monitoring and ensuring that our efforts for Vision 2030 and becoming a middle-income country stays on track. A lot of business people have a certain level of comfort with what the government is doing and the kind of environment that has been created their doors are now open. Private-sector people no longer feel like adversaries.... I’m seeing that happening in a number of other African countries. As leadership changes, you’re even having leaders and heads of government who have a business background and appreciate the business community and will do what is needed and necessary to provide an enabling environment for the business community. -- KnowledgeJWharton: You referred earlier to the social pillar. To what degree do you see micro finance and social enterprise programs being set up in Kenya and have you seen any perceptible impact on poverty as a result? Odembo: Absolutely. Micro enterprise and credit programs are mushrooming everywhere. In Kenya, we have certainly seen an impact. For the longest time, a lot of businesses and financial institutions shied away from what they perceived as the poor, the unbankable, because it was perceived that there wasn’t much business to do with that group. Because that is such a large proportion of the continent, this phenomenon we now call micro finance and enterprise was really started, interestingly, in the non-profit sector. The sector quickly appreciated that the very poor people that they were working with also needed access to credit. The first micro credit institutions is Grameen Bank model. Even that started as a non-profit organization with the appreciation that we need to get money and credit into the hands of the poor, that the poor, when they have access to credit, are able to do incredible things to improve their lot. The commercial banks and all sorts of other micro fmance institutions have come in subsequently, such that you now have a fairly significant micro finance sector. We need to make sure we maintain the focus on the poor and enabling them. It’s not just about credit. Because what [non-profits] are able to do very well that traditional commercial banks were not able to do is invest also in building the capacity of the people. It’s one thing to make credit available. It’s another thing to make sure that the credit is going to be applied properly, that people have good business plans and projections, and that they actually are making money. The prospects are tremendous. We need to see more. I don’t think we can get enough micro finance and micro enterprise programs on the continent. The continent must go in that direction because it is the way we will be able to grow the economy, from the bottom. Knowledge@Wharton: I believe that Africa and Kenya are at the forefront of using mobile telephones for mobile banking. Odembo: That’s a part of liberalizing the economy. Just 10 years ago, only 300,000 or so Kenyans had access to a telephone. When we liberalized the telecommunications sector to the point where we h of the Vht “‘ I’ Why Kenyas Elkanah Odembo Believes All Roads Should Lead Investors to Afiica: Knowledge©Wharton (httø://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/artide.cfm?articleid=2640) now have some four or five mobile telephone companies, we’ve gone from 300,000 Kenyans having access to a telephone to close to 20 million. The innovations within that sub-sector are incredible. That is where one of the leading mobile services providers, Safaricom, has invented a money transfer system using the mobile telephone. Studies at the Institute for Development Studies at the University of Nairobi which are not yet conclusive are saying that the facility to transfer money that Safaricom provides to Kenyans may have contributed more to national development than any other investment that the government has made since independence [in 19631. Just the ability to transfer money from the people who have the money to the people who do not most of whom are a rural, poor population who, of course, didn’t have banking. Sending money from point A to point B was once such a chore. Money would get lost, all sorts of things would happen. Those were disincentives for people working in towns, who needed to send money back home to support their parents and siblings. -- -- -- But now with 20 million handsets in the hands of Kenyans and a significant number of these people being young and middle class with some disposable income the ability to take money out of the urban centers into the rural peripheries of the country is changing the economies of traditionally poor [househoidsi. And the sky’s the limit.... When the telephone companies began transferring more money than all the banks put together using a mobile telephone, the banks quickly realized that rather than compete and put all sorts of obstacles in the way of these money transfers using telephones, they said, “Let’s join them and see if we can find opportunities for partnerships.” -- -- Some of the large commercial banks are going into partnerships with mobile telephone companies to do other innovative things so that people can now bank using their telephones. Again, the sky’s the limit when it comes to these innovations, and young people, all of them well educated, are bringing about all these innovations. Know1edgeWharton: If you had a chance to address, say, a room full of Fortune 500 CEOs and tell them why they should invest in Africa, and why in Kenya, what would you say? Odembo: The number one reason would be if you want a place where your investment will bring good returns, in a sustainable manner over a long period of time, and you’re willing to wait and you do not want to make a quick dollar or a quick euro and repatriate the profits. If you’re in it for the long haul, with the mindset that you want to make a profit, as a foreign investor but also to support the development of the continent, then your timeframe must also be long term. None of that in and out quickly. You might make your money, but you want to be in it for the long haul and do it in a sustainable manner. And if you want a loyal partner and a loyal customer base, then the continent is the place to go, because of the riches and the commodities, growing middle class, and infrastructure we are investing in will make it possible for you.... -- Now why Kenya? An investment in Kenya is an investment in the entire continent. Within four hours of Nairobi, you can fly to 24 capitals on the continent. That ought to be an incentive for any business person, looking at the size of the market when it’s predicted that in five years, 10 years at the most, we will have a population of one billion. If that isn’t market enough, I don’t know what is. All the ingredients are in place for Africa to be where a serious investor should be. This s a sirig!e’pesonal use copy of Knowledae@Wharton. For muItijle copies custom reprints, c-prints, posters or plaques. please contact FARS International: reprintsoarsintI.com P. (212) 221-9595 x407. elf are-afs oOvrt of rhe -:“ Sctsf of the Jmesrtv Qf 5’;’ ‘.:- ‘,,e of 5 Il, IMPACT OF WTO AND IMF ON CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND GLOBAL GDP CONSIDERATIONS § 1.03 THE INTERNATIONAL MONET&RY FUND 61 25 percent portion of its contribution is paid in hard currencies of other natIons or in the form of special drawing rights (SDR), a unique international reserve asset created and issued by the IMF. The SDR is a stable unit of account that is assigned a value based upon an average of the world’s major currencies. It can be used for transactions with the IMF, to settle international balances between central banks, and to meet IMF membership subscription obligations. In many cases, the IMF cannot effectively use the 75 percent of quota paid in a member’s domestic currency because that currency is not readily acceptable in international transactions. Generally, the IMP uses only 20 currencies during a year, most of that in the form of major convertible currencies such as the dollar, yen and euro. It is estimated that one half of the money contributed to the IMF cannot be utilized in its operations. When the quota contributions are insufficient to its needs, the IMF may draw on a line of credit called the General Arrangements to Borrow, that it established with a number of governments and banks. [3] Loans and Exchange Transactions The IMF charter requires the Fund to provide temporary financial resources to members having economic difficulties related to trade imbalances. These imbalances arise in nations that do not receive enough foreign currency from exports of goods and services and from tourism to pay for their purchases from other countries. IMF help is needed by such nations to maintain a stable exchange rate for their currencies without incurring severe domestic unemployment or inflation or requiring significant reductions in imports. Quota contributions are the primary source of currencies for IMP loans. The quota contributions form a pool of currencies that can be borrowed by members who need foreign exchange to fund their international obligations and restore their balance of payments. The amount a member nation may borrow from the IMP is based upon the quota it has contributed. If the member needs more funds, the IMF has discretion to provide additional loans totaling up to three times its quota over a three-year period. Most loans are extended through IMP arrangements, which specify the amount of SDRs or foreign currency to be provided and the terms and duration of the loan. The IMP also provides concessional loans that are not related to a member’s quota that support low income members efforts to deal with longterm balance of payment issues. These low interest loans and grants are provided through an Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF) and a heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) debt initiative. In recent years, the IMF has established new discretionary loans that may exceed these limitations for member nations facing a sudden, disruptive loss of market confidence. When the IMF allows a member to draw on resources related to its quota subscription, the transaction is not cast in the form of a loan. Instead, a member “purchases” another member’s currency or SDRs from the IMF with its own currency, thereby obtaining needed foreign currencies, and agrees to later repurchase its own currency within a specified time. Because a fee is charged by the IMF and the member whose currency is borrowed, the transaction ‘4 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE 62 CH. 1 resembles a loan of the SDRs and usually is referred to as such. Lending Criteria {aJ Many IMF loans are provided through longer term standby extended credit arrangements. These arrangements allow members to draw upon IMF resources up to a stated amount within a specified period. Typically, the standby credit is established at the beginning of the loan period through a letter of intent that commits the member to specific performance criteria regarding exchange rates, public debt, privatization and the like. In effect, the standby arrangement 32 Stand-By links IMF financial assistance to a nation’s economic policies. 12 months to 18 is expected extend over and repayment usually Arrangements within 3 to 5 years of each drawing. The TMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) provides longer term assistance and larger amounts than standby arrangements. These loans are extended to remedy balance of payments problems arising from structural problems that require a longer period to resolve. These loans are disbursed over 4 to 5 years and repaid within 4 to 10 years of each drawing. The IMF applies a range of lending criteria to different loan segments called tranches, that equai one quarter of the borrowing member’s quota. Since one quarter of each nation’s quota is contributed in SDRs or hard currencies, members may freely draw upon the first tranche, referred to as the reserve tranche. At any time, a member’s reserve tranche is the amount by which its quota exceeds the amount of its own currency held by the IMF. A member may draw the fu]i amount of its reserve tranche (by paying an equivalent amount of its own currency) at any time simply by stating that it is required for balance of payments purposes. Drawing on the reserve tranche is not considered an IMF loan, and is not subject to fees or repurchase obligations. Borrowed amounts above the reserve tranche come out of IMF resources and are called credit tmnches. These loans are subject to the conditiona2ity requirements discussed below. To draw the first credit tranche, a member must show that it is making reasonable efforts to overcome its balance of payments problem. Borrowing against upper credit tranches usually is subject to more restrictive conditions and loan disbursements occur only as specified criteria are satisfied. [bi Conditionality When the IMF allows a member to draw upon the upper credit tranches, it usually imposes stringent conditions based upon two standards. First, the member must return the borrowed currencies as soon as its payment difficulty is resolved. This ensures that sufficient currencies are available to meet the needs of all members. Second, and most important, the member must describe the economic reforms it will introduce to solve its trade imbalance problem and demonstrate how the reforms will enable it to repay the loan within the agreed time period. In effect, most IMF loans are made only upon comlition that the 32 See SIIJELL, ThE IMF 1D Tnni>.Woau Poimc ItsmILrry: Is TsRE A Coscno? (198). § 1.03 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 63 member use the borrowed funds to meet specific economic criteria established by the Fund. This link between an IMF loan and the borrowers commitment to specific economic reforms is called conditionality. The required reforms usually relate to changed policies regarding government expenditures, interest and exchange rates, price deregulation, consumer subsidies, trade barriers, money supply, and similar matters. In recent years, however, the IMF has insisted upon more comprehensive and long range structural transformations, such as privatization of state owned enterprises, increased funding for social safety nets, health care, and education, strengthening banks and banking supervision, and undertaking effective measures to reduce corruption. The IMF is considering trade-related conditionality that would link financial aid to trade liberalization. A member’s trade policies would be reported on an index of trade restrictiveness and, presumably, performance criteria would include adoption of specific free trade measures. IMF Loans and Balance of Payments. A nation’s balance of payments (BOP) account records its economic transactions during a year between its residents, including government, business and individuals, and the rest of the world. The BOP consists of the following elements: (1) The current account, which measures the country’s net exports of 33 A nation that exports more than it imports goods and services. generates a surplus current account while a nation that imports more than it exports generates a deficit current account. A country with a deficit current account does not earn enough foreign currency from its exports to pay for what it buys from other nations. In that case, the deficit is financed either by spending the reserves of foreign currency the nation has accumulated in the past, or by borrowing from other countries. (2) The capital account, which is the amount a country has borrowed from other countries. For example, when a U.S. Treasury bond is sold to a resident of Japan, the payment received from Japan is a capital inflow that creates a credit in the U.S. capital account. The reverse is true, so that a purchase of a Japanese bond by a U.S. resident is a capital outflow that is a debit to the U.S. capital account. A BOP deficit arises when a country’s total payments to foreign countries (imports plus capital outflows) exceed its total receipts from abroad (exports plus capital inflows). In that case, the nation must use its foreign currency reserves to satisfy the unpaid amount. (3) The nation’s reserves of foreign currency. Other elements of the BOP are the nation’s capital aeeount and foreign currency reserves. MONEY CURRENCY AND FINANCE 64 CE. 1 To illustrate how an IMF arrangement may deal with a BOP imbalance, assume that Country X has a has a BOP deficit because the amount of dollars it receives from exports to the U.S. is less than the dollars it pays for imports from the U.S. If X has reserves of dollars in its central bank, it can use these to meet the deficit until the reserves are exhausted. If the BOP deficit is persistent, the foreign currency reserves are likely to be expended fairly quickly. Instead, X can borrow dollars from the IMP by exchanging its own currency for the dollars. The IMF will extend the loan, however, only on condlition that X adopts specified policies that will increase its exports and reduce imports to the point that its DO? deficit is eliminated. Policies to reduce imports may include reductions in total domestic demand induced by tax increases, reduced government spending and credit limits. Policies to encourage exports may include elimination of export barriers and currency devaluations that make foreign goods much more expensive in the domestic market. The IMF’s guidelines on conditionality require the Fund to respect its members’ domestic social and political objectives and their economic priorities and circumstances. Under these guidelines, conditionality is to be flexibly applied and provide for on-going review and consultation. Generally, performance criteria in standby or extended arrangement should be limited to economic variables related to satisfying IMF supported programs. The required policy changes are set forth hi a “letter of intent,” along with the performance criteria the member must meet to receive periodic loan disbursements. The IMF Executive Board regularly reviews the member’s progress toward achieving the stated objectives. Officially, a member’s assurances about economic reforms, even if expressed in a letter of intent to a standby arrangement, is not a contractual obligation. Accordingly, no legal action may be taken to enforce these assurances or commitments. However, the IMF can indirectly enforce these agreements by withholding funds to countries that do not satisfy the loan conditions and restricting their access to future loans. Usually, the IMP will attempt to persuade or pressure a wayward nation into compliance, and in extreme case, it can expel a nation. In numerous situations, however, breaches of agreement have been overlooked. [ci Criticisms of Conditionality 34 IMF lending policies have been the object of increasingly harsh criticism. Some of the more common complaints about the IMF are summarized as follows: • IMF secrecy about its activities makes it difficult for outsiders to evaluate its policies. The Fund does not report the details of its standby agreements with member nations nor the status of its loans. umo Povxan: Te Woai.a B See The JMF: A Record of Addiction and Failure, in FE mx IMF, n mx DEvExwa Wov (Doug Bandow & Ian Vasquez, eds., 1994). THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND § 1.03 65 The IMF voting system based upon monetary contributions does not sufficiently account for the concerns of poor countries. Many of the conditions and performance criteria the IMF imposes do not foster economic growth and therefore, do not improve long-term economic conditions. Moreover, otherwise beneficial conditions often are ineffective because other national policies are not coordinated or work at cross-purposes. IMF conditions are not really enforced. In many cases, members that violate their agreements are granted waivers, modified conditions or newly negotiated loans. Thus, large sums have been provided to nations that misspent prior loans which they are unable or unwilling to repay. • The IMF does not monitor its performance criteria uniformly, so that great variations exist between programs. • Free-market solutions such as high interest rates to retain capital, and currency devaluations and austerity programs to discourage imports are overemphasized. These measures often result in high unemployment and dramatic declines in living standards that weaken the nation’s political structure and prevent meaningful reform. • The entire IMF lending program creates long-term dependency rather 35 than short-term assistance. Less-developed countries increasingly rely on IMF loans for longer periods. • IMF loans cannot be shown to improve the borrowers’ economic conditions. Most borrowers of conditional loans are economically worse off than before the loan. It is unclear whether the decline is attributable to the conditions themselves or to lack of adherence to them. It may be both; most countries that meet IMF conditions outperform countries that do not, but borrowers as a whole exhibit low economic growth rates. • Many criticisms are ideological, maintaining that the Fund provides too little or too much support to non-market or socialist economic systems. • The IMF (and World Bank) is a tool of capitalism that operates to maximize profits for big multinationals and maintain U.S. domination over the world economy. • The IMF conditions harm poorer people of lesser developed nations by requiring governments to privatize public assets and reduce expenditures for social services such as health care, education, and pensions. The poor bear a disproportionate burden of these policies. Of course, the issue is whether the short term distress created by the economic adjustments is necessary to achieve sustainable long term growth. In this view, the groups most affected by the economic reforms ultimately will obtain the most benefit from them. In response to this criticism, however, the IMF has begun to focus on “safety net” programs See JowsoN u UNIlEcEssY (1997). SceweR, TIlE IN’rERNAT1oN MoT FUND: OuTnTEn, INEFFECTrVE, u 66 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE CH. 1 that moderate the impact of economic reform on a country’s lower economic classes. Foreign multi-national corporations benefit more than the local population from conditions that require a country to de-regulate its economy by eliminating tariffs, trade barriers and subsidies to local industries. Most profits of the multinationals are taken out of the country. • Removal of restrictions on foreign investment allows multinationals to destroy the environment and take advantage of cheap, sweatshop labor conditions. • IMF programs result in lower wages and poorer working conditions in developing nations, which indirectly decreases workers’ living standards in the industrialized countries. [4] Other IMF Functions [a] Currency Exchange Rate Surveillance As noted above, the IMF abandoned the gold exchange standard in 19’78 and has since allowed each member to choose its own system for determining its currency exchange value. Most of the major industrial countries have adopted floating systems that allow the value of their currencies to be determined, with little intervention, in the global market. A number of nations have floating rate systems that they more actively manage by having their central banks buy or sell their currencies in the exchange market. Stifi others have fixed rate systems that peg the value of their currency to another major currency such as the dollar. Because of the variety of systems in use, the IMF has been given a surveilla’nce and supervisory role regarding the currency exchange policies of its members. The surveillance is designed to ensure that IMF members’ • implement economic policies that are consistent with their exchange rate systems; • maintain adequate capital inflows; • have a strong banking and financial sector; • pursue sound economic policies, and; • provide the data needed for effective IMF surveillance. In this role, the IMF may examine and monitor all aspects of a member’s economy that affect the exchange rate of its currency and report its findings to the membership. Generally, this bilateral surveillance occurs through annual consultations between the Executive Board and staff with individual member countries? See IMF Charter Article IV. U. 1.03 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 67 By making each member’s economic policies and conditions transparent, the IMF hopes to avoid the kind of sudden loss of confidence in a nation’s currency that led to economic crises in Mexico and Asia in recent years. Effective surveillance requires that members provide their macroeconomic and financial data to the Fund in a timely fashion. The IMF has developed standards for providing such information to the Fund and to the public. The Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) sets forth the statistical information and standards to be provided by members desiring access to international capital markets. This information is posted on the IMF’s Internet Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB). The Fund has also established the General Data Dissemination System, which is a general standard for all IMF members in providing statistics and economic and financial indicators. The IMF consults with each of its members at least annually to ensure that their currency policies are prudent and transparent and to obtain information about their economic condition. The consultation is conducted by a team of IMF staff that first collects extensive economic data about a member, and then meets with its government officials to discuss the effectiveness of its economic and currency policies during the past year and any new policies it intends to implement in the next year. These policy discussions also may include social, environmental, industrial, labor, and governance issues that affect the country’s economic condition. A recent focus of the consultative discussions has been the economic consequences of highly unequal income distributions. The staff prepares a report for discussion by the Executive Board and the Board forwards a summary of the discussion, with suggestions, to the member’s government. Special consultations are held with governments of members whose economic policies greatly impact the world economy. These special consultations are held to assess the global economy and forecast developments in the forthcoming year. The IMF publishes these reviews twice a year in the World Economic Outlook, which members can rely upon in setting their economic policies. [bi Technical Training and Assistance The IMF provides training and technical assistance to its members in the following areas: • fiscal and monetary policies; • institution building, such as central banks, treasuries, tax and customs departments, and statistical services, and; • economic and financial legislation. Specific areas of development have included financial analysis and policy, balance of payments methodology, public finance, government finance statistics, economic management, tax reform and administration, and central bank development. The Fund also provides advice about money and capital markets, banking interest rates, and how financial instruments are used in monetary management. These technical assistance projects are becoming larger and more 9 68 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE CE 1 complex, involving longer time periods and multiple sources of financing. The IMF also provides numerous training courses for government officials at its Washington headquarters, and at regional locations. IMF missions and experts also are assigned to foreign posts to provide advice and support regarding monetary, fiscal, and statistical problems that contribute to trade imbalances. § 1.04 THE WORLD BANK [1] General Structure and Operation The World Bank is the commonly used name for the International Bank for Reconstrnction and Development that was established at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944. The Bank was created at the same time as the kternational Monetary. Fund and both institutions work together in many areas. However, the institutions have different roles: the World Bank acts principally to foster economic development among its members, while the IMF acts primarily tp maintain an orderly system of international payments between nations. Bank policy is controlled by a board of governors comprising one governor from each member nation. Daily operations are conducted by the Bank’s twenty-two executive directors, headed by the World Bank president elected by the board for a five year term. The President is neither a governor nor director. Five executive directors are appointed by the five countries holding the most capital shares in the bank. The remaining directors are elected by the governors from the other members. The Bank comprises the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA) and is associated with a number of other agencies including the International Finance Corporation. The institutions are legally and financially separate, but share staff and administrative services. The Bank employs more than 7,000 staff members and maintains 40 offices throughout the world. Its headquarters are in Washington, D.C. The World Bank’s initial task was to provide loans to Western European countries to finance reconstruction of industries that were destroyed in the Second World War. After completing that job, the Bank shifted its focus to poorer, economically developing countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The Bank also provides a substantial amount of technical assistance to its members, both in relation to a loan or as a separate undertaldng. [2] Lending Activities The World Bank is owned by the governments of its member nations, all of which also belong to the IMF. Members subscribe to, or purchase a minimum number of shares determined by reference to the relative size of their economies. The seven largest industrial countries together own about 45 percent of the World Bank and are therefore, very influential in determining bank policies. The U.S. is the largest shareholder at 17 percent. Because an 85 §1.04 THE WORLD BANK 69 percent vote is needed to change the Bank’s capital structure and Charter, the U.S. maintains an important veto power. Most other Bank decisions, including loans, are decided by majority vote. A portion of each government’s subscription amount is paid immediately and the rest may be called upon if required to meet the Bank’s obligations. Most of the operating funds the Bank lends to members are obtained by issuing bonds through world capital markets and directly to governments, agencies, central banks, private institutions, and individuals around the world. The bonds are highly rated (AAA) because the Bank’s member governments guarantee their repayment. The IDA part of the Bank makes concessional, low interest loans, that are financed by grants from donor nations. The bank’s lending activities are generally profitable. The bank’s main activity is to provide low interest loans to its member nations that will finance specific projects. Loans are extended after the Bank’s advisers and experts determine that the borrower can meet specified conditions ensuring productive use of the funds and ultimate repayment. The project must be feasible and economically sensible and the borrower must be unable to obtain the loan from other sources. Periodic reports to the Bank are made by the borrower and the Bank’s observers regarding the use of the funds. Under the Bank’s charter, a loan can only be made for productive purposes with due regard to the prospects for repayment. However, the Bank must ascertain that the funds cannot be obtained elsewhere on reasonable terms. Each loan must be for a specific project and guaranteed by the Government involved. The loan terms cannot restrict use of the funds to purchases in a particular country. World Bank loans are made to governments of developing nations, their agencies or to private businesses in their territories, with repayment arrangements that are most favorable to the poorest countries. A developing country with a per capita gross national product 37 (GNP) of about $1,300 or more may borrow from the IBRD at an interest rate slightly above the market rate for a 12 to 15 year period. These loans are funded by bonds saks. A poorer country with a lower per capital GNP, currently around $900, may borrow from the IDA interest free for a 35 to 40 year period. Essentially, these loans constitute outright grants that are financed by credits contributed by a number of wealthier member nations. Although the terms of IBRD and IDA loans differ, both institutions apply the same standards in assessing a project’s viability. During the first years of the Bank’s operations, most of its loans were provided to fund infrastructure projects relating to electric power and transportation for large cities. More recently, Bank support has focused on projects that provide more direct benefits to poor people in developing countries. For example, many transportation projects now concentrate on bringing goods from farms to market and power projects on lighting for villages and small communities. Many recent World Bank loans relate to agriculture, Per capita GNP is determined by dividing the value of goods and services a nation produces in a year by the number of people in the country. 70 MONEY, CURRENCY AND FINANCE CH. 1 rural and urban development, water safety, waste management, health care, family-planning, nutrition, education, housing and small enterprises. [3] Criticisms of World Bank Activities Like the IMF, the World Bank has been subject to harsh criticism. Some of the more common complaints about the Bank are summarized as follows: • Bank funded agricultural projects often harm small farmers and favor larger producers. This occurs when projects encourage growing cash crops that require fertilizers, pesticides and contribute to soil erosion. Large irrigation projects, such as dams, usually benefit the large growers that have political power. • The Bank has funded projects that harm the environment including dams, mines, and logging ventures. Pollution control agreements often are ineffective because developing nations resent restrictions on the use of their resources that did not apply to the richer’ nations during their early periods of economic expansion. • Bank policies favor the interests of the richest industrialized nations. These countries require poorer nations to deplete their natural resources, such as oil and lumber, in order to repay massive debt loads. Environmentally harmful projects are shifted from richer nations with substantial regulations to developing countries with less restrictive standards. Unemployment and low domestic wages make these activities attractive to poor countries despite the environmental hazards. • Loans to governments that violate human rights help maintain these regimes in power. In such cases, a loan to a repressive government to build a school releases other funds for the army and weapons purchases. Some critics contend that the Bank has denied loans to countries, but later approved funding for the same project when a more authoritarian regime took power. • The Bank funds projects that require forced resettlement of native inhabitants. This occurs when local populations are removed from the land required for projects such as dams or roads and when urban projects force residents to relocate. Often, the financial promises made to induce a population to resettle are not kept. A number of dam projects funded by the Bank have been harshly criticized because of the large scale forced migrations involved. • Bank projects disproportionately impact indigenous populations tribal land rights, ethnic identities, and cultural autonomy. Although the Bank has adopted guidelines that allow tribal people a right to veto projects that affect these matters, critics contend that there has been little compliance. • Bank funded projects do not proportionately benefit women. This may be true even for projects that have overall positive economic outcomes. For example, a project that provides employment for women does not account for the increased burden on a typical woman who must continue §1.04 THE WORLD BANK 71 to perform all her homemaking duties in addition to the new job. Bank projects support state sponsored development rather than private initiatives. This often results in support for corrupt and ineffective regimes. By sponsoring large projects that are controlled by governments, the Bank encourages economic development that is highly centralized and regulated. • Many projects the Bank and IMF supports create “moral hazard.” This means that governments may undertake speculative and risky economic projects because they know that the Bank or IMF will provide financing to bafl them out. Low interest loans to failing economies do not provide incentive to establish a good credit rating. Indeed, nations with good credit can obtain commercial loans at competitive rates, thereby making them ineligible for loans from the World Bank. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development .3ANS>. rV)N E)Nc Al. T c i co-c Page 1 of3 ow Economy: Developing countries set to account for nearly 6o% of world GDP by 2030, according to new estimates 16/06/2010 The rapid growth of emerging economies has led to a shift in economic power: forecasts based on analysis by late economist Angus Maddison suggest that the aggregate economic weight of developing and emerging economies is about to surpass that of the countries that currently make up the advanced world. - According to Perspectives on Global Development: Shifting Wealth, a new publication from the OECD Development Centre, the economic and financial crisis is accelerating this longer-term structural transformation in the global economy. Longer-term forecasts suggest that today’s developing and emerging countries are likely to account for nearly 60% of world GDP by 2030. - Share of the global economy in purchasing power parity terms 2 ci:U 2010 o!r While the 1990s was a lost decade for much of the developing world, growth rates picked up significantly in the 2000s, with the number of developing countries beginning to converge strongly with the affluent OECD countries leaping from 12 to 65 (Fre 2). The strong performance of China and India has had a significant impact on the rest of the developing world. Responding to this trend, the OECD has set out to strengthen its relations with major emerging economies. It has strengthened its links with Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and South Africa and recently welcomed Chile as its 31st member and it has extended invitations to join to Estonia, Israel and Slovenia. Russia is also negotiating to become a member. What does the rise of large developing countries mean for development? In converging countries Since 1990, the number of people in the world living on less than a dollar-a-day has fallen by over one quarter approximately 500 million. So far, however, these reductions have mainly been concentrated in one country China. Other countries have made progress but at a pace insufficient to counter the effect of population growth. Poverty reduction still represents a major challenge for the developing world. Inequality in many rapidly growing developing economies has also been increasing. - — 33 95945467980_i_i_i 1 ,00.html 9 264 htt://www.oecd.org/documentprint/O,3455,en_ 11/1/2010 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Page 2 of 3 Thanks to the rapid growth rates in emerging economies, their governments can now afford to boost public spending on social protection. This is a powerful tool to reduce inequality.” said Angel Gurria, Secretary-General of the OECD (read the u!i sneech). “Investing in social infrastructure may also contribute to diminish the propensity to save of these economies, contributing to a more balanced global economy.” he added. In poor and struggling countries Due to their rapid growth and sheer size, India and China influence the key macroeconomic variables that matter for poor countries: interest rates, the price of raw materials, and wage levels for ow-skill jobs. They also have major impacts on global trading and investment patterns. Poor and struggling countries will need national development strategies which respond to these global trends to ensure that they thrive in a global economy in which China and India have greater weight. The report finds that more could be made of the economic ties between developing countries. ‘South South links” in trade, aid and investment are an increasingly important source of knowledge and finance for development. For example, lowering tariffs on trade between developing nations to the levels that prevail between northern countries would be worth almost double the gains achievable by a similar reduction on North-South trade. rure3 - Potential gains from South-South trade liberalisation • Pryv ctc I,IS fdL Overall, shifting wealth is good news for development and good news for the global economy. Growth in the developing world is an opportunity for the global economy to shift up a gear, which is confirmed by the role some emerging economies are playing in the current economic recovery”, Mr. GurrIa commented. • Read more about the report: Perspectives on Global Develonment: Shifting Wealth Does the de’/eioonq world hold the key to building a stronner olobal economy ? (Article by Angel Gurria) For more information, journalists should contact Elodie Masson, ekcbemassonWoerd am, Tel; +33 1 45 24 82 96 Also available: d(;cnsn5e (French) ; Les pcys en ddveloppement repr&;eriterod prés de 5flJc du PlO rnondial en 2d30. scion de nouveles estfrrnOons 5 5,en 2649_3 3959454679801 111 ,00.html 4 htto://www.oecd.org/documentprint/0,3 11/1/2010 PART I — ———————— CARICOM’s Total Trade with Principal Trading Partners and the Rest of the World CARICOM’s TOTAL TRADE WiTH PRINCIPAL TRADING PARTNERS AND THE REST OF TIlE WORLD: 1996 -2001 CARICOM’s TOTAL TRADE CARICOM’s total imports expanded from ECS22.9 biUion in 1996 (twelve Member States reporting) to EC$27.O billion in 2001 (eleven Member States reporting) at an average annual growth rate of 3.4% over the period. CARICOM’s earnings from total exports moved from EC$l 5.5 billion in 1996 (twelve Member States reporting) to ECS 17.9 billion in 2001 (eleven Member States reporting) at an average annual growth rate of 2.9% over the period. Due to the different rates of growth of its imports and exports, CARICOM recorded trade dejIcits throughout the period moving from ECS7.4 billion in 1996 to EC$9.l billion in 2001 (Tables 1.1(a) & (b)). Major Contributors The MDCs dominated CARICOM’s total imports and accounted for an average percentage contribution of 83.8% over the period. Imports of the MDCs increased from EC$ 19.0 billion in 1996 (all five Member States reporting) to EC$23.l billion (four of five Member States reporting) which accounted for 82.8% in 1996 and 85.3% in 2001 of CARICOM’s total imports. As a result the LDCs contributed an average percentage contribution of 16.2% of CARICOM’s total imports over the period. With regards to CARECOM’s exports, the MDCs dominated with an average percentage contribution of 93.0% over the period. Exports of this group moved from EC$ 14.4 billion in 1996 (all five Member States reporting) to EC$ 16.8 billion (four of five Member States reporting) which represented 92.7% in 1996 and 93.7% in 2001 of CARICOM’s total exports. The LDCs as such accounted for an average percentage contribution of 7.0% of CARICOM’s total exports over the period (Tables 1.1(a) & (b)). As it relates to the performance of individual Member States, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago were CARICOM’s top importers over the period. Jamaica was the top importer for 1996, 1997 and 1999 and accounted for 34.4%, 31.4% and 30.6% respectively of CARICOM’s total imports. For 1998, 2000 and 2001, Trinidad and Tobago captured top spot with percentage contributions of 31.2%, 32.3% and 36.1% of CARICOJyI’s total imports. These two Member States together accounted for an average percentage contribution of 62.9% of CARICOMs total imports throughout the period. 3 For exports, Trinidad and Tobago was CARICOM’s leading exporter throughout the period, with percentage contributions of 44.6% in 1996 and 65.4% in 2001. Jamaica was the next highest exporter for the period, with recorded percentage contributions of 24.1% in 1996 and 18.4% in 2001. Collectively these two Member States represented an average percentage contribution of 72.9% of CARICOM’s total exports. CARICOM’S TRADE BY PRINCIPAL TRADING PARTNERS Major Trading Partners CARICOM’s trade by principal trading partiers did not change significantly over this period. Its major sources of imports were the United States ofAmerica (USM, Latin American Integration ,4ssociation (LAJA), the European Union (EU) and C4RICOM Siiig1 Market and Economy (CSME), which collectively accounted for an average percentage contribution of 79.7% of CAlJCOM’s total imports over the period. For exports, the trading areas That dominated CARICOM’s exports were the United States of America (USA), CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSME), the European Union (EU) and Other Caribbean countries which collectively accounted for an average percentage contribution of 82.1% of CARlCOMs total exports over the period (Tables 1.7 and 1.8). Table 1 7 revealLd that ARICOM s t4 souice for its imports was the USA which on aveiage accounted for 43.6% of CARICOMs total imports over the period. The EU was next major sourãe of the Region’s imports with an average percentage contribution of 13.1% followed by LAJA and CSME with average percentage contributions of 12.4% and 10.6% of CARICOM’s total imports for the period, 1996-2001. Canada. another source of CA.RICOM’s imports on average accounted for 3.3% of CARICOM’s total imports over the period. For CARICOM’s exports, the USA was the 1ding destination and on average accounted for 369% of CARICOM’s exports over the period. CSME and EU were the next major destinations for CAR1COM’s exports with average percentage contributions of 19.6% and 17.3% respectively over the period. Other Caribbean Countries and Canada were also important destinations and acouned for average percentage contributions 8.4% and 5.4% of CARJCQM’s exports (Table 1.8). 4 Cç Table 1.9 revealed that CARICOM’s trade balance with its respective extra-regional trading partners recorded deficits as well as surpluses over the period. The destinations with which the Region enjoyed a positive trade balance throughout the period were Other Caribbean Countries, European Free Trade Association and The Bahamas while it recorded deficits with other trading blocs. Distribution of CARECOM’s Member States Trade with Major Trading Partners The MDCs dominated CARICOMs trade with its major trading partners throughout the period 1996 — 2001. For imports this group accounted for over 75% of CARICOM’s total imports with most of its trading areas while for exports, the MDCs registered more than 90% of CARICOM’s exports with most of its trading partners. Imports for Selected Years 1996 Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago were CARICOM’s highest importers for 1996 and accounted for 41.0% and 31.0% respectively to CAR1COM’s total imports (Tables 1.10.1 (a)-(c)). With regards to CARICOM’s major sources of imports, Jamaica dominated CARICOM’s imports from the USA and CSME with imports of EC$4. I billion from the USA and EC$0.8 billion from C’SME. These values represented 48.3% and 40.4% of CARICOMs imports from these respective trading partners. Trinidad and Tobago was CARICOM’s top Member State to import from the EU and LA.LA with imports of EC$1.0 billion and EC$1.4 billion, which accounted for 37.6% and 62.7% of CARICOM’s imports from these respective trading areas. 1998 In 1998, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago continued to be CARICOM’s major importers. Jamaica ‘s percentage contribution to CARICOM’s total imports declined to 34.0% while Ii-inidad and Tobago ‘s percentage contribution expanded to 34.5% (Tables 1.10.3 (a)-(c)), Jamaica continued to dominate CARICOM’s imports from the USA and CS/vIE with imports totaling EC$4.l billion from the USA and EC$0.8 billion from CSME. These values represented 38.0% of CARICOM’s total imports from the USA and 34.6% of CARICOM’s imports from cSME. Trinidad and Tobago continued to be CARICOM’s top importer from the EU and LAJA with imports from EU amounting to EC$l .3 billion 5 while its imports from the LAIA totaled ECSI.5 billion, which accounted for 40.4% and 62.0% of CARICOM’s total imports from EU and LAL4 respectively. 2000 In 2000, CARICOM’s leading importer was Thinidad and Tobago with percentage contribution of 34.0% followed by Jamaica with percentage contribution of 32.4% (Tables 1.10.5 (a)(c)). Jamaica continued to top CARICOM’s imports from the USA and CSME with imports totaling EC$3.9 billion from the USA and EC$l.l billion from CSME which represented 36.0% and 35.2% of CARICOM’s imports from the USA and CSME respectively. Trinidad and Tobago continued to be the Region’s top Member State to import from LAJA and EU markets. Its imports from LAL4 amounted to ECS2.9 billion, which accounted for 64.0% of CARICOM’s total imports from LAJA while its imports from the EU stood at EC$l.0 billion which represented 34.4% of CARICOM’s imports from the EU. 2001 In 2001, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica continued as CARICOM’s two top importers which accounted for 37.8% and 35.6% respectively of CAR1COM’s total imports (Tables 1.10.6 (a) Jamaica continued to dominate CARICOM’s imports from the USA and CSME. Jamaica — (c)). imports from USA amounted to EC$4. I billion which represented 39.0% of the Region’s imports from this trading partner. its imports from CSME amounted to EC$1.2 billion which accounted for 42.1% of CARICOM’s imports from CSME. Trinidad and Tobago continued to dominate CARICOM’s imports from EU and LAIA with imports from EU totaling EC$l.8 billion or 49.9% of CARICOM’s imports from the EU. Imports of Trinidad and Tobago from LAJA amounted to EC$2.3 billion, which accounted for 64.4% of CARICOM’s total imports from L.41A. Exports for Selected Years 1996 Analysis of Tables 1.10.1 (c) — (g) revealed that Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica were CARICOMs leading exporters for 1996 and accounted for 55.1% and 29.8% respectively of CARICOM’s total exports. Of CARICOM’s major export destinations, Trinidad and Tobago was CAR1COM’s top exporter to the USA and CSME markets while Jamaica dominated the EU market. Exports of Trinidad and Tobago to the USA and CSME totaled EC$3.0 billion and ECSI .7 billion, which represented 6 62.8% and 73.5% of CARICOM’s exports to USA and C’SME respectively. Jamaica’s exports to the EU totaled EC$l .2 billion, which accounted for 50.9% of CARICOM’s exports to this market. 1998 In 1998, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica continued to be CARICOM’s leading exporters and accounted for 48.7% arid 27.4% respectively of CARICOM’s total exports. Of the Region’s major destinations, Trinidad and Tobago continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports to the USA and CSME with exports totaling EC$2.3 billion and EC$2.0 billion which accounted for 50.4% and 71.4% of CARICOM’s exports to the USA and CSME respectively. Jamaica continue to dominate CARICOMs exports to the EU with exports amounting to EC$1.0 billion which represented percentage contribution of 41.1% of CARJCOM’s exports to EU(Tables 1.10.3 (e) — (g)). 2000 In 2000, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports with percentage contributions of 63.0% and 19.1% respectively. Thnidad and Tobago remained CARICOM’s top exporter to the USA and GSME markets with exports to these markets amounting to EC$5.0 billion and EC$2.6 billion which represented 67.6% of CARICOM’s exports to the USA and 75.1% of CARICOM’s exports to the CSME. With respect to CARICOM’s exports to the EU market, Jamaica continue to dominate with exports totaling EC$ 1.1 billion which accounted for 35.0% of CARICOM’s exports to the EU (Tables 1.10.5 (e) — (g)). 2001 In 2001, Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica maintained their positions as CARICOM’s leading exporters with percentage contributions of 69.6% and 19.6% respectively. Trinidad and Tobago continued to dominate CARICOM’s exports to the USA and the CSME with exports totaling EC$4.8 billion and EC$2.8 billion which represented 75.3% and 80.4% of CARICOM’s exports to the USA and CSME respectively. Jamaica also maintained its position with its exports to EU amounting to EC$l.0 billion which represented percentage contribution of 45.5% of CARICOM’s exports to EU (Tables 1.10.6 (e) — (g)). 7 CARICOM’S TOTAL TRADE BY SECTIONS OF THE SITC Machineiy and Transport Equipment was CARICOM’s highest imported commodity with average percentage contribution of 29.3% over the period. For CARTCOM’s exports, MineralJi.iels, Lubricants and related Materials and Crude Materials, inedible, except Fuels dominated the period with average percentage contributions of 29.7% and 18.5% respectively (Table 1.11). Major SITC Sections A closer analysis of Table 1.11 showed that for imports, Machineiy and Transport Equpinent reflected a percentage contribution of 28.0% in 1996. In 1997 the percentage contribution of this commodity strengthened to 34.1% but weakencd thereafter to 31.6%, 28.9% and 27.6% in 1998, 1999 and 2000. For 2001, its percentage contribution advanced to 29.4%, which resulted in an overall increase over the period. Manufactured Goods classified chiefly by materials was the second highest imported commodity during the period 1996 — 1999 while Mineral ,ñtels, Lubricants and related Materials captured this position for the remainder of the period. For exports, the percentage contribution of Mineral fuels, Lubricants and i-elated Materials to CARICOM’s total exports declined continuously &om 26.3% in 1996 to 22.2% and 20.5% in 1997 and 1998 respectively. For 1999-2001 the percentage contribution of this commodity advanced steadily to 27.9%, 39.7% and 41.7% respectively. The second highest exported commodity throughout the period was Crude materials, inedible, except fuels with increased percentage contribution from 19.7% in 1996 to 20.4% in 1997 and 20.7% in 1998. In 1999, its percentage contribution declined to 19.0% and continued to decline with recorded percentage contributions of 16.0% and 15.1% in 2000 and 2001 respectively. Distribution of CARICOM’s trade, by SITC Sections with Major Trading Partners Imports for Selected Years 1996 Machiney and Transport Equipment and Mamtfactured Goods were CARICOM’s highest imported commodities for 1996 and accounted for 27.3% and 16.0% respectively of CARICOM’s total imports. Analysis of Machineuy and Transport revealed that the USA was the main source with a percentage ‘33 contribution of 485%, the EU was next line with percentage contribution of 22.1% followed by Selected Asian Countries with percentage contribution of 20.3%. These three trading areas together represented 90.9% of CARTCOM’s total imports ofMachinery and Transport Equipment. With respect to Manufactured Goods, CAPJCOM’s major sources were the USA, EU and c’SME with respective percentage contributions of 43.7%, 15.1% and 9.6% (Tables 1.13.1 (a)—(c)). 1998 In 1998, Machinery and Transpoi-t Eqiiipnient and Manufactured Goods continued to be CARICOM’s top two commodities imported with percentage contributions of 31.8% and 16.6% respectively. For CARICOM’s imports of Machinery and Transport Equipinent, the USA continued to dominate with a percentage contribution of 52.1%. EU followed next but with declined percentage contribution to 19.3% while Selected Asian Countries expanded their contribution marginally to 20.6%. Also in 1998, CARICOM’s major sources of Manufactured Goods were the USA, EU, LAJA and CSME. These four trading blocs collectively accounted for 79.5% of CARlCOMs imports of this commodity (Tables 1.13.3 (a)-(c)). 2000 For 2000, CARICOM’s highest imported commodities were Machinety and Transport Equipment and Mineral fiels, lubricants and related materials with percentage contribution to CARICOM’s total imports of 27.1% and 21.4% respectively. The USA, Selected Asian Countries and the EU continued as the major sources of CARlCOMs imports of Machinery and Transport Equprnent in 2000. The percentage contribution of the USA further expanded to 56.3%, while the percentage contribution of Selected Asian Countries and EU declined to 19.5% and 15.3% respectively. For Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials, L4JA and Andean ‘ommunity were the two major sources for this commodity. These trading biocs accounted for 56.7% and 49.7% of CARICOM’s total imports of this commodity (Tables 1.13.5 (a)-(c)). 2001 Tables 1.13.6 (a) — (c) revealed that Machinery and Transport Equipment and Mineral freels, lubricants and related materials continued to top CARICOM’s imports in 2001. The major sources of Machinery and Transport Equipment continued to be the USA, EU and Selected Asian countries. However the percentage contribution of the USA declined to 53.6% while the EU expanded its percentage contribution to 20.6% in this year. The percentage contribution of Selected Asian Countries 9 declined to 17.7% in 2001. LAJA and the Andean Community continued to be the major sources of CARICOM’s imports of Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials with percentage contribution of 47.3% and 34.4% respectively. The combined percentage contribution of these two trading areas accounted for 81.7% of CARICOM’s imports of Mineraijiiels, lubricants and related materials. Exports for Selected Years 1996 Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials and Food which accounted for 28.7% and 17.0% of CARICOM’s total exports in 1996 were the Region’s two highest commodities exported in 1996. Analysis of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials revealed that the USA, C’SME and Other C’arihbean Countries were CARICOM’s main destinations for this commodity. These trading areas accounted for 46.5%, 22.9% and 17.3% respectively of CARICOM’s total exports of Minerals Fuels, Lubricants and related materials. For CARICOM’s exports Food, the main destinations were EU CSME and USA with percentage contributions of 52.2%, 18.0% and 14.4% respectively (Tables 1.13.1 (e) — (h)). 1998 In 1998, Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials and Food continued to he the CA.RICOM’s top two commodities exported. However, the percentage contribution of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materials declined to 22.1% while the percentage contribution of Food expanded to 19.4%. With regards to MineraTh Fuels, Lubricants and related materials, the USA, c’SME and Other Caribbean Countries continued to be the main destinations for this commodity. The percentage contribution of USA to CARICOM’s exports of this commodity declined to 36.5% while the percentage contributions of C’SME and Other Caribbean Countries advanced to 28.1% and 19.8% respectively. EU, CSME and USA maintained their positions as the Region’s top destinations for Food with strengthened percentage contributions of 52.3%, 21.9% and 16.0% respectively (Tables 1.13.3 (e)-(h)). 2000 Analysis of (Tables 1.13.5 (e)-(h)) showed CARICOM’s total exports in 2000 continued to be dominated by Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materiaLs and Food. In this year the percentage contribution of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and related materiaLs expanded to 42.1% while the percentage contribution of Food declined to 13.7%. For exports of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and 10 35 FIGURE 1.1 BALANCE OF CARICOMS TOTAL TRADE: 1996-2001 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 0 o 0 uJ io,ooo 0 5,000 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 Years Imports Exports 17 s- Trade 8alance FIGURE 1.6 MAJOR SOURCES OF CARICOM’S IMPORTS: 1996 European Union 14% United Slates 44% ricsME I FIGURE 1.7 European Uron United States OJapan Latin America 0 Rest of the World MAJOR SOURCES OF CARICOMS IMPORTS: 2001 European Union 14% Latin America 14% •CSME European Union • United States OJapan 27 • Latin America DResloithe World j ‘37 FIGURE 1.8 MAJOR DESTINATIONS OF CARICOMS EXPORTS: 1996 CSME 18% Rest of the World 12% European Union 18% ) Other Caribbean 8% United States 39% L. • CSME Canada eOther Caribbean 9European Union United States DRest of the World - FIGURE 1.9 MAJOR DESTINATIONS OF CARICOMS EXPORTS: 2001 Rest of the World European Union 12% Other Caribbean 10% United States 39% •CSME Canada • Other Caribbean DEuropean Union 29 • United States DRestof the World Page 1 of 4 Statement Prepared for the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Board I Dopariment Canada ol Finance .inistèrID cbs Finances Canada ( ‘...(II (I(iJ Home > N€.ws > Statement Prenared ¶or the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Boad of Go’.e rrc’ the internahonal Monetary tind October 2010 - Washington, DC, October 9, 2010 2010-096 STATEMENT PREPARED FOR TilE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE. INTERNATI ONAL MONET.ARY FUND The Honourable Jim Flaherty, Minister of Finance for Canada, on behalf of Antigua and Barbuda, the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Canada, Dominica, Grenad4 Ireland, Jamaica, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines We agree that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) played an important role in helping the global economy through the financial crisis and towards recovery, particularly through fostering international economic co operation. With a new set of global economic challenges lying ahead, the Fund will have an important role to play in ensuring a healthy and well-balanced international monetary system. It will do this by promoting sound economic policy frameworks; providing financial assistance when neled that strikes the right balance between financing and adjustment; and sustaining co-operation and consultation among its members. In doing this the IMF must ensure that the proper steps are taken to protect against another severe financial crisis. The IMF can play a critical role in promoting an open international monetary system that facilitates timely, orderly exchange rate adjustment. Future IMF reforms, particularly to the Fund’s lending instruments and resources, can help to prevent future crises, but must also encourage members to adopt sound policy frameworks. Canadian Developments The Canadian economy continues to recover from the deepest global recession since the 1930s. Real gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter of this year increased by 2.0 percent, after posting gains of 5.8 per cent in the first quarter and 4.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009. The economic recovery has been underpinned by Canada’s Economic Action Plan as well as a strong recovery in private domestic activity. As a result of this strong performance, Canada has virtually recouped real economic activity lost over the recession, the only Group of Seven (G-7) country to do so. Canada’s solid economic performance has also supported a recovery in the labour market, as all of the jobs lost during the recession have been recovered. The priority of the Government is to complete the implementation of Canada’s Economic Action Plan—a twoyear C$62—billion plan (equivalent to about 2 per cent of GDP on average per year) to support economic growth and create and maintain jobs. To maintain and preserve Canada’s strong financial position, the Government is committed to return to budgetary balance over the medium term, consistent with the G-20 commitment to halve deficits by 2013 and stabilize or reduce government debt-to-GDP ratios by 2016. In Budget 2010, the Government set out a threepoint plan to bring Canada’s finances back to balance over the medium term. First, it will end the temporary measures as scheduled in early 2011. Second, targeted measures to restrain the growth of direct program spending have been put in place. And finally, the Government is undertaking a comprehensive review of its administrative functions and overhead costs in order to secure further efficiencies and savings. Irish Developments Irish Economic Developments Turning to the Irish situation, following two exceptionally difficult years it now appears that the economy will record some marginal increase in activity this year. The exporting sector is leading the way, in part a reflection of the substantial—and necessary—competitiveness adjustments that have occurred over a relatively short timeframe. An encouraging feature has been the broadening of the export base in recent quarters, which bodes well for the future. Domestic demand, however, lags behind. Excess supply continues to weigh on residential investment and will continue to do so for some time. Household spending remains subdued, on the back of declining real incomes and weak confidence. Having said that, the latest labour market data point towards stabilization. httrr//www.fin.gc.caJnlO/1 0-096-eng.asp 11/1/2010 Statement Prepared for the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Board ... Page 2 of 4 Apart from supporting the banking sector, the most pressing issue is the need to ensure the public finances remain on a sustainable path. While revenue and expenditure plans for this year are in line with expectations, the underlying deficit—that is after excluding one-off issues related to the banking sector—will nevertheless be of the order of 11.9 per cent of GDP. The Irish Government has recently reiterated its commitment to reducing the headline deficit to below 3 per cent of GDP by 2014, and will publish a four-year budgetary plan setting out the annual consolidation measures necessary to achieve this early next month. This is to be welcomed, as it will underpin confidence and credibility in the sustainability of the public finances in Ireland, and as such help support economic growth over the short and medium term. Irish Banking Developments The Irish Government has recently reiterated its strong commitment to restoring the Irish banking system to health. This involves a number of actions, some of which have already been undertaken, with more planned by the Irish Government. A Government guarantee of banks’ liabilities has been extended to ensure the banks remain able to access the necessary liquidity. The Irish Government has worked to provide certainty on the final costs of repairing the banking system. The National Asset Management Agency provides a facility to ensure that the losses of participating institutions are recognized upfront and that the most impaired loans are removed from their balance sheets. Together with the capitalization of the banks and the resolution and reorganization of the most impaired institutions, this should allow the banking system to play its essential role in providing the finance required to underpin economic recovery and fiscal sustainability. In addition, the Central Bank of Ireland has replaced the previous dual structured Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland. The new structure has a unitary board chaired by the Governor with a specific focus on prudential regulation, protecting consumers and maintaining the financial stability of the financial system. Caribbean Developments While the economic outlook has improved for members of my Caribbean constituency, medium-term growth is expected to be subdued and beiow the Western Hemisphere average. Meaningful strengthening is not expected until 2011, underpinned by only modest prospects for tourism and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. There are considerable downside risks, mainly associated with lowered expectations for the primary trading partner, the United States, amid household sector deleveraging and weak employment trends. The impetus from Europe is also likely to be mild, as households adjust to fiscal austerity measures. The Caribbean region also expects greater challenges in attracting FDI inflows as global flows normalize at below pre-crisis levels. Caribbean authorities believe that structural reforms to improve the business environment can help to improve these prospects, as can effective and well-targeted public sector investment programs. They acknowledge that reforms must occur within a framework of fiscal consolidation to reduce high debt burdens and to enhance the economies’ resilience to future shocks. While three Caribbean countries have taken on IMF programs to guide the adjustment processes, the region’s engagement with the Fund has more generally intensified through the Fund’s heightened surveillance activities and the increased technical assistance being provided, particularly through the focused work of the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre. Enhancing financial sector resilience and stability is a top priority for the Caribbean. The authorities are intensifying their efforts to strengthen and consolidate the supervision of non-bank institutions, and to fortify bank balance sheets against weakened credit quality and strained liquidity conditions. Co-operation among supervisors and regulators is also advancing more vigorously, given the increasing regional connectedness of the financial system—underscored by the need for a speedy resolution to failed insurance sector operations, which spanned multiple jurisdictions. Many Caribbean authorities are also strengthening their international co operation mechanisms, having concluded a significant number of Tax Information Exchange Agreements to improve their standing with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. They continue to urge, however, that global initiatives to promote transparency and financial stability do not impinge upon the ability of legitimate jurisdictions to benefit from the provision of international financial services. IMF Reform Since the onset of the crisis, a range of surveillance and lending reforms have been put in place. These reforms have added to the Fund’s existing tools for safeguarding the stability of the international monetary system. The challenge now is to utilize these reforms to assess the risks to global financial and economic stability arising from unsustainable global imbalances and possible financial sector vulnerabilities. Reforms to IMF surveillance and the scope of IMF lending can help to prevent future crises. In addition, complementary reforms to the Fund’s governance structure are required to ensure that these tools are used appropriately. Surveillance We are encouraged by recent efforts to enhance the quality and substance of Fund surveillance. Last year’s introduction of the Early Warning Exercise and revamping of the Financial Sector Assessment Program should help facilitate the identification of vulnerabilities stemming from the financial sector and global imbalances in a timely fashion. htto://www.fin.gc.calnl 0/1 0-096-eng.asp 1 1/1/2010 Statement Prepared for the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the Board ... Page 3 of 4 V-fD enhancing analysis, particularly Future reforms to the substance of Fund surveillance should focus on further global imbalances. Specifically, from arising risks the of clarification ation and examin ive extens more h throug s accumulation, financial reserve tionary precau of impacts the Fund analysis of cross-country spillover effects, and multilateral bilateral Existing critical. will be flows capital ional intenat and sector vulnerabilities, The IMF analysis. line stream to as so possible surveillance products should be relied upon as much as for Governors to vehicle a be and surveillance Fund guide lar can particu in Priorities Statement of Surveillance set strategic surveillance priorities and promote accountability. Lending Instruments and Fund Resources ntially strengthened the Recent reforms have dramatically altered the Fund’s lending toolkit and substa ies seeking financial assistance. countr for options of provision of global financial safety nets, providing a range from, and laid bare by, the resulting problems nts payme of balance ns and concer In addressing the liquidity introduced new and es and resourc global economic crisis, the IMF substantially expanded its available ed to US$500 billion, increas was (NAB) Borrow to ements Arrang New The ents. improved lending instrum the Flexible Credit Line (FCL) was and allocation, Rights Drawing l Special genera on US$250-billi a was there Precautionary Credit Line. introduced. More recently, the Fund has reformed the FCL and created a new changes, we need to These reforms represent significant change. Before undertaking further significant and due oversight for tability accoun maintain to place ensure that the proper governance structures are in incentives to take reducing at aimed is G-20 of the effort reform sector financial the of IMF programs. Much level. country the undue risk. We must work to ensure this is also the case at to realign relative quota shares as Similarly, a further increase in quota resources will be necessary in order reflect the need to restore the e should part of the current quota review, but the size of the aggregate increas spur excessive risk-taking. to as far so resources Fund overall ing adequacy of IMF resources without expand a scaling back of NAB by offset be should quota IMF ate the aggreg in increase ntial substa To this end, a based institution. quotaas a status Fund’s the resources, in line with the membership’s calls to maintain Voice and Representation e the legitimacy of the institution by One of the main elements of IMF reform centres on efforts to enhanc review, together with possible reforms t quota curren nted. The represe ensuring that all members are properly a more proper alignment of member towards ental instrum be will Board, Executive IMF the of re to the structu protecting the voting power of the while weight, economic global countries’ voice and representation with their rs. Fund’s poorest membe a significant element of Securing a new quota deal that meets the Pittsburgh commitments will require members that have not those for priority a remain should it step, first a As atism. compromise and pragm ent will increase the voice this agreem n of entatio already done so to ratify the 2008 quota agreement. Implem e in quota, the increase increas the h throug countries developing s and and representation of emerging market y multi-countr large for in basic votes, and the introduction of second alternate Executive Directors constituencies. also represent the financial obligation of Quotas constitute the bulk of overall voting power at the Fund. They heavy responsibilities, it is essential such With financing. each member and have a bearing on access to Fund a manner that promotes in incentives align and weight, economic global that quotas properly reflect able and balanced global sustain , strong fundamentally sound economic policies that are consistent with growth. ape of the IMF Executive Board is another In addition to quota reform, implementing changes to the landsc it is clear that the voice and particular, In way of enhancing the Fund’s role in the global economy. Board needs to increase. We Executive the at economies developing and market representation of emerging nted at the table. represe riately approp most must do our best to ensure that the IMF membership is Corporate Governance Reforms the effectiveness, credibility and legitimacy of the A number of other governance reforms can help enhance in establishing the strategic direction of the role primary a IMF. First, since Ministers and Governors play Fund issues will be essential. Second, a Fund, pursuing options for increasing Ministerial engagement with the 1MF governance structure should be in bodies various the clarification of the roles and responsibilities of and Fund management. undertaken to enhance the accountability of the Executive Board merit-based management selection process We also reaffirm our desire to see an open, transparent and regardless of candidate nationality. Done in selected is ement manag y senior introduced at the Fund whereb towards effectively enhancing Fund way a long step with quota and Executive Board reform, this will go legitimacy. htttv//wwwiin.c.caJn10/10-O96-eng.asp 11/1/2010 Press Release: IMP and World Bank Approve US$12 Billion Debt Relief for Haiti Page 1 of 4 1’41 Sn’ :L4ts Iniernalional kR Monetary Fund IkS a Francals IPW and World Bank Approve US$1.2 Billion Debt Relief for HaIti Press Release No. 09/243 July 1, 2009 Haiti was granted US$1.2 billion of debt relief by reaching the completion point under the Enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative approved by the Boards of the International Development Association (IDA) and the th International Monetary Fund (IMF). Haiti Is now the 26 country to reach the completion point under the Initiative. Debt service savings resuit from the HIPC Initiative (1S$265 million) and the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) (US$972.7 million). To reach the completion point, Haiti can-led out a number of reforms despite a challenging environment marked by major natural disasters, a food and fuel crisis, difficult political conditions, and the Impact of the global economic downturn. These reforms were aimed at establishing a more stable macroeconomic environment and at Implementing its national poverty reduction strategy. Haiti strengthened public expenditure management by better focusing poverty reduction spending, producing audited government accounts, ensuring commitment to an asset declaration law, and adopting a law on public procurement. In addItion, Haiti strengthened tax and customs administration and Improved debt management and reporting. In education, Haiti established a financing mechanism to allow over 50,000 chIldren to attend school, allocated over 20 percent of recurrent spending to education, and made progress toward implementing the teacher training program. In health, Haiti approved an HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment plan and Improved immunization rates for measles and DPT3. “We are very pleased that the Boards of the Bank and the FUnd have granted Haiti debt relief. This will significantly reduce Haiti’s debt burden and effectively free resources for growth and poverty reduction” said Yvonne Tsikata, the World Bank’s Director for the Caribbean. ‘We congratuiate the Haitian authorities on this achievement. Going forward, Haiti must take advantage of this opportunity by managing future borrowing prudently, and httyf/wwwimLorg/external/np/sec/prt2009/prO924Thtm 11/1/2010 Press Release: IMP and World Bank Approve US$12 Billion Debt Relief for Haiti Page 2 of 4 in continuing Its efforts and progress towards stronger public expenditure management and public procurement,” Tslkata added. Debt relief under the Enhanced HIPC Initiative amounts to US$140.3 million in end-September 2005 net present value (NPV) terms& Haiti is expected to receive the equivalent of US$265 million of debt relief in nominal terrnsZ under the HIPC Initiative and expected additionai bilateral relief. Haiti’s public debt as of end-September 2008 amounted to 36 percent of GDP, most of which— about 28 percent of GDP—is owed to external creditors. The largest share of Haiti’s external debt Is owed to the Inter-American Development Bank (41 percent of total external debt), the World Bank (27 perctnt), and bTh.tcrJ creditors (24 percent). By reaching the HIPC completion point, Haiti now is eligible under the MDRI for further debt relief from IDA and the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB). MDRI relief would save Haiti US$972.7 million in debt service of which US$486.7 million owed to IDA and U5S486 million• to the IADB. While the IMF is a participant In the MDRI, HaIti does not have any MDRI-eilgibie debt to the IMF. “This is a very positive development for Haiti”, said Finance Minister Daniel Dorsainvil. “The debt relief will help us Invest In growth and poverty reduction programs. Haiti has demonstrated over the past four to five ,ears that It can commit itself to a menu of reforms and respect this commitment.” “To reach the completion point under the Enhanced HIPC Initiative Is a key milestone, and the authoritIes are to be commended for this important achievement amid severe external shocks” said Corinne Deléchat, mission chief for Haiti In the IMF’s Western Hemisphere Department. “Debt relIef will significantly reduce Haiti’s debt burden and make it possible to Increase poverty-reducing spend!ng, allowing further progress toward the MIllennium Development Goals. In spIte of the debt relIef, Haiti’s vulnerability to shocks remains high. A major challenge ahead will be to lock in the ga!ns of debt relief through prudent fiscal policy, improved quaiity and efficiency of public spending, strengthened domestic revenue mobilization, and donor grant financing.” IMF and Haiti ANNEX The IMF approved a first three-year Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility in November 2006 in the amount of SDR 73.71 million (about US$114.4 million); In June 2008, an augmentation of SDR 16.38 millIon (about US$25.4 httn://www.imEorg/external/nn/gec/prtlOO9/pr09243.htzn 1 1/1t2010 Press Release: IMP and World Bank Approve US$12 Billion Debt Relief for Haiti Page 3 of 4 IN-3 million) was approved to help Haiti cope with the impact of high international food and fuel prices. A second increase in financial assistance, of SDR 24.57 mIllion (about US$38.1 million), was approved by the Executive Board in February 2009 to help mitigate the negative effects caused by a series of hurricanes in 2008 as well as the global downturn. World Bank and Haiti Beyond debt relief, the World Bank approved a disbursement of US$13 million in June 2009 as the second instaliment of a US$ 23 million Economic Governance Reform Operation program. The grant, which was approved on January 30, 2007, supports Haiti’s efforts to increase transparency and efficiency in the use of public resources and external assistance. Since January 2005, the World Bank has provided a total of US$278 million in grants for Haiti. In addition, approximately US$20 million have been granted from trust funds. The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative In 1996, the World Bank and IMP launched the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative to create a framework in which all creditors, including multilateral creditors, could provide debt relief to the world’s poorest and most heavily indebted countries, and thereby reduce the constraints on economic growth and poverty reduction imposed by the debt-servIce burdens In these countries. The Initiative was modified in 1999 to provide three key enhancements: • Deeper and Broader Relief. External debt thresholds were lowered from the original framework. As a result, more countries have become eligible for debt relIef and some countries have become eligible for greater relief; • Faster Relief. A number of creditors began to provide interim debt relief immediately at the decision poInt. Also, the new framework permitted countries to reach the completion point faster; and • Stronger Link between Debt Relief and Poverty Reduction. Freed resources were to be used to support poverty reduction strategies developed by national governments through a broad consultative process. To date, 35 HIPC countries have reached their decision points, of which 26 (including Haiti) have reached the completion poInt. hnn://www.hnforu/external/nv/sec/vr12009/pr09243.htni 11/1/2010 Press Release: IMP and World Bank Approve US$12 Billion Debt Relief for Haiti Page 4 of 4 The Muidiateral Debt Relief Initiative At the July 2005 G8 Summit in Gleneagles, Scotland, G8 leaders pledged to cancel the debt of the world’s most indebted countries, most of which are located in Africa. The aim of this Multilateral Debt Relief Intiative was to reduce further the debt of HIPC5 and provide additional resource to help them reach the Millennium Development Goals. The MDRI is separate from the HIPC Initiative but linked to It operationally. Under the MDRI, three multilateral institutions the World Bank’s International Development Association, the International Monetary Fund, and the provIde 100 percent debt Afr!can Development Fund relief on eligible•debts to countries having reached the HIPC completion point Unlike the HIPC Initiative, the MDRI is not comprehensive In its creditor coverage. It does not Involve participation of official bIlateral or commercial creditors, or of multilateral institutions other than the above-mentioned three. The IMP also provided MDRI debt relief to non-HIPCs whose income per capita is below US$380 in order to ensure uniformity of treatment In the use of IMP resources. — — l’et present value of debt is the discounted sum of all future debt service obligations (Interest and principal). terms refer to the actual dollar value of debt servIce forgiven over a period of time. IMP E)CERNAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT Public AftNbs Media Reladons Phope: 202423-73CC Pen: 202-623-7100 Fax: 2024234278 Fix: 2J2623-67fl lii4+n.Ilnnzniiv hnfnnIevn1Inn/qn’J&2flfl9/mO9243.hbn I 1/1t2010 N4 Press Release: IMP Opening Resident Representative Offices in the Caribbean ikhsh4s Page 1 of 2 Iii Lenia tional ‘.S’ Monetary Fund IMF Opening Resident Representative Offices in the Caribbean Press Release No. 10/174 April 30, 2010 The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is opening two new ies!dent representative offices, in Jamaica and in Antigua and Barbuda, the latter to cover IMF member countries in tre Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. The establishment of these offices will further deepen the IMP’s dialogue with the country’s authorities and other Important regional stakeholders, Including trade unions, the private sector, academics, and non-governmental organizations. The IMP already has a Resident Representative office In Haiti. Mr. Gene Leon has been named to serve as the IMP’s Senior ResIdent Representative In Jamaica, while Mr. Wendell Samuel will head the newly-created Regicnai Representative Office for the Eastern Caribbean, based In AntIgua and Barbuda. A presence In the Caribbean will help the IMP to better understand local circumstances and constraints and foster the already close and productive dialogue with policymakers In the region. The resident representatives will serve as an on-the-ground resource on technical and policy matters that the authorities can tap as they implement their economic programs,” said Mr. Nicolas Eyzagulrre, Director of the IMP’s Western Hemisphere Department. ai am confident that their presence will help the IMP to develop closer ties to the people In the region and help both sides to Improve their understandIng of each other,” Mr. Eyzagulrre added. Both new resident representatives have extensive experience in the Caribbean. Mr. Leon, a national of St. Lucia, has been In the IMP for more than 13 years, most recently in the Middle East and Central Asia Department Key assIgnments have Included developing the first Fund program for Iraq and leading teams working on the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UnIted Arab Emirates). Mr. Leon was the head of research at Central Bank of Barbados, as well as an associate professor at the State University of New York. He hoids a PhD In economics from the University of Southampton, United Kingdom. httnIIwww.imf.nru/extarnaI/n&secfnr/2O1O/Dr1 01 74.lm 11/1/2010 IL15 Press Re’ease: IMF Opening Resident Representative Offices in the Caribbean Page 2 of 2 Mr. Samuel, a national of St. Vincent and the Grenadnes, has been working in the IME’s Western Hemisphere )epartmert since 2001, where—among others—he led both the Dominica and Antgua & Barbuda teams. Prior to joining the IMF, he was the head of the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank’s Research Department in St. Kitts, and a ectrer n toe Department or Economics at the Umvarsity of the West Indies, He holds a PhD in economics from New York University. IMF EXTERNAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT Pbhc Af ‘[ore: Fox: (‘2-623-73C0 202-623-6276 eda R&ations Phone: 202-627-7100 6ex: 202-623-6772 htto://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/20 10/pr 101 74.htm 11 / 1/2010 IMF AND BARBADOS Barbados -- Pagelof2 U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean BUYUSA.GOV Caribbean -- U.S. Commercial Service BARBADOS Overview • Market Overview • Economic Indicators • Market Opportunity Market Overview Barbados, the easternmost Caribbean island, is an Englishspeaking country, 21 miles long by 14 miles wide, with approximately 275,000 inhabitants and a labor force of 142,000. Stable Democratic Government: Barbados enjoys a longstanding democratic tradition and a strong commitment to the rule of law and political and economic freedom. Solid Economic Performance: The Barbadian economy grew by approximately 3.5 percent in 2006. At the end of September 2006, the 12-month moving average rate of inflation was estimated at 7.6 percent, compared to 5.1 percent at the end of September 2005. The unemployment rate dropped to the lowest level ever, or 7.6 percent, in the last quarter of 2006. Net International Reserves stood at USD $1.1 billion. Tourism rose by an estimated 2.5 percent, reversing a 2.2 percent decline in 2005. The overall growth in visitor arrivals was because of greater air travel capacity, which offset the fall-off in cruise passengers during the same year. The non-traded sectors continued to provide the main impetus for growth, led by the surge in the construction industry, which increased by 20 percent, mostly due to Cricket World Cup preparations. The Central Bank of Barbados anticipates a 4-4.5 percent growth in GDP for 2007. Strong U.S. Market Share: The United States has a trade surplus with Barbados, and 40 percent of Barbados’ imports come from the United States. High Level of Development: Barbados’ per capita income is the highest in the Eastern Caribbean region at USD $17,300, and the country ranks high in the United Nations Development Programs Human Development Index. Unemployment has been declining. Poverty, corruption, and crime remain low. Stable Monetary and Fiscal Policy: The main objective of Barbados’ monetary policy is to preserve the fixed exchange rate with the U.S. dollar, which has with a debt to GDP ratio of over 70 percent in 2006. Economic Indicators Population: 280,000 (2006 estimate) GDP Per Capita income: 17,300 GDP: 2.976 billion httn :Ilwww.buvusa. gov/caribbeanlenlbarbados .html 9/29/2010 Barbados --U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean Exports: Page 2 of 2 359 million (merchandise) 1.41 billion (commercial services) Exports to the U.S.: 33.9 million Imports: 1.6 billion (merchandise) 636 million (commercial services) Imports from the U.S.: 442.5 million Exchange Rate: BDS$2 = US$1 Market Opportunity Cricket World Cup 2007: Barbados will host several games, including the final, in the International Cricket Council (ICC) Cricket World Cup 2007. This event will attract worldwide attention. Telecom Liberalization: Barbados has recently liberalized its telecom market, with full competition in the cellular, domestic, customer premises equipment and international sectors. Liberalization has created new opportunities for U.S. telecom companies, and should continue to bring down the relatively high long distance rates to the benefit of all international businesses. CARICOM Single Market: Barbados is a Caribbean Community (CARICOM) leader in implementing the CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSME) commitments. Once fully in place, the CSME will reduce or remove restrictions on the movement of goods, services, labor, and capital throughout the region. (See www.caricom.org for more information.) Tax Incentives: International businesses enjoy substantial tax incentives, including a maximum tax rate of 2.5 percent, and lengthy tax holidays for exporters. Best Prospects: Barbados imports 70 percent if its food, over a third of which comes from the United States. Trade opportunities will remain for U.S. Exporters of hotel and restaurant supplies, construction materials and specialty agriculture and consumer products. . 1 If you are a Barbadian company wishing to import from the U.S., click here Links 1. http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/61.html Last updated 2008-04-29 © 2001-2010 All rights reserved httn://www.buvusa. ov/caribbeanJenJbarbados.htm1 9/29/2010 49 Doing Business in the Caribbean Region-- U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean BUYUSA.GOV -- Page 1 of 2 U.S. Commercial Service ribbean Is’ands of Opportunity • Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region • Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region • Your Connection to the Caribbean Region • Country Specific Information Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region 1. Close Proximity: The Caribbean Region is a natural commercial partner of the United States, tied closely together by geography, history and culture. 2. 3rd Largest Market in Latin America for U.S. Exports: The Caribbean Region as a whole represents a market of about 235 million people who collectively imported over $18.5 billion of U.S. goods in 2007! As a result, the Region is the 3nd largest export market for U.S. manufactured goods in Latin America behind only Mexico and Brazil. 3. Cooperative Trade Relationship: The Caribbean Basin Initiative 1 (CBI) launched in 1983 and renewed in 2000 through legislation enacted by Congress established trade programs to facilitate the economic development and export diversification of the Caribbean Basin economies. U.S. exports to the CBI countries have more than tripled since the CBI’s creation, from $6.5 billion in 1984 to over $25 billion in 2000. 4. Free Trade: On August 5, 2004 the United States and the Dominican Republic signed a Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) . The agreement was implemented on March 1, 2007 ensuring that more 2 than 80% of U.S. manufactured goods enter duty free to the DR. In addition to tariff reduction, CAFTA-DR also provides unprecedented access to government procurement, liberalizes the services sectors, protects U.S. investments, and strengthens protections for U.S. patents, trademarks, and trade secrets in the DR. 5. Regional Integration: The Caribbean Community (:. CARICOM ), is an organization of Caribbean 3 nations and dependencies working to promote economic integration and cooperation among its members. The CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSM) treaty signed on January 1, 2006 by 12 member countires, establishes deeper regional integration through harmonized tariffs and duty free trade. Currently, the CARICOM CSM member countries and the Dominican Republic are scheduled to sign an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) in July 2008 establishing free trade between the DR and the CSM member countries. Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region • • • • • • • • • • • • Household Consumer Goods Building products Air Conditioning Telecommunication Equipment & Services Franchising Computers and Peripherals Automotive Parts and Services Food Processing and Packaging Equip. Cosmetics and Toiletries Electrical Power Systems Hotel & Restaurant Equipment & services Drugs and Pharmaceuticals “Your Connection to the Caribbean Region” Whether your company is trying to enter or expand into the Caribbean Region, we can help you succeed! httrr//www.buvusa. ov/caribbeanlen1is1ands of oooortunitv .html 11/1/2010 Doing Business in the Caribbean Region -- U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean Page 2 of 2 Our Caribbean Regional Office provides counseling on market entry/expansion, identification of potential business partners, matchmaking appointments, market research, due dilligence reports, promotional events and other customized services. . 5 4 for U.S. companies, or Contact Us Learn more about Our Services Country Specific Information • • • • Dominican Republic 6 7 Jamaica Trinidad & Tobago 8 9 Other Caribbean Islands Links 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. http ://www .ustr. gov/Trade_Development/Preference_Programs/CBI/Section_Index. html http ://www buyusa gov/caribbean/en/cafta_dr. html http://www.caricom.org/ http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/services_for_usexporters.html http ://www. buyusa gov/ca ri bbean/en/caribbeanstaff. html http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/35.html http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/36.html http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/37.html http://www.buyusa.gov/caribbean/en/other_caribbean_contacts.html . . © 2001-2010 All rights reserved hti, //xrx,u, hii,ii anv/cnrihhpn/n/is1ands of orrnortunitv.html 11/1/201 0 Public Information Notice: IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV i:ic . Ste Page Consultation with Barbados Man 1 of 5 Site t cc’. International Nloneiarv L’und Public lnlorinauon Notices pcl1jc 1 nthnai:ion Notice ‘Pi No 04o Jiol Moae.n lund ;‘ 700 19th Sueci. \Vashbvtton. D.C. 20331 USA . Ma 14. ‘- Barbados and the I\4I: itcaiicn :teceive emajis when we cost new en of nterest IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados the International rand (tM.f) conoluced the Article i\’ ernsalLaL:oo wiLt On May 5, 004. the Executive Board . . oi loauicr\ . r aces.— you cr Background eyyo’.r aOtte TI-c maji sl.av s of the economy arc tourism and financial services. the pol:uIciion is about 275.000. per capita incorne is about and the a employment rate is sliubi iv less than Ii maccm. The [unted Nations Development i>roarams Human De clOfirnout Iflcx ranked Barbados 27th amona 1 75 countries in 2003. Barbados economy did well in the I 990s, supported ny r;rudenr p01 ices and a fhvorable external erni:ronrnenl, During .1993—2000. per capa real CUP growth averaged 2.5 ercent per year. annual inflation was 2 percent or less, and unemployment ateelmed shaptis. The structure of the economy shifted from aericulture to tourism end financial services. fhisperibrrnaucc was achiex ed in the aontext of small tiscal deficits (less than 2 pelcera of’ GDP). a coiisec monetary policy wInch resulted tn a sttbstaattat c;rcuuan ol external reserves). and a raflge of niarket—orienied relbrms. 1he economy shifted. into a reeesston in 2001 . reflection the ciobal slowdown., and the impact of the September 11 events on the tourism sector, Real GOP dropped by a cumulative 4 percent in 2001 —02. To mjijate the recession. the government launched national emergency program of public investment proeets aimed at promoting econoni Ic activIty and ung.radirg the tourjsm and economic infrastructure. 1 iwse and other measures contributed to an increase in the eciurni go en ineut de c I trout 2 3 ncr ee ot CUP in Y 20(10 U I ( n March) to 9.5 percent of GOP in bY 2002/03, including extrabudgetary spending of about 4 percent of (tDP, As a result, the central government debe-to-GDP ratio rose from 63 percent March 200 [to 76 percent: in March 2003. a in Oei’ the past year, the economy recovered partially from the 2001 -02 recession. as real GDP grew by an estimated 2 percent in 2003. led by a recovery in the t:ourism sector. Inflation remained low at 1.5 percent, reflectimi the currency peg. The external current aecaurit i-itr IJ’.y,rnrxr m f nvaIvtrn 1 InriIcc/nn/2 004/nn 0456 htm 8/31/2010 • Public Information Notice: IMP Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados Page 2 of 5 S3 deficit widened in 2003. as merchandise exports declined and imports recovered from their low recession levels. The central 2ovemr’eiu deficit narrowd to 6.5 percent of GDP in FY 2O03O4. including extra-budgetary spending of ck,sc to 4 ptrcent of (Jl)P. T;L\ reentz increased by 1¼ percent oIGDP. on accouct of higaer -:e:pts fren ’d c.:al cxpct.diture dciiced by a similar 1 the alue-acfded tax. a Srnt.nL More than half of the goenmcri de1eit was linancat through pr”tt&aton pcocecds resiliig in a rarginal dceire in the government debt ratio. to 75 ccent. Notwithstanding S eit of the eurrnt tccount dcficft. the net international rcs:n :s stood at l:8S751 million (six months of imports of goods and sen ices) at the end of the year. Broud money growth delekratccl in 2003, although it was stiU faste” than GDP grovu.h, anc banks becainc ne:eadrg llçiid. In an effort to unwind the excessive buildup of liquk i.y. the cent’ a! bank reduced the government securities ratio to 16 ptrcer4 in November 2002: in December 2002, the central bank reduceJ the minimum administered interest rate on dine and savings deposits, from 3 pcrcent to 2.5 ercr.t, and discontinxicd setting maximum indicutie lending ‘aws ’ins 4 for banks on Felected loans. V!iiJe the banking system rem. generally sound, the ratio of nonpertbrmng loans to toirL loans has increased to about 9 pcrccnt, :nd profiwb!hty bdicasc’rs have weakened some’ hat. Over the past year, importcnt progress was made in the area of structural retbrnis, as steps were taken to echance the budget process. strengthen the nztionai pension system. promote ‘rat -‘ar3ney in the public sector, improve financial intermediation, and enlici’e the supply responsivene’s of the economy. Executive Board Assessment Executive Directors observed that Barbados’ economy Ss started to recover from the 2001-02 recession. led by die s’zong puformance of the tourism sector and supported by the ceuntereyelica fiscal stance adoptcd in the downturn. However, this fiscal stance gave rise to a substantial increase in the goernnicnt debt ihieh must now be nncrsed. Directors were encouraged by the improvement in the public finances in fiscal er 2003 04 and stressed that. oer the medium term, debt sustainability would critically depend on the go annienCs success in fiirthcr reducing its deficit and deepening reforms to boost growth. They welcomed thc strengtSein of the international resene position over the last three years. :.bich retlccts Barbados’ continued access to foreign financing and strong private capital inflows. Directors stated that. notvdthstanding the improvement in fiscal year 2003/04. the current level of the government’s deficit implied continued high government debt ratios and has contributed to large. albeit declining, external current account delicits. They cautioned that htt,. linnun, irnfnrnlavtern.lInnIqpeInnflAA4Innfl4i6 htni 8/31 P2010 Public Information Notice: IMP Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados Page 3 of 5 sLt. these factors could pose a risk to the fixed exchange ntc ancl’or. the central pillar of Rarbados’ policy framework. cipechJ:y in ie event of a turnaround in private capital flows. A number of l)irectors therefore recon’mended that the fiscal deficit be reduced to ensure adequate reserve cover and a dcc lining debt ratio, and that gradual vth-en;ancitj stricwral fiscal tightening be combined with flflOl’flI$. In this regani. Directois also atwecco importance to anchori’ig the pace of fiscal adjustment on lhrbadcs’ !cr.gxnanding &amework of social consersui. At the same thm, other l)!cect.’ s. noting the size of the fiscal imbalance tu:d U’e Sig: deti !vel. trgec tie authcrities to build dontesic consensu, for a mc’re rapd iiscal adiusmen. Directors agrc:d ‘with the governnen.’s focus on expenditure conirol .cd 1 and siekomed the commitment to wuge rct4raint and the prqj2c reduction in extra-budgetary spending. mainly transfers to public enterprises. whkh remains high and has diminished the transparency of fiscal operations in recent years. But they dlso saw a need to iatensit’ the revenue effort, both to facilitate deficit reduction and to protect social spending. Directors encouraged the aurhorities ro consider, in particular. measures to reduce e\elnptiotsb frtn the V 41’. as well as iccreascs in the rar.cs ofthe VAT and excises. ‘l’hey commended the authoritie& proposals to hanmnfre the domes!c and offshore tax regimes and supportcd the proposed reduction of hwc,e tax rates. Dfrccors recommended that pthatization pmcxcs. which have been used to finance extra-budeLar> spending, shoL’ld in the flaure be allocated mainly to the rct!rement of gocr.i’z’c.’. dec.. ‘l1ie’ urged tne authorities to review the tail tTh of mejor public enterprises. concurrently ‘with a reduction in government transfers to these entities. Directors encouragcd the authorities to move to more nw,rke-hased mechanisms of monetary control, to enhance control of credit expansion and xduce distortions in financiul intermedin:!oa Accordingly, they welcomed the initial stcps by the cetaral bank to prepare the technical nfrastructure for open market operations, and recommended phasing out, in due con. the adnth’!sircd raicbnu.ii interest rate on sa i:igs and time deposits. Regarding broader financial sector reforms. I)irectors welcomed the actions taken to implement most ofthe 2002 Financial Sector Assessment Program recommendations, including improvement in the supenisory and regulatory frameworks for the banking and insurance sectors. They encouraged rapid implementation of the remaining recommendations, including increasing the independence ofthe central bank, and the strengthening ofeliorts ‘sith regard to Ant:_ Money 1 aundering/Combating the Financing of Temrlsrn stes. Directors supported the authorities’ sequenced appreach to capital account liberalization, in line with the ongoing strengtbening ofthe financial sector and the development of indirect instruments of monetary control. httn’llvsww frnfnrulevternsil/nr.IserJrant2004/nn0456.hfrn 8/3 1t2010 Public Information Notice: IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados Page 4 of 5 Directors shared the :i’ ethics iew on. the conilnued anproprinieness of tbc Pxed cxc ace rate tnc:imc for da:hado at though it as also suggested that tac authori es keep the rivat regime under re\ ic. ‘i’hcy noted that the lo:xg ad ig rep. to he LS. col te a supitorteu by prudent dscal and monetary pole h. has acted as a strong anchor of price stability and i xsa.: ecczdt:ee. Directors emphasizcu. hovc ur. that the [ot2g-terr V1t fIfty of e regime requited that the public dent d) nnm;.cs be tearcerl tO :1 sustainable position. ender rohast economic policies end relbrnis to boost growth and cemetitiveness. I)ireators noted that the decline of aadcul.ture tuid a c. ha it recent vents lughlights the aced tO inoad.en the pro,ucn- e ixise. In this rtuwrd. they welcomed the hoti ties’ recent stalciurni retlria 1 include the roforta of the N tiotef I aserance achics ements \vhicl.’ Scheme: establishment ola regulator Fa’arevotrk.fbr private v’rsiall schemes: corno tuzatton of the Port. Aethori ty; r.thr :he. of rh:’ l\htional i3arb’tjos IDak: and the move toward cater ant 1 ha- in the telecommunications sect-ar. Lookirat ahead, Dh Cta the a athot ities’ fbeus on refbrrns relati nit to the 121’ cci. tax mt i cv. O\ enme1:t petistoits. and enhancing the supply rcspraoi\ enn- otlhe econoin\. Dtrectors coran-eaded the at uctauttes br thete continued comm tinent to further trade tt[teralizauon in the coat ‘at of the CARJCO\l, the WiQ, and the envisaged FTA:\, and recent 1 atttai:vcs to enhance labor market flrnathtllt\ Directors noted that, while the statistical informahan provided by l3arbados is hroad1 adequate ftr surveiIlancL PurPoses. there mmatins scope for substctriial improvement, particularly w ith retinal 10 the operaltons of the puN ic enterprises and the capital account of the balance of payments. Barbados: Selected Economic Indicators 1999 200() 200.1 2002 2003 10.4 2.4 2.4 5.8 9.4 —3.4 2.8 -6.9 9.9 -0.4 0.2 -1.8 10.3 2.1 1.5 6.7 1 0.7 7.8 —0.4 11.6 -4.2 —4.3 2.1 -8.6 —8.1 -0.3 5.7 12.2 2.4 -2.7 3.6 0.6 (Annual percentage changeNI Output and prices Real GDP Consumer prices (12-month increase) tourist arrivals Unemployment (percent ol labor force) Money and credit 1/ Net domestic assets Public sector credit (net) Private sector credit 1.6 0.4 T-itti-v /Iwww imf -raIpvtprnl/rn,/cpr/nnflflfl4Irn,fl4S6 htm SR 1/201 0 Public Information Notice: IMF Concludes 2004 Article IV Consultation with Barbados Broad mo nev of GDP) Public secEor operations 2/ Nonnranc:ai public sector belnace In Page 5 of 5 I L6 70 5.6 10,4 6.5 -1.2 -1.3 1.0 0.0 -3.1 -2.3 1.2 —0.8 -5.2 -10.4 -7.5 -4A) -9.5 -6.5 1.6 —0.4 1.5 —oA) 1.5 —1 .0 -6.0 18.5 -5.6 22.5 -3.6 28.8 -6.6 27.0 -7.8 26.] 306 184 707 683 751 rrce1t Central uOvCt’fllnent Surplus oii\atiostal !nsurance Scheme Public enterprises xternoi sector EXternal cUTOnt account batance Public external debt 3/ Net international reserves (it millions of U.S. dollars) Sources: Barbadian. authorities: and IMF staff estimates. 1/ Changes in percent of begmmng—of —period broad money. 2/ Fiscal years (April-March). 3/ Rcfers to central government and gocrnment guarmuced debt. 1 Under A::: ole IV of the iMFs Articles of Aereement, the IMF holds hi atea discussions ith members. usually every year. A s:aft’team visits the country. collects economic and hi:anir in tormetior:. arn cl;scses with offlcials the coun:ry’s economic deveiopmeus and policies. On return to bead ur:rers. the stall prepares a report, which fbrms the basis for d:seuss:on b\’ the Lxcat:’ e Board. At the cord sma of sac C .s s. of I p ( ju o thc. Be d I c,s:on th Manam D:rctor and this summary is transmitted to the counirvs nushonties. . IME EXTERNAI_ RELATlOb.S DEPARTMENT Public Affhirs: 202-623—7300 Fa\: 202-623-6278 Media Relations: 202-623-71.00 Fax: 202-623-6772 — - I,++,.s. I/mrnrXT ;mc nrct/cvtvnl I Innfl Mm 4 ,/QpIn,I’)flfl 8/31/2010 LESSON 2- WHAT IS THE TNTERNATTONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO? ACTIVITY 2.1A CASE STUDY: BARBADOS AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The Country: Barbados is a Caribbean island country located in the North Atlantic Ocean. It was uninhabited when the British settled it in 1627. Slaves worked on colonial sugar plantations until slaver was abolished in 1834. Barbados became independent from Britain in 1966 and has been politically stable since then, Historically, the econom was dependent on the production of sugar cane, but during the 1990s tourism and light manut’acturing became more important. Barbados also provides financial services for foreign businesses, which helps to bring in foreign c urren cv. The Problem; The balance of payments (BOP) is a record of’ all the money coming into a country from abroad and all the money going out of a country to other countries during a specific time period, usually one year. For example. money comes into Barbados when tourists spend money there and when other countries import sugar from Barbados. Money goes out when people in Barbados buy foreign goods or make investments in other countries. In the early 1990s the BOP deficit increased sharply; more money was going out of Barbados than coming in. This was (lue in part to a drop in tourism and a large increase in the government budget deficit. There weren’t enough foreign currency reserves to pay for the imports and other assets that people in Barbados wanted to buy from abroad. Inflation was on the rise, economic growth was stagnant and unemployment was high. Barbados sought help from the TMF. The IMF-supported Program: Barbados requested financial assistance from the TMF, which is normally granted if the government implements an economic reform program designed to eliminate the underlying problems over time. The TMF-supported pro gram in Barbados focused on improving the economy through sound fiscal and monetary policies and on helping to make the country’s businesses more competitive in the world. The government tightened fiscal policy by drasti cally cutting its spending and improving the efficiency of the tax system. Wages of government workers were cut, and sonic government workers were laid off and encouraged to find work in the private sector. (This action was later ruled illegal, and the government had to restore wages when the economy improved.) The central hank used monetary policy to raise interest rates; this action discouraged excessive spending and reduced inflation. In the private sector a wage program which kept labor costs down was implemented. This meant that Barbados could keel) down the prices of its exports and compete better with other countries. Its low prices also attracted tour ists. All of these measures were designed to curtail inflation and improve long-term economic growth. This would attract more foreign currency to Barbados by increasing exports, tourism and fbreign investment and would help to bring an end to the unsustainable BOP deficit. A.lthough some of’ these measures sound harsh and might be unpopular, there are seldom many options for cor recting a BOP deficit. One possible alternative wOUld have been for Barbados to devalue its currency, resulting in lowe)’ prices for tourists in Barbados and those buying Barbados’ exports. however, the government was commit ted to maintaining the value of the Barbados dollar, which was pegged to the U.S. dollar. The Outcomes: Barbados and the IMF achieved the desired goals in a relatively short period of time. The BOP deficit turned into a surplus, and reserves of international currency increased in 1993-94 due to increased tourism t’roni Europe and a drop in government spending and the associated imports A program was initiated to revive the sugar indus try t.o increase exports. Although there were initial declines in GDP (with resulting increases in unemployment) due to the decrease in the size of the government sector, GDP growth picked up by 1994-95. Inflation fell to a very manageable rate of one percent. However, there is always a possilnlity that problems will arise again in the future because the Barbados economy relies heavily on toum-isni. which has its ups and downs. (3 NVi’IO\\I, (UUNC!l. ON feOXorvile NOUCATJON, \‘ORK. NY. WHAT IS THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO? - LESSON 2 ACTIVITY 2.1B CASE STUDY: ESTONIA AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The Country: Estonia is an Eastern European country bordered by the Baltic Sea, Latvia and Russia. Estonia was forced into the Soviet Union in 1940 and remained under communist control until 1991 when the Soviet. Union broke up. Along with other former Soviet Republics, Estonia is a transition economy; it is in. the process of changing from a planned economic system to a market economic system. Estonia is considered one of the most economically free and successful former Soviet Republics, and was admitted to the European Uflion in 2004. The Problem: The early years of transition were difficult in Estonia and the other former Soviet Republics. The economy expe rienced 900 percent inflation in 1.992, a year after the economy switched to a free market system. This means that on average what. cost 100 Estonian kroons iii 1991 cost 1000 kroons in 1992. Production fell 20 percent, resulting in declines in income. However, unemployment was not as high as expected due to em:igration to Western countries. Estonia’s problems were caused in part by the shocks associated with the break in the trade and financial links that had existed within the Soviet Union and the lag in establishing a functioning market economy. Although Estonians desperately wanted to have a free market economy. they lacked the skills, experi ence and institutions necessary for such an economy to function. The IMF-supported Program: It has been a challenge for the IMF to help Est.onia and other former communist countries reorient their econo inies toward market systems and become integrated into the global economy. The IMF provides advice and assis tance to help liberalize and privatize the economies: to end price controls and replace government ownership with private ownership. The IMF also provides advice and assistance to help stabilize the economies by controlling inflation and unemployment and promoting economic growth. The IMF assists in restructuring the economies by guiding the process of establishing institutions such as banks that are necessary if the new markets are to func timi. The first LMF-supported program for Estonia was approved in 1992. and was aimed at macroeconomic stabiliza tion and the establishment of institutions to ease the transition to a market economic system. The IMF provided loans, policy advice and technical assistance. Estenia established a currency board to control the money sup ply and stabilize ts new currency through a fixed link with the Deutschernark, the German currency at that time. Estonia also avoided having a government budget deficit for a number of years, and introduced a policy to restrain wage increases. ‘l’his policy kept down business costs and prices of goods for export, which encouraged other countries to import goods from Estonia. ‘Fhe second phase of the IMF-supported programs for Estonia took place from 1994 through 1998, and was directed toward increasing economic growth. After 1998 IMF assistance consisted only of advice and techmcal assistance; Estonia did not need to draw on the loan funds available. From 1999 through 2003, the goals were to continue to help the Estonian economy develop and quality for admission into the European Union. The Outcomes: Estonia is viewed as having successfully made the transition from a planned to a market economy. while bringing inflation under control and promoting economic growth. Estonia’s rate of inflation fell to 35 percent in 1995 and as of 2004 was less than 3 percent. rI1.1e success in curtailing inflation is attributed to the successful operations of the currency board. Compared to other transition economies, real GDP recovered from its initial declines quickly, and as of 2004 was increasing at rates averaging 6 percent annually. Despite its successes, in 2004 the IMF was concerned about Estonia’s large current account deficit. This means that Estonia was spending more on imports than it earned by exporting goods. ç NATIONAL couNcil. oz IiCONOiUC EDIJCA’IlON. \IW YORK. N.Y. 7 VC( LESSON 2- WHAT IS THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO? ACTIVITY 2.1C CASE STUDY: SOUTH KOREA AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The Country: The Republic of iKorea, sometimes called South. Korea, is an East Asian country on the southern half of the Korean peninsula. It became a country after World War II when it was separated from communist-controlled North Korea. South Korea (along with rrai.van Singapore and Hong Kong) is one of the four ‘Asian Tigers.’ coun tries that, experienced very rapid economic growth from the 1970s through 1.997. South Korea’s G.DP per capita is 18 times higher than North Korea’s, and is equal to that of some European Union countries. The ProbJem: An Asian financial crisis took place in 1997-98. It began in r1hai1and and rapidly spread to other countries, including Korea. This crisis exposed many underlying weaknesses in the Korean economy; winch was dominated by large government-guided conglomerates called chaebois, Tn part because there was little public information on these conglomerates’ management and their real financial situation, investors lost confidence in Korea and with drew money from Korean stocks and other assets. The stock marlcet plunged, and the country fell into a severe recession. The currency; the won, depreciated, and there was a significant risk of inflation. Many of the chaehols went bankrupt. Korea sought help from the IMF in November 1997 in the form of a three-year stand-by arrange ment, a loan that the country could borrow from as needed. The IMF-supported Program: On December 4, 1997, the 1MF approved Korea’s request for a loan to support economic reforms. The 1MF pro vided assistance under the Emergency Financing Mechanism, which allowed Korea to receive the money very quickly because of the crisis. The reforms were designed to help Korea recover from the Asian financial crisis and to correct some of the underlying problems in its economy, Overall ohjechves of’ the IMF-supportecl program included restoring the confidence of investors in the economy; restoring GDP growth, containing inflation and building up reserves of international currencies. Responding to advice from the 1MF, the government pledged to conduct monetary policy to aim for an inflation rate of’ 5 percent and to stabilize the value of the won, to keep government spending under control and to encourage freer trade by eliminating subsidies to domestic businesses that protected them from foreign competition. To reform the financial and business sectors of the economy, banks, other financial institutions and businesses that were failing were closed rather than supported by the government. Financial supervision and accounting practices were raised to international standards. Financial statements were open to audits by internationally icc ognized firms. Foreign investment was allowed in businesses where it had been prohibited. The Outcomes: Korea implemented strong reforms and macroeconomic policies recommended by the IMF. As a result, its eco nomic growth picked up quickly, and inflation was kept in check. Korea did not borrow all the funds available under the loan agreement and actually repaid substantial amounts earlier than scheduled. The Asian financial crisis presented a new situation for the TMF. Many people, including those inside the 1MF. believe that in the future more should be done to deal with underlying economic weaknesses with the goal of pre venting crises. Whether this is always j)OSSib]e is a difficult question. S © Nrra)\ I. (‘Ot’NCII.. ON I CONOMIC EDUIAl ION, N IW YOSK. N WHAT TS THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES i.T DO? - LESSON 2 ACTIVITY 2.1D CASE STUDY: TURKEY AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The Country; Turkey is located in both Europe and Asia at the northeast end of the Mediterranean Sea. Modern Turkey was founded in 1923 from parts of the former Ottoman Empire. There were several military coups in Turkey during the twentieth century, hut civilian governments were always able to regain political power Turkey’s economy is a mix of modern industry and traditional agriculture that accounts for 40 percent of Turkish employment. As of 2005, Turkey was striving to undertake the legal and economic reforms necessary to qualify for membership in the European Union. The Problem: High and volatile inflation has been Turkeys main economic problem. Since about 1980 i.t has averaged between .40 and 100 percent per year with peaks of over 100 percent. An annual inflation rate of 100 percent means that the average level of prices doubles every year.) This high rate of inflation resulted from loose fiscal policy, including overly generous social security benefits and large agricultural subsidies. These payments led to very large government budget deficits. When a government, spends more than it takes in from tax revenues, it has budget deficits, which need to be financed. In Turkey this has been done through loans from foreigners and by the central bank printing money, which causes inflation. Tn the l.990s it became evident to economists, private businesses and the IMF that a reduction in inflation would greatly benefit the Turkish economy. Lower inflation would lead to increased confidence in the economy, more foreign investment and higher and more stable economic growth. The IMF—supported Program: Since 1980 Turkey has had a series of IMF-supported programs designed to control inflation and strengthen the economy, An ambitious set of reforms with IMF loans and assistance had good initial results. But by 1989 the problems of increasing inflation and an increasing government deficit arose again. This failure was due in part to the Turkish government’s inability to control spending as prescribed in the IMF plan. Between 1994 and 2004, Turkey and the IMF tried a number of times to agree on a program to control inflation. rfhese programs were not successful initially because they were not implemented fully, hut since 2001 results have been more positive. These more successful refbrms have included attempts to reduce government spending by reducing the size of the government workforce, privatizing businesses formerly owned by the government, restraining government workers’ pay increases and reforming the social security system. Efforts have also been underway to reform the tax system to close tax loopholes and improve the efficiency of tax collections. In these ways, the government has lowered its deficit by decreasing spending and increasing tax revenues, in addition, the central bank has been granted independence and given price stability as its primary objective and has been freed from the obligation of printing money to finance the budget deficit. Finally, the IMF granted substantial financial assistance to support Turkey’s balance of payments. The TMF-supported programs to improve fiscal policy and lower inflation in Turkey have been criticized because they have taken a long time to take effect. Outside events such as political turmoil in 1997 have hindered the efforts, and at times the government has not been fully supportive of the proposed reforms. However, since 2001 the reforms have been more fully implemented and appear to be working. The Outcomes: Turkey’s GDP growth averaged a healthy 6-7 percent in 2002-04, and inflation decreased from 70 percent in 2000 to less than 10 percent in 2004. This success is attributed to Turkey’s following the strong macroeconomic stabili zatiomi policies supported by the IME Concerns over fiscal policy remain, however, because Turkey’s government debt is still high. C NATIONAL COUNCIl. ON ECONOUIC EDuCA’rION, New ross, sr. 9 jtpt LESSON 2- WHAT IS THE TNTERNATJONAL MONETARY FUND AND WHAT DOES IT DO? ACTIVITY 2JE CASE STUDY: UGANDA AND THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The Country: Uganda is a landlocked country in East Africa with a troubled history. It was a British colony until 1962. From 1970 to 1985, its leaders were known for human rights abuses, causing the death of over a half million of its people. However, since coming to power in 1986, President Yoweri Museveni has introduced reforms, improved the country’s human rights record and introduced IJVIF-supported programs that greatly improved the economy. Despite this progress. Uganda faces many challenges. The Problem: In 1996 and 1997 Uganda sought the help of the IMF to reduce the large debts that it owed to fhreign countiies and banks. When a country has a foreign debt, it has to pay interest on the debt as well as part of the principal every year. This meant that Uganda could not use this money to pay for clean water, medicine, education and road maintenance. Uganda’s large debt also meant that foreign private investors were unlikely to want to invest in the country because of the risk that they would not get their money back.it was important for Uganda to reduce the amount of its foreign debt so it could use the money to fight poverty. Uganda was one of the poorest countries in the world, with an estimated 44 percent of its population living in poverty. rIhe problem of poverty in Uganda is related to problems in education and health. Many children drop out of school due to a lack of money. There are widespread health problems due to limited access to clean water, doctors, medicine and transportation. The IMF-supported Program: 1 assistance under the Heavily Indebted Poor In 1997 Uganda was one of the first countries to qualify for 1M1 Country (HJPC) program. Under this program f reign countries and banis agree to cut the amount a country owes them by a large amount provided the country effectively implements an antipoverty program. Uganda qual ified for the IMF HIPC program because it demonstrated that it followed good economic policies during the threeyear period prior to 1907. One of the main goals of this program is to give countries debt relief (meaning they do not need to pay back some prior loans) so they have more money to spend on reducing poverty and promoting economic growth. As a result of the HIPC program, Uganda committed to support economic growth and to make sure that poor peo ple directly benefited from the improved economy. Economic growth can help reduce poverty because it; results in more jobs, higher incomes and more goods and services for the population. Uganda’s poverty-reduction programs included privatizing businesses that had been run by the government, improving communication and transporta tion networks, helping export industries (coffee is Uganda’s chief export) and providing universal access to health care and education. Th.e Ugandan government also created a Poverty Action Fund as part of its budget to moni tor antipoverty programs carried out under the HIPC program. This makes it easy to ensure that Uganda used the money it savid from the debt reduction on health, education and other poverty-reductmon programs. Because Uganda met all the commitments under the HIPC program, in 2000 it was one of the first countries to receive a substantial reduction in its foreign debt under an enhanced HIPC debt-relief program. The Outcomes: The outcomes of Uganda’s efforts to reduce poverty within the IMF-supported program and with the support of foreign countries and banks are encouraging, and Uganda is viewed as a successful model for t.he IMF HLPQ program. As of 2004, Uganda was experiencing strong economic growth, low inflation and increases in exports. Statistics show that poverty had been reduced over the past 10 years or so. lurthermnore, support from the IM l including the HIPC, helped Uganda to gain credibility among other international donors, that are now providing very significant aid to Uganda. Despite these gains, Uganda is still a poor country facing problems with HIV/ AIDS. rebel forces and government corruption. Much has been accomplished, and much remains to be done. 10 c NVIIO\Ai. ,‘ol :Ncn. ON I•;coNouic i;uccxaox, N n’ ross. N CASE. STUDY: BARBADOS AND JAMAICA Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR Page 1 of 5 Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados by ALEX BLUMBERG M9?h 5. 2010 text se A A A When it comes to economic indicators, none may be more abstract than GDP per capita. It is the measure of all goods and services a country produces, divided by its population. Take two countries that seem alike in almost every important way from geography, climate, colonial history and government structure but one has a much lower GDP. The differences between Jamaica and Barbados are striking. — — T\itioe1 f?ad,o1. ‘Oi ;;‘ roo; o’ 000co;n’:roo; ue ooly Soo is of Use —e othot J es poor ;sr:s STEVE INSKEEP, host: Now, let’s take a case history of sorts, comparing a country that ran up big debts and a country that did not. Each country is a Caribbean island Jamaica and Barbados. Alex Blumberg, of our Planet Money team, visited both. He found the consequences in a change of GDP per capita gross domestic product. That’s the total amount of goods and services produced in a country divided by the country’s population. That affected other measures, like reading, writing and arithmetic. - - ALEX BLUMBERG: I went to two elementary schools one in Jamaica and one in Barbados, both in working class, urban neighborhoods. Jamaica and Barbados are both former British colonies, both parliamentary democracies. But the Jamaican government made a bunch of decisions after independence that weighed it down with debt. As a consequence, its economy barely grew, and now its GDP per capita is a third of what it is in Barbados. And that difference has huge implications in a place like this. - Unidentified Children: (Foreign language spoken) BLUMBERG: lm in a classroom in Allman Town Elementary School in Kingston, Jamaica, standing nex to a bunch of boys who high five every time they get a right answer on a multiple-choice health quiz. The principal, Kandi-Lee Crooks-Smith, is giving me a tour, and my first hint of how GDP affects the lives of kids. A low GDP means governments dont have as much tax revenue, which means they can’t spend very much on their schools. In Ailman Town, Crooks-Smith has to find creative ways to pay for bare essentials extra toilet paper, cleaning supplies, even the whiteboard at the front of this classroom. - Ms. KANDI-LEE CROOKS-SMITH (Principal, Allman Town Elementary School): The whiteboard was actually provided by the teacher himself because the school cant afford to change the chalkboards. BLUMBERG: GDP affects the lives of kids here in another way as well. In Jamaica, every sixth grader takes a test, and the test determines where you go to high school. If you do well in the test, you go to a decent school, which prepares you for college and a professional job. But if you dont score near the top htti ://www.npr.org/templates/story/story .php?storyld 124346527 8/31/2010 Page 2 of 5 Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR on this test, you go to something called a non-traditional high school, where there are far fewer resources. Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: The odds are more against them. BLUMBERG: And what does that mean when the odds are what does that mean? They graduate - and... Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: For most of them in the non-traditional high schools, you have a lot of behaviora problems, and I think most of the students just basically give up. BLUMBERG: If you graduate from one of these schools, your options are limited to low-paying nonskilled work. You might drop out of the labor force entirely and find work in the informal economy drugs, gangs, simply selling stuff on the side of the road. I talked to the Jamaican Minister of Education, who told me the problem is that there simply arent enough high schools in Jamaica. - He figures he needs another 150 to meet the demand, which would take about a billion dollars U.S. to build a billion dollars that Jamaica, with its low GDP per capita, does not have. I asked Kandi-Lee Crooks-Smith, the principal, if the government did have the money to give her, what would she do with - it? Ms. CROOKS-SMITH: I have hired a reading teacher, not the American history either, but lm thinking if I could get just one extra person every classroom to focus on the reading alone, I think we would achieve way more than what were doing right now. BLUMBERG: Now, lets head to Barbados, specifically the Lawrence T. Gay Primary School in the largest city in Barbados, Bridgetown. The principal here, Beverly Paris, walks me around from classroom to classroom. Her school, like the school in Jamaica, has lots of bright colors, lots of shapes cut from construction paper on the walls. But the Barbados government, because of the higher GDP, has access to a lot more money, which means more resources and classrooms like the one Beverly Paris is showing me. Ms. BEVERLY PARIS (Principal, Lawrence T. Gay Primary School): Television on the wail and so and so. BLUMBERG: Television is like a little its like a server closet. - Ms. PARIS: Yes. Multimedia projectors, video cameras here, the whole works. BLUMBERG: And thats funded by the minister Ms. PARIS: (Unintelligible). BLUMBERG: So in terms of what you wish you had versus what you actually have, its not that big a difference, right? Ms. PARIS: Not really. As I said, in our class (unintelligible) we should accomplish. BLUMBERG: In Barbados, almost every sixth grader can read. In Jamaica, a quarter can’t. The kids arc just as bright, the teachers as hardworking. The only difference is one little statistic. httw I/wixiuj nnr nr/tmn1ts/stnrv/storv.nhn?storvId 124346527 8/31/2010 Page 3 of 5 Why GDP Matters: Compare Jamaica To Barbados : NPR For NPR News, rn Alex Blumberg. Co,;y’ifc any , 0e ‘c to..” cc•Ori;r:I Or ‘tTh [“.OIiC t’c’’.r’c All rQms rescn’sd. [Jo quotes cript is cm’oecl for rotc:: ct en ‘cx’o or ‘O•:r. to N’tion,;! Pubic PJio. Ti’.,’ ‘i “ ‘or 5”! ate’ o.’sout r:’’u.’;e p’tior : to c’.’ or”w <:1 i].’ . 2QQ ‘c ‘O’s without .‘ aie c’ ‘oe form .t I... .bn’ au .rc. frr’t ;,:.‘.‘.;i: or a ‘u. mu, . 0 ctnc”o.’ue by a co:t:rsctoi :‘:r “ ‘ s ‘...‘.. S’ Oru rc’cc.’’.c7 Eutd he .‘pcfaiea or rev..rod in the future. Poor’? to ‘‘i . aware thOi the . :.n’:.’ r’:uco on oriy. or ‘c’ .,‘ . !‘.‘;‘ “ct he in i’s . ‘, ‘“ .:‘. .u2r 0 ”o ruccrc of j7’.’”:’.. 0. .‘ may comments for this story e now or,,.: roe the Community iAQ for more nforrrtin Recent First Sean Leber-Fennessy (stratowhammy) wrote: QUOTE: “A low GDP means governments dont have as much tax revenue, which means they can’t spend very much on their schools. In Ailman Town, Crooks-Smith has to find creative ways to pay for bare essentials even the whiteboard at the front of this classroom’ ... I teach in the United States, which has the highest GDP in the world, and one of the largest per-capita GDPs in the world. In my classroom paper is rationed, photocopier toner is rationed and students are not allowed to bring the textbooks home. The room I teach in has not been updated since 1930 when the building was built, with the exception of the whiteboard that I had to install myself using shower board. This story is not atypical for inner city schools in the United States. Yes, there is toilet paper and paper towels, but where it counts students and teachers do not get what they need. My classroom probably looks more like the classroom described from Jamaica then the classroom described from Barbados. Looking at a countries GDP is overly simplistic, although I do applaud an economic analysis of the conditions on the ground made simple for a general audience. However, unlike the very sophisticated reporting I am accustomed to on NPR, this story fell flat. Tuesday, March 09, 2’0 11 4,u8AM Report abuse Recommend (5) Dean Irwin (Sounbwoy) wrote: How can you justify the generalizations that are so abundant in the story? There are other schools in Jamaica that are doing VERY well, Oh wait, I guess classrooms have to have TV’s in order for them to learn. How about going back and spending more time talking to other schools in both countries? I’m upset because you have made what I consider to be gross assumptions and over simplifications, not because I’m Jamaican. Suecay M’c 07.20109:49:53AM Report abuse Recommend (4) Danielle Evans (DaniJane) wrote: This story is but a snipett of a 24 minute Planet Money podcast filled with facts and figures from both primary and secondary sources that are disclosed. You may look them up for htto ://www.nor.or/temo1ates/story/story .php?storyld= 124346527 8/31/2010 A,nericcin Economic Review: Popers & Proceedings 2009, 99:2, 261-267 http:I/n’ww.ae to org/a rticles.php?doi---10.1257/der.99.2.261 MACROECONOMIC NARRATIVES FROM AFRICA AND THE DIASPORAt Institutions versus Policies: A Tale of Two Islands By PETER BLAIR HENRY AND CONRAD MILLER* A long line of work emphasizes the correla [ion between institutions and economic perfor mance (Adam Smith 1776; W. Arthur Lewis 1955; Douglass C. North 1990). Rich countries have laws that provide incentives to engage in productive economic activity. Investors rely on secure property rights, facilitating investment in human and physical capital; government power is balanced and restricted by art independent judiciary; contracts are enforced effectively, supporting private economic transactions. Recent research moves from correlation to causation by observing that countries whose colonizers established strong property rights hundreds of years ago have, on average, much higher levels of income today than countries whose colonizers did not (Daron Acernoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson 2001). Since a country’s colonial origin—literally determined centuries ago—can in no meaning ful way he said to he caused by its present-day level of income, the nature of countries’ colonial Discussant: William A. Dark)’, Jr.. Duke University. Henr: Graduate School of Business, Stanford Uni 5 versity, Stanford, CA 94305—5015, Brookings Institution, and National l3ureaa of Economic Research (e-mail; [email protected]); Miller: Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 (e-mail: [email protected]). Henry gratefully acknowledges financial support from the John A. and Cynthia Fry Gunn Faculty Fellowship, the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. the Siaofnrd Center for International Development, and the Freeman Spogli Institute. Miller gratelully acknowledges financial support from Ihe Mellon Mays Undergraduate Fellowship. We thank Jonathan Bendor, Sir Courtney Blackman, Rcnce Bowen, Eleanor Brown. Cecilia Conrad, William A. Darity Jr., Kevin Davis, Chad Jones. John Rapley. Tracy Robinson, Paul Romer, members of the Caribbean Policy Research Institute, and seminar participants at Brookings, MIT, and Stanford for very helpful comments and discussions. origins enables researchers to estimate the causal impact of property rights on long—run economic outcomes. Differences in the legal tradition that countries inherited fromn their colonial masters also have a long-run impact on economic out comes. Countries with English common law ori gins provide investors with stronger protection and are less prone to government ownership and regulation than countries with civil law brigins (Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes. and Andrei Shleifer 2008). In turn, common law countries have greater linancial development, less corruption, smaller informal economics, and lower unemployment. Case studies seem to suggest that institutions also exert a causal influence on economic out comes over periods of time somewhat shorter than the centuries-long span emphasized by the colonial and legal origins literature. For instance, following the Armistice of 1953, Korea broke into two separate nations with similar lev els of income, almost identical ethnic and cul tural makeup, but starkly different institutional arrangements of the economy. North Korea resorted to central planning while South Korea relied on pl’operty’ rights and markets (with a healthy dose of state intervention). More than 50 years later South Korea’s income per capita is more than ten times as large as North Korea’s. The divergence of the East and West German economies following the partition of Germany after World War II ostensibly provides another piece of evidence in favor of the view that insti tutions play the dominant role. While institutions undoubtedly affect eco nomic outcomes, the macroeconomic policies that governments choose- to implement may exert just as much influence on the Lrajectory of their economies as the broader institutional framework within which those policy decisions take place. As a matter of arithmetic, long-run 261 Economic Association. copyright © 1998, 1999,2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004,2005, 2006, 2007,2008, 2009, 2010 by the American 262 AEA PAPERS AND PROCEEDINGS WA 12009 1.2 CD a CD C) C 0 (. CD C) — 0.6 BErbados Jamaica x CD -D . 0.4 0 0) a - 0.2 CD 0 .N .fo ‘-i> j’ %CJ qo c’ cii’ c 5 c0 c c c ’ 1 ri’) ri) \°J Year MOURN I. STANDARDS OF LIviNG IN BARRAD0s AND JAMAICA DI’ERGE AFTER INDEPENDENCE income levels are the sum of a series of shortand medium-run growth rates that are heavily influenced hy fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policy (to name a few). This article demon strates the relevance of the point by examining a very clilTerent kind of policy experiment from the ones in the existing literature on institutions and growth. In contrast to the examples of North and South Korea and East and West Germany, we examine a pair of countries—Barhados and Jamaica— whose income levels diverge over a 40-year stretch in spite of no obvious differences in the institutional arrangements of their economies at the beginning of the observation period. 1. Standards of Living in Barbados and Jamaica Barbados and Jamaica are both former British colonies, small island economies, and predomi nantly inhabited by the descendants of Africans who were brought to the Caribbean to cultivate sugar. As former British colonies, Barbados and Jamaica inherited almost identical p01 itical, economic, and legal institutions: Westminster Parliamentary democracy, constitutional protec tion of property rights, and legal systems rooted in English common law. Yet, as Figure 1 demon strates, the standard of living in the two countries diverged in the roughly 40-year period following their independence from Great Britain. Figure I plots the natural logarithm of an index of real GDP per capita (measured in US dollars) in Barbados and Jamaica from 1960 through 2002. By construction, the value of the index is one in 1960 so that the natural log of the index is zero in 1960. While Barbados has not exactly experienced a growth miracle, its economy performed reasonably well over the 42-year period and substantially better than Jamaica’s. To he exact, by 2002, the natural log of the index is 0.917 for Barbados and 0.356 for Jamaica, so that the average growth rate of real GDP per capita for Barbados over the entire sample is 2.2 percent per year (0.917 divided by 42) versus 0.8 percent per year for Jamaica (0.356 divided by 42). One particularly striking feature of Figure 1 is the sharp decline in Jamaica’s standard of liv ing that sets in after 1972. Of course, the first oil price shock in 1973 precipitated a general slow down in world economic growth, but the central point (laid out in more detail later in the paper) is that growth in Jamaica slowed moie dramati cally than it did in Barbados. While Jamaica’s economy contracted at a rate of 2.3 percent per year from 1972 to 1987. Barbados, whose econ omy has a similar structure (see Table I) and was subject to the same external shocks, grew by 1.2 percent per year. In oiher words, for a 15-year period income per head in Barbados grew by 3.5 percentage points faster than it did in Jamaica. ((4 VOL. 99 NO. 2 INSTITUTIONS VERSUS POLICIES. A TALE OF TWO iSLANDS 263 TABLE l—B,\ISBAE,os AND JAMAICA HAVE SIMILAR ECONOMIES Barbados Jamaica Exports as percent GDP 58.4 50.0 Trnports as percent GDP 68.6 60.7 Agriculture as percent GDP Tndustry as percent GDP Services as percent GDP Population Area (square miles) Turning from growth rates to levels gives a tangible sense of the impact of these growth-rate differentials on long—run standards of living. In 1960 real GDP per capita was $3,395 in Barbados and $2,208 in Jamaica. in 2002 Barbados’s GDP per capita was $8,434 while Jamaica’s was $3,165. The $1,187 income gap that existed between Barbados and Jamaica around the time of independence now stands at $5,269 dollars. Put another way, the income gal) between the two countries now exceeds Jamaica’s level of GDP per capita. Since their initial conditions were similar at the time of independence, it stretches credulity to argue that Barbados and Jamaica diverged because of differences in colonial origins, legal origins, geography. or some other exogenous feature of their economies. We argue below that the explanation for the divergence lies not with differences in institutions but differences in macroeconomic policy. 3.7 5.7 18.0 33.1 78.3 61.2 300,000 2.700,000 166 4,244 85 percent of the populations of Barbados and Jamaica. Slavery was abolished in the British West Indies in 1834. and following World War I the region began a process of “constitutional decolonization” that led the islands down a grad ual, if difficult, path toward greater se1fgovernment (Trevor Muisroe 1972). Reporting on his visit to the region in 1922, Major H. F. L. Wood, Britain’s Under Secreta:ry of State for Colonies wrote: II. Institutions “The whole history of the African popula tion of the West Indies inevitably drives them towards representational institu tions fashioned after the British Model. Transplanted by the slave trade or other circumstances to foreign soil, losing in the pmcess their social system, language and traditions... Small wonder if they look for political growth to be the only course and pattern that they know, and aspire to share in what has been the particularly British gift of representational institutions” (Wood 1921). Jamaica won its independence from Britain in 1962. Barbados in 1.966. At the lime they became sovereign nations, both countries possessed the two institutional characteristics that the litera ture identifies as critical to long-run prosperity: strong constitutional protection of private prop erty and English common law. A brief review of the islands’ colonial histories verifies the state ment in the preceding sentence. The English settled Barbados in 1627 and wrested Jamaica from the Spanish in 1655. Both islands entered the modern era as planta tion economies that produced sugar and other agricultural commodities using slave labor (Eric Williams 1970). By the end of the eighteenth century, African slaves comprised more than Three subsequent empirical observations demonstrate the accuracy of Wood’s predic tion that the British West Indies (Barbados and Jamaica in particular) were destined to establish institutions that mirrored the mother country. First, as sovereign nations, both Barbados and Jamaica organized their governments as parliamentary democracies in the WestminsterWhitehall tradition (Anthony Payne 1993). Since independence, Barbados and Jamaica have maintained two-party political systems and consistently held free and fair elections with no unconstitutional transfers of power. While sporadic violence often accompanies elections in Jamaica, neither Barbados nor Jamaica has (9C1 MAY 2009 4EA PA PERS AND PROCEEDINGS 264 suffered a coup or civil war, and both countries have a free and vocal press. Four postjndcpen— dence elections in Jamaica iesultecl in the ruling party peacefully turning over power to the opposition. Three such transitions occurred in Barbados. Second, the constitutions of Barbados and Jamaica explicitly protect private property. The joint parliamentary committee that drafted Jamaica’s constitution was chaired by Norman Manley—a lawyer. Rhodes Scholar, and father of the nation’s future prime minister. Discussing the constitution in front of Jamaica’s House of Parliament on 23 January 1962. Manley says: “We have put into this constitution a clause which provides that property may not be, in effect, arbitrarily acquired. Property is protected in that it can only be taken under a law which has been passed. And when so taken, it must be taken in accor dance with the terms of that law. What the law provides for compensation, you must get. .{J.Jt is of the highest importance for a country like Jamaica to let the world know that., people can come here to invest... fuHy protected by the laws of the land...” (Manley 1962, 306). . Barbados. which attained full independence four years after Jamaica, adopted a constitu tion with an effectively identical coverage of private property. Both constitutions assert that property cannot he compulsorily acquired except under written law that describes a pro cedure for determining and providing compen sation and grants claimants the right of appeal to a court (Chapter 3, Section 16. of Barbadian Constitution: Chapter 3, Section 18, of Jamaican Constitution). The constitutions also delineate similar sets of exceptions to this clause, such as cases where property is acquired in satisfaction of a tax, property is in a condition dangerous to the health of others, or property is acquired to pay debt of the insolvent. Third, Barbados and Jamaica adopted legal systems based on English common law (RoseMarie Antoine 1999). Describing the essence of this adoption to the Philadelphia Bar Association in 1967, Manley says: “As to the law, we took over the English common law holus holus. But what was more important we took over the structure and machinery which England built up for the administration of justice” (Manley 1967, 340). For most of their histories, both countries shared the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in England as their highest court of appeals. Because Barbados and Jamaica possess simi lar economic institutions and legal systems, nei ther the property-rights nor legal-origins theory of long-run income determination can explain their postindependence divergence Although the institutional structures of Barbados and Jamaica are very close, the same cannot be said of their approaches to macroeconomic policy. III. Macroeconomic Policies When Jamaica gained independence in 1962 the Jamaican Labor Party (JLP) held a parlia mentary majority. For the next ten years the JLP remained in power and GDP per capita grew at a rate of 5.4 percent per year, with the lion’s share of growth stemming from two principal sources: strong US growth in the 1960s created a robust export market for Jamaican bauxite; and rising incomes in North America boosted growth in Jamaica’s tourism industry. But all was not well. In classic Dutch Disease fashion, growth in the bauxite sector drove up the relative price of nontradeables, reducing the competitiveness of Jamaica’s agricultural sector and precipitating an exodus of workers from the countryside to the cities (Carl Stone and Stanislaw Wellisz 1993). Because of strong unions, wages in other sectors did not adjust downward to absorb the excess labor released from agriculture (Caribbean Policy Research Institute 20(5). Consequently, during its first decade of independence Jamaica experienced the odd combination of strong growth coupled with an unemployment i-ate that rose from 13 percent in 1962 to 23.2 percent in 1972. Rising unemployment, income inequality, and the attendant societal tensions proved 100 much for the JLP at the ballot box. In 1972 the People’s National Party (PNP) rose to power under the leadership of Prime Minister Michael Manley (son of Norman) and the promise of “democratic socialism: The two cornerstones of democratic socialism and the PNP’s economic policies were “self-reliance” and “social jus tice.” Self-reliance translated as extensive state intervention in the economy. The PNP nation alized companies, erected import barriers, and imposed strict exchange controls (R. DeLisle Worrell 1987). Social justice meant income 70 INSTITUTIONS VERSUS POLICIES: .4 TALE OF TWO iSLANDS VOL. 99 NO. 2 265 TAmE 2—EcoNosmic: Pot.tcv AND PErmt’OtmMANCE IN BARBADos AND JSMAI(’A Divr.sc;tt AfTER 1973 .larnaica Barbados 1966—1972 1973—1980 962—1972 1973—1980 Growth rate of GDP per capita Fiscal deficit, percentage of GDP 6.0 2.7 4.2 —4.3 2.7 5.3 2.3 15.5 inflation 6.0 14,8 4.4 23.0 redistribu ion through job creatIon programs, housing development schemes, and subsidies on basic food items. Whatever merits the PNP’s economic program may have had, it was expensive. Government spending rose from 23 percent of GDP in 1972 to 45 percent in 1978. Revenue did not keep pace with the rise in expenditure. From 1962 through 1972 Jamaica’s averaee fiscal deficit was 2.3 percent of GDP (see Table 2). in contrast, from 1973 to 1980 the average fiscal deficit was 15.5 percent of GDP! The PNP tinanced much of the deticit by borrowing directly from the Bank of Jamaica. Predictably, inflation rose. From 1962 to 1972 inflation averaged 4.4 percent per year. By 1980 inflation was 27 percent per year, investment had collapsed (to 14 percent of GDP down from 26 percent in 1972), and the PNP was voted out of power. Because Jamaica’s reversal of fortune coin cided with the oil price shock of 1973 and the onset of worldwide stagflation, it is tempting to blame the country’s downward spiral on external events. While many have done so (see Manley 1987), even a cursory comparison with Barbados makes it difficult for an obiective observer to embrace that conclusion. The inflation rate in Barbados also spiked in the early 1970s, hitting a peak of 39 percent in 1975, but Barbados’s policy response to the external shocks that precipitated the spike could not have been more different from Jamaica’s. First of all, Barbados avoided nationalization, kept state ownership to a minimum, and adopted an outward-looking growth strategy (Courtney Blackman 2006, 390). Second, instead of tak ing an accommodative stance that delayed the inevitable retrenchment needed to adjust to higher energy prices, policymakers in Barbados kept government spending under control. While the fiscal deficit in Barbados did climb to 7.7 percent of GDP in 1973. by 1978 that number was down to 2.9 percent. Since much of defi cit financing comes from ihc central bank, by extension, Barbados also ran a tighter monetary ship than Jamaica. Table 2 summarizes the net result of the difference in macroeconomic policy in Barbados antI Jamaica over the two periods. IV. Exchange Rate Policies In 1975 Barbados pegged its currency to the US dollar at a parity of l3$2: US$1. The parity came under threat when Barbados suffered a deep recession in the early 1990s and real GDP per capita contracted by 5.1 percent per year from 1989 to 1992. In the midst of the crisis in 1991, Barbados entered formal negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IIVIF) to redluest. financial assistance. Among other things, the IMF recommended devaluation to stimulate production and return the economy to full employment. Deeply attached to the stabil ity of thei:r currency, the Barhadians resisted the recommendation. instead of devaluing, the gov ernment began a set of negotiations with employ ers, unions, and workers that culminated with a tripartite protocol on wages and prices in 1993. Under the 1993 Wage antI Price Protocol. workers and utmions assented to a one-time cut in real wages of about 9 percent and agreed to keep their demands for future pay raises in line with increases in productivity. Firms promised to moderate their price increases, the government maintained the parity of the currency, and all parties agreed to the creation of a national pro ductivity hoard to provide better data on which to base future negotiations. To be sure, the protocol involved costly bargaining. When negotiations began. public demonstrations broke out and the government’s wage-cut proposal was challenged in court, all the way up to the Privy Council (Alvin Wint 266 A EA PA PERS AN!) PROCEEDINGS 2004, ch. 3). Nevertheless, the center held. The fall in real wages helped restore exter nal competitiveness and profitability, thereby achieving the same result as a devaluation but without the risk of triggering an inflationary spiral. The economy recovered quickly. From 1993 to 2000 GDP per capita grew by 2.7 per cent per year. Linlike Barbados, Jamaica devalued its cur rency several times between 1975 and 2002. From this fact, many observers draw the spe cious conclusion that the difference in exchange rate policy accounts for Barbados’s superior economic perfornianc&. But Barbados’s fixed exchange rate did not cause its economy to outperform Jamaica’s. Rather, the proximate source of Barbados’ superior performance was a set of growth-facilitating policies—monetary restraint, fiscal discipline, openness to trade. and ultimately wage cuts to restore competi tive unit labor costs—that had the side effect of enabling the monetary authority to maintain the exchange-rate parity without losing external competitiveness. in contrast. Jamaica’s policies were never consistent with maintaining commt ment to any parity the government might have wanted to adopt. The differences in exchange rate policy do, however, raise an important issue. Faced with a scenario like that of Barbados in 1991. would Jamaica he able to achieve the social consen sus needed to adopt the measures required to avoid a competitive devaluation? As stated in the previous paragraph. we think the Jamaican record speaks for itself. Answering the deeper question—why do some democratic societies (of which Barbados is just one example) manage to reach constructive policy compromises while others (such as Jamaica) do not?—remains an important research challenge. 2 V. Conclusion It may he tempting for readers to regard this paper as a quaint tale of two exotic islands better known for their beaches, music, and Olympic sprinters than their significance Hon. Edward Seaga, “The Caribbean Single Market: Beneficial Path or Wayward Journey.” Jamaica Observer, February 10, 2006. See Donald Robothani (1998) for clues about answers to this question for Barbados and Jamaica. MAY 2009 in the global economy. On the contrary, we think that important general lessons lie at the heart of this Caribbean parable. Recent work focuses on the very long-run effects of insti tutions to the point of exclusion of almost all other factors. But the macroeconomic deci sions of governments can exert just as much influence on the trajectory of the economy as the. institutional framework within which those decisions take place. Countries have no control over their geographic location, colo nial heritage, or legal origin, hut they do have agency over the policies that they implement. Of particular importance for small open econ omies (i.e., most countries in the world) is the response of policy to macroeconomic shocks such as a fall in the terms of trade. Pedestrian as it may seem, changes in policy, even those that do not have a permanent effect on growth rates of GDP per capita, can have a significant impact on a country’s standard of living within a single generation. REFERENCES Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and Tames A. Robinson. 2001. “The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation.” American Econoin ic Review, 9l(5): 1369—1401. Antoine, Rose-Marie. 1999. Commonwealth (.uribbea,i Law and Legal Systems. London: Cavendish Publishers. Blackman, Courtney. 2006. The Practice of Eco nonzic Management. A Caribbean Perspec tive. Kingston: Ian Randle Publishers. Caribbean Policy Research Institute. 2005. Thking Re.cponsibilits: The .!amnaican Economy Since Independence. http:llwww.takingresponsibil ity.org/. La Porta, Rafael. Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Amlrei Shleifer. 2008. “The Economic Conse quences of Legal Origins.” Journal of Ecu nommc Literature, 46(2): 285—332. Lewis, W. Arthur. 1955. The Theory of Econonuc Growth. 1-fomewood, Illinois: Unwyn Hyman. Manley, Michael. 1987. lip the Down Escalator: Del’elopmentandthelnternationalEcononm)c A ./amaican C’aseStud’. London: AndreDeutsch. Manley, Norman Washington. 1962. “The mdc penclence Constitution.” In Norman Washington Manle’ and the New Jamaica: Selected VOL. 99 NO. 2 INSTITUTIONS VERSUS POLICIES: .4 TALE OF TWO ISLANDS Speeches and Writings /938—68, ed. Rex Net ileford, 1971. London: Longnian Caribbean. Munroc, Trevor. 1972. The Politics of Decoloni zation: Jamaica, 1944—1962. Jamaica: Univer sity of the West Indies Institute of Social and Economic Research. North, Douglass C. 1990. institutions, Institu tional Change, and Economic PerJirinance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Payne, Anthony. 1993. “Westminster Adapted: The Political Order of the Commonwealth Caribbean.” In Democracy in the Caribbean: Political Economic, and Social Perspectives, ed. Jorge I. Dominguez, Robert A. Pastor, and R. DeLisle Worrell. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. Robotham, Donald. 1998. “Transnationalisrn in the Caribbean: Formal and Informal.” Ameri can Ethnologist, 25(2): 307—21. Smith, Adam. 1776. An inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of 1”Jations. In Mortimer Adler red.), 2005, Great Books of 267 the Western World, Encyclopedia Britianica. Stone, Carl, and Stanislaw Wellisz. 1993. “Jamaica.” In The Political Economy of Pot’ errv, Equity, and Growth: Five Sinai! Open Economies, ed. Ronald Findlay and Stanislaw Wellisz, 140—218. New York: Oxford Univer sit)’ Press. Williams, Eric. 1970. From Columbus io Cos ta,’: The History of the Caribbean 1492—1969. New York: Random House. Wint, Alvin. 2003. C’omnpetitii’eness in Small Developing Economies: Insights from the Caribbean. Kingston: University of the West Indies Press. Wood, Hon. E. F. L., M.P. 1921. Report of a Visit to Certain West Indian Colonies and to Brit ish Guiana, as cited in Anthony Payne (op. cit.) 1993. 58—59. Worrell, R. DeLisle. 1987. Sinai! Island Econo mnies: Structure and Perfbrmunce in the Eng lish Speaking Caribbean Since 1970. New York: Praeger. Doing Business in the Caribbean Region -- U.S. Commercial Service Caribbean Page 1 of 2 \13 BUYUSA.GOV Caribbean -- U.S. Commercial Service Islands of Opportunity • • • • Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region ‘Your Connection to the Caribbean Region” Country Specific Information Five Compelling Reasons to Do Business in the Caribbean Region 1. Close Proximity: The Caribbean Region is a natural commercial partner of the United States, tied closely together by geography, history and culture. 2. 3rd Largest Market in Latin America for U.S. Exports: The Caribbean Region as a whole represents a market of about 23.5 million people who collectively imported over $18.5 billion of U.S. goods in 2007! As a result, the Region is the 3nd largest export market for U.S. manufactured goods in Latin America behind only Mexico and Brazil. 3. Cooperative Trade Relationship: The rf’ Caribbean Basin Initiative 1 (CBI) launched in 1983 and renewed in 2000 through legislation enacted by Congress established trade programs to facilitate the economic development and export diversification of the Caribbean Basin economies. U.S. exports to the CBI countries have more than tripled since the CBI’s creation, from $6.5 billion in 1984 to over $25 billion in 2000. 4. Free Trade: On August 5, 2004 the United States and the Dominican Republic signed a Free Trade AQreement (CAETA-DR) . The agreement was implemented on March 1, 2007 ensuring that more 2 than 80% of U.S. manufactured goods enter duty free to the DR. In addition to tariff reduction, CAFTA-DR also provides unprecedented access to government procurement, liberalizes the services sectors, protects U.S. investments, and strengthens protections for U.S. patents, trademarks, and trade secrets in the DR. 5. Regional Integration: The Caribbean Community (‘ CARICOM ), is an organization of Caribbean 3 nations and dependencies working to promote economic integration and cooperation among its members. The CARICOM Single Market and Economy (CSM) treaty signed on January 1, 2006 by 12 member countires, establishes deeper regional integration through harmonized tariffs and duty free trade. Currently, the CARICOM CSM member countries and the Dominican Republic are scheduled to sign an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) in July 2008 establishing free trade between the DR and the CSM member countries. Best Prospects in the Caribbean Region • • • • • • • • • • • • Household Consumer Goods Building products Air Conditioning Telecommunication Equipment & Services Franchising Computers and Peripherals Automotive Parts and Services Food Processing and Packaging Equip. Cosmetics and Toiletries Electrical Power Systems Hotel & Restaurant Equipment & services Drugs and Pharmaceuticals “Your Connection to the Caribbean Region” Whether your company is trying to enter or expand into the Caribbean Region, we can help you succeed! http ://www.buyusa.gov/caribbeanlen!islands of opportunity .html 11/1/2010 Subsidies on trial in Caribbean rum rumble Washington Examiner Page 1 of 5 i7if Washington Examiner P •• home deflvery classifieds autos I jobs real estate home listings Making this Right. Restore Gidf communities View todays E-Dition wash ingtonexa miner corn — E efunQr1I Home Nation advertise - — Freeemail alerts! “ tu Wixammcr Nows Politics Lcca Opinion Economy Spor LiftyN World Beltway Confidential Yeas & Nays Opinion Zone Capital Land CI Mobile Site POLITICS [Print] [Email] • C ‘:: 6 relweet Subsidies on trial in Caribbean rum rumble By: TIMOTHY P. CARNEY Senior Examiner Columnist November 18, 2009 If you drink Captain Morgan rum, you probably don’t care where it came from. But to the governments of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands and to the topshelf K Street lobbyists they have hired in recent months where to distill Captain Morgan is a billion-dollar question. -- -- Diageo is a multinational liquor giant that hires a Puerto Rican distillery to make Captain Morgan rum. Puerto Rico’s next-door neighbor, the U.S. Virgin Islands, however, is trying to lure the Captain away with a raft of subsidies. The special arrangement these two territories have with the U.S. government ropes Washington into their cutthroat competition for more booze business which means more K Street lobbyists. -- This column obtained a copy of a June 2008 agreement between Diageo and the government of the Virgin Islands. In the contract, the Virgin Islands promises Diageo a handful of generous tax credits and direct subsidy payments if the company builds a new Captain Morgan distillery in St. Croix, the main island, thus cutting ties with the Puerto Rican distillery. The agreement specifically states, “Absent such financing, tax, production and marketing incentives, Diageo would not locate the Project in the Virgin Islands.” httn//wwuj wchiricrtnnpyminpr 9/29/201 0 Subsidies on trial in Caribbean rum rumble I Washington Examiner Page 2 of 5 incentives” in the contract is Even if you don’t like rum, reading through the T enough to make your mouth water. They start with special help in clearing bureaucratic hurdles: “The Government shall do all things and take such actions reasonably necessary, to the fullest extent permitted by law, to assist Diageo” in obtaining all necessary permits. Then come the tax credits. The Virgin Islands offered Diageo a 90 percent tax credit on all its income derived from the Captain Morgan project. Also, “Diageo shall be completely exempted” from property taxes, gross receipts taxes or excise taxes on raw materials imported, and the customs fees would also be lowered. Lower taxes and less red tape are great, but no smaller competitor could ever get permission to pay only a dime on every dollar in taxes it owes. The agreement grants other special tax cuts just for Diageo, including breaks on interest payments and estimated tax payments. When the tax breaks are targeted at one company, they function more as corporate welfare than as limited government. The direct subsidy payments are much more blatant. First, Diageo would pocket “Marketing Support Payments” for the public service of marketing Captain Morgan to U.S. drinkers. Then come the “Molasses Subsidy Payments,” in which taxpayers would guarantee that Diageo never pays more than 16 cents per gallon of molasses. The Virgin Islands also would give Diageo a “Production Incentive Payment.” So the Captain would get subsidized materials, subsidies for production and then subsidies to sell the rum. All this subsidy money will come from the Virgin Islands’ “cover-over,” an annual payment the U.S. government makes to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico out of federal excise taxes. In short, when a Virgin Islands-made bottle of rum is sold in the U.S., the federal excise tax on that bottle is sent back to the Virgin Islands’ government. The same is true for Puerto Rico. The Virgin Islands courtship of Captain Morgan has angered Puerto Rican officials, who have started to push back. The territory’s congressional representative, Pedro Pierluisi, introduced a bill in April prohibiting territories from using more than 10 percent of their cover-over for subsidies (a consultant for Puerto Rico tells me it turns about 6 percent of the cover-over into liquor subsidies). On Nov. 1, the Senate of Puerto Rico hired Quinn Gillespie and longtime Republican aide David Hoppe to lobby on the issue. The Conservation Trust of l,-.. //rrri1i atcnpymjnpr nnm/nnl itics/Suhsjdies-on-triaj-in-Caribbean-rum-rumble... 9/29/2010 Page 3 of 5 Subsidies on trial in Caribbean rum rumble Washington Examiner Puerto Rico has hired Democratic activist and former Clinton White House aide Joe Velasquez for the fight. The Virgin Islands government has hired the firm Winston and Strawn, including partner James F. Miller, whose online biography paints a portrait of a corporatewelfare specialist. Miller takes credit for creating “tax incentives for coal,” and boasts of working with “the Export Import Bank, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation [and] the Inter-American Development Bank,” which are leading subsidy agencies. Puerto Rico’s play here is something like bilateral disarmament: We won’t bribe companies with hyper-subsidies if the Virgin Islands doesn’t. But the predicament points out a hole in a standard free-market argument. It turns out that municipalities competing for business aren’t in a race to roll back regulations and lower taxes, but in a race to provide more taxpayer subsidies. Timothy P. Carney, The Examiner’s lobbying editor;, can be reached at [email protected]. He writes an op-ed column that appears Friday. More from Timothy P. Carney • GE backed regulations that killed GE jobs in U.S. • ‘Obama is anti-business’ is really a cry for more corporate welfare • DISCLOSE Act empowers lobbyists • Naked regulatory robbery: Big Pharma vs. Big Tobacco • Strickland profits from ‘green’ patronage in Ohio Topics Washington Examiner, Captain Morgan, Puerto Rico Virgin Islands, K Street, Diageo, St. Croix, Pedro Pierluisi, David Hoppe, Joe Velasquez, Winston and Strawn ,James F. Miller, Export Import Bank, Overseas Private Investment Corporation, Inter-American Development B , Reader Comments All comments on this page are subject to our Terms of Use and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Examiner or its staff. comment box is limited to 200 words. comments that advocate violence, racism, or libel as well as comments written in ALL CAPS are not permitted. EL:..: Optional: Login below. Corrents for tHs pEçe closed. htto://www.washingtonexarniner. corn/politics/Subsidies-on-trial-in-Caribbean-rum-rumble... 9/29/2010 News Release Ex-Im Bank Approves $250 Million in Export Financing for 211,000 For... Page 1 of 1 r1r] News from the Export-Import Bank of the United States August 5, 2010 Contact: Phil Cogan, (202) 565-3200 EX-IM BANK APPROVES $250 MILLION IN EXPORT. FINANCING FOR 211,000 FORD MOTOR COMPANY VEHICLES Ford, Small Business Suppliers and Workers in 41 States to Benefit WASHINGTON, DC The Export-Import Bank of the United States (Ex-Im) has approved a $250 million working capital loan guarantee for Ford Motor Company in Dearborn, Michigan. The loan facility will finance $3.1 billion of export sales for over 200,000 vehicles being sold to buyers in Canada and Mexico. These exports represent 15 percent of Ford’s 2009 production and the vehicles will be manufactured in plants located in Chicago, Illinois.; Dearborn and Wayne Michigan; Kansas City, Missouri; Louisville, Kentucky; and Avon Lake, Ohio. The Private Export Funding Corporation (PEFCO) will provide the funding for the revolving $250 million loan backed by Ex-Im’s guarantee. The loan, fees and interest will be paid off in one year. - “Ex-Im’s working capital loan guarantee enables both Ford and hundreds of its small business suppliers to maintain their competitiveness in the global marketplace,” said Fred P. Hochberg, chairman and president of Ex-Im Bank. “This transaction alone will support thousands of high paying export-related American jobs by exporting superior goods and services to international buyers.” “Ford is committed to using our U.S. manufacturing plants as a growing source of exports to regions all over the world,” said Mark Fields, Ford Motor Company president of the Americas. “Our partnership with Ex lm Bank highlights a public-private relationship that supports American jobs and the economy.’ Models to be exported using the Ex-Im loan guarantee facility include the F-150 pickup, Explorer SUV, Focus, Escape, Expedition, E-Series Van, Taurus, and Lincoln MKS and Navigator. Of particular note is that the loan facility will support the export of the new, highly fuel-efficient crossover Ford Explorer SUV. It is scheduled to go into production at the Chicago assembly plant later this year. Ford’s investment in the Chicago assembly plant is adding 1,200 new jobs there. Ford reports that key suppliers to the Explorer alone are investing in new facilities and hiring for more than 600 jobs in Michigan, Indiana and Illinois. According to Tony Brown, group vice president, Ford Global Purchasing, more than 650 companies in 41 states produce parts and components for the vehicles being exported. At the same time thousands of other indirect suppliers provide other services to Ford. This is an innovative transaction and the first of its kind at Ex-Im Bank. The loan is formula-based and secured by vehicles in transit to Canada and Mexico. The flexibility of the formula-based loan facility will facilitate the continued growth of Ford’s exports. Ex-Im Bank is an independent, self-funding federal-government agency that operates entirely on the proceeds of the fees and interest that it charges. Ex-lm fill gaps in export financing, strengthens U.S. export competitiveness, and helps creates and maintain U.S. jobs. The Bank provides a variety of financing mechanisms, including working capital loan guarantees to help U.S. businesses acquire the capital needed to produce goods and services for export, export-credit insurance to protect against nonpayment by foreign buyers, and loan guarantees and direct loans to assist foreign buyers of U.S. goods and services. In fiscal 2009, overall Ex-Im Bank financing totaled $21 billion. In the first nine months of fiscal 2010 (through June 2010), Ex-Im Bank authorized $17.4 billion in loans, guarantees and insurance more than the total authorizations for all of fiscal 2008. For more information, see Ex-Im Bank’s Web site at www.exim.gov. - Original URL: http:Ilwww.exim.govlpressrelease.cfm42BEO2AO-DFB9-2BCO-36C4F6788D7222301 Export-Import Bank of the United States 811 Vermont Avenue, N.W. Washington, DC 20571 Tel: 1 (202) 565-3946 (EXIM) or 1 (800) 565-3946 (E)(IM) http://www.exim.gov/pressreleaseprint.cfmI428E02A0-DFB9-2BC0-3 6C4F678 8D 7222 BO 11 / 1/2010 Overseas Private Investment Corporation Page 1 of 1 Close Window I Print this pase Overview C is an independent U.S. government agency whose mission is to mobilize and facilitate the participation of U. S. private capital and skills in the economic and social development of less developed countries and areas, and countries in transition from nonmarket to market economies. OPIC assists U.S. companies by providing financing (from large structured finance to small business loans), political risk insurance, and investment funds. OPIC complements the private sector in managing risks associated with foreign direct investment and supports U.S. foreign policy. OPIC was established as an agency of the U.S. government in 1971 and currently does business in over 150 countries. For more information about OPIC, click on Our Work. To determine if your company can work with OPIC, please read the Investor Screener. OPIC does have certain policy requirements in the areas of environment, worker and human rights, and economic impact. Copyright 2010 Oversea Private Investment Corporation. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. htto:!/www.ooic.ov/sites/a11/themes/zenJooic/Drint.nho 11/1/2010 Page 1 of 4 Overseas Private Investment Corporation Close Window Print this once CurrentOPlCProj ects the project originated. Below is a list of current OPIC projects as of the end of the last fiscal year. The fiscal year listed in the database represents the year during which Fiscal Year: <Any> <Any> Dollar Amount: <Any> -____ - <Any> - <Any> Iy] Showing records I through 30 of 741 .1 •2 .3 .4 .5 •6 .7 .8 .9 next, last Fiscal RegionlCountry Year Latin America and the Caribbean, 1984 Panama 1993 Africa arid the Middle East Israel 1-tr• //xrjsrsr Project Name: DESARROLLO DE RIO PACORA SA US Sponsor: Herbert R. Lee Type: Finance Description: Coffee farm expansion Name: ISRAEL GROWTh FUND US Sponsor: Apax Partners & Co Israel Type: Finance Description: Venture capital fund for Israel (growth fund) Name: RUSSIA PARTNERS COMPANY, L.P. nnir any/citpe/i11/t1wmc/zen/nnic/nrintnhn Amount $167,000 $D0 000 000 11/1/2010 Overseas Private Investment Corporation US Sponsor: Siguler Guff& Company Type: Investment Funds Description: A newly organized, privately owned investment company Name: RUSSIA PARTNERS COMPANY, L.P. US Sponsor: Siguler Guff& Company Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1994 Type: Investment Funds Eurasia Regional Description: DIRECT EQUiTY INVESTMENT FUND Name: COMPANIA GENERAL DE COMERCIO E INDUSTRIA SA Latin America and the Caribbean, US Sponsor: Marriott International Capital Corporation 1994 Argentina Type: Finance Description: Refurbishment and operation of Plaza Hotel Name: Compania General de Comercio e Industria S.A. Latin America and the Caribbean, US Sponsor: MARRIOTI’ INTERNATIONAL INC 1994’ Type: Insurance Argentina Description: hotel Name: Grenada Electricity Services Limited Latin America and the Caribbean, US Sponsor: W R B ENTERPRISES iNC 1994 Type: Insurance Grenada Description: electric services Name: Coca-Cola Nigeria Limited US Sponsor: COCA COLA CO 1995 Africa and the Middle East, Nigeria Type: Insurance Description: soft drink concentrate & beverage base Name: DRAPER INTERNATIONAL INDIA FUND US Sponsor: DRAPER INTERNATIONAL 1995 Asia and the Pacific, India Type: Investment Funds Description: DIRECT EQUITY INVESTMENT FUND Name: INDIA PRIVATE EQUITY FUND US Sponsor: CIBC World Markets 1995 Asia and the Pacific, India Type: Investment Funds Description: DIRECT iNVESTMENT FUND Name: PAJTON ENERGY COMPANY US Sponsor: Edison Mission Company 1995 Asia and the Pacific, Indonesia Type: Finance Description: Coal fired electric power station and facilities Name: AGRIBUSINESS PARTNERS INTERNATIONAL US Sponsor: AMERICA FIRST COMPANIES Europe and Eurasia, Europe and Type: Investment Funds 1995 Eurasia Regional Description: PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENT FUND FOR RUSSIA AND THE NIS Name: AGRIBUSINESS PARTNERS INTL (BALTICS) US Sponsor: AMERICA FIRST COMPANIES Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1995 Type: Investment Funds Eurasia Regional Description: PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENT FUND Na me: BANCROFT EASTERN EUROPE FUND LP US Sponsor: BANCROFT ADVISORS LLC Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1995 Type: Investment Funds Eurasia Regional Description: PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENT FUND Name: NEW CENTURY CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. US Sponsor: NCH Advisors Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1995 Type: Investment Funds Eurasia Regional Description: Direct Equity Investment Fund Name: NEW CENTURY CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. US Sponsor: NCH Advisors Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1995 Type: Investment Funds Eurasia Regional Description: Direct Equity Investment Fund Name: KATEL Joint Venture US Sponsor: T K TEL LTD Europe and Eurasia, Europe and 1993 Eurasia Regional httn://www.onic. ov/sites/a11/themes/zenIooic/orint.nht, Page 2 of 4 $75,000,000 $37500000 $4,000,000 $34,306,400 $7,500,000 $48,600,000 $97,985,823 $2oOOooooo $67,500,000 $7,500,000 $70,000,000 $46,875,000 $140,625,000 11 / 1/2010 Overseas Private Investment Corporation 1995 Europe and Eurasia, Kyrgyzstan 1996 Africa and the Middle East, Morocco 1996 Africa and the Middle East, Kuwait 1996 All OPIC Countries, All Countries 1996 All OPIC Countries, All Countries 1996 Asia and the Pacific, Asia and the Pacific Regional 1996 Asia and the Pacific, Philippines 1996 Europe and Eurasia, Turkey 1996 Latin America and the Caribbean, Brazil 1996 Latin America and the Caribbean, Colombia 1996 Latin America and the Caribbean, Costa Rica 1996 Latin America and the Caribbean, Costa Rica 1997 Africa and the Middle East, Rwanda 1997 Latin America and the Caribbean, Venezuela //wwwnni c Type: Insurance Description: Cellular Telephone System with international gateway Name: JORF LASFAR ENERGY COMPANY US Sponsor: CMS Generation Company Type: Finance Description: PrivatizationlExpansion of 1320 MW power plant in Morocco Name: EQUATE Petrochemical Company K.S.C. (Closed) US Sponsor: UNION CARBIDE CORP Type: Insurance Description: petrochemical production Name: AQUA PARTNERS LP US Sponsor: Tarrant Partners Type: Investment Funds Description: Direct Equity Fund Name: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT EMERGING MARKETS FUND, II US Sponsor: GEF Management Corporation Type: Investment Funds Description: Direct Equity Investment Fund Name: ASIA DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS, L.P. US Sponsor: South Asia Capital Ltd. C/O Olympus Capital Holdings Type: Investment Funds Description: Direct Equity Investment Fund Name: CE Casecnan Water and Energy Company, Inc. US Sponsor: MIDAMERICAN ENERGY HOLDINGS CO Type: Insurance Description: Irrigation and hydroelectric power generation Name: DOGA ENERJI US Sponsor: Edison Mission Company Type: Finance Description: electric energy and thermal energy power plant Name: Morgan Stanley do Brasil Ltda. US Sponsor: MORGAN STANLEY GROUP INC Type: Insurance Description: bank Name: Termovalle S.C.A. E.S.P. US Sponsor: TERMOVALLE INVESTMENT CO L L C Type: Insurance Description: electric services Name: P.H. Don Pedro, S.A. US Sponsor: GENERAL ELECTRIC CAPITAL CORP Type: Insurance Description: 14 MW hydroelectric power plant Name: P.H. Rio Volcan, S.A. US Sponsor: GENERAL ELECTRIC CAPITAL CORP Type: Insurance Description: electric services Name: SORWATHE S.A.R.L. US Sponsor: TEA IMPORTERS INC Type: Insurance Description: tea plantation Name: WILPRO ENERGY SERVICES (EL FIJRRIAL) LIMITED US Sponsor: The Williams Companies, Inc. Type: Finance Description: natural gas compression services ov/sites/al1/themes/zenJoDjc/rint.flhp Page 3 of 4 $24,500,000 $200,000,000 $200000000 $200,000,000 $80,000,000 $100,000,000 $125,000,000 $95,000,000 $50,000,000 $200,000,000 $40,032,940 $47,346,000 $1,259,257 $165,000,000 11/1/2010 Federal B... Investment Policy and Statutory Requirements OPIC-10-R-0021 (Archived) - - Page 1 of 4 Investment Policy and Statutory Requirements Solicitation Number: OPIC-1O-R-0021 Agency: Overseas Private Investment Corporation Office: Contracts and Administrative Services Location: Contracts and Administrative Services V Notice Type: Combined Synopsis/Solicitation Original Posted Date: August 4, 2010 Posted Date: September 2, 2010 Response Date: Sep 27, 2010 4:00 pm Eastern Original Response Date: Sep 27, 2010 4:00 pm Eastern V Archiving Policy: Automatic, 15 days after response date Archive Date: October 12, 2010 Original Set Aside: N/A Set Aside: N/A Classification Code: R Professional, administrative, and management support services -- NAICS Code: 926 Administration of Economic Programs/9261 50 Commercial Sectors -- -- Regulation, Licensing, and Inspection of Miscellaneous Synopsis: Added: Aug 04, 2010 4:55 pm as an agency of the U.S. government in The Overseas Private Investment Corporation (“OPIC”) was established ic development in new and emerging 1971. OPIC helps U.S. businesses invest overseas, fosters econom ted with foreign direct investment, and markets, complements the private sector in managing risks associa ents, including extractive industries, supports U.S. foreign policy. OPIC supports a wide range of investm law (Title IV of the Foreign Assistance Act agriculture, manufacturing and infrastructure. OPIC is required by U.S. httns ://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=3 520b5445a0f23 3 600b2b 7a5... 11/1/2010 Investment Policy and Statutory Requirements OPIC-l0-R-0021 (Archived) Federal B... - - Page 2 of 4 of 1961) to evaluate certain policy issues for every project it supports. OPIC’s Office of Investment Policy is responsible for insuring that OPIC projects are implemented in a manner consistent with OPIC’s statutory requirements related to social and environmental matters which include: Statutory Reguirements • Environmental, health, and safety impacts. • Impacts on project affected people. • Labor and working conditions. • Human Rights. The Office of Investment Policy performs in-depth analyses on all projects proposed for OPIC support and ensures that any OPIC-supported project meets statutory requirements in environmental, health, safety, social, labor, and human rights policy areas. The office also monitors project performance to ensure that a project complies with all statutory and contractual requirements in environmental, health, safety, social, labor, and human rights policy areas. The role of the Independent Consultant (IC) is to provide support to OPIC’s Office of Investment Policy in meeting its Statutory Requirements. ICs should identify the Statutory Requirements for which they would like to be considered. IC support should also identify which of the following Tasks for which they would like to be considered: Task Categories • Independent technical project reviews. • Independent industry-specific technical reviews to support policy decisions or policy revisions. • Independent reviews of project working conditions, including associated management systems. • Assist in independent auditing or monitoring of OPIC-supported projects. • Preparation of draft reports to OPIC management or OPIC’s outside stakeholders. • Support for policy and procedure revisions. https://www. fbo. gov/index?s=oppormnity&mode=form&id=3 520b5445a0f23 3 600b2b7a5... 11/1/2010 About the Inter-American Development Bank Inter-American Development Bank - 1DB JOB Home > Page 1 of I Inter-American Development Bank Share About Us Comment MO About the Inter-American Development Bank IDE Presidency We SI jtt efforts by Latin America and the Caribbean countries to reduce poverty and inequality. We aim to bring about development in a sustainable, climate-friendly way. Basic Facts Development Effectiveness Established in 1959, we are the largest source of development financing for Latin America and the Caribbean, with a strong commitment to achieve measurable results, increased agenda that seeks integrity, transparency and accountability. We have an evolving to increase our inenJt in the region. Ninth Capital Increase Public Information Services Five things you need to know about the 1DB While we are a regular bank in many ways, we are also unique in some key respects. Besides loans, we also provide grants, technical assistance and do research. Our shareholders are 48 member countries, including 26 Latin American and Caribbean borrowing members, who have a majority ownership of the 1DB. Policies Strategies Our Fund for Secjl Operations (FSO) provides concessional financing to our most vulnerable member countries. Given our shareholder base and prudent management, we have a strono financial poSition. As a result, the 1DB is able to borrow in international markets at competitive rates and transfer that benefit to our clients. © 2010 Inter-American Development Bank - All Rights Reserved. http://w-ww.iadb.org/enlabout-us/about-the-inter-american-development-bank,5995 html 11 / 1/2010 Projects Inter-American Development Bank Page 1 of 1 - 31DB toe Home > 25 Inter-American Development Bank Projects Project Cycle Share Projects The 1DB partners with countries to provide financial resources and knowledge to achieve results. Since 1959, the 1DB has approved $183 billion for projects, mobilizing more than $402 billion in investments. The Bank’s activities cover the entire spectrum of economic and social development in Latin America and the Caribbean, with an emphasis on programs that benefit the most vulnerable and the poorest populations. Types of Financing The 1DB Group uses loaDs. ousranteen and investments to fund development programs. Development Effecliveness How does the 1DB improve development effectiveness? Comment Search our Projects The Bank supports clients in the design of projects, and provides finencino, technical cooperation and knov:ledoe services to support development interventions. Projecte identify the reasons for the proposed intervention, the actions the Bank will support and the expected results. The 1DB focuses on empirical evidence for making decisions and measuring the impact of its projects. The Bank has adopted specific criteria and methodolooies to ensure it is able to: Keywords: Advasred Sen’th search Pruiert Documents Spotllghl Procurement Opportunities environmental Impact Monthly Operational Summary • measure the achievement of a specific intervention; Public Information Services • monitor project progress, with focus on actions implemented and their impact; and • produce evidence of what works and why in development interventions. Integrity at the 1DB Independent Consultation The 1DB Group is a key partner for micro, small, medium and large-size companies and banks. The Bank offers financing opportunities for comoanies end finencial institutions, access to grants and consulting and procurement contracts. © 2010 Inter-American Development Bank http://wwwiadb.org/enlprojects/projects, 1 229thtm1 - and Investigation Mechanism Want to do business with the JOB? All Rights Reserved. 11/1/2010 FREE TRADE AGREEMENT IMPLICATIONS FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Page 1 of 2 The Trade Stimulus Fact Sheet October 27, 2008 - Advanced Search Search trade.gov u.s. businesses by Download printer friendly version Promoting Trade and October 27 2008 Investment Strengthening Industry The Trade Stimulus Competitiveness Approval of the Trade is an engine of economic growth Colombia, Panama, and South Korea Free Trade Agreements Ensuring Fair Trade Helping -- Browse by organization U.S. Commercial Service Manufacturing and (FTAs) would help stimulate further growth. U.S.-Colombia FTA Services 1. Market Access and Compliance Import Administration 2. u.s. exports are expected to increase by $1.1 billion under the FTA. 10,000 U.S. companies export to colombia; 8,500 of these are small- and medium-sized firms (SMEs). U.S. GDP is expected to increase by approximately $2.5 billion, according to the usrrc. 3. U.S.-Panama FTA The Panama canal expansion, valued at $5.25 billion, is an historic opportunity for U.S companies. The FTA will level the playing field for U.S. firms eager to compete for canal projects. 6,400 U.S. companies export to Panama, of which 5,200 are SMEs. American SIIEs would directly benefit from the FTA as 39 percent of total U.S. merchandise exports to Panama are Shipped by SME5. 1. 2. 3. IJ.S.-Korea FTA U.S. exports are expected to increase by $10.3 billion. Korea is a $1 trillion economy. Within the first 3 years of the FTA, 95 percent of U.S exports of consumer and industrial goods will enter this huge market duty-free. U.S. GDP is expected to increase as much as $20 billion, according to studies. i. 2. 3. Free Trade Works Trade Stimulates the American Economy — • From January to August 2008, U.S. exports totaled $850.5 billion 1 a huge economic stimulus that kept America growing despite the effects of the domestic housing market. -- • Net exports contributed 2.9 percentage points to total GDP growth in the 2nd quarter of 2008, and are the MAIN reason that America’s economy had positive growth in the first half of the year. • Exports of goods and services grew by 18 percent to $1.3 trillion in the first eight months of 2008. • 706 days have passed since the U.S-Colombia FTA was signed. In that time, U.S. exports to colombia have faced tariffs over $1.3 billion, which the FTA would eliminate. U.S. exporters face more unnecessary tariffs as they wait for approval of the Panama and South Korea FTA5. • The United States has a $10.3 billion trade SURPLUS with 2 ETA5 work. itsl4 FfA partners. • The U.S. manufactured goocs trade balance improved 158 percent with our 14 FA partners, but only 7 percent with non-FTA partners in the first eight months of 2008. 3 is due to • About 59 percent of the U.S. trade deficit petroleum imports. http://trade.gov/press/press releases/2008/fta-factsheet 102708 .asp 11 / 1/2010 The Trade Stimulus Fact Sheet October 27, 2008 - Page 2 of 2 1 Exports of non-petroleum goods 2 For manufactured goods only Trade deficit of goods and services httix/Itrade. gov/press/press releases/2008/fta-factsheet 102708 .asp 11/1/2010 Page 1 of3 Free Trade Agreements Advanced Search Search trade.gov Helping U.S. businesses by Promoting Trade and Investment Strengthening Industry Competitiveness Ensuring Fair Trade Browse by organization U.S. Commercial Service Manufacturing and Services Market Access and Compliance Import Administration Free Trade Agreements Free trade agreements (FTAs) have proved to be one of the best ways to open up foreign markets to U.S. exporters. Today, the United States has FTA5 with 14 countries. In 2006, six new ETA5 were implemented: with Bahrain, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Morocco, and Nicaragua. Last year, trade with countries that the United States has FTAs was significantly greater than their relative share of the global economy. Although comprising 7.5 percent of global GDP (not including the United States), those ETA countries accounted for over 42 percent of U.S. exports. U.S. Free Trade Agreement Partners in the Global Economy Percent of World GDt 2006 Percent of U.S. Exports 1 2006 ErA Countries: 7.5% Non-FT To FTA Countries: 42.6% — Countries: 2S% EtA = free trade agreement GDP = gross domestic product Note: World GDP excludes the United States. GDP percentage shares are based on GDP figures on a purchasing power parity basis. Export figures are for total U.S. Exports. Free trade agreement countries include all countries with free trade agreements with the United States (Australia, Bahrain, canada, chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Israel, Jordan, Mexico, Morocco, Nicaragua, and Singapore). Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2007); U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administrations, and Bureau of the Census Pending Free Trade Agreements Colombia NEW! U.S-Colombia TPA Fact Sheet A Partnership to Prosperity Why a Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement? case for Colombia: Giving American Products a Fair Shake State by State Impact Reports Industry Sectoral Reports United States Trade Representative (USTR) Information Korea Why a Korea Trade Promotion Agreement? State by State Impact Reports Industry Sectoral Reports USTR Information Panama Why a Panama Trade Promotion Agreement? State by State Impact Reports USTR Information http://trade .gov/ftalindex.asp 11/1/2010 Page 2 of 3 Free Trade Agreements Free Trade Agreement Partners and the US.Trade Balance,2006 vakie of trade n bionsofdollars SL S12 —- —- - - - - - — - - -- - - - -. - - - - Es’part5 Imports - 0 -I EtA Contnes Sewte US. Non-flA Countries irtmimtofCurne*tce. Existing Free Trade Agreements Australia State by State Impact Reports Industry Sectoral Reports Opportunity Report Textiles Information Additional Australia ETA Information for Exporters USTR Information Bahrain State by State Impact Report Industry Sectoral Reports Textiles Information Additional Bahrain ETA Information for Exporters USTR Information CAFTA-DR State by State Impact Reports Additional Reports and Statistics Textiles Information Additional CAFTA-DR ETA Information for Exporters USTR Information Chile Opportunity Report Additional Reports and Statistics Textiles Information Additional Chile ETA Information for Exporters USTR Information Israel Additional Reports and Statistics Additional Israel ETA Information for Exporters Textiles Information USTR Information Jordan Additional Reports and Statistics httix//trade.gov/ftalindex.asp 11/1/2010 zo UJZ WcJZ UJWLU uJ’n-J zw w -J U